Prof. Jyri Hämäläinen_What comes after 4G? 5G of Course_ENhANCE Telecom Forum 13/01/2015
1. Dar es Salam, January 2015
What comes after 4G?
5G of course
JyriHämäläinen
AaltoUniversity
2. Mobile technology evolution: G after G
2G: Voice: Analog to digital
• New radio
3G: Voice + Broadband data
• New radio
4G: Broadband data
• New radio
5G: All data – lots of it
• 3G+4G+new technology components
• New radio … maybe
3G
4G
What new there will be?
Let’s take a closer look
4. Why 5G: Let’s make it simple
1) Massive growth in traffic volume
2) Massive growth in connected devices/things
3) Wide range of requirements and characteristics
6. Traffic volume: growing fast
= 18 x
2013*
2000*
*) Source: Cisco VNI
This has happened
This is expected to happen
7. Voice and mobile broadband
• Voice becoming just part of
data
• Smart phone penetration
increasing fast – transition to
smart devices is the trend
number one
• Mobile Video drives the
volume: Round 70% of mobile
will be video by 2018
In Middle East and Africa region the share of
smart devices/connections will 36% by 2018
Billions of devices
Source: Cisco VNI
Non-smartSmart
9. Massive growth in connected …
everything
Let’s look at this in more details
Billions of M2M connections
Source: Cisco VNI
10. Automotive
• Entertainment for
passengers => high capacity
& high mobility mobile
broadband
• Augmented reality
dashboards
• Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V)
and Vehicle-to-Infrastructure
(V2I) communications
• Cars detecting and
informing e.g. critical
situations
• Self-driving cars
Google self-driving car. Testing will be
started on public roads early 2015
http://www.wired.com/2014/12/google-self-driving-car-prototype-2/
Servicerequirements!
11. Smart cities and society
Europe 2020 initiative on smart cities: ‘In Smart Cities, digital
technologies translate into better public services for citizens, better
use of resources and less impact on the environment.’
Smart buildings
Smart transportation
Smart energy
with free/open data
Smart citizens
Smart public services
12. Wearable devices
Recent trend: number of wearable devices growing fast
Strategy Dialogue ELEC Spring
2014
Smart glasses
Smart watches
Smart clothes
13. Industrial Internet
Example of Industrial Internet
development:
General Electric’s new factory
has more than 10,000 sensors
spread across 180,000 square
feet of manufacturing space, all
connected to a high-speed
internal Ethernet.
http://www.technologyreview.com/news/509331/an-internet-for-manufacturing/
General Electric’s new battery plant: a
test-bed for the “industrial Internet.
15. Just think few examples …
• Web surfing
• Streaming video
• File downloading
• Speech call
• Self-driving car
• Controlling energy
production plant
• Health monitoring
• Emergency services
• Data rate
• Latency
• Reliability
• Device and network
energy consumption
• Device cost
• Privacy
• Network safety
17. 5G: General technology landscape
Industry views on 5G are important because telecom companies will
drive standardization where 5G is defined
Currently it seems that views of large vendors are well in line with
each other
- The given picture (Ericsson)
chrystallize the mainstream
thinking
- That is, it is expected that
5G will be composed by well
integrated 2G-4G
technologies + evolving new
technology components
In the following we focus on new technologies
18. Basics: Transfer more
data … but how?
More bandwidth?
Less users?
Stronger signal?
Better efficiency?
Less interference?
User data rate ≅
BW
K
⋅ A⋅log2 1+
P
N + I
#
$
%
&
'
( [Mbit/s]
Bandwidth
Number of
users
System
efficiency
Signal power
vs noise and
interference
Interference
19. More natural resources for mobile
communication = more spectrum
UHF SHF EHF
300MHz-
3GHz
3GHz-
30GHz
30GHz-
300GHz
2G-4G runs here: Only
small amounts of
spectrum left
Quite some spectrum
can be made available
Lots of free spectrum
Tens of MHz’s
(x10)
Hundreds of MHz’s
(x100)
Tens of GHz’s
(x10000)
OK, there is more bandwidth – but can we use it?
20. We use already high frequencies…
Imagine small cells (indoors/outdoors):
• Due to small distance towards UE the signal attenuation is smaller and
LOS is more likely
• There will be less users per cell
OK, we need small cells – is it possible and affordable?
We are now using high frequencies in
point to point Line of Sight (LOS)
connections with high gain antennas.
BUT: In link between BS and UE we
rarely have LOS and use of high gain
antennas is limited. Futhermore, most
of the high data rate access
connections will take place indoors
21. Big cell, small cell, smaller cell
… less users, stronger signal
4G macrocell:
K=100
P/(N+I)~8dB
4G picocell:
K=20
P/(N+I)~14dB
4G femtocell:
K=4
P/(N+I)~20dB
Is this reality? Yes.
Smallest 3G base station:
Weight 250g
Integrated to power plug
+socket
BUT: 3G-4G operate below 3.5GHz. Can we use high frequencies?
22. What is wrong with high frequencies?
TX RX
RX
Reflection
Penetration
Diffraction
Line-of-sight
When carrier frequency increases …
- Signal penetration loss increases
- Diffracted signal component becomes weaker and weaker
- Importance of LOS signal and reflected signal component increases
23. Towards Ultra Dense Networks
Small cells are already
becoming reality today
But on high frequencies
Ultra Dense Networks will
be needed
=> LOS or almost LOS
required
PRESS RELEASE
SEPTEMBER 25, 2013
Johan Wibergh, head of Ericsson Business Unit Networks, says: “With the Radio Dot
System we lower the threshold to building indoor coverage. The dot is the most cost-
effective, no-compromise solution to the indoor coverage challenges expressed by our
customers. It is ultra-small but can scale to virtually unlimited capacity; it is easy to install,
future proof and it is 100 percent integrated with existing mobile networks.”
The product has already been gaining interest from mobile operators in the United States.
Kris Rinne, Senior Vice President, Network and Product Planning, AT&T Services, Inc.,
says: “Small cells are a key component of AT&T's Project VIP network enhancement
program as we seek to constantly improve our customers’ mobile Internet experience.
Delivering a great wireless experience indoors can present both technical and logistical
challenges. A solution like the Ericsson Radio Dot System gives AT&T another tool to
choose from in its next-generation toolkit."
Ken Rehbehn, Principal Analyst, Yankee Group, says: “Sleek form factors that focus radio
capability to solve the indoor deployment challenge in a fresh and compelling way will be
welcomed into a wide variety of business and office venues. Ericsson Radio Dot System
leverages existing indoor wire facilities to reduce installation hurdles and cost, and because
it builds on Ericsson standard radio architecture, it provides an extensive feature set without
compromising future evolution.”
The product is expected to be commercially available in late 2014.
Webcast
Ericsson will webcast the announcement in conjunction with its Analyst Forum in North
America on Sept 25 at 3pm PT/11pm UK time/Sept 26 at 12am CET. Access the webcast
on: www.ericsson.com/press.
An on-demand version will be available shortly afterwards.
NOTES TO EDITORS
Indoor coverage video
Photos of Ericsson Radio Dot System:
24. Ultra Dense Networks imply
opportunity for Massive MIMO
Already now indoor DAS
systems are dense
Due to Ultra Dense
Networks, the density
further increases.
Thus, there is good
opportunity for
cooperative MIMO over
massive number of nodes
i.e. Massive MIMO
25. Dense networks
(c) 28 GHz. 65 nodes ON
(e) 28 GHz. 10 nodes ON
Figure 23: Spatial distribution of
Finally, Figure 22d shows the CDF of t
topologies with 65 active nodes featuring f
(a) 28 GHz. All nodes ON (b) 2.6 GHz. All nodes ON
Indoor network planning
example:
10 nodes vs 65 nodes on
28GHz carrier
Conclusion: 28GHz can be
effectively used but number of
nodes clearly larger than on
e.g. 2GHz
For details, see:
S. Renilla Lamas, D. G. Gonzalez, J. Hämäläinen:
"Indoor Planning Optimization of Ultra-dense Cellular
Networks at High Carrier Frequencies", accepted to
IEEE Wireless Communications and Networking
Conference (WCNC), workshop on 5G architecture,
2015.
26. Increasing data rates: Summary
Strategy Dialogue ELEC Spring
2014
User data rate ≅
BW
K
⋅ A⋅log2 1+
P
N + I
#
$
%
&
'
( [Mbit/s]
Bandwidth
Number of
users System
efficiency
Signal power vs
noise and
interference
Interference
High carrier frequencies with large
(GHz) bands + ultra dense networks
with very small cells
OK
OK
OK
Interference of shot noise
type, effective mitigation
methods exists
Can be compensated
using large spectrum
chunks
27. But how to create click-boom effect?
3G HSPA: 5MHz band, 2ms time slot
4G LTE: 20MHz band, 1ms time slot
5G: 1GHz band, 0.05ms time slot
(just example values)
Time
Frequency
Time slot length => physical layer delay
Frequency slot => data rate
28. Device-to-Device (D2D)
communication
Network aided D2D
Connection through
local BS
Device relaying
BS control signalling
User data
- How to detect other
devices?
- What kind of services fit
for direct communication
between devices?
29. Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) and Vehicle-to-
Infrastructure (V2I)
- Future V2V maybe
based on WiFi but also
5G D2D standard will
provide credible V2V
communication
- V2I will likely be
based on mobile
communication
standards.
30. Massive Machine-to-Machine (M2M)
Communication and IoT
Example: Sensor data
aggregation + transfer
over mobile network
Direct M2M towards
mobile system => 5G
design should support
massive number of
low-rate connections
with low latency.
M2M product example (Ericsson)
Communication through
mobile network
31. Some other technology components
related to 5G
Ultra Reliable Communication (URC)
Centralized baseband/baseband pooling
Self-backhauling
Beamforming on mmWave
Soft cell concepts
Device centric system architecture
Licenced Shared Access (LSA)
Authorized Shared Access (ASA)
Local caching
Mobile cloud
Moving Networks
32. Before closing: Where we stand now?
LTE progress constantly: There is LTE-B, LTE-U …
will take place mainly within the following areas:
e to a wide range of scenarios and use cases.
ng small-cell/local-area deployments.
ng new use cases, such as machine-type communication
public safety services (NSPS).
within
band
now
th 55
2 and
2018
ments
lease
e LTE
on of
LTE-
art of
ed in
hanced LTE RAT in several dimensions. For example, the
ssion bandwidth beyond 20MHz and improved spectrum
n, and enhanced multi-antenna transmission based on an
-signal structure. Another extension was the introduction of
ossibility of using LTE radio access not only for the access
a solution for wireless backhauling.
LTE LTE-A LTE-B
Rel 8Rel 8 Rel 9Rel 9 Rel 10Rel 10 Rel 11Rel 11 Rel 12Rel 12 Rel 13Rel 13
Further evolution of LTE
– Release 12 and beyond
Further evolution of LTE
– Release 12 and beyond
Figure 1: The evolution of LTE beyond LTE-A.
Source: Ericsson
LTE Rel.12 scheduled on March 2015
33. Before closing: Where we stand now?
LTE-U: Aggregating lisenced and unlisenced bands
LTE in Lisenced spectrum
(700MHz-3.5GHz)
LTE in Unlisenced
spectrum (5GHz)
Carrier aggregation
Source: http://www.computerworld.com/article/2861352/ericsson-pushes-
plan-to-send-wireless-apps-over-unlicensed-5ghz-spectrum.html
First LTE-U (indoor) products coming to
the markets already 2015
34. Summary of expected developments
Strategy Dialogue ELEC Spring
2014
LTE backward
compatible evolution
up to 5-10GHz
LTE based non-backward
compatible technology
up to 30GHz
New radio access
technology
over 30GHz frequencies
5G below 5-10GHz: Small cells and improved
integration of 2G-4G technologies, effective
use of all band resources
5G on 5-10GHz-30GHz: Dense networks and
LTE based new radio access, many new
features
5G above 30GHz: Ultra dense networks – if any -
new mmWave radio access, extra high rates
D2D
M2M
V2I
Remark: These represent solely author’s views
Remark: Many emerging 5G aspects were omitted,
see list few slides before