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DAILY I FOREX REPORT
                      4TH MARCH 2013




WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO                      +91 9752199966
HEADLINES


                                      Forex: AUD/USD Breakout
                                       Prone, Looking For A
                                       Catalyst
                                      Australian Dollar
                                       Unchanged On Soft China
                                       Data, Sequester Looms

    TRADING TIPS                      USD/CAD- Trading the
                                       Canadian GDP Report
   SELL EURUSD BELOW
                              Trading the News: Canada
    1.3058 tgs                Quarterly Gross Domestic Product
    1.3038/1.3018 sl 1.3088   (GDP)

                              The GDP report is expected to show
   BUY USDJPY ABOVE          Canada expanding another 0.6% in the
                              fourth-quarter, but we may see a
    92.75 tgt 92.95/93.15
                              slowing recovery in the region as the
    SL 92.45                  Bank of Canada (BoC) curbs the record-
                              rise in household indebtedness. Indeed,
                              BoC Governor Mark Carney has scaled
                              back his hawkish tone for monetary
   SELL GBPUSD BELOW
                              policy amid the recent lull in economic
    1.5155 tgt                activity, and a dismal growth report may
                              spark a selloff in the Canadian dollar as
    1.5135/1.5115 SL          the central bank talks down speculation
    1.5185                    for a rate hike.




WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO                                     +91 9752199966
 HOURLY EURUSD CHART
                              HOURLY EURUSD CHART
                                        




ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.3060
HIGH: 1.3101
LOW: 1.3058
CLOSE: 1.3064

    EURUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD
    TREND : BEARISH
    STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
    MACD =>-.0006(BEARISH SIGNAL)
    RSI => 40(BEARISH SIGNAL)
HOURLY USDJPY CHART
                           HOURLY USDJPY CHART




ANALYSIS
OPEN: 92.56
HIGH: 92.73
LOW: 92.44
CLOSE: 92.66

    USDJPY LOOKS UPWARD
    TREND: BULLISH
    STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS
    MACD => -0.02( BULLISH SIGNAL)
    RSI =>59(BULLISH SIGNAL)
 HOURLY GBPUSD CHART
                             HOURLY GBPUSD CHART




ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.5163
HIGH: 1.5186
LOW: 1.5159
CLOSE: 1.5163

    GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD
    TREND: BULLISH
    STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
    MACD => .001( BEARISH SIGNAL)
    RSI =>     31(BEARIISH SIGNAL)
HOURLY EURGBP CHART
                          HOURLY EURGBP CHART




ANALYSIS
OPEN: 0.8613
HIGH: 0.8636
LOW: 0.8609
CLOSE: 0.8616

    EURGBP LOOKS DOWNWARDS
    TREND: BEARISH
    STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
    MACD =>-.003(BEARISH SIGNAL)
    RSI =>58(BEARISH SIGNAL)




www.epicresearch.co                                 + 91 9752199966
HOURLY USDINDEX CHART




ANALYSIS
OPEN: 81.9230
HIGH: 81.9620
LOW: 81.7800
CLOSE: 81.8890

    USDINDEX LOOKS UPWARD
    TREND: BULLISH
    STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS
    MACD =>0.217(BULLISH SIGNAL)
    RSI =>59(BULLISH SIGNAL)
ECONOMIC CALENDER



Date     Time    Currency            Event           Importance   Actual   Forecast   Previous   Notes


                            CNY HSBC Flash
 Mon
         01:45              Manufacturing PMI         Medium      50.4      52.2       52.3
Feb 25
                            (FEB)

                            GBP BBA Loans for
         09:30                                        Medium      32288    34000      33440
                            House Purchase (JAN)

                            EUR Italy to Sell 2014
         10:00              Bonds and 2021, 2026      Medium
                            I/L Bonds

                            USD Chicago Fed Nat
         13:30                                        Medium                           0.02
                            Activity Index (JAN)

                            EUR Italian Voting
         14:00              Ends, Exit Polls to be     High
                            Released
                            USD Dallas Fed
         15:30              Manufacturing Activity      Low                  3.0        5.5
                            (FEB)

                            RBA Assistant
                            Governor Debelle
         21:15                                          Low
                            Addresses Business
                            School
                            AUD APEC Finance
 Tue
Feb 26
                            and Central Bank          Medium
                            Deputies' Meeting
                            USD Fed's Lockhart
         00:00              Speaks on Economy in        Low
                            Tennessee
                            GBP Hometrack
                            Housing Survey (YoY)        Low                           -0.3%
                            (FEB)
                            GBP Hometrack
                            Housing Survey (MoM)        Low                            0.0%
                            (FEB)
                            NZD Reserve Bank of
                            New Zealand 2-Year
         02:00                                         High                            2.3%
                            Inflation Expectation
                            (1Q)

                            JPY Small Business
         05:00                                        Medium                           44.3
                            Confidence (FEB)

                            GBP CBI Reported
         11:00                                          Low                  16         17
                            Sales (FEB)

                            USD House Price
         14:00              Purchase Index (QoQ)      Medium                           1.1%
                            (4Q)

                            USD House Price Index
         14:00                                        Medium                0.6%       0.6%
                            (MoM) (DEC)

                            USD S&P/Case-Shiller
         14:00              US Home Price Index         Low                7.00%      3.64%
                            (YoY) (4Q)
USD S&P/Case-Shiller
         14:00   US Home Price Index       Low             135.67
                 (4Q)
                 USD S&P/Case-Shiller
         14:00   Home Price Index          Low             145.82
                 (DEC)
                 USD S&P/Case-Shiller
         14:00   Composite-20 (YoY)        Low     6.6%    5.52%
                 (DEC)

                 USD S&P/CS 20 City
         14:00                             Low     0.6%    0.63%
                 s.a. (MoM) (DEC)

                 USD Fed's Bernanke
         15:00   Testifies at Senate       High
                 Banking Committee

                 USD Consumer
         15:00                             High     62      58.6
                 Confidence (FEB)

                 USD New Home Sales
         15:00                            Medium   3.0%    -7.3%
                 (MoM) (JAN)

                 USD Richmond Fed
         15:00   Manufacturing Index       Low      -3      -12
                 (FEB)

                 USD New Home Sales
         15:00                             Low     380K    369K
                 (JAN)

                 NZD Trade Balance
         21:45   (New Zealand dollars)    Medium   125M    486M
                 (JAN)
                 NZD Balance (YTD)
         21:45   (New Zealand dollars)    Medium   -897M   -1208M
                 (JAN)

                 NZD Net Migration s.a.
         21:45                             Low               0
                 (JAN)

                 NZD Imports (New
         21:45                             Low     3.50B   3.58B
                 Zealand dollars) (JAN)

                 NZD Exports (New
         21:45                             Low     3.60B   4.07B
                 Zealand dollars) (JAN)

                 JPY Retail Trade (YoY)
         23:50                            Medium   -1.6%   0.3%
                 (JAN)

                 JPY Large Retailers'
         23:50                            Medium   -0.8%   0.1%
                 Sales (JAN)

                 JPY Retail Trade
         23:50                             Low     0.8%    0.0%
                 (MoM) (JAN)

 Wed             AUD Construction
Feb 27
         00:30                             Low     1.5%    1.7%
                 Work Done (4Q)

                 EUR German GfK
         07:00   Consumer Confidence      Medium    5.9     5.8
                 Survey (Mar)

                 CHF UBS Consumption
         07:00                            Medium            1.34
                 Indicator (JAN)

                 EUR German Import
         07:00   Price Index (YoY)         Low     -0.4%   0.3%
                 (JAN)
                 EUR German Import
         07:00   Price Index (MoM)         Low     0.5%    -0.5%
                 (JAN)
CHF KOF Swiss
08:00                             Medium   1.00    1.05
        Leading Indicator (FEB)

        EUR Euro-Zone M3
09:00                              Low     3.2%    3.3%
        s.a. (YoY) (JAN)

        GBP Gross Domestic
09:30                              High    0.0%    0.0%
        Product (YoY) (4Q P)

        GBP Gross Domestic
09:30                              High    -0.3%   -0.3%
        Product (QoQ) (4Q P)

        GBP Total Business
09:30   Investment (YoY) (4Q      Medium           5.1%
        P)
        GBP Gross Fixed
09:30   Capital Formation (4Q      Low     0.2%    -0.2%
        P)

        GBP Government
09:30                              Low     0.1%    0.8%
        Spending (4Q P)


09:30   GBP Exports (4Q P)         Low     -0.6%   1.2%

        GBP Total Business
09:30   Investment (QoQ) (4Q       Low             3.8%
        P)

        GBP Private
09:30                              Low     -0.1%   0.4%
        Consumption (4Q P)

        GBP Index of Services
09:30                              Low     0.0%    0.0%
        (MoM) (DEC)

        GBP Index of Services
09:30                              Low     0.1%    0.6%
        (3Mo3M) (DEC)


09:30   GBP Imports (4Q P)         Low     0.0%    -0.4%

        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Economic Confidence       Medium   89.9    89.2
        (FEB)
        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Services Confidence        Low     -8.8    -8.8
        (FEB)
        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Industrial Confidence      Low     -13.1   -13.9
        (FEB)

        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Consumer Confidence        Low     -23.6   -23.6
        (FEB F)
        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Business Climate           Low     -1.02   -1.09
        Indicator (FEB)

        USD MBA Mortgage
12:00                              Low             -1.7%
        Applications (FEB 22)

        USD Durable Goods
13:30                              High    -4.0%   4.6%
        Orders (JAN)

        USD Durables Ex
13:30                             Medium   0.3%    1.3%
        Transportation (JAN)

        USD Cap Goods Ship
13:30                              Low     -0.8%   0.3%
        Nondef Ex Air (JAN)
USD Cap Goods
         13:30   Orders Nondef Ex Air      Low     0.2%     0.2%
                 (JAN)

                 USD Pending Home
         15:00                            Medium            4.9%
                 Sales (YoY) (JAN)

                 USD Pending Home
         15:00                             Low     2.0%     -4.3%
                 Sales (MoM) (JAN)

                 USD DOE U.S.
         15:30   Gasoline Inventories      Low             -2884K
                 (FEB 22)
                 USD DOE U.S.
         15:30   Distillate Inventory      Low             -2277K
                 (FEB 22)
                 USD DOE U.S. Crude
         15:30   Oil Inventories (FEB      Low              4143K
                 22)
                 USD DOE Cushing OK
         15:30   Crude Inventory (FEB      Low              417K
                 22)
                 USD Fed's Fisher
                 Speaks on Economy
         21:30                             Low
                 and Monetary Policy in
                 New York

                 NZD Building Permits
         21:45                             Low     -2.0%    9.4%
                 (MoM) (JAN)

                 JPY Nomura/JMMA
                 Manufacturing
         23:15                            Medium             47.7
                 Purchasing Manager
                 Index (FEB)
                 JPY Industrial
         23:50   Production (YoY) (JAN    Medium   -4.8%    -7.9%
                 P)

                 JPY Japan Buying
         23:50   Foreign Stocks (Yen)      Low             -¥414.7B
                 (FEB 22)

                 JPY Japan Buying
         23:50   Foreign Bonds (Yen)       Low             -¥620.6B
                 (FEB 22)
                 JPY Industrial
         23:50   Production (MoM) (JAN     Low     1.5%     2.4%
                 P)
                 JPY Foreign Buying
         23:50   Japan Stocks (Yen)        Low             ¥197.9B
                 (FEB 22)
                 JPY Foreign Buying
         23:50   Japan Bonds (Yen)         Low             -¥181.2B
                 (FEB 22)

 Thu             AUD HIA New Home
         00:00                            Medium            6.2%
Feb 28           Sales (MoM) (JAN)

                 NZD ANZ Business
         00:00                             Low               22.7
                 Confidence (FEB)

                 NZD ANZ Activity
         00:00                             Low               31.4
                 Outlook (FEB)

                 GBP GfK Consumer
         00:01   Confidence Survey        Medium    -27      -26
                 (FEB)

                 AUD Private Sector
         00:30                            Medium            3.6%
                 Credit (YoY) (JAN)
AUD Private Capital
00:30                            Medium   3.7%     2.8%
        Expenditure (4Q)

        AUD Average Weekly
00:30                            Medium   0.3%     3.4%
        Wages (YoY) (Nov)

        AUD Private Sector
00:30                             Low              0.4%
        Credit (MoM) (JAN)

        AUD Average Weekly
00:30                             Low     1.0%     0.4%
        Wages (QoQ) (Nov)

        JPY BOJ Board
        MembeJPY Kiuchi
01:30                             Low
        Speaks to Business
        Leaders
        CNY MNI February
01:35   Business Sentiment        Low
        Indicator

        NZD Money Supply M3
02:00                             Low              6.0%
        (YoY) (JAN)

        JPY Vehicle Production
04:00                             Low              -17.2%
        (YoY) (JAN)

        JPY Housing Starts
05:00                            Medium   8.8%     10.0%
        (YoY) (JAN)

        JPY Annualized
05:00                            Medium   0.894M   0.880M
        Housing Starts (JAN)

        JPY Construction
05:00                             Low              4.8%
        Orders (YoY) (JAN)

        CHF Gross Domestic
06:45                             High    0.9%     1.4%
        Product (YoY) (4Q)

        CHF Gross Domestic
06:45                            Medium   0.0%     0.6%
        Product (QoQ) (4Q)

        EUR German
08:55   Unemployment Change       High     0K       -16K
        (FEB)

        EUR German
08:55   Unemployment Rate        Medium   6.8%     6.8%
        s.a. (FEB)

        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Consumer Price Index      High    2.0%     2.0%
        (YoY) (JAN)
        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Consumer Price Index -    High    1.5%     1.5%
        Core (YoY) (JAN)
        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Consumer Price Index     Medium   -1.0%    0.4%
        (MoM) (JAN)
        CHF CPI - EU
10:00   Harmonised (YoY)         Medium            -0.3%
        (JAN)
        CHF CPI - EU
10:00   Harmonised (MoM)         Medium            0.1%
        (JAN)
        EUR German
13:00   Consumer Price Index      High    1.7%     1.7%
        (YoY) (FEB P)
        EUR German
13:00   Consumer Price Index -    High    1.7%     1.9%
        EU Harmonised (YoY)
(FEB P)

        EUR German
13:00   Consumer Price Index      Medium   0.7%    -0.5%
        (MoM) (FEB P)

        EUR German
        Consumer Price Index -
13:00                             Medium   0.7%    -0.7%
        EU Harmonised (MoM)
        (FEB P)
        USD Gross Domestic
13:30   Product Price Index        High    0.6%     0.6%
        (4Q S)
        USD Gross Domestic
13:30   Product (Annualized)       High    0.5%    -0.1%
        (4Q S)

        USD Personal
13:30                             Medium   2.3%     2.2%
        Consumption (4Q S)

        USD Initial Jobless
13:30                             Medium   360K     362K
        Claims (FEB 24)

        USD Core Personal
        Consumption
13:30                             Medium   0.9%     0.9%
        Expenditure (QoQ) (4Q
        S)

        CAD Current Account
13:30   (BoP) (Canadian dollar)   Medium           -$18.9B
        (4Q)

        USD Continuing Claims
13:30                              Low     3140K   3148K
        (FEB 17)

        CAD Raw Materials
13:30   Price Index (MoM)          Low     0.9%    -2.0%
        (JAN)

        CAD Industrial Product
13:30                              Low     0.2%     0.0%
        Price (MoM) (JAN)

        USD NAPM-Milwaukee
14:00                              Low              51.3
        (FEB)

        USD Chicago
14:45   Purchasing Manager         Low     54.1     55.6
        (FEB)

        USD EIA Natural Gas
15:30   Storage Change (FEB        Low              -127
        22)

        USD Kansas City Fed
16:00                              Low               -2
        Manf. Activity (FEB)

        NZD Terms of Trade
21:45                             Medium   1.4%    -3.2%
        Index (QoQ) (4Q)

        AUD AiG Performance
22:30   of Manufacturing Index    Medium            40.2
        (FEB)

        AUD RPData-Rismark
23:00                              Low
        House PX Actual (FEB)

        JPY National
23:30   Consumer Price Index       High    -0.2%   -0.1%
        (YoY) (JAN)

        JPY National
        Consumer Price Index
23:30                             Medium   -0.7%   -0.6%
        Ex Food, Energy (YoY)
        (JAN)
JPY National
                Consumer Price Index
        23:30                           Medium   -0.2%    -0.2%
                Ex-Fresh Food (YoY)
                (JAN)

                JPY Jobless Rate
        23:30                           Medium   4.2%     4.2%
                (JAN)

                JPY Household
        23:30                           Medium   0.4%     -0.7%
                Spending (YoY) (JAN)

                JPY Tokyo Consumer
        23:30   Price Index (YoY)        Low     -0.6%    -0.6%
                (FEB)
                JPY Tokyo Consumer
        23:30   Price Index Ex Food,     Low     -1.0%    -0.9%
                Energy (YoY) (FEB)
                JPY Tokyo Consumer
        23:30   Price Index Ex-Fresh     Low     -0.5%    -0.5%
                Food (YoY) (FEB)

                JPY Job-To-Applicant
        23:30                            Low     0.83      0.82
                Ratio (JAN)

                JPY Capital Spending
        23:50                           Medium   -6.5%    2.4%
                excl Software (4Q)

                JPY Capital Spending
        23:50                           Medium   -7.2%    2.2%
                (4Q)

                JPY Loans & Discounts
        23:50                            Low              1.0%
                Corp (YoY) (JAN)

 Fri            JPY Official Reserve
Mar 1
                                         Low             $1267.3B
                Assets (FEB)

                CNY Manufacturing
        01:00                            High    50.5      50.4
                PMI (FEB)

                USD Fed's Evans
        01:00                            Low
                Speaks in Des Moines

                CNY HSBC
        01:45   Manufacturing PMI       Medium             52.3
                (FEB)

                JPY Vehicle Sales
        05:00                            Low              -12.9%
                (YoY) (FEB)

                AUD RBA Commodity
        05:30                            Low               90.3
                Price Index (FEB)

                AUD RBA Commodity
        05:30                            Low              -6.4%
                Index SDR (YoY) (FEB)

                GBP Nationwide House
        07:00   Prices n.s.a. (YoY)     Medium   -0.2%    0.0%
                (FEB)

                EUR German Retail
        07:00                           Medium   -1.7%    -4.7%
                Sales (YoY) (JAN)

                GBP Nationwide House
        07:00   Prices s.a. (MoM)        Low     0.2%     0.5%
                (FEB)

                EUR German Retail
        07:00                            Low     0.9%     -1.7%
                Sales (MoM) (JAN)

                CHF SVME-Purchasing
        08:30                           Medium   52.1      52.5
                Managers Index (FEB)
EUR Italian Purchasing
08:45   Manager Index             Low     47.6    47.8
        Manufacturing (FEB)
        EUR French
        Purchasing Manager
08:50                             Low     43.6    43.6
        Index Manufacturing
        (FEB F)
        EUR German
        Purchasing Manager
08:55                            Medium   50.1    50.1
        Index Manufacturing
        (FEB F)
        EUR Italian
09:00   Unemployment Rate        Medium           10.6%
        s.a. (4Q)
        EUR Italian
09:00   Unemployment Rate        Medium           11.2%
        s.a. (JAN P)
        EUR Euro-Zone
        Purchasing Manager
09:00                            Medium   47.8    47.8
        Index Manufacturing
        (FEB F)
        GBP Purchasing
09:30   Manager Index            Medium    51     50.8
        Manufacturing (FEB)

        GBP Net Lending Sec.
09:30                            Medium   0.8B    1.0B
        on Dwellings (JAN)

        GBP Net Consumer
09:30                            Medium   0.2B    0.6B
        Credit (JAN)

        GBP Mortgage
09:30                            Medium   56.5K   55.8K
        Approvals (JAN)

        GBP M4 Money Supply
09:30                             Low             -1.0%
        (YoY) (JAN)

        GBP M4 Money Supply
09:30                             Low             0.7%
        (MoM) (JAN)

        GBP M4 Ex IOFCs 3M
09:30                             Low             3.8%
        Annualised (JAN)

        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Unemployment Rate        Medium   11.8%   11.7%
        (JAN)
        EUR Euro-Zone
10:00   Consumer Price Index     Medium   1.9%    2.0%
        Estimate (YoY) (FEB)

        EUR Italian Annual
11:00   Gross Domestic           Medium   -2.2%   0.4%
        Product (2012)

        CAD Quarterly Gross
13:30   Domestic Product          High    0.7%    0.6%
        Annualized (4Q)

        CAD Gross Domestic
13:30                             High            1.3%
        Product (YoY) (DEC)

        USD Personal
13:30                            Medium   0.2%    0.2%
        Spending (JAN)

        USD Personal Income
13:30                            Medium   -2.0%   2.6%
        (JAN)

        USD Personal
        Consumption
13:30                            Medium   1.3%    1.4%
        Expenditure Core
        (YoY) (JAN)
CAD Gross Domestic
13:30                          Medium   -0.1%    0.3%
        Product (MoM) (DEC)

        USD Personal
        Consumption
13:30                           Low     1.2%     1.3%
        Expenditure Deflator
        (YoY) (JAN)
        USD Personal
        Consumption
13:30                           Low     0.1%     0.0%
        Expenditure Deflator
        (MoM) (JAN)
        USD Personal
        Consumption
13:30                           Low     0.1%     0.0%
        Expenditure Core
        (MoM) (JAN)

        USD Markit US PMI
13:58                          Medium
        Final (FEB)

        USD U. of Michigan
14:55                          Medium    76.3     76.3
        Confidence (FEB F)

        USD ISM
15:00                           High     52.5     53.1
        Manufacturing (FEB)

        USD ISM Prices Paid
15:00                          Medium    57       56.5
        (FEB)

        USD Construction
15:00                          Medium   0.5%     0.9%
        Spending (MoM) (JAN)

        USD Total Vehicle
22:00                           Low     15.05M   15.23M
        Sales (FEB)

        USD Domestic Vehicle
22:00                           Low     11.90M   12.08M
        Sales (FEB)
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www.epicresearch.co                                                                       + 91 9752199966

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Daily i-forex-report- by epic research 04 march 2013

  • 1. DAILY I FOREX REPORT 4TH MARCH 2013 WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
  • 2. HEADLINES  Forex: AUD/USD Breakout Prone, Looking For A Catalyst  Australian Dollar Unchanged On Soft China Data, Sequester Looms TRADING TIPS  USD/CAD- Trading the Canadian GDP Report  SELL EURUSD BELOW Trading the News: Canada 1.3058 tgs Quarterly Gross Domestic Product 1.3038/1.3018 sl 1.3088 (GDP) The GDP report is expected to show  BUY USDJPY ABOVE Canada expanding another 0.6% in the fourth-quarter, but we may see a 92.75 tgt 92.95/93.15 slowing recovery in the region as the SL 92.45 Bank of Canada (BoC) curbs the record- rise in household indebtedness. Indeed, BoC Governor Mark Carney has scaled back his hawkish tone for monetary  SELL GBPUSD BELOW policy amid the recent lull in economic 1.5155 tgt activity, and a dismal growth report may spark a selloff in the Canadian dollar as 1.5135/1.5115 SL the central bank talks down speculation 1.5185 for a rate hike. WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
  • 3.  HOURLY EURUSD CHART HOURLY EURUSD CHART  ANALYSIS OPEN: 1.3060 HIGH: 1.3101 LOW: 1.3058 CLOSE: 1.3064  EURUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND : BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD =>-.0006(BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 40(BEARISH SIGNAL)
  • 4. HOURLY USDJPY CHART  HOURLY USDJPY CHART ANALYSIS OPEN: 92.56 HIGH: 92.73 LOW: 92.44 CLOSE: 92.66  USDJPY LOOKS UPWARD  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS  MACD => -0.02( BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>59(BULLISH SIGNAL)
  • 5.  HOURLY GBPUSD CHART HOURLY GBPUSD CHART ANALYSIS OPEN: 1.5163 HIGH: 1.5186 LOW: 1.5159 CLOSE: 1.5163  GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD => .001( BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI => 31(BEARIISH SIGNAL)
  • 6. HOURLY EURGBP CHART HOURLY EURGBP CHART ANALYSIS OPEN: 0.8613 HIGH: 0.8636 LOW: 0.8609 CLOSE: 0.8616  EURGBP LOOKS DOWNWARDS  TREND: BEARISH  STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE  MACD =>-.003(BEARISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>58(BEARISH SIGNAL) www.epicresearch.co + 91 9752199966
  • 7. HOURLY USDINDEX CHART ANALYSIS OPEN: 81.9230 HIGH: 81.9620 LOW: 81.7800 CLOSE: 81.8890  USDINDEX LOOKS UPWARD  TREND: BULLISH  STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS  MACD =>0.217(BULLISH SIGNAL)  RSI =>59(BULLISH SIGNAL)
  • 8. ECONOMIC CALENDER Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes CNY HSBC Flash Mon 01:45 Manufacturing PMI Medium 50.4 52.2 52.3 Feb 25 (FEB) GBP BBA Loans for 09:30 Medium 32288 34000 33440 House Purchase (JAN) EUR Italy to Sell 2014 10:00 Bonds and 2021, 2026 Medium I/L Bonds USD Chicago Fed Nat 13:30 Medium 0.02 Activity Index (JAN) EUR Italian Voting 14:00 Ends, Exit Polls to be High Released USD Dallas Fed 15:30 Manufacturing Activity Low 3.0 5.5 (FEB) RBA Assistant Governor Debelle 21:15 Low Addresses Business School AUD APEC Finance Tue Feb 26 and Central Bank Medium Deputies' Meeting USD Fed's Lockhart 00:00 Speaks on Economy in Low Tennessee GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (YoY) Low -0.3% (FEB) GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (MoM) Low 0.0% (FEB) NZD Reserve Bank of New Zealand 2-Year 02:00 High 2.3% Inflation Expectation (1Q) JPY Small Business 05:00 Medium 44.3 Confidence (FEB) GBP CBI Reported 11:00 Low 16 17 Sales (FEB) USD House Price 14:00 Purchase Index (QoQ) Medium 1.1% (4Q) USD House Price Index 14:00 Medium 0.6% 0.6% (MoM) (DEC) USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 US Home Price Index Low 7.00% 3.64% (YoY) (4Q)
  • 9. USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 US Home Price Index Low 135.67 (4Q) USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 Home Price Index Low 145.82 (DEC) USD S&P/Case-Shiller 14:00 Composite-20 (YoY) Low 6.6% 5.52% (DEC) USD S&P/CS 20 City 14:00 Low 0.6% 0.63% s.a. (MoM) (DEC) USD Fed's Bernanke 15:00 Testifies at Senate High Banking Committee USD Consumer 15:00 High 62 58.6 Confidence (FEB) USD New Home Sales 15:00 Medium 3.0% -7.3% (MoM) (JAN) USD Richmond Fed 15:00 Manufacturing Index Low -3 -12 (FEB) USD New Home Sales 15:00 Low 380K 369K (JAN) NZD Trade Balance 21:45 (New Zealand dollars) Medium 125M 486M (JAN) NZD Balance (YTD) 21:45 (New Zealand dollars) Medium -897M -1208M (JAN) NZD Net Migration s.a. 21:45 Low 0 (JAN) NZD Imports (New 21:45 Low 3.50B 3.58B Zealand dollars) (JAN) NZD Exports (New 21:45 Low 3.60B 4.07B Zealand dollars) (JAN) JPY Retail Trade (YoY) 23:50 Medium -1.6% 0.3% (JAN) JPY Large Retailers' 23:50 Medium -0.8% 0.1% Sales (JAN) JPY Retail Trade 23:50 Low 0.8% 0.0% (MoM) (JAN) Wed AUD Construction Feb 27 00:30 Low 1.5% 1.7% Work Done (4Q) EUR German GfK 07:00 Consumer Confidence Medium 5.9 5.8 Survey (Mar) CHF UBS Consumption 07:00 Medium 1.34 Indicator (JAN) EUR German Import 07:00 Price Index (YoY) Low -0.4% 0.3% (JAN) EUR German Import 07:00 Price Index (MoM) Low 0.5% -0.5% (JAN)
  • 10. CHF KOF Swiss 08:00 Medium 1.00 1.05 Leading Indicator (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone M3 09:00 Low 3.2% 3.3% s.a. (YoY) (JAN) GBP Gross Domestic 09:30 High 0.0% 0.0% Product (YoY) (4Q P) GBP Gross Domestic 09:30 High -0.3% -0.3% Product (QoQ) (4Q P) GBP Total Business 09:30 Investment (YoY) (4Q Medium 5.1% P) GBP Gross Fixed 09:30 Capital Formation (4Q Low 0.2% -0.2% P) GBP Government 09:30 Low 0.1% 0.8% Spending (4Q P) 09:30 GBP Exports (4Q P) Low -0.6% 1.2% GBP Total Business 09:30 Investment (QoQ) (4Q Low 3.8% P) GBP Private 09:30 Low -0.1% 0.4% Consumption (4Q P) GBP Index of Services 09:30 Low 0.0% 0.0% (MoM) (DEC) GBP Index of Services 09:30 Low 0.1% 0.6% (3Mo3M) (DEC) 09:30 GBP Imports (4Q P) Low 0.0% -0.4% EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Economic Confidence Medium 89.9 89.2 (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Services Confidence Low -8.8 -8.8 (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Industrial Confidence Low -13.1 -13.9 (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Consumer Confidence Low -23.6 -23.6 (FEB F) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Business Climate Low -1.02 -1.09 Indicator (FEB) USD MBA Mortgage 12:00 Low -1.7% Applications (FEB 22) USD Durable Goods 13:30 High -4.0% 4.6% Orders (JAN) USD Durables Ex 13:30 Medium 0.3% 1.3% Transportation (JAN) USD Cap Goods Ship 13:30 Low -0.8% 0.3% Nondef Ex Air (JAN)
  • 11. USD Cap Goods 13:30 Orders Nondef Ex Air Low 0.2% 0.2% (JAN) USD Pending Home 15:00 Medium 4.9% Sales (YoY) (JAN) USD Pending Home 15:00 Low 2.0% -4.3% Sales (MoM) (JAN) USD DOE U.S. 15:30 Gasoline Inventories Low -2884K (FEB 22) USD DOE U.S. 15:30 Distillate Inventory Low -2277K (FEB 22) USD DOE U.S. Crude 15:30 Oil Inventories (FEB Low 4143K 22) USD DOE Cushing OK 15:30 Crude Inventory (FEB Low 417K 22) USD Fed's Fisher Speaks on Economy 21:30 Low and Monetary Policy in New York NZD Building Permits 21:45 Low -2.0% 9.4% (MoM) (JAN) JPY Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing 23:15 Medium 47.7 Purchasing Manager Index (FEB) JPY Industrial 23:50 Production (YoY) (JAN Medium -4.8% -7.9% P) JPY Japan Buying 23:50 Foreign Stocks (Yen) Low -¥414.7B (FEB 22) JPY Japan Buying 23:50 Foreign Bonds (Yen) Low -¥620.6B (FEB 22) JPY Industrial 23:50 Production (MoM) (JAN Low 1.5% 2.4% P) JPY Foreign Buying 23:50 Japan Stocks (Yen) Low ¥197.9B (FEB 22) JPY Foreign Buying 23:50 Japan Bonds (Yen) Low -¥181.2B (FEB 22) Thu AUD HIA New Home 00:00 Medium 6.2% Feb 28 Sales (MoM) (JAN) NZD ANZ Business 00:00 Low 22.7 Confidence (FEB) NZD ANZ Activity 00:00 Low 31.4 Outlook (FEB) GBP GfK Consumer 00:01 Confidence Survey Medium -27 -26 (FEB) AUD Private Sector 00:30 Medium 3.6% Credit (YoY) (JAN)
  • 12. AUD Private Capital 00:30 Medium 3.7% 2.8% Expenditure (4Q) AUD Average Weekly 00:30 Medium 0.3% 3.4% Wages (YoY) (Nov) AUD Private Sector 00:30 Low 0.4% Credit (MoM) (JAN) AUD Average Weekly 00:30 Low 1.0% 0.4% Wages (QoQ) (Nov) JPY BOJ Board MembeJPY Kiuchi 01:30 Low Speaks to Business Leaders CNY MNI February 01:35 Business Sentiment Low Indicator NZD Money Supply M3 02:00 Low 6.0% (YoY) (JAN) JPY Vehicle Production 04:00 Low -17.2% (YoY) (JAN) JPY Housing Starts 05:00 Medium 8.8% 10.0% (YoY) (JAN) JPY Annualized 05:00 Medium 0.894M 0.880M Housing Starts (JAN) JPY Construction 05:00 Low 4.8% Orders (YoY) (JAN) CHF Gross Domestic 06:45 High 0.9% 1.4% Product (YoY) (4Q) CHF Gross Domestic 06:45 Medium 0.0% 0.6% Product (QoQ) (4Q) EUR German 08:55 Unemployment Change High 0K -16K (FEB) EUR German 08:55 Unemployment Rate Medium 6.8% 6.8% s.a. (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Consumer Price Index High 2.0% 2.0% (YoY) (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Consumer Price Index - High 1.5% 1.5% Core (YoY) (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Consumer Price Index Medium -1.0% 0.4% (MoM) (JAN) CHF CPI - EU 10:00 Harmonised (YoY) Medium -0.3% (JAN) CHF CPI - EU 10:00 Harmonised (MoM) Medium 0.1% (JAN) EUR German 13:00 Consumer Price Index High 1.7% 1.7% (YoY) (FEB P) EUR German 13:00 Consumer Price Index - High 1.7% 1.9% EU Harmonised (YoY)
  • 13. (FEB P) EUR German 13:00 Consumer Price Index Medium 0.7% -0.5% (MoM) (FEB P) EUR German Consumer Price Index - 13:00 Medium 0.7% -0.7% EU Harmonised (MoM) (FEB P) USD Gross Domestic 13:30 Product Price Index High 0.6% 0.6% (4Q S) USD Gross Domestic 13:30 Product (Annualized) High 0.5% -0.1% (4Q S) USD Personal 13:30 Medium 2.3% 2.2% Consumption (4Q S) USD Initial Jobless 13:30 Medium 360K 362K Claims (FEB 24) USD Core Personal Consumption 13:30 Medium 0.9% 0.9% Expenditure (QoQ) (4Q S) CAD Current Account 13:30 (BoP) (Canadian dollar) Medium -$18.9B (4Q) USD Continuing Claims 13:30 Low 3140K 3148K (FEB 17) CAD Raw Materials 13:30 Price Index (MoM) Low 0.9% -2.0% (JAN) CAD Industrial Product 13:30 Low 0.2% 0.0% Price (MoM) (JAN) USD NAPM-Milwaukee 14:00 Low 51.3 (FEB) USD Chicago 14:45 Purchasing Manager Low 54.1 55.6 (FEB) USD EIA Natural Gas 15:30 Storage Change (FEB Low -127 22) USD Kansas City Fed 16:00 Low -2 Manf. Activity (FEB) NZD Terms of Trade 21:45 Medium 1.4% -3.2% Index (QoQ) (4Q) AUD AiG Performance 22:30 of Manufacturing Index Medium 40.2 (FEB) AUD RPData-Rismark 23:00 Low House PX Actual (FEB) JPY National 23:30 Consumer Price Index High -0.2% -0.1% (YoY) (JAN) JPY National Consumer Price Index 23:30 Medium -0.7% -0.6% Ex Food, Energy (YoY) (JAN)
  • 14. JPY National Consumer Price Index 23:30 Medium -0.2% -0.2% Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) (JAN) JPY Jobless Rate 23:30 Medium 4.2% 4.2% (JAN) JPY Household 23:30 Medium 0.4% -0.7% Spending (YoY) (JAN) JPY Tokyo Consumer 23:30 Price Index (YoY) Low -0.6% -0.6% (FEB) JPY Tokyo Consumer 23:30 Price Index Ex Food, Low -1.0% -0.9% Energy (YoY) (FEB) JPY Tokyo Consumer 23:30 Price Index Ex-Fresh Low -0.5% -0.5% Food (YoY) (FEB) JPY Job-To-Applicant 23:30 Low 0.83 0.82 Ratio (JAN) JPY Capital Spending 23:50 Medium -6.5% 2.4% excl Software (4Q) JPY Capital Spending 23:50 Medium -7.2% 2.2% (4Q) JPY Loans & Discounts 23:50 Low 1.0% Corp (YoY) (JAN) Fri JPY Official Reserve Mar 1 Low $1267.3B Assets (FEB) CNY Manufacturing 01:00 High 50.5 50.4 PMI (FEB) USD Fed's Evans 01:00 Low Speaks in Des Moines CNY HSBC 01:45 Manufacturing PMI Medium 52.3 (FEB) JPY Vehicle Sales 05:00 Low -12.9% (YoY) (FEB) AUD RBA Commodity 05:30 Low 90.3 Price Index (FEB) AUD RBA Commodity 05:30 Low -6.4% Index SDR (YoY) (FEB) GBP Nationwide House 07:00 Prices n.s.a. (YoY) Medium -0.2% 0.0% (FEB) EUR German Retail 07:00 Medium -1.7% -4.7% Sales (YoY) (JAN) GBP Nationwide House 07:00 Prices s.a. (MoM) Low 0.2% 0.5% (FEB) EUR German Retail 07:00 Low 0.9% -1.7% Sales (MoM) (JAN) CHF SVME-Purchasing 08:30 Medium 52.1 52.5 Managers Index (FEB)
  • 15. EUR Italian Purchasing 08:45 Manager Index Low 47.6 47.8 Manufacturing (FEB) EUR French Purchasing Manager 08:50 Low 43.6 43.6 Index Manufacturing (FEB F) EUR German Purchasing Manager 08:55 Medium 50.1 50.1 Index Manufacturing (FEB F) EUR Italian 09:00 Unemployment Rate Medium 10.6% s.a. (4Q) EUR Italian 09:00 Unemployment Rate Medium 11.2% s.a. (JAN P) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager 09:00 Medium 47.8 47.8 Index Manufacturing (FEB F) GBP Purchasing 09:30 Manager Index Medium 51 50.8 Manufacturing (FEB) GBP Net Lending Sec. 09:30 Medium 0.8B 1.0B on Dwellings (JAN) GBP Net Consumer 09:30 Medium 0.2B 0.6B Credit (JAN) GBP Mortgage 09:30 Medium 56.5K 55.8K Approvals (JAN) GBP M4 Money Supply 09:30 Low -1.0% (YoY) (JAN) GBP M4 Money Supply 09:30 Low 0.7% (MoM) (JAN) GBP M4 Ex IOFCs 3M 09:30 Low 3.8% Annualised (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Unemployment Rate Medium 11.8% 11.7% (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone 10:00 Consumer Price Index Medium 1.9% 2.0% Estimate (YoY) (FEB) EUR Italian Annual 11:00 Gross Domestic Medium -2.2% 0.4% Product (2012) CAD Quarterly Gross 13:30 Domestic Product High 0.7% 0.6% Annualized (4Q) CAD Gross Domestic 13:30 High 1.3% Product (YoY) (DEC) USD Personal 13:30 Medium 0.2% 0.2% Spending (JAN) USD Personal Income 13:30 Medium -2.0% 2.6% (JAN) USD Personal Consumption 13:30 Medium 1.3% 1.4% Expenditure Core (YoY) (JAN)
  • 16. CAD Gross Domestic 13:30 Medium -0.1% 0.3% Product (MoM) (DEC) USD Personal Consumption 13:30 Low 1.2% 1.3% Expenditure Deflator (YoY) (JAN) USD Personal Consumption 13:30 Low 0.1% 0.0% Expenditure Deflator (MoM) (JAN) USD Personal Consumption 13:30 Low 0.1% 0.0% Expenditure Core (MoM) (JAN) USD Markit US PMI 13:58 Medium Final (FEB) USD U. of Michigan 14:55 Medium 76.3 76.3 Confidence (FEB F) USD ISM 15:00 High 52.5 53.1 Manufacturing (FEB) USD ISM Prices Paid 15:00 Medium 57 56.5 (FEB) USD Construction 15:00 Medium 0.5% 0.9% Spending (MoM) (JAN) USD Total Vehicle 22:00 Low 15.05M 15.23M Sales (FEB) USD Domestic Vehicle 22:00 Low 11.90M 12.08M Sales (FEB)
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