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Box Camera, ~1830                 Bulldog, 1850+                  Kodak Camera, 1888
• On Copper Plates                • On Emulsion Plates            • On Dry Plates
• ~ 15 min Exposure               • ~ 3 sec Exp.                  • Permanent Image
                                  • Need to develop on the spot




FujiFilm, 2011         Digital Camera, 1991         Polaroid, 1948       Leica (Portable Camera), 1914
• 3D Consumer Camera   • Kodak                      • On Paper           • First Film Camera
• 3D Camcorder         • Instant Image              • Instant Image
Source: www.gartner.com
• 2008: Technology Trigger – 3D CMOS
  Sensors and Software to merge snapshots
  into 1 3D image
• 2014: Peak of Inflated Expectation – Caused
  by innovative idea of 3D pictures and
  promise of “new uses”, “productivity” and
  “ease of use”
• 2016: Trough of Disillusionment – Will be
  caused by user frustration due to lack of 3D
  infrastructure and eco-system
• 2018: Slope of Enlightenment – Will be led
  by standardized 3D infrastructure (3D
  Displays, Printing, Camcorder etc) and
  convergence of products (3D Mobile, Tablets
  etc)
• 2018+: Plateau of Productivity - Competition
  on price and features
Main Street
                    Tornado




Early Market
                                             Assimilation




               Bowling Alley
Early Market              Bowling Alley              Tornado                Main Street
                Professional              High-End Photography       Photography
Target Customer Photographers             Experts                    Enthusiasts            Amateur Photographers
Compelling      Dramatic Competitive                                                        Better Values With No
Reason To Buy   Advantage                 Fix Specific/Niche Needs   Adopt New Paradigm     Risk
                Feature Focused,          Feature Focused,           Product Focused,       Product Focused,
Whole Product   Differentiated            Standardized               Differentiated         Standardized


                Integrated Process                                   Rationalize (Reduce)
                Partners                  Specific Partnerships      Partners
Partners And    (Web-                     (e.g: Sony +Google,        Optimize Partner       Minimum Required
Allies          Sites/Broadband/Displays) Samsung+Apple)             Friction               (Ideally None)
                                          Direct Sales Transitioning to Drive To Higher
Distribution    Direct Sales              Retailers                     Volume, Low Touch   Low Cost, High Touch
                Value Based               Value Based                Price Based            Price Based
Pricing         Gain Motivated            Pain Motivated             Gain Motivated         Pain Motivated
                POC vs POC                Feature vs Feature
                (e.g: 2 Lens + SW vs. 2   (e.g: Pixel Depth vs.      Company vs. Company
Competition     CMOS)                     Capacity)                  (e.g: Sony vs. Fuji) Product vs Product
                Technology Based                                     Market Share Based     Service (Experience)
Positioning     Leadership                Niche Market Leadership    Leadership             Leadership
                                                                     New Platforms
                Another Visionary,                                   (Mobile/Tablets?)
                Another Market            Adjacent Niche Market      New Geographies
Next Target     (e.g: 4D Camera?)         (e.g: 3D X-Ray etc?)       (Asia, Africa?)        Next Micro-Niche
• Build an eco-system for seamless
  adoption
   – 3D Displays
   – 3D Printers
   – 3D Image software support
• Look at supporting the professional
  users who act as agents to the
  mainstream users
• Using social networking to broaden
  and engage more users
• Joining the ecommerce bandwagon
Convergence with Mobile Phones          Hardware vs. Software for 3D




  • Convergence of Music, Voice   Hardware            Software
    recording                     • High Costs        • Converting 2D to 3D
  • Email, Internet browsing      • Need rethinking   • Lower Costs
  • Camera                        • Potential for     • Specialized
  • GPS, Payment methods            Masses               knowledge
  • 3D Camera and display
Security / Surveillance Systems          3D Depth Sensors – Gestures




  •   High definition 3D camera      •    Gestures to Interact with Devices
  •   Need faster processing power   •    Human interface, no input device
  •   Advanced programming           •    Augmented Reality, Avatar
  •   E.g. Airports, Banks ,etc.     •    E.g. Games, Sports training, Home
  •   Stores? Market Research??           control system
Video Tours / Conferencing              Healthcare / Tele-Surgery




  • High definition 3D camera       •    Remote 3D image of patient
  • Commercial 2D products offer    •    Needs fast communication
    little value addition           •    Improved reach of expert care
  • More close to real experience   •    E.g. Developing countries, War-
  • E.g. Advertising, Real Estate        zones
    Tours, etc.
• Innovation needed to maintain market share
   – Companies need to identify new value added services
   – Provide better features such as bigger display, clearer lens,
     touch interface
   – Deliver superior user experience

• Brand
   – Customers have a high reliance on brand due to long product
     life
   – There are high barriers for a new entrant into pure play camera
     business.
   – To enter new markets, companies need to form partnerships for
     co-development
Back Up
Source: http://blog.mission3-dgroup.com/2009/01/22/the-history-of-3d-photography
Sl. No.      Year                                    Event Description                                           Significance/
                                                                                                                 Inflection Point
1.         1685        Johann Zahn invents the first camera that was small and portable and could be First major portable camera
                       used for photography
2.         1825        ‘La cour du domaine du Gras ’ (View from the window at Le Gras), the first    Significant point as first introduction
                       image created by Nicéphore Niépce in 1825.                                    to photography happened

3.         1836        Louis Daguerre and Nicéphore Niépce invented the first practical photographic First practical camera invented
                       method which was named as Daguerreotype
4.         1855-1871   Désiré van Monckhoven invented a dry collodion process, improvements of      Radical reduction in the size of the
                       carbon print process and improved silver bromide gelatin emulsions. Followed camera making it more acceptable by
                       by gelatin dry plates by Richard Leach Maddox. Cameras could be made         the majority as technology advanced
                       smaller, hand-held and even concealed with this new development.

5.         1888        Use of photographic film introduced by George Eastman and first camera went Significant improvement over the
                       on sale with name ‘Kodak’. Use of celluloid film also enabled movie camera. previous versions

6.         1900        Eastman goes to mass-market photography with Brownie                              First significant camera for mass
                                                                                                         market produce

7.         1936        Despite the invention of 35 mm film and mass-marketing of Retina (Kodak’s         First inexpensive medium for filming
                       camera that used 35 mm films), the cameras using 35-mm film didn’t take off       introduced
                       till the introduction of Argus A and later Argus C3 films that were inexpensive
                       enough to reach common consumers.

8.         1948        First Polaroid Camera are sold to public taking instant-picture mass market       Significant inflection point as instant
                                                                                                         cameras go commercial for the first
                                                                                                         time
9.         1975        First attempt is made at building a digital camera using CCD image sensor
                       chips. This was done by Steven Sasson at Eastman Kodak.
10.        1988        Fuji DS-1P is launched. This is the first camera to have internal memory of 16    Significant inflection point as device
                       MB.                                                                               memory concept was introduced in
                                                                                                         cameras.
11.        1991        Kodak introduced DCS-100 SLR cameras, the first of its kind.                      Digital SLR cameras hit mass market

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3D Cameras - Evolution (Films to 3D) and Road Ahead

  • 1.
  • 2. Box Camera, ~1830 Bulldog, 1850+ Kodak Camera, 1888 • On Copper Plates • On Emulsion Plates • On Dry Plates • ~ 15 min Exposure • ~ 3 sec Exp. • Permanent Image • Need to develop on the spot FujiFilm, 2011 Digital Camera, 1991 Polaroid, 1948 Leica (Portable Camera), 1914 • 3D Consumer Camera • Kodak • On Paper • First Film Camera • 3D Camcorder • Instant Image • Instant Image
  • 4. • 2008: Technology Trigger – 3D CMOS Sensors and Software to merge snapshots into 1 3D image • 2014: Peak of Inflated Expectation – Caused by innovative idea of 3D pictures and promise of “new uses”, “productivity” and “ease of use” • 2016: Trough of Disillusionment – Will be caused by user frustration due to lack of 3D infrastructure and eco-system • 2018: Slope of Enlightenment – Will be led by standardized 3D infrastructure (3D Displays, Printing, Camcorder etc) and convergence of products (3D Mobile, Tablets etc) • 2018+: Plateau of Productivity - Competition on price and features
  • 5.
  • 6. Main Street Tornado Early Market Assimilation Bowling Alley
  • 7. Early Market Bowling Alley Tornado Main Street Professional High-End Photography Photography Target Customer Photographers Experts Enthusiasts Amateur Photographers Compelling Dramatic Competitive Better Values With No Reason To Buy Advantage Fix Specific/Niche Needs Adopt New Paradigm Risk Feature Focused, Feature Focused, Product Focused, Product Focused, Whole Product Differentiated Standardized Differentiated Standardized Integrated Process Rationalize (Reduce) Partners Specific Partnerships Partners Partners And (Web- (e.g: Sony +Google, Optimize Partner Minimum Required Allies Sites/Broadband/Displays) Samsung+Apple) Friction (Ideally None) Direct Sales Transitioning to Drive To Higher Distribution Direct Sales Retailers Volume, Low Touch Low Cost, High Touch Value Based Value Based Price Based Price Based Pricing Gain Motivated Pain Motivated Gain Motivated Pain Motivated POC vs POC Feature vs Feature (e.g: 2 Lens + SW vs. 2 (e.g: Pixel Depth vs. Company vs. Company Competition CMOS) Capacity) (e.g: Sony vs. Fuji) Product vs Product Technology Based Market Share Based Service (Experience) Positioning Leadership Niche Market Leadership Leadership Leadership New Platforms Another Visionary, (Mobile/Tablets?) Another Market Adjacent Niche Market New Geographies Next Target (e.g: 4D Camera?) (e.g: 3D X-Ray etc?) (Asia, Africa?) Next Micro-Niche
  • 8. • Build an eco-system for seamless adoption – 3D Displays – 3D Printers – 3D Image software support • Look at supporting the professional users who act as agents to the mainstream users • Using social networking to broaden and engage more users • Joining the ecommerce bandwagon
  • 9. Convergence with Mobile Phones Hardware vs. Software for 3D • Convergence of Music, Voice Hardware Software recording • High Costs • Converting 2D to 3D • Email, Internet browsing • Need rethinking • Lower Costs • Camera • Potential for • Specialized • GPS, Payment methods Masses knowledge • 3D Camera and display
  • 10. Security / Surveillance Systems 3D Depth Sensors – Gestures • High definition 3D camera • Gestures to Interact with Devices • Need faster processing power • Human interface, no input device • Advanced programming • Augmented Reality, Avatar • E.g. Airports, Banks ,etc. • E.g. Games, Sports training, Home • Stores? Market Research?? control system
  • 11. Video Tours / Conferencing Healthcare / Tele-Surgery • High definition 3D camera • Remote 3D image of patient • Commercial 2D products offer • Needs fast communication little value addition • Improved reach of expert care • More close to real experience • E.g. Developing countries, War- • E.g. Advertising, Real Estate zones Tours, etc.
  • 12. • Innovation needed to maintain market share – Companies need to identify new value added services – Provide better features such as bigger display, clearer lens, touch interface – Deliver superior user experience • Brand – Customers have a high reliance on brand due to long product life – There are high barriers for a new entrant into pure play camera business. – To enter new markets, companies need to form partnerships for co-development
  • 13.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Sl. No. Year Event Description Significance/ Inflection Point 1. 1685 Johann Zahn invents the first camera that was small and portable and could be First major portable camera used for photography 2. 1825 ‘La cour du domaine du Gras ’ (View from the window at Le Gras), the first Significant point as first introduction image created by Nicéphore Niépce in 1825. to photography happened 3. 1836 Louis Daguerre and Nicéphore Niépce invented the first practical photographic First practical camera invented method which was named as Daguerreotype 4. 1855-1871 Désiré van Monckhoven invented a dry collodion process, improvements of Radical reduction in the size of the carbon print process and improved silver bromide gelatin emulsions. Followed camera making it more acceptable by by gelatin dry plates by Richard Leach Maddox. Cameras could be made the majority as technology advanced smaller, hand-held and even concealed with this new development. 5. 1888 Use of photographic film introduced by George Eastman and first camera went Significant improvement over the on sale with name ‘Kodak’. Use of celluloid film also enabled movie camera. previous versions 6. 1900 Eastman goes to mass-market photography with Brownie First significant camera for mass market produce 7. 1936 Despite the invention of 35 mm film and mass-marketing of Retina (Kodak’s First inexpensive medium for filming camera that used 35 mm films), the cameras using 35-mm film didn’t take off introduced till the introduction of Argus A and later Argus C3 films that were inexpensive enough to reach common consumers. 8. 1948 First Polaroid Camera are sold to public taking instant-picture mass market Significant inflection point as instant cameras go commercial for the first time 9. 1975 First attempt is made at building a digital camera using CCD image sensor chips. This was done by Steven Sasson at Eastman Kodak. 10. 1988 Fuji DS-1P is launched. This is the first camera to have internal memory of 16 Significant inflection point as device MB. memory concept was introduced in cameras. 11. 1991 Kodak introduced DCS-100 SLR cameras, the first of its kind. Digital SLR cameras hit mass market