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© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Made possible by
Key Trends in Social Advertising
April 23, 2015
Debra Aho Williamson
Principal Analyst
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Agenda
 Social Ad Spending: Up, up and away
 Social Usage: Instagram is now bigger than Twitter, and
messaging apps are coming on strong
 Video Advertising: Why Facebook may be the next video star
 Next-Gen Ad Networks: Social data offers new ways to
target ads
 Real-Time + Personalization: As programmatic buying
takes hold, this is social’s key strength
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Social Ad Spending
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
US ad
spending
on social
networks
will approach
$10 billion
this year
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
A similar trend is happening worldwide:
$23.68 billion
Worldwide social network ad spending in 2015
Up 33.5%
Over 2014
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
In Western
Europe and
North America,
more than
one-third of
digital display
ad spending
will go to
social
networks in
2015
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Facebook’s
share of US
social ad
revenue will
remain at
about 70%
through 2017
Wild card: These figures
don’t include mobile
messaging apps
(such as Snapchat)
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Marketers are
drawing from
multiple
budgets to
fund social ad
spending
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
What’s behind the spending increases?
 Better targeting = better results (= higher ad prices)
– Q3 2014 Facebook CPM: $1.54
– Q1 2014 Facebook CPM: $0.46 (Salesforce.com)
 Video ads command higher CPMs
 Social usage is very high: Advertisers want to reach
people where they are spending their time
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Social Usage
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Instagram has more worldwide monthly users
than Twitter, but FB Messenger towers over both
600
million288
million
Twitter (Q4 2014)
Facebook Messenger
(Mar 2015)
300
million
Instagram (Dec 2014)
Source: Company reports
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
What’s behind
Instagram’s
strong
growth?
Millennials
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Pinterest is
also catching
up in the US
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Despite all the
‘Facebook is
dead among
teens’ chatter,
the vast
majority of
US teen
internet users
still access it
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
And Facebook remains a regular destination for
those teens, even if less so than in the past
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Ones to watch: Facebook Messenger and
Snapchat
 Messenger
has strong
penetration
across age
groups
 New features
(payments, etc.)
will keep users
in the fold
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Video Advertising
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Marketers are changing how they think about
video in social media
“We are looking at
social platforms at large
as a new video
distribution
opportunity.”
— Natalie Bokenham,
UM Worldwide
“It’s not just
YouTube anymore.
It’s figuring out how to
incorporate snackable
video content on
channels like Instagram,
Vine, animated GIFs,
etc.”
— Kellee Montgomery,
Ford Motor Co.
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Facebook and other social properties want a
share of the growing digital video market
 US digital video
ad spending is
expected to rise
33.8% in 2015,
to $7.77 billion
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Facebook: redefining video advertising and a
potential challenger to YouTube
 Facebook delivers over 4 billion video
views per day (Source: Facebook, April 2015)
 It is wooing video content producers
to upload their videos directly to
Facebook rather than link to YouTube
 It is aggressively marketing its
autoplay video ads
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Intrigued
by the
possibilities
of autoplay
video ads,
more
marketers
are
considering
using them
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Facebook video ads offer a few key benefits:
 Sharing: Marketers that have experimented with video ads on
Facebook say they can get a great deal of organic distribution on top
of paid distribution.
 Mobile: As mobile video grows, Facebook is well-positioned. In Q4
2014, 85% of its worldwide users accessed Facebook on mobile.
 Targeting: Facebook’s targeting is a key reason why its ad business
has grown rapidly. Those same capabilities will be available to video
advertisers, enabling them to target people most likely to respond.
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
But there are drawbacks to be aware of:
 Limited search capabilities: YouTube’s search capabilities are
strong. Finding videos on Facebook is much harder.
 Not a library: Many marketers use YouTube as a library for their
video assets. Facebook doesn’t have the same capability.
 CPM pricing: Facebook recommends advertisers use either CPM or
reach-and-frequency buying optimized for video views. This can be a
drawback for advertisers that want to pay for ads based on a deeper
action than an impression.
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
YouTube faces new challengers
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
eMarketer’s perspective: A rising tide (of video
ad opportunities) lifts all boats
“I love Facebook video. I have no issue
with it all. But that doesn’t mean I’m going
to stop using YouTube. I want to use
as many platforms as I can to
push my message out.”
—Steve Carbone, MediaCom USA
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Next-Gen Ad Networks
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Social properties are writing new rules for ad
targeting
Then:
Cookies
Now:
Profile data
Photos: Arvind Balaraman / FreeDigitalPhotos.net; ddpavumba / FreeDigitalPhotos.net
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Enter ‘People-Based Marketing’
“Helping marketers reach real
people across devices,
platforms and publishers.”
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Social data powers three Facebook ad offerings
 Atlas
– For advertisers
– Cross-platform, multi-device ad targeting and campaign
management
 Facebook Audience Network
– For mobile app developers
– Extends targeted ads on Facebook into third-party apps
 LiveRail
– Ad management platform for mobile and desktop publishers
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Twitter is working in this realm as well
 Syndicated Promoted
Tweets
– Places Twitter ads in Twitter
content sections on third-party
apps and websites
– Launched with Flipboard app
and Yahoo! Japan
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
This form of ad targeting has a lot of potential,
but these are still early days
 Privacy concerns, part 1: Will consumers accept that the travel
ad they see on their mobile app was placed there because they posted
about a trip on Facebook?
 Privacy concerns, part 2: Outside the US, governmental
restrictions on data usage may hinder this form of targeting.
 Limitations: Facebook and Twitter may have social data, but that’s
only one piece of the puzzle. Other data—location, purchase
behavior—will come from other sources.
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Real-Time + Personalization
+ Programmatic
= Social’s Advantage
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
What is programmatic advertising?
“Programmatic advertising is an
automated,
technology-driven method of
buying, selling or fulfilling ad
placements.”
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
In 2015, the spending scale will tip toward
programmatic
55% of all
US digital display
ads will be bought
programmatically
in 2015, worth
$14.88 billion
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
As a result, a new way of thinking about creative
is emerging
“Historically, it was creating one piece of brilliant
creative to be fed to millions of people. Now it’s
about turning that upside down and saying, ‘We
need a million pieces of brilliant
creative to be fed to each individual on
an as-needed basis.’” — Douglas Kofoid, VivaKi
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Social will be an important piece of the puzzle
when it comes to programmatic creative
Programmatic
creative is
“Creative that is broken down
into component parts and then
reassembled on the fly based on
what’s known about the
audience or individual to whom
the ad is served.”
Photo: Salvatore Vuono / FreeDigitalPhotos.net
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Elements of
real-time
personalization
are already being
used in social
media—such as
the airline ad that
pops up minutes
after you shop for
a flight
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Lexus customized 1,000 video ads on Facebook
for the 2015 Super Bowl
 Ads were
personalized
based on
Facebook data
 Backgrounds
and copy were
customized to
interests and
location Video ad images: Facebook
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Snapchat is putting the pieces together as well
Real-time audience Geofiltering
“This is prime real
estate for a brand.”
—Nick Cicero of social
influencer marketing agency
Delmondo, writing in the
company blog, April 2015
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Why this trend is important—and why social will
be a big part of it:
 Programmatic “pipes” provide the groundwork for ad
personalization at scale
 Data about individuals is a necessary component for
personalized ads; social media is a key source of that
data
 Social media is also a key place for real-time
conversation
 As all of these trends intersect, they will do so
increasingly in social media
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Key Takeaways:
 Social ad spending is still growing substantially
 Facebook’s user base is enormous, but several other
properties have hundreds of millions of active users
 Digital video ad opportunities are increasing, and social
will take a growing share
 There will be a lot of development and momentum for
next-generation ad networks powered by social data
 Social platforms increasingly will be a home for
real-time, personalized ads bought programmatically
Social & Programmatic Ad Trends
AdRoll’s recent findings
Jackie Lamping
Sr. Director, Marketing
@jackielamping
Marketers finding high ROI with
retargeting:
intent signals + precise targeting + real-time personalization
Retargeting Arrives on Social Platforms:
today’s modern marketers driving ROI at scale
One platform to reach
your customers across:
Plus, 500+ publishers and
exchanges
“Whether they’re friending us on Facebook or following
us on Twitter, we try to build a brand that gets people
excited. AdRoll helps accomplish our goals, makes our
customers smile, and reminds them why they checked
out the site in the first place.”
B2C Case Study:
Chubbies
—Preston Rutherford, Co-founder
B2B Case Study:
Tableau
“AdRoll has made our customer acquisition and content
marketing efforts seamless. It currently accounts for
14% of Tableau’s monthly advertisement free trial and
content leads.”
—Allison Perry, Online Marketing Manager
The Future of Retargeting is Social
© 2015 eMarketer Inc.
Learn more about digital marketing with an
eMarketer corporate subscription
Around 200 eMarketer reports are published
each year. Here are some recent reports you
may be interested in:
Q&A Session
Made possible by
You will receive an email
tomorrow with a link to view the
deck and webinar recording.
To learn more: www.emarketer.com/products
800-405-0844 or webinars@emarketer.com
Debra Aho Williamson
Key Trends in Social Advertising
 Millennials and Social Media: Gauging How Facebook and
Other Networks Fit in Their Lives
 Creating Ads on the Fly: Fostering Creativity in the
Programmatic Era
 Pinterest for Marketers: What You Need to Know
 Worldwide Social Network Users: Q1 2015 Complete Forecast
 Video Advertising: How Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Tumblr
and Snapchat are Changing the Rules

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eMarketer Webinar: Key Trends in Social Advertising

  • 1. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Made possible by Key Trends in Social Advertising April 23, 2015 Debra Aho Williamson Principal Analyst
  • 2. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Agenda  Social Ad Spending: Up, up and away  Social Usage: Instagram is now bigger than Twitter, and messaging apps are coming on strong  Video Advertising: Why Facebook may be the next video star  Next-Gen Ad Networks: Social data offers new ways to target ads  Real-Time + Personalization: As programmatic buying takes hold, this is social’s key strength
  • 3. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Social Ad Spending
  • 4. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. US ad spending on social networks will approach $10 billion this year
  • 5. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. A similar trend is happening worldwide: $23.68 billion Worldwide social network ad spending in 2015 Up 33.5% Over 2014
  • 6. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. In Western Europe and North America, more than one-third of digital display ad spending will go to social networks in 2015
  • 7. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Facebook’s share of US social ad revenue will remain at about 70% through 2017 Wild card: These figures don’t include mobile messaging apps (such as Snapchat)
  • 8. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Marketers are drawing from multiple budgets to fund social ad spending
  • 9. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. What’s behind the spending increases?  Better targeting = better results (= higher ad prices) – Q3 2014 Facebook CPM: $1.54 – Q1 2014 Facebook CPM: $0.46 (Salesforce.com)  Video ads command higher CPMs  Social usage is very high: Advertisers want to reach people where they are spending their time
  • 10. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Social Usage
  • 11. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Instagram has more worldwide monthly users than Twitter, but FB Messenger towers over both 600 million288 million Twitter (Q4 2014) Facebook Messenger (Mar 2015) 300 million Instagram (Dec 2014) Source: Company reports
  • 12. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. What’s behind Instagram’s strong growth? Millennials
  • 13. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Pinterest is also catching up in the US
  • 14. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Despite all the ‘Facebook is dead among teens’ chatter, the vast majority of US teen internet users still access it
  • 15. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. And Facebook remains a regular destination for those teens, even if less so than in the past
  • 16. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Ones to watch: Facebook Messenger and Snapchat  Messenger has strong penetration across age groups  New features (payments, etc.) will keep users in the fold
  • 17. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Video Advertising
  • 18. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Marketers are changing how they think about video in social media “We are looking at social platforms at large as a new video distribution opportunity.” — Natalie Bokenham, UM Worldwide “It’s not just YouTube anymore. It’s figuring out how to incorporate snackable video content on channels like Instagram, Vine, animated GIFs, etc.” — Kellee Montgomery, Ford Motor Co.
  • 19. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Facebook and other social properties want a share of the growing digital video market  US digital video ad spending is expected to rise 33.8% in 2015, to $7.77 billion
  • 20. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Facebook: redefining video advertising and a potential challenger to YouTube  Facebook delivers over 4 billion video views per day (Source: Facebook, April 2015)  It is wooing video content producers to upload their videos directly to Facebook rather than link to YouTube  It is aggressively marketing its autoplay video ads
  • 21. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Intrigued by the possibilities of autoplay video ads, more marketers are considering using them
  • 22. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Facebook video ads offer a few key benefits:  Sharing: Marketers that have experimented with video ads on Facebook say they can get a great deal of organic distribution on top of paid distribution.  Mobile: As mobile video grows, Facebook is well-positioned. In Q4 2014, 85% of its worldwide users accessed Facebook on mobile.  Targeting: Facebook’s targeting is a key reason why its ad business has grown rapidly. Those same capabilities will be available to video advertisers, enabling them to target people most likely to respond.
  • 23. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. But there are drawbacks to be aware of:  Limited search capabilities: YouTube’s search capabilities are strong. Finding videos on Facebook is much harder.  Not a library: Many marketers use YouTube as a library for their video assets. Facebook doesn’t have the same capability.  CPM pricing: Facebook recommends advertisers use either CPM or reach-and-frequency buying optimized for video views. This can be a drawback for advertisers that want to pay for ads based on a deeper action than an impression.
  • 24. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. YouTube faces new challengers
  • 25. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. eMarketer’s perspective: A rising tide (of video ad opportunities) lifts all boats “I love Facebook video. I have no issue with it all. But that doesn’t mean I’m going to stop using YouTube. I want to use as many platforms as I can to push my message out.” —Steve Carbone, MediaCom USA
  • 26. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Next-Gen Ad Networks
  • 27. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Social properties are writing new rules for ad targeting Then: Cookies Now: Profile data Photos: Arvind Balaraman / FreeDigitalPhotos.net; ddpavumba / FreeDigitalPhotos.net
  • 28. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Enter ‘People-Based Marketing’ “Helping marketers reach real people across devices, platforms and publishers.”
  • 29. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Social data powers three Facebook ad offerings  Atlas – For advertisers – Cross-platform, multi-device ad targeting and campaign management  Facebook Audience Network – For mobile app developers – Extends targeted ads on Facebook into third-party apps  LiveRail – Ad management platform for mobile and desktop publishers
  • 30. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Twitter is working in this realm as well  Syndicated Promoted Tweets – Places Twitter ads in Twitter content sections on third-party apps and websites – Launched with Flipboard app and Yahoo! Japan
  • 31. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. This form of ad targeting has a lot of potential, but these are still early days  Privacy concerns, part 1: Will consumers accept that the travel ad they see on their mobile app was placed there because they posted about a trip on Facebook?  Privacy concerns, part 2: Outside the US, governmental restrictions on data usage may hinder this form of targeting.  Limitations: Facebook and Twitter may have social data, but that’s only one piece of the puzzle. Other data—location, purchase behavior—will come from other sources.
  • 32. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Real-Time + Personalization + Programmatic = Social’s Advantage
  • 33. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. What is programmatic advertising? “Programmatic advertising is an automated, technology-driven method of buying, selling or fulfilling ad placements.”
  • 34. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. In 2015, the spending scale will tip toward programmatic 55% of all US digital display ads will be bought programmatically in 2015, worth $14.88 billion
  • 35. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. As a result, a new way of thinking about creative is emerging “Historically, it was creating one piece of brilliant creative to be fed to millions of people. Now it’s about turning that upside down and saying, ‘We need a million pieces of brilliant creative to be fed to each individual on an as-needed basis.’” — Douglas Kofoid, VivaKi
  • 36. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Social will be an important piece of the puzzle when it comes to programmatic creative Programmatic creative is “Creative that is broken down into component parts and then reassembled on the fly based on what’s known about the audience or individual to whom the ad is served.” Photo: Salvatore Vuono / FreeDigitalPhotos.net
  • 37. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Elements of real-time personalization are already being used in social media—such as the airline ad that pops up minutes after you shop for a flight
  • 38. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Lexus customized 1,000 video ads on Facebook for the 2015 Super Bowl  Ads were personalized based on Facebook data  Backgrounds and copy were customized to interests and location Video ad images: Facebook
  • 39. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Snapchat is putting the pieces together as well Real-time audience Geofiltering “This is prime real estate for a brand.” —Nick Cicero of social influencer marketing agency Delmondo, writing in the company blog, April 2015
  • 40. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Why this trend is important—and why social will be a big part of it:  Programmatic “pipes” provide the groundwork for ad personalization at scale  Data about individuals is a necessary component for personalized ads; social media is a key source of that data  Social media is also a key place for real-time conversation  As all of these trends intersect, they will do so increasingly in social media
  • 41. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Key Takeaways:  Social ad spending is still growing substantially  Facebook’s user base is enormous, but several other properties have hundreds of millions of active users  Digital video ad opportunities are increasing, and social will take a growing share  There will be a lot of development and momentum for next-generation ad networks powered by social data  Social platforms increasingly will be a home for real-time, personalized ads bought programmatically
  • 42. Social & Programmatic Ad Trends AdRoll’s recent findings Jackie Lamping Sr. Director, Marketing @jackielamping
  • 43. Marketers finding high ROI with retargeting: intent signals + precise targeting + real-time personalization
  • 44. Retargeting Arrives on Social Platforms: today’s modern marketers driving ROI at scale One platform to reach your customers across: Plus, 500+ publishers and exchanges
  • 45. “Whether they’re friending us on Facebook or following us on Twitter, we try to build a brand that gets people excited. AdRoll helps accomplish our goals, makes our customers smile, and reminds them why they checked out the site in the first place.” B2C Case Study: Chubbies —Preston Rutherford, Co-founder
  • 46. B2B Case Study: Tableau “AdRoll has made our customer acquisition and content marketing efforts seamless. It currently accounts for 14% of Tableau’s monthly advertisement free trial and content leads.” —Allison Perry, Online Marketing Manager
  • 47. The Future of Retargeting is Social
  • 48. © 2015 eMarketer Inc. Learn more about digital marketing with an eMarketer corporate subscription Around 200 eMarketer reports are published each year. Here are some recent reports you may be interested in: Q&A Session Made possible by You will receive an email tomorrow with a link to view the deck and webinar recording. To learn more: www.emarketer.com/products 800-405-0844 or webinars@emarketer.com Debra Aho Williamson Key Trends in Social Advertising  Millennials and Social Media: Gauging How Facebook and Other Networks Fit in Their Lives  Creating Ads on the Fly: Fostering Creativity in the Programmatic Era  Pinterest for Marketers: What You Need to Know  Worldwide Social Network Users: Q1 2015 Complete Forecast  Video Advertising: How Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Tumblr and Snapchat are Changing the Rules