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1. Netflix Inc (NFLX) Price: $215.88
Industry: Nonfood Retail-Wholesale
Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Sep 08 17:08 EDT 2011
NFLX
Netflix Inc $215.88 Power Gauge Rating
NFLX - Very Bearish
TM
The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for NFLX is very bearish due to very poor
financial metrics, very bearish price/volume activity and negative expert
opinions. The rating also reflects very strong earnings performance.
Financial Metrics
NFLX's financial metrics are very poor due to a high price to book value ratio
Earnings Performance and high price to sales ratio.
Price/Volume Activity
Expert Opinions
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral
NFLX Netflix Inc September 07, 2011 TM
Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for NFLX is neutral. Stories concerning NFLX have
a balanced or neutral sentiment.
News Sentiment :Neutral
Power Trend - 5 Year Chart
The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential. High Potential Neutral Low Potential
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2. Financials & Earnings
Financial Metrics
Financial Metrics Rating
LT Debt/Equity Ratio
Very Bearish
Price to Book Value NFLX's financial metrics are very poor. The company may be overvalued and has
relatively low revenue per share.
Return on Equity
The rank is based on a high price to book value ratio, high return on equity, high
price to sales ratio and relatively low cash flow.
Price to Sales Ratio
Business Value
Assets and Liabilities Valuation Returns
Ratio TTM Ratio TTM Ratio TTM
Current Ratio 1.33 Price/Book 33.94 Return on Invest 42.1%
LT Debt/Equity 0.81 Price/Sales 5.25 Return on Equity 78.2%
Earnings Performance
Earnings Performance Rating
Earnings Growth
Very Bullish
Earnings Surprise NFLX's earnings performance has been very strong. The company has a history
of strong earnings growth and has a stable 5 year earnings trend.
Earnings Trend The rank is based on high earnings growth over the past 3-5 years, better than
expected earnings in recent quarters, an upward trend in earnings this year, a
Projected P/E Ratio relatively high projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.
Earnings Consistency
5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth EPS Estimates
12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 Factor Actual EPS Prev EST EPS Current Change
Revenue(M) 996.66 786.17 1,364.66 1,670.27 2,162.62 Quarterly EPS $0.73 $1.01 +0.28
Rev % Growth 44.86% -21.12% 73.58% 22.39% 29.48% Yearly EPS $3.06 $4.64 +1.58
EPS $0.78 $1.00 $1.36 $2.05 $3.06 Factor Actual EPS Growth Est EPS Growth Change
EPS % Growth 0.00% 28.21% 36.00% 50.74% 49.27% 3-5 year EPS 29.84% 31.25% +1.41
EPS Surprise EPS Quarterly Results
Estimate Actual Difference % Difference FY Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Total
Latest Qtr $1.11 $1.26 $0.15 13.51 12/09 $0.38 $0.56 $0.54 $0.58 $2.06
1 Qtr Ago $1.07 $1.11 $0.04 3.74 12/10 $0.61 $0.83 $0.73 $0.90 $3.07
2 Qtr Ago $0.71 $0.87 $0.16 22.54 12/11 $1.14 $1.30 - - -
3 Qtr Ago $0.72 $0.70 $-0.02 -2.78 Fiscal Year End Month is December.
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3. Price Trend & Expert Opinions
Price/Volume Activity
Price/Volume Activity Rating
Relative Strength vs Market Very Bearish
Chaikin Money Flow
Price and volume activity for NFLX is very bearish. NFLX is trading on lower
volume than its 90 day average volume and has a declining price trend.
Price Trend
The rank for NFLX is based on its price strength versus the market, positive
Price Trend ROC
Chaikin money flow, a negative Chaikin price trend, a negative Chaikin price
trend ROC and a decreasing volume trend.
Volume Trend
Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index Chaikin Money Flow
Chart shows whether NFLX is performing better or worse than the market. Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.
Price Activity Price Activity Volume Activity
Factor Value Factor Value Factor Value
52 Week High 298.73 % Change Price - 4 Weeks -7.06% Average Volume 20 Days 3,811,420
52 Week Low 138.48 % Change Price - 24 Weeks -5.70% Average Volume 90 Days 4,418,324
% Change YTD Rel S&P 500 29.94% % Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P -13.10% Chaikin Money Flow Persistency 79%
% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P 2.08%
Expert Opinions
Expert Opinions
Earnings Estimate Revisions Bearish
Short Interest Expert opinions about NFLX are negative. Short interest in NFLX is high and
insiders are not net buyers of NFLX's stock.
Insider Activity
The rank for NFLX is based on analysts revising earnings estimates upward, a
high short interest ratio, insiders not purchasing significant amounts of stock and
Analyst Opinions
optimistic analyst opinions.
Relative Strength vs Industry
Earnings Estimate Revisions Analyst Recommendations EPS Estimates Revision Summary
Current 7 Days Ago % Change Factor Value Last Week Last 4 Weeks
Current Qtr 1.01 1.01 0.00% Mean this Week Hold Up Down Up Down
Next Qtr 1.21 1.21 0.00% Mean Last Week Hold Curr Qtr 0 0 0 1
Curr Yr 0 0 1 1
Current 30 Days Ago % Change Change 0.00
Next Qtr 0 0 0 2
Current FY 4.64 4.67 -0.03 Mean 5 Weeks Ago Hold
Next Yr 1 0 1 1
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4. The Company & Its Competitors
NFLX's Competitors in Nonfood Retail-Wholesale News Headlines for NFLX
Company Power Historic EPS Projected EPS Profit Margin PEG PE Revenue(M) Time Warner shares rise after Barclays upgrade
Gauge growth growth - Sep 7, 2011
NFLX 29.84% 31.25% 8.04% 1.49 54.82 2,163 Netflix unveils Latin America service in Brazil -
OWW -3.75% 23.00% -8.47% 3.83 52.80 757
Sep 5, 2011
Netflix unveils Latin America service in Brazil -
IACI -10.50% 27.00% 9.07% 1.06 43.60 1,637
Sep 5, 2011
PCLN 26.38% 22.60% 19.75% 1.11 34.58 3,085 Netflix Unveils "Just for Kids" Experience - Aug
16, 2011
AMZN 32.26% 25.67% 2.58% 4.44 98.17 34,204
Viacom fiscal 3Q earnings grow 37 percent -
OSTK 6.71% 20.00% 0.30% 4.74 94.73 1,090
Aug 5, 2011
EBAY 15.61% 11.43% 17.42% 1.55 18.59 9,156
Company Details Company Profile
NETFLIX INC Netflix Inc. is the largest online movie rental subscription service in the United States
100 WINCHESTER CIRCLE providing subscribers access to a comprehensive library of more than 18,000 movie,
LOS GATOS, CA 95032-7606 television and other filmed entertainment titles. The standard subscription plan allows
USA subscribers to have three titles out at the same time with no due dates, late fees or
Phone: 408-540-3700 shipping charges for a monthly fee.
Fax: 408-540-3737
Website:
http://http://www.netflix.com
Full Time Employees: 2,180
Sector: Retail/Wholesale
Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated
by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the
strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe.
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LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1
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