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ENACTS: A New Technical Innovation to Meet Climate Information Needs

  1. ENACTS: A New Technical Innovation to Meet Climate Information Needs Tufa Dinku
  2. Outline I. What is ENACTS? 1. Improving Data Availability 2. Enhancing Access to Climate Information 3. Promoting the Use of Climate Information II. Major Outputs III. Next Phase
  3. I. The ENACTS Approach • ENACTS = Enhancing National Climate Services • Strives to simultaneously improve availability, access and use of climate information. • Works with NMHS to quality-control all available station data and combine them with satellite and reanalysis products. • The main focus of ENACTS is creation of reliable climate information products for local decision- making.
  4. The Three Pillars ENACTS Improve Availability • Build capacity of NMHS • Quality Control station data • Combine station data with proxies • Improve seasonal forecast E N A C T S Enhance Access • Install IRI Data Library •Develop online tools for data analysis and visualization • Create mechanisms for data sharing Promote Use Engage users: • Raise awareness • Build capacity of users to understand and use climate info • Involve users in product development
  5. 1. Improving Data Availability i. Assessing Data Availability This has helped the NMS look at their data in a completely different way
  6. Improving Data Availability Assessing Data Availability
  7. Improving Data Availability ii. Data Quality Control: Identifying erroneous observations
  8. Improving Data Availability Data Quality Control: Identifying erroneous observations
  9. Reconstructing Climate Time Series Data Quality Control: Identifying erroneous observations
  10. Improving Data Availability Data Quality Control: Identifying erroneous observations
  11. Improving Data Availability Data Quality Control: Identifying inhomogeneities
  12. Improving Data Availability Data Quality Control: Identifying inhomogeneities
  13. Improving Data Availability Station Satellite Combined Combining station data with proxies: Rainfall
  14. Reconstructing Climate Time Series Step 1: Downscale reanalysis product Combining station data with proxies: Temperature
  15. Reconstructing Climate Time Series Step 2: Combine station observation with downscales reanalysis Combining station data with proxies: Temperature
  16. 2. Improving Access: Map Rooms Data + IRIDL = Information products
  17. Improving Access: Climate Analysis Tool Monthly mean TMax
  18. Improving Access: Climate Analysis Tool
  19. Improving Access: Climate Monitoring Maproom From left to right: dekadal rainfall, dekadal rainfall anomaly, cumulative(since the start of the current season) anomaly, and the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) Dekadal rainfall Dekadal anomaly Cumulative anomaly SPI
  20. Improving Access: Climate Monitoring Maproom Cumulative anomaly: Jun to Oct(1st dek), 2015
  21. Improving Access: Climate Monitoring Tool
  22. Improving Access: Climate Forecast Tool i. Explore potential impacts of ENSO/IOD phases Probability of wet OND season during El Nino
  23. Improving Access: Climate Forecast Tool i. Explore potential impacts of different ENSO/IOD phases on rainfall: Historical ENSO Events Probability of wet OND during El Nino
  24. Improving Access: Climate Forecast Tool ii. Translates seasonal forecast from tercile to rainfall amounts +
  25. 3. Improving Use i. Awareness raising ii. Training iii. Involving users in product generation
  26. II. Major Outputs • Over 30/50-years of climate time series for every 4km grid across each country: o Now data available where there are no stations • Installation of the IRI Data Library at NMHS o A powerful tool for generating climate information • Unprecedented online access to information products: o Satisfies the needs of many users o Overcomes (partly) the challenges of data access • Built capacity at NMHS and some user communities
  27. ENACTS Countries Next: Kenya Uganda Malawi Mozambique ENACTS Countries: Ethiopia Gambia Ghana Madagascar Mali Rwanda Tanzania Zambia
  28. III. Next phase 1. Generate daily climate time series
  29. Next phase 3. Add sector-specific Maprooms: Agriculture, Water, Disaster, Health, … 2. Add more climate variables (RH, PET/ET, sunshine…) 4. Improve accuracy and presentation of seasonal climate prediction • Evaluate; • Improve; • Implement.
  30. Improving presentation of seasonal forecast
  31. Tufa Dinku tufa@iri.columbia.edu web: iri.columbia.edu @climatesociety …/climatesociety ThankYou
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