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Stellar	
  Energy	
  GP,	
  Inc.	
  
                                                          1500	
  Valley	
  House	
  Drive,	
  Suite	
  210	
  
                                                                       Rohnert	
  Park,	
  CA	
  	
  94928	
  




        Overview	
  of	
  Solar	
  Power	
  Purchase	
  Agreements	
  (PPAs)	
  
Presented	
  by	
  MaO	
  Lugar,	
  Vice	
  President	
  of	
  Sales,	
  Stellar	
  Energy	
  

                                      for	
  the	
  Center	
  for	
  Sustainable	
  Energy	
  

                                                                               May	
  10,	
  2010	
  
                                                                                                         1
Agenda	
  

•    Introduc*on	
  
•    A	
  brief	
  history	
  of	
  Renewable	
  Energy	
  (RE)	
  Finance	
  
•    Financial	
  structures	
  available	
  for	
  solar	
  projects	
  
•    Focus	
  on	
  Power	
  Purchase	
  Agreements	
  (PPAs)	
  
      –  Opportunity	
  /	
  Host	
  Qualifica*on	
  
      –  PPA	
  	
  General	
  Terms	
  and	
  “Anatomy”	
  of	
  the	
  PPA	
  
      –  The	
  “Value	
  of	
  Solar	
  Energy”	
  
      –  Solar	
  PPAs	
  versus	
  “The	
  Grid”	
  
      –  Financial	
  Analysis	
  
                                                                                   2
About	
  Stellar	
  Energy	
  
General	
  IntroducQon	
  
•  Founded	
  in	
  2004	
                                     •  Top	
  15	
  EPC	
  provider	
  in	
  2008	
  and	
  
                                                                  2009	
  on	
  California	
  Solar	
  Ini*a*ve	
  
•  Headquartered	
  in	
  Rohnert	
  Park,	
                      (CSI)	
  list	
  
   California	
  
                                                               •  Acquired	
  by	
  ITOCHU	
  Interna*onal	
  in	
  
•  EPC	
  contractor	
  (Engineering,	
                           2009,	
  a	
  Global	
  500	
  company	
  with	
  
                                                                  over	
  $36	
  billion	
  in	
  revenues	
  
   Procurement,	
  Construc*on),	
  
   licensed	
  in	
  mul*ple	
  states	
  

•  Specializing	
  in	
  commercial	
  and	
  
   u*lity	
  grade	
  solar	
  energy	
  plants	
  

•  Clients	
  include	
  municipal,	
  
   agriculture,	
  manufacturing,	
  mining	
  
   and	
  commercial	
  opera*ons	
  

•  In	
  2008,	
  completed	
  the	
  largest	
  solar	
  
   installa*on	
  on	
  a	
  winery	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
   for	
  Foster’s	
  Wine	
  Estates	
  Americas	
  
                                                                                                                          3
IntroducQon	
  
What	
  can	
  solar	
  energy	
  do	
  for	
  organizaQons?	
  


•  Save	
  money	
  
      o  Solar	
  energy	
  offsets	
  more	
  expensive	
  u*lity	
  rates	
  during	
  peak	
  hours	
  of	
  
         the	
  day…	
  net	
  metering	
  credits	
  
•  Hedge	
  energy	
  costs	
  
      o  The	
  “fuel”	
  from	
  sunlight	
  is	
  free	
  unlike	
  tradi*onal	
  fuels	
  such	
  as	
  coal,	
  
         natural	
  gas	
  and	
  nuclear…	
  opera*ng	
  costs	
  do	
  not	
  fluctuate	
  over	
  *me	
  
•  Predictable	
  opera*ng	
  costs	
  
      o  You	
  know	
  what	
  you	
  are	
  paying	
  for	
  your	
  solar	
  energy	
  kWh	
  from	
  day	
  one	
  
         through	
  the	
  life	
  of	
  the	
  system…	
  easier	
  for	
  budget	
  planning	
  
•  Improve	
  corporate	
  “green”	
  or	
  sustainable	
  image	
  
      o  The	
  “green	
  revolu*on”	
  is	
  real	
  
      o  Huge	
  marke*ng	
  dollars	
  are	
  being	
  spent	
  by	
  organiza*ons	
  going	
  “green”	
  
      o  Solar	
  allows	
  you	
  to	
  be	
  “green”	
  and	
  save	
  “green”	
  at	
  the	
  same	
  *me	
  
                                                                                                                       4
Brief	
  History	
  of	
  RE	
  Finance	
  	
  
 Timeline	
  
•  2000	
  –	
  Solar	
  incen*ves	
  become	
  prolific	
  in	
  CA	
  and	
  some	
  other	
  states	
  soon	
  to	
  
   follow	
  
•  2000	
  to	
  2003	
  –	
  Solar	
  projects	
  s*ll	
  rela*vely	
  small	
  but	
  growing…	
  banks	
  
   become	
  more	
  interested	
  as	
  project	
  size	
  increases	
  with	
  aggressive	
  developers	
  
•  2004	
  –	
  Launch	
  of	
  the	
  early	
  “giants”	
  of	
  solar	
  PPAs	
  who	
  pioneered	
  the	
  model	
  
   with	
  both	
  customers	
  and	
  the	
  banks	
  behind	
  the	
  transac*ons	
  
•  2007	
  –	
  Wave	
  of	
  venture	
  backed	
  solar	
  financing	
  start-­‐ups	
  hits	
  the	
  US	
  
•  2007	
  to	
  2008	
  –	
  Hyper-­‐compe**on	
  is	
  rampant…	
  many	
  un-­‐bankable	
  deals	
  
•  2009	
  –	
  Global	
  financial	
  crisis	
  sends	
  large	
  commercial	
  solar	
  project	
  financing	
  
   into	
  a	
  tailspin…	
  weathering	
  the	
  storm	
  is	
  difficult	
  
•  2010	
  –	
  Financial	
  markets	
  are	
  sojening	
  again,	
  and	
  PPAs	
  and	
  leases	
  return	
  to	
  
   the	
  forefront	
  of	
  commercial	
  solar	
  PV	
  systems	
  
•  Beyond	
  2010	
  –	
  Projects	
  will	
  con*nue	
  to	
  get	
  larger…	
  wholesale	
  PPAs	
  (provider	
  
   direct	
  to	
  u*lity)	
  will	
  become	
  more	
  common…	
  more	
  strict	
  credit	
  constraints	
  
   for	
  DG	
  hosts	
  	
                                                                                       5
Brief	
  History	
  of	
  RE	
  Finance	
  	
  
Global	
  Asset	
  Financing	
  for	
  New	
  Clean	
  Energy	
  Assets	
  ($B)	
  
Brief	
  History	
  of	
  RE	
  Finance	
  	
  
2007	
  to	
  Present	
  
Financial	
  Structures	
  Available	
  for	
  Solar	
  
Primary	
  Types	
  of	
  Financial	
  Structures	
  

  •  Capital	
  Purchase	
  (Cash)	
  
       o  Use	
  your	
  corporate	
  liquid	
  capital	
  or	
  loans	
  (on	
  balance	
  sheet)	
  to	
  install	
  solar	
  
       o  You	
  own	
  and	
  operate/maintain	
  (O&M)	
  the	
  power	
  plant	
  
       o  Financial	
  analysis	
  centered	
  around	
  IRR	
  and	
  ROI	
  calcula*ons	
  
  •  Power	
  Purchase	
  Agreement	
  (PPA)	
  
       o  Third	
  party	
  owns	
  and	
  operates/maintains	
  (O&M)	
  the	
  solar	
  power	
  plant	
  –	
  zero	
  
          capital	
  outlay	
  for	
  your	
  organiza*on	
  
       o  You	
  buy	
  only	
  kilowao-­‐hours	
  (kWh),	
  similar	
  to	
  how	
  you	
  buy	
  energy	
  from	
  your	
  
          electric	
  u*lity	
  
       o  Financial	
  analysis	
  is	
  centered	
  around	
  cash	
  flows	
  and	
  determina*on	
  of	
  
          immediate	
  savings	
  poten*al	
  
  •  Lease	
  (Opera*ng	
  Leases	
  or	
  “Off	
  Balance	
  Sheet”)	
  
       o  Third	
  party	
  owns	
  the	
  power	
  plant,	
  but	
  you	
  are	
  typically	
  responsible	
  for	
  O&M	
  
          –	
  zero	
  capital	
  outlay,	
  typically	
  off	
  balance	
  sheet	
  opera*ng	
  leases	
  
       o  Typically	
  you	
  pay	
  a	
  fixed	
  monthly	
  fee	
  (not	
  *ed	
  to	
  kWh	
  produc*on)	
  for	
  term	
  of	
  
          contract	
  (~10	
  years)	
  
       o  Financial	
  analysis	
  is	
  centered	
  around	
  cash	
  flows	
  and	
  determina*on	
  of	
  
          immediate	
  savings	
  poten*al	
  
                                                                                                                                   8
Financial	
  Structures	
  Available	
  for	
  Solar	
  
End	
  User	
  Comparison	
  of	
  Financial	
  Structures	
  

CharacterisQcs	
                                                  Capital	
  Purchase	
  (Cash)	
                                                            PPA	
                                                Lease	
  	
  
Upfront	
  Capital	
  Requirement	
                         Yes	
                                                               No	
                                                  No	
  

System	
  Performance	
  Risk	
  	
                         Yes	
  –	
  The	
  owner	
  is	
  responsible	
  if	
  the	
        No	
  –	
  PPA	
  provider	
  has	
  ongoing	
        Yes	
  –	
  The	
  lessee	
  /	
  host	
  is	
  
                                                            system	
  does	
  not	
  perform	
                                  responsibility	
  to	
  ensure	
  the	
  system	
     responsible	
  if	
  the	
  system	
  does	
  not	
  
                                                                                                                                con*nues	
  to	
  operate	
  as	
  required	
  	
     perform	
  


Ongoing	
  Payments	
                                       Fixed	
  monthly	
  fee	
  if	
  financed	
  through	
  a	
          Ongoing	
  payments	
  *ed	
  to	
  electricity	
     Fixed	
  monthly	
  fee	
  -­‐	
  	
  the	
  lessee	
  
                                                            loan	
                                                              produced	
  by	
  the	
  facility	
                   bears	
  the	
  increased	
  cost	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                      electricity	
  in	
  a	
  poor	
  solar	
  month	
  
OpQmize	
  Tax	
  Benefits	
                                 No	
  –	
  Owner	
  may	
  not	
  get	
  full	
  benefit	
  if	
     Yes	
                                                 Yes	
  
                                                            unable	
  to	
  reduce	
  taxable	
  income	
  or	
  if	
  
                                                            government	
  or	
  not-­‐for	
  profit	
  	
  

Ongoing	
  Cost	
                                           Opera*ons,	
  maintenance	
  and	
  insurance	
                     No	
                                                  Opera*ons,	
  maintenance	
  and	
  
                                                            costs	
                                                                                                                   insurance	
  costs	
  


Guarantees/Liens	
  Required	
                              Probably	
  if	
  financed	
                                         No	
  (assuming	
  host	
  has	
  sufficient	
          Probably	
  
                                                                                                                                credit	
  ra*ng)	
  
Length	
  of	
  Contract	
                                  N/A	
                                                               20	
  –	
  25	
  years	
                              7	
  –	
  10	
  years	
  


Buyout	
  price	
  at	
  the	
  end	
  of	
  contract	
     N/A	
                                                               Fair	
  Market	
  Value	
                             Fair	
  Market	
  Value	
  	
  

Early	
  Buyout	
  	
                                       N/A	
                                                               Yes	
  –	
  ajer	
  year	
  7	
                       Yes	
  –	
  ajer	
  year	
  7	
  

OpQon	
  to	
  renew	
  	
                                  N/A	
                                                               Yes	
                                                 No	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                9
Customer	
  QualificaQon	
  
ConsideraQons	
  for	
  All	
  Medium	
  to	
  Large	
  Scale	
  Solar	
  Projects                       	
  
Includes,	
  but	
  not	
  limited	
  to:	
  
•  Geographic	
  loca*on…	
  financial	
  incen*ves	
  cri*cal	
  
•  Poten*al	
  customer	
  must	
  have	
  enough	
  physical	
  space	
  (roof/
     ground/other)	
  to	
  accommodate	
  enough	
  PV	
  for	
  their	
  
     historical	
  electrical	
  load	
                                                               www.dsireusa.org	
  
•  If	
  Capital	
  Purchase,	
  does	
  the	
  poten*al	
  customer	
  have	
  
     enough	
  tax	
  appe*te	
  to	
  mone*ze	
  the	
  ITC	
  (if	
  installa*on	
  
     begins	
  ajer	
  2010)?	
  

PPAs	
  (and	
  most	
  leases)	
  
•  Must	
  have	
  3	
  years	
  of	
  audited	
  financial	
  statements	
  available	
  
    for	
  review…	
  non-­‐starter	
  if	
  statements	
  are	
  not	
  audited	
  
•  Should	
  have	
  about	
  4	
  to	
  5	
  *mes	
  the	
  EPC	
  value	
  of	
  the	
  solar	
  
    project	
  in	
  their	
  Current	
  Assets,	
  less	
  inventories,	
  on	
  their	
  
    audited	
  financial	
  statements	
  (not	
  in	
  Total	
  Assets)	
  
•  Should	
  have	
  Current	
  Assets	
  greater	
  than	
  Total	
  Liabili*es	
  
    (eg.	
  a	
  “strong”	
  Current	
  Ra*o	
  greater	
  than	
  1).	
  	
  The	
  higher	
  
    the	
  Current	
  Ra*o,	
  the	
  beoer.	
  
•  S&P	
  ra*ng	
  of	
  BBB-­‐	
  or	
  beoer,	
  if	
  available	
  


                                                                                         10
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
Value	
  ProposiQon	
  for	
  the	
  Solar	
  PPA      	
  
 •  Providers’	
  primary	
  goal	
  is	
  to	
  deliver	
  solar	
  electricity	
  at	
  
    rates	
  lower	
  than	
  the	
  incumbent	
  u*lity	
  

 •  Solar	
  PPA	
  provider	
  and	
  EPC	
  contractor,	
  together,	
  handle	
  
    all	
  details	
  for	
  the	
  host	
  customer	
  
       –    Design	
  and	
  engineering	
  
       –    Construc*on	
  and	
  maintenance	
  
       –    Financing	
  and	
  RECs	
  
       –    Rebates	
  and	
  incen*ves	
  
       –    Energy	
  metering	
  and	
  billing	
  



 •  Predictable	
  electricity	
  rates	
  guaranteed	
  for	
  life	
  of	
  
    contract	
  

 •  LEED	
  points,	
  if	
  applicable	
  
                                                              11
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
Standard	
  PPA	
  Terms	
  
    Solar	
  PPA	
  provider	
  typically	
  proposes	
  20	
  year	
  PPA	
  terms…	
  15	
  or	
  25	
  
     years	
  some*mes	
  possible,	
  depending	
  on	
  source	
  of	
  funds	
  

    Early	
  purchase	
  or	
  buyout	
  op*ons	
  typically	
  star*ng	
  at	
  7th	
  anniversary	
  of	
  
     commercial	
  opera*on	
  of	
  facility	
  
          Banks/investors	
  need	
  about	
  6	
  years	
  to	
  mone*ze	
  all	
  incen*ves	
  
          Greater	
  of	
  Fair	
  market	
  Value	
  (FMV)	
  or	
  terminal	
  value	
  


    Fixed	
  Annual	
  Escalator	
  (eg.	
  4.5%	
  per	
  year)	
  
      or	
  7th	
  Year	
  “Step”	
  

    End-­‐of-­‐term	
  Op*ons	
  
          Renew	
  the	
  agreement	
  for	
  a	
  second	
  term	
  
          Purchase	
  the	
  system	
  outright	
  from	
  PPA	
  provider	
  at	
  the	
  Fair	
  Market	
  Value	
  price	
  
          Have	
  the	
  system	
  removed	
  at	
  PPA	
  provider’s	
  expense	
  

                                                                                                                                   12
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
Solar	
  Renewable	
  Energy	
  CerQficates	
  (SRECs)                   	
  
     Also	
  known	
  as	
  Green	
  tags,	
  Renewable	
  Energy	
  Credits,	
  Renewable	
  
      Electricity	
  Cer*ficates,	
  or	
  Tradable	
  Renewable	
  Cer*ficates	
  (TRCs)	
  
     Tradable,	
  non-­‐tangible	
  energy	
  commodi*es	
  in	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  that	
  
      represent	
  proof	
  that	
  1	
  megawao-­‐hour	
  (MWh)	
  of	
  electricity	
  was	
  
      generated	
  from	
  an	
  eligible	
  renewable	
  energy	
  resource	
  (renewable	
  
      electricity)	
  
     Can	
  be	
  sold,	
  traded	
  or	
  bartered	
  
     Owner	
  of	
  the	
  SRECs	
  can	
  claim	
  to	
  have	
  purchased	
  green,	
  renewable	
  
      energy	
  

     In	
  considera*on	
  of	
  PPAs,	
  ownership	
  of	
  the	
  SREC	
  represents	
  about	
  
      $0.01/kWh	
  (+/-­‐	
  $0.005/kWh)	
  on	
  the	
  PPA	
  start	
  rate	
  in	
  CA	
  
     SRECs	
  in	
  CA	
  are	
  much	
  lower	
  value	
  than	
  in	
  NJ,	
  for	
  example	
  (eg.	
  $15	
  to	
  
      $50/SREC	
  in	
  CA	
  vs.	
  $693+/SREC	
  in	
  NJ)	
  
                                                                                                                           13
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
  OperaQons	
  &	
  Maintenance	
  /	
  System	
  Performance	
  Monitoring                                               	
  
•  PPA	
  provider	
  responsible	
  for	
  all	
  O&M	
  for	
  en*re	
  term	
  of	
  contract	
  
•  If	
  system	
  not	
  opera*ng,	
  PPA	
  provider	
  will	
  lose	
  revenue	
  expected…	
  huge	
  
   mo*va*on	
  to	
  keep	
  system	
  opera*ng	
  at	
  peak	
  performance	
  
•  Typical	
  O&M	
  services:	
  
      •    Panel	
  cleanings	
  (with	
  or	
  without	
  water)…	
  2x	
  per	
  year	
  in	
  most	
  parts	
  of	
  CA	
  
      •    Torque	
  sewngs	
  in	
  inverter	
  and	
  combiner	
  boxes	
  
      •    Security	
  	
  


•  PPA	
  providers	
  use	
  same	
  performance	
  monitoring	
  equipment	
  as	
  specified	
  
   when	
  customer	
  purchasing	
  with	
  cash	
  /	
  capital,	
  such	
  as:	
  
      •    Energy	
  Recommerce	
  
      •    Fat	
  Spaniel	
  
      •    Draker	
  Labs	
  


                                                                                                                                 14
Anatomy	
  of	
  the	
  PPA	
  
  View	
  from	
  PPA	
  Provider	
                                     Parent	
  Company	
  
                                                                           Guarantee	
  	
  

                                               Construc*on	
                 Master	
  Lease	
  
                                           Financing	
  Agreement	
           Agreement	
  




                             Construc*on	
                                                       Project	
  Sale	
  
Insurance                       Loans	
                                                          Lease	
  Backs	
  



  Equip.
                               PPA	
  Provider	
  
 Vendors
                                Integrated	
  

  Design
 Engineer

   Sub
Contractors                Turnkey	
  EPC	
  


            O	
  &	
  M	
  Contracts	
                                                          PPAs,	
  Com.	
  Op.	
  
       Construc*on	
  Contracts	
                                                            PPAs,	
  Ini*al	
  Phase	
  


                                                                                                                            15
Anatomy	
  of	
  the	
  PPA	
  
View	
  from	
  Host	
  Customer	
  




                       Solar	
  PPA	
  contract	
  	
  




                                                          16
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
Value	
  of	
  Solar	
  kWh	
  vs.	
  Average	
  Cost	
  of	
  Energy  	
  
 •  This	
  is	
  a	
  founda*onal	
  concept	
  to	
  understand	
  

 •  Average	
  Cost	
  of	
  Energy	
  =	
  	
  
    	
  Total	
  Dollars	
  Spent	
  /	
  Total	
  kWh	
  Consumed	
  

 •  Value	
  of	
  Solar	
  kWh	
  (a.k.a.	
  avoided	
  cost)	
  =	
  	
  
    	
  Factor	
  of	
  Time	
  of	
  Use	
  (TOU)	
  rates	
  versus	
  Solar	
  Array	
  kWh	
  
        Produc*on	
  and	
  Net	
  Metering…	
  Savings	
  /	
  Solar	
  kWh	
  Produc*on	
  

 •  Under	
  net	
  metering,	
  the	
  u*lity	
  credits	
  the	
  host	
  customer	
  for	
  energy	
  
    generated	
  by	
  solar	
  arrays	
  at	
  retail	
  rates	
  

 •  Because	
  peak	
  TOU	
  rates	
  are	
  always	
  highest	
  during	
  the	
  day,	
  and	
  
    solar	
  energy	
  is	
  produced	
  during	
  this	
  most	
  expensive	
  *me	
  during	
  the	
  
    day,	
  the	
  host	
  realizes	
  CREDITS	
  from	
  the	
  u*lity	
  at	
  their	
  highest	
  rates	
  
    thus	
  driving	
  the	
  Value	
  of	
  Solar	
  kWh	
  higher	
  than	
  the	
  Average	
  Cost	
  of	
  
    Energy	
  
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
The	
  Value	
  of	
  Solar	
  kWh	
  or	
  JusQficaQon	
  of	
  PPA	
  Rate   	
  

                                          Typical Commercial Load Profile




                                           Solar Array Production Profile




                                                                                     18
From	
  LBNL	
  report,	
  “ The	
  Impact	
  of	
  Retail	
  Rate	
  Structures	
  on	
  the	
  Economics	
  of	
  Commercial	
  Photovoltaic	
  Systems	
  in	
  California”,	
  July	
  2007	
  
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
JusQficaQon	
  of	
  Annual	
  Escalator                                          	
  
                                            Average Electricity Price in Key Solar PPA States
                                                                            (CA, NJ, AZ, PA, CO, NV, MA, CT)
               $0.14


               $0.12


               $0.10


               $0.08
       $/kWh




               $0.06


               $0.04


               $0.02


               $0.00
                   1970                   1975                      1980                      1985                      1990                      1995                      2000                        2005
                                                                                                           Year
                       U.S.	
  Government	
  Energy	
  Informa*on	
  Administra*on,	
  official	
  energy	
  sta*s*cs.	
  State	
  energy	
  consump*on,	
  price	
  and	
  expenditure	
  es*mates	
  
                       (SEDS).	
  Complete	
  2005	
  data,	
  released	
  February	
  29,	
  2008.	
  hop://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/_seds.html	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                               20
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
JusQficaQon	
  of	
  Annual	
  Escalator   	
  
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
JusQficaQon	
  of	
  Annual	
  Escalator   	
  




                                                 22
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
     Hedging	
  Against	
  VolaQlity	
  

                                                            Average Price Change
                                                      Electricity in Key Solar PPA States
                 50%

                 45%

                 40%

                 35%

                 30%

                 25%
Percent Change




                 20%

                 15%

                 10%

                  5%

                  0%

                 -5%

                 -10%
                        1970                  1975                     1980                     1985                    1990                     1995                     2000                 2005
                                                                                                       Year

                          U.S.	
  Government	
  Energy	
  Informa*on	
  Administra*on,	
  official	
  energy	
  sta*s*cs.	
  State	
  energy	
  consump*on,	
  price	
  and	
  expenditure	
  
                          es*mates	
  (SEDS).	
  Complete	
  2005	
  data,	
  released	
  February	
  29,	
  2008.	
  hop://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/_seds.html	
  


                                                                                                                                                                                                      23
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
Financial	
  Analysis	
  –	
  25	
  year	
  term,	
  fixed	
  annual	
  escalator   	
  
Focus	
  on	
  PPAs	
  
Financial	
  Analysis	
  –	
  25	
  year	
  term,	
  7th	
  year	
  “step”	
  escalator   	
  
Per	
  Unit	
  Energy	
  Cost	
  Comparison	
  
25	
  Years,	
  No	
  Solar	
  vs.	
  With	
  Solar	
  
QuesQons?	
  
Thank	
  you.	
  
     Stellar	
  Energy	
  has	
  delivered	
  safe,	
  reliable,	
  clean	
  energy	
  to	
  a	
  diverse	
  range	
  of	
  
   businesses	
  and	
  ins9tu9ons	
  including	
  industrial	
  complexes,	
  government	
  facili9es,	
  
   mines,	
  distribu9on	
  warehouses,	
  wineries,	
  offices,	
  and	
  food	
  processing	
  facili9es.	
  



   MaO	
  Lugar,	
  Vice	
  President	
  of	
  Sales	
  

   Stellar	
  Energy	
  GP,	
  Inc.	
  
   1500	
  Valley	
  House	
  Drive	
  
   Suite	
  210	
  
   Rohnert	
  Park,	
  California	
  94928	
  

   mao.lugar@stellarenegy.com,	
  email	
  
   (707)	
  992-­‐3208,	
  direct	
  work	
  
   (650)	
  833-­‐9008,	
  mobile             	
  	
  

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PPA Overview_5.10.2010

  • 1. Stellar  Energy  GP,  Inc.   1500  Valley  House  Drive,  Suite  210   Rohnert  Park,  CA    94928   Overview  of  Solar  Power  Purchase  Agreements  (PPAs)   Presented  by  MaO  Lugar,  Vice  President  of  Sales,  Stellar  Energy   for  the  Center  for  Sustainable  Energy   May  10,  2010   1
  • 2. Agenda   •  Introduc*on   •  A  brief  history  of  Renewable  Energy  (RE)  Finance   •  Financial  structures  available  for  solar  projects   •  Focus  on  Power  Purchase  Agreements  (PPAs)   –  Opportunity  /  Host  Qualifica*on   –  PPA    General  Terms  and  “Anatomy”  of  the  PPA   –  The  “Value  of  Solar  Energy”   –  Solar  PPAs  versus  “The  Grid”   –  Financial  Analysis   2
  • 3. About  Stellar  Energy   General  IntroducQon   •  Founded  in  2004   •  Top  15  EPC  provider  in  2008  and   2009  on  California  Solar  Ini*a*ve   •  Headquartered  in  Rohnert  Park,   (CSI)  list   California   •  Acquired  by  ITOCHU  Interna*onal  in   •  EPC  contractor  (Engineering,   2009,  a  Global  500  company  with   over  $36  billion  in  revenues   Procurement,  Construc*on),   licensed  in  mul*ple  states   •  Specializing  in  commercial  and   u*lity  grade  solar  energy  plants   •  Clients  include  municipal,   agriculture,  manufacturing,  mining   and  commercial  opera*ons   •  In  2008,  completed  the  largest  solar   installa*on  on  a  winery  in  the  U.S.   for  Foster’s  Wine  Estates  Americas   3
  • 4. IntroducQon   What  can  solar  energy  do  for  organizaQons?   •  Save  money   o  Solar  energy  offsets  more  expensive  u*lity  rates  during  peak  hours  of   the  day…  net  metering  credits   •  Hedge  energy  costs   o  The  “fuel”  from  sunlight  is  free  unlike  tradi*onal  fuels  such  as  coal,   natural  gas  and  nuclear…  opera*ng  costs  do  not  fluctuate  over  *me   •  Predictable  opera*ng  costs   o  You  know  what  you  are  paying  for  your  solar  energy  kWh  from  day  one   through  the  life  of  the  system…  easier  for  budget  planning   •  Improve  corporate  “green”  or  sustainable  image   o  The  “green  revolu*on”  is  real   o  Huge  marke*ng  dollars  are  being  spent  by  organiza*ons  going  “green”   o  Solar  allows  you  to  be  “green”  and  save  “green”  at  the  same  *me   4
  • 5. Brief  History  of  RE  Finance     Timeline   •  2000  –  Solar  incen*ves  become  prolific  in  CA  and  some  other  states  soon  to   follow   •  2000  to  2003  –  Solar  projects  s*ll  rela*vely  small  but  growing…  banks   become  more  interested  as  project  size  increases  with  aggressive  developers   •  2004  –  Launch  of  the  early  “giants”  of  solar  PPAs  who  pioneered  the  model   with  both  customers  and  the  banks  behind  the  transac*ons   •  2007  –  Wave  of  venture  backed  solar  financing  start-­‐ups  hits  the  US   •  2007  to  2008  –  Hyper-­‐compe**on  is  rampant…  many  un-­‐bankable  deals   •  2009  –  Global  financial  crisis  sends  large  commercial  solar  project  financing   into  a  tailspin…  weathering  the  storm  is  difficult   •  2010  –  Financial  markets  are  sojening  again,  and  PPAs  and  leases  return  to   the  forefront  of  commercial  solar  PV  systems   •  Beyond  2010  –  Projects  will  con*nue  to  get  larger…  wholesale  PPAs  (provider   direct  to  u*lity)  will  become  more  common…  more  strict  credit  constraints   for  DG  hosts     5
  • 6. Brief  History  of  RE  Finance     Global  Asset  Financing  for  New  Clean  Energy  Assets  ($B)  
  • 7. Brief  History  of  RE  Finance     2007  to  Present  
  • 8. Financial  Structures  Available  for  Solar   Primary  Types  of  Financial  Structures   •  Capital  Purchase  (Cash)   o  Use  your  corporate  liquid  capital  or  loans  (on  balance  sheet)  to  install  solar   o  You  own  and  operate/maintain  (O&M)  the  power  plant   o  Financial  analysis  centered  around  IRR  and  ROI  calcula*ons   •  Power  Purchase  Agreement  (PPA)   o  Third  party  owns  and  operates/maintains  (O&M)  the  solar  power  plant  –  zero   capital  outlay  for  your  organiza*on   o  You  buy  only  kilowao-­‐hours  (kWh),  similar  to  how  you  buy  energy  from  your   electric  u*lity   o  Financial  analysis  is  centered  around  cash  flows  and  determina*on  of   immediate  savings  poten*al   •  Lease  (Opera*ng  Leases  or  “Off  Balance  Sheet”)   o  Third  party  owns  the  power  plant,  but  you  are  typically  responsible  for  O&M   –  zero  capital  outlay,  typically  off  balance  sheet  opera*ng  leases   o  Typically  you  pay  a  fixed  monthly  fee  (not  *ed  to  kWh  produc*on)  for  term  of   contract  (~10  years)   o  Financial  analysis  is  centered  around  cash  flows  and  determina*on  of   immediate  savings  poten*al   8
  • 9. Financial  Structures  Available  for  Solar   End  User  Comparison  of  Financial  Structures   CharacterisQcs   Capital  Purchase  (Cash)   PPA   Lease     Upfront  Capital  Requirement   Yes   No   No   System  Performance  Risk     Yes  –  The  owner  is  responsible  if  the   No  –  PPA  provider  has  ongoing   Yes  –  The  lessee  /  host  is   system  does  not  perform   responsibility  to  ensure  the  system   responsible  if  the  system  does  not   con*nues  to  operate  as  required     perform   Ongoing  Payments   Fixed  monthly  fee  if  financed  through  a   Ongoing  payments  *ed  to  electricity   Fixed  monthly  fee  -­‐    the  lessee   loan   produced  by  the  facility   bears  the  increased  cost  of   electricity  in  a  poor  solar  month   OpQmize  Tax  Benefits   No  –  Owner  may  not  get  full  benefit  if   Yes   Yes   unable  to  reduce  taxable  income  or  if   government  or  not-­‐for  profit     Ongoing  Cost   Opera*ons,  maintenance  and  insurance   No   Opera*ons,  maintenance  and   costs   insurance  costs   Guarantees/Liens  Required   Probably  if  financed   No  (assuming  host  has  sufficient   Probably   credit  ra*ng)   Length  of  Contract   N/A   20  –  25  years   7  –  10  years   Buyout  price  at  the  end  of  contract   N/A   Fair  Market  Value   Fair  Market  Value     Early  Buyout     N/A   Yes  –  ajer  year  7   Yes  –  ajer  year  7   OpQon  to  renew     N/A   Yes   No   9
  • 10. Customer  QualificaQon   ConsideraQons  for  All  Medium  to  Large  Scale  Solar  Projects   Includes,  but  not  limited  to:   •  Geographic  loca*on…  financial  incen*ves  cri*cal   •  Poten*al  customer  must  have  enough  physical  space  (roof/ ground/other)  to  accommodate  enough  PV  for  their   historical  electrical  load   www.dsireusa.org   •  If  Capital  Purchase,  does  the  poten*al  customer  have   enough  tax  appe*te  to  mone*ze  the  ITC  (if  installa*on   begins  ajer  2010)?   PPAs  (and  most  leases)   •  Must  have  3  years  of  audited  financial  statements  available   for  review…  non-­‐starter  if  statements  are  not  audited   •  Should  have  about  4  to  5  *mes  the  EPC  value  of  the  solar   project  in  their  Current  Assets,  less  inventories,  on  their   audited  financial  statements  (not  in  Total  Assets)   •  Should  have  Current  Assets  greater  than  Total  Liabili*es   (eg.  a  “strong”  Current  Ra*o  greater  than  1).    The  higher   the  Current  Ra*o,  the  beoer.   •  S&P  ra*ng  of  BBB-­‐  or  beoer,  if  available   10
  • 11. Focus  on  PPAs   Value  ProposiQon  for  the  Solar  PPA   •  Providers’  primary  goal  is  to  deliver  solar  electricity  at   rates  lower  than  the  incumbent  u*lity   •  Solar  PPA  provider  and  EPC  contractor,  together,  handle   all  details  for  the  host  customer   –  Design  and  engineering   –  Construc*on  and  maintenance   –  Financing  and  RECs   –  Rebates  and  incen*ves   –  Energy  metering  and  billing   •  Predictable  electricity  rates  guaranteed  for  life  of   contract   •  LEED  points,  if  applicable   11
  • 12. Focus  on  PPAs   Standard  PPA  Terms     Solar  PPA  provider  typically  proposes  20  year  PPA  terms…  15  or  25   years  some*mes  possible,  depending  on  source  of  funds     Early  purchase  or  buyout  op*ons  typically  star*ng  at  7th  anniversary  of   commercial  opera*on  of  facility     Banks/investors  need  about  6  years  to  mone*ze  all  incen*ves     Greater  of  Fair  market  Value  (FMV)  or  terminal  value     Fixed  Annual  Escalator  (eg.  4.5%  per  year)   or  7th  Year  “Step”     End-­‐of-­‐term  Op*ons     Renew  the  agreement  for  a  second  term     Purchase  the  system  outright  from  PPA  provider  at  the  Fair  Market  Value  price     Have  the  system  removed  at  PPA  provider’s  expense   12
  • 13. Focus  on  PPAs   Solar  Renewable  Energy  CerQficates  (SRECs)     Also  known  as  Green  tags,  Renewable  Energy  Credits,  Renewable   Electricity  Cer*ficates,  or  Tradable  Renewable  Cer*ficates  (TRCs)     Tradable,  non-­‐tangible  energy  commodi*es  in  the  United  States  that   represent  proof  that  1  megawao-­‐hour  (MWh)  of  electricity  was   generated  from  an  eligible  renewable  energy  resource  (renewable   electricity)     Can  be  sold,  traded  or  bartered     Owner  of  the  SRECs  can  claim  to  have  purchased  green,  renewable   energy     In  considera*on  of  PPAs,  ownership  of  the  SREC  represents  about   $0.01/kWh  (+/-­‐  $0.005/kWh)  on  the  PPA  start  rate  in  CA     SRECs  in  CA  are  much  lower  value  than  in  NJ,  for  example  (eg.  $15  to   $50/SREC  in  CA  vs.  $693+/SREC  in  NJ)   13
  • 14. Focus  on  PPAs   OperaQons  &  Maintenance  /  System  Performance  Monitoring   •  PPA  provider  responsible  for  all  O&M  for  en*re  term  of  contract   •  If  system  not  opera*ng,  PPA  provider  will  lose  revenue  expected…  huge   mo*va*on  to  keep  system  opera*ng  at  peak  performance   •  Typical  O&M  services:   •  Panel  cleanings  (with  or  without  water)…  2x  per  year  in  most  parts  of  CA   •  Torque  sewngs  in  inverter  and  combiner  boxes   •  Security     •  PPA  providers  use  same  performance  monitoring  equipment  as  specified   when  customer  purchasing  with  cash  /  capital,  such  as:   •  Energy  Recommerce   •  Fat  Spaniel   •  Draker  Labs   14
  • 15. Anatomy  of  the  PPA   View  from  PPA  Provider   Parent  Company   Guarantee     Construc*on   Master  Lease   Financing  Agreement   Agreement   Construc*on   Project  Sale   Insurance Loans   Lease  Backs   Equip. PPA  Provider   Vendors Integrated   Design Engineer Sub Contractors Turnkey  EPC   O  &  M  Contracts   PPAs,  Com.  Op.   Construc*on  Contracts   PPAs,  Ini*al  Phase   15
  • 16. Anatomy  of  the  PPA   View  from  Host  Customer   Solar  PPA  contract     16
  • 17. Focus  on  PPAs   Value  of  Solar  kWh  vs.  Average  Cost  of  Energy   •  This  is  a  founda*onal  concept  to  understand   •  Average  Cost  of  Energy  =      Total  Dollars  Spent  /  Total  kWh  Consumed   •  Value  of  Solar  kWh  (a.k.a.  avoided  cost)  =      Factor  of  Time  of  Use  (TOU)  rates  versus  Solar  Array  kWh   Produc*on  and  Net  Metering…  Savings  /  Solar  kWh  Produc*on   •  Under  net  metering,  the  u*lity  credits  the  host  customer  for  energy   generated  by  solar  arrays  at  retail  rates   •  Because  peak  TOU  rates  are  always  highest  during  the  day,  and   solar  energy  is  produced  during  this  most  expensive  *me  during  the   day,  the  host  realizes  CREDITS  from  the  u*lity  at  their  highest  rates   thus  driving  the  Value  of  Solar  kWh  higher  than  the  Average  Cost  of   Energy  
  • 18. Focus  on  PPAs   The  Value  of  Solar  kWh  or  JusQficaQon  of  PPA  Rate   Typical Commercial Load Profile Solar Array Production Profile 18
  • 19. From  LBNL  report,  “ The  Impact  of  Retail  Rate  Structures  on  the  Economics  of  Commercial  Photovoltaic  Systems  in  California”,  July  2007  
  • 20. Focus  on  PPAs   JusQficaQon  of  Annual  Escalator   Average Electricity Price in Key Solar PPA States (CA, NJ, AZ, PA, CO, NV, MA, CT) $0.14 $0.12 $0.10 $0.08 $/kWh $0.06 $0.04 $0.02 $0.00 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year U.S.  Government  Energy  Informa*on  Administra*on,  official  energy  sta*s*cs.  State  energy  consump*on,  price  and  expenditure  es*mates   (SEDS).  Complete  2005  data,  released  February  29,  2008.  hop://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/_seds.html   20
  • 21. Focus  on  PPAs   JusQficaQon  of  Annual  Escalator  
  • 22. Focus  on  PPAs   JusQficaQon  of  Annual  Escalator   22
  • 23. Focus  on  PPAs   Hedging  Against  VolaQlity   Average Price Change Electricity in Key Solar PPA States 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% Percent Change 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year U.S.  Government  Energy  Informa*on  Administra*on,  official  energy  sta*s*cs.  State  energy  consump*on,  price  and  expenditure   es*mates  (SEDS).  Complete  2005  data,  released  February  29,  2008.  hop://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/_seds.html   23
  • 24. Focus  on  PPAs   Financial  Analysis  –  25  year  term,  fixed  annual  escalator  
  • 25. Focus  on  PPAs   Financial  Analysis  –  25  year  term,  7th  year  “step”  escalator  
  • 26. Per  Unit  Energy  Cost  Comparison   25  Years,  No  Solar  vs.  With  Solar  
  • 28. Thank  you.   Stellar  Energy  has  delivered  safe,  reliable,  clean  energy  to  a  diverse  range  of   businesses  and  ins9tu9ons  including  industrial  complexes,  government  facili9es,   mines,  distribu9on  warehouses,  wineries,  offices,  and  food  processing  facili9es.   MaO  Lugar,  Vice  President  of  Sales   Stellar  Energy  GP,  Inc.   1500  Valley  House  Drive   Suite  210   Rohnert  Park,  California  94928   mao.lugar@stellarenegy.com,  email   (707)  992-­‐3208,  direct  work   (650)  833-­‐9008,  mobile