VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud

Know First • Be First • Profit First

Craig Rispin
Business Futurist & Innovation Expert

www.FutureTrendsGroup.com
craig@futuretrendsgroup.com

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Karl Fisch - TheFischBowl.blogspot.com

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Discuss with a Partner:

What Did You Find Most
Surprising in the Video
“Did You Know”?

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Cloud Computing
a Passing Fad?

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Discuss with Partner:
What is Cloud Computing?

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“Cloud
Computing isn’t
really about
technology - it’s
really about
thinking of IT in a
whole new way.”

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You’re Already Livin’ in the Cloud

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Cisco: 50% of all Computing in Cloud by 2014

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Cloud is recognized as an increasingly important technology;
adoption is expected to accelerate rapidly in the coming years

What is Your Organization’s Level of The Global Cloud Computing Market is
Cloud Adoption? Forecast to Grow 22% per year through 2020
% of Respondents
91% $250B $241B

Piloting
21%
72% $200B

$150B
Adopting $150B
38% 28%

+33% $100B

Substantially
21% Implemented $50B
41%
+215% $41B
13%
$0B
Today 3 yrs 2011 2015 2020
Source: Sizing the cloud, Forrester Research, Inc., April 21, 2011
Nearly half (48%) of CIOs surveyed evaluate cloud options first, over
traditional IT approaches, before making any new IT investments
Source: (1) 2011 joint IBV/EIU Cloud-enabled Business Model Survey of 572 business & IT leaders; Q4. Which of the following most accurately describes your organisation’s level of
cloud technology adoption today and which do you expect will best describe it in three years?
Sizing the cloud , Forrester Research, April 21, 2011; http://www.cio.com/article/684338/Survey_CIOs_Are_Putting_the_Cloud_First
17 © 2012 IBM Corporation

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in Cloud Computing?

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Overview | Features | Tech Specs Order

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Onlive.com/desktop

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The Flipped Classroom

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What is the biggest driver
of innovation and change
in education worldwide?

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Who are the thought
leaders in education
driving change and
innovation?

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Beautiful, Elegant and
Simple Technology

That Helps You Keep Up

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David Allen’s Getting Things Done

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Online Mastermind Group

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Google+ Hangouts

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Download Craig’s eBook:

QR Scan or ! is.gd/think
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People

W
or
Sh k/L s
ift ife ife ce
L n
e
S ci

Acceleration
Business Globalised Technology

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Education
Re-Engineering

Global Free
Mobility Agency

Age Gap People End of
Retirement

Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size
or
Sh k/L s
ift ife ife ce
L n
e
Marketing S ci Unbreakable
Megatrend Tech
Acceleration
Business Globalised Technology Cloud
Outrageous
Outsourcing Computing

Coworking CoIT
Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile
Business Imperative Rise Madness

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Your mobile phone has
more computing power than
all of NASA in 1969.

http://www.ﬂickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732

How Big is Mobile Today?

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7B People in the World

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6B Mobile Subscribers

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6B Mobile Subscribers

1B 3G/LTE Subscribers
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Despite Tremendous Ramp So Far,
Smartphone User Adoption Has Huge Upside
Global Smartphone vs. Mobile Phone Subscriptions, Q4:11
7,000 6.1B Mobile Phone
Subscriptions
6,000

5,000
Global Subscriptions (MM)

4,000

3,000

2,000
953MM
Smartphone
Subscriptions
1,000

0
Smartphone Mobile Phone

Source: Mobile phone subscriptions per Informa (as of Q4:11), Smartphone subscriptions estimate based on Morgan Stanley Research’s
estimated smartphone user as % of total mobile user at the end of 2011 (16%).
Note: While there are 1B global 3G subscribers as of Q4:11, not all of them were smartphone users. One user may have multiple mobile 11
subscriptions, therefore actual user #s may be lower than subscriber #s.

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Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp –
The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
120
~120MM+
Mobile Internet
100 iPhone + iTouch + iPad
Launched 6/07
Desktop Internet
80
Subscribers (MM)

Netscape*
Launched 12/94
60
Mobile Internet
~32MM NTT docomo i-mode
40 Launched 6/99

Desktop Internet
20 ~27MM
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
~9MM

Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 8
Data as of CQ3:10.

380M

Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
100

~85MM
Mobile Internet Desktop Internet
80
iPhone + iTouch Netscape*
Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94
Subscribers (MM)

60
Mobile Internet
40
Launched 6/99

~18MM Desktop Internet
20
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
~8MM

Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7

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468M

Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
100

~85MM
Mobile Internet Desktop Internet
80
iPhone + iTouch Netscape*
Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94
Subscribers (MM)

60
Mobile Internet
40
Launched 6/99

~18MM Desktop Internet
20
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
~8MM

Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19

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~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7

iPods Changed Media Industry iPhones Ramped Even
Faster iPad Growth (3x iPhone) Leaves “Siblings” in Dust
First 8 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPod vs. iPhone vs. iPad

1,400
70,000
iPad
iPad
iPad iPhone
iPhone
iPhone iPod
iPod
iPod
20,000
1,200
60,000
Global Unit Shipments (000)
Global Unit Shipments (000)

1,000
50,000
15,000

800
40,000

10,000
600
30,000

400
20,000
5,000

200
10,000

000
000 1
11 2
22 3
33 4
44 5
55 6
6 7
7 8
8
Quarters After Launch

Source: Apple, as of CQ1:12 (8 quarters post iPad launch). 9
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Security Metering

Access

Control

Money
Body
Engines

South Korean Kids Get Robot Teachers

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Google robot car does 225,000km by itself
By Brett Davis | October 11th, 2010 20 Like 18 Comments

Mulit-billion-dollar international technology company, Google, has been secretly working away on
developing robotic cars capable of driving themselves.

Up until now it’s all been a bit of a secret, but Google has begun releasing information to the public
about what the company has been up to in the last year or so and where it’s currently at.
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Healthcare Robots

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Robotic Surgery Has Doubled in 5 Yrs

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5 Drivers of Change:
1. Social Networks

2. Home/Work Blur

3. Mobile Device Boom

4. Tech Savvy Employees

5. C-Suite & Employee’s Expectations of IT
Source: Paul D'Arcy
1 March 2011 CIO.com

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3D Printed Organs

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The Case for Foresight:
things might be moving faster
than you think...

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Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again

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Data Storage of the Future: Bacteria?
Chinese researchers
have developed a
way to use E.coli to
store data

One gram of the
bacteria could store
90 Gigabytes of Data

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THE FUTURE OF PEOPLE
Ultimate Upgrades

24 Will we be able to regrow body parts, organs in the near future? Scientists are making major breakthroughs right now.

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VITTA Conference - Keynote Speaker Craig Rispin, Futurist - The Reign of the Cloud

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