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Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategies
1. Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategies
This is a pretty broad topic, so I’ll
just try to keep it brief and simple.
The best daily fantasy baseball
players try to project what each
MLB player will score in each of a
daily league's games, and then try
to build the highest projected
scoring team that will fit under the
salary cap. It’s both as simple and
as complicated as that. Some
players use advanced
mathematics and statistics to
project fantasy baseball scoring and some just have it all
in their head from years of following Major League
Baseball. Let me go over a couple of strategy topics.
Let’s take a typical 450-point ranking cap league as an
example. Since player costs are ten times their average
fantasy points scored per game, if you use all 450 points
indiscriminately, you will have a team that scores 45
fantasy points on average. When you use some skill to
your selections, your average score should be even
higher. The structure of your fantasy team is an important
consideration. Top pitchers can cost up to 225 points or
more, and low-end pitchers can cost 100 points. If you go
with a 225 point pitcher in a 450 point cap, you are
2. planning on getting 50% of your fantasy score from the
starting pitcher position. If you go with a 100 point pitcher,
you are planning on getting less than 25% of you fantasy
score from your pitcher. These are considerably huge
differences. If you are more adept at handicapping hitters
than starting pitchers, you may want to spend your cap
money on top hitters versus a top pitcher. If you really
know starting pitchers, you may want to do the opposite.
The point is the most important decision you make may be
how much to spend on your pitcher because that has a lot
to do with the texture of your daily fantasy baseball
team.
How to Project a Starting Pitcher’s Fantasy Score
Usually, I start to analyze the average fantasy points
scored per game, and then adjust for any game specific
factors that would tend to make a pitcher score higher or
lower than average. Game specific factors to consider
include:
1. Offensive strength of the opposing team
2. Strength of the opposing pitcher
3. Home or Away
4. Quality of relief pitching on both teams
5. Pitchers recent performance
How to Project a Hitter’s Fantasy Score
3. For hitters, it is the same routine. Start with their average
fantasy points scored per game, and then adjust for any
game specific factors that would tend to make a hitter
score higher or lower than average. Game specific factors
for hitters include:
1. Strength of the opponents starting pitcher
2. Strength of the opponents relief pitching
3. Starting pitchers throwing hand
4. Home or Away
5. Hitters recent performance