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1877–0428 © 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and/or peer-review under responsibility of the Organizing Committee
doi:10.1016/j.sbspro.2011.08.018
Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139
14th
EWGT & 26th
MEC & 1st
RH
Sustainable City-Plan Based on Planning Algorithm, Planners'
Heuristics and Transportation Aspects
Rachel Katoshevski-Cavaria,*
, Theo A. Arentzeb
, Harry J.P. Timmermansb
a
Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, and Urban Planner, POB 4045, Omer, Israel
b
Department of Architecture, Building and Planning, Eindhoven University of Technology, Den Dolech 2, POB 513, 5600 MB Eindhoven, The
Netherlands
Abstract
A multi-agent model is applied to develop and asses the impact of urban forms in terms of sustainability measures. The aim of
this model is to understand and draw conclusions concerning the planner's options to arrive at a plan, which reflects a sustainable
built environment in terms of transportation, distribution of facilities, and minimization of pollution emission from vehicles. The
relationships between transportation, land-use, and the environment are key factors for developing a sustainable built
environment. The fundamental question is: What is the optimal city-form where equilibrium is reached? Of course, no single
answer can be given due to the many aspects which come into play, such as city size, distance to other cities or to service centres.
However for each city size and population preferences, a specific city form should lead to a sustainable environment. In this
study, we suggest that the multi-agent model can be a useful support tool for planners to assess sustainability issues in their plan
development. We examine city plans that differ in their main road-network. Two city forms/structures are considered, and these
are the "compact city" and the "multi-nuclear city". The land-use distributions that are obtained reflect these road/city-form
alternatives, combined with input data about people preferences. This leads to the possibility to simulate distribution of facilities
that takes into account predicted activity-travel patterns of individuals, using an activity-based model of transport demand,
estimated on the basis of a comprehensive survey. The analysis of travel in the city, in turn, leads to the evaluation of parameters
such as total travel distance per day, number of daily trips as well as accessibility characteristics of the planned city. This enables
an analysis of pollution emission from vehicles and comfort of accessibility. Planner heuristics is incorporated in between
calculation stages so that the procedure as a whole would lead to a realistic and desirable result. The presented model which is a
combination of a theoretical simulation and realistic planner input can be used in urban planning actual practice. Relevant
planning examples where this procedure can be used are new master plans for actual cities, in which major population increase is
expected, or in a new development (neighborhood, city etc).
© 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and/or peer-review under responsibility of the Organizing Committee.
Keywords: travel behaviour, environmental aspects of transportation, urban planning
* Corresponding author. Tel.:+972-506204309; fax: +972-8-6263797.
E-mail address: krachel@bgu.ac.il.
132 Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139
1. Introduction
A sustainable built environment should rely on a correct relationship between transportation and land-use. The
planner role is to find the optimum combination in light of the targeted population and their expected activity
patterns. Different studies deal with this land use-transportation interaction. Hall (1996), for example, elaborated the
relationship between transportation and land use, and claimed that planners should consider them as one mesh, and
handle the two in some fragile combination. O’Meara (1998) represents another similar example, while Newman
and Kenworthy (1992) stated that “The great challenge in our cities is to protect individual freedom in locating land
uses and to provide access to them, while maintaining the public qualities of clean air, safe streets, and attractive
public spaces” (p.360).
A common hypothesis is that policies which encourage people to live in compact cities with high-density
residential areas, mixed land-use, transit accessibility, and pedestrian friendliness, create an environment where
people drive less Cervero (1989). This reduction in travel may result from fewer trips, shorter ones, or shifting from
single-occupancy vehicles to public transportation, walking, and/or cycling. Cervero and Kockelman (1997),
Newman and Kenworthy (1989, 1999), Holtzclaw (1990), Frank and Pivo (1994), Kitamura et al. (1997), Badoe and
Miller (2000), and Roodra et al. (2009) are examples of studies that assume that living in higher density
neighbourhoods contributes to the reduction of motorized level. These assumptions have led some cities to try and
implement different policies, such as transit-oriented development, mixed land-use, and different concentration
forms. Bagley and Mokhtarian (2000) give an overview of early empirical studies of these policies and their effect
on transportation. Most of these evaluation studies have examined particular aspects of travel. We argue, however,
that an application of an activity-based model, which captures the interdependencies in activity-travel behaviour
should be preferred as this allows a more integrated analysis. Activity-based models as a tool for modelling
behavioural response to urban and transportation policies have been developed and applied in different studies (e.g.,
Kitamura et al. (1996); Rossi and Shiftan (1997); Gunn and Van der Hoorn (1998); Shiftan (1999); Algers and Beser
(2000); Salvini and Miller (2005); Katoshevski-Cavari (2007); Shiftan (2008); and Katoshevski-Cavari et al.
(2009)). The extension of this line of research to include pollution however is a relatively new development, except
for a few early studies, such as Marquez and Smith (1999) and Bexcks et al. (2008) which discussed the effect of
different possible future city scenarios to decrease in pollution in the city.
In this study, we deal with planning as a tool for the development of the most sustainable city, with a focus on the
reduction of the total travel in the city and hence emission from transportation. In our study, we use a multi-agent
model, as a decision support tool, to develop different versions of master plans which include land uses (and may
include facilities), and can be evaluated based on transportation and environmental aspects. These developed master
plans are further modified and changed by the planner due to and based on different planning reasons and planners'
heuristics. This modification can be examined to assess its effect on specific desired aspects, such as reduction of
total travel and emission of air pollution in the city.
In the course of this paper, we will describe the methodology followed by the description of the developed plans
based on two city forms. A multi-nuclear form will be presented with its land use map. The effect of the city form,
based on a comparison between a compact city and a multi-nuclear city will be analyzed in terms of land use
distributions. In the last part of this paper, the planner's additional input will be elucidated followed by concluding
remarks.
2. Methodology
As mentioned, the aim of this study is to understand and draw conclusions concerning the planner's options to
develop a plan, which reflects a sustainable built environment in terms of transportation, distribution of facilities and
minimization of pollution emission from vehicles. To that effect, a multi-agent numerical model and planners'
knowledge is used. The current application differs from previous studies Katoshevski-Cavari et al. (2010) in that a
multinuclear urban form is examined. Multi-nuclear city-forms are not addressed much in the planning literature,
and it is worthwhile to examine their performance in terms of sustainability. We compare this new form to the
"compact city form" presented in previous studies. Both city forms will be explained later. The methodology is
based first on a multi-agent system, while incorporating the planner heuristics. This input of the planner comes into
play as an intermediate stage, when the generated computerized city maps are available for adjustments and changes
Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 133
by the planner. We will now describe the different stages of the system, and then illustrate the evolution of the two
specific city forms, analyzed in this study.
It is important to note that this study is based on theoretical implementation. The city maps are theoretical and do
not stand for a specific existing development. However, such a study can draw conclusion in two aspects: theoretical
and practical. First, the theoretical aspect, aims to understand the impact of the road structure on the transportation
efficiency as well as car-pollution reduction, or in other words, the effect of city form on people travel in the city.
Studying this aspect leads to the understanding of the possibility that the planner has to create a sustainable city
development while focusing only on a "good planning form" (and not on external aspects such as parking policies,
congestion pricing). As of that, the methodology of this study is based on a development of a land use map (and in
later stage a distribution of facilities), in two distinctive city versions (using the multi-agent model). In the final
stage the model is used to evaluate the transportation and pollution parameters of these two versions. The result of
this stage should, as mentioned, draw conclusions concerning the "good city form" for the planner to adopt when
planning a new city, a new spatial development, a neighbourhood, as well as a development-increasing of an
existing city. The second aspect of this presented study, that is the practical aspect, is to introduce a tool for
planners to use in such mentioned substantial developments. The tool can be used based on existing urban
structures, with existing urban maps, and choosing the best enlargement possibilities based on the actual constrains.
2.1. The multi-agent system
The multi agent planning support system/algorithm is described in detail in Arentze and Timmermans (2000;
2007), and Katoshevski-Cavari (2007), and hence here we describe it briefly for the sake of convenience, and focus
on its first stage, the suitability function that is responsible for the land use map.
The basis of this model is the assumption that urban dynamics are driven by decisions of at least three groups of
actors: (1) The planning authority, (2) Supplier agents, and (3) Individuals and households. The assumption is that
the behaviour, decisions and interaction of these three actors are the drivers for the development of the built
environment. The system is comprised of several stages and consists of co-evolving models for each of these actors.
That is, the multi-agent system consists of three sub-models. 1) Land use model, 2) Facility location model and 3)
Facility use model. These sub-models generate city-maps which include land uses and the location of facilities. The
input data is based on people’s preferences and observed activity-travel patterns (conjoint study and time-use
survey, see Katoshevski and Timmermans (2001), and Katoshevski-Cavari(2007)).
The land use model- The Suitability function. Determining the suitability of an allocation in the context of the
land-use allocation process is based on a suitability function. This part of the system is "done" by the planning
authorities, in our case based on learned people preferences. The function is defined by the following equations:
i Gh hghj
g
ij
g
ij
g
igl lzlxwz )()( (1)
otherwise
cldcif
l
g
iji
g
jig
ij
,0
)(,1
)( 1
(2)
Where:
G is the exhaustive set of land use typesg, h G
i =1,…,|G| + 2, is an index of land-use types extended with city center and main road
j =1,…, 6, is an index of cut-of-points used to define distance intervals
l is an index of cells
glz is the suitability of land characteristics of cell l for g
g
iw is the weight of distance to land-use/center/road i for g
g
ijx is a suitability score assigned to the j-th level of distance to i for g
134 Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139
hgz is the suitability of presence of land use h adjacent to g
)(lh equals 1, if land use h is adjacent to l and 0 otherwise
)(ldi is the distance of l from i
g
ijc is the j-th cut-off-point for distance to i defined for land-use g (ci0 = 0, ci6 = )
As described in the above equations, the suitability of a cell l for a particular land-use g in this model is assumed
to depend on three factors. First, accessibility to main roads, to the city center and to specific land use categories h
are measured as a minimum distance across all other cells in the plan area that contain land-use h. Second,
adjacency (land use in neighborhood cells) refers to any direct negative or positive effect one land use may have on
another, adjacent land-use (for example, caused by noise, traffic load, decrease of visibility etc.). The latter involves
the four direct neighboring cells and four diagonal ones. Finally, land characteristics such as for example slope and
soil may have an influence. It is noted that, given the purpose of our analysis, this latter set of factors is left-out-of
consideration here.
Then, after the land use map is finalized the system plot facilities based on the activity patterns. This final map
(which includes land use and facilities) can be evaluated based on the performance indicators defined in the system.
In the present work we focus on the land-use maps and not on the facility distribution.
Analysis of Mobility and Transport Demand, based on the trips resulting from a one day run of facilities used in
the system by the city population. For each activity type (at subclass level) the model determines the distance
travelled (a straight line distance in meters) for each trip conducted for the activity type, or Accessibility which
reflects the ease of access to facilities, that is, the convenience of moving from a home location to different facilities.
It is commonly assumed that better accessibility is a positive indicator of sustainable development. This system also
can evaluate the developed map, using various performance indicators.
In this study, as mentioned, we include a planner input as an intermediate stage between model stages. This stage
enters between the land use map (the land use model) and the facility distribution model. That is, after the
computerized development of the city has been accomplished, the planner is invited to suggest changes in the land
use map. This can be done for two reasons: 1) Strengthening the chosen planning policy by artificially modifying
the land use map and replacing specific cells, and 2) Improve the overall plan, that is, after the master plan is
finalized, the planner adjusts the developed city to common planning norms and perceptions. In order to evaluate the
influence of the planer intervention, the system can plot facilities in the computerized map as well as in the adjust
map and compare the resulting spatial configuration of land use and facilities before and after the planner
adjustments.
The multi-agent system is employed here for two fundamental city forms, the "compact city", which is based on
previous studies, and the "multi-nuclear city" which is new in this respect. We will now shed light on these two
forms and compare the results of the simulations for their land use distributions. It is important to note that in
general the system obtains both the land use maps as well as facility distribution maps, while here, for the current
framework we focus only on land-use.
3. Effect of city form
As mentioned already, one of the aims of this study is to have a better understanding of the effect of city form on
peoples travelling in the city. We focus on a new element, that is the effect of the multi-nuclear city-form, and
compare the compact city form, which we studied previously. The "multi-nuclear" form is relevant only from a
certain size of a city. Hence we deal with a hypothetical city of 300,000 people and 5,000 area-cells of 125X125 m.
As the city is bigger, the travelling options are increased on one hand but might be more time consuming on the
other hand. No doubt that people activity patterns will change in the shift from a concentric small city (which we
studied in our previous studies) to a large city with more than one centre. Hence this is the motivation for implying
the system to a much bigger city size and to a complex city form.
Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 135
The "Compact City": This form includes two main roads intersect at the centre of the planned area, forming an
"x" shape and additional several circular main roads dividing the city into sections surrounded by roads (Fig 1).
Such a layout is likely to result in a more constrained development and hence the emergence of a compact city
Katoshevski–Cavari (2007).
Figure 1. The Compact City form. Figure 2. The Multi-Nuclear City form.
The "Multi-Nuclear City": This form, is based on the compact city form. However, this city structure is
characterized by double-centre city. (Fig.2) it includes two intersections of main roads and circular roads.
The first stage of the model is the development of land uses, based on determined setting parameters, which were
set using a conjoint study that looked at people’s preferences concerning their built environment Katoshevski and
Timmermans (2001). This set of parameters is used here as well for the simulations of the above two city forms. In
case of an exiting city, the map for the initial condition would have been a combination between an actual land use
distribution and road structure and a new map section with empty cells to be determined by the simulation. In the
frame of this study we deal with the concept, and for illustration the map we use as the initial condition has only
empty cells, that are "needed" for the city development (in this case study 5,000 cells) while indicating where are the
main roads, as shown in Fig. 3. The emerged two land use maps are presented in Figs 4 and 5.
The maps presented in Figs 4 and 5 show the effect of the city form on the land use distribution. It is important to
emphasis as mentioned earlier, that both maps have about the same total number of cells, and same sub-division for
land use cells, In this application seven land use categories were included: Housing High and Low, Industry High-
Tech and Low-Tech, Commercial, Recreation, and Nature. In addition, the maps are based on the same cell size
(125 X125 m.) and similar parameter settings.
Figure 4 presents the result of the numerical simulation for the compact city form with one centre. The centre is
of a commercial nature which is an optimized configuration in terms of accessibility to shopping from all areas of
the city. The centre is surrounded by housing and recreation area and in the outer zones by industry and nature. The
industrial area is not located on main road but is rather served by two radial main roads in each edge of the area,
roads that are connected to out-of the city road-net.
In comparison to that configuration, the multi-nuclear city, presented in Fig. 5 has different characteristics. This
is a city with two focal areas. One is a central commercial area (on the left side of the map), which is similar to that
of the compact city. This zone includes a big main commercial area, a main recreation area, and housing. The other
focal area (on the right side of the map), is mainly an industrial one, surrounded by a green area (Nature cells), and
at some distance it is encircled in three sides by housing. This development is based on two focal areas but each with
a different "role" in people's activities and travelling behaviour. The clear separation between the commercial area
and the industrial area is assumed to influence the travelling behaviour of those commuting on a daily basis to the
industrial area for work.
After this outcome land use map, of the system, the planner may introduce modifications to that developed land
use map according to his knowledge and preferences. We now turn to this possibility of the modification made by
the planner after the first simulation, introducing a combined manual and computerized tool. For demonstration we
use the compact city form, and this is presented next.
136 Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139
Figure 3. A segment of the initial land use map, for illustration. All the cells s are not assigned with land use, while the main road are marked
Figure 4. The Compact City form- land use map.
Housing- H
Housing- L
Industry- H
Industry- L
Comercial
Recreation
Nature
Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 137
Figure 5. The Multi-Nuclear city form- land use map.
4. Planner modification
In Fig. 6 a demonstration of the planner adjustment is presented. In this case the planner chooses the compact city
form as suitable for the planned city. The land use map which is in his hands after the first simulation is shown in
Fig. 6a, and this serves as a basis for changes/adjustments of land-uses in purpose of improving the Commercial
cells distribution for strengthening the trend of "mixed uses" in the city. After the adjustments of the planner, the
simulation produces a new version of the land use map, presented in Fig. 6b. It is clear that the distribution of the
commercial cells has changed dramatically, reducing the number of commercial cells in the centre while spreading
such cells all over city.
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Figure 6. Land use maps for two options: a) produced by the computerized model, b) outcome map including planner's input.
Hence, after the adjustments, the simulation is re-run and a new land-use map is created which includes the
constraints set by the planner. Now it is important to evaluate the result of the modification in terms of travelling
(and pollution emission) and decide whether the changes are worthwhile in the general sense. As can be seen from
Fig. 7 the planner's intervention in the distribution of the commercial cells in different areas leads to an increase of
the total travel in the city compared with the purely computerized version. The increase of total travel distance in the
city is obvious as the computerized model is constructed to lead to maximization of an overall suitability score
Housing- H
Housing- L
Industry- H
Industry- L
Comercial
Recreation
Nature
a b
Housing- H
Housing- L
Industry- H
Industry- L
Comercial
Recreation
Nature
138 Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139
which involves a minimization of travel distance among other objectives. However it is the planner's task to decide
whether the new configuration is still his preferred version.
Figure 7. Outcome total travel distance (in meters), with and without the planner's additional input (changed/ computerized, correspondingly).
5. Concluding remarks
The current study aimed first of all at studying the likely effects of different urban forms on the development of a
city, and hence on aspects of people's travel behaviour. The focus is on two specific city forms, the first is the
"compact city" and the second is the "multi-nuclear" form. Land use maps were generated for these two city forms,
and were compared, and serve for the planner as a basis for further improvement.
The study is based on a decision support system that first generates basic land use configurations that are
consistent with planning norms and expert knowledge and decisions, related to land use suitability,
interdependencies of land uses and user preferences. Next, a multi-agent model can be used to simulate how the
decisions of interacting and co-evolving agents influence the dynamic development of the city, starting from basic
urban forms towards more complex forms. The features of these emerging configurations of land use and associated
activity-travel patterns can be captured in terms of the performance indicators, which allow planners to better
understand which urban forms and scenarios tend to generate a more sustainable development. In the current study
the planner heuristics also come into play in manual modifications of the land use distribution. That is, the planner
uses the computerized procedure as a basis for further adjustments. Hence, part of what is learned here and is a new
feature for existing simulation procedures, is the way to introduce a combination of a computerized tool and manual
adjustments, and how to examine the effect of these adjustments on travel. The comparison between the solely
computerized city and the one with the planner adjustments show that in terms of travel distances the planner's
intervention increased the time, that is wrother the city configuration' in that respect. Hence we can conclude and
say that planners intervention do have a sustainability "price" in terms of travelling in the city and do need to be
consider before changed.
The distribution of facilities in both city structures, which will be done in the next stage, will help the
planners/authorities to draw conclusions concerning the accessibility and mobility aspects of the these two city
forms and will give suggestion concern the preferred city structure for planners to implement when dealing with
such city size.
The study, although theoretical in nature, is based on real data of people housing preferences, daily activity
patterns, and location choice behaviour. Rather than using more or less abstract city forms, it will be evident that a
concrete city can be used as input. In that case, the agent-based models will simulate exogenous dynamics of the
urban system coupled with the aspect of transportation, this is a major advantage of the model, as it can serve as an
actual planning tool for choosing the best city form for a development of an existing urban environment.
292000
294000
296000
298000
300000
302000
304000
City versions
Distances
Computerized map
Canged map
Computerized map
Changed map
Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 139
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1 s2.0-s187704281101398 x-main

  • 1. Available online at www.sciencedirect.com 1877–0428 © 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and/or peer-review under responsibility of the Organizing Committee doi:10.1016/j.sbspro.2011.08.018 Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 14th EWGT & 26th MEC & 1st RH Sustainable City-Plan Based on Planning Algorithm, Planners' Heuristics and Transportation Aspects Rachel Katoshevski-Cavaria,* , Theo A. Arentzeb , Harry J.P. Timmermansb a Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, and Urban Planner, POB 4045, Omer, Israel b Department of Architecture, Building and Planning, Eindhoven University of Technology, Den Dolech 2, POB 513, 5600 MB Eindhoven, The Netherlands Abstract A multi-agent model is applied to develop and asses the impact of urban forms in terms of sustainability measures. The aim of this model is to understand and draw conclusions concerning the planner's options to arrive at a plan, which reflects a sustainable built environment in terms of transportation, distribution of facilities, and minimization of pollution emission from vehicles. The relationships between transportation, land-use, and the environment are key factors for developing a sustainable built environment. The fundamental question is: What is the optimal city-form where equilibrium is reached? Of course, no single answer can be given due to the many aspects which come into play, such as city size, distance to other cities or to service centres. However for each city size and population preferences, a specific city form should lead to a sustainable environment. In this study, we suggest that the multi-agent model can be a useful support tool for planners to assess sustainability issues in their plan development. We examine city plans that differ in their main road-network. Two city forms/structures are considered, and these are the "compact city" and the "multi-nuclear city". The land-use distributions that are obtained reflect these road/city-form alternatives, combined with input data about people preferences. This leads to the possibility to simulate distribution of facilities that takes into account predicted activity-travel patterns of individuals, using an activity-based model of transport demand, estimated on the basis of a comprehensive survey. The analysis of travel in the city, in turn, leads to the evaluation of parameters such as total travel distance per day, number of daily trips as well as accessibility characteristics of the planned city. This enables an analysis of pollution emission from vehicles and comfort of accessibility. Planner heuristics is incorporated in between calculation stages so that the procedure as a whole would lead to a realistic and desirable result. The presented model which is a combination of a theoretical simulation and realistic planner input can be used in urban planning actual practice. Relevant planning examples where this procedure can be used are new master plans for actual cities, in which major population increase is expected, or in a new development (neighborhood, city etc). © 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and/or peer-review under responsibility of the Organizing Committee. Keywords: travel behaviour, environmental aspects of transportation, urban planning * Corresponding author. Tel.:+972-506204309; fax: +972-8-6263797. E-mail address: krachel@bgu.ac.il.
  • 2. 132 Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 1. Introduction A sustainable built environment should rely on a correct relationship between transportation and land-use. The planner role is to find the optimum combination in light of the targeted population and their expected activity patterns. Different studies deal with this land use-transportation interaction. Hall (1996), for example, elaborated the relationship between transportation and land use, and claimed that planners should consider them as one mesh, and handle the two in some fragile combination. O’Meara (1998) represents another similar example, while Newman and Kenworthy (1992) stated that “The great challenge in our cities is to protect individual freedom in locating land uses and to provide access to them, while maintaining the public qualities of clean air, safe streets, and attractive public spaces” (p.360). A common hypothesis is that policies which encourage people to live in compact cities with high-density residential areas, mixed land-use, transit accessibility, and pedestrian friendliness, create an environment where people drive less Cervero (1989). This reduction in travel may result from fewer trips, shorter ones, or shifting from single-occupancy vehicles to public transportation, walking, and/or cycling. Cervero and Kockelman (1997), Newman and Kenworthy (1989, 1999), Holtzclaw (1990), Frank and Pivo (1994), Kitamura et al. (1997), Badoe and Miller (2000), and Roodra et al. (2009) are examples of studies that assume that living in higher density neighbourhoods contributes to the reduction of motorized level. These assumptions have led some cities to try and implement different policies, such as transit-oriented development, mixed land-use, and different concentration forms. Bagley and Mokhtarian (2000) give an overview of early empirical studies of these policies and their effect on transportation. Most of these evaluation studies have examined particular aspects of travel. We argue, however, that an application of an activity-based model, which captures the interdependencies in activity-travel behaviour should be preferred as this allows a more integrated analysis. Activity-based models as a tool for modelling behavioural response to urban and transportation policies have been developed and applied in different studies (e.g., Kitamura et al. (1996); Rossi and Shiftan (1997); Gunn and Van der Hoorn (1998); Shiftan (1999); Algers and Beser (2000); Salvini and Miller (2005); Katoshevski-Cavari (2007); Shiftan (2008); and Katoshevski-Cavari et al. (2009)). The extension of this line of research to include pollution however is a relatively new development, except for a few early studies, such as Marquez and Smith (1999) and Bexcks et al. (2008) which discussed the effect of different possible future city scenarios to decrease in pollution in the city. In this study, we deal with planning as a tool for the development of the most sustainable city, with a focus on the reduction of the total travel in the city and hence emission from transportation. In our study, we use a multi-agent model, as a decision support tool, to develop different versions of master plans which include land uses (and may include facilities), and can be evaluated based on transportation and environmental aspects. These developed master plans are further modified and changed by the planner due to and based on different planning reasons and planners' heuristics. This modification can be examined to assess its effect on specific desired aspects, such as reduction of total travel and emission of air pollution in the city. In the course of this paper, we will describe the methodology followed by the description of the developed plans based on two city forms. A multi-nuclear form will be presented with its land use map. The effect of the city form, based on a comparison between a compact city and a multi-nuclear city will be analyzed in terms of land use distributions. In the last part of this paper, the planner's additional input will be elucidated followed by concluding remarks. 2. Methodology As mentioned, the aim of this study is to understand and draw conclusions concerning the planner's options to develop a plan, which reflects a sustainable built environment in terms of transportation, distribution of facilities and minimization of pollution emission from vehicles. To that effect, a multi-agent numerical model and planners' knowledge is used. The current application differs from previous studies Katoshevski-Cavari et al. (2010) in that a multinuclear urban form is examined. Multi-nuclear city-forms are not addressed much in the planning literature, and it is worthwhile to examine their performance in terms of sustainability. We compare this new form to the "compact city form" presented in previous studies. Both city forms will be explained later. The methodology is based first on a multi-agent system, while incorporating the planner heuristics. This input of the planner comes into play as an intermediate stage, when the generated computerized city maps are available for adjustments and changes
  • 3. Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 133 by the planner. We will now describe the different stages of the system, and then illustrate the evolution of the two specific city forms, analyzed in this study. It is important to note that this study is based on theoretical implementation. The city maps are theoretical and do not stand for a specific existing development. However, such a study can draw conclusion in two aspects: theoretical and practical. First, the theoretical aspect, aims to understand the impact of the road structure on the transportation efficiency as well as car-pollution reduction, or in other words, the effect of city form on people travel in the city. Studying this aspect leads to the understanding of the possibility that the planner has to create a sustainable city development while focusing only on a "good planning form" (and not on external aspects such as parking policies, congestion pricing). As of that, the methodology of this study is based on a development of a land use map (and in later stage a distribution of facilities), in two distinctive city versions (using the multi-agent model). In the final stage the model is used to evaluate the transportation and pollution parameters of these two versions. The result of this stage should, as mentioned, draw conclusions concerning the "good city form" for the planner to adopt when planning a new city, a new spatial development, a neighbourhood, as well as a development-increasing of an existing city. The second aspect of this presented study, that is the practical aspect, is to introduce a tool for planners to use in such mentioned substantial developments. The tool can be used based on existing urban structures, with existing urban maps, and choosing the best enlargement possibilities based on the actual constrains. 2.1. The multi-agent system The multi agent planning support system/algorithm is described in detail in Arentze and Timmermans (2000; 2007), and Katoshevski-Cavari (2007), and hence here we describe it briefly for the sake of convenience, and focus on its first stage, the suitability function that is responsible for the land use map. The basis of this model is the assumption that urban dynamics are driven by decisions of at least three groups of actors: (1) The planning authority, (2) Supplier agents, and (3) Individuals and households. The assumption is that the behaviour, decisions and interaction of these three actors are the drivers for the development of the built environment. The system is comprised of several stages and consists of co-evolving models for each of these actors. That is, the multi-agent system consists of three sub-models. 1) Land use model, 2) Facility location model and 3) Facility use model. These sub-models generate city-maps which include land uses and the location of facilities. The input data is based on people’s preferences and observed activity-travel patterns (conjoint study and time-use survey, see Katoshevski and Timmermans (2001), and Katoshevski-Cavari(2007)). The land use model- The Suitability function. Determining the suitability of an allocation in the context of the land-use allocation process is based on a suitability function. This part of the system is "done" by the planning authorities, in our case based on learned people preferences. The function is defined by the following equations: i Gh hghj g ij g ij g igl lzlxwz )()( (1) otherwise cldcif l g iji g jig ij ,0 )(,1 )( 1 (2) Where: G is the exhaustive set of land use typesg, h G i =1,…,|G| + 2, is an index of land-use types extended with city center and main road j =1,…, 6, is an index of cut-of-points used to define distance intervals l is an index of cells glz is the suitability of land characteristics of cell l for g g iw is the weight of distance to land-use/center/road i for g g ijx is a suitability score assigned to the j-th level of distance to i for g
  • 4. 134 Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 hgz is the suitability of presence of land use h adjacent to g )(lh equals 1, if land use h is adjacent to l and 0 otherwise )(ldi is the distance of l from i g ijc is the j-th cut-off-point for distance to i defined for land-use g (ci0 = 0, ci6 = ) As described in the above equations, the suitability of a cell l for a particular land-use g in this model is assumed to depend on three factors. First, accessibility to main roads, to the city center and to specific land use categories h are measured as a minimum distance across all other cells in the plan area that contain land-use h. Second, adjacency (land use in neighborhood cells) refers to any direct negative or positive effect one land use may have on another, adjacent land-use (for example, caused by noise, traffic load, decrease of visibility etc.). The latter involves the four direct neighboring cells and four diagonal ones. Finally, land characteristics such as for example slope and soil may have an influence. It is noted that, given the purpose of our analysis, this latter set of factors is left-out-of consideration here. Then, after the land use map is finalized the system plot facilities based on the activity patterns. This final map (which includes land use and facilities) can be evaluated based on the performance indicators defined in the system. In the present work we focus on the land-use maps and not on the facility distribution. Analysis of Mobility and Transport Demand, based on the trips resulting from a one day run of facilities used in the system by the city population. For each activity type (at subclass level) the model determines the distance travelled (a straight line distance in meters) for each trip conducted for the activity type, or Accessibility which reflects the ease of access to facilities, that is, the convenience of moving from a home location to different facilities. It is commonly assumed that better accessibility is a positive indicator of sustainable development. This system also can evaluate the developed map, using various performance indicators. In this study, as mentioned, we include a planner input as an intermediate stage between model stages. This stage enters between the land use map (the land use model) and the facility distribution model. That is, after the computerized development of the city has been accomplished, the planner is invited to suggest changes in the land use map. This can be done for two reasons: 1) Strengthening the chosen planning policy by artificially modifying the land use map and replacing specific cells, and 2) Improve the overall plan, that is, after the master plan is finalized, the planner adjusts the developed city to common planning norms and perceptions. In order to evaluate the influence of the planer intervention, the system can plot facilities in the computerized map as well as in the adjust map and compare the resulting spatial configuration of land use and facilities before and after the planner adjustments. The multi-agent system is employed here for two fundamental city forms, the "compact city", which is based on previous studies, and the "multi-nuclear city" which is new in this respect. We will now shed light on these two forms and compare the results of the simulations for their land use distributions. It is important to note that in general the system obtains both the land use maps as well as facility distribution maps, while here, for the current framework we focus only on land-use. 3. Effect of city form As mentioned already, one of the aims of this study is to have a better understanding of the effect of city form on peoples travelling in the city. We focus on a new element, that is the effect of the multi-nuclear city-form, and compare the compact city form, which we studied previously. The "multi-nuclear" form is relevant only from a certain size of a city. Hence we deal with a hypothetical city of 300,000 people and 5,000 area-cells of 125X125 m. As the city is bigger, the travelling options are increased on one hand but might be more time consuming on the other hand. No doubt that people activity patterns will change in the shift from a concentric small city (which we studied in our previous studies) to a large city with more than one centre. Hence this is the motivation for implying the system to a much bigger city size and to a complex city form.
  • 5. Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 135 The "Compact City": This form includes two main roads intersect at the centre of the planned area, forming an "x" shape and additional several circular main roads dividing the city into sections surrounded by roads (Fig 1). Such a layout is likely to result in a more constrained development and hence the emergence of a compact city Katoshevski–Cavari (2007). Figure 1. The Compact City form. Figure 2. The Multi-Nuclear City form. The "Multi-Nuclear City": This form, is based on the compact city form. However, this city structure is characterized by double-centre city. (Fig.2) it includes two intersections of main roads and circular roads. The first stage of the model is the development of land uses, based on determined setting parameters, which were set using a conjoint study that looked at people’s preferences concerning their built environment Katoshevski and Timmermans (2001). This set of parameters is used here as well for the simulations of the above two city forms. In case of an exiting city, the map for the initial condition would have been a combination between an actual land use distribution and road structure and a new map section with empty cells to be determined by the simulation. In the frame of this study we deal with the concept, and for illustration the map we use as the initial condition has only empty cells, that are "needed" for the city development (in this case study 5,000 cells) while indicating where are the main roads, as shown in Fig. 3. The emerged two land use maps are presented in Figs 4 and 5. The maps presented in Figs 4 and 5 show the effect of the city form on the land use distribution. It is important to emphasis as mentioned earlier, that both maps have about the same total number of cells, and same sub-division for land use cells, In this application seven land use categories were included: Housing High and Low, Industry High- Tech and Low-Tech, Commercial, Recreation, and Nature. In addition, the maps are based on the same cell size (125 X125 m.) and similar parameter settings. Figure 4 presents the result of the numerical simulation for the compact city form with one centre. The centre is of a commercial nature which is an optimized configuration in terms of accessibility to shopping from all areas of the city. The centre is surrounded by housing and recreation area and in the outer zones by industry and nature. The industrial area is not located on main road but is rather served by two radial main roads in each edge of the area, roads that are connected to out-of the city road-net. In comparison to that configuration, the multi-nuclear city, presented in Fig. 5 has different characteristics. This is a city with two focal areas. One is a central commercial area (on the left side of the map), which is similar to that of the compact city. This zone includes a big main commercial area, a main recreation area, and housing. The other focal area (on the right side of the map), is mainly an industrial one, surrounded by a green area (Nature cells), and at some distance it is encircled in three sides by housing. This development is based on two focal areas but each with a different "role" in people's activities and travelling behaviour. The clear separation between the commercial area and the industrial area is assumed to influence the travelling behaviour of those commuting on a daily basis to the industrial area for work. After this outcome land use map, of the system, the planner may introduce modifications to that developed land use map according to his knowledge and preferences. We now turn to this possibility of the modification made by the planner after the first simulation, introducing a combined manual and computerized tool. For demonstration we use the compact city form, and this is presented next.
  • 6. 136 Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 Figure 3. A segment of the initial land use map, for illustration. All the cells s are not assigned with land use, while the main road are marked Figure 4. The Compact City form- land use map. Housing- H Housing- L Industry- H Industry- L Comercial Recreation Nature
  • 7. Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 137 Figure 5. The Multi-Nuclear city form- land use map. 4. Planner modification In Fig. 6 a demonstration of the planner adjustment is presented. In this case the planner chooses the compact city form as suitable for the planned city. The land use map which is in his hands after the first simulation is shown in Fig. 6a, and this serves as a basis for changes/adjustments of land-uses in purpose of improving the Commercial cells distribution for strengthening the trend of "mixed uses" in the city. After the adjustments of the planner, the simulation produces a new version of the land use map, presented in Fig. 6b. It is clear that the distribution of the commercial cells has changed dramatically, reducing the number of commercial cells in the centre while spreading such cells all over city. 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 1 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 2 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 2 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 2 7 7 2 1 1 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 1 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 2 7 2 2 2 2 2 2 7 7 7 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 7 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 7 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 7 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 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Land use maps for two options: a) produced by the computerized model, b) outcome map including planner's input. Hence, after the adjustments, the simulation is re-run and a new land-use map is created which includes the constraints set by the planner. Now it is important to evaluate the result of the modification in terms of travelling (and pollution emission) and decide whether the changes are worthwhile in the general sense. As can be seen from Fig. 7 the planner's intervention in the distribution of the commercial cells in different areas leads to an increase of the total travel in the city compared with the purely computerized version. The increase of total travel distance in the city is obvious as the computerized model is constructed to lead to maximization of an overall suitability score Housing- H Housing- L Industry- H Industry- L Comercial Recreation Nature a b Housing- H Housing- L Industry- H Industry- L Comercial Recreation Nature
  • 8. 138 Rachel Katoshevski-Cavari et al. / Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences 20 (2011) 131–139 which involves a minimization of travel distance among other objectives. However it is the planner's task to decide whether the new configuration is still his preferred version. Figure 7. Outcome total travel distance (in meters), with and without the planner's additional input (changed/ computerized, correspondingly). 5. Concluding remarks The current study aimed first of all at studying the likely effects of different urban forms on the development of a city, and hence on aspects of people's travel behaviour. The focus is on two specific city forms, the first is the "compact city" and the second is the "multi-nuclear" form. Land use maps were generated for these two city forms, and were compared, and serve for the planner as a basis for further improvement. The study is based on a decision support system that first generates basic land use configurations that are consistent with planning norms and expert knowledge and decisions, related to land use suitability, interdependencies of land uses and user preferences. Next, a multi-agent model can be used to simulate how the decisions of interacting and co-evolving agents influence the dynamic development of the city, starting from basic urban forms towards more complex forms. The features of these emerging configurations of land use and associated activity-travel patterns can be captured in terms of the performance indicators, which allow planners to better understand which urban forms and scenarios tend to generate a more sustainable development. In the current study the planner heuristics also come into play in manual modifications of the land use distribution. That is, the planner uses the computerized procedure as a basis for further adjustments. Hence, part of what is learned here and is a new feature for existing simulation procedures, is the way to introduce a combination of a computerized tool and manual adjustments, and how to examine the effect of these adjustments on travel. The comparison between the solely computerized city and the one with the planner adjustments show that in terms of travel distances the planner's intervention increased the time, that is wrother the city configuration' in that respect. Hence we can conclude and say that planners intervention do have a sustainability "price" in terms of travelling in the city and do need to be consider before changed. The distribution of facilities in both city structures, which will be done in the next stage, will help the planners/authorities to draw conclusions concerning the accessibility and mobility aspects of the these two city forms and will give suggestion concern the preferred city structure for planners to implement when dealing with such city size. The study, although theoretical in nature, is based on real data of people housing preferences, daily activity patterns, and location choice behaviour. Rather than using more or less abstract city forms, it will be evident that a concrete city can be used as input. In that case, the agent-based models will simulate exogenous dynamics of the urban system coupled with the aspect of transportation, this is a major advantage of the model, as it can serve as an actual planning tool for choosing the best city form for a development of an existing urban environment. 292000 294000 296000 298000 300000 302000 304000 City versions Distances Computerized map Canged map Computerized map Changed map
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