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Planning for the Future
in a Changing Environment
2016 D-STOP Symposium
University of Texas at Austin
April 1, 2016
Arash Mirzaei, P.E.
North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG)
North Central Texas Council of Governments
2
Regional Perspective
3
Population
• 2015: 7.0
million
• 2040: 10.7
million
• 4th Largest
MSA by
Population
Area
• 9,441 square
miles
• 2nd Largest
Metropolitan
Planning
Area
Economy
• Home to 18
Fortune 500
Firms
• Ranked 6th in
Gross
Metropolitan
Product
Transportation Planning Issues in DFW
 Increased travel time
 Air quality non-attainment
 Lack of coordination
between land-use and
transportation investments
4
Central Expressway
at Belt Line Road
5
Blueprint for the region’s transportation system
> 20-year timeframe
Updated every 4 years
Financially constrained
Metropolitan Transportation Plan
6
Mobility 2040 Prioritization and Expenditures
Maximize
ExistingSystem
Strategic
Infrastructure
Investment $37.4
$7.2
$3.6
$27.2
$43.4
Freeways/Tollways and Arterials
Additional Vehicle Capacity
HOV/Managed Lanes
Increase Auto Occupancy
Rail and Bus
Induce Switch to Transit
Growth, Development,
And Land Use Strategies
More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance
Management and Operations
• Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System
• Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements
Infrastructure Maintenance
• Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities
• Bridge Replacements
Mobility 2040 Expenditures $118.9*
*Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.
7
8
9
2017
2040
10
1. Understand future technologies to support CAV
2. Develop possible future scenarios for DFW
region
3. Investigate effects on both supply and demand
sides, and identify changes to the NCTCOG
planning process
University Partnership Program – Connected and
Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs)
Project goals
11
Task 1 – Future Technologies
1. Vehicle technologies
2. Infrastructure needs
3. Legal aspects
12
Task 2 – Future Scenarios
1. Likely future scenarios
2. Timeline for future scenarios
3. When and how does NCTCOG need to act?
Impact
Transportation Network Behavior
Public Transportation
Land Use
Safety
Environment
13
Task 3 – Future Impacts
Contact
• Arash Mirzaei, P.E.
• Model Development and Data Management, NCTCOG
• Tel: 817-695-9261
• E-mail: amirzaei@nctcog.org
14

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Planning for the Future in a Changing Environment

  • 1. Planning for the Future in a Changing Environment 2016 D-STOP Symposium University of Texas at Austin April 1, 2016 Arash Mirzaei, P.E. North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG)
  • 2. North Central Texas Council of Governments 2
  • 3. Regional Perspective 3 Population • 2015: 7.0 million • 2040: 10.7 million • 4th Largest MSA by Population Area • 9,441 square miles • 2nd Largest Metropolitan Planning Area Economy • Home to 18 Fortune 500 Firms • Ranked 6th in Gross Metropolitan Product
  • 4. Transportation Planning Issues in DFW  Increased travel time  Air quality non-attainment  Lack of coordination between land-use and transportation investments 4 Central Expressway at Belt Line Road
  • 5. 5 Blueprint for the region’s transportation system > 20-year timeframe Updated every 4 years Financially constrained Metropolitan Transportation Plan
  • 6. 6 Mobility 2040 Prioritization and Expenditures Maximize ExistingSystem Strategic Infrastructure Investment $37.4 $7.2 $3.6 $27.2 $43.4 Freeways/Tollways and Arterials Additional Vehicle Capacity HOV/Managed Lanes Increase Auto Occupancy Rail and Bus Induce Switch to Transit Growth, Development, And Land Use Strategies More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance Management and Operations • Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System • Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements Infrastructure Maintenance • Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities • Bridge Replacements Mobility 2040 Expenditures $118.9* *Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.
  • 7. 7
  • 8. 8
  • 10. 10 1. Understand future technologies to support CAV 2. Develop possible future scenarios for DFW region 3. Investigate effects on both supply and demand sides, and identify changes to the NCTCOG planning process University Partnership Program – Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) Project goals
  • 11. 11 Task 1 – Future Technologies 1. Vehicle technologies 2. Infrastructure needs 3. Legal aspects
  • 12. 12 Task 2 – Future Scenarios 1. Likely future scenarios 2. Timeline for future scenarios 3. When and how does NCTCOG need to act?
  • 13. Impact Transportation Network Behavior Public Transportation Land Use Safety Environment 13 Task 3 – Future Impacts
  • 14. Contact • Arash Mirzaei, P.E. • Model Development and Data Management, NCTCOG • Tel: 817-695-9261 • E-mail: amirzaei@nctcog.org 14

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. KZ