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Page	
  1 First	
  Congressional	
  District	
  Democratic	
  Primary
Sample:	
  First	
  Congressional	
  District	
  Registered	
  Voters	
  =	
  416
May	
  18	
  –	
  19,	
  2014
Margin	
  of	
  Error	
  =	
  +/-­‐	
  	
  4.8%
70%	
  Landlines,	
  30%	
  Cell	
  Phones
With	
  that	
  in	
  mind,	
  what	
  are	
  you	
  most	
  likely	
  to	
  do	
  in	
  August?
Democratic 62%
Republican 23%
Other/None 2%
Not	
  sure 13%
In	
  the	
  upcoming	
  Republican	
  primary,	
  Cam	
  Cavasso	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  the	
  Republican	
  Senate	
  nomination,	
  Duke	
  Aiona	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  
Governor,	
  and	
  Charles	
  Djou	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  Congress—each	
  with	
  at	
  least	
  one	
  other	
  Republican	
  primary	
  opponent.
In	
  the	
  upcoming	
  Democratic	
  primary,	
  Brian	
  Schatz	
  and	
  Colleen	
  Hanabusa	
  will	
  face	
  each	
  other	
  for	
  the	
  U.S.	
  Senate	
  nomination,	
  Neil	
  
Abercrombie	
  and	
  David	
  Ige	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  Governor,	
  and	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  Democrats	
  will	
  run	
  for	
  Congress.
This	
  coming	
  August,	
  Hawaii	
  will	
  hold	
  its	
  political	
  primaries.	
  In	
  Hawaii,	
  if	
  you	
  decide	
  to	
  vote	
  in	
  a	
  primary,	
  you	
  may	
  choose	
  between	
  
voting	
  in	
  either	
  the	
  Democratic	
  or	
  Republican	
  primary—but	
  not	
  in	
  both.
Page	
  2 First	
  Congressional	
  District	
  Democratic	
  Primary
Sample:	
  First	
  Congressional	
  Districut	
  Likely	
  Democratic	
  Primary	
  Voters	
  =	
  259
Margin	
  of	
  Error	
  =	
  +/-­‐	
  	
  6.1%
Overall
Kim 30%
Takai 24%
Chang 9%
Anderson 7%
Espero 6%
Manahan 1%
Unsure 23%
Male Female
Kim 33% 26%
Takai 27% 23%
Chang 6% 11%
Anderson 8% 5%
Espero 8% 4%
Manahan 1% 1%
Unsure 16% 30%
If	
  you	
  do	
  vote	
  in	
  the	
  Democratic	
  Congressional	
  primary,	
  what	
  would	
  you	
  do?
The	
  Democratic	
  primary	
  in	
  August	
  will	
  also	
  include	
  a	
  contest	
  for	
  the	
  First	
  District	
  Congressional	
  seat	
  currently	
  held	
  by	
  Colleen	
  
Hanabusa.	
  The	
  candidates	
  include	
  State	
  Senator	
  Will	
  Espero;	
  State	
  Senator	
  Donna	
  Mercado	
  Kim;	
  State	
  Representative	
  Mark	
  Takai,	
  
Honolulu	
  Councilman	
  Ikaika	
  Anderson;	
  Honolulu	
  Councilman	
  Stanley	
  Chang,	
  and	
  Honolulu	
  Councilman	
  Joey	
  Manahan.
Page	
  3 First	
  Congressional	
  District	
  Democratic	
  Primary
Under	
  50 50+	
  yrs	
  old
Kim 11% 35%
Takai 24% 26%
Chang 11% 8%
Anderson 14% 4%
Espero 8% 6%
Manahan 0% 2%
Unsure 31% 20%
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
Kim 31% 7% 22% 0%
Takai 27% 39% 14% 0%
Chang 9% 9% 11% 0%
Anderson 8% 0% 5% 0%
Espero 4% 27% 11% 0%
Manahan 1% 6% 1% 0%
Unsure 20% 12% 35% 100%
Military	
  Family Non-­‐Military	
  Family Refused
Kim 31% 26% 8%
Takai 25% 25% 34%
Chang 5% 17% 0%
Anderson 9% 4% 0%
Espero 5% 8% 0%
Manahan 1% 1% 0%
Unsure 23% 19% 58%
Page	
  4 First	
  Congressional	
  District	
  Democratic	
  Primary
Union	
  Family Non-­‐Union	
  Family Refused
Kim 26% 29% 48%
Takai 32% 22% 2%
Chang 10% 9% 0%
Anderson 4% 9% 0%
Espero 8% 4% 14%
Manahan 0% 2% 0%
Unsure 20% 24% 36%
Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative Unusre
Kim 29% 28% 27% 31%
Takai 26% 24% 20% 33%
Chang 16% 8% 3% 2%
Anderson 0% 6% 25% 10%
Espero 5% 6% 4% 10%
Manahan 1% 1% 4% 0%
Unsure 23% 27% 16% 13%
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed
Kim 32% 18% 33% 41% 42% 0% 36%
Takai 24% 33% 0% 11% 13% 0% 33%
Chang 13% 11% 0% 0% 15% 0% 5%
Anderson 15% 1% 0% 24% 0% 100% 6%
Espero 7% 4% 24% 14% 0% 0% 1%
Manahan 1% 1% 3% 3% 0% 0% 1%
Unsure 8% 31% 40% 8% 30% 0% 18%
$50,000	
  or	
  less $50,000	
  -­‐	
  $100,000 $100,000	
  or	
  more Refused
Kim 38% 35% 16% 19%
Takai 16% 16% 46% 29%
Chang 3% 12% 11% 8%
Anderson 10% 9% 2% 7%
Espero 11% 1% 5% 14%
Manahan 2% 1% 1% 0%
Unsure 20% 27% 19% 23%
Page	
  5 First	
  Congressional	
  District	
  Democratic	
  Primary
First	
  District	
  Likely	
  Democratic	
  Primary	
  Voter	
  Demographics
Gender
Male 46%
Female 54%
Age
Under	
  50 26%
50	
  or	
  older 74%
Politics
Liberal/Progressive 35%
Moderate 39%
Conservative 13%
Unsure 13%
Party
Democrat 79%
Republican 4%
Independent 16%
Unsure 1%
Military	
  Family
Yes 63%
No 34%
Refused 2%
Union	
  Family
Yes 39%
No 57%
Refused 3%
Page	
  6 First	
  Congressional	
  District	
  Democratic	
  Primary
Ethnicity
Caucasian 25%
Japanese 37%
Filipino 9%
Hawaiian 5%
Chinese 6%
Hispanic 0%
Other/Mixed 17%
Income
Less	
  than	
  $50,000 20%
$50,000	
  -­‐	
  $100,000 40%
$100,000	
  or	
  more 27%
Refused 13%

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First Congressional District Democratic Primary Poll

  • 1. Page  1 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Sample:  First  Congressional  District  Registered  Voters  =  416 May  18  –  19,  2014 Margin  of  Error  =  +/-­‐    4.8% 70%  Landlines,  30%  Cell  Phones With  that  in  mind,  what  are  you  most  likely  to  do  in  August? Democratic 62% Republican 23% Other/None 2% Not  sure 13% In  the  upcoming  Republican  primary,  Cam  Cavasso  will  run  for  the  Republican  Senate  nomination,  Duke  Aiona  will  run  for   Governor,  and  Charles  Djou  will  run  for  Congress—each  with  at  least  one  other  Republican  primary  opponent. In  the  upcoming  Democratic  primary,  Brian  Schatz  and  Colleen  Hanabusa  will  face  each  other  for  the  U.S.  Senate  nomination,  Neil   Abercrombie  and  David  Ige  will  run  for  Governor,  and  a  number  of  Democrats  will  run  for  Congress. This  coming  August,  Hawaii  will  hold  its  political  primaries.  In  Hawaii,  if  you  decide  to  vote  in  a  primary,  you  may  choose  between   voting  in  either  the  Democratic  or  Republican  primary—but  not  in  both.
  • 2. Page  2 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Sample:  First  Congressional  Districut  Likely  Democratic  Primary  Voters  =  259 Margin  of  Error  =  +/-­‐    6.1% Overall Kim 30% Takai 24% Chang 9% Anderson 7% Espero 6% Manahan 1% Unsure 23% Male Female Kim 33% 26% Takai 27% 23% Chang 6% 11% Anderson 8% 5% Espero 8% 4% Manahan 1% 1% Unsure 16% 30% If  you  do  vote  in  the  Democratic  Congressional  primary,  what  would  you  do? The  Democratic  primary  in  August  will  also  include  a  contest  for  the  First  District  Congressional  seat  currently  held  by  Colleen   Hanabusa.  The  candidates  include  State  Senator  Will  Espero;  State  Senator  Donna  Mercado  Kim;  State  Representative  Mark  Takai,   Honolulu  Councilman  Ikaika  Anderson;  Honolulu  Councilman  Stanley  Chang,  and  Honolulu  Councilman  Joey  Manahan.
  • 3. Page  3 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Under  50 50+  yrs  old Kim 11% 35% Takai 24% 26% Chang 11% 8% Anderson 14% 4% Espero 8% 6% Manahan 0% 2% Unsure 31% 20% Democrat Republican Independent Unsure Kim 31% 7% 22% 0% Takai 27% 39% 14% 0% Chang 9% 9% 11% 0% Anderson 8% 0% 5% 0% Espero 4% 27% 11% 0% Manahan 1% 6% 1% 0% Unsure 20% 12% 35% 100% Military  Family Non-­‐Military  Family Refused Kim 31% 26% 8% Takai 25% 25% 34% Chang 5% 17% 0% Anderson 9% 4% 0% Espero 5% 8% 0% Manahan 1% 1% 0% Unsure 23% 19% 58%
  • 4. Page  4 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Union  Family Non-­‐Union  Family Refused Kim 26% 29% 48% Takai 32% 22% 2% Chang 10% 9% 0% Anderson 4% 9% 0% Espero 8% 4% 14% Manahan 0% 2% 0% Unsure 20% 24% 36% Liberal/Progressive Moderate Conservative Unusre Kim 29% 28% 27% 31% Takai 26% 24% 20% 33% Chang 16% 8% 3% 2% Anderson 0% 6% 25% 10% Espero 5% 6% 4% 10% Manahan 1% 1% 4% 0% Unsure 23% 27% 16% 13% Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Kim 32% 18% 33% 41% 42% 0% 36% Takai 24% 33% 0% 11% 13% 0% 33% Chang 13% 11% 0% 0% 15% 0% 5% Anderson 15% 1% 0% 24% 0% 100% 6% Espero 7% 4% 24% 14% 0% 0% 1% Manahan 1% 1% 3% 3% 0% 0% 1% Unsure 8% 31% 40% 8% 30% 0% 18% $50,000  or  less $50,000  -­‐  $100,000 $100,000  or  more Refused Kim 38% 35% 16% 19% Takai 16% 16% 46% 29% Chang 3% 12% 11% 8% Anderson 10% 9% 2% 7% Espero 11% 1% 5% 14% Manahan 2% 1% 1% 0% Unsure 20% 27% 19% 23%
  • 5. Page  5 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary First  District  Likely  Democratic  Primary  Voter  Demographics Gender Male 46% Female 54% Age Under  50 26% 50  or  older 74% Politics Liberal/Progressive 35% Moderate 39% Conservative 13% Unsure 13% Party Democrat 79% Republican 4% Independent 16% Unsure 1% Military  Family Yes 63% No 34% Refused 2% Union  Family Yes 39% No 57% Refused 3%
  • 6. Page  6 First  Congressional  District  Democratic  Primary Ethnicity Caucasian 25% Japanese 37% Filipino 9% Hawaiian 5% Chinese 6% Hispanic 0% Other/Mixed 17% Income Less  than  $50,000 20% $50,000  -­‐  $100,000 40% $100,000  or  more 27% Refused 13%