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A Probability Workshop




    CHANCE by eisenrah
HOMEWORK
The probability that Tony will move to Winnipeg is 2/9, and the probability that
he will marry Angelina if he moves to Winnipeg is 9/20. The probability that he
will marry Angelina if he does not move to Winnipeg is 1/20. Draw a tree
diagram to show all outcomes.
 1. What is the probability that Tony will move to Winnipeg and marry
 Angelina?




2. What is the probability that Tony does not move to Winnipeg but does
marry Angelina?
3. What is the probability that
Tony does not move to Winnipeg
and does not marry Angelina?
HOMEWORK
 (a) How many different 4 digit numbers are there in which all the
 digits are different?



 (b) If one of these numbers is randomly selected, what is the probability it
 is odd?




(c) What is the probability it is divisable by 5?
HOMEWORK
An examination consists of thirteen questions. A student must answer only one
of the first two questions and only nine of the remaining ones. How many
choices of questions does the student have?
HOMEWORK
Randomly arranged on a bookshelf are 5 thick books, 4 medium-sized books,
and 3 thin books. What is the probability that the books of the same size stay
together?
Randomly arranged on a bookshelf are 5 thick books, 4 medium-sized books,
and 3 thin books.
How many ways can the 12 books be arranged on a shelf?




  How many ways can books of the same size stay together?




What is the probability that the books of the same size stay together?
The Town of Esker
    The diagram shows a road
grid in the town of Esker. The
roads are restricted by a river on
one side and a lake on the other.
Anson lives at point A and his
friend Bettina lives at point B.
Anson visits Bettina frequently,
and likes to take a different route
each time.
 Anson stays on the roads and travels only south and east. How many routes are
 there from:
 (a) A to C?                (b) C to D?                (c) D to B?


 (d) A to B?                  (e) A to B if he must go through point P?

                               (f) What is the probability that
                               Anson will go through point P
                               if all routes are randomly
                               chosen?
Design an experiment using the random number
function of your calculator to determine the
probability of passing a six-question multiple choice
test if you guess all the answers. Each question has
four answers, and one answer is correct in each case.
How many simulations would seem reasonable? What
is the experimental probability of getting at least 50%
on the test?
Design an experiment using the random number
function of your calculator to determine the
probability of passing a six-question multiple choice
test if you guess all the answers. Each question has
four answers, and one answer is correct in each case.
How many simulations would seem reasonable? What
is the experimental probability of getting at least 50%
on the test?
Design an experiment using the random number
function of your calculator to determine the
probability of passing a six-question multiple choice
test if you guess all the answers. Each question has
four answers, and one answer is correct in each case.
How many simulations would seem reasonable? What
is the experimental probability of getting at least 50%
on the test?
While working on a problem, Chris observed        and     give the same value but
that the value for  is larger the the value for    . Explain why this outcome
occurs.
A party of eight boys and eight girls are going for a picnic. Six of the party can
ride in one car, and four in another. The rest must walk. (Assume anyone can
drive.)
 (a) In how many ways can the party be distributed for the trip




 (b) What is the probability that no girl will have to walk?




 (c) What is the probability that no girl will have to walk if each of the two
 boys who owns the cars drives his own car?
Fred is in a class that has 7 boys and 15 girls. The teacher selects partners for
a project by drawing names from a hat. What is the probability that Fred's
partner will be a boy?
Fred is in a class that has 7 boys and 15 girls. The teacher selects partners for
a project by drawing names from a hat. What is the probability that Fred's
partner will be a boy?
If you read this slide and leave a comment on the
blog you can get a bonus mark on the test. We'll call
it a quot;homework mark.quot; I figure if you went through
all the slides and read this you were probably
looking for your homework assignment with the
intention of doing it. Your reward for quot;doing your
homeworkquot; this weekend is that you have no
homework. Your quot;bonus commentquot; has to be made
before 6pm Sunday, March 9. If you're only
checking on the blog after that time, well, next time
get your homework done earlier. Enjoy your
weekend. ;-)

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Applied Math 40S March 7, 2008

  • 1. A Probability Workshop CHANCE by eisenrah
  • 2. HOMEWORK The probability that Tony will move to Winnipeg is 2/9, and the probability that he will marry Angelina if he moves to Winnipeg is 9/20. The probability that he will marry Angelina if he does not move to Winnipeg is 1/20. Draw a tree diagram to show all outcomes. 1. What is the probability that Tony will move to Winnipeg and marry Angelina? 2. What is the probability that Tony does not move to Winnipeg but does marry Angelina?
  • 3. 3. What is the probability that Tony does not move to Winnipeg and does not marry Angelina?
  • 4. HOMEWORK (a) How many different 4 digit numbers are there in which all the digits are different? (b) If one of these numbers is randomly selected, what is the probability it is odd? (c) What is the probability it is divisable by 5?
  • 5. HOMEWORK An examination consists of thirteen questions. A student must answer only one of the first two questions and only nine of the remaining ones. How many choices of questions does the student have?
  • 6. HOMEWORK Randomly arranged on a bookshelf are 5 thick books, 4 medium-sized books, and 3 thin books. What is the probability that the books of the same size stay together?
  • 7. Randomly arranged on a bookshelf are 5 thick books, 4 medium-sized books, and 3 thin books. How many ways can the 12 books be arranged on a shelf? How many ways can books of the same size stay together? What is the probability that the books of the same size stay together?
  • 8. The Town of Esker The diagram shows a road grid in the town of Esker. The roads are restricted by a river on one side and a lake on the other. Anson lives at point A and his friend Bettina lives at point B. Anson visits Bettina frequently, and likes to take a different route each time. Anson stays on the roads and travels only south and east. How many routes are there from: (a) A to C? (b) C to D? (c) D to B? (d) A to B? (e) A to B if he must go through point P? (f) What is the probability that Anson will go through point P if all routes are randomly chosen?
  • 9. Design an experiment using the random number function of your calculator to determine the probability of passing a six-question multiple choice test if you guess all the answers. Each question has four answers, and one answer is correct in each case. How many simulations would seem reasonable? What is the experimental probability of getting at least 50% on the test?
  • 10. Design an experiment using the random number function of your calculator to determine the probability of passing a six-question multiple choice test if you guess all the answers. Each question has four answers, and one answer is correct in each case. How many simulations would seem reasonable? What is the experimental probability of getting at least 50% on the test?
  • 11. Design an experiment using the random number function of your calculator to determine the probability of passing a six-question multiple choice test if you guess all the answers. Each question has four answers, and one answer is correct in each case. How many simulations would seem reasonable? What is the experimental probability of getting at least 50% on the test?
  • 12. While working on a problem, Chris observed and give the same value but that the value for is larger the the value for . Explain why this outcome occurs.
  • 13. A party of eight boys and eight girls are going for a picnic. Six of the party can ride in one car, and four in another. The rest must walk. (Assume anyone can drive.) (a) In how many ways can the party be distributed for the trip (b) What is the probability that no girl will have to walk? (c) What is the probability that no girl will have to walk if each of the two boys who owns the cars drives his own car?
  • 14. Fred is in a class that has 7 boys and 15 girls. The teacher selects partners for a project by drawing names from a hat. What is the probability that Fred's partner will be a boy?
  • 15. Fred is in a class that has 7 boys and 15 girls. The teacher selects partners for a project by drawing names from a hat. What is the probability that Fred's partner will be a boy?
  • 16. If you read this slide and leave a comment on the blog you can get a bonus mark on the test. We'll call it a quot;homework mark.quot; I figure if you went through all the slides and read this you were probably looking for your homework assignment with the intention of doing it. Your reward for quot;doing your homeworkquot; this weekend is that you have no homework. Your quot;bonus commentquot; has to be made before 6pm Sunday, March 9. If you're only checking on the blog after that time, well, next time get your homework done earlier. Enjoy your weekend. ;-)