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Global Forest Policy and Politics:
Current Trends, Issues and Future Directions

  Implications for Community Forestry in Asia Pacific


                    Doris Capistrano
                           Advisor
 ASEAN-Swiss Partnership on Social Forestry and Climate Change

       First Dr. Somsak Sukwong Annual Lecture
                     Katsetsart University
                         June 5, 2012
Outline

I.     Global Forest Policy: Competing
       Narratives, Evolving Political Dynamics

II.    Key Driving Forces and Trends

III.   Implications for Community Forestry,
       particularly in Asia-Pacific
UN Conference on Environment and
       Development (Rio 1992)
• Laid the foundation for global environmental governance
   –   UN Convention on Climate Change
   –   UN Convention on Biological Diversity
   –   UN Convention on Desertification
   –   Rio Declaration and Agenda 21

• But no legally binding agreement on forests
   – Statement of Forest Principles
   – Created Intergovernmental Panel/Forum on Forests

    Non-legally Binding Forest Instrument (NLBI) agreed in 2007;
   UNFF to negotiate a legally binding agreement in 2015
NLBI: Global Objectives
1.   Reverse the loss of forest cover worldwide through
     sustainable forest management (SFM),

2.   Enhance forest-based economic, social and
     environmental benefits,

3.   Increase significantly the area of protected forests
     worldwide and other areas of sustainably managed
     forests,

4.   Reverse the decline in official development assistance
     for sustainable forest management and mobilize
     significantly increased, new and additional financial
     resources
Key Narratives Threads and Debates
         in Global Forest Policy
• Global vs. national/local values; authority to
  decide on forests

• Conservation vs. development

• Mix of forest products and services

• Role of the state; voluntary standards vs.
  regulation

 Competing narratives about forests, people and
how to achieve Sustainable Forest Management
(SFM)
Dynamics of Global Forest Politics
• Fragmented policy regime (multiplicity of forums)

• Widened interest group participation (beyond States)
    – Civil Society, Indigenous Peoples, Private Sector, Research, etc.
    – Consultative processes , multi-stakeholder mechanisms
    – Diffused leadership and influence in agenda setting

• Dominance of market approaches
    – Creation of new property rights and markets to address
      environmental and equity issues
    – Payments for ecosystem services (e.g. REDD)

• “Greening” of the corporate sector
    – Voluntary standards, certification, roundtables
    – Use of technology and innovation
    – Corporate political influence, bias in favor of concessions
Drivers of Forest Policy and Politics
                              • Originate mainly from outside the
                                forest sector
    Global Food Price Index
          1990-2012           • Key drivers in recent years include:
         Source: FAO
250.0
                                 – Economic and demographic Trends
200.0
                                 – Renewed concerns about food security
150.0                            – Climate change, role of forests in
100.0                              mitigation and adaptation
 50.0
                                 – Empowerment of Indigenous Peoples
                                   and Communities
  0.0
                                 – Governance reforms (NFPs, FLEG, etc.)
        1996

        2000

        2004

        2008
        1990
        1992
        1994

        1998

        2002

        2006

        2010
        2012




                                 Shifting balance of power; changing
                                 narratives
Decreasing Absolute Poverty, Growing Middle
             Class, Increasing Inequality
• 75% Global GDP growth (1992-2010), fastest in middle income countries

• GDP pc in high income countries 30x that of low income countries

• Global GDP expected to grow 5x from US$60 to US300 trillion by 2030

• Emerging economies will contribute 2/3 of global growth by 2030

 Economic power shifting from “West” to “East” notably to Asia

 2 billion forest dwelling people among the poorest, with unmet
         expectations of justice and development
Contribution of the Forestry Sector
        as a Percentage of GDP in the
          World by Subregion,2006
            WORLD
    SOUTH AMERICA
           OCEANIA
    NORTH AMERICA
  CENTRAL AMERICA
         CARIBBEAN
EUROPE (with Russia)
                                                                      Employment in primary production
               ASIA                                                         of forest goods, 2005
             AFRICA
                                                                       Rest of the           East Asia
                       0   0.5   1      1.5          2   2.5    Russian World                 12.4%
                                                               Federation 16.8%
                                 Percentage of GDP               4.3%
                                                                     Western
                                                                       Asia
                                                                       0.5%
                                                                  Central
                                                                 Asia 0.4%
                                                                                       South Asia
                                                               Southeast                 61.3%
                                                                 Asia
                                                                 4.4%
                   Source: FAO 2011
Demand for Land for Food, Fuel, Carbon

•   7 billion people (2011); projected 9.1 billion by 2050
•   2.7 billion people using biomass energy for fuel
•   4.9 billion hectares of agricultural land (2009)
•   2.2% growth in agricultural production (1997 – 2007)
•   Agro-industrial plantation on community and indigenous lands

Since 2008, about 1000% increase in “land-grabbing”-- over 240
      million hectares, mostly in forest lands (ILO 2011; RRI 2012)

 Call for more integrated approach to landscape management
Climate change put forests back on
          the global agenda
• Recognition of the role of forests in climate change
  mitigation and adaptation

• Reducing emissions from deforestation
     and forest degradation (REDD)

• Reversed declining donor funding for forests
   – Adaptation funding doubled since 1990 but
      make up only 3% of total aid commitment
   – Funding over-estimated, mostly relabeling
      and repackaging of aid

   Source: Michaelowa (2011)
Empowerment of Indigenous Peoples and
        Forest Communities
          • Expansion of area under control of Indigenous
            Peoples and communities
             – Globally, from 10% in 2002 to 15% today
             – In developing countries, from 21% in 2002 to 31%

          • Over 50 laws recognizing rights since 1992, mostly in
            Latin America

          • UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples
            (2007); FAO Guidance on Tenure Reform (2012)

          • Representation in international bodies, steering
            committees and governing boards

           But still gap between rhetoric and implementation

                                           Source: RRI (2012)
Deforestation continues but at a slower pace

• 13 million hectares of forest lost per year from 2000 to 2010
• Increase in planted forests, especially in Asia-Pacific
• Expansion of protected areas

 Net forest loss of 5.2 million hectares annually
                                                              Source: FAO
Area of Forests in the World by
                   Subregion, 1990, 2000, and 2010
                 1200000
                 1000000
Area (1000 ha)




                 800000
                 600000
                 400000
                 200000
                                                      Series1
                       0
                                                      Series2                      Area of Planted Forests in the World
                                                      Series3                      by subregion, 1990, 2000, and 2010
                                                                                 140000
                                                                                 120000
                                                                                 100000
                                                                                  80000
                                                                                  60000




                                                                Area (1000 ha)
                                                                                  40000
                                 Subregion                                        20000                                   Series1
                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                          Series2
                                                                                                                          Series3




                                                                                                    subregion
Forest Trends in the Asia Pacific Region
                  Area of Planted Forests in
                                                         • Asia-Pacific has 18% of global forest area
                           Asia, by
                 subregion, 1990, 2000, and
                             2010                        • Forests in China, Australia, India, Indonesia
                 100000                                    and Myanmar account for 70%
                  90000
                  80000

                                                         • Annual deforestation of 0.7 million
Area (1000 ha)




                  70000
                  60000
                  50000
                  40000                                    hectares/ year (1990)
                  30000
                                              Series1
                  20000

                                                         • Forest planting, regeneration 1.4 million
                  10000                       Series2
                      0
                                              Series3
                                                           hectares annually (2000-2010)

                                                         • Gain in forest cover in
                               subregion
                                                            China, India, Vietnam, Philippines and
                                                            Bhutan
                           Granting tenure and rights key factor in forest planting and regeneration
Owned by individuals and                  Distribution of Forest Land Tenure
                                 firms - 6%                                  Asia-Pacific, 2008



                                                                       Administered by government
                          Owned by
                      communities and
                     indigenous groups -                               Designated for use by communities and
                            24%                                        indigenous groups
                                                                       Owned by communities and indigenous
                                                   Administered by     groups
 Designated for use by                            government - 67%
   communities and                                                     Owned by individuals and firms
indigenous groups - 3%




           Source: Dahal et al (2011); RRI (2012)
Contribution of the Forestry Sector as                                                Employment in primary
           a Percentage of GDP in Asia by                                                 production of forest goods, 2005
                   Subregion,2006

                                                                                     Russian
 Western Asia                                                                                                  East Asia
                                                                                    Federation   Rest of the
                                                                                                                12.4%
                                                                                      4.3%         World
                                                                                                   16.8%
Southeast Asia                                                                      Western
                                                                                      Asia
                                                                                      0.5%
                                                                                    Central
   South Asia
                                                                                     Asia
                                                                                     0.4%
     East Asia

                                                                                    Southeast                     South Asia
                                                                                      Asia                          61.3%
  Central Asia
                                                                                      4.4%

                 0   0.2    0.4   0.6      0.8     1        1.2   1.4   1.6   1.8
                                        Percentage of GDP




                           Source: FAO 2011
• Asia-Pacific fastest growing region since mid-1970s, has largest and
  fastest growing middle class

• Sovereign wealth funds ($3.6 trillion in 2010) expected to be
  increasingly invested in Emerging Economies
Opportunities for Community Forestry
• Move towards “Green Economy”
   – Appropriate scale not economies of scale
   – Localization of economy not globalization
   – Cooperation for the best not competition for the
     cheapest

• Greater attention to social-environmental
  safeguards, expected flow of investment funds

• Bonn Challenge (UNCBD/UNFCCC/IUCN)
   – Goal of restoring 150 million hectares degraded
     forests by 2020
   – Require doubling rate of afforestation, regeneration
     and agroforestry
Conditions for Success of Community
     Forestry in Asia and Elsewhere
• Protection and enforcement of rights

• Strengthened policies and systems of
  support for CF and CF enterprises

• Capacity and opportunities for investment
  and reinvestment in CF

• Pro-poor governance reforms

• Equitable sharing of benefits of SFM/ CF
Making CF a Viable Business Model
         • Secure tenure over land and
           resources

         • Removing discriminatory barriers
           against CF and small producers

         • Access to
           finance, markets, technology, assis
           tance with contracts, information

         • Scaling up through
           partnerships, federations, associati
           ons and hybrid models
Thank You

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Doris Capistrano ppt

  • 1. Global Forest Policy and Politics: Current Trends, Issues and Future Directions Implications for Community Forestry in Asia Pacific Doris Capistrano Advisor ASEAN-Swiss Partnership on Social Forestry and Climate Change First Dr. Somsak Sukwong Annual Lecture Katsetsart University June 5, 2012
  • 2. Outline I. Global Forest Policy: Competing Narratives, Evolving Political Dynamics II. Key Driving Forces and Trends III. Implications for Community Forestry, particularly in Asia-Pacific
  • 3. UN Conference on Environment and Development (Rio 1992) • Laid the foundation for global environmental governance – UN Convention on Climate Change – UN Convention on Biological Diversity – UN Convention on Desertification – Rio Declaration and Agenda 21 • But no legally binding agreement on forests – Statement of Forest Principles – Created Intergovernmental Panel/Forum on Forests  Non-legally Binding Forest Instrument (NLBI) agreed in 2007; UNFF to negotiate a legally binding agreement in 2015
  • 4. NLBI: Global Objectives 1. Reverse the loss of forest cover worldwide through sustainable forest management (SFM), 2. Enhance forest-based economic, social and environmental benefits, 3. Increase significantly the area of protected forests worldwide and other areas of sustainably managed forests, 4. Reverse the decline in official development assistance for sustainable forest management and mobilize significantly increased, new and additional financial resources
  • 5. Key Narratives Threads and Debates in Global Forest Policy • Global vs. national/local values; authority to decide on forests • Conservation vs. development • Mix of forest products and services • Role of the state; voluntary standards vs. regulation  Competing narratives about forests, people and how to achieve Sustainable Forest Management (SFM)
  • 6. Dynamics of Global Forest Politics • Fragmented policy regime (multiplicity of forums) • Widened interest group participation (beyond States) – Civil Society, Indigenous Peoples, Private Sector, Research, etc. – Consultative processes , multi-stakeholder mechanisms – Diffused leadership and influence in agenda setting • Dominance of market approaches – Creation of new property rights and markets to address environmental and equity issues – Payments for ecosystem services (e.g. REDD) • “Greening” of the corporate sector – Voluntary standards, certification, roundtables – Use of technology and innovation – Corporate political influence, bias in favor of concessions
  • 7. Drivers of Forest Policy and Politics • Originate mainly from outside the forest sector Global Food Price Index 1990-2012 • Key drivers in recent years include: Source: FAO 250.0 – Economic and demographic Trends 200.0 – Renewed concerns about food security 150.0 – Climate change, role of forests in 100.0 mitigation and adaptation 50.0 – Empowerment of Indigenous Peoples and Communities 0.0 – Governance reforms (NFPs, FLEG, etc.) 1996 2000 2004 2008 1990 1992 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2012 Shifting balance of power; changing narratives
  • 8. Decreasing Absolute Poverty, Growing Middle Class, Increasing Inequality • 75% Global GDP growth (1992-2010), fastest in middle income countries • GDP pc in high income countries 30x that of low income countries • Global GDP expected to grow 5x from US$60 to US300 trillion by 2030 • Emerging economies will contribute 2/3 of global growth by 2030  Economic power shifting from “West” to “East” notably to Asia  2 billion forest dwelling people among the poorest, with unmet expectations of justice and development
  • 9. Contribution of the Forestry Sector as a Percentage of GDP in the World by Subregion,2006 WORLD SOUTH AMERICA OCEANIA NORTH AMERICA CENTRAL AMERICA CARIBBEAN EUROPE (with Russia) Employment in primary production ASIA of forest goods, 2005 AFRICA Rest of the East Asia 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Russian World 12.4% Federation 16.8% Percentage of GDP 4.3% Western Asia 0.5% Central Asia 0.4% South Asia Southeast 61.3% Asia 4.4% Source: FAO 2011
  • 10. Demand for Land for Food, Fuel, Carbon • 7 billion people (2011); projected 9.1 billion by 2050 • 2.7 billion people using biomass energy for fuel • 4.9 billion hectares of agricultural land (2009) • 2.2% growth in agricultural production (1997 – 2007) • Agro-industrial plantation on community and indigenous lands Since 2008, about 1000% increase in “land-grabbing”-- over 240 million hectares, mostly in forest lands (ILO 2011; RRI 2012)  Call for more integrated approach to landscape management
  • 11. Climate change put forests back on the global agenda • Recognition of the role of forests in climate change mitigation and adaptation • Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD) • Reversed declining donor funding for forests – Adaptation funding doubled since 1990 but make up only 3% of total aid commitment – Funding over-estimated, mostly relabeling and repackaging of aid Source: Michaelowa (2011)
  • 12. Empowerment of Indigenous Peoples and Forest Communities • Expansion of area under control of Indigenous Peoples and communities – Globally, from 10% in 2002 to 15% today – In developing countries, from 21% in 2002 to 31% • Over 50 laws recognizing rights since 1992, mostly in Latin America • UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (2007); FAO Guidance on Tenure Reform (2012) • Representation in international bodies, steering committees and governing boards  But still gap between rhetoric and implementation Source: RRI (2012)
  • 13. Deforestation continues but at a slower pace • 13 million hectares of forest lost per year from 2000 to 2010 • Increase in planted forests, especially in Asia-Pacific • Expansion of protected areas  Net forest loss of 5.2 million hectares annually Source: FAO
  • 14. Area of Forests in the World by Subregion, 1990, 2000, and 2010 1200000 1000000 Area (1000 ha) 800000 600000 400000 200000 Series1 0 Series2 Area of Planted Forests in the World Series3 by subregion, 1990, 2000, and 2010 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 Area (1000 ha) 40000 Subregion 20000 Series1 0 Series2 Series3 subregion
  • 15. Forest Trends in the Asia Pacific Region Area of Planted Forests in • Asia-Pacific has 18% of global forest area Asia, by subregion, 1990, 2000, and 2010 • Forests in China, Australia, India, Indonesia 100000 and Myanmar account for 70% 90000 80000 • Annual deforestation of 0.7 million Area (1000 ha) 70000 60000 50000 40000 hectares/ year (1990) 30000 Series1 20000 • Forest planting, regeneration 1.4 million 10000 Series2 0 Series3 hectares annually (2000-2010) • Gain in forest cover in subregion China, India, Vietnam, Philippines and Bhutan  Granting tenure and rights key factor in forest planting and regeneration
  • 16. Owned by individuals and Distribution of Forest Land Tenure firms - 6% Asia-Pacific, 2008 Administered by government Owned by communities and indigenous groups - Designated for use by communities and 24% indigenous groups Owned by communities and indigenous Administered by groups Designated for use by government - 67% communities and Owned by individuals and firms indigenous groups - 3% Source: Dahal et al (2011); RRI (2012)
  • 17. Contribution of the Forestry Sector as Employment in primary a Percentage of GDP in Asia by production of forest goods, 2005 Subregion,2006 Russian Western Asia East Asia Federation Rest of the 12.4% 4.3% World 16.8% Southeast Asia Western Asia 0.5% Central South Asia Asia 0.4% East Asia Southeast South Asia Asia 61.3% Central Asia 4.4% 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 Percentage of GDP Source: FAO 2011
  • 18. • Asia-Pacific fastest growing region since mid-1970s, has largest and fastest growing middle class • Sovereign wealth funds ($3.6 trillion in 2010) expected to be increasingly invested in Emerging Economies
  • 19. Opportunities for Community Forestry • Move towards “Green Economy” – Appropriate scale not economies of scale – Localization of economy not globalization – Cooperation for the best not competition for the cheapest • Greater attention to social-environmental safeguards, expected flow of investment funds • Bonn Challenge (UNCBD/UNFCCC/IUCN) – Goal of restoring 150 million hectares degraded forests by 2020 – Require doubling rate of afforestation, regeneration and agroforestry
  • 20. Conditions for Success of Community Forestry in Asia and Elsewhere • Protection and enforcement of rights • Strengthened policies and systems of support for CF and CF enterprises • Capacity and opportunities for investment and reinvestment in CF • Pro-poor governance reforms • Equitable sharing of benefits of SFM/ CF
  • 21. Making CF a Viable Business Model • Secure tenure over land and resources • Removing discriminatory barriers against CF and small producers • Access to finance, markets, technology, assis tance with contracts, information • Scaling up through partnerships, federations, associati ons and hybrid models