SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  41
Turning Venture Capital
Data into Wisdom:
Why Deal Performance
in Europe is now
Outpacing the US
— July 2011




Hendrik Brandis                               Jason Whitmire
Managing Partner, Earlybird Venture Capital   General Partner, Earlybird Venture Capital
Background
The core data-slides in this Report (6, 7,           This Report was further endorsed by
8, 11, 15, 17, 18, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 30, 31)   24 active venture capital firms in
were created and supported by a broad                Europe including Index Ventures,
cross-section of partners at European VC             Wellington Partners, Fidelity Growth
firms who are members of the Venture                 Europe, Prime Technology Ventures,
Council at the European Private Equity               Hummingbird Ventures, Open Ocean,
and Venture Capital Association (EVCA).              Target Partners, Vodafone Ventures,
These VCs include Sofinnova, Northzone,              and many more.
DFJ Esprit, Amadeus Capital, Gimv,
Endeavour Vision, Delta Partners,
Advent Venture Partners, Nauta Capital,
Neuhaus Partners, Finlombarda, and
Earlybird Venture Capital.



                                                                                        02
After emerging only in the 1990s, and shaking off
  the hangover from the deluge of capital that
        flooded the market in 1999–2001,
     European Venture Funds have staged a



Comeback
                                                    03
Venture-
                                                                                                backed
                                                                                              liquidity
                                                                                              events in
                                                                                                the last
                                                                                            24 months:


$15 Billion
   *Equal to 50% of the 30Bn in US Venture-backed liquidity events in 2009 & 2010 (Thomson Reuters), yet with only 1/5 of the venture
              funding i.e., $25Bn invested in US VCs in 2009 & 2010 compared to $6Bn in Europe, according to NVCA and EVCA data.
                                                                                                                                        *

                                                                                                                                        04
In other words, more checks to LPs are
being written in Europe than ever before

                             t Ex a l
                                      d
                          To
 Publicly

                                 i te
 announced
 European                             $4.
                                         4                                                                 Venture                            Venture
 venture-backed                                                                                         invested* $Bn                     Exits*/** $Bn
                                                                                $3.
 trade sales and                                                                   9
 IPOs over the
 past 24 months
 (incomplete)                                                                                                            $3

                                                                                                                                                                $2.
                                                                                                                                                                   5
                     ve l
                   In ota
                          ed




                                                                    $1.
                       st
                       T




                                                                       4
                                                                                                            $1.
                                                                                                                1
                          $0.
                             8                                                                                                                      $0.
                                                                                                                                                       6




                                                                                                                                            Eu he
                                                                                                                                            Eu he
                     Ge




                                                                                                      Fr




                                                                                                                                              rro r))
                       rm




                                                                                                                                        ((O
                                                                                                        an




                                                                                                                                                op
                                                                                                                                          Ott
                                                              UK




                                                                                                                                                 pe
                                                                                                            ce
                          an




                                                                                                                                                   e
                            y




                                             **Source: Earlybird analysis, 2011. ** Remaining Europe includes Scandinavia, Benelux, Italy, Spain, Central & Eastern Europe.
                                                                                                                                † Exchange rate used for 2010 1€ = $1.3265    05
At the same time, real performance shows
European VC driving the best exit multiples
globally
Exits over $ 100M
2005 – Q1/2011



                                                           7.2
                                                      Median Multiple
                                                      of Cash Invested                                                       4.5
                                                                                                                       Median Multiple
                                                                                                                       of Cash Invested

Proportionally	Europe		
is	producing	higher	exit	
multiples	and,	although	
average	exit	values	are	
ca.	25%	smaller,	lower	
entry	valuations	and	
higher	capital	efficiency	                                Europe	                                                            USA

overcompensate	for	
disadvantages	in	exit	
value.	                      Number	                        131	                                                            596
                                         Valuation	
                             Median	Exit	Valuation	       $173M	                                                           $236M
                             %	with	Multiple	of	Cash	≥	5	 57.26%	
                                                       5	                                                                  47.27%

                                                                         Data based on exhaustive calculation of exit values and cash multiple of all
                                                                              exits reports in VentureSource database (Dow Jones VentureSource)         06
This outperformance is based on
an overproportional share in
                                                                                             41%
successful exits in Europe...
Overview US- vs. European                                          36%
Share in VC Value                                                                            59%
Contribution, since 2004

                                               22%                 64%

                                               78%
                            18%
                  Eu
                     ro
                      e p




                                                                                                            its .
                                                                                                          ex no
                                                                                                       of tal
                            82%




                                                                                                         To
                                                                              nv x e
                                                                           . I 10 om
                                                                                   te p
                                                                                 es ca
                                                                         vs ns: f H


                                                                                     d
                                                                                   o
                                                                          Ru o.
                                                                               N
                   US
                     A




                                                                          13
                                                                            45
                                                          10 its
                                                            0m
                                                         $ ex
                                                      US of
                                                     > o.
                                                       N




                                                                                                                    07
                                        ed l
                                      st ita




                                                                                  Source: Dow Jones VentureSource
                                    ve ap
                                  in l c
                                     ta
                                   To
…Due in part to a higher share of European
VC funds with top US quartile
performance
Active GPs Managing                                           100%
Funds of Vintage
≥ 2006, Investment                                      nds                                                   und
                                                                                                                 s
Grade Funds               25%                rt il e Fu                         23%                ua rti le F
                                         Qua                                                    Q
                                   tom                                                     ttom
                                Bot                                                     Bo



                          25%                                                   17%                 nd      s
                                           Fu  nds                                            Q3 Fu
                                     Q3


                                                                                25%                    nd  s
                          25%                     s                                           Q   2 Fu
                                              nd
                                     Q   2 Fu




                          25%                     le                            35%                    rtile
                                             arti                                                  Qua
                                        Q  u                                                Top
                                    Top
                                                                     % f be ain otal
                                                                      of nc st t Fun
              % s R un




                                                                       i
              Fu art Tot
               Qu 37




                                                                         EU hm he ds
                of in ank ds
                nd ile al F




                                                                          ag 69 T


                                                                            VC ar US
                  US US in
                     VC VC gs




                                                                               fu ked
                      3




                                                                                 nd
                                                                                    s
                                                                                        Source: Prequin 2010
                                                                                                                     08
Forget
the
charts,
where are the outsized venture exits in Europe?

                                                  09
Its not quite all about Skype…
 $1B+                        > 10X                                                                                5 – 10X




                   Coding
                 Technologies




        **


                                                                                                                              …and many more


                                                                                                                                                   010
             *Includes 14 venture backed $1Bn exits and 30 other deals generating a ≥10x multiple, since 2005; does not include another 30 exits
                                                                      generating 5x-9x multiples. ** Enterprise value following exit to Groupon.
                                                                              Source: Dow Jones VentureSource and Earlybird Venture Capital
…while European VC–backed IPO performance
matches or exceeds US performance, both pre–
as well as post–IPO
US vs. Europe, post-IPO performance
of all VC-backed IPOs*, 03/04 to 07/11

                                                                                       Europe IPO
200%
                                                                                      - Index Value



150%




100%




                                                                                         U.S. IPO
50%                                                                                   - Index Value



   0
       2004        2005        2006      2007   2008   2009        2010                 2011

                                                                      *NB excludes Google
                                                              Source: CapitalIQ, DFJ Esprit      11
On the origin of the
turnaround
   An entrepreneurial boom combined with a mature seed/angel/venture ecosystem has led European early-stage companies to scale faster and accrue more value sooner than ever
    before. Starting in the year 2004, the fundamentals for a break-out venture decade in Europe have been continuously improving, while venture capital fund commitments have
                                                 remained down for last 6 years (positive contra-indicator) leading to a dramatic demand-supply in-equilibrium of available capital.   12
Europe today has the largest
inequilibrium of venture Capital
availability on the planet
      Supply-Demand Ratio European Venture Capital

                                                       Market	still	
                                                      saturated	with	
       Supply of Capital                              pre-bubble	VC	
                                                          funds	
100                                                                              65	%	of	all	VC	
                                                                                 funds	slide	to	
                                                                                                                 Current
               Immediate	
                   drop	in	
                                                                                    oblivion
                                                                                                                 supply
 75
                  venture	
                 deal	flow	
                          	
                                 Droves	of	
                              entrepreneurs	
                                                                    Exit	boom	
                                                                 starting	in	2005	
                                                                                                                 gap
                  by	50%        run	for	the	                     started	to	drive	                               Major	gap	in	supply	of	
                               woods	after	                         up	demand                                    venture	capital	vs.	
                               bubble	burst                                                                      availability	of	deals
50

                                          Demand
25
        2000          2001      2002           2003       2004          2005         2006          2007   2008      2009                2010


                                                                                                                    Source: Earlybird
                                                                                                                                           13
Supply side: Natural selection
“Almost every bank, large corporation and insurance
 company in Europe created its own venture capital fund
 in 1999–2000; What has emerged from the post-bubble
 struggle for existence is nothing less than some of the
 strongest Venture Capital firms in the world.”
	 	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   	   —John	Holloway,	European Investment Fund




                                                                                                    14
While the supply of venture capital started to dry
out only after 2004 ...
Early-Stage VC
Fundraising Europe*

                                             Investment
                                                cycle
                                                                                           Inve
                                                                                               st
                                                                                             cyc ment
                                                                                                le




   1998       1999       2000       2001        2002        2003      2004        2005           2006            2007            2008           2009           2010
 € 1260 M   € 5063 M   € 8624 M   € 5586 M     € 2177 M   € 1548 M   € 1345 M   € 3542 M       € 2927 M        € 3585 M        € 2265 M        € 1465 M       € 811 M




                                                                                                                                                                 15
                                                                                       *1998-2006: Thomson Financial/PWC statistics, High-Tech Early-Stage;
                                                                                                                 2007-2010: PEREP Analytics, Early-Stage
                                                                                                                                             Source: EVCA
…Only the fittest venture capital firms
survived the post-bubble shake out
Number of VC Funds in                                             Germany
Europe 1999 vs. 2011*



                                                                  UK
              1,60
                  0

                             - 63%
                                                                  France
                                     Thereof	the	
                                     Top	20	VCs
                                     in	Europe
                                                                  Other
                               711
       19
         99




                      20
                        11




                                                                                                                                                 16
                                                *Active Funds = all VC funds, doing ≥ 4 investments per year. Sub-set of so-called “Investment
                                          Grade Funds”: US$ 100M; > 50% non-captive capital; raised successor fund with vintage year ≥ 2006
                                                                                                 Source: NVCA; EVCA; Earlybird Estimates
The dramatic capital supply imbalance
between the US and Europe
(which receives only one
fifth of VC Investments) …
VC Investments in Proportion
to GDP (2010)                                                                                                   U.S.
                                                                                                               0.150




                                                                                      x
                                                                                  5.8


                                                               Europe
                                                                0.026



        Scandinavia    UK     Switzerland   France   Ireland            Germany    Benelux   Austria   Spain    CEE    Italy     Portugal       Poland
           0.051      0.045     0.042        0.035    0.027              0.026      0.022     0.014    0.011   0.007   0.004      0.003         0.003



                                                                                                                               Source: EVCA,
                                                                                                                                Eurostat 2011        17
…Has meant that a comparatively small
but mature sub-set of European VCs are able to
now move into fund generations 3 and beyond
VC teams’ maturity by number of funds raised




                             W.	Europe	         U.S.	                                                        Ratio
 ≥	2	                           73              334                                                           4.6x
 ≥	3	                           58              202                                                           3.5x
 ≥	4	                           28              132                                                           4.7x
 ≥	5	                            8              94                                                           11.8x
 ≥	6	                            4              65                                                           16.3x
 Time	since	early	growth		     10–15           50–60                                                         4–5x	
 of	VC	industry	(years)

                                               Source: Dow Jones VentureSource (cross selection, not all funds included)   18
As a result, it is a
buyer’s market* in Europe:
“European venture capital is a cottage industry
 characterised by an insufficient number of private
 investors (e.g. lack of pension and endowment funds
 which account for roughly 65% of the US VC industry)
 with the capacity and willingness to invest in venture
 capital, mainly due to past disappointments and the
 resulting lack of confidence which still inhibits the
 European venture industry today.”
	 	   	   	   	       	       	       	       	       	        	       	       	       	       —Egbert	Freiherr	von	Cramm,
                                                                                                Managing Director, Deutsche Bank Private Equity



                                                                                                                                                                                                 19
                  *In the US venture receives substantial funding from university endowments, pension funds and family offices - these three combined are by far the largest contributors
                       and account collectively for more than two third of the US venture capital. In contrast, university endowments within the EU allocate less than 2% of their assets to
                         private equity as a whole, compared to over 10% in the US. Also, while there are over 11,000 family offices in the US, there are only 2,500 family offices in the EU.
Demand side: Proliferation
“ The scarcity of VC money in
  Europe not only has led to low
  entry valuations, but also has
  driven up capital efficiency
  (roughly 70 percent higher
  than in the US) and yield (hit
  rate) because the scarcity of
  money allows the very few
  investors to simply be more
  selective.”
	 	    	   	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	                    	
 	 	   	   —Uli	Fricke,	EVCA Chairwoman 2010-2011




                                                        20
There has been a surge in both the quality
and quantity of the
entrepreneurial pool
in Europe…                      93%

                                                                                                                       92%

                                                                                                                                             50%
                                                                                                                                                                    ut
                                                                                                                                                                itho t
                                                                                                                                                              W ea s
                                                                                                                                                               rep eneur
                                                                                                                                                               epr
                                                                                                                                                          e ntr




      5.2%
                      7.4%                                                                        7%                                         50%
                                                                                                                                                                    h
                                                                                                                                                                Wit at




                                                                              EB
                                                                                                                        8%



                                                                                  98
                                                                                                                                                                  e s
                                                                                                                                                               rep eneur




                                                                                     /9
                                                                                                                                                               epr




                                                                                         9
                                                                                                                                                          e ntr




                                                                                                   EB
                                                                                                        20
                                                                                                           0 0

                                                                                                                          EB
       2006                2009




                                                                                                                              20
                                                                                                                                 07
  Latent entrepreneurs in European                                                  No. of portfolio companies with repeat
   population between 18 and 64*                                                   entrepreneurs in Venture Capital funds**


                                                                                                                                                                           21
                                 *Not yet involved in entrepreneurial activities, definitions slightly changed from 2006 to 2009 **Earlybird Venture Capital Fund IV as
                       example (a broader survey of 8 European VCs across 16 funds found an average of 37% serial entrepreneurs in portfolio companies (EVCA, 2011)
                                                                                                  Source: Earlybird Analysis, Global Entrepreneurship Report 2006/2009
…Resulting in a steadily




                                                                                                              1,
                                                                                                                87
                                                                                                                  2
growing high-quality early                                                                 +17
stage dealflow                                                                                %




                                                                          1,6
Earlybird Dealflow Year on Year




                                                                                 00
(No. of New Leads)*                                   +6
                                                               %




                                                1,4
                                                                                                                                      011




                                                   99
                                                                                                                                     2
                                        +17
                                            %
                                                                                                 2010
                                 1,
                                  28



                      +7
                                    5



                         %
                                                            20 09
              1,
                20
                   4




                                         2008


                          2007                      *Does not include all leads screened on “fly-by”; gross dealflow factor of min. 1.3 - 1.5x
                                                                                          **Expected based on dealflow as of May 31, 2011
                                                                                                                                                 22
                                                                                         Source: Earlybird Venture Capital Deal Database
This means that only a fraction of startups
in europe receive funding, so only




                                                                                                    10
                                                                                                      92
the very best firms receive




                                                                                      11
                                                                           14




                                                                                        46
                                                                              6
venture backing




                                                                             4
                                                           15
                                                             98
Number of Midstage
(>$5M) VC Deals




                                                                                                                  22
                                              14




                                                                                                                     1
                                                30




                                                                                                                            20
                                                                                                  19




                                                                                                                              10
                                                                                                     1
                               13
                                 45




                                                                                    26




                                                                                                         20
                                                                                       1




                                                                                                           90
                  13
                    28




                                                                      30
                                                                       4




                                                                                           20
                                                                                             80
       11
         69




                                                         24




                                                                            20
                                                           5




                                                                               07
U.
  S.




                                           24




                                                               20
                                              4




                                                                 06
                              23




                                                  20
                                2




                                                    05
                                    20
                 19




                                      40
                   2




                                                                                                            Source: EVCA,
                                                                                                                              23
       Eu
          ro




                                                                                                            Venturesource
           e p



                       20
                         03
…while European capital efficiency results
both from low entry valuations…
Early stage entry valuations for Venture Capital investments
  € millions
  €8 M




   €6M
                US
                  A




   €4M
                                                                                              .5
                                                                                            ~1o
                                                                                             tx
                                                                                            2.5
               Eu
                 ro




   €2M
                   pe




     0
                 2004      2005            2006            2007   2008                        2009
                                                                     Source: Dow Jones VentureSource
                                                                                                       24
… and lower cost of growing businesses /tight
 control of cash invested…
    Median European investments                              Median U.S. investments
€10 M                                                      €10 M




€8 M                                                       €8 M




€6 M                                                       €6 M

                                                                                                                Later

€4 M                                                       €4 M
                                                                                                                Second
                                                  Later

€2 M
                                                  Second   €2 M                                                 First

                                                  First
                                                  Seed                                                          Seed
   0                                                          0
        2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009                2004   2005   2006   2007   2008        2009

                                                                                            Source: Dow Jones
                                                                                               VentureSource            25
…Which has resulted in Europe matching
the US for successful exit values at around $ 350M...
Average Exit Cap ($ 100M+ Exits) US$M

 $700 M                                  China


 $600 M



 $500 M
                                                 Europe

 $400 M


 $300 M



 $200 M
                     USA

 $100 M


     0
          2004      2005          2006   2007    2008          2009                         2010


                                                          Source: Dow Jones VentureSource
                                                                                               26
… while investing only half
the capital to build winners
Average Capital Invested Prior to $ 100M+ Exit
$100 M                                                   USA          »		 xits	in	the	same	order	of	
                                                                        E
                                                                        magnitude	need	only	half	
                                                                        the	amount	of	VC	in	
                                                                        Europe
 $80 M


                                                                      »		 S	capital	efficiency	not	
                                                                        U
                                                                        generally	increasing—
 $60 M                                                                  hence	lower	returns,	
                                                        Europe          higher	prices—and	the	
                                                                        current	shake	out
 $40 M
                                                                      »		 verage	in	US	1997–2001	
                                                                       	A
                                                        China
                                                                        was	$	41M	per	company	at	
                                                                        $	317M	average	exit—just	
 $20 M                                                                  like	Europe	now



                                                                                                                        27
    0
                                                                 Source: Dow Jones VentureSource, 2008 exchange rates
         2004   2005   2006   2007    2008       2009   2010
These market changes have led to significant
european advantages in entry
valuations, capital                        M
                                        88
efficiency and hit rate              $3


Benchmarking of VC                                             M
Performance Drivers,                                     $79                                                   M
                        100                                                                            $ 304
Europe vs. USA,             %
2004–2011 ytd
                                           M
                                     $16.1


                                                                             M
                                                                       $44




                                                                                                                         io it
                                                                                                                       at Ex
                                                                                                                           n
                                                                                                                     lu e
                                                                                                                   Va rag
                                                                                                                       e
                                                                                                                    Av
                                                 .5 M




                                                                                       it ior l
                                                                                     Ex Pr ita
                                               $5




                                                                                  to ed ap
                                                                                     st C
                                                                                   ve ge
                                                                                 In era
                                                                                   Av
                       US
                         A

                                Eu




                                                                n* y
                                                              io tr
                                   ro




                                                            at En
                                                          lu e
                                      p




                                                        Va rag
                                    e




                                                            e
                                                         Av




                                                                        * Average median pre-money valuations of the years
                                                                           2004-2010 ytd. Source: EVCA, Earlybird analysis
                                                                                                                             28
Reprehensible
…that you are only now reading about the Comeback,
but then again: Visibility on European VC Funds for
investors is highly limited and prejudiced by the poor
quality of published industry fund statistics in Europe.*




            * As a result, recent LP surveys (including most recently from Coller Capital) continue to reflect a dampened VC investment climate in Europe, even though
                 real performance of European VC – by all indicators including current venture-backed liquidity events – is dramatically better than generally perceived.   29
Very small data set in europe – 21% of funds in
database Representing only
15% of the industry                      4                                                           7
                                                                             Da                2,7
                                                                            do taba
No. of Funds                                                                  e     s
                                                                             co s note
                                                                            en ver
                                                                          ind tire
                                                                             us
                                                                                try

In	the	US,	market	publication	
requirements	of	endowments	oblige	most	
GPs	to	publish	financial	performance.	In	
contrast,	there	are	no	such	requirements	




                                                                                                     42
in	Europe,	so	many	of	the	top-performing	                                     1
                                                                         1,26




                                                                                                         %
European	funds	are	not	publishing	their	                                                                               1
financial	data	in	the	Thomson	Venture	                                                                            1,17
database.	Moreover,	in	Europe	85%	of	
EVCA	listed	funds	have	disappeared	since	
the	burst	of	the	bubble,	and	only	10%	of	
the	remaining	funds	are	considered	
active,	yet	the	bulk	of	European	venture	
fund	managers	that	are	still	listed	are	no	


                                                                              21
longer	active,	resulting	in	a	long	non-



                                                                                %




                                                                                                                               A
                                                                                                                             US
                                               To Da




contributing	tail	of	European	VC	funds	                                                  262
                                                 ta ta
                                              in

                                                   l F ba
                                                      un se
                                                        ds




listed	in	the	Thomson	database.	
                                                              Fu rfor ata
                                                                Pe D
                                                                nd m




Source: EVCA, Earlybird Analysis




                                                                                                      pe
                                                                  s w an




                                                                                                   ro
                                                                     ith ce




                                                                                                Eu
                                                                                          Source: Preqin Performance Analyst database
                                                                                                                                        30
European Venture statistics are
       7                            notoriously misleading: Performance
                                                  of post bubble vintages
       93      22
                       36


                                                            not yet visible
                               50
                                        65
               78
                                                 52                                        Pos
                                                          75                                  t-bu
                                                                                                     bbl
                                                                      84                                e vi
                       64                                                                                    nta
                                                                                                                  ges                       In	addition	to	highly	
                                                                                  96
                                                                                                                                          misleading	published	
                                       Un
                                          re

                                                                                       100
                                            al

                                                                                                                                    historical	industry	data	for	
                                               ize
                                                  d

                               50                                                              100
                                                                                                                        100
                                                                                                                            %     European	VC	which	lead	to	a	
                                                                                                       100
                                                                                                                                        negative	bias	in	official	
                                                                                                               100                statistics,	there	is	almost	no	
                                                 48
               Re




                                                                                                                                      reported	performance	of	
                 al




                                        35
                    ize
                      d




                                                                                                                                  post-bubble	vintages	(which	
                                                                                                                                        effectively	started	only	
    19
       97




                                                                                                                                   2004/2005)	–	these	funds	
            19
              89




                                                         25                                                                              are	significantly	better	
                    19
                      99




                                                                                                                                 performing	and,	as	evidenced	
                            20
                              00




9                                                                                                                                   by	recent	exits	across	top-
                                    20
                                       01




                                                                  16                                                                  tier	funds,	are	now	at	the	
                                             20
                                                02




                                                                                                                                                 inflection	point
                                                      20
                                                         03




    Assembly of NAV,
                                                               20




                                                                           4
                                                                 40




    European Venture
                                                                           20
                                                                              05




    Funds by Vintage
                                                                                   20
                                                                                      06
                                                                                           20
                                                                                              07

                                                                                                   20
                                                                                                      0




                                                                                                                                                                               31
                                                                                                      8




                                                                                                                                Source: Cambridge Associates: Global VC & PE
                                                                                                           20
                                                                                                              09




                                                                                                                                         Index and Benchmark Statistics 2009
Just one example: German
      venture capital
                               The dramatic
                              changes in the
                         European venture
                   scene are well illustrated
                 in Germany, which over the
              past 24 months has produced
            the highest number of venture–
                     backed exits in Europe

                                           31
In an economy that is not exactly
underperforming...


Thursday, Feb. 03, 2011                                              Monday, Mar. 07, 2011


Vorsprung durch                                                      How Germany Became
Exports                                                              the China of Europe
Which G7 economy was the best performer of
the past decade? And can it keep it up?
                                                                            …”Germany	is	in	a	very	competitive	position	today,	more	than	
                                                                            ever,”	proclaims	Stéphane	Garelli,	director	of	the	world	
       …Berlin	beats	Bay	Area…                                              Competitiveness	Center	at	the	Swiss	business	school	IMD…

       …Germany	grew	at	its	fastest	pace	for	two	decades	in	                …German	companies	poured	money	into	R&D	and	cut	
       2010…                                                                expenses…
                                                                            …Germany	churns	out	specialized	products	of	such	superior	
       …Over	the	past	decade	Germany	had	the	fastest	growth	in	             quality…
       GDP	per	person	among	the	G7	club	of	rich	economies…
                                                                            …That	has	kept	the	country	in	front	of	emerging	economies	
                                                                            like	China’s	and	helped	it	benefit	from	their	rapid	growth…
       …The	IMF	forecasts	that	Germany	will	also	have	the	fastest	
       growth	in	GDP	per	head	over	the	next	five	years…                     …Germany	“is	a	road	map	for	the	U.S.	and	other	countries”…

                                                                                                                                    33
“...increasing numbers of Germans are choosing to
 forgo corporate life to create nimble, hungry and
 global high-tech ventures; moreover, they realize
 that the rapid rise of technology-enabled services
 over the past decade is a faster route to success than
 the more capital-heavy Mittelstand.”
	     —
      	 Sven	Weber,		
      				President,
         Silicon Valley Bank Capital




                                                                                                                                                                                     33
                 * As a result, the deal flow quantity in Germany is increasingly driven by available entrepreneurs, in contrast to the US, where deal flow is driven by available
               innovations. Indeed, the density of available entrepreneurs in Germany has almost doubled from 2006 to 2010 according to the global entrepreneurship report,
                                                                        increasing from roughly a third of the US figure in 2006 to two-thirds of the respective US figure today.
This has resulted in over $ 4.4 BN
in venture-backed exits in Germany
during the last 24 months
Venture-Backed Exits Germany past 24 Months (as of March 2011)
   Company              Acquirer                 0                           $200 M                 $400 M                            $600 M
   Big Point*           Summit & TA Associates                                                                                              $600 M
   Invatec              Medtronic                                                                                        $500 M
   City Deal*           Groupon                                                                                          $500 M
   RIB Software         IPO                                                                                           $500 M
   Brahms               Thermo Fisher                                                                             $470 M
   Zouk                 SiCProcessing                                                      $280 M
   MTM                  Roche                                                           $267 M
   Netviewer            Citrix Systems                                               $240 M
   Brands for Friends   eBay                                                     $200 M
   Redcoon              Media Markt                                     $130 M
   Endoart              Allergan                                   $97 M
   eCircle              TA Associates                            $85 M
   Inge AG              BASF                                   $70 M
   Nugg.ad              Deutsche Post                          $70 M
   BridgeCo (SMSC)      SMSC                                   $68 M
   Aloca                Motorola                             $50 M
   KaufDa               Axel Springer                      $40 M
   Netzathleten         Bertelsmann                       $25 M

                                                                                                                                                       35
                                                                                                                                 * Enterprise Value
   Ubitexx              RIM                          NA                                                      Not including omitted and smaller exits
                                                                                                                    Source: BVK, Earlybird analysis
Yet in an economy
that is 25% of US GDP…
…Germany has only
4 independent VC funds
of Investment-Grade
size > € 100M
(Vs. in the US >227 funds)




                             35
A multi-localized venture model

“Germany has a unique model where, in a different twist
 to the hugely successful VC-funded start-up ecosystem
 of Silicon Valley, the industry is not as much reliant on
 a handful of blockbusters or even a closely networked
 startup environment, but rather one where a high number
 of regionally diversified quality opportunities correspond
 to increasing levels of entrepreneurial activity.”
	                            —
                             	 Andreas	Ritter,	ARICO Private Investments
                               Advisory and former Head of Private equity Duke
                               University’s endowment


                                                                                 37
This environment Is producing best-in-class
funds with attractive market fundamentals...
 Inside-out German VC fund view confirms                                 Median Pre-Money Valuation
 unparalleled current environment                                        – Initial Round in €M



        1 (4                  1 (6             3 (1
       5 (1 %)               6 (3 )
                                   %               6%
           8%                                          )                                   €9.
              )                   5%                                                          8M
                                     )




                                                                  ge
                                              14 (




                                                               ta
                                                   74%




                                                             -s
                                                            id
       21 (




                                                           M
              78%                                      )
                  )                                                       €5.
                                                                              3M
                             10 (
                                  59%
                                     )




                                                                   e
                                                                 ag
                                                               st
                                                             ly
                                                              r
                                                           Ea
                                                                                                            €3.




                                                                       19
                                                                         98
                                                                                                               8M




                                                                         Fu
                                                                            n d
                                              2 (1




                                                                                20
                                                  0%




                                                                                   0  0
                                                      )




                                                                                         Fu
                                                                                            n
                      20




                                         20
19




                                                                                             d
   9




                         0




                                            07




                                                               d
  8




                        0




                                                               e
                                                            Se




                                                                                                   20
   Fu




                                               Fu
                         Fu
      n




                                                  n




                                                                                                      07
                            n
         d




                                                 d
                               d




                                                                                                         Fu
                                                                                                            n d
                                                                                   Source: Earlybird Venture Capital example
                                                                                                                               38
…while many VCs are now investing beyond
the J-curve and generating early liquidity




                                                                                                                                          €3
                                                                                                                                             6.
due to strong accelerated traction




                                                                                                                                               6
Revenue Traction per Fund Generation (Year 1-5)* in €M
These	trends	suggest	that	German	VC	has	plenty	of	headroom,	with	accelerating	exit	activity	
further	improving	performance	in	post-bubble	vintages	(2005/2006	et	seq.)




                 und                                        und                                              und
               8F                                         0F                                             07
                                                                                                            F




                                                                            €1
            199                                        200



                                                                              3.
                                                                                                      20




                                                                                4




                                                                                                                                 €1
                                                                                                                                   4.
                                                                                                                                     5
                                €6




                                                                                                                        €1
                                                                                                                          0.
                                  .6




                                                                                                                            5
                                                                     €7
                                                                       .6
                         €7
                           .1




                                                              €3
                   €2




                                                                .2
                    .8




                                                                                                                                                         FC
                                                                                                                €3
                                                       €3
                                            5




                                                                                       5




                                                                                                                                                       5
                                                                                                                  .7
                                                         .4
                                         Yr




                                                                                    Yr




                                                                                                                                                    Yr
                                     4




                                                                                4




                                                                                                                                               4
                                  Yr




                                                                             Yr




                                                                                                                                            Yr
            €0
              .2




                              3




                                                                         3




                                                                                                                                      3
                                                €0
                           Yr




                                                                      Yr




                                                                                                                                   Yr
                                                                                                       €0
                                                  .9




                                                                                                         .8
        0




                       2




                                                                  2




                                                                                                                             2
                    Yr




                                                               Yr




                                                                                                                          Yr
                1




                                                           1




                                                                                                                     1
             Yr




                                                        Yr




                                                                                                                  Yr
                                                                                *Aggregate shareholding weighted revenue contribution of portfolio companies
                                                                                                                 Source: Earlybird Venture Capital Example     39
Summary:
The Sky is the Limit
»		 he structure and performance of European
  T
  	
  venture capital illustrates the unparalleled
  potential of a matured industry.
»		 number of funds based in Europe
  A
  have achieved US top quartile
  performance in post-bubble era.
»		 he imbalance between VC funding (supply)
  T
  and investment opportunities (demand) is
  driving a unparalleled competitive landscape.
»		 uropean VC has finally emerged with strong
  E
  fundamentals within the context of an
  inefficient market while benefitting from a
  higher capital efficiency than the US.



                                                  39
Presented By:

   Hendrik Brandis                             Jason Whitmire
   Managing Partner                             General Partner
Earlybird Venture Capital                   Earlybird Venture Capital




                        With	Assistance	From:
                         Amit Kumar Jain,
                      Summer Associate, INSEAD




                                                       Designed by Arno Ghelfi, l’atelier starno.
                                                           Photos for illustrative purposes only.   41

Contenu connexe

En vedette

European VC Performance (Earlybird VC presentation)
European VC Performance (Earlybird VC presentation)European VC Performance (Earlybird VC presentation)
European VC Performance (Earlybird VC presentation)Earlybird Venture Capital
 
When & How to Raise Venture Capital
When & How to Raise Venture CapitalWhen & How to Raise Venture Capital
When & How to Raise Venture CapitalNew York University
 
Upfront vc analysis 2016
Upfront vc analysis 2016Upfront vc analysis 2016
Upfront vc analysis 2016Mark Suster
 
Introduction to Venture Capital
Introduction to Venture CapitalIntroduction to Venture Capital
Introduction to Venture Capitalpricew
 
What is venture capital & venture capital in india
What is venture capital & venture capital in indiaWhat is venture capital & venture capital in india
What is venture capital & venture capital in indiaSandeep Mane
 
Structuring a corporate venturing fund
Structuring a corporate venturing fundStructuring a corporate venturing fund
Structuring a corporate venturing fundBrand Acumen
 
Startup Istanbul 2016 / Christopher Rogers - Partner Lumia Capital
Startup Istanbul 2016 / Christopher Rogers - Partner Lumia Capital Startup Istanbul 2016 / Christopher Rogers - Partner Lumia Capital
Startup Istanbul 2016 / Christopher Rogers - Partner Lumia Capital Startup Istanbul
 
Building a production ready meteor app
Building a production ready meteor appBuilding a production ready meteor app
Building a production ready meteor appRitik Malhotra
 
Quigley Report: A Venture Capital Revival is Upon Us
Quigley Report: A Venture Capital Revival is Upon UsQuigley Report: A Venture Capital Revival is Upon Us
Quigley Report: A Venture Capital Revival is Upon Usquigleyreport
 
Product Ownership @ RD Summit 2015
Product Ownership @ RD Summit 2015Product Ownership @ RD Summit 2015
Product Ownership @ RD Summit 2015Manoel Lemos
 
Private Equity and Venture Capital in India
Private Equity and Venture Capital in IndiaPrivate Equity and Venture Capital in India
Private Equity and Venture Capital in IndiaPramod Jadhav
 
Insiders Guide On How To Raise Venture Capital
Insiders Guide On How To Raise Venture CapitalInsiders Guide On How To Raise Venture Capital
Insiders Guide On How To Raise Venture CapitalBob Dahlberg
 
How to Raise Venture Capital: What's Your Plan?
How to Raise Venture Capital: What's Your Plan? How to Raise Venture Capital: What's Your Plan?
How to Raise Venture Capital: What's Your Plan? David Ehrenberg
 
How to raise venture capital
How to raise venture capitalHow to raise venture capital
How to raise venture capitalPlanning-ness
 
The State of Venture Capital [Reformatted]
The State of Venture Capital [Reformatted]The State of Venture Capital [Reformatted]
The State of Venture Capital [Reformatted]The Venture Company
 
How why and when to raise venture capital norcat hot topics series
How why and when to raise venture capital   norcat hot topics seriesHow why and when to raise venture capital   norcat hot topics series
How why and when to raise venture capital norcat hot topics seriesNORCAT
 
Buscapé_apresentação_Neogrid_link-2015 03 26_v9
Buscapé_apresentação_Neogrid_link-2015 03 26_v9Buscapé_apresentação_Neogrid_link-2015 03 26_v9
Buscapé_apresentação_Neogrid_link-2015 03 26_v9Romero Rodrigues
 
Geography of europe physical features
Geography of europe physical featuresGeography of europe physical features
Geography of europe physical featuresklgriffin
 
3 Reasons Why Your Startup Is Struggling To Raise Venture Capital
3 Reasons Why Your Startup Is Struggling To Raise Venture Capital3 Reasons Why Your Startup Is Struggling To Raise Venture Capital
3 Reasons Why Your Startup Is Struggling To Raise Venture CapitalAvalon Ventures
 

En vedette (20)

European VC Performance (Earlybird VC presentation)
European VC Performance (Earlybird VC presentation)European VC Performance (Earlybird VC presentation)
European VC Performance (Earlybird VC presentation)
 
When & How to Raise Venture Capital
When & How to Raise Venture CapitalWhen & How to Raise Venture Capital
When & How to Raise Venture Capital
 
Upfront vc analysis 2016
Upfront vc analysis 2016Upfront vc analysis 2016
Upfront vc analysis 2016
 
Introduction to Venture Capital
Introduction to Venture CapitalIntroduction to Venture Capital
Introduction to Venture Capital
 
Venture capital presentation
Venture capital presentationVenture capital presentation
Venture capital presentation
 
What is venture capital & venture capital in india
What is venture capital & venture capital in indiaWhat is venture capital & venture capital in india
What is venture capital & venture capital in india
 
Structuring a corporate venturing fund
Structuring a corporate venturing fundStructuring a corporate venturing fund
Structuring a corporate venturing fund
 
Startup Istanbul 2016 / Christopher Rogers - Partner Lumia Capital
Startup Istanbul 2016 / Christopher Rogers - Partner Lumia Capital Startup Istanbul 2016 / Christopher Rogers - Partner Lumia Capital
Startup Istanbul 2016 / Christopher Rogers - Partner Lumia Capital
 
Building a production ready meteor app
Building a production ready meteor appBuilding a production ready meteor app
Building a production ready meteor app
 
Quigley Report: A Venture Capital Revival is Upon Us
Quigley Report: A Venture Capital Revival is Upon UsQuigley Report: A Venture Capital Revival is Upon Us
Quigley Report: A Venture Capital Revival is Upon Us
 
Product Ownership @ RD Summit 2015
Product Ownership @ RD Summit 2015Product Ownership @ RD Summit 2015
Product Ownership @ RD Summit 2015
 
Private Equity and Venture Capital in India
Private Equity and Venture Capital in IndiaPrivate Equity and Venture Capital in India
Private Equity and Venture Capital in India
 
Insiders Guide On How To Raise Venture Capital
Insiders Guide On How To Raise Venture CapitalInsiders Guide On How To Raise Venture Capital
Insiders Guide On How To Raise Venture Capital
 
How to Raise Venture Capital: What's Your Plan?
How to Raise Venture Capital: What's Your Plan? How to Raise Venture Capital: What's Your Plan?
How to Raise Venture Capital: What's Your Plan?
 
How to raise venture capital
How to raise venture capitalHow to raise venture capital
How to raise venture capital
 
The State of Venture Capital [Reformatted]
The State of Venture Capital [Reformatted]The State of Venture Capital [Reformatted]
The State of Venture Capital [Reformatted]
 
How why and when to raise venture capital norcat hot topics series
How why and when to raise venture capital   norcat hot topics seriesHow why and when to raise venture capital   norcat hot topics series
How why and when to raise venture capital norcat hot topics series
 
Buscapé_apresentação_Neogrid_link-2015 03 26_v9
Buscapé_apresentação_Neogrid_link-2015 03 26_v9Buscapé_apresentação_Neogrid_link-2015 03 26_v9
Buscapé_apresentação_Neogrid_link-2015 03 26_v9
 
Geography of europe physical features
Geography of europe physical featuresGeography of europe physical features
Geography of europe physical features
 
3 Reasons Why Your Startup Is Struggling To Raise Venture Capital
3 Reasons Why Your Startup Is Struggling To Raise Venture Capital3 Reasons Why Your Startup Is Struggling To Raise Venture Capital
3 Reasons Why Your Startup Is Struggling To Raise Venture Capital
 

Similaire à Why European Venture Capital Exits are now Outpacing the US

VC Backed M&A Snapshot - Q1 2011
VC Backed M&A Snapshot - Q1 2011VC Backed M&A Snapshot - Q1 2011
VC Backed M&A Snapshot - Q1 2011ericrisley
 
Best Buy International Strategic Update
Best Buy International Strategic UpdateBest Buy International Strategic Update
Best Buy International Strategic Updatefinance7
 
Capital Raising for Public Companies
Capital Raising for Public CompaniesCapital Raising for Public Companies
Capital Raising for Public CompaniesMiltonHahn
 
Venture Capital 101 // Christine Herron // blackbox connect
Venture Capital 101 // Christine Herron // blackbox connectVenture Capital 101 // Christine Herron // blackbox connect
Venture Capital 101 // Christine Herron // blackbox connectblackbox
 
Thompson Toc Pw Merrill Lynch Conf London 6 7 07
Thompson Toc Pw Merrill Lynch Conf London 6 7 07Thompson Toc Pw Merrill Lynch Conf London 6 7 07
Thompson Toc Pw Merrill Lynch Conf London 6 7 07i3mm
 
Powerofone arete smart devices future view - nov 11
Powerofone   arete smart devices future view - nov 11Powerofone   arete smart devices future view - nov 11
Powerofone arete smart devices future view - nov 11AreteResearch
 
The INFLUENCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON INVESTMENT IN VENTURE CAPITAL
The INFLUENCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON INVESTMENT IN VENTURE CAPITALThe INFLUENCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON INVESTMENT IN VENTURE CAPITAL
The INFLUENCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON INVESTMENT IN VENTURE CAPITALBABACAR SECK
 
The European Venture Capital Market - Uli Fricke Triangle Ventures Stanford A...
The European Venture Capital Market - Uli Fricke Triangle Ventures Stanford A...The European Venture Capital Market - Uli Fricke Triangle Ventures Stanford A...
The European Venture Capital Market - Uli Fricke Triangle Ventures Stanford A...Burton Lee
 
Deal Book Of Russian Internet - Fast Lane Ventures
Deal Book Of Russian Internet - Fast Lane VenturesDeal Book Of Russian Internet - Fast Lane Ventures
Deal Book Of Russian Internet - Fast Lane VenturesAndrey Kulikov
 
Deal book of russian internet fast lane ventures
Deal book of russian internet   fast lane venturesDeal book of russian internet   fast lane ventures
Deal book of russian internet fast lane venturesUNOVA
 
Deal book of russian internet fast lane ventures
Deal book of russian internet   fast lane venturesDeal book of russian internet   fast lane ventures
Deal book of russian internet fast lane venturesUNOVA
 
ACG Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe - The Highs and Lows and Why ...
ACG Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe - The Highs and Lows and Why ...ACG Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe - The Highs and Lows and Why ...
ACG Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe - The Highs and Lows and Why ...Benjamin Rohé
 
American Council on Germany (ACG) Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe...
American Council on Germany (ACG) Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe...American Council on Germany (ACG) Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe...
American Council on Germany (ACG) Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe...Benjamin Rohé
 
Socially Responsible Investing at TIAA-CREF
 Socially Responsible Investing at TIAA-CREF Socially Responsible Investing at TIAA-CREF
Socially Responsible Investing at TIAA-CREFfinance9
 
el paso 2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
el paso  2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409el paso  2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
el paso 2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409finance49
 
el paso 2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
el paso  2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409el paso  2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
el paso 2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409finance49
 
Portico Advisers: Is Emerging Markets Private Equity Dying?
Portico Advisers: Is Emerging Markets Private Equity Dying?Portico Advisers: Is Emerging Markets Private Equity Dying?
Portico Advisers: Is Emerging Markets Private Equity Dying?PorticoAdvisers
 

Similaire à Why European Venture Capital Exits are now Outpacing the US (20)

VC Backed M&A Snapshot - Q1 2011
VC Backed M&A Snapshot - Q1 2011VC Backed M&A Snapshot - Q1 2011
VC Backed M&A Snapshot - Q1 2011
 
Best Buy International Strategic Update
Best Buy International Strategic UpdateBest Buy International Strategic Update
Best Buy International Strategic Update
 
Capital Raising for Public Companies
Capital Raising for Public CompaniesCapital Raising for Public Companies
Capital Raising for Public Companies
 
Q1 2009 Earning Report of Meadwestvaco Corp.
Q1 2009 Earning Report of Meadwestvaco Corp.Q1 2009 Earning Report of Meadwestvaco Corp.
Q1 2009 Earning Report of Meadwestvaco Corp.
 
Venture Capital 101 // Christine Herron // blackbox connect
Venture Capital 101 // Christine Herron // blackbox connectVenture Capital 101 // Christine Herron // blackbox connect
Venture Capital 101 // Christine Herron // blackbox connect
 
Thompson Toc Pw Merrill Lynch Conf London 6 7 07
Thompson Toc Pw Merrill Lynch Conf London 6 7 07Thompson Toc Pw Merrill Lynch Conf London 6 7 07
Thompson Toc Pw Merrill Lynch Conf London 6 7 07
 
Powerofone arete smart devices future view - nov 11
Powerofone   arete smart devices future view - nov 11Powerofone   arete smart devices future view - nov 11
Powerofone arete smart devices future view - nov 11
 
The INFLUENCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON INVESTMENT IN VENTURE CAPITAL
The INFLUENCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON INVESTMENT IN VENTURE CAPITALThe INFLUENCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON INVESTMENT IN VENTURE CAPITAL
The INFLUENCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ON INVESTMENT IN VENTURE CAPITAL
 
The European Venture Capital Market - Uli Fricke Triangle Ventures Stanford A...
The European Venture Capital Market - Uli Fricke Triangle Ventures Stanford A...The European Venture Capital Market - Uli Fricke Triangle Ventures Stanford A...
The European Venture Capital Market - Uli Fricke Triangle Ventures Stanford A...
 
Funding Resource
Funding ResourceFunding Resource
Funding Resource
 
Vc's quit early stage financing
Vc's quit early stage financingVc's quit early stage financing
Vc's quit early stage financing
 
Deal Book Of Russian Internet - Fast Lane Ventures
Deal Book Of Russian Internet - Fast Lane VenturesDeal Book Of Russian Internet - Fast Lane Ventures
Deal Book Of Russian Internet - Fast Lane Ventures
 
Deal book of russian internet fast lane ventures
Deal book of russian internet   fast lane venturesDeal book of russian internet   fast lane ventures
Deal book of russian internet fast lane ventures
 
Deal book of russian internet fast lane ventures
Deal book of russian internet   fast lane venturesDeal book of russian internet   fast lane ventures
Deal book of russian internet fast lane ventures
 
ACG Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe - The Highs and Lows and Why ...
ACG Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe - The Highs and Lows and Why ...ACG Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe - The Highs and Lows and Why ...
ACG Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe - The Highs and Lows and Why ...
 
American Council on Germany (ACG) Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe...
American Council on Germany (ACG) Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe...American Council on Germany (ACG) Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe...
American Council on Germany (ACG) Warburg Chapter: “Venture Capital in Europe...
 
Socially Responsible Investing at TIAA-CREF
 Socially Responsible Investing at TIAA-CREF Socially Responsible Investing at TIAA-CREF
Socially Responsible Investing at TIAA-CREF
 
el paso 2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
el paso  2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409el paso  2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
el paso 2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
 
el paso 2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
el paso  2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409el paso  2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
el paso 2E961AE6-D8CD-4328-9657-89A97FED03C0_Howard_Weil_032409
 
Portico Advisers: Is Emerging Markets Private Equity Dying?
Portico Advisers: Is Emerging Markets Private Equity Dying?Portico Advisers: Is Emerging Markets Private Equity Dying?
Portico Advisers: Is Emerging Markets Private Equity Dying?
 

Dernier

NO1 Certified Black Magic Removal in Uk kala jadu Specialist kala jadu for Lo...
NO1 Certified Black Magic Removal in Uk kala jadu Specialist kala jadu for Lo...NO1 Certified Black Magic Removal in Uk kala jadu Specialist kala jadu for Lo...
NO1 Certified Black Magic Removal in Uk kala jadu Specialist kala jadu for Lo...Amil baba
 
Kempen ' UK DB Endgame Paper Apr 24 final3.pdf
Kempen ' UK DB Endgame Paper Apr 24 final3.pdfKempen ' UK DB Endgame Paper Apr 24 final3.pdf
Kempen ' UK DB Endgame Paper Apr 24 final3.pdfHenry Tapper
 
Unveiling Poonawalla Fincorp’s Phenomenal Performance Under Abhay Bhutada’s L...
Unveiling Poonawalla Fincorp’s Phenomenal Performance Under Abhay Bhutada’s L...Unveiling Poonawalla Fincorp’s Phenomenal Performance Under Abhay Bhutada’s L...
Unveiling Poonawalla Fincorp’s Phenomenal Performance Under Abhay Bhutada’s L...beulahfernandes8
 
cost of capital questions financial management
cost of capital questions financial managementcost of capital questions financial management
cost of capital questions financial managementtanmayarora23
 
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024Money Forward
 
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGeckoCoinGecko
 
Market Morning Updates for 16th April 2024
Market Morning Updates for 16th April 2024Market Morning Updates for 16th April 2024
Market Morning Updates for 16th April 2024Devarsh Vakil
 
NO1 Certified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale bab...
NO1 Certified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale bab...NO1 Certified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale bab...
NO1 Certified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale bab...Amil baba
 
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...Amil baba
 
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...Amil baba
 
INTERNATIONAL TRADE INSTITUTIONS[6].pptx
INTERNATIONAL TRADE INSTITUTIONS[6].pptxINTERNATIONAL TRADE INSTITUTIONS[6].pptx
INTERNATIONAL TRADE INSTITUTIONS[6].pptxaymenkhalfallah23
 
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfStock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfMichael Silva
 
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdfglobusfinanza
 
Unveiling Business Expansion Trends in 2024
Unveiling Business Expansion Trends in 2024Unveiling Business Expansion Trends in 2024
Unveiling Business Expansion Trends in 2024Champak Jhagmag
 
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...amilabibi1
 
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri Fasal bima yojna
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri  Fasal bima yojnaPMFBY , Pradhan Mantri  Fasal bima yojna
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri Fasal bima yojnaDharmendra Kumar
 
Uae-NO1 Kala Jadu specialist Expert in Pakistan kala ilam specialist Expert i...
Uae-NO1 Kala Jadu specialist Expert in Pakistan kala ilam specialist Expert i...Uae-NO1 Kala Jadu specialist Expert in Pakistan kala ilam specialist Expert i...
Uae-NO1 Kala Jadu specialist Expert in Pakistan kala ilam specialist Expert i...Amil baba
 
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
 
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderThe Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderArianna Varetto
 
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptxBanking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptxANTHONYAKINYOSOYE1
 

Dernier (20)

NO1 Certified Black Magic Removal in Uk kala jadu Specialist kala jadu for Lo...
NO1 Certified Black Magic Removal in Uk kala jadu Specialist kala jadu for Lo...NO1 Certified Black Magic Removal in Uk kala jadu Specialist kala jadu for Lo...
NO1 Certified Black Magic Removal in Uk kala jadu Specialist kala jadu for Lo...
 
Kempen ' UK DB Endgame Paper Apr 24 final3.pdf
Kempen ' UK DB Endgame Paper Apr 24 final3.pdfKempen ' UK DB Endgame Paper Apr 24 final3.pdf
Kempen ' UK DB Endgame Paper Apr 24 final3.pdf
 
Unveiling Poonawalla Fincorp’s Phenomenal Performance Under Abhay Bhutada’s L...
Unveiling Poonawalla Fincorp’s Phenomenal Performance Under Abhay Bhutada’s L...Unveiling Poonawalla Fincorp’s Phenomenal Performance Under Abhay Bhutada’s L...
Unveiling Poonawalla Fincorp’s Phenomenal Performance Under Abhay Bhutada’s L...
 
cost of capital questions financial management
cost of capital questions financial managementcost of capital questions financial management
cost of capital questions financial management
 
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
Money Forward Integrated Report “Forward Map” 2024
 
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
 
Market Morning Updates for 16th April 2024
Market Morning Updates for 16th April 2024Market Morning Updates for 16th April 2024
Market Morning Updates for 16th April 2024
 
NO1 Certified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale bab...
NO1 Certified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale bab...NO1 Certified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale bab...
NO1 Certified kala jadu karne wale ka contact number kala jadu karne wale bab...
 
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
Uae-NO1 Black Magic Specialist In Lahore Black magic In Pakistan Kala Ilam Ex...
 
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
Uae-NO1 Rohani Amil In Islamabad Amil Baba in Rawalpindi Kala Jadu Amil In Ra...
 
INTERNATIONAL TRADE INSTITUTIONS[6].pptx
INTERNATIONAL TRADE INSTITUTIONS[6].pptxINTERNATIONAL TRADE INSTITUTIONS[6].pptx
INTERNATIONAL TRADE INSTITUTIONS[6].pptx
 
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfStock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
 
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
10 QuickBooks Tips 2024 - Globus Finanza.pdf
 
Unveiling Business Expansion Trends in 2024
Unveiling Business Expansion Trends in 2024Unveiling Business Expansion Trends in 2024
Unveiling Business Expansion Trends in 2024
 
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
 
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri Fasal bima yojna
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri  Fasal bima yojnaPMFBY , Pradhan Mantri  Fasal bima yojna
PMFBY , Pradhan Mantri Fasal bima yojna
 
Uae-NO1 Kala Jadu specialist Expert in Pakistan kala ilam specialist Expert i...
Uae-NO1 Kala Jadu specialist Expert in Pakistan kala ilam specialist Expert i...Uae-NO1 Kala Jadu specialist Expert in Pakistan kala ilam specialist Expert i...
Uae-NO1 Kala Jadu specialist Expert in Pakistan kala ilam specialist Expert i...
 
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
 
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance LeaderThe Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
The Inspirational Story of Julio Herrera Velutini - Global Finance Leader
 
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptxBanking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
Banking: Commercial and Central Banking.pptx
 

Why European Venture Capital Exits are now Outpacing the US

  • 1. Turning Venture Capital Data into Wisdom: Why Deal Performance in Europe is now Outpacing the US — July 2011 Hendrik Brandis Jason Whitmire Managing Partner, Earlybird Venture Capital General Partner, Earlybird Venture Capital
  • 2. Background The core data-slides in this Report (6, 7, This Report was further endorsed by 8, 11, 15, 17, 18, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 30, 31) 24 active venture capital firms in were created and supported by a broad Europe including Index Ventures, cross-section of partners at European VC Wellington Partners, Fidelity Growth firms who are members of the Venture Europe, Prime Technology Ventures, Council at the European Private Equity Hummingbird Ventures, Open Ocean, and Venture Capital Association (EVCA). Target Partners, Vodafone Ventures, These VCs include Sofinnova, Northzone, and many more. DFJ Esprit, Amadeus Capital, Gimv, Endeavour Vision, Delta Partners, Advent Venture Partners, Nauta Capital, Neuhaus Partners, Finlombarda, and Earlybird Venture Capital. 02
  • 3. After emerging only in the 1990s, and shaking off the hangover from the deluge of capital that flooded the market in 1999–2001, European Venture Funds have staged a Comeback 03
  • 4. Venture- backed liquidity events in the last 24 months: $15 Billion *Equal to 50% of the 30Bn in US Venture-backed liquidity events in 2009 & 2010 (Thomson Reuters), yet with only 1/5 of the venture funding i.e., $25Bn invested in US VCs in 2009 & 2010 compared to $6Bn in Europe, according to NVCA and EVCA data. * 04
  • 5. In other words, more checks to LPs are being written in Europe than ever before t Ex a l d To Publicly i te announced European $4. 4 Venture Venture venture-backed invested* $Bn Exits*/** $Bn $3. trade sales and 9 IPOs over the past 24 months (incomplete) $3 $2. 5 ve l In ota ed $1. st T 4 $1. 1 $0. 8 $0. 6 Eu he Eu he Ge Fr rro r)) rm ((O an op Ott UK pe ce an e y **Source: Earlybird analysis, 2011. ** Remaining Europe includes Scandinavia, Benelux, Italy, Spain, Central & Eastern Europe. † Exchange rate used for 2010 1€ = $1.3265 05
  • 6. At the same time, real performance shows European VC driving the best exit multiples globally Exits over $ 100M 2005 – Q1/2011 7.2 Median Multiple of Cash Invested 4.5 Median Multiple of Cash Invested Proportionally Europe is producing higher exit multiples and, although average exit values are ca. 25% smaller, lower entry valuations and higher capital efficiency Europe USA overcompensate for disadvantages in exit value. Number 131 596 Valuation Median Exit Valuation $173M $236M % with Multiple of Cash ≥ 5 57.26% 5 47.27% Data based on exhaustive calculation of exit values and cash multiple of all exits reports in VentureSource database (Dow Jones VentureSource) 06
  • 7. This outperformance is based on an overproportional share in 41% successful exits in Europe... Overview US- vs. European 36% Share in VC Value 59% Contribution, since 2004 22% 64% 78% 18% Eu ro e p its . ex no of tal 82% To nv x e . I 10 om te p es ca vs ns: f H d o Ru o. N US A 13 45 10 its 0m $ ex US of > o. N 07 ed l st ita Source: Dow Jones VentureSource ve ap in l c ta To
  • 8. …Due in part to a higher share of European VC funds with top US quartile performance Active GPs Managing 100% Funds of Vintage ≥ 2006, Investment nds und s Grade Funds 25% rt il e Fu 23% ua rti le F Qua Q tom ttom Bot Bo 25% 17% nd s Fu nds Q3 Fu Q3 25% nd s 25% s Q 2 Fu nd Q 2 Fu 25% le 35% rtile arti Qua Q u Top Top % f be ain otal of nc st t Fun % s R un i Fu art Tot Qu 37 EU hm he ds of in ank ds nd ile al F ag 69 T VC ar US US US in VC VC gs fu ked 3 nd s Source: Prequin 2010 08
  • 9. Forget the charts, where are the outsized venture exits in Europe? 09
  • 10. Its not quite all about Skype… $1B+ > 10X 5 – 10X Coding Technologies ** …and many more 010 *Includes 14 venture backed $1Bn exits and 30 other deals generating a ≥10x multiple, since 2005; does not include another 30 exits generating 5x-9x multiples. ** Enterprise value following exit to Groupon. Source: Dow Jones VentureSource and Earlybird Venture Capital
  • 11. …while European VC–backed IPO performance matches or exceeds US performance, both pre– as well as post–IPO US vs. Europe, post-IPO performance of all VC-backed IPOs*, 03/04 to 07/11 Europe IPO 200% - Index Value 150% 100% U.S. IPO 50% - Index Value 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 *NB excludes Google Source: CapitalIQ, DFJ Esprit 11
  • 12. On the origin of the turnaround An entrepreneurial boom combined with a mature seed/angel/venture ecosystem has led European early-stage companies to scale faster and accrue more value sooner than ever before. Starting in the year 2004, the fundamentals for a break-out venture decade in Europe have been continuously improving, while venture capital fund commitments have remained down for last 6 years (positive contra-indicator) leading to a dramatic demand-supply in-equilibrium of available capital. 12
  • 13. Europe today has the largest inequilibrium of venture Capital availability on the planet Supply-Demand Ratio European Venture Capital Market still saturated with Supply of Capital pre-bubble VC funds 100 65 % of all VC funds slide to Current Immediate drop in oblivion supply 75 venture deal flow Droves of entrepreneurs Exit boom starting in 2005 gap by 50% run for the started to drive Major gap in supply of woods after up demand venture capital vs. bubble burst availability of deals 50 Demand 25 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Earlybird 13
  • 14. Supply side: Natural selection “Almost every bank, large corporation and insurance company in Europe created its own venture capital fund in 1999–2000; What has emerged from the post-bubble struggle for existence is nothing less than some of the strongest Venture Capital firms in the world.” —John Holloway, European Investment Fund 14
  • 15. While the supply of venture capital started to dry out only after 2004 ... Early-Stage VC Fundraising Europe* Investment cycle Inve st cyc ment le 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 € 1260 M € 5063 M € 8624 M € 5586 M € 2177 M € 1548 M € 1345 M € 3542 M € 2927 M € 3585 M € 2265 M € 1465 M € 811 M 15 *1998-2006: Thomson Financial/PWC statistics, High-Tech Early-Stage; 2007-2010: PEREP Analytics, Early-Stage Source: EVCA
  • 16. …Only the fittest venture capital firms survived the post-bubble shake out Number of VC Funds in Germany Europe 1999 vs. 2011* UK 1,60 0 - 63% France Thereof the Top 20 VCs in Europe Other 711 19 99 20 11 16 *Active Funds = all VC funds, doing ≥ 4 investments per year. Sub-set of so-called “Investment Grade Funds”: US$ 100M; > 50% non-captive capital; raised successor fund with vintage year ≥ 2006 Source: NVCA; EVCA; Earlybird Estimates
  • 17. The dramatic capital supply imbalance between the US and Europe (which receives only one fifth of VC Investments) … VC Investments in Proportion to GDP (2010) U.S. 0.150 x 5.8 Europe 0.026 Scandinavia UK Switzerland France Ireland Germany Benelux Austria Spain CEE Italy Portugal Poland 0.051 0.045 0.042 0.035 0.027 0.026 0.022 0.014 0.011 0.007 0.004 0.003 0.003 Source: EVCA, Eurostat 2011 17
  • 18. …Has meant that a comparatively small but mature sub-set of European VCs are able to now move into fund generations 3 and beyond VC teams’ maturity by number of funds raised W. Europe U.S. Ratio ≥ 2 73 334 4.6x ≥ 3 58 202 3.5x ≥ 4 28 132 4.7x ≥ 5 8 94 11.8x ≥ 6 4 65 16.3x Time since early growth 10–15 50–60 4–5x of VC industry (years) Source: Dow Jones VentureSource (cross selection, not all funds included) 18
  • 19. As a result, it is a buyer’s market* in Europe: “European venture capital is a cottage industry characterised by an insufficient number of private investors (e.g. lack of pension and endowment funds which account for roughly 65% of the US VC industry) with the capacity and willingness to invest in venture capital, mainly due to past disappointments and the resulting lack of confidence which still inhibits the European venture industry today.” —Egbert Freiherr von Cramm, Managing Director, Deutsche Bank Private Equity 19 *In the US venture receives substantial funding from university endowments, pension funds and family offices - these three combined are by far the largest contributors and account collectively for more than two third of the US venture capital. In contrast, university endowments within the EU allocate less than 2% of their assets to private equity as a whole, compared to over 10% in the US. Also, while there are over 11,000 family offices in the US, there are only 2,500 family offices in the EU.
  • 20. Demand side: Proliferation “ The scarcity of VC money in Europe not only has led to low entry valuations, but also has driven up capital efficiency (roughly 70 percent higher than in the US) and yield (hit rate) because the scarcity of money allows the very few investors to simply be more selective.” —Uli Fricke, EVCA Chairwoman 2010-2011 20
  • 21. There has been a surge in both the quality and quantity of the entrepreneurial pool in Europe… 93% 92% 50% ut itho t W ea s rep eneur epr e ntr 5.2% 7.4% 7% 50% h Wit at EB 8% 98 e s rep eneur /9 epr 9 e ntr EB 20 0 0 EB 2006 2009 20 07 Latent entrepreneurs in European No. of portfolio companies with repeat population between 18 and 64* entrepreneurs in Venture Capital funds** 21 *Not yet involved in entrepreneurial activities, definitions slightly changed from 2006 to 2009 **Earlybird Venture Capital Fund IV as example (a broader survey of 8 European VCs across 16 funds found an average of 37% serial entrepreneurs in portfolio companies (EVCA, 2011) Source: Earlybird Analysis, Global Entrepreneurship Report 2006/2009
  • 22. …Resulting in a steadily 1, 87 2 growing high-quality early +17 stage dealflow % 1,6 Earlybird Dealflow Year on Year 00 (No. of New Leads)* +6 % 1,4 011 99 2 +17 % 2010 1, 28 +7 5 % 20 09 1, 20 4 2008 2007 *Does not include all leads screened on “fly-by”; gross dealflow factor of min. 1.3 - 1.5x **Expected based on dealflow as of May 31, 2011 22 Source: Earlybird Venture Capital Deal Database
  • 23. This means that only a fraction of startups in europe receive funding, so only 10 92 the very best firms receive 11 14 46 6 venture backing 4 15 98 Number of Midstage (>$5M) VC Deals 22 14 1 30 20 19 10 1 13 45 26 20 1 90 13 28 30 4 20 80 11 69 24 20 5 07 U. S. 24 20 4 06 23 20 2 05 20 19 40 2 Source: EVCA, 23 Eu ro Venturesource e p 20 03
  • 24. …while European capital efficiency results both from low entry valuations… Early stage entry valuations for Venture Capital investments € millions €8 M €6M US A €4M .5 ~1o tx 2.5 Eu ro €2M pe 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Dow Jones VentureSource 24
  • 25. … and lower cost of growing businesses /tight control of cash invested… Median European investments Median U.S. investments €10 M €10 M €8 M €8 M €6 M €6 M Later €4 M €4 M Second Later €2 M Second €2 M First First Seed Seed 0 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Dow Jones VentureSource 25
  • 26. …Which has resulted in Europe matching the US for successful exit values at around $ 350M... Average Exit Cap ($ 100M+ Exits) US$M $700 M China $600 M $500 M Europe $400 M $300 M $200 M USA $100 M 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Dow Jones VentureSource 26
  • 27. … while investing only half the capital to build winners Average Capital Invested Prior to $ 100M+ Exit $100 M USA » xits in the same order of E magnitude need only half the amount of VC in Europe $80 M » S capital efficiency not U generally increasing— $60 M hence lower returns, Europe higher prices—and the current shake out $40 M » verage in US 1997–2001 A China was $ 41M per company at $ 317M average exit—just $20 M like Europe now 27 0 Source: Dow Jones VentureSource, 2008 exchange rates 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 28. These market changes have led to significant european advantages in entry valuations, capital M 88 efficiency and hit rate $3 Benchmarking of VC M Performance Drivers, $79 M 100 $ 304 Europe vs. USA, % 2004–2011 ytd M $16.1 M $44 io it at Ex n lu e Va rag e Av .5 M it ior l Ex Pr ita $5 to ed ap st C ve ge In era Av US A Eu n* y io tr ro at En lu e p Va rag e e Av * Average median pre-money valuations of the years 2004-2010 ytd. Source: EVCA, Earlybird analysis 28
  • 29. Reprehensible …that you are only now reading about the Comeback, but then again: Visibility on European VC Funds for investors is highly limited and prejudiced by the poor quality of published industry fund statistics in Europe.* * As a result, recent LP surveys (including most recently from Coller Capital) continue to reflect a dampened VC investment climate in Europe, even though real performance of European VC – by all indicators including current venture-backed liquidity events – is dramatically better than generally perceived. 29
  • 30. Very small data set in europe – 21% of funds in database Representing only 15% of the industry 4 7 Da 2,7 do taba No. of Funds e s co s note en ver ind tire us try In the US, market publication requirements of endowments oblige most GPs to publish financial performance. In contrast, there are no such requirements 42 in Europe, so many of the top-performing 1 1,26 % European funds are not publishing their 1 financial data in the Thomson Venture 1,17 database. Moreover, in Europe 85% of EVCA listed funds have disappeared since the burst of the bubble, and only 10% of the remaining funds are considered active, yet the bulk of European venture fund managers that are still listed are no 21 longer active, resulting in a long non- % A US To Da contributing tail of European VC funds 262 ta ta in l F ba un se ds listed in the Thomson database. Fu rfor ata Pe D nd m Source: EVCA, Earlybird Analysis pe s w an ro ith ce Eu Source: Preqin Performance Analyst database 30
  • 31. European Venture statistics are 7 notoriously misleading: Performance of post bubble vintages 93 22 36 not yet visible 50 65 78 52 Pos 75 t-bu bbl 84 e vi 64 nta ges In addition to highly 96 misleading published Un re 100 al historical industry data for ize d 50 100 100 % European VC which lead to a 100 negative bias in official 100 statistics, there is almost no 48 Re reported performance of al 35 ize d post-bubble vintages (which effectively started only 19 97 2004/2005) – these funds 19 89 25 are significantly better 19 99 performing and, as evidenced 20 00 9 by recent exits across top- 20 01 16 tier funds, are now at the 20 02 inflection point 20 03 Assembly of NAV, 20 4 40 European Venture 20 05 Funds by Vintage 20 06 20 07 20 0 31 8 Source: Cambridge Associates: Global VC & PE 20 09 Index and Benchmark Statistics 2009
  • 32. Just one example: German venture capital The dramatic changes in the European venture scene are well illustrated in Germany, which over the past 24 months has produced the highest number of venture– backed exits in Europe 31
  • 33. In an economy that is not exactly underperforming... Thursday, Feb. 03, 2011 Monday, Mar. 07, 2011 Vorsprung durch How Germany Became Exports the China of Europe Which G7 economy was the best performer of the past decade? And can it keep it up? …”Germany is in a very competitive position today, more than ever,” proclaims Stéphane Garelli, director of the world …Berlin beats Bay Area… Competitiveness Center at the Swiss business school IMD… …Germany grew at its fastest pace for two decades in …German companies poured money into R&D and cut 2010… expenses… …Germany churns out specialized products of such superior …Over the past decade Germany had the fastest growth in quality… GDP per person among the G7 club of rich economies… …That has kept the country in front of emerging economies like China’s and helped it benefit from their rapid growth… …The IMF forecasts that Germany will also have the fastest growth in GDP per head over the next five years… …Germany “is a road map for the U.S. and other countries”… 33
  • 34. “...increasing numbers of Germans are choosing to forgo corporate life to create nimble, hungry and global high-tech ventures; moreover, they realize that the rapid rise of technology-enabled services over the past decade is a faster route to success than the more capital-heavy Mittelstand.” — Sven Weber, President, Silicon Valley Bank Capital 33 * As a result, the deal flow quantity in Germany is increasingly driven by available entrepreneurs, in contrast to the US, where deal flow is driven by available innovations. Indeed, the density of available entrepreneurs in Germany has almost doubled from 2006 to 2010 according to the global entrepreneurship report, increasing from roughly a third of the US figure in 2006 to two-thirds of the respective US figure today.
  • 35. This has resulted in over $ 4.4 BN in venture-backed exits in Germany during the last 24 months Venture-Backed Exits Germany past 24 Months (as of March 2011) Company Acquirer 0 $200 M $400 M $600 M Big Point* Summit & TA Associates $600 M Invatec Medtronic $500 M City Deal* Groupon $500 M RIB Software IPO $500 M Brahms Thermo Fisher $470 M Zouk SiCProcessing $280 M MTM Roche $267 M Netviewer Citrix Systems $240 M Brands for Friends eBay $200 M Redcoon Media Markt $130 M Endoart Allergan $97 M eCircle TA Associates $85 M Inge AG BASF $70 M Nugg.ad Deutsche Post $70 M BridgeCo (SMSC) SMSC $68 M Aloca Motorola $50 M KaufDa Axel Springer $40 M Netzathleten Bertelsmann $25 M 35 * Enterprise Value Ubitexx RIM NA Not including omitted and smaller exits Source: BVK, Earlybird analysis
  • 36. Yet in an economy that is 25% of US GDP… …Germany has only 4 independent VC funds of Investment-Grade size > € 100M (Vs. in the US >227 funds) 35
  • 37. A multi-localized venture model “Germany has a unique model where, in a different twist to the hugely successful VC-funded start-up ecosystem of Silicon Valley, the industry is not as much reliant on a handful of blockbusters or even a closely networked startup environment, but rather one where a high number of regionally diversified quality opportunities correspond to increasing levels of entrepreneurial activity.” — Andreas Ritter, ARICO Private Investments Advisory and former Head of Private equity Duke University’s endowment 37
  • 38. This environment Is producing best-in-class funds with attractive market fundamentals... Inside-out German VC fund view confirms Median Pre-Money Valuation unparalleled current environment – Initial Round in €M 1 (4 1 (6 3 (1 5 (1 %) 6 (3 ) % 6% 8% ) €9. ) 5% 8M ) ge 14 ( ta 74% -s id 21 ( M 78% ) ) €5. 3M 10 ( 59% ) e ag st ly r Ea €3. 19 98 8M Fu n d 2 (1 20 0% 0 0 ) Fu n 20 20 19 d 9 0 07 d 8 0 e Se 20 Fu Fu Fu n n 07 n d d d Fu n d Source: Earlybird Venture Capital example 38
  • 39. …while many VCs are now investing beyond the J-curve and generating early liquidity €3 6. due to strong accelerated traction 6 Revenue Traction per Fund Generation (Year 1-5)* in €M These trends suggest that German VC has plenty of headroom, with accelerating exit activity further improving performance in post-bubble vintages (2005/2006 et seq.) und und und 8F 0F 07 F €1 199 200 3. 20 4 €1 4. 5 €6 €1 0. .6 5 €7 .6 €7 .1 €3 €2 .2 .8 FC €3 €3 5 5 5 .7 .4 Yr Yr Yr 4 4 4 Yr Yr Yr €0 .2 3 3 3 €0 Yr Yr Yr €0 .9 .8 0 2 2 2 Yr Yr Yr 1 1 1 Yr Yr Yr *Aggregate shareholding weighted revenue contribution of portfolio companies Source: Earlybird Venture Capital Example 39
  • 40. Summary: The Sky is the Limit » he structure and performance of European T venture capital illustrates the unparalleled potential of a matured industry. » number of funds based in Europe A have achieved US top quartile performance in post-bubble era. » he imbalance between VC funding (supply) T and investment opportunities (demand) is driving a unparalleled competitive landscape. » uropean VC has finally emerged with strong E fundamentals within the context of an inefficient market while benefitting from a higher capital efficiency than the US. 39
  • 41. Presented By: Hendrik Brandis Jason Whitmire Managing Partner General Partner Earlybird Venture Capital Earlybird Venture Capital With Assistance From: Amit Kumar Jain, Summer Associate, INSEAD Designed by Arno Ghelfi, l’atelier starno. Photos for illustrative purposes only. 41