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Dave Michels
@DaveMichels
TalkingPointz.com




                Telespan March 2013
The Jetson’s




@DaveMichels
The Jetson’s

               Dick Tracy’s Watch




@DaveMichels
The Jetson’s

     Star Trek            Star Wars




@DaveMichels
The Jetson’s

               Star Trek and Star Wars

        2001 Space Odyssey

@DaveMichels
The Jetson’s

               Star Trek and Star Wars

        2001 Space Odyssey

@DaveMichels
In 2003 VoIP was New
• I can remember explaining VoIP that is was
  kind of like Vonage.
• I can remember explaining the benefit of a “work phone” at
  Home
   • “Yech!”
   • “Why Would I Want that?”

• Two Weeks Ago: Yahoo Ordered Employees Back to the
  Office
   • “Yech!”
   • “Why Would I Want that?”




@DaveMichels
Technology Shifts
• Two Kinds
 • Super Fast – blink of the eye (speeds/feeds/models)
 • Slow creeping, transformative changes (trends, usage)



  It is time to
  re-assess video




@DaveMichels
Is Video Important?
Twice as many people are afraid of going blind as are afraid of
premature death or heart disease.
• We have become numb to video – accepting voice only
  communications
• Imagine meetings where everyone has a blindfold
   • How much would you pay to take the blindfolds off?
   • Price is dropping
• Video is voice Plus More
• Consider the difference between movies and books, or
  TV and Radio
• Internet is transitioning from text to video (Youtube, Netflix)


@DaveMichels
Myths about Video
Revisit Assumptions About Video Communications.
• Video is Skype
• Peaked
• Intimidating
• Expensive
• Not Important
• Luxury
• Complex User Experience
• Poor Substitute for Meetings

@DaveMichels
I Learned Everything from TV
• The TV Boom
    • 1949: 940,000 homes had TVs
    • 1953: 20 Million homes had TVs
•    Initially TV imitated Radio
•    Sports and Wars changed the model
•    TV discovered it was more than radio




@DaveMichels
Prepare for BIG VIDEO
• Video Is moving out of the boardroom…into our
  lives
• Video is more than meetings and conferences
• Video meetings are just getting started
• The revolution Is upon us




@DaveMichels
The Forecast: A Perfect Storm




                                WebRTC

@DaveMichels
Simple Video Appliances
• Biscotti
• Tely
• Aver
• Creative Labs InPerson HD
• Logitech TVCam HD
• Nintendo Wii U




@DaveMichels
Big Video
• Democratization of Video
• Rich Video
 • HD
 • Content Sharing
 • Good Sound
                             Don’t Get Marooned!
• Lighting and Acoustics
• Recording
• Analytics
• Ubiquity
• Prices Dropping

@DaveMichels
Video is not a technology
• Think of video as an application
• Move away from codecs, signaling, speeds, and feeds
• Move toward connecting people


This happened with mobility
• Mobile first
• Mobile strategies
• Mobility



@DaveMichels
Video Usage Shifting
• Consumer/Prosumer
• Distributed Teams
• Beyond Departmental Meetings
 • Job Interviews
 • Across Corporate Boundaries
 • Friends and Families
 • Ambient Video

 Video is becoming natural, not the exception


@DaveMichels
Big Video Goes Beyond Conferencing

• Education
• Medical
• Judicial
• Banking
• Innovative Startups

The value of video is not in the technology, but
the application and use.



@DaveMichels
Big Video Common Themes

               Reliability   Integration


               Security          Support


                          APIs


@DaveMichels
Education
• Khan Academy is just the beginning
• Massive Online Open Courses will disrupt higher education
• 1000 randomly selected higher education students
  • Subtract out the students at UC News’ Top 100 Liberal Arts Colleges
     and universities
  • Subtract out the Ivy Leagues (Stanford, MIT, Emory, Rice, Vanderbilt,
     Clemson, Drexel
  • Subtract the famous state schools (UMass, Virginia, the California
     universities)
  • You still have 900 students left                         Source: Clay Shirky
• Plus corporate training, self-help programs, and hobby oriented
  education
• For millions the institutions in which they enroll are more reliable
  producers of debt than a career path

@DaveMichels
The Education Fantasy

       “We know that effective learning is best achieved
       through the engagement of other deeply attentive
       human beings. The learning might occur in a
       traditional classroom, but it might happen in a
       different space: a lab, a mountain stream, an
       international campus, a cafeteria, a residence
       hall, a basketball court.”

                            Daryl Tippens, the Provost of Pepperdine




@DaveMichels
The Education Reality
Pepperdine University offers online degrees
•   Masters and Doctorate
•   85% of the courses can be taken remotely




                                   Classroom in the Mountains



@DaveMichels
Education




@DaveMichels
MBA Telepresence Classroom, source Fast Company
@DaveMichels
Medical
• Ripe for Disruption
• Evan as an Outsider, Terrible Waste is Visible
• How Much Time to allow for a 15 minute
  appointment?
• Docs are struggling
• The Association of American Medical Colleges forecasts
  a 130,000 physician shortage by 2025




@DaveMichels
Personal Medical Lab
• An iPhone case that does a cardiogram for
  $199
• Smartphone accessories that can test urine,
  sweat, saliva, and blood
• Smartphones can do real-time passive
  monitoring of certain human conditions
  with a skin mounted sensor
• What happens with the smartphone has
  more diagnostic capabilities than the
  doctor’s office?
• If the lab work can be done at home, why
  not the consult?

@DaveMichels
Judicial
• The concept that the prosecutor, defendant, judge, jury, and
  witnesses all meet at the same time and place is obsolete
 • Prisoner transport/security
 • Rising cost of travel




@DaveMichels
Video Justice
               “In a perfect world, one with enough money
               available for all who need legal
               representation to afford it, I would prefer all
               parties, witnesses and attorney to be
               physically present in my courtroom.
               However, given the realities of funding for
               legal services corporations, pro bono
               difficulties and the demographic realities
               facing residents [in rural areas], video
               conferencing provides the best method of
               improving access to justice since the
               invention of the telephone.” Link


                   Honorable Gary L. Day (District Judge,
                   Sixteenth Judicial District, Montana)
@DaveMichels
American Well
• Get interactive medical advice from a doctor (not a website) from home
• Follow-ups
• Third World/Haiti
• Not a replacement
• Being Deployed by United Healthcare and Aetna




@DaveMichels
Healthspot Kiosk




@DaveMichels
Banking – PTM: Personal Teller Machines
• Defense Bank in Australia established a video call centre at its
  Melbourne head office, to service customers in their homes
• Remote staff handle account openings and loans. Teller in a call
  center can operate the machine remotely
• Expanding its Partnership: In January 2013 NCR bought uGenius
  Technology


               "For one thing, we're seeing such incredible
               demand from our customers in North
               America…The other part where we see the
               timing is right is internationally, where
               there is a lot of market interest "

                 Brian Bailey, VP and GM of Branch
@DaveMichels     Transformation at NCR
Banking – PTM: Personal Teller
Machines
• Defense Bank in Australia established a video call centre at its
  Melbourne head office, to service customers in their homes.
• Most Coastal Federal Credit Union branches in North Carolina have
  no tellers. Remote staff handle account openings and loans. Teller
  in a call center can operate the machine remotely.
• Expanding its Partnership: In January 2013 NCR bought uGenius
  Technology
                "For one thing, we're seeing such incredible
                demand from our customers in North
                America…The other part where we see the
                timing is right is internationally, where
                there is a lot of market interest "

                 Brian Bailey, VP and GM of Branch
@DaveMichels     Transformation at NCR
WebRTC: Game Changer?
• What if every desktop web browser becomes a rich
  client?
  • Voice
  • Video
  • IM
  • Desktop Sharing
• WebRTC is the big democratizer
• Free? (Codec, Camera, Audio gear)
• Expected to spread
  • Appliances (TVs)
  • Mobile Devices
@DaveMichels
WebRTC Debate
• There is SOME debate over when it
  changes the game
• There is NO DEBATE if it will change the
  game
• WebRTC will create applications and
  opportunities previously unimagined
• Watch this space closely
  Read: BlogGeek.me

@DaveMichels
Innovative Video Companies
• VaaS
• Chat Roulette
• Verbling.com
• Nexistant
• QuicklyChat
• LiveNinja




@DaveMichels
Video as a Cloud Service
   • Direct and obvious proposition
   • Simplify the process
     • Seamless Interop as a Service
     • Scheduling
     • Firewall
     • MCU as a Service (MaaS)
   • Lower Cost
   • Channel Opportunities




@DaveMichels
ChatRoulette.com
Five Reasons why Chat Roulette is Addictive – Wired Magazine
1. Inner Internet exhibitionist unleashed
  • Elsewhere there are consequences for uploading antics to the web
  • Act crazy, remain anonymous
2. Next Button
3. Throwback to Unpoliced Internet Era
  • Return to days of IRC, Usenet, old school AOL chat rooms
  • Unsupervised Shock Value
4. Interesting
  • Talk to [interesting] people you otherwise never would
  • Intelligent discourse does happen
5. It is Fun!

@DaveMichels
Verbling.com
• Learn foreign languages with a native
• Chatroulette meets language learning




@DaveMichels
Nexistant
• Video Kiosk Reception
• One receptionist to many lobbies
• Hardware optimized:
  scanner and printer
  for Visitor Badge




@DaveMichels
QuicklyChat
• Push to Talk Video
• More like IM
• Instead of persistent
  video connection
• Auto Answers – like IM
• Less intrusive




@DaveMichels
Live Ninja
Video Chat with experts (all in one)
• Finding the right person (Search)
• Logistics to meet
• Payment system
• Video chat




@DaveMichels
Take Aways
• Video Is Growing: Big Video is upon us!
• Needs to be Simpler
• Think of video as an application/solution, not a
  technology
• Dialing and connecting needs to be simple
 • The vendors will only solve this via Islands
 • Opportunity exists!
• Tremendous opportunities for solutions that enable
  simple video that is integrated into applications – that
  solve problems

@DaveMichels
Strategies
AUDIO CONFERENCING PROVIDERS
• Leapfrog
• Mid Market Cloud Services
• Ignore Consumer
• Specialize
VIDEO CONFERENCING VARs
• Service focus
• Wean off hardware margins
• Tely will sell more units than Polycom
• Integrate – APIs (WebRTC)


@DaveMichels
Strategies
VoIP SERVICE PROVIDERS
• Integrate video services into the solution
• Video phones/clients
• iPad clients
• Focus on software based solutions
• Find the space between consumer/free and Room
  Systems/Premium
HARDWARE MANUFACTURERS
• Eat your young [before someone else does]
• Wean off the hardware margins
• Think Volume

@DaveMichels
The Future of Video is Tomorrow




@DaveMichels
Tomorrow is Friday
• Fantasy is moving to reality
• The Fantasy/Science Fiction view of Video
  was not bold enough




          It’s time to take the blindfold off



@DaveMichels
Dave Michels
@DaveMichels
www.TalkingPointz.com

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Telespan

  • 3. The Jetson’s Dick Tracy’s Watch @DaveMichels
  • 4. The Jetson’s Star Trek Star Wars @DaveMichels
  • 5. The Jetson’s Star Trek and Star Wars 2001 Space Odyssey @DaveMichels
  • 6. The Jetson’s Star Trek and Star Wars 2001 Space Odyssey @DaveMichels
  • 7. In 2003 VoIP was New • I can remember explaining VoIP that is was kind of like Vonage. • I can remember explaining the benefit of a “work phone” at Home • “Yech!” • “Why Would I Want that?” • Two Weeks Ago: Yahoo Ordered Employees Back to the Office • “Yech!” • “Why Would I Want that?” @DaveMichels
  • 8. Technology Shifts • Two Kinds • Super Fast – blink of the eye (speeds/feeds/models) • Slow creeping, transformative changes (trends, usage) It is time to re-assess video @DaveMichels
  • 9. Is Video Important? Twice as many people are afraid of going blind as are afraid of premature death or heart disease. • We have become numb to video – accepting voice only communications • Imagine meetings where everyone has a blindfold • How much would you pay to take the blindfolds off? • Price is dropping • Video is voice Plus More • Consider the difference between movies and books, or TV and Radio • Internet is transitioning from text to video (Youtube, Netflix) @DaveMichels
  • 10. Myths about Video Revisit Assumptions About Video Communications. • Video is Skype • Peaked • Intimidating • Expensive • Not Important • Luxury • Complex User Experience • Poor Substitute for Meetings @DaveMichels
  • 11. I Learned Everything from TV • The TV Boom • 1949: 940,000 homes had TVs • 1953: 20 Million homes had TVs • Initially TV imitated Radio • Sports and Wars changed the model • TV discovered it was more than radio @DaveMichels
  • 12. Prepare for BIG VIDEO • Video Is moving out of the boardroom…into our lives • Video is more than meetings and conferences • Video meetings are just getting started • The revolution Is upon us @DaveMichels
  • 13. The Forecast: A Perfect Storm WebRTC @DaveMichels
  • 14. Simple Video Appliances • Biscotti • Tely • Aver • Creative Labs InPerson HD • Logitech TVCam HD • Nintendo Wii U @DaveMichels
  • 15. Big Video • Democratization of Video • Rich Video • HD • Content Sharing • Good Sound Don’t Get Marooned! • Lighting and Acoustics • Recording • Analytics • Ubiquity • Prices Dropping @DaveMichels
  • 16. Video is not a technology • Think of video as an application • Move away from codecs, signaling, speeds, and feeds • Move toward connecting people This happened with mobility • Mobile first • Mobile strategies • Mobility @DaveMichels
  • 17. Video Usage Shifting • Consumer/Prosumer • Distributed Teams • Beyond Departmental Meetings • Job Interviews • Across Corporate Boundaries • Friends and Families • Ambient Video Video is becoming natural, not the exception @DaveMichels
  • 18. Big Video Goes Beyond Conferencing • Education • Medical • Judicial • Banking • Innovative Startups The value of video is not in the technology, but the application and use. @DaveMichels
  • 19. Big Video Common Themes Reliability Integration Security Support APIs @DaveMichels
  • 20. Education • Khan Academy is just the beginning • Massive Online Open Courses will disrupt higher education • 1000 randomly selected higher education students • Subtract out the students at UC News’ Top 100 Liberal Arts Colleges and universities • Subtract out the Ivy Leagues (Stanford, MIT, Emory, Rice, Vanderbilt, Clemson, Drexel • Subtract the famous state schools (UMass, Virginia, the California universities) • You still have 900 students left Source: Clay Shirky • Plus corporate training, self-help programs, and hobby oriented education • For millions the institutions in which they enroll are more reliable producers of debt than a career path @DaveMichels
  • 21. The Education Fantasy “We know that effective learning is best achieved through the engagement of other deeply attentive human beings. The learning might occur in a traditional classroom, but it might happen in a different space: a lab, a mountain stream, an international campus, a cafeteria, a residence hall, a basketball court.” Daryl Tippens, the Provost of Pepperdine @DaveMichels
  • 22. The Education Reality Pepperdine University offers online degrees • Masters and Doctorate • 85% of the courses can be taken remotely Classroom in the Mountains @DaveMichels
  • 24. MBA Telepresence Classroom, source Fast Company @DaveMichels
  • 25. Medical • Ripe for Disruption • Evan as an Outsider, Terrible Waste is Visible • How Much Time to allow for a 15 minute appointment? • Docs are struggling • The Association of American Medical Colleges forecasts a 130,000 physician shortage by 2025 @DaveMichels
  • 26. Personal Medical Lab • An iPhone case that does a cardiogram for $199 • Smartphone accessories that can test urine, sweat, saliva, and blood • Smartphones can do real-time passive monitoring of certain human conditions with a skin mounted sensor • What happens with the smartphone has more diagnostic capabilities than the doctor’s office? • If the lab work can be done at home, why not the consult? @DaveMichels
  • 27. Judicial • The concept that the prosecutor, defendant, judge, jury, and witnesses all meet at the same time and place is obsolete • Prisoner transport/security • Rising cost of travel @DaveMichels
  • 28. Video Justice “In a perfect world, one with enough money available for all who need legal representation to afford it, I would prefer all parties, witnesses and attorney to be physically present in my courtroom. However, given the realities of funding for legal services corporations, pro bono difficulties and the demographic realities facing residents [in rural areas], video conferencing provides the best method of improving access to justice since the invention of the telephone.” Link Honorable Gary L. Day (District Judge, Sixteenth Judicial District, Montana) @DaveMichels
  • 29. American Well • Get interactive medical advice from a doctor (not a website) from home • Follow-ups • Third World/Haiti • Not a replacement • Being Deployed by United Healthcare and Aetna @DaveMichels
  • 31. Banking – PTM: Personal Teller Machines • Defense Bank in Australia established a video call centre at its Melbourne head office, to service customers in their homes • Remote staff handle account openings and loans. Teller in a call center can operate the machine remotely • Expanding its Partnership: In January 2013 NCR bought uGenius Technology "For one thing, we're seeing such incredible demand from our customers in North America…The other part where we see the timing is right is internationally, where there is a lot of market interest " Brian Bailey, VP and GM of Branch @DaveMichels Transformation at NCR
  • 32. Banking – PTM: Personal Teller Machines • Defense Bank in Australia established a video call centre at its Melbourne head office, to service customers in their homes. • Most Coastal Federal Credit Union branches in North Carolina have no tellers. Remote staff handle account openings and loans. Teller in a call center can operate the machine remotely. • Expanding its Partnership: In January 2013 NCR bought uGenius Technology "For one thing, we're seeing such incredible demand from our customers in North America…The other part where we see the timing is right is internationally, where there is a lot of market interest " Brian Bailey, VP and GM of Branch @DaveMichels Transformation at NCR
  • 33. WebRTC: Game Changer? • What if every desktop web browser becomes a rich client? • Voice • Video • IM • Desktop Sharing • WebRTC is the big democratizer • Free? (Codec, Camera, Audio gear) • Expected to spread • Appliances (TVs) • Mobile Devices @DaveMichels
  • 34. WebRTC Debate • There is SOME debate over when it changes the game • There is NO DEBATE if it will change the game • WebRTC will create applications and opportunities previously unimagined • Watch this space closely Read: BlogGeek.me @DaveMichels
  • 35. Innovative Video Companies • VaaS • Chat Roulette • Verbling.com • Nexistant • QuicklyChat • LiveNinja @DaveMichels
  • 36. Video as a Cloud Service • Direct and obvious proposition • Simplify the process • Seamless Interop as a Service • Scheduling • Firewall • MCU as a Service (MaaS) • Lower Cost • Channel Opportunities @DaveMichels
  • 37. ChatRoulette.com Five Reasons why Chat Roulette is Addictive – Wired Magazine 1. Inner Internet exhibitionist unleashed • Elsewhere there are consequences for uploading antics to the web • Act crazy, remain anonymous 2. Next Button 3. Throwback to Unpoliced Internet Era • Return to days of IRC, Usenet, old school AOL chat rooms • Unsupervised Shock Value 4. Interesting • Talk to [interesting] people you otherwise never would • Intelligent discourse does happen 5. It is Fun! @DaveMichels
  • 38. Verbling.com • Learn foreign languages with a native • Chatroulette meets language learning @DaveMichels
  • 39. Nexistant • Video Kiosk Reception • One receptionist to many lobbies • Hardware optimized: scanner and printer for Visitor Badge @DaveMichels
  • 40. QuicklyChat • Push to Talk Video • More like IM • Instead of persistent video connection • Auto Answers – like IM • Less intrusive @DaveMichels
  • 41. Live Ninja Video Chat with experts (all in one) • Finding the right person (Search) • Logistics to meet • Payment system • Video chat @DaveMichels
  • 42. Take Aways • Video Is Growing: Big Video is upon us! • Needs to be Simpler • Think of video as an application/solution, not a technology • Dialing and connecting needs to be simple • The vendors will only solve this via Islands • Opportunity exists! • Tremendous opportunities for solutions that enable simple video that is integrated into applications – that solve problems @DaveMichels
  • 43. Strategies AUDIO CONFERENCING PROVIDERS • Leapfrog • Mid Market Cloud Services • Ignore Consumer • Specialize VIDEO CONFERENCING VARs • Service focus • Wean off hardware margins • Tely will sell more units than Polycom • Integrate – APIs (WebRTC) @DaveMichels
  • 44. Strategies VoIP SERVICE PROVIDERS • Integrate video services into the solution • Video phones/clients • iPad clients • Focus on software based solutions • Find the space between consumer/free and Room Systems/Premium HARDWARE MANUFACTURERS • Eat your young [before someone else does] • Wean off the hardware margins • Think Volume @DaveMichels
  • 45. The Future of Video is Tomorrow @DaveMichels
  • 46. Tomorrow is Friday • Fantasy is moving to reality • The Fantasy/Science Fiction view of Video was not bold enough It’s time to take the blindfold off @DaveMichels