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Market Analysis
        Q3 FY06




1        Updated: 10/2/06
Agenda

    • Analysis Objectives
    • Setting the Stage
      • CEO Opening Remarks
      • CTO Opening Remarks
    • Analysis Objectives
    • SOA Market Definition and Segmentation
    • SOA Application Development Market
      • Predictions and Key Assumptions
      • Drill down
    • BPM Market
      • Predictions and Key Assumptions
      • Drill down
    • SOA Run Time Market
      • Under construction
    • Open Discussion

2
Market Analysis Objectives

    • Analyze SOA market landscape

    • Identify market “opportunity zones”

    • Determine appropriateness of product
      positioning messages

    • Capture emerging trend data to aid with
      future software release decisions



3
Setting the Stage




4
Current CEO Observations


    • We need to identify our core – and relatively few -
      competitors and position effectively against them
      • Partner aggressively with all other market leaders
    • BPM/Orchestration market segment in the SOA world
      appears analogous to the transaction/messaging
      market of the client server era
      • Major vendors see need to “own” it/crush new entrants which
        make this an unlikely expansion area for Skyway
    • Application development space still seems open due
      to abdication to eclipse based tools
      • Key problem appears competing with free/open source
        offerings…will need to educate on cost of free
    • Skyway’s awareness as a vendor is still very low
      • Need to create and execute a program to raise it in Q4/Q1


5
Setting the Stage




6
What is SOA?


    • A new way of building software
      • What HTML is to User Interface – XML is to Business
        Logic
        • Consistent access from anywhere
        • Consistent access across OS and technology boundaries
      • A Service is business logic exposed through XML
      • A single Service is accessed by lots of applications
    • Services simplify solutions
      • It does not take a coder to use a service
      • More services means less coding
      • Less coding means building solutions faster

7
Why the Need for SOA


    • IT cannot keep up with business
     • Business now moves in Internet time
     • IT still moves in IT time
     • Adapt or die
    • Coding is a dead end
     • Coding takes too long - even for fast coders
     • Changing existing code is as bad as new code
       • Need a coder to figure out what was previously coded
       • Need a coder to write more code to adapt existing code
     • Code generation and code modeling are the next steps
       in building applications

8
What Skyway Does


    • Models, Not Code
      • Modeling means making a graphical representation of what you
        would otherwise code
      • Current Modeling tools only go so far
        • Good modeling tools eliminate as much as 30% of code
        • Skyway eliminates almost 100% of code
    • Model Driven Service Design
      • Skyway models are implicitly SOA
      • Even if you do not care about SOA
    • Skyway simplicity creates confusion
      • The graphical nature is often confused with BPM at a glance
      • Ease of understanding what was built in Skyway contributes to the
        misunderstanding

9
Where Skyway Fits

     Platform Independent Delivery




                                                            Server
                                             Server


      Open Application Assembly
                                                                                 BPM



                                                                     Analyst

                                                                               Analyst

                                               Business Process


       Skyway MDSD



          Developer               Service
                                                           Service
                                             Service



            Developer          Service
                                         Service       Service

10
SOA Market Definition and Segmentation




11
The SOA Software Stack:
As defined by Skyway

                                     ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications
     Applications
                                               Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority)

                                         Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombardi, Savvion
                            Application              Application                 Governance              Integration
                             Platforms              Development                Systinet, AmberPoint       Platforms

                            BEA WL Portal,             Skyway,                 ESB          Registry      IBM WBI,
      Application          SAP NetWeaver,            IBM Rational,         CapeClear,      AmberPoint,   webMethods,
     Infrastructure         Oracle Fusion,            Compuware            Tibco, BEA,         SOA        BEA WLI,
                           IBM WebSphere               OptimalJ,               IBM          Software,       Tibco
                                                        Eclipse                              Infravio

                                                                 Application Servers
                              Data Warehousing & Integration                          Legacy Access Middleware

                                                        Application Systems Management
       System
     Management                             Databases                                     Legacy Applications
      Software
                                       Operating Systems                                    Storage Software

       Hardware                               Servers                                    Data Storage Devices




12    Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
The SOA Software Stack:
As defined by Skyway

                                     ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications
     Applications
                                               Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority)
                                                                Technology market space
                                     Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombardi, Savvion
                                                                where Skyway plays. It is
                            Application      Application        Governance                  Integration
                             Platforms      Development       Systinet, AmberPoint us toPlatforms
                                                                critical for                  become a
                                               Skyway,       ESBleader within this space.
                                                                           Registry           IBM WBI,
      Application                                    IBM Rational,         CapeClear,     AmberPoint,   webMethods,
     Infrastructure                                   Compuware            Tibco, BEA,        SOA        BEA WLI,
                                                       OptimalJ,               IBM         Software,       Tibco
                                                        Eclipse                             Infravio

                                                                 Application Servers
                              Data Warehousing & Integration                         Legacy Access Middleware

                                                        Application Systems Management
       System
     Management                             Databases                                    Legacy Applications
      Software
                                       Operating Systems                                  Storage Software

       Hardware                               Servers                                    Data Storage Devices




13    Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
The SOA Software Stack:
As defined by Skyway

                                     ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications
     Applications
                                               Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority)

                                         Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombardi, Savvion
                            Application              Application                 Governance              Integration
                             Platforms              Development                Systinet, AmberPoint       Platforms

                                                       Skyway,                 ESB          Registry      IBM WBI,
      Application                                    IBM Rational,         CapeClear,      AmberPoint,   webMethods,
     Infrastructure                                   Compuware            Tibco, BEA,         SOA        BEA WLI,
                                                       OptimalJ,               IBM          Software,       Tibco
                                                        Eclipse                              Infravio

                                                                 Application Servers
                              Data Warehousing & Integration                          Legacy Access Middleware


       System                                           Application Systems Management           Technology Market
     Management                             Databases                                            segments that enable
                                                                                         Legacy Applications
      Software
                                       Operating Systems                                         SOA applications but
                                                                                          Storage Software

       Hardware                               Servers                                            do not require direct
                                                                                         Data Storage Devices
                                                                                                 partnerships.

14    Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
The SOA Software Stack:
As defined by Skyway

                                     ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications
     Applications
                                               Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority)

                                         Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombardi, Savvion
                            Application              Application                 Governance              Integration
                             Platforms              Development                Systinet, AmberPoint       Platforms

                                                       Skyway,                 ESB          Registry      IBM WBI,
      Application                                    IBM Rational,         CapeClear,      AmberPoint,   webMethods,
     Infrastructure                                   Compuware            Tibco, BEA,         SOA        BEA WLI,
                                                       OptimalJ,               IBM          Software,       Tibco
                                                        Eclipse                              Infravio

                                                                 Application Servers
                              Data Warehousing & Integration    Technology Access Middleware
                                                                        Legacy market segments offering

                                                   Application Systems Management that solve a large portion
                                                                many products
       System
     Management                           Databases             of the SOA runtime problem, making
                                                                           Legacy Applications
      Software
                                       Operating Systems        them not interesting and most likely
                                                                            Storage Software

       Hardware                             Servers
                                                                expensive for Skyway to enter but is a
                                                                           Data Storage Devices
                                                                good opportunity for partnering.


15    Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
The SOA Software Stack:
As defined by Skyway

                                     ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications
     Applications
                                               Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority)

                                         Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombadri, Savvion
                            Application              Application                 Governance              Integration
                             Platforms              Development                Systinet, AmberPoint       Platforms

                                                       Skyway,                 ESB          Registry      IBM WBI,
      Application                                    IBM Rational,         CapeClear,      AmberPoint,   webMethods,
     Infrastructure                                   Compuware            Tibco, BEA,         SOA        BEA WLI,
                                                       OptimalJ,
                                                        Eclipse
                                                                                Technology market
                                                                               IBM          Software,
                                                                                             Infravio
                                                                                                            Tibco


                                                      Application Servers
                                                                                segments that are
                              Data Warehousing & Integration
                                                                                important for us to watch
                                                                      Legacy Access Middleware
                                                                                for possible partnering
                                                Application Systems Management
       System                                                                   opportunities and offer
     Management                         Databases                         Legacy Applications
      Software                                                                  added value integration
                                    Operating Systems                      Storage Software
                                                                                capabilities.
       Hardware                               Servers                                    Data Storage Devices




16    Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
SOA Market Characteristics
                                                                            AppDev
                                                                             Tools                       App
            Metrics                 App Server              Database                       Security
                                                                           (software                  Platforms
                                                                         only vs. total)

      Market Size                                                         $3.7B SW
      2004                             $16.5B                $37B         $34B total        $12B       $110B
      Market Size                       $19B                 $45B         $5.2B SW          $25B       $121B
      2009                                                                $45B total
                                                                           7% SW
      CAGR                                 3%                  4%                           16%         2%
                                                                           5% total
      Strategic
      Importance to                      High                 High           High           High      Moderate
      SOA 1
      Relative
      Competitive                            0                  0              5              0          0
      Threat 2
      Relative
      Partnership                            5                  5              0              5          5
      Potential 2
     Notes:
     1 Skyway Management determination
17   2 Relative ranking on scale from 0 (low) to 5 (high)

     Source: IDC, 2006 , Gartner, 2006 and Skyway Management estimates
SOA Market Characteristics (cont.)

            Metrics                        EAI              BPM & BPEL   Governance          Registry        ESB

      Market Size
      2004                              $135B                 $1.9B                $7.5B                    $60M
      Market Size                       $160B                  $3B                 $20.5B                  $350M
      2009

      CAGR                                 3%                  10%                     22%                   42%

                                                                         High (after     High (after    High (after
      Strategic                                                            several       several        several
      Importance to                       High                 Low        Services       Services       Services
      SOA 1                                                               projects       projects       projects
                                                                         completed)      completed)     completed)
      Relative
      Competitive                            2                   4           2                  1             1
      Threat 2
      Relatitve
      Partnership                            3                   1           3                  4             4
      Potential 2
     Notes:
     1 Skyway Management determination
18   2 Relative ranking on scale from 0 (low) to 5 (high)

     Source: IDC, 2006 , Gartner, 2006 and Skyway Management estimates
Relevant Discussion


     • Segment Review
      • Application Development
        • Deep dive
      • BPM Overview
      • SOA Governance – section under construction


     • Open Discussion
      • Market Opportunities
      • Product Development Gaps and Response Plans


19
SOA Application Development (AppDev) Market




20
AppDev: Market Overview

     • $3.7B worldwide in 2004
           • Java segment is approximately 60% ($2.2B)
     • $5.2B worldwide by 2009 (CAGR 7%)
           • Java growth is 36% during same time period ($3.5B by 2009 or 67%
             share)

     • Trends
           • SDLC is moving to Service Oriented Development of Applications
             (SODA)
           • Gaps in SODA
                 • Service to UI integration
                 • Service to BPM integration
                 • Design Time to Run Time (and back to Design Time) transition
           • Analysts and Market validate modeling trends
                 • Key Quote #1 – coding wont provide you agile IT (Gartner, 2006)
                 • Key Quote #2 – tools are back (Gartner, 2006)



21   Source: IDC, 2005 and Gartner, 2006
AppDev: Market Predictions and Key
Assumptions

 • Analyst Predictions
     • By 2008, SODA will provide the basis for 80% of new development projects
       (0.8 probability)-Gartner
     • By 2010, 75% of mainstream IT organizations will have formal open source
       acquisition and management strategies (0.8 probability)-Gartner
     • 675 firms with >40,000 will implement SOA this year-Forrester
     • IT cannot code its way to Agile IT – it must be done through modeling- Gartner
       AppDev Summit, Sept. 2006
     • AppDev tools are back-Gartner AppDev Summit, Sept. 2006

 • Skyway’s Key Market Assumptions
     • Developers at SI and Enterprise shops have productivity problems due to the
       inherent limitations of coding
        • Modeling is the answer to faster and more agile application development
     • Skyway’s main competition is status quo/Eclipse (free)
     • Developers are protecting their coding turf

22
AppDev: Business Problems require
solutions to IT issues

     • Business Issues
          • Persistent competitive pressure to differentiate
          • Limited success in commercializing new business opportunities
          • Ongoing need to improve customer service levels and total
            customer experiences
          • Increased requirements for speed and flexibility
          • Adoption-paralysis of newer, enabling technologies

     • IT Issues
          • Inefficient IT resource utilization and an inability to cost-effectively
            reuse established applications
          • Inability to align IT with the Business Unit
          • Declining data consistency and quality
          • Increasing levels of IT backlog
          • Lack of available skills and expertise to maintain legacy systems
          • Culture of status quo, apathy, and complacency
23   Source: Gartner, 2005 and internal Skyway data
AppDev: Critical Success Factors


     • Improved IT responsiveness to business change
     • Improved resource utilization
           • Reduce application backlog and extend legacy application
             platforms
     • Consistent, progressive, and flexible policy and
       process implementation
     • Eliminate attrition risk
     • Long term IT cost savings




24   Source: Internal Skyway data
AppDev SWOT: Skyway
                           Strengths                                                         Weaknesses

     • Broadest and most advanced modeling tool available             • Private company and small Sales force
     • Built from the ground up to enable modeling as the path to     • Limited functionality (via Governor) in the Analysis phase
       SOA
                                                                      • Assemble phase offers great strengths, but is limited by not
     • Deployment and Model combine to keep all solutions               having built in connectivity to service registries and Test
       platform-independent                                             phase is greatly enhanced by allowing developers to code
                                                                        automated tests, but no functionality that enables Quality
     • How to leverage
                                                                        Assurance engineers
             • Simplify core marketing messages to focus on value
                                                                      • No functionality in the Manage phase
               created for Application Developers
                                                                      • How to mute
             • Expand customer support capability to capture wider
               range of market feedback for future releases                   • Consider partnership with BPM & ESB/Registry
                                                                                companies (efficiency gains for Service creation)


     • Skyays underutilized multi-orchestration capabilities          • Lack of broader market acceptance
             • Linkage to Services created by BPM                             • Lack of awareness of marketing messages and
                                                                                inability to communicate value of models vs. coding
             • Creation of new Services built via Builder
                                                                      • Selling power of larger competitors
             • “Hidden” UI services
                                                                      • How to mitigate
     • Partnership with complementary companies (ie, BPM, ESB,
       Registry, Governance) to accelerate creation of new Services           • Partner with SI to ensure faster technology adoption
     • How to capitalize                                                      • Communicate partnerships with larger ISV
                                                                                companies to “buy scale”
             • Refine Builder’s Orchestration marketing messages
             • Enter partner agreements in Q4

                           Opportunities                                                        Threats

25
AppDev SWOT: IBM/Rational
                          Strengths                                                            Weaknesses

     • Large public company with large Sales force and large            • As a result of numerous acquisition, they offer a large but
       installed base                                                     complex tool set that is difficult to use and learn
     • Combined benefits of models and Java coding; excellent           • Very limited integration exists between the various offerings
       functionality in the areas of Analysis, Design and Test            to address the SOA cycle
     • Perceived as standards based due to pioneering of UML and        • IBM offerings are not integrated with the Rational offerings
       the Rational Unified Process
                                                                        • Why Skyway is the answer
     • How to position Skyway as an alternative
                                                                                • We model the Java code, they write it
             • Rational models only go to the skeleton code level
                                                                                • We deploy anywhere, they offer no deployment
               and do not accelerate construction
                                                                                  options in Rational and only IBM support for Eclipse
             • Complexity of Rational makes it difficult to learn and             plug-ins
               use


     • There is very little opportunity to work with Rational since     • IBMs size, scope of offerings, and large installed base
       they view themselves as very competitive to us
                                                                        • Shops that use Rational likely will not consider Skyway
                                                                        • While the value of the offerings are quite different, IBM
                                                                          claims Rational does pretty much what we do and may be
                                                                          able to “freeze” deals
                                                                        • If IBM were to rewrite and refocus Rational as a direct play
                                                                          against Skyway, they could be a very fiece competitor
                                                                        • How can Skyway mitigate
                                                                                • Emphasize our model-based coding strengths and
                                                                                  highlight Rationals coding/complexity weaknesses

                          Opportunities                                                           Threats

26
AppDev SWOT: BEA
                              Strengths                                                                   Weaknesses

     • Strong and well rounded offerings around SOA management and                 • Most solutions are not fully integrated since they were
       development
                                                                                     acquired
     • Perceived as a leader in the SOA space
                                                                                   • No focus on service creation; the answer is to write code like
     • Doing a good job of integrating point solutions they purchased to have an
       integrated offering
                                                                                     you always do
     • Excellent EAI and integration tools                                         • Why Skyway is the answer
     • Drives may SOA and Java specifications                                              • Skyway works well with BEA tools
     • How to position Skyway as an alternative
                                                                                           • We deploy to anything; their tools focus only on BEA
               • No modeling or service creation components other than coding                deploys
               • Skyway complements BEA and feeds new services into its tools




     • Opportunity to work with BEA from a service-creation                        • BEAs size and scope of offerings
       perspective
                                                                                   • If they choose to focus on modeling, we will be “frozen” from
     • Skyway tools create services that can feed directly into BEAs                 most BEA accounts
       offerings
                                                                                   • Even without entering the modeling space, if they perceive us
                                                                                     as competing for dollars then they could position us as
                                                                                     unnecessary
                                                                                   • How can Skyway mitigate
                                                                                           • Emphasize our model-based coding strengths and
                                                                                             highlight BEAs coding/complexity weaknesses



                             Opportunities                                                                   Threats

27
AppDev SWOT: Compuware/Optimal J
                          Strengths                                                            Weaknesses

     • Combined benefits of models and Java coding                 • The model only goes to a limited depth, substantial coding is required to get
                                                                     from model to solution
     • Integrated tightly with Eclipse                             • No functionality in the Assemble phase
     • Very extensible for organizations that desire to continue   • They only address the Test phase through existing coding standards, they
       writing code and only partially use models                    offer no functionality themselves
                                                                   • The Model is not insulated from the underlying infrastructure – models are
     • Integrated with the Compuware Optimal Trace product for       tied to explicit platforms once coding is begun
       Requirements Gathering in the Analysis phase
                                                                   • Deployment is not addressed at all, standard technologies such as Ant are
     • How to position Skyway as an alternative                      their only answer
                                                                   • Why Skyway is the answer
             • Skyway is true modeling with Java code output
                                                                             • We model the Java code, they write it
             • Optimal J sill requires substantial code writing
                                                                             • We deploy anywhere, they offer no deployment functionality




     • Very little opportunity for Skyway to work with Optimal J   • While Optimal J will not see the same acceleration that Skyway
       since the products are similar in positioning and value       can, it could be more accepted as a middle ground by developers
                                                                             • It allows them to continue writing code
                                                                             • But still see some acceleration through modeling but to
                                                                               keep code in the equation
                                                                   • Compuwares size and large installed base of Optimal J users
                                                                   • How can Skyway mitigate
                                                                             • Emphasize our model-based coding strengths and
                                                                               productivity gains combined with access to standard, well-
                                                                               formed Java code



                          Opportunities                                                            Threats

28
AppDev SWOT: Microsoft/VisualStudio
                          Strengths                                                              Weaknesses

     • All solutions are fully integrated                                • Once a heterogeneous environment beyond Microsoft is
                                                                           required, complexity arises
     • Easy to use for building simplistic solutions
                                                                         • Very little is offered to accelerate the test phase, they rely on
     • Perceived as the easiest platform to use for building solutions
                                                                           ease of developer tools to accelerate this phase
     • Very easy to SOA enable anything that is built
                                                                         • BizTalk is utilized for Assembly, but no clear connection
     • How to position Skyway as an alternative                            between it and the Build phase
             • For Java development environments, we are the             • Why Skyway is the answer
               most productive modeling tool in the market
                                                                                 • Microsofts inability to align with non-Microsoft
                                                                                   environments and/or non-Microsoft products




     • If Skyway were to deploy to .Net servers, there are string        • They are Microsoft
       partnering opportunities with Microsoft
                                                                         • If they choose to enter the modeling space, they likely would
     • Microsoft has not been focusing on their tools or SOA               create an excellent product
       infrastructure; instead, they are focusing on solutions
                                                                         • Skyways lack of support for .Net limits our overall market
       delivered through SOA
                                                                           opportunity
                                                                         • How can Skyway mitigate
                                                                                 • Explore feasibility of adding .Net functionality




                          Opportunities                                                              Threats

29
AppDev SWOT: Sun/Java Studio Creator
                         Strengths                                                                 Weaknesses

     • Still perceived as a leader in the Java space                   • Solutions where acquired and are not integrated
                                                                       • No offerings in the modeling space; fixated on the SDLC as if critical mass
     • Broad coverage of the SOA SDLC spectrum                           of services already exist
     • Marketing message blurs the SDLC reality and makes SOA          • Test and Deploy phases are only expedited for Assemblies – no value at all
       appear ready for today – takes SOA knowledge to get around        when constructing new services or solutions
                                                                       • Build phase handled by Studio Creator, which can facilitate only the
     • How to position Skyway as an alternative                          construction of user interfaces but provides virtually no value for complex
             • They offer nothing in the way of service creation,        business solution creation
               other than writing code                                 • Design phase very limited, again covered by Studio Creator for prototyping
                                                                       • Why Skyway is the answer
             • Their focus is more BPM than creating the services
               to feed the BPM                                                   • Skyway works well with Sun tools
                                                                                 • We deploy to anything; their tools focus only on Sun deploys




     • Since they offer no solution for the creation of atomic         • Suns size and scope of offerings
       services, Skyway can likely offer the same value to them that
                                                                       • The Sun suite of products appear to be very well-rounded
       we can to any other BPM vendor for building service content
                                                                         and solve many problems within SOA
                                                                       • Sun has some ability to “freeze” deals when they are head-
                                                                         to-head with Skyway
                                                                       • How can Skyway mitigate
                                                                                 • Emphasize our model-based coding strengths and
                                                                                   highlight our ability to also create/assemble services
                                                                                   to support their BPM tool



                         Opportunities                                                                  Threats

30
AppDev SWOT: Eclipse
                             Strengths                                                                         Weaknesses

     • Open source, and in only 4 years, they are represented in 50% of Java        • IBM links
       development projects (EvansData, 2005)
                                                                                    • Manual coding is only option (high cost, high knowledge requirement, no
     • The de facto coding environment for Java today                                 independence during deployment)
     • Excellent tool for Java developers in the Build phase                        • Almost no functionality in the Analyze and Design phases – even free open
                                                                                      source plug-ins are not available
     • Many open source plug-ins to augment functionality
                                                                                    • Assemble phase is only addressed in Eclipse by plug-ins, but no free plug-
     • Standards based for just about everything and quite open and extensible
                                                                                      ins for this phase are available
     • Efforts under way to provide a modeling plug-in through open source, it is
                                                                                    • Test is only addressed through standard test coding tools (JUnit)
       still aiming at coders just like OptimalJ
                                                                                    • Deploy is only addressed through standard scripting tools (Ant)
     • How to position Skyway as an alternative
                                                                                    • Why Skyway is the answer
               • Skyway generates the same Java code but at a much lower cost
                                                                                              • We model the Java code, their tool requires coding
                                                                                              • We deploy anywhere, they do not have deployment functionality




     • Moving Skyway on to the Eclipse platform will give us a                      • For people that want to keep coding, Eclipse is the de facto
       much more open appearance                                                      Java standard
     • This would allow us to leverage the Eclipse brand, installed                 • Eclipse has modeling initiatives that could be competitive
       base, and momentum                                                             over time
                                                                                    • How can Skyway mitigate
                                                                                              • Explore feasibility of adding Eclipse functionality




                             Opportunities                                                                          Threats

31
AppDev: Key Segment Participants

                                                                      AppDev SOA Lifecycle

     Solution                      Analyze             Design         Assemble         Build            Test           Deploy         Manage   Total

     Skyway                                                                                                                                     17


     IBM/Rational                       R                 R                                               R                                     19


     Optimal J                                                                                                                                  8


     Microsoft                                                                                                                                  14


     Sun                                                                                                                                        12


     BEA                                                                                                                                        12


     Eclipse                                                                                                                                    4

        Full capability in current product offering

        Partial (or lack of) capability in current product offering

     R – Denotes the solutions from the Rational product line – these solutions are detached from the other IBM solutions that were
     delivered through numerous acquisitions

32    Source: Gartner, 2005 and internal Skyway data
AppDev: Competitor Summary
Weight-Adjusted Analysis
Segment
                          Weight
Success Factors                         Skyway    IBM    Optimal J   MSFT    Sun    BEA    Eclipse    High     Low
                          Factor
AppDev


Innovation                  0.25         4.25    4.75      2.00      3.50    3.00   3.00    1.00      IBM     Eclipse

                                                                                                               Sun
Differentiation             0.25         2.25    1.50      1.25      2.00    0.75   0.75    0.75     Skyway    BEA
                                                                                                              Eclipse

                                                                                                     IBM &
Awareness                   0.2          0.20    2.00      1.60      2.00    1.40   1.60    1.80              Skyway
                                                                                                     MSFT

                                                                                                     IBM &
Viability                   0.15         0.30    1.50      1.05      1.50    0.90   0.90    1.35              Skyway
                                                                                                     MSFT


Execution                   0.15         0.30    1.50      0.90      1.35    1.05   1.20    0.75      IBM     Skyway


                                         7.30    11.25    6.80       10.35   7.10   7.45   5.65
Total Score                 1.0                                                                       IBM     Eclipse
                                          (4)     (1)      (6)        (2)     (5)    (3)    (7)
Notes:
Total maximum weight-adjusted score is 14.5

33   Source: Skyway Management estimates
AppDev: Summary


     • Skyway is very strong with our disruptive offering
       relative to our “peers”
       • Our “peers,” however, are much larger and possess more
         recognizable brands
     • Partnerships can help us acquire scale quickly and
       improve our Sales execution capabilities
     • Areas needing attention or consideration
       • Finalize up our positioning and accelerate broader awareness of
         our value proposition
       • Consider Eclipse and .Net functionality to help with scale, but
         without diluting our core value proposition
       • Monitor the market for new entrants and/or new products as
         modeling acceleration continues
34
Business Process Management (BPM) Market




35
BPM Process




36
BPM: Market Overview

     • $1.9B worldwide in 2004
     • $3B by 2008 (CAGR 10%)

     • Trends
           • Customers are demanding end-to-end solutions (ie, BPM Suites [BPMS])
           • Consolidation is in process to move from BPM to BPMS
              • IBM acquired Filenet, Bowstreet
              • BEA acquired Fuego
              • Metastorm acquired Commercequest
              • Adobe acquired QLink
           • EAI is moving from point-to-point solutions to architected SOA solutions
           • BPMS is encompassing both human- and system-centric process
             management
              • Blurring functionality between EAI and BPMS
           • SOA has become a “must have” requirement for BPMS, including ESB
              • Focusing on service delivery and re-use
           • Process- model development for human-centric BPM is a given
           • Rule-based BPM is emerging as a “should have” capability
           • Document repository is becoming a “should have” capability
37   Source: IBM, 2006, Lombardi Software, 2006, and Forrester, 2006
BPM: Market Predictions and Key
Assumptions
 • Analyst Predictions
     • A massive consolidation of the BPM market will take place by 2009 (0.7)-
       Gartner
     • Through 2010, more than 80% of organizations will improve business process
       efficiencies by at lest 15% by establishing a strategy for optimum acquisition
       of Web-Service enabled software and services (0.7)-Gartner
     • BPM, ESB, Governance, Registry and EAI are morphing into a new segment
       known as BPMS-Gartner AppDev Summit, Sept. 2006

 • Skyway’s Key Market Assumptions
     • BPM tools also address the development productivity issue
     • BPM may benefit greatly from a modeling tool like Skyway that generates
       services
     • Large ISVs see BPM/SOA runtime as a critical market segment and will
       protect their share at all costs
     • BPM vendors are not focusing on the AppDev segment and have conceded
       turf largely to Java/Eclipse

38
BPM: Business Problems


     • Issues
      • Inability to optimize business performance/results due to non-
        standard business processes, tools, and personnel
      • Lack of consistent performance
      • Poor coordination between functional groups
      • Lack of real-time feedback and data
      • Limited “what-if” scenario planning
      • Difficulty with linking processes and metrics to user documentation
      • Poor post-event reporting
      • Weak interaction and coordination with IT




39
BPM: Critical Success Factors


     • Consistently execute the optimal process
     • Efficient and effective Services creation
     • Provide real-time feedback to line managers to
       support process improvement
     • Effective Services methodology and toolset to
       model/simulate all interaction patterns between
       staff, systems, and data
     • Efficient cross-functional coordination and data
       management
     • Long term IT cost savings

40   Source: Gartner, 2006 and internal Skyway data
BPM: Key Segment Participants


                                                                       BPM Core Capabilities
                                                Human               System     Rule
                             Graphical          Centric             Centric   Centric   Simulation    Analysis   Process    Document
     Solution                Modeling            PM                   PM       PM       Functions    Functions   Registry    Library   Total

     Skyway                                                                                                                             9

     IBM/Filenet                                                                                                                       16

     BEA/Fuego                                                                                                                         17

     Lombardi                                                                                                                          21

     Pegasystem                                                                                                                        22

     Metastorm                                                                                                                         15

     Savvion                                                                                                                           20

      Full capability in current product offering

      Partial (or lack of) capability in current product offering




41    Source: Gartner, 2006 and internal Skyway data
BPM: Summary


     • We score much lower than our “peers” in this space
       • Our Open Application Assembly (OAA) capability is merely a
         bridge benefit resulting from the strength of MDSD and PID; we
         should avoid direct interaction in this space
     • We do, however, produce the requisite services for
       these tools

     • Rather than compete directly, we should partner
       instead
       •   They don’t develop services; we do
       •   Target large cap ISVs
       •   ISVs who lack service development or production capabilities
       •   ISVs who have “committed” to Eclipse
       •   We need to develop supplemental marketing messages

42
Governance Market




43
Governance: Market Predictions and Key
Assumptions
 • Analyst Predictions
     • In 2006, the lack of working governance mechanisms in the midsize-
       to-large post-pilot SOA projects will be the most common reason for
       project failure (0.8 probability)-Gartner
     • Many middleware technologies will cease to exist by 2010 such as
       EAI, ETL, Data Integration, rules engines, and others, due to their
       inability to move to SOA (0.8 probability)-Gartner

 • Skyway’s Key Market Assumptions
     • SOA runtime will merge with BPM to form a new segment called
       BPMS and it will consist of the very large players (BEA, Oracle, IBM,
       etc)
     • The large players consider this space a core area that they need to
       own
     • SOA application development & SOA runtime currently do not speak
       with one another presenting a product opportunity for Skyway
     • ESB is considered a commodity – large vendors do not consider this
       product space strategic to them but need to offer a solution
44
Governance: TBD




45
Market Analysis Summary




46
Market Analysis Summary

     • Analyzed SOA market landscape
        •   Evaluated AppDev segment (polarization of pure code and pure model frameworks)
        •   Identified Services trends
        •   Identified BPMS trends – many potential friends and some foes
        •   Considered SOA Run Time player(s) – unknown opportunity here
     • Identified market opportunity zones
        • Identified relevant and potential partnerships
        • Evaluated real and potential competitors
        • Characterized our market dependencies
     • Determined appropriateness of product positioning messages
        • Need to create and/or refresh collateral and develop a process to manage and distribute
          information to Sales
        • Must accentuate core capabilities
     • Captured emerging trend data to aid with future software release
       decisions
        •   BPA integration
        •   Eclipse compatibility
        •   .Net adoption
        •   Open source adoption
        •   Service broadcast capability during run time



47
Open Discussion




48
Open Discussion


     • Market Analysis Recap
       • AppDev
       • BPM
       • Governance
     • Market Opportunities
       • Q4 FY06
       • FY07
     • Product Gap Plans
       • Build
       • Buy
       • Partner
     • Other

49
Appendix




50
AppDev: Competitor Array (Page 1 of 2)

                                                                               IBM        IBM      Optimal   Optimal
      Segment Success                           Skyway        Skyway                                                   MSFT    MSFT
                                                                             Rational   Rational      J         J
      Factors                     Weight         Gross        Wt Adj                                                   Gross   Wt Adj
                                                                              Gross      Wt Adj     Gross    Wt Adj
      AppDev                                     Score         Score                                                   Score   Score
                                                                              Score      Score      Score     Score
      Innovation -
      Application
                                     0.25           17           4.25          19         4.75        8       2.00      14      3.50
      Development
      Offering

      Differentiation –
      Unique Product and             0.25           9            2.25           6         1.50        5       1.25       8      2.00
      Service Positioning


      Awareness –
                                     0.20           1            0.20          10         2.00        8       1.60      10      2.00
      Marketing execution


      Viability - Company
                                     0.15           2            0.30          10         1.50        7       1.05      10      1.50
      Financial Strength


      Sales Execution -
      Company Sales                  0.15           2            0.30          10         1.50        6       0.90       9      1.35
      Effectiveness


      Total Score                    1.0            31           7.30          55        11.25       34       6.80      51     10.35


     Notes:
     Maximum Offering score is 28; other maximum scores are 10 (each)
     Total maximum gross score is 68; total maximum adjusted score is 14.5

51    Source: Skyway Management estimates
AppDev: Competitor Array (Page 2 of 2)

      Segment Success                           Skyway        Skyway          Sun     Sun      BEA     BEA     Eclipse   Eclipse
      Factors                     Weight         Gross        Wt Adj         Gross   Wt Adj   Gross   Wt Adj   Gross     Wt Adj
      AppDev                                     Score         Score         Score   Score    Score   Score     Score     Score

      Innovation -
      Application
                                     0.25           17           4.25         12      3.00     12      3.00       4       1.00
      Development
      Offering

      Differentiation –
      Unique Product and             0.25           9            2.25          3      0.75      3      0.75       3       0.75
      Service Positioning


      Awareness –
                                     0.20           1            0.20          7      1.40      8      1.60       9       1.80
      Marketing execution


      Viability - Company
                                     0.15           2            0.30          6      0.90      6      0.90       9       1.35
      Financial Strength


      Sales Execution -
      Company Sales                  0.15           2            0.30          7      1.05      8      1.20       5       0.75
      Effectiveness


      Total Score                    1.0            31           7.30         35      7.10     37      7.45      30       5.65


     Notes:
     Maximum Offering score is 28; other maximum scores are 10 (each)
     Total maximum gross score is 68; total maximum adjusted score is 14.5

52    Source: Skyway Management estimates

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Competitive Analysis w SWOT Matrix

  • 1. Market Analysis Q3 FY06 1 Updated: 10/2/06
  • 2. Agenda • Analysis Objectives • Setting the Stage • CEO Opening Remarks • CTO Opening Remarks • Analysis Objectives • SOA Market Definition and Segmentation • SOA Application Development Market • Predictions and Key Assumptions • Drill down • BPM Market • Predictions and Key Assumptions • Drill down • SOA Run Time Market • Under construction • Open Discussion 2
  • 3. Market Analysis Objectives • Analyze SOA market landscape • Identify market “opportunity zones” • Determine appropriateness of product positioning messages • Capture emerging trend data to aid with future software release decisions 3
  • 5. Current CEO Observations • We need to identify our core – and relatively few - competitors and position effectively against them • Partner aggressively with all other market leaders • BPM/Orchestration market segment in the SOA world appears analogous to the transaction/messaging market of the client server era • Major vendors see need to “own” it/crush new entrants which make this an unlikely expansion area for Skyway • Application development space still seems open due to abdication to eclipse based tools • Key problem appears competing with free/open source offerings…will need to educate on cost of free • Skyway’s awareness as a vendor is still very low • Need to create and execute a program to raise it in Q4/Q1 5
  • 7. What is SOA? • A new way of building software • What HTML is to User Interface – XML is to Business Logic • Consistent access from anywhere • Consistent access across OS and technology boundaries • A Service is business logic exposed through XML • A single Service is accessed by lots of applications • Services simplify solutions • It does not take a coder to use a service • More services means less coding • Less coding means building solutions faster 7
  • 8. Why the Need for SOA • IT cannot keep up with business • Business now moves in Internet time • IT still moves in IT time • Adapt or die • Coding is a dead end • Coding takes too long - even for fast coders • Changing existing code is as bad as new code • Need a coder to figure out what was previously coded • Need a coder to write more code to adapt existing code • Code generation and code modeling are the next steps in building applications 8
  • 9. What Skyway Does • Models, Not Code • Modeling means making a graphical representation of what you would otherwise code • Current Modeling tools only go so far • Good modeling tools eliminate as much as 30% of code • Skyway eliminates almost 100% of code • Model Driven Service Design • Skyway models are implicitly SOA • Even if you do not care about SOA • Skyway simplicity creates confusion • The graphical nature is often confused with BPM at a glance • Ease of understanding what was built in Skyway contributes to the misunderstanding 9
  • 10. Where Skyway Fits Platform Independent Delivery Server Server Open Application Assembly BPM Analyst Analyst Business Process Skyway MDSD Developer Service Service Service Developer Service Service Service 10
  • 11. SOA Market Definition and Segmentation 11
  • 12. The SOA Software Stack: As defined by Skyway ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications Applications Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority) Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombardi, Savvion Application Application Governance Integration Platforms Development Systinet, AmberPoint Platforms BEA WL Portal, Skyway, ESB Registry IBM WBI, Application SAP NetWeaver, IBM Rational, CapeClear, AmberPoint, webMethods, Infrastructure Oracle Fusion, Compuware Tibco, BEA, SOA BEA WLI, IBM WebSphere OptimalJ, IBM Software, Tibco Eclipse Infravio Application Servers Data Warehousing & Integration Legacy Access Middleware Application Systems Management System Management Databases Legacy Applications Software Operating Systems Storage Software Hardware Servers Data Storage Devices 12 Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
  • 13. The SOA Software Stack: As defined by Skyway ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications Applications Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority) Technology market space Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombardi, Savvion where Skyway plays. It is Application Application Governance Integration Platforms Development Systinet, AmberPoint us toPlatforms critical for become a Skyway, ESBleader within this space. Registry IBM WBI, Application IBM Rational, CapeClear, AmberPoint, webMethods, Infrastructure Compuware Tibco, BEA, SOA BEA WLI, OptimalJ, IBM Software, Tibco Eclipse Infravio Application Servers Data Warehousing & Integration Legacy Access Middleware Application Systems Management System Management Databases Legacy Applications Software Operating Systems Storage Software Hardware Servers Data Storage Devices 13 Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
  • 14. The SOA Software Stack: As defined by Skyway ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications Applications Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority) Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombardi, Savvion Application Application Governance Integration Platforms Development Systinet, AmberPoint Platforms Skyway, ESB Registry IBM WBI, Application IBM Rational, CapeClear, AmberPoint, webMethods, Infrastructure Compuware Tibco, BEA, SOA BEA WLI, OptimalJ, IBM Software, Tibco Eclipse Infravio Application Servers Data Warehousing & Integration Legacy Access Middleware System Application Systems Management Technology Market Management Databases segments that enable Legacy Applications Software Operating Systems SOA applications but Storage Software Hardware Servers do not require direct Data Storage Devices partnerships. 14 Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
  • 15. The SOA Software Stack: As defined by Skyway ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications Applications Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority) Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombardi, Savvion Application Application Governance Integration Platforms Development Systinet, AmberPoint Platforms Skyway, ESB Registry IBM WBI, Application IBM Rational, CapeClear, AmberPoint, webMethods, Infrastructure Compuware Tibco, BEA, SOA BEA WLI, OptimalJ, IBM Software, Tibco Eclipse Infravio Application Servers Data Warehousing & Integration Technology Access Middleware Legacy market segments offering Application Systems Management that solve a large portion many products System Management Databases of the SOA runtime problem, making Legacy Applications Software Operating Systems them not interesting and most likely Storage Software Hardware Servers expensive for Skyway to enter but is a Data Storage Devices good opportunity for partnering. 15 Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
  • 16. The SOA Software Stack: As defined by Skyway ERP, CRM, SCM, Business Intelligence / Analytic Applications Applications Security (Encryption, PKI, Certificate Authority) Business Process Management - IBM, BEA, Lombadri, Savvion Application Application Governance Integration Platforms Development Systinet, AmberPoint Platforms Skyway, ESB Registry IBM WBI, Application IBM Rational, CapeClear, AmberPoint, webMethods, Infrastructure Compuware Tibco, BEA, SOA BEA WLI, OptimalJ, Eclipse Technology market IBM Software, Infravio Tibco Application Servers segments that are Data Warehousing & Integration important for us to watch Legacy Access Middleware for possible partnering Application Systems Management System opportunities and offer Management Databases Legacy Applications Software added value integration Operating Systems Storage Software capabilities. Hardware Servers Data Storage Devices 16 Source: IDC, 2006 , Triple Tree, 2005, and Skyway Management estimates
  • 17. SOA Market Characteristics AppDev Tools App Metrics App Server Database Security (software Platforms only vs. total) Market Size $3.7B SW 2004 $16.5B $37B $34B total $12B $110B Market Size $19B $45B $5.2B SW $25B $121B 2009 $45B total 7% SW CAGR 3% 4% 16% 2% 5% total Strategic Importance to High High High High Moderate SOA 1 Relative Competitive 0 0 5 0 0 Threat 2 Relative Partnership 5 5 0 5 5 Potential 2 Notes: 1 Skyway Management determination 17 2 Relative ranking on scale from 0 (low) to 5 (high) Source: IDC, 2006 , Gartner, 2006 and Skyway Management estimates
  • 18. SOA Market Characteristics (cont.) Metrics EAI BPM & BPEL Governance Registry ESB Market Size 2004 $135B $1.9B $7.5B $60M Market Size $160B $3B $20.5B $350M 2009 CAGR 3% 10% 22% 42% High (after High (after High (after Strategic several several several Importance to High Low Services Services Services SOA 1 projects projects projects completed) completed) completed) Relative Competitive 2 4 2 1 1 Threat 2 Relatitve Partnership 3 1 3 4 4 Potential 2 Notes: 1 Skyway Management determination 18 2 Relative ranking on scale from 0 (low) to 5 (high) Source: IDC, 2006 , Gartner, 2006 and Skyway Management estimates
  • 19. Relevant Discussion • Segment Review • Application Development • Deep dive • BPM Overview • SOA Governance – section under construction • Open Discussion • Market Opportunities • Product Development Gaps and Response Plans 19
  • 20. SOA Application Development (AppDev) Market 20
  • 21. AppDev: Market Overview • $3.7B worldwide in 2004 • Java segment is approximately 60% ($2.2B) • $5.2B worldwide by 2009 (CAGR 7%) • Java growth is 36% during same time period ($3.5B by 2009 or 67% share) • Trends • SDLC is moving to Service Oriented Development of Applications (SODA) • Gaps in SODA • Service to UI integration • Service to BPM integration • Design Time to Run Time (and back to Design Time) transition • Analysts and Market validate modeling trends • Key Quote #1 – coding wont provide you agile IT (Gartner, 2006) • Key Quote #2 – tools are back (Gartner, 2006) 21 Source: IDC, 2005 and Gartner, 2006
  • 22. AppDev: Market Predictions and Key Assumptions • Analyst Predictions • By 2008, SODA will provide the basis for 80% of new development projects (0.8 probability)-Gartner • By 2010, 75% of mainstream IT organizations will have formal open source acquisition and management strategies (0.8 probability)-Gartner • 675 firms with >40,000 will implement SOA this year-Forrester • IT cannot code its way to Agile IT – it must be done through modeling- Gartner AppDev Summit, Sept. 2006 • AppDev tools are back-Gartner AppDev Summit, Sept. 2006 • Skyway’s Key Market Assumptions • Developers at SI and Enterprise shops have productivity problems due to the inherent limitations of coding • Modeling is the answer to faster and more agile application development • Skyway’s main competition is status quo/Eclipse (free) • Developers are protecting their coding turf 22
  • 23. AppDev: Business Problems require solutions to IT issues • Business Issues • Persistent competitive pressure to differentiate • Limited success in commercializing new business opportunities • Ongoing need to improve customer service levels and total customer experiences • Increased requirements for speed and flexibility • Adoption-paralysis of newer, enabling technologies • IT Issues • Inefficient IT resource utilization and an inability to cost-effectively reuse established applications • Inability to align IT with the Business Unit • Declining data consistency and quality • Increasing levels of IT backlog • Lack of available skills and expertise to maintain legacy systems • Culture of status quo, apathy, and complacency 23 Source: Gartner, 2005 and internal Skyway data
  • 24. AppDev: Critical Success Factors • Improved IT responsiveness to business change • Improved resource utilization • Reduce application backlog and extend legacy application platforms • Consistent, progressive, and flexible policy and process implementation • Eliminate attrition risk • Long term IT cost savings 24 Source: Internal Skyway data
  • 25. AppDev SWOT: Skyway Strengths Weaknesses • Broadest and most advanced modeling tool available • Private company and small Sales force • Built from the ground up to enable modeling as the path to • Limited functionality (via Governor) in the Analysis phase SOA • Assemble phase offers great strengths, but is limited by not • Deployment and Model combine to keep all solutions having built in connectivity to service registries and Test platform-independent phase is greatly enhanced by allowing developers to code automated tests, but no functionality that enables Quality • How to leverage Assurance engineers • Simplify core marketing messages to focus on value • No functionality in the Manage phase created for Application Developers • How to mute • Expand customer support capability to capture wider range of market feedback for future releases • Consider partnership with BPM & ESB/Registry companies (efficiency gains for Service creation) • Skyays underutilized multi-orchestration capabilities • Lack of broader market acceptance • Linkage to Services created by BPM • Lack of awareness of marketing messages and inability to communicate value of models vs. coding • Creation of new Services built via Builder • Selling power of larger competitors • “Hidden” UI services • How to mitigate • Partnership with complementary companies (ie, BPM, ESB, Registry, Governance) to accelerate creation of new Services • Partner with SI to ensure faster technology adoption • How to capitalize • Communicate partnerships with larger ISV companies to “buy scale” • Refine Builder’s Orchestration marketing messages • Enter partner agreements in Q4 Opportunities Threats 25
  • 26. AppDev SWOT: IBM/Rational Strengths Weaknesses • Large public company with large Sales force and large • As a result of numerous acquisition, they offer a large but installed base complex tool set that is difficult to use and learn • Combined benefits of models and Java coding; excellent • Very limited integration exists between the various offerings functionality in the areas of Analysis, Design and Test to address the SOA cycle • Perceived as standards based due to pioneering of UML and • IBM offerings are not integrated with the Rational offerings the Rational Unified Process • Why Skyway is the answer • How to position Skyway as an alternative • We model the Java code, they write it • Rational models only go to the skeleton code level • We deploy anywhere, they offer no deployment and do not accelerate construction options in Rational and only IBM support for Eclipse • Complexity of Rational makes it difficult to learn and plug-ins use • There is very little opportunity to work with Rational since • IBMs size, scope of offerings, and large installed base they view themselves as very competitive to us • Shops that use Rational likely will not consider Skyway • While the value of the offerings are quite different, IBM claims Rational does pretty much what we do and may be able to “freeze” deals • If IBM were to rewrite and refocus Rational as a direct play against Skyway, they could be a very fiece competitor • How can Skyway mitigate • Emphasize our model-based coding strengths and highlight Rationals coding/complexity weaknesses Opportunities Threats 26
  • 27. AppDev SWOT: BEA Strengths Weaknesses • Strong and well rounded offerings around SOA management and • Most solutions are not fully integrated since they were development acquired • Perceived as a leader in the SOA space • No focus on service creation; the answer is to write code like • Doing a good job of integrating point solutions they purchased to have an integrated offering you always do • Excellent EAI and integration tools • Why Skyway is the answer • Drives may SOA and Java specifications • Skyway works well with BEA tools • How to position Skyway as an alternative • We deploy to anything; their tools focus only on BEA • No modeling or service creation components other than coding deploys • Skyway complements BEA and feeds new services into its tools • Opportunity to work with BEA from a service-creation • BEAs size and scope of offerings perspective • If they choose to focus on modeling, we will be “frozen” from • Skyway tools create services that can feed directly into BEAs most BEA accounts offerings • Even without entering the modeling space, if they perceive us as competing for dollars then they could position us as unnecessary • How can Skyway mitigate • Emphasize our model-based coding strengths and highlight BEAs coding/complexity weaknesses Opportunities Threats 27
  • 28. AppDev SWOT: Compuware/Optimal J Strengths Weaknesses • Combined benefits of models and Java coding • The model only goes to a limited depth, substantial coding is required to get from model to solution • Integrated tightly with Eclipse • No functionality in the Assemble phase • Very extensible for organizations that desire to continue • They only address the Test phase through existing coding standards, they writing code and only partially use models offer no functionality themselves • The Model is not insulated from the underlying infrastructure – models are • Integrated with the Compuware Optimal Trace product for tied to explicit platforms once coding is begun Requirements Gathering in the Analysis phase • Deployment is not addressed at all, standard technologies such as Ant are • How to position Skyway as an alternative their only answer • Why Skyway is the answer • Skyway is true modeling with Java code output • We model the Java code, they write it • Optimal J sill requires substantial code writing • We deploy anywhere, they offer no deployment functionality • Very little opportunity for Skyway to work with Optimal J • While Optimal J will not see the same acceleration that Skyway since the products are similar in positioning and value can, it could be more accepted as a middle ground by developers • It allows them to continue writing code • But still see some acceleration through modeling but to keep code in the equation • Compuwares size and large installed base of Optimal J users • How can Skyway mitigate • Emphasize our model-based coding strengths and productivity gains combined with access to standard, well- formed Java code Opportunities Threats 28
  • 29. AppDev SWOT: Microsoft/VisualStudio Strengths Weaknesses • All solutions are fully integrated • Once a heterogeneous environment beyond Microsoft is required, complexity arises • Easy to use for building simplistic solutions • Very little is offered to accelerate the test phase, they rely on • Perceived as the easiest platform to use for building solutions ease of developer tools to accelerate this phase • Very easy to SOA enable anything that is built • BizTalk is utilized for Assembly, but no clear connection • How to position Skyway as an alternative between it and the Build phase • For Java development environments, we are the • Why Skyway is the answer most productive modeling tool in the market • Microsofts inability to align with non-Microsoft environments and/or non-Microsoft products • If Skyway were to deploy to .Net servers, there are string • They are Microsoft partnering opportunities with Microsoft • If they choose to enter the modeling space, they likely would • Microsoft has not been focusing on their tools or SOA create an excellent product infrastructure; instead, they are focusing on solutions • Skyways lack of support for .Net limits our overall market delivered through SOA opportunity • How can Skyway mitigate • Explore feasibility of adding .Net functionality Opportunities Threats 29
  • 30. AppDev SWOT: Sun/Java Studio Creator Strengths Weaknesses • Still perceived as a leader in the Java space • Solutions where acquired and are not integrated • No offerings in the modeling space; fixated on the SDLC as if critical mass • Broad coverage of the SOA SDLC spectrum of services already exist • Marketing message blurs the SDLC reality and makes SOA • Test and Deploy phases are only expedited for Assemblies – no value at all appear ready for today – takes SOA knowledge to get around when constructing new services or solutions • Build phase handled by Studio Creator, which can facilitate only the • How to position Skyway as an alternative construction of user interfaces but provides virtually no value for complex • They offer nothing in the way of service creation, business solution creation other than writing code • Design phase very limited, again covered by Studio Creator for prototyping • Why Skyway is the answer • Their focus is more BPM than creating the services to feed the BPM • Skyway works well with Sun tools • We deploy to anything; their tools focus only on Sun deploys • Since they offer no solution for the creation of atomic • Suns size and scope of offerings services, Skyway can likely offer the same value to them that • The Sun suite of products appear to be very well-rounded we can to any other BPM vendor for building service content and solve many problems within SOA • Sun has some ability to “freeze” deals when they are head- to-head with Skyway • How can Skyway mitigate • Emphasize our model-based coding strengths and highlight our ability to also create/assemble services to support their BPM tool Opportunities Threats 30
  • 31. AppDev SWOT: Eclipse Strengths Weaknesses • Open source, and in only 4 years, they are represented in 50% of Java • IBM links development projects (EvansData, 2005) • Manual coding is only option (high cost, high knowledge requirement, no • The de facto coding environment for Java today independence during deployment) • Excellent tool for Java developers in the Build phase • Almost no functionality in the Analyze and Design phases – even free open source plug-ins are not available • Many open source plug-ins to augment functionality • Assemble phase is only addressed in Eclipse by plug-ins, but no free plug- • Standards based for just about everything and quite open and extensible ins for this phase are available • Efforts under way to provide a modeling plug-in through open source, it is • Test is only addressed through standard test coding tools (JUnit) still aiming at coders just like OptimalJ • Deploy is only addressed through standard scripting tools (Ant) • How to position Skyway as an alternative • Why Skyway is the answer • Skyway generates the same Java code but at a much lower cost • We model the Java code, their tool requires coding • We deploy anywhere, they do not have deployment functionality • Moving Skyway on to the Eclipse platform will give us a • For people that want to keep coding, Eclipse is the de facto much more open appearance Java standard • This would allow us to leverage the Eclipse brand, installed • Eclipse has modeling initiatives that could be competitive base, and momentum over time • How can Skyway mitigate • Explore feasibility of adding Eclipse functionality Opportunities Threats 31
  • 32. AppDev: Key Segment Participants AppDev SOA Lifecycle Solution Analyze Design Assemble Build Test Deploy Manage Total Skyway 17 IBM/Rational R R R 19 Optimal J 8 Microsoft 14 Sun 12 BEA 12 Eclipse 4 Full capability in current product offering Partial (or lack of) capability in current product offering R – Denotes the solutions from the Rational product line – these solutions are detached from the other IBM solutions that were delivered through numerous acquisitions 32 Source: Gartner, 2005 and internal Skyway data
  • 33. AppDev: Competitor Summary Weight-Adjusted Analysis Segment Weight Success Factors Skyway IBM Optimal J MSFT Sun BEA Eclipse High Low Factor AppDev Innovation 0.25 4.25 4.75 2.00 3.50 3.00 3.00 1.00 IBM Eclipse Sun Differentiation 0.25 2.25 1.50 1.25 2.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 Skyway BEA Eclipse IBM & Awareness 0.2 0.20 2.00 1.60 2.00 1.40 1.60 1.80 Skyway MSFT IBM & Viability 0.15 0.30 1.50 1.05 1.50 0.90 0.90 1.35 Skyway MSFT Execution 0.15 0.30 1.50 0.90 1.35 1.05 1.20 0.75 IBM Skyway 7.30 11.25 6.80 10.35 7.10 7.45 5.65 Total Score 1.0 IBM Eclipse (4) (1) (6) (2) (5) (3) (7) Notes: Total maximum weight-adjusted score is 14.5 33 Source: Skyway Management estimates
  • 34. AppDev: Summary • Skyway is very strong with our disruptive offering relative to our “peers” • Our “peers,” however, are much larger and possess more recognizable brands • Partnerships can help us acquire scale quickly and improve our Sales execution capabilities • Areas needing attention or consideration • Finalize up our positioning and accelerate broader awareness of our value proposition • Consider Eclipse and .Net functionality to help with scale, but without diluting our core value proposition • Monitor the market for new entrants and/or new products as modeling acceleration continues 34
  • 35. Business Process Management (BPM) Market 35
  • 37. BPM: Market Overview • $1.9B worldwide in 2004 • $3B by 2008 (CAGR 10%) • Trends • Customers are demanding end-to-end solutions (ie, BPM Suites [BPMS]) • Consolidation is in process to move from BPM to BPMS • IBM acquired Filenet, Bowstreet • BEA acquired Fuego • Metastorm acquired Commercequest • Adobe acquired QLink • EAI is moving from point-to-point solutions to architected SOA solutions • BPMS is encompassing both human- and system-centric process management • Blurring functionality between EAI and BPMS • SOA has become a “must have” requirement for BPMS, including ESB • Focusing on service delivery and re-use • Process- model development for human-centric BPM is a given • Rule-based BPM is emerging as a “should have” capability • Document repository is becoming a “should have” capability 37 Source: IBM, 2006, Lombardi Software, 2006, and Forrester, 2006
  • 38. BPM: Market Predictions and Key Assumptions • Analyst Predictions • A massive consolidation of the BPM market will take place by 2009 (0.7)- Gartner • Through 2010, more than 80% of organizations will improve business process efficiencies by at lest 15% by establishing a strategy for optimum acquisition of Web-Service enabled software and services (0.7)-Gartner • BPM, ESB, Governance, Registry and EAI are morphing into a new segment known as BPMS-Gartner AppDev Summit, Sept. 2006 • Skyway’s Key Market Assumptions • BPM tools also address the development productivity issue • BPM may benefit greatly from a modeling tool like Skyway that generates services • Large ISVs see BPM/SOA runtime as a critical market segment and will protect their share at all costs • BPM vendors are not focusing on the AppDev segment and have conceded turf largely to Java/Eclipse 38
  • 39. BPM: Business Problems • Issues • Inability to optimize business performance/results due to non- standard business processes, tools, and personnel • Lack of consistent performance • Poor coordination between functional groups • Lack of real-time feedback and data • Limited “what-if” scenario planning • Difficulty with linking processes and metrics to user documentation • Poor post-event reporting • Weak interaction and coordination with IT 39
  • 40. BPM: Critical Success Factors • Consistently execute the optimal process • Efficient and effective Services creation • Provide real-time feedback to line managers to support process improvement • Effective Services methodology and toolset to model/simulate all interaction patterns between staff, systems, and data • Efficient cross-functional coordination and data management • Long term IT cost savings 40 Source: Gartner, 2006 and internal Skyway data
  • 41. BPM: Key Segment Participants BPM Core Capabilities Human System Rule Graphical Centric Centric Centric Simulation Analysis Process Document Solution Modeling PM PM PM Functions Functions Registry Library Total Skyway 9 IBM/Filenet 16 BEA/Fuego 17 Lombardi 21 Pegasystem 22 Metastorm 15 Savvion 20 Full capability in current product offering Partial (or lack of) capability in current product offering 41 Source: Gartner, 2006 and internal Skyway data
  • 42. BPM: Summary • We score much lower than our “peers” in this space • Our Open Application Assembly (OAA) capability is merely a bridge benefit resulting from the strength of MDSD and PID; we should avoid direct interaction in this space • We do, however, produce the requisite services for these tools • Rather than compete directly, we should partner instead • They don’t develop services; we do • Target large cap ISVs • ISVs who lack service development or production capabilities • ISVs who have “committed” to Eclipse • We need to develop supplemental marketing messages 42
  • 44. Governance: Market Predictions and Key Assumptions • Analyst Predictions • In 2006, the lack of working governance mechanisms in the midsize- to-large post-pilot SOA projects will be the most common reason for project failure (0.8 probability)-Gartner • Many middleware technologies will cease to exist by 2010 such as EAI, ETL, Data Integration, rules engines, and others, due to their inability to move to SOA (0.8 probability)-Gartner • Skyway’s Key Market Assumptions • SOA runtime will merge with BPM to form a new segment called BPMS and it will consist of the very large players (BEA, Oracle, IBM, etc) • The large players consider this space a core area that they need to own • SOA application development & SOA runtime currently do not speak with one another presenting a product opportunity for Skyway • ESB is considered a commodity – large vendors do not consider this product space strategic to them but need to offer a solution 44
  • 47. Market Analysis Summary • Analyzed SOA market landscape • Evaluated AppDev segment (polarization of pure code and pure model frameworks) • Identified Services trends • Identified BPMS trends – many potential friends and some foes • Considered SOA Run Time player(s) – unknown opportunity here • Identified market opportunity zones • Identified relevant and potential partnerships • Evaluated real and potential competitors • Characterized our market dependencies • Determined appropriateness of product positioning messages • Need to create and/or refresh collateral and develop a process to manage and distribute information to Sales • Must accentuate core capabilities • Captured emerging trend data to aid with future software release decisions • BPA integration • Eclipse compatibility • .Net adoption • Open source adoption • Service broadcast capability during run time 47
  • 49. Open Discussion • Market Analysis Recap • AppDev • BPM • Governance • Market Opportunities • Q4 FY06 • FY07 • Product Gap Plans • Build • Buy • Partner • Other 49
  • 51. AppDev: Competitor Array (Page 1 of 2) IBM IBM Optimal Optimal Segment Success Skyway Skyway MSFT MSFT Rational Rational J J Factors Weight Gross Wt Adj Gross Wt Adj Gross Wt Adj Gross Wt Adj AppDev Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Innovation - Application 0.25 17 4.25 19 4.75 8 2.00 14 3.50 Development Offering Differentiation – Unique Product and 0.25 9 2.25 6 1.50 5 1.25 8 2.00 Service Positioning Awareness – 0.20 1 0.20 10 2.00 8 1.60 10 2.00 Marketing execution Viability - Company 0.15 2 0.30 10 1.50 7 1.05 10 1.50 Financial Strength Sales Execution - Company Sales 0.15 2 0.30 10 1.50 6 0.90 9 1.35 Effectiveness Total Score 1.0 31 7.30 55 11.25 34 6.80 51 10.35 Notes: Maximum Offering score is 28; other maximum scores are 10 (each) Total maximum gross score is 68; total maximum adjusted score is 14.5 51 Source: Skyway Management estimates
  • 52. AppDev: Competitor Array (Page 2 of 2) Segment Success Skyway Skyway Sun Sun BEA BEA Eclipse Eclipse Factors Weight Gross Wt Adj Gross Wt Adj Gross Wt Adj Gross Wt Adj AppDev Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Score Innovation - Application 0.25 17 4.25 12 3.00 12 3.00 4 1.00 Development Offering Differentiation – Unique Product and 0.25 9 2.25 3 0.75 3 0.75 3 0.75 Service Positioning Awareness – 0.20 1 0.20 7 1.40 8 1.60 9 1.80 Marketing execution Viability - Company 0.15 2 0.30 6 0.90 6 0.90 9 1.35 Financial Strength Sales Execution - Company Sales 0.15 2 0.30 7 1.05 8 1.20 5 0.75 Effectiveness Total Score 1.0 31 7.30 35 7.10 37 7.45 30 5.65 Notes: Maximum Offering score is 28; other maximum scores are 10 (each) Total maximum gross score is 68; total maximum adjusted score is 14.5 52 Source: Skyway Management estimates