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The 27 Amazon
FBA Business Metrics
that actually matter
Bryan O’Neil
TheFBAGuys.com
How do we know this stuff?
 24 years of combined experience in Online Business Valuations and
Business Brokrage.
 In 2018, launched an Amazon FBA Business Valuation tool
 First-hand data of over 3,400 Amazon businesses
 The largest and most accurate data set that anyone has
Overview
 Value vs Valuation – Value is not the same as Valuation & ranges vary wildly
 The Market – Your business’s market influences its valuation directly
 The Business – The majority of valuation metrics are related to the Business
and its health.
 The Product – What you sell is as important as how you sell it
 Sales and Product Performance – You can have the best product in the world,
but you also need to be able to show that it’s the best.
Value vs Valuation
 Amazon Businesses have one of the widest deltas of any business valuation
 This gap is especially wide for businesses that are 100% FBA
 Multiples tend to vary from 1.4x – 5.3x annual SDE (Seller’s Discretionary Earnings)
 In a perfect market, turnover and cash flow rule everything
 The reality is different and important metrics are plentiful
 Great businesses often don’t get a good valuation because of secondary factors
 Two components to a business valuation: Market Demand and Business’s Value
 Both need to be factored in to determine a realistic selling price
The Market
 1) Your Primary Market
 Some Amazon markets perform better than others
 North America almost always wins.
 2) Amazon Monogamy
 Do you sell exclusively on Amazon or elsewhere as well?
 Businesses that also sell off-Amazon get higher valuations
 3) FBA or FBM
 The market prefers 100% FBA setups due to the simplicity and the lack of “moving
parts”
The Business (Part 1 of 3)
 4) Your Workload
 No-one wants to buy themselves a (poorly paid) job
 Businesses with little to no owner involvement hit the highest multiples
 5) Employee Count
 Number of employees plays a role if you’re doing over $250k in revenue
 Too many and too few are both bad. Need to get it just right.
 6) Employee Location
 US buyers prefer employees who are physically in the US, even if working remotely.
The Business (Part 2 of 3)
 7) Employee Type
 Remote employees valued much higher than office-based
 Having an office is great for culture, but reduces the buyer pool geographically.
 8) Number of Vendors
 A “good” number won’t increase your valuation, but too many or too few can
reduce it.
 Having only one vendor poses a threat
 Having too many vendors adds additional complexity to day-to-day ops
 9) Vendor Location
 US and China are mostly preferred
The Business (Part 3 of 3)
 10) Business Location
 Most buyers are based in the US and strongly prefer US-based businesses
 Liability and due diligence remain the biggest issue with cross-the-border deals
 Being able to get an SBA loan is also a major consideration for acquisitions between
$500k and $2 Million.
 11) Separate Company Accounts
 Co-mingling the financials of several businesses can be detrimental to a valuation
 SBA lenders tend to refuse such deals straight away
 12) Business Age
 The older the business, the easier it is to predict its future success
 Less important beyond 5 years
The Product (Part 1 of 4)
 13) Inventory Turnaround
 Low $ amount in inventory (in relation to profit) is attractive to buyers
 Too fast inventory turnaround increases risk
 14) Profit Margin
 A high margin means resilience against the unexpected
 15) Product Diversity
 Relying on a single product for more than 80% of your sales is fatal
The Product (Part 2 of 4)
 16) Product Uniqueness
 Unique products increase competitive edge
 It’s also indicative of sustainable margins
 17) Product Design
 Like unique products, a unique design adds a premium to your business
 Private label products suffer as competition can do the same
 18) Patents and Trademarks
 Uniqueness is an asset, but being able to protect it is bankable
 Trademarks are increasingly important as they protect against listing hijacking
The Product (Part 3 of 4)
 19) Total Number of SKUs
 Too few SKUs and your business appears risky
 Too many and buyers will perceive it as a lot of overhead
 20) Percentage of New SKUs
 Stability is always good
 The longer your current best-performing products have been in existence, the
better
 This becomes a little less of an issue in case of a large variety of SKUs
The Product (Part 4 of 4)
 21) Product Category
 Most attractive categories are evergreen and resilient to trends
(Cookware, baby products, gardening tools, etc.)
 Least attractive categories are those that are highly commoditized or have low
margins.
(Consumer electronics, automotive parts and video games are all bad)
 22) Category Span
 Always focus on brand value
 A good brand is more difficult to build across various categories
 Most buyers want to specialize
Performance (Part 1 of 2)
 23) Sales Trend
 A year-over-year increase in sales is a big value-add
 Sales trending downwards can severely damage the business’s valuation
 24) Repeat Orders
 More repeat orders means more predictability
 Higher barrier to entry is also a consideration
 25) Seasonality
 Seasonal businesses boast much lower valuations due to the increased risk and
capital deployment requirements
Performance (Part 2 of 2)
 26) Product Review Count
 On Amazon, reviews are everything
 Product portfolios with a lot of reviews always sell for a premium
 The fewer reviews you have, the lower the barrier to entry
 Review quality also plays a role. Bought reviews are easy to identify
 27) Average Review Score
 High review count is only useful if the reviews are positive
 A review score of <3.5 generally means a distressed asset and is valued accordingly
Give our Valuation Tool a try:
https://TheFBAGuys.com
Liked it? Share it!
More information:
Bryan O’Neil
Founder & CEO
E-mail: bryan@bryanoneil.com
Web: https://TheFBAGuys.com

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The 27 Amazon FBA Business Valuation Metrics That Actually Matter

  • 1. The 27 Amazon FBA Business Metrics that actually matter Bryan O’Neil TheFBAGuys.com
  • 2. How do we know this stuff?  24 years of combined experience in Online Business Valuations and Business Brokrage.  In 2018, launched an Amazon FBA Business Valuation tool  First-hand data of over 3,400 Amazon businesses  The largest and most accurate data set that anyone has
  • 3. Overview  Value vs Valuation – Value is not the same as Valuation & ranges vary wildly  The Market – Your business’s market influences its valuation directly  The Business – The majority of valuation metrics are related to the Business and its health.  The Product – What you sell is as important as how you sell it  Sales and Product Performance – You can have the best product in the world, but you also need to be able to show that it’s the best.
  • 4. Value vs Valuation  Amazon Businesses have one of the widest deltas of any business valuation  This gap is especially wide for businesses that are 100% FBA  Multiples tend to vary from 1.4x – 5.3x annual SDE (Seller’s Discretionary Earnings)  In a perfect market, turnover and cash flow rule everything  The reality is different and important metrics are plentiful  Great businesses often don’t get a good valuation because of secondary factors  Two components to a business valuation: Market Demand and Business’s Value  Both need to be factored in to determine a realistic selling price
  • 5. The Market  1) Your Primary Market  Some Amazon markets perform better than others  North America almost always wins.  2) Amazon Monogamy  Do you sell exclusively on Amazon or elsewhere as well?  Businesses that also sell off-Amazon get higher valuations  3) FBA or FBM  The market prefers 100% FBA setups due to the simplicity and the lack of “moving parts”
  • 6. The Business (Part 1 of 3)  4) Your Workload  No-one wants to buy themselves a (poorly paid) job  Businesses with little to no owner involvement hit the highest multiples  5) Employee Count  Number of employees plays a role if you’re doing over $250k in revenue  Too many and too few are both bad. Need to get it just right.  6) Employee Location  US buyers prefer employees who are physically in the US, even if working remotely.
  • 7. The Business (Part 2 of 3)  7) Employee Type  Remote employees valued much higher than office-based  Having an office is great for culture, but reduces the buyer pool geographically.  8) Number of Vendors  A “good” number won’t increase your valuation, but too many or too few can reduce it.  Having only one vendor poses a threat  Having too many vendors adds additional complexity to day-to-day ops  9) Vendor Location  US and China are mostly preferred
  • 8. The Business (Part 3 of 3)  10) Business Location  Most buyers are based in the US and strongly prefer US-based businesses  Liability and due diligence remain the biggest issue with cross-the-border deals  Being able to get an SBA loan is also a major consideration for acquisitions between $500k and $2 Million.  11) Separate Company Accounts  Co-mingling the financials of several businesses can be detrimental to a valuation  SBA lenders tend to refuse such deals straight away  12) Business Age  The older the business, the easier it is to predict its future success  Less important beyond 5 years
  • 9. The Product (Part 1 of 4)  13) Inventory Turnaround  Low $ amount in inventory (in relation to profit) is attractive to buyers  Too fast inventory turnaround increases risk  14) Profit Margin  A high margin means resilience against the unexpected  15) Product Diversity  Relying on a single product for more than 80% of your sales is fatal
  • 10. The Product (Part 2 of 4)  16) Product Uniqueness  Unique products increase competitive edge  It’s also indicative of sustainable margins  17) Product Design  Like unique products, a unique design adds a premium to your business  Private label products suffer as competition can do the same  18) Patents and Trademarks  Uniqueness is an asset, but being able to protect it is bankable  Trademarks are increasingly important as they protect against listing hijacking
  • 11. The Product (Part 3 of 4)  19) Total Number of SKUs  Too few SKUs and your business appears risky  Too many and buyers will perceive it as a lot of overhead  20) Percentage of New SKUs  Stability is always good  The longer your current best-performing products have been in existence, the better  This becomes a little less of an issue in case of a large variety of SKUs
  • 12. The Product (Part 4 of 4)  21) Product Category  Most attractive categories are evergreen and resilient to trends (Cookware, baby products, gardening tools, etc.)  Least attractive categories are those that are highly commoditized or have low margins. (Consumer electronics, automotive parts and video games are all bad)  22) Category Span  Always focus on brand value  A good brand is more difficult to build across various categories  Most buyers want to specialize
  • 13. Performance (Part 1 of 2)  23) Sales Trend  A year-over-year increase in sales is a big value-add  Sales trending downwards can severely damage the business’s valuation  24) Repeat Orders  More repeat orders means more predictability  Higher barrier to entry is also a consideration  25) Seasonality  Seasonal businesses boast much lower valuations due to the increased risk and capital deployment requirements
  • 14. Performance (Part 2 of 2)  26) Product Review Count  On Amazon, reviews are everything  Product portfolios with a lot of reviews always sell for a premium  The fewer reviews you have, the lower the barrier to entry  Review quality also plays a role. Bought reviews are easy to identify  27) Average Review Score  High review count is only useful if the reviews are positive  A review score of <3.5 generally means a distressed asset and is valued accordingly
  • 15. Give our Valuation Tool a try: https://TheFBAGuys.com Liked it? Share it! More information: Bryan O’Neil Founder & CEO E-mail: bryan@bryanoneil.com Web: https://TheFBAGuys.com