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Network leadership in an uncertain world

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Slides from my research and work on social networks, technology, strategy, and the future

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Network leadership in an uncertain world

  1. 1. Network Leadership in an Increasingly Uncertain World Professor Robin Teigland Chalmers University of Technology November 2020 www.robinteigland.com | www.slideshare.net/eteigland | robin.teigland@chalmers.se | @RobinTeigland
  2. 2. All open Access
  3. 3. https://www.amazon.com/AI-Leadership-Boards-Corporate-Governance-ebook/dp/B08C391GWG
  4. 4. The future? Conway 2003 What we know we don’t know What we don’t know we don’t know What we know
  5. 5. Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
  6. 6. Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
  7. 7. “We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten.” - Bill Gates, The Road Ahead, 1996
  8. 8. Hidden influence of social networks http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/en/nicholas_christakis_the_hidden_influence_of_social_networks.html Happy people In between people Unhappy people
  9. 9. What is a network? A set of actors connected by ties •Ties/Links −Knowledge, trust, team, sit by, dislike, etc. −Alliance, customer, investment, etc. Tie •Actors/Nodes −Individuals −Teams −Organizations, etc. Actor
  10. 10. Myths about networks • I already know what is going on in my network. • How people fit into networks is a matter of personality (which can’t be changed). • Everyone should be connected to everyone else. Adapted from Cross et al. 2002
  11. 11. ”No one knows everything, everyone knows something, all knowledge resides in humanity.”networks Adapted from Lévy 1997 Six degrees of separation - Milgram, 1967 Image: Krebs
  12. 12. Uncovering networks in an organization Formal organization Informal organization Teigland et al. 2005
  13. 13. What do you notice about the informal network? Cross, Introduction to organizational network analysis
  14. 14. Avoid creating “echo chambers” http://www.enronexplorer.com/focus/19185#
  15. 15. Myths and reality checks • I already know what is going on in my network. • Those who think they know their network the best are usually the ones who know the least. • How people fit into networks is a matter of personality (which can’t be changed). • Less than 40% is due to personal genes. • Everyone should be connected to everyone else. • Networks can be strategically developed. Adapted from Cross et al. 2002, Christakis & Fowler 2010
  16. 16. The future? Conway 2003 What we know we don’t know What we don’t know we don’t know What we know
  17. 17. Future of value creation Political Economic Sociological TechnologicalEnvironmental Legal PESTEL
  18. 18. https://furhatrobotics.com/
  19. 19. https://framtidsprao.trr.se/documents/Framtidens_arbetsliv_rapport_WEB.pdf
  20. 20. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Quh2OiPHkm8
  21. 21. Published 2013 https://www.bokus.com/bok/9781137283016/the-immersive-internet/
  22. 22. https://www.inc.com/glenn-leibowitz/meet-the-ceo-running-a-billion-dollar-company-with-no-offices-or-email.html
  23. 23. Increasing forces for local community and circular economies?
  24. 24. Fully self-sufficient http://www.regenvillages.com/
  25. 25. Transformation of economic activity Centralized, hierarchical organizations Decentralized, self-organizing organizations
  26. 26. Looking into the future? • Forecast –How we think the future will be • Vision –How we want the future to be • Scenarios –What the future can be –“Alternative memories” from the future ? ? ? ?
  27. 27. A scenario matrix for 2030 Global Power Struggle New World Order High Technology Convergence Low Technology Convergence Uncertainty 1 Uncertainty2
  28. 28. Four scenarios for 2030 Global Power Struggle Scenario 1 Race to the bottom in an Alibaba World - AI for Efficiency New World Order High Technology Convergence Low Technology Convergence Scenario 3 Circular Villages - AI for Sustainability Scenario 4 Global Nomad Communities - AI for Singularity Scenario 2 MegaCities in the ”Wild West” - AI for Security
  29. 29. A simple exercise Read out loud together
  31. 31. https://oceandatafactory.se/
  32. 32. Exploitation Exploration
  33. 33. BA Two individuals (organizations) with the same number of contacts…
  34. 34. …but with very different access to resources, ideas, and signals BA
  35. 35. Peniche, Portugal One Hour North of Lisbon
  36. 36. Centuries of Tradition
  37. 37. The ocean is in a critical state
  38. 38. A Broken Economic Model
  39. 39. How might we empower coastal communities to take back their future?
  40. 40. University Shipyard Port Tourists Entrepreneurs Fishing Boats Underutilized Resources Warehouses Fishermen Digital Nomads Students Local Industries
  41. 41. Emerging technologies enable sustainable ocean opportunities • AI/ML/NN • Robotics/drones/AUVs/ • Graphene/composites • 3D printing • IoT/sensors • Blockchain • Renewables
  42. 42. To be a hotspot for entrepreneurial activity, a flagship in ocean innovation, and a showcase in circular economy
  43. 43. Recycling Ocean Waste with Graphene & 3D Printing Recovering Ocean Litter with Repurposed Fishing Vessels Manufacturing combined with Blockchain PENICHE OCEAN WATCH A Blue Circular Economy Based on Ocean Litter Sustainable Ocean Entrepreneurship Mapping Ocean Litter with AI & Drones55 TONNE S LITTER
  44. 44. Developing opportunities for small-scale fishing fleets: from fish to ocean litter The Peladrone Project
  45. 45. Recycling ocean plastic
  46. 46. Next step – to add ocean plastic waste ?
  47. 47. Go4Surf 2Rodas Workshop Ocean Warehouse Fishing Port SmartOcean ESTM CETEMARES EXAME 2019
  48. 48. The OCEAN Warehouse A Tech Hub - Not a Surf Hostel
  49. 49. Leading under uncertainty Visioning Networking for Purpose and Serendipity Collective Competence Building Co-creating and Experimenting Teigland 2018
  50. 50. Documentary on Portuguese National TV https://www.rtp.pt/programa/tv/p37509/e4 My TED talk: https://www.ted.com/talks/robin_teigland_circular_economy_and_serendipity
  51. 51. Network leadership 1. Build relationships across diverse networks, avoid echo chambers 2. Practice scenario thinking and look for signals from the periphery 3. Ask “What if?”, challenge basic assumptions, and experiment 4. Ensure access to resources, not ownership, through your networks Boundary spanner
  52. 52. Exploration
  53. 53. Robin Teigland www.robinteigland.com www.slideshare.net/eteigland robin.teigland@chalmers.se @RobinTeigland http://www.go4surf.pt/ Trond Gunnar Teigland tgteigland94@gmail.com www.PenicheOceanWatch.com @penicheoceanwatch If you love knowledge, set it free! OCEAN TECH HUB