Civil Beat poll results. General election survey conducted Oct. 11, 2010.

1. TOPLINES:
Governor’s race, Issues, and Demographics
Margin of Error = +/- 2.9%
Governor
Frequency Percent
Valid Abercrombie 543 47.2
Aiona 510 44.3
Undecided 98 8.5
Total 1151 100.0

2. Gov_Issue
Frequency Percent
Valid Stronger Leader 666 57.9
Civil unions/Social Issues 186 16.2
Economy/Jobs 133 11.6
Education 84 7.3
Energy/Environment 34 3.0
Unsure 48 4.2
Total 1151 100.0
2

3. Obama
Frequency Percent
Valid Approve strongly 453 39.4
Approve somewhat 260 22.6
Disapprove somewhat 111 9.6
Disapprove strongly 275 23.9
Unsure 52 4.5
Total 1151 100.0
Obama_Condensed
Frequency Percent
Valid Approve 713 61.9
Disapprove 386 33.5
Unsure 52 4.5
Total 1151 100.0
3

4. Religion_in_Govt
Frequency Percent
Valid No religion 491 42.7
Unofficial religion 432 37.5
Official religion 63 5.5
Christianity 121 10.5
Unsure 44 3.8
Total 1151 100.0
4

5. Board_Ed
Frequency Percent
Valid For 624 54.2
Against 410 35.6
Not voting on Amendment 39 3.4
Unsure 78 6.8
Total 1151 100.0
5

6. Gov_Primary
Frequency Percent Valid Percent
Valid Hannemann 314 27.3 28.1
Abercrombie 490 42.6 43.8
Didn't vote/Other 277 24.1 24.8
Don't remember 38 3.3 3.4
Total 1119 97.2 100.0
Not Reported 32 2.8
Total 1151 100.0
6

7. Gender
Frequency Percent Valid Percent
Valid female 666 57.9 61.3
male 420 36.5 38.7
Total 1086 94.4 100.0
Not Reported 65 5.6
Grand Total 1151 100.0
7

8. Race
Frequency Percent Valid Percent
Valid White 454 39.4 42.3
Asian 392 34.1 36.5
Pacific Islander 106 9.2 9.9
Hispanic 9 .8 .8
African American 7 .6 .7
Two or more 105 9.1 9.8
Total 1073 93.2 100.0
Not Reported 78 6.8
Grand Total 1151 100.0
8

9. Religion
Frequency Percent Valid Percent
Valid Catholic 244 21.2 23.0
Evangelical 155 13.5 14.6
Mormon 34 3.0 3.2
Other Christian 263 22.8 24.8
Buddhist 116 10.1 10.9
Jewish 13 1.1 1.2
Other 69 6.0 6.5
None 167 14.5 15.7
Total 1061 92.2 100.0
Not Reported 90 7.8
Grand Total 1151 100.0
9

10. Party
Frequency Percent Valid Percent
Valid Democrat 506 44.0 48.1
Republican 211 18.3 20.0
Independent 265 23.0 25.2
Unsure 71 6.2 6.7
Total 1053 91.5 100.0
Not Reported 98 8.5
Grand Total 1151 100.0
TeaParty
Frequency Percent Valid Percent
Valid No 796 69.2 76.3
Yes 119 10.3 11.4
Unsure 128 11.1 12.3
Total 1043 90.6 100.0
Not Reported 108 9.4
Grand Total 1151 100.0
10

11. Politics
Frequency Percent Valid Percent
Valid Liberal 240 20.9 23.3
Moderate 358 31.1 34.8
Conservative 295 25.6 28.6
Unsure 137 11.9 13.3
Total 1030 89.5 100.0
Not Reported 121 10.5
Grand Total 1151 100.0
11

12. Age
Frequency Percent Valid Percent
Valid 18-24 9 .8 .9
25-34 15 1.3 1.5
35-49 102 8.9 10.0
50-64 366 31.8 35.7
65+ 533 46.3 52.0
Total 1025 89.1 100.0
Not Reported 126 10.9
Grand Total 1151 100.0
12

13. TOPLINES: 1st District Congressional Race
Margin of Error = +/- 4.0%
Congress
Frequency Percent
Valid Djou 269 44.2
Hanabusa 299 49.1
Neither/Undecided 41 6.7
Total 609 100.0
13

14. Cong_Issue
Frequency Percent
Valid Civil unions/Social Issues 142 23.4
Cultural background 56 9.2
Economy/Jobs 238 39.3
Energy/Environment 21 3.5
Government Power 100 16.5
Unsure 49 8.1
Total 606 100.0
14

15. CROSSTABS—Governor
Gov_Strength * Governor Crosstabulation
% within Governor
Governor
Abercrombie Aiona
Gov_Strength
Definite 86.4% 88.2%
b.Probably 9.2% 5.7%
Leaning 4.4% 6.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0%
15

16. Gov_Issue * Governor Crosstabulation
% within Governor
Governor
Abercrombie Aiona Undecided Total
Gov_Issue Stronger Leader 67.0% 52.5% 34.7% 57.9%
Civil unions/Social Issues 14.5% 20.0% 5.1% 16.2%
Economy/Jobs 5.9% 15.9% 20.4% 11.6%
Education 6.4% 5.9% 19.4% 7.3%
Energy/Environment 2.9% 2.4% 6.1% 3.0%
Unsure 3.1% 3.3% 14.3% 4.2%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Governor * Gov_Issue Crosstabulation
% within Gov_Issue
Gov_Issue
Civil
unions/Social Energy/Environm
Stronger Leader Issues Economy/Jobs Education ent Unsure Total
Governor Abercrombie 54.7% 42.5% 24.1% 41.7% 47.1% 35.4% 47.2%
Aiona 40.2% 54.8% 60.9% 35.7% 35.3% 35.4% 44.3%
Undecided 5.1% 2.7% 15.0% 22.6% 17.6% 29.2% 8.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
16

17. Obama * Governor Crosstabulation
% within Governor
Governor
Abercrombie Aiona Undecided Total
Obama Approve strongly 65.6% 11.2% 40.8% 39.4%
Approve somewhat 26.7% 16.7% 30.6% 22.6%
Disapprove somewhat 2.0% 18.0% 8.2% 9.6%
Disapprove strongly 1.7% 51.2% 5.1% 23.9%
Unsure 4.1% 2.9% 15.3% 4.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Obama_Condensed * Governor Crosstabulation
% within Governor
Governor
Abercrombie Aiona Undecided Total
Obama_Condensed Approve 92.3% 27.8% 71.4% 61.9%
Disapprove 3.7% 69.2% 13.3% 33.5%
Unsure 4.1% 2.9% 15.3% 4.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
17

18. Governor * Obama Crosstabulation
% within Obama
Obama
Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Approve strongly somewhat somewhat strongly Unsure Total
Governor Abercrombie 78.6% 55.8% 9.9% 3.3% 42.3% 47.2%
Aiona 12.6% 32.7% 82.9% 94.9% 28.8% 44.3%
Undecided 8.8% 11.5% 7.2% 1.8% 28.8% 8.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Governor * Obama_Condensed Crosstabulation
% within Obama_Condensed
Obama_Condensed
Approve Disapprove Unsure Total
Governor Abercrombie 70.3% 5.2% 42.3% 47.2%
Aiona 19.9% 91.5% 28.8% 44.3%
Undecided 9.8% 3.4% 28.8% 8.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
18

19. Religion_in_Govt * Governor Crosstabulation
% within Governor
Governor
Abercrombie Aiona Undecided Total
Religion_in_Govt No religion 62.8% 22.4% 36.7% 42.7%
Unofficial religion 26.5% 50.2% 32.7% 37.5%
Official religion 5.0% 5.1% 10.2% 5.5%
Christianity 2.4% 19.4% 9.2% 10.5%
Unsure 3.3% 2.9% 11.2% 3.8%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Governor * Religion_in_Govt Crosstabulation
% within Religion_in_Govt
Religion_in_Govt
No religion Unofficial religion Official religion Christianity Unsure Total
Governor Abercrombie 69.5% 33.3% 42.9% 10.7% 40.9% 47.2%
Aiona 23.2% 59.3% 41.3% 81.8% 34.1% 44.3%
Undecided 7.3% 7.4% 15.9% 7.4% 25.0% 8.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
19

20. Board_Ed * Governor Crosstabulation
% within Governor
Governor
Abercrombie Aiona Undecided Total
Board_Ed For 49.2% 61.8% 42.9% 54.2%
Against 40.5% 30.4% 35.7% 35.6%
Not voting on Amendment 2.8% 3.1% 8.2% 3.4%
Unsure 7.6% 4.7% 13.3% 6.8%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Governor * Board_Ed Crosstabulation
% within Board_Ed
Board_Ed
Not voting on
For Against Amendment Unsure Total
Governor Abercrombie 42.8% 53.7% 38.5% 52.6% 47.2%
Aiona 50.5% 37.8% 41.0% 30.8% 44.3%
Undecided 6.7% 8.5% 20.5% 16.7% 8.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
20

21. Governor * Gov_Primary Crosstabulation
% within Gov_Primary
Gov_Primary
Hannemann Abercrombie Didn't vote/Other Don't remember Total
Governor Abercrombie 31.2% 79.8% 8.3% 28.9% 46.7%
Aiona 60.2% 14.9% 83.0% 28.9% 45.0%
Undecided 8.6% 5.3% 8.7% 42.1% 8.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Governor * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
female male Total
Governor Abercrombie 47.9% 45.7% 47.1%
Aiona 42.2% 50.0% 45.2%
Undecided 9.9% 4.3% 7.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
21

22. Governor * Race Crosstabulation
% within Race
Race
White Asian Pacific Islander Hispanic African American Two or more Total
Governor Abercrombie 46.0% 50.0% 43.4% 44.4% 85.7% 40.0% 46.9%
Aiona 50.0% 40.8% 45.3% 55.6% 14.3% 44.8% 45.5%
Undecided 4.0% 9.2% 11.3% 15.2% 7.6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
22

23. Governor * Religion Crosstabulation
% within Religion
Religion
Catholic Evangelical Mormon Other Christian e.Buddhist Jewish Other None Total
Governor Abercrombie 43.0% 21.3% 23.5% 47.5% 63.8% 53.8% 58.0% 61.7% 46.7%
Aiona 49.2% 72.3% 67.6% 46.8% 25.0% 30.8% 33.3% 29.9% 45.6%
Undecided 7.8% 6.5% 8.8% 5.7% 11.2% 15.4% 8.7% 8.4% 7.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
23

24. Governor * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Total
Governor Abercrombie 72.9% 5.7% 34.3% 25.4% 46.5%
Aiona 19.6% 92.4% 57.7% 47.9% 45.7%
Undecided 7.5% 1.9% 7.9% 26.8% 7.8%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Party * Governor Crosstabulation
% within Governor
Governor
Abercrombie Aiona Undecided Total
Party Democrat 75.3% 20.6% 46.3% 48.1%
Republican 2.4% 40.5% 4.9% 20.0%
Independent 18.6% 31.8% 25.6% 25.2%
Unsure 3.7% 7.1% 23.2% 6.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
24

25. Governor * TeaParty Crosstabulation
% within TeaParty
TeaParty
No Yes Unsure Total
Governor Abercrombie 54.8% 12.6% 28.9% 46.8%
Aiona 37.8% 85.7% 56.3% 45.5%
Undecided 7.4% 1.7% 14.8% 7.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
25

26. Governor * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure Total
Governor Abercrombie 87.9% 50.3% 10.8% 42.3% 46.7%
Aiona 9.2% 41.6% 84.1% 37.2% 45.6%
Undecided 2.9% 8.1% 5.1% 20.4% 7.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
26

27. Governor * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-24 25-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Total
Governor Abercrombie 88.9% 46.7% 37.3% 54.6% 42.4% 46.7%
Aiona 46.7% 52.9% 40.7% 48.4% 45.7%
Undecided 11.1% 6.7% 9.8% 4.6% 9.2% 7.6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
27

28. CROSSTABS—Congress
Cong_Strength * Congress Crosstabulation
% within Congress
Congress
Djou Hanabusa Total
Cong_Strength Definite 88.8% 85.3% 87.0%
Probably 6.3% 10.0% 8.3%
Leaning 4.8% 4.7% 4.8%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
28

29. Cong_Issue * Congress Crosstabulation
% within Congress
Congress
Djou Hanabusa Neither/Undecided Total
Cong_Issue Civil unions/Social Issues 16.4% 30.4% 18.4% 23.4%
Cultural background 7.8% 11.4% 2.6% 9.2%
Economy/Jobs 38.3% 37.8% 57.9% 39.3%
Energy/Environment 3.0% 3.3% 7.9% 3.5%
Government Power 27.1% 8.4% 5.3% 16.5%
Unsure 7.4% 8.7% 7.9% 8.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Congress * Cong_Issue Crosstabulation
% within Cong_Issue
Cong_Issue
Civil
unions/Social Cultural Energy/Environm Government
Issues background Economy/Jobs ent Power Unsure Total
Congress Djou 31.0% 37.5% 43.3% 38.1% 73.0% 40.8% 44.4%
Hanabusa 64.1% 60.7% 47.5% 47.6% 25.0% 53.1% 49.3%
Neither/Undecided 4.9% 1.8% 9.2% 14.3% 2.0% 6.1% 6.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
29

30. Obama * Congress Crosstabulation
% within Congress
Congress
Neither/Undecide
Djou Hanabusa d Total
Obama Approve strongly 11.2% 65.6% 29.3% 39.1%
Approve somewhat 17.8% 27.1% 26.8% 23.0%
Disapprove somewhat 18.6% 1.3% 9.8% 9.5%
Disapprove strongly 49.1% 1.0% 9.8% 22.8%
Unsure 3.3% 5.0% 24.4% 5.6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Obama_Condensed * Congress Crosstabulation
% within Congress
Congress
Neither/Undecide
Djou Hanabusa d Total
Obama_Condensed Approve 29.0% 92.6% 56.1% 62.1%
Disapprove 67.7% 2.3% 19.5% 32.3%
Unsure 3.3% 5.0% 24.4% 5.6%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
30

31. Congress * Obama Crosstabulation
% within Obama
Obama
Approve Disapprove Disapprove
Approve strongly somewhat somewhat strongly Unsure Total
Congress Djou 12.6% 34.3% 86.2% 95.0% 26.5% 44.2%
Hanabusa 82.4% 57.9% 6.9% 2.2% 44.1% 49.1%
Neither/Undecided 5.0% 7.9% 6.9% 2.9% 29.4% 6.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Congress * Obama_Condensed Crosstabulation
% within Obama_Condensed
Obama_Condensed
Approve Disapprove Unsure Total
Congress Djou 20.6% 92.4% 26.5% 44.2%
Hanabusa 73.3% 3.6% 44.1% 49.1%
Neither/Undecided 6.1% 4.1% 29.4% 6.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
31

32. Religion_in_Govt * Congress Crosstabulation
% within Congress
Congress
Neither/Undecide
Djou Hanabusa d Total
Religion_in_Govt No religion 26.4% 62.5% 43.9% 45.3%
Unofficial religion 52.0% 25.4% 26.8% 37.3%
Official religion 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 4.8%
Christianity 14.1% 4.0% 4.9% 8.5%
Unsure 3.0% 3.0% 19.5% 4.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Congress * Religion_in_Govt Crosstabulation
% within Religion_in_Govt
Religion_in_Govt
No religion Unofficial religion Official religion Christianity Unsure Total
Congress Djou 25.7% 61.7% 41.4% 73.1% 32.0% 44.2%
Hanabusa 67.8% 33.5% 51.7% 23.1% 36.0% 49.1%
Neither/Undecided 6.5% 4.8% 6.9% 3.8% 32.0% 6.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
32

33. Congress * Board_Ed Crosstabulation
% within Board_Ed
Board_Ed
Not voting on
For Against Amendment Unsure Total
Congress Djou 54.0% 30.8% 35.3% 29.3% 44.2%
Hanabusa 40.6% 63.2% 58.8% 48.8% 49.1%
Neither/Undecided 5.4% 6.0% 5.9% 22.0% 6.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Board_Ed * Congress Crosstabulation
% within Congress
Congress
Neither/Undecide
Djou Hanabusa d Total
Board_Ed For 70.3% 47.5% 46.3% 57.5%
Against 23.0% 42.5% 29.3% 33.0%
Not voting on Amendment 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 2.8%
Unsure 4.5% 6.7% 22.0% 6.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
33

34. Congress * Congress_May Crosstabulation
% within Congress_May
Congress_May
Case Djou Hanabusa Didn't vote/Other Don't remember Total
Congress Djou 25.8% 91.0% 4.8% 63.6% 18.8% 45.5%
Hanabusa 65.6% 5.4% 90.9% 27.3% 50.0% 48.4%
Neither/Undecided 8.6% 3.6% 4.2% 9.1% 31.3% 6.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Congress * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
female male Total
Congress Djou 41.6% 51.3% 45.4%
Hanabusa 50.3% 45.5% 48.4%
Neither/Undecided 8.1% 3.1% 6.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
34

35. Congress * Race Crosstabulation
% within Race
Race
White Asian Pacific Islander Hispanic African American Two or more Total
Congress Djou 52.2% 41.9% 29.3% 33.3% 28.6% 56.8% 45.7%
Hanabusa 44.0% 49.8% 63.4% 66.7% 71.4% 38.6% 48.1%
Neither/Undecided 3.9% 8.3% 7.3% 4.5% 6.2%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
35

36. Congress * Religion Crosstabulation
% within Religion
Religion
Catholic Evangelical Mormon Other Christian e.Buddhist Jewish Other None Total
Congress Djou 53.8% 69.1% 25.0% 51.5% 27.9% 42.9% 28.2% 33.0% 46.1%
Hanabusa 40.3% 21.0% 66.7% 43.3% 64.7% 57.1% 66.7% 62.0% 47.7%
Neither/Undecided 5.9% 9.9% 8.3% 5.2% 7.4% 5.1% 5.0% 6.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

37. Congress * Party Crosstabulation
% within Party
Party
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Total
Congress Djou 18.4% 91.7% 62.3% 58.8% 46.1%
Hanabusa 76.5% 6.4% 32.6% 5.9% 47.7%
Neither/Undecided 5.1% 1.8% 5.1% 35.3% 6.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Party * Congress Crosstabulation
% within Congress
Congress
Djou Hanabusa Neither/Undecided Total
Party Democrat 19.8% 79.7% 40.0% 49.6%
Republican 38.9% 2.6% 5.7% 19.5%
Independent 33.5% 16.9% 20.0% 24.7%
Unsure 7.8% .8% 34.3% 6.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

38. Congress * TeaParty Crosstabulation
% within TeaParty
TeaParty
No Yes Unsure Total
Congress Djou 39.2% 79.3% 61.2% 46.0%
Hanabusa 54.5% 19.0% 28.4% 47.7%
Neither/Undecided 6.3% 1.7% 10.4% 6.3%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

39. Congress * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure Total
Congress Djou 13.7% 43.1% 84.0% 40.8% 46.1%
Hanabusa 80.6% 52.8% 12.5% 39.4% 47.5%
Neither/Undecided 5.8% 4.1% 3.5% 19.7% 6.4%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
39

40. Congress * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-24 25-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Total
Congress Djou 57.1% 59.6% 40.4% 48.7% 46.3%
Hanabusa 85.7% 42.9% 31.9% 53.7% 45.0% 47.4%
Neither/Undecided 14.3% 8.5% 5.9% 6.3% 6.4%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
40

41. Governor – Congress Crosstabs
(CD 1 Only)
Congress * Governor Crosstabulation
% within Governor
Governor
Abercrombie Aiona Undecided Total
Congress Djou 10.8% 90.0% 20.8% 44.2%
Hanabusa 85.0% 8.4% 34.0% 49.1%
Neither/Undecided 4.2% 1.6% 45.3% 6.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Governor * Congress Crosstabulation
% within Congress
Congress
Djou Hanabusa Neither/Undecided Total
Governor Abercrombie 12.3% 87.0% 31.7% 50.2%
Aiona 83.6% 7.0% 9.8% 41.1%
Undecided 4.1% 6.0% 58.5% 8.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
41