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JANUARY 15, 2009




FINANCIAL RESULTS

4Q08
FY08 Managed Results1

                  $ in millions
                  $ in millions

                                                                                                                                              $ O/(U)                         O/(U) %

                                                                                                                    FY2008                            FY2007                             FY2007
                                                                    1
              Results excl. Merger-related items
                                       2
                                                                                                                       $73,402                      ($1,410)                                 (2)%
                   Revenue (FTE)
                                   2
                                                                                                                         22,647                      13,403                                145%
                   Credit Costs
                               3
                                                                                                                         42,915                        1,212                                   3%
                   Expense
              Merger-related items (after-tax)                                                                              (211)                        (211)                                 NM
              Reported Net Income                                                                                        $5,605                     ($9,760)                               (64)%
              Reported EPS                                                                                                 $1.37                      ($3.01)                              (69)%
                     4
                                                                                                                                 4%                        13%
              ROE
                                       4
                                                                                                                                 6%                        21%
              ROE Net of GW
                         4,5
                                                                                                                                 7%                        23%
              ROTCE
RESULTS




                 Merger-related items include the Bear Stearns and WaMu transactions
              1

                Managed basis presents revenue and credit costs without the effect of credit card securitizations. Revenue is on a fully taxable-equivalent (FTE) basis. All references to credit
              2

              costs refer to managed provision for credit losses
              3 Includes pretax merger-related costs of $209mm in 2007
              4 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
              5 See note 1 on slide 24
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                                                                                                                    1
4Q08 Managed Results1

              $ in millions
              $ in millions

                                                                                                                              $ O/(U)                           O/(U) %

                                                                                                        4Q08                3Q08            4Q07              3Q08             4Q07
                                                               1
              Results excl. Merger-related items
                                      2
                                                                                                       $19,322          $3,237          $1,047                 20%              6%
                  Revenue (FTE)
                                  2
                                                                                                          8,583           3,899           5,422                83%             172%
                  Credit Costs
                              3
                                                                                                         11,007                27            287                    -            3%
                  Expense
              Merger-related items (after-tax)                                                            1,064           1,799           1,064                  NM              NM
              Reported Net Income                                                                          $702            $175        ($2,269)                33%             (76)%
              Reported EPS                                                                                $0.07          ($0.04)         ($0.79)              (36)%            (92)%
                    4
                                                                                                               1%               1%            10%
              ROE
                                      4
                                                                                                               1%               2%            15%
              ROE Net of GW
                        4,5
                                                                                                               3%               3%            17%
              ROTCE
                 Merger-related items include the Bear Stearns and WaMu transactions
              1

                Managed basis presents revenue and credit costs without the effect of credit card securitizations. Revenue is on a fully taxable-equivalent (FTE) basis. All
              2

              references to credit costs refer to managed provision for credit losses
RESULTS




              3 Includes pretax merger-related costs of $22mm in 4Q07
              4 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
              5 See note 1 on slide 24
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                                                                                                       2
4Q08 Significant Items


               $ in billions (excluding EPS)
               $ in billions (excluding EPS)


                                                                            Net Income      EPS         LOB
                   Increase to credit reserves                                  ($2.5)   ($0.66)       Firm
                                                                        1
                                                                                 (1.8)    (0.49)          IB
                   Net markdowns on leveraged lending & mortgage exposure

                   Merger-related items                                           1.1     0.28     Corporate

                   MSR risk management results                                    0.9     0.23          RFS

                   Private Equity write-downs                                    (0.7)    (0.18)   Corporate

                   Paymentech gain on sale                                        0.6     0.17     Corporate

                   Figures are not IB comp adjusted
               1
RESULTS
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                               3
Investment Bank
                                                                                                Net loss of $2.4B includes the following significant items:
                 $ in millions
                 $ in millions
                                                                          $ O/(U)               Significant item ($ in billions)                      Business line       Revenue / Pretax
                                                                                                Leveraged lending markdowns                           FI Mkts.                      ($1.8)
                                                                                                Mortgage-related markdowns                            FI Mkts.                      ($1.1)
                                                         4Q08           3Q08            4Q07
                                                                                                Credit costs                                          NA                            ($0.8)
             Revenue                                    ($302)      ($4,337)      ($3,474)                                                        1
                                                                                                Impact of spread tightening on structured liab.       FI & Equity Mkts.             ($0.7)
                 Investment Banking Fees                1,373           (220)          (284)        Total pretax impact                                                             ($4.4)
                                                                                                    Total net income impact                                                         ($2.7)
                 Fixed Income Markets                  (1,671)       (2,486)          (2,286)
                                                                                                1Fixed Income Markets of ($367mm) and Equity Markets of ($354mm)
                 Equity Markets                           (94)       (1,744)           (672)    Note: Items are not IB comp adjusted

                 Credit Portfolio                          90            113           (232)
                                                                                                IB fees of $1.4B down 17% YoY
             Credit Costs                                 765            531            565
             Expense                                    2,741        (1,075)           (270)    Fixed Income Markets revenue of ($1.7B); net of significant items,
             Net Income                              ($2,364)       ($3,246)      ($2,488)      revenue of $1.6B, reflecting:
                                 1
                                                                                                      Weak trading results in credit-related products, largely offset by
             Key Statistics
                                                                                                      record performance in rates and currencies and strong
             Overhead Ratio                                 NM            95%            95%
                                                                                                      performance in commodities and emerging markets
             Comp/Revenue                                   NM            54%            49%
                                                                                                Equity Markets revenue of ($94mm); net of significant items,
             ALL / Total Loans                          4.71%          3.85%           1.93%
                                                                                                revenue of $260mm reflecting:
             NPLs ($mm)                                $1,175           $436            $353
                                                                                                      Weak trading results, partially offset by strong client revenue
                    2
             ROE                                         (28)%            13%             2%          across products, including prime services
                             3
                                                          $327          $218            $123
             VAR ($mm)
RESULTS




                                                                                                Credit Portfolio revenue of $90mm down $232mm YoY
             EOP Equity ($B)                             $33.0         $33.0           $21.0
                                                                                                Credit costs of $765mm were driven by increased allowance
                 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
             1

                 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $33.0B
             2
                                                                                                reflecting a weakening credit environment
                 Average Trading and Credit Portfolio VAR
             3



                                                                                                Expense down 9% YoY driven by lower compensation expense, largely
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                offset by higher non-compensation expense relating to the Bear
                                                                                                Stearns merger


                                                                                                                                                                                             4
IB League Tables and Awards
                 League Table Results                                                                             Continue to rank #1 in three capital raising league
                 League Table Results
                                                                                                                  tables for 20081
                                                                            Thomson Volumes1
                                                                                                                     Global Debt, Equity & Equity-related
                                                                            2008            2007                     Global Equity & Equity-related
                                                                                                                     Global Loan Syndications
                                                                      Rank     Share Rank      Share

                                                                                                                  Ranked #1 in Global Fees for 20085 with 8.8%
                 Global M&A Announced2                                 #2     26.5%    #4      26.8%
                                                                                                                  market share; for 20075, JPM was #1, with 8.4%
                 Global Debt, Equity & Equity-related                  #1      9.7%    #2      7.6%               market share
                    US Debt, Equity & Equity-related                   #1      15.5%   #2      10.0%
                                                                                                               Major Awards
                                                                                                               Major Awards
                 Global Equity & Equity-related3                       #1     11.8%    #2      9.2%
                                                                                                                                    Bank of the Year
                    Global Converts                                    #1      13.4%   #1      14.8%                                International Financing Review
                                                                                                                                    December 2008
                 Global Long-term Debt4                                #2      8.8%    #3      7.1%

                    Global Investment Grade Debt                       #2      6.8%    #3       6.8%                                Bank Risk Manager of the Year
                                                                                                                                    Derivatives House of the Year
                    Global High Yield Debt                             #1      20.4%   #1      12.1%                                Risk, January 2009

                    US High Yield Debt                                 #1      20.8%   #1      13.5%
                                                                                                                                    Best Overall Investment Bank
RESULTS




                    Global ABS (ex CDOs)                               #1      14.8%   #2       8.6%                                Institutional Investor, December 2007

                 Global Loan Syndications                              #1     11.5%    #1      12.8%
                                                                                                                                    European Investment Bank of the Year
                 Source: Thomson Reuters. 2007 represents heritage JPM only
             1

                 Global M&A market share and ranking for 2007 includes transactions withdrawn since 12/31/07                        Financial News, December 2008
             2
FINANCIAL




                 Global Equity & Equity-related includes rights offerings
             3

                 Global Long-term Debt includes ABS, MBS and municipal securities
             4

              Source: Dealogic
             5

             Note: Rankings as of 12/31/08 for full year 2008 and full year 2007


                                                                                                                                                                            5
Leveraged Lending


                    Markdowns of $1.8B, net of hedges, on remaining legacy commitments

                    $12.6B of legacy commitments with gross markdowns of $5.7B, or 45%; market
                    value at 12/31/08 of $6.9B
                        $12.9B of legacy commitments at 9/30/08
                        ($0.3B) reduction, or 2% of exposure
                        $12.6B of legacy commitments at 12/31/08 classified as held-for-sale

                    Valuations are deal specific and result in a wide range of pricing levels;
                    markdowns represent best indication of prices at 12/31/08
RESULTS
FINANCIAL




              Note: Exposures are stated on a trade date basis. $9.3B total commitments at 12/31/08 classified as held-for-investment


                                                                                                                                        6
IB Key Risk Exposures
            Mortgage-related

                      $ in billions
                      $ in billions


                                                 Exposure as of             Exposure Exposure as of
                                                      9/30/2008             reduction         12/31/2008

                     Prime                                   $2.3               ($0.5)                 $1.8
                     Alt-A                                     5.8              ($1.5)                  4.3
                     Subprime                                  1.2                (0.3)                 0.9
                     Subtotal Residential                    $9.3              ($2.3)                 $7.0
                     Commercial                                9.3                (1.6)                 7.7
                     Mortgage Exposure                     $18.6               ($3.9)                $14.7

                      4Q08 reductions of over 20% on mortgage-related exposures
                         $1.1B of net markdowns, largely driven by commercial

                     Prime / Alt-A exposure of $6.1B, difficult to hedge effectively
                         Prime - securities of $1.7B, mostly senior securities, and $0.1B of loans
RESULTS




                         Alt-A - securities of $1.4B, mostly senior securities, and $2.9B of first lien mortgages

                     Subprime exposure of $0.9B, actively hedged

                     Commercial exposure of $7.7B, actively hedged
FINANCIAL




                         Securities of $2.7B, of which 55% are AAA-rated; 18% / 82% fixed vs. floating-rate securities
                         $5.0B of loans, primarily first lien mortgages

                                                                                                                         7
LOB Results Include WaMu Operating Results
       Segment Disclosures Enhanced as Shown Below
                                                                Retail Financial Services                                                         Card Services                     Commercial Bank
                                                                Retail Financial Services                                                         Card Services                     Commercial Bank
                   Prior Reporting Segments



                                              Regional Banking              Mortgage Banking                      Auto Finance

                                              Consumer and                     Mortgage                           Auto
                                              Business Banking                 production                         originations
                                              (including Business
                                                                               Mortgage                           Auto loan and
                                              Banking loans)
                                                                               servicing                          lease balances
                                              Other loan portfolios
                                              Admin/Other




                                                                                                                                                   WaMu Card                            WaMu Commercial
                                               Retail Banking                             Consumer Lending
                                                                                                                                                   business added                       Bank business
            Restated Reporting Segments




                                                                                                                                                                                        added
                                              Consumer and                Loan originations and balances (including
                                                                                                                                                   Supplement
                                              Business Banking            home lending, education, auto and other
                                                                                                                                                   disclosure                           New client
                                              (including Business         loans)
                                                                                                                                                   enhanced with key                    segment,
                                              Banking loans)
                                                                                                                                                   statistics on WaMu                   “Commercial Term
                                                                          Mortgage production and servicing
RESULTS




                                                                                                                                                   card portfolio                       Lending”; includes
                                              WaMu Consumer
                                                                          WaMu Home Lending business                                                                                    WaMu multi-family
                                              and Business
                                                                          (originations, servicing, and portfolio)                                                                      and commercial
                                              Banking added
                                                                                                                                                                                        mortgage loans
                                                                          Chase prime mortgages previously reported
FINANCIAL




                                                                          in Corporate/Treasury moved into
                                                                          Consumer Lending

                                                            Note: Historical data for all segment disclosures have been reclassified to conform to current presentation; WaMu EOP balance sheet items have
                                                            been reclassified for 3Q08 only to conform to current presentation (operating results for WaMu’s banking operations did not have a material effect
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 8
                                                            on results in 3Q08)
Retail Financial Services—Drivers
               Retail Banking - $ in billions
               Retail Banking - $ in billions                                                                   Average deposits (excluding the WaMu transaction) up
                                                                                                                2% QoQ and YoY, while deposit NII is up 23% due to
                                                                                   4Q08        3Q08     4Q07
                                                                                                                widening of deposit margin. WaMu deposits have
                               1
              Key Statistics                                                                                    stabilized with balances flat QoQ
              Average Deposits                                                   $339.8       $210.1   $208.4
                                                                                                                Branch production statistics (excluding WaMu
              Deposit Margin                                                      2.94%        3.06%   2.67%
                                                                                                                transaction) YoY:
              Checking Accts (mm)                                                  24.5         24.5    10.8
                                                                                                                    Checking accounts up 9%
              # of Branches                                                       5,474        5,423    3,152
              # of ATMs                                                          14,568       14,389    9,186       Credit card sales up 29%
              Investment Sales ($mm)                                             $3,956       $4,389   $4,114       Mortgage originations down 25%
                                                                                                                    Investment sales down 22%


                                                                                                                Home Equity originations down 83% YoY due to tighter
                   Consumer Lending - $ in billions
                   Consumer Lending - $ in billions                                                             underwriting standards
                                                                                   4Q08        3Q08     4Q07    Mortgage loan originations down 30% YoY
                                1
               Credit Metrics :
                                                                                                                    Declines reflect tighter underwriting and the
               Net Charge-off Rate (excl. credit impaired)                        2.32%       2.43%    1.02%
                                                                                                                    overall reduction in liquidity in the financial
               Allowance to EOP Loans (excl. credit impaired)                     3.16%       2.49%    1.24%
                                                                                                                    markets
                               1
               Key Statistics
                                                                                                                    For 4Q08, greater than 90% of mortgage
               Home Equity Originations                                                $1.7     $2.6    $9.8
                                                                                                                    originations fall under agency and government
                                                      2
                                                                                 $142.8        $94.8   $94.0
               Avg Home Equity Loans Owned
RESULTS




                                                                                                                    programs
               Mortgage Loan Originations                                         $28.1        $37.7   $40.0
                                                2,3
                                                                                                                3rd party mortgage loans serviced up 91% YoY due to
                                                                                 $149.8        $53.5   $44.2
               Avg Mortgage Loans Owned
                                                                                                                the WaMu transaction
               3rd Party Mortgage Loans Svc'd                                    $1,173       $1,115    $615

               Auto Originations                                                       $2.8     $3.8    $5.6
                                                                                                                Auto originations down 50% YoY driven by weakness in
FINANCIAL




               Avg Auto Loans and Leases                                          $42.9        $43.9   $41.6    the auto industry
                 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
               1

                 Includes all credit impaired and noncredit impaired loan portfolios
               2
               3 Does not include held-for-sale loans



                                                                                                                                                                       9
Retail Financial Services

             $ in millions
             $ in millions
                                                                                                         Total RFS net income of $624mm, down 15% YoY,
                                                                                      $ O/(U)
                                                                                                         reflecting a significant increase in credit costs offset
                                                                                                         predominantly by positive MSR risk management results
                                                                         4Q08        3Q08        4Q07
                                                                                                         and the impact of the WaMu transaction
                 Retail Financial Services
             Net Income                                                  $624        $560       ($107)   Retail Banking net income of $1.0B, up 85% YoY:
                    1,2
                                                                          10%          1%         18%
             ROE                                                                                            Total revenue of $4.5B increased 78% YoY reflecting
                                  1
                                                                           $25        $25         $16
             EOP Equity ($B)                                                                                the impact of the WaMu transaction, wider deposit
                 Retail Banking                                                                             spreads, higher deposit-related fees, and higher
                  Net Interest Income                                  $2,687        $931       $1,140      deposit balances
                  Noninterest Revenue                                  $1,834        $745        $836
                                                                                                            Expense growth of 62% YoY reflecting the impact of
             Total Revenue                                             $4,521       $1,676      $1,976
                                                                                                            the WaMu transaction
             Credit Costs                                                $268        $198        $218
                                                                                                         Consumer Lending net loss of $416mm compared to net
             Expense                                                   $2,533        $953        $965
                                                                                                         income of $170mm in the prior year:
             Net Income                                                $1,040        $317        $479
                                                                                                            Total revenue of $4.2B, up 85% YoY, driven by positive
                 Consumer Lending
                                                                                                            MSR risk management results, the impact of the WaMu
                  Net Interest Income                                  $2,023        $548        $883
                                                                                                            transaction and wider loan spreads
                  Noninterest Revenue                                  $2,140       $1,497      $1,029
                                                                                                            Credit costs in 4Q08 reflect higher losses and a $1.6B
             Total Revenue                                             $4,163       $2,045      $1,912
                                                                                                            addition to the allowance for heritage Chase home
             Credit Costs                                              $3,308       $1,322      $2,295
RESULTS




                                                                                                            equity and mortgage portfolios
             Expense                                                   $1,513        $314        $540

                                                                                                            Expense growth of 55% YoY reflecting the impact of
             Net Income                                                ($416)        $243       ($586)
                                                                                                            the WaMu transaction, higher mortgage reinsurance
                 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
             1

                 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $25B
             2

                                                                                                            losses, and increased servicing expense
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                                                                                     10
WaMu Impact on Consumer Lending Credit Statistics

               4Q08 - $ in billions
               4Q08 - $ in billions
                                                                                                             Allowance for
                                                                                                              Loan Losses
                                                                        Average
                                                                                                Charge-off
                                                                       Balances
                                                                                  Charge-offs                 ($)   Coverage (%)
                                                                      (ex. HFS)                      Rate
               Consumer Lending Portfolio
                Chase                                                   $204.9           $1.5       2.98%    $7.4            3.62
                WaMu (noncredit impaired)                                                               0                    1.58
                                                                          57.6             0                  0.9
               Total noncredit impaired Consumer Lending Portfolio      $262.5           $1.5       2.32%    $8.3         3.16%

                Add: WaMu credit impaired BV                                                          N/A
                                                                          88.5           N/A
               Total – Reported Consumer Lending Portfolio              $351.0           $1.5       1.74%    $8.3         2.36%
               Note: Shaded boxes represent data disclosed in the financial supplement

                   Charge-off rates and coverage ratios excluding the credit impaired loans provide
                   best representation of the performance of the noncredit impaired portfolio
RESULTS
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                                                    11
Home Equity
            Noncredit impaired loans

              30-day Delinquency Trend
              30-day Delinquency Trend                                                                              Key Statistics
                                                                                                                    Key Statistics
                                                                                                                                                                              3Q082
                                                                                                                                                               4Q08                        4Q07
              3.25%
                                      Heritage JPM              Combined noncredit impaired                                               1
                                                                                                                    Noncredit Impaired
              3.00%
                                                                                                                    EOP owned portfolio ($B)                 $114.3          $114.5        $94.8
              2.75%
                                                                                                                    Net charge-offs ($mm)                       $770           $663         $248
              2.50%
                                                                                                                    Net charge-off rate                        2.67%          2.78%       1.05%
              2.25%
                                                                                                                    Nonperforming loans ($mm)                $1,394          $1,142         $786
              2.00%
              1.75%
                                                                                                                    Heritage JPM
              1.50%
                                                                                                                    Net charge-offs ($mm)                       $770           $663         $248
              1.25%
                                                                                                                    Net charge-off rate                        3.24%          2.78%       1.05%
                  Sep-07          Dec-07          M ar-08        Jun-08          Sep-08          Dec-08
                                                                                                                  Excludes credit impaired loans accounted for under SOP 03-3 that were acquired as
                                                                                                                1

                                                                                                                part of the WaMu transaction
                                                                                                                2 Balances have been revised to reflect the final analysis of the credit

                                                                                                                impaired/noncredit impaired classification of loans acquired in the WaMu transaction




              Comments on Home Equity Portfolio
              Comments on Home Equity Portfolio
                 Losses predominately coming from high CLTVs
RESULTS




                 Maximum CLTV reduced to 70% from 80%. Maximum CLTVs now range from 50% to 70% based on
                 geographic location
                 Continued deterioration — quarterly losses could reach $1B +/- over the next several quarters
FINANCIAL




               Note: CLTV=Combined Loan to Value. This metric represents how much the borrower owes on the property against the value

                                                                                                                                                                                               12
Prime Mortgage
            Noncredit impaired loans

              30-day Delinquency Trend                                                                        Key Statistics
              30-day Delinquency Trend                                                                        Key Statistics
                                                                                                                                                                             3Q083
                                                                                                                                                               4Q08                          4Q07
                                       Heritage JPM          Combined noncredit impaired
              7.00%
                                                                                                                                        1
                                                                                                              Noncredit Impaired
              6.00%
                                                                                                              EOP balances ($B)2                              $65.2          $65.6          $34.0
              5.00%
                                                                                                              Net charge-offs ($mm)                            $195          $177              $17
              4.00%
                                                                                                              Net charge-off rate (%)                         1.20%          1.79%          0.22%
              3.00%
                                                                                                              Nonperforming loans ($mm)                      $1,876         $1,490           $500
              2.00%
                                                                                                              Heritage JPM
              1.00%
                                                                                                              Net charge-off rate ($mm)                        $195           $177             $17
              0.00%
                                                                                                              Net charge-off rate (%)                         1.97%          1.79%          0.22%
                  Sep-07          Dec-07         M ar-08         Jun-08         Sep-08          Dec-08
                                                                                                                 Excludes credit impaired loans accounted for under SOP 03-3, and noncredit
                                                                                                              1

                                                                                                              impaired Option Arm loans that were acquired as part of the WaMu transaction
                                                                                                               2 Excludes loans eligible for repurchase as well as loans repurchased from GNMA pools

                                                                                                              that are insured by US government agencies
                                                                                                              3 Balances have been revised to reflect the final analysis of the credit

                                                                                                              impaired/noncredit impaired classification of loans acquired in the WaMu transaction


              Comments on Prime Mortgage Portfolio
              Comments on Prime Mortgage Portfolio
                  Losses predominately coming from CA and FL (80% of total losses) and 2006 and 2007 vintages (90%
                  of total losses)
RESULTS




                  Continued tightening of underwriting standards, especially in areas with the most severe expected
                  home price deterioration and unemployment growth
                  Eliminated originations of jumbo (portfolio) loans through broker channel in September 2008;
                  announced exit of broker channel for all products, including conforming loans, in January 2009
FINANCIAL




                  Quarterly losses could be as high as $400mm over next several quarters

              Note: CLTV = Combined-Loan-to-Value. This metric represents how much equity the borrower owes on the property against the value.

                                                                                                                                                                                                  13
Subprime Mortgage
            Noncredit impaired loans

              30-day Delinquency Trend                                                   Key Statistics
              30-day Delinquency Trend                                                   Key Statistics
                                                                                                                                                    3Q082
                                                                                                                                      4Q08                         4Q07
                              Heritage JPM        Combined noncredit impaired                                    1
                                                                                         Noncredit Impaired
               28.00%
                                                                                         EOP owned portfolio ($B)                     $15.3         $16.2         $15.5
               24.00%
                                                                                         Net charge-offs ($mm)                         $319          $273            $71
               20.00%
                                                                                         Net charge-off rate                          8.08%         7.65%         2.08%
                                                                                         Nonperforming loans ($mm)                  $2,690         $2,384        $1,017
               16.00%

                                                                                         Heritage JPM
               12.00%
                                                                                         Net charge-offs ($mm)                         $319          $273            $71
                8.00%
                                                                                         Net charge-off rate                          9.76%         7.65%         2.08%
                   Sep-07   Dec-07       Mar-08       Jun-08       Sep-08       Dec-08
                                                                                           Excludes credit impaired loans accounted for under SOP 03-3 that were acquired as
                                                                                         1

                                                                                         part of the WaMu transaction.
                                                                                         2 Balances have been revised to reflect the final analysis of the credit

                                                                                         impaired/noncredit impaired classification of loans acquired in the WaMu transaction




              Comments on Subprime Mortgage Portfolio
              Comments on Subprime Mortgage Portfolio
RESULTS




                  Eliminated new production and portfolio is in run-off
                  Continued deterioration — quarterly losses could be as high as $375-$425mm in 2009
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                                                                                        14
WaMu Portfolio Update


                Home Lending Loss Sensitivities - $ billions
                Home Lending Loss Sensitivities - $ billions
                                                                                                   Per Prior Presentation
                                                                                            Base Estimate      Deeper Recession      Market Outlook
                U.S. Peak to trough HPI1                                                          (25)%              (28)%                (31)%
                Remaining Life Losses from December 31, 20072                                     $36.0              $42.0
                Remaining Life Losses from September 25, 20082                                    $30.7              $36.7        $32-$36 Implied Range



                      Updated home price index (HPI) market forecast suggests that remaining losses
                      could be $32-$36B2

                      The loan mark currently reflects $32.5B2 of remaining life losses beyond
                      September 25, 2008

                      We have not yet experienced losses or delinquencies beyond initial
                      expectations
RESULTS




                      Additions to loan loss reserves would be required if and when delinquency and
                      loss experience actually exceeds our initial expectations
FINANCIAL




                    Home Price Index, Moody’s/Economy.com Case-Shiller Forecast
                1


                    For the entire WaMu portfolio (both credit impaired and noncredit impaired)
                2




                                                                                                                                                          15
Card Services (Managed)
               $ in millions
               $ in millions
                                                                                         $ O/(U)
                                                                                                            Net loss of $371mm down $980mm YoY; decline
                                                                                                            in results driven by higher credit costs partially
                                                                             4Q08       3Q08        4Q07
                                                                                                            offset by an increase in revenue
               Revenue                                                    $4,908      $1,021        $937
               Credit Costs                                                3,966       1,737       2,178    Credit costs up $2.2B or 122% YoY due to an
               Expense                                                     1,489         295         266    increase of $1.1B in the allowance for loans
               Net Income                                                  ($371)      ($663)      ($980)   losses and higher net charge-offs
                                                       1
               Key Statistics Incl. WaMu ($B)
                                                                                                               Net charge-off rate (excluding the WaMu
               ROO (pretax)                                                (1.16)%     1.17%       2.51%
                                                                                                               transaction) of 5.29% in 4Q08
                      2
               ROE                                                           (10)%        8%         17%
                                                                                                            End-of-period outstandings (excluding the WaMu
               EOP Equity ($B)                                               $15.0     $15.0       $14.1
                                                                                                            transaction) of $162.1B up 3% YoY and 2% QoQ
                                                       1
               Key Statistics Excl. WaMu ($B)
               Avg Outstandings                                           $159.6      $157.6    $151.7
                                                                                                            Charge volume (excluding the WaMu transaction)
               EOP Outstandings                                           $162.1      $159.3    $157.1
                                                                                                            declined 8% YoY and 6% QoQ
               Charge Volume                                               $88.2       $93.9     $95.5
               Net Accts Opened (mm)                                          3.8         3.6       5.3     Revenue of $4.9B up 24% YoY and 26% QoQ due
                                                                                                            to the impact of the WaMu transaction
               Managed Margin                                                8.18%     8.18%       8.20%
               Net Charge-Off Rate                                           5.29%     5.00%       3.89%
                                                                                                            Managed margin (excluding the WaMu
               30+Day Delinquency Rate                                       4.36%     3.69%       3.48%
                                                                                                            transaction) of 8.18% down from 8.20% YoY and
RESULTS




                   Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
                                                                                                            flat QoQ
               1

                   Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $15B
               2



                                                                                                            Expense of $1.5B up 22% YoY and 25% QoQ due to
                                                                                                            the impact of the WaMu transaction
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                                                                                 16
Commercial Banking
              $ in millions
              $ in millions
                                                                                                           Record net income of $480mm up 67% YoY, driven by
                                                                                        $ O/(U)
                                                                                                           higher net revenue, which includes the impact of the
                                                                                                           WaMu transaction, partially offset by higher credit costs
                                                                    4Q08           3Q08            4Q07
              Revenue                                            $1,479            $354           $395     Average loans and liability balances (excluding the
               Middle Market Banking                                 796                67         101     WaMu transaction) up 11% YoY and 17% YoY,
                                                                                                           respectively
               Commercial Term Lending                               243               243         243
               Mid-Corporate Banking                                 243                 7           4        New client segment, Commercial Term Lending, and
               Real Estate Banking                                   131                40          29        increase in Real Estate Banking due to the WaMu
                                                                                        (3)
               Other                                                   66                           18        transaction
              Credit Costs                                           190                64          85
                                                                                                           Record revenue of $1.5B up 36% YoY due to the impact
              Expense                                                499                13           (5)
                                                                                                           of the WaMu transaction, higher net interest income,
              Net Income                                           $480            $168           $192
                                                                                                           and increased noninterest revenue
                               1
              Key Statistics
              Avg Loans & Leases ($B)                            $117.7          $72.3            $65.5    Credit costs of $190mm up 81% YoY reflect a weakening
                                          2
              Avg Liability Balances ($B)                        $114.1           $99.4           $96.7    credit environment
                                                                                                              Continue to monitor commercial real estate
              Overhead Ratio                                         34%            43%             46%
                                                                                                              portfolio, which is showing signs of weakening credit
              Net Charge-Off Rate                                  0.40%          0.22%           0.21%
                                                                                                              Change in allowance coverage ratio to 2.41% in 4Q08
              ALL / Average Loans                                  2.41%          2.32%           2.66%
                                                                                                              from 2.66% in 4Q07 reflects the changed mix of the
              NPLs ($mm)                                         $1,026            $844           $146
RESULTS




                                                                                                              loan portfolio due to the WaMu transaction
                  3
              ROE                                                     24%              18%          17%
                                                                                                           Expense flat YoY with overhead ratio of 34%
              EOP Equity ($B)                                        $8.0              $8.0        $6.7
              ¹ Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
FINANCIAL




              2 Includes deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities
              3 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $8B




                                                                                                                                                                  17
Treasury & Securities Services
               $ in millions
               $ in millions
                                                                                          $ O/(U)           Record net income of $533mm up 26% YoY
                                                                                                              Pretax margin of 37%
                                                                             4Q08         3Q08      4Q07
                                                                                                            Liability balances up 34% YoY
               Revenue                                                    $2,249         $296       $319
                   Treasury Services                                          993          96       169
                                                                                                            Assets under custody down 17% YoY
                   Worldwide Securities Svcs                               1,256          200       150
                                                                                                            Record revenue of $2.2B up 17% YoY
               Expense                                                     1,339             -      117
                                                                                                              Record revenue in TS reflects higher
               Net Income                                                    $533        $127       $111
                                                                                                              liability balances and higher trade
                                  1
               Key Statistics
                                                                                                              revenue
                                                      2
                                                                          $336.3        $260.0 $250.6
               Avg Liability Balances ($B)
                                                                                                              Record revenue in WSS driven by higher
               Assets under Custody ($T)                                   $13.2         $14.4   $15.9
                                                                                                              liability balances reflecting higher client
               Pretax Margin                                                   37%         29%       35%      deposit activity as a result of recent
                     3
                                                                                47%        46%       56%
               ROE                                                                                            market conditions and wider spreads in
                                                                                                              foreign exchange, offset partially by the
               TSS Firmwide Revenue                                       $3,090        $2,672 $2,636
                                                                                                              effects of market depreciation and
               TS Firmwide Revenue                                        $1,834        $1,616 $1,530
                                                                                                              lower securities lending balances
RESULTS




                                                             2
                                                                          $450.4        $359.4 $347.4
               TSS Firmwide Avg Liab Bal ($B)
                                                                                                            Expense up 10% YoY driven by:
               EOP Equity ($B)                                                $4.5        $4.5       $3.0
                                                                                                              Business and volume growth
                 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
               1
FINANCIAL




                                                                                                              Investment in new product platforms
                 Includes deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities
               2
               3 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $4.5B




                                                                                                                                                       18
Asset Management
                  $ in millions
                  $ in millions
                                                                                                                  Net income of $255mm down 52% YoY, due to lower
                                                                                   $ O/(U)
                                                                                                                  revenue offset partially by lower noninterest expense
                                                                  4Q08           3Q08           4Q07
                                                                                                                     Pretax margin of 25%
              Revenue                                          $1,658          ($303)         ($731)
                                                                                                                  Assets under management of $1.1T, down 5% YoY
                  Private Bank                                     630              (1)          (20)
                                                                                                                     Market declines drove AUM down by $211B
                  Private Wealth Management                        330             (22)          (15)
                                                                                                                     Net AUM inflows of $61B for the quarter; $151B for
                  Institutional                                    327           (159)          (427)
                                                                                                                     the past 12 months
                  Retail                                           265           (134)          (375)
                                                                                                                     Growth of 53% in liquidity products and $15B from
                  Bear Stearns Brokerage                           106              13           106                 the Bear Stearns merger
              Credit Costs                                           32             12             33
                                                                                                                  Revenue of $1.7B down 31% YoY due to:
              Expense                                           1,213            (149)          (346)
                                                                                                                     The effect of lower markets, including the impact
              Net Income                                          $255           ($96)        ($272)
                                                                                                                     of lower market valuations of seed capital
                                       1
              Key Statistics ($B)
                                                                                                                     investments and lower performance fees
                                                   2
              Assets under Management                          $1,133         $1,153         $1,193                  Offset partially by higher deposit revenue and the
                                               2
              Assets under Supervision                         $1,496         $1,562         $1,572                  benefit of the Bear Stearns merger
                                  3
              Average Loans                                                                                       Varied global investment performance
                                                                $36.9          $39.8          $32.6
                                                                                                                     76% of mutual fund AUM ranked in the first or
              Average Deposits                                  $76.9          $65.6          $64.6
RESULTS




                                                                                                                     second quartiles over past five years; 65% over
              Pretax Margin                                         25%            30%            35%                past three years; 54% over one year
                     4
              ROE                                                   14%            25%            52%
                                                                                                                  Expense down 22% YoY, due to lower performance-
              EOP Equity                                           $7.0           $7.0           $4.0
                                                                                                                  based compensation, partially offset by the Bear
FINANCIAL




                Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
              1

                                                                                                                  Stearns merger
                Reflects $15B for assets under management and $68B for assets under supervision from the Bear
              2

              Stearns merger on May 30, 2008
              3 Reflects the transfer commencing in 1Q07 of held-for-investment prime mortgage loans from AM to

              Corporate within the Corporate/Private Equity segment
              4 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $7B


                                                                                                                                                                          19
Corporate/Private Equity

              Corporate/Private Equity Net Income - $ in millions
              Corporate/Private Equity Net Income - $ in millions
                                                                                 $ O/(U)
                                                                                                  Private Equity
                                                                      4Q08      3Q08       4Q07
                                                                                                    Private Equity losses of $1.1B in 4Q08
              Private Equity                                         ($682)    ($518) ($1,038)
                                                                                                    EOP Private Equity portfolio of $6.9B
                                                                                                       Represents 5.8% of shareholders’
              Corporate                                              1,163     2,044    1,235
                                                                                                       equity less goodwill
              Merger-related items                                   1,064     1,799    1,078
                                                                                                  Corporate

                                                                                                    Net income of $1.2B includes:
                                1
                                                                    $1,545    $3,325   $1,275
              Net Income
                                                                                                       $627mm (after-tax) Paymentech gain
                                                                                                       on sale
                  Includes after-tax merger cost of $14mm in 4Q07
              1




              Merger-Related Items (after-tax)

                    Bear Stearns
RESULTS




                         ($201mm) of merger-related items

                    WaMu
                         $1.3B extraordinary gain
FINANCIAL




                         ($77mm) of merger expense

                                                                                                                                             20
Capital Management
                             $ in billions
                             $ in billions
                                                                                                        4Q08             3Q08              4Q07
                                               1
                              Tier 1 Capital                                                             $136             $112              $89
                                                                 2
                              Tangible Common Equity                                                       $81               $86            $72
                                                            1
                              Risk Weighted Assets                                                    $1,259           $1,261          $1,052
                              Tangible Assets                                                         $2,121           $2,200          $1,511
                                                        1
                              Tier 1 Capital Ratio                                                     10.8%              8.9%              8.4%
                                                        1
                              Total Capital Ratio                                                      14.7%            12.6%              12.6%
                                                             1
                              Tier 1 Leverage Ratio                                                      6.9%             7.2%              6.0%
                              Tangible Common Equity/Tangible Assets                                     3.8%             3.9%              4.8%
                                                       1,2
                              TCE/Managed RWA                                                            7.9%             7.4%              6.7%


             Key Points                                                                     SFAS 140/FIN46R change – Potential Impact ($ in billions)
             Key Points                                                                     SFAS 140/FIN46R change – Potential Impact ($ in billions)
                Regulatory capital ratios under Basel II would be                                            9/30/08 10Q balances            GAAP Assets    RWA (Basel I)
                higher                                                                     Credit Card                 $129                    $70 +/-        $40 +/-
RESULTS




                                                                                           Conduits                     43                         40 +/-        −
                Credit reserves of $24B at 12/31/08 versus $10B at
                                                                                           Other                        564                        50 +/-      50 +/-
                12/31/07
                                                                                           Total                       $736                    $160 +/-       $90 +/-
                SFAS 140/FIN46R rule changes not yet released, best                        Tier 1 Capital Ratio                                              (0.80%) +/-
                estimates of impact being factored into balance sheet
FINANCIAL




                                                                                               Ultimate impact could differ significantly due to final
                and capital planning
                                                                                               requirements of the rule and market conditions
                                     Note: Firm-wide Level 3 assets are expected to be approximately 6% of total firm assets at 12/31/08
                                                                                                                                                                            21
                                     1 Estimated for 4Q08

                                     2 See note 1 on slide 24
Outlook

             Investment Bank                                                    Treasury and Security Services
             Investment Bank                                                    Treasury and Security Services
                                                                                   Net interest income impacted by spreads in low interest
               Continued lower earnings is a reasonable expectation
                                                                                   rate environment and liability balance behavior
               Uncertain environment, risks still remain
               Higher credit costs expected
                                                                                Asset Management
                                                                                Asset Management
                                                                                   Management and performance fees impacted by lower
             Retail Financial Services
             Retail Financial Services                                             market levels and changing asset mix
                                                                                   At current market levels, quarterly revenue of $1.8B +/- is
               Expect home lending quarterly losses (incl. WaMu) over the
                                                                                   a reasonable run rate for the near term
               next several quarters of:
                   Home equity - $1B +/-
                                                                                Corporate/Private Equity
                   Prime mortgage - $400mm                                      Corporate/Private Equity
                    Subprime mortgage - $375mm-$425mm                              Private Equity
               If economic conditions deteriorate, additional reserves likely        At current market levels, expect possible write-downs
               Solid underlying growth in Consumer Banking                           over near term
               Strong 4Q08 MSR risk management results – do not expect to
                                                                                   Corporate
               be repeated
                                                                                     More sizable investment portfolio; results will be volatile
             Card Services
             Card Services
                                                                                Overall
                                                                                Overall
               Expect losses (ex. WaMu) to approach 7.00% in 1Q09 and
                                                                                    Earnings expectations for Bear Stearns and WaMu still on
               possibly reach 8.00% +/- near end of 2009
                                                                                    track
RESULTS




               Lower charge volume
                                                                                    Merger-related items of approximately ($600mm) +/-
                                                                                    after-tax anticipated in 2009
             Commercial Banking
             Commercial Banking                                                     If economy weakens further, there will be:
               Net interest income impacted by spreads in low interest                    Increase in credit losses
FINANCIAL




               rate environment and liability balance behavior                            Additional reserving actions
               Higher credit costs expected
                                                                                          Lower business volumes
                                                                                          Lower asset prices across market-sensitive businesses
                                                                                                                                              22
Key Investor Topics

                  WaMu Integration Update

                  Bear Stearns Integration Update

                  Recent Lending Activity

                  The Way Forward

                  Credit card practices
RESULTS
FINANCIAL




                                                    23
Notes on non-GAAP financial measures and forward-looking statements
             This presentation includes non-GAAP financial measures.

             1.    TCE as shown on slides 1 and 2, which is used for purposes of calculating return on tangible common equity and
                   presented as Tangible Common Equity on slide 21 (line 2), is defined as common stockholders' equity less identifiable
                   intangible assets (other than MSRs) and goodwill. TCE as shown in slide 21 (line 9) in the TCE/Managed RWA ratio, which
                   is used for purposes of a capital strength calculation, is defined as common stockholders' equity plus a portion of
                   preferred stock and junior subordinated notes (which have certain equity-like characteristics due to their subordinated
                   and long-term nature) less identifiable intangible assets (other than MSRs) and goodwill. For 4Q08, the identifiable
                   intanagible assets and goodwill are deducted net of deferred tax liabilities related to identifiable intangibles created in
                   non-taxable transactions and deferred tax liabilities related to tax deductible goodwill. This latter definition of TCE is
                   used by the firm and certain credit rating agencies when analyzing the firm's capital strength. The TCE measures used in
                   this presentation are not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures provided by other firms due to differences
                   in calculation methodologies.

             2.    Financial results are presented on a managed basis, as such basis is described in the firm’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-
                   Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 and in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,
                   2007.

             3.    All non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation are provided to assist readers in understanding certain
                   trend information. Additional information concerning such non-GAAP financial measures can be found in the above-
                   referenced filings, to which reference is hereby made.
             Forward looking statements
             This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
             1995. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of JPMorgan Chase’s management and are subject
RESULTS




             to significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements.
             Factors that could cause JPMorgan Chase’s actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking
             statements can be found in JPMorgan Chase’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended September 30, 2008,
             June 30, 2008, and March 31, 2008 and its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, each of which
             has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available on JPMorgan Chase’s website
FINANCIAL




             (www.jpmorganchase.com) and on the Securities and Exchange Commission’s website (www.sec.gov). JPMorgan Chase does
             not undertake to update the forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that may arise
             after the date of the forward-looking statements.
                                                                                                                                          24
Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Results
              ($ in billions)
              ($ in billions)

                                                      4Q08        3Q08         4Q07      FY2008     FY2007
              REVENUE
              REPORTED REVENUE                        $17,226     $14,737      $17,384   $67,252    $71,372
              IMPACT OF CREDIT CARD SECURITIZATIONS     1,228         873          619     3,612      2,380
              TAX EQUIVALENT ADJUSTMENTS                  654         478          272     1,908      1,060
              MANAGED REVENUE                          19,108      16,088       18,275   72,772     74,812
              MERGER-RELATED ITEMS                        214            (3)      -          630        -
              ADJUSTED REVENUE                        $19,322     $16,085      $18,275   $73,402    $74,812


              CREDIT COSTS
              PROVISION FOR CREDIT LOSSES              $7,313      $5,787       $2,542   $20,979      $6,864
              IMPACT OF CREDIT CARD SECURITIZATIONS     1,228         873          619     3,612      2,380
              CREDIT COSTS                              8,541       6,660        3,161   24,591      9,244
              MERGER-RELATED ITEMS                           42    (1,976)        -       (1,944)       -
              ADJUSTED CREDIT COSTS                    $8,583      $4,684       $3,161   $22,647     $9,244
RESULTS




              EXPENSE
              REPORTED EXPENSE                        $11,255     $11,137      $10,720   $43,500    $41,703
              MERGER-RELATED ITEMS                      (248)       (157)         -         (585)       -
FINANCIAL




              ADJUSTED EXPENSE                        $11,007     $10,980      $10,720   $42,915    $41,703



                                                                                                              25

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JPMorgan Chase Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2008 Financial Results Conference Call Investor Presentation

  • 2. FY08 Managed Results1 $ in millions $ in millions $ O/(U) O/(U) % FY2008 FY2007 FY2007 1 Results excl. Merger-related items 2 $73,402 ($1,410) (2)% Revenue (FTE) 2 22,647 13,403 145% Credit Costs 3 42,915 1,212 3% Expense Merger-related items (after-tax) (211) (211) NM Reported Net Income $5,605 ($9,760) (64)% Reported EPS $1.37 ($3.01) (69)% 4 4% 13% ROE 4 6% 21% ROE Net of GW 4,5 7% 23% ROTCE RESULTS Merger-related items include the Bear Stearns and WaMu transactions 1 Managed basis presents revenue and credit costs without the effect of credit card securitizations. Revenue is on a fully taxable-equivalent (FTE) basis. All references to credit 2 costs refer to managed provision for credit losses 3 Includes pretax merger-related costs of $209mm in 2007 4 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 5 See note 1 on slide 24 FINANCIAL 1
  • 3. 4Q08 Managed Results1 $ in millions $ in millions $ O/(U) O/(U) % 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 3Q08 4Q07 1 Results excl. Merger-related items 2 $19,322 $3,237 $1,047 20% 6% Revenue (FTE) 2 8,583 3,899 5,422 83% 172% Credit Costs 3 11,007 27 287 - 3% Expense Merger-related items (after-tax) 1,064 1,799 1,064 NM NM Reported Net Income $702 $175 ($2,269) 33% (76)% Reported EPS $0.07 ($0.04) ($0.79) (36)% (92)% 4 1% 1% 10% ROE 4 1% 2% 15% ROE Net of GW 4,5 3% 3% 17% ROTCE Merger-related items include the Bear Stearns and WaMu transactions 1 Managed basis presents revenue and credit costs without the effect of credit card securitizations. Revenue is on a fully taxable-equivalent (FTE) basis. All 2 references to credit costs refer to managed provision for credit losses RESULTS 3 Includes pretax merger-related costs of $22mm in 4Q07 4 Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 5 See note 1 on slide 24 FINANCIAL 2
  • 4. 4Q08 Significant Items $ in billions (excluding EPS) $ in billions (excluding EPS) Net Income EPS LOB Increase to credit reserves ($2.5) ($0.66) Firm 1 (1.8) (0.49) IB Net markdowns on leveraged lending & mortgage exposure Merger-related items 1.1 0.28 Corporate MSR risk management results 0.9 0.23 RFS Private Equity write-downs (0.7) (0.18) Corporate Paymentech gain on sale 0.6 0.17 Corporate Figures are not IB comp adjusted 1 RESULTS FINANCIAL 3
  • 5. Investment Bank Net loss of $2.4B includes the following significant items: $ in millions $ in millions $ O/(U) Significant item ($ in billions) Business line Revenue / Pretax Leveraged lending markdowns FI Mkts. ($1.8) Mortgage-related markdowns FI Mkts. ($1.1) 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 Credit costs NA ($0.8) Revenue ($302) ($4,337) ($3,474) 1 Impact of spread tightening on structured liab. FI & Equity Mkts. ($0.7) Investment Banking Fees 1,373 (220) (284) Total pretax impact ($4.4) Total net income impact ($2.7) Fixed Income Markets (1,671) (2,486) (2,286) 1Fixed Income Markets of ($367mm) and Equity Markets of ($354mm) Equity Markets (94) (1,744) (672) Note: Items are not IB comp adjusted Credit Portfolio 90 113 (232) IB fees of $1.4B down 17% YoY Credit Costs 765 531 565 Expense 2,741 (1,075) (270) Fixed Income Markets revenue of ($1.7B); net of significant items, Net Income ($2,364) ($3,246) ($2,488) revenue of $1.6B, reflecting: 1 Weak trading results in credit-related products, largely offset by Key Statistics record performance in rates and currencies and strong Overhead Ratio NM 95% 95% performance in commodities and emerging markets Comp/Revenue NM 54% 49% Equity Markets revenue of ($94mm); net of significant items, ALL / Total Loans 4.71% 3.85% 1.93% revenue of $260mm reflecting: NPLs ($mm) $1,175 $436 $353 Weak trading results, partially offset by strong client revenue 2 ROE (28)% 13% 2% across products, including prime services 3 $327 $218 $123 VAR ($mm) RESULTS Credit Portfolio revenue of $90mm down $232mm YoY EOP Equity ($B) $33.0 $33.0 $21.0 Credit costs of $765mm were driven by increased allowance Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 1 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $33.0B 2 reflecting a weakening credit environment Average Trading and Credit Portfolio VAR 3 Expense down 9% YoY driven by lower compensation expense, largely FINANCIAL offset by higher non-compensation expense relating to the Bear Stearns merger 4
  • 6. IB League Tables and Awards League Table Results Continue to rank #1 in three capital raising league League Table Results tables for 20081 Thomson Volumes1 Global Debt, Equity & Equity-related 2008 2007 Global Equity & Equity-related Global Loan Syndications Rank Share Rank Share Ranked #1 in Global Fees for 20085 with 8.8% Global M&A Announced2 #2 26.5% #4 26.8% market share; for 20075, JPM was #1, with 8.4% Global Debt, Equity & Equity-related #1 9.7% #2 7.6% market share US Debt, Equity & Equity-related #1 15.5% #2 10.0% Major Awards Major Awards Global Equity & Equity-related3 #1 11.8% #2 9.2% Bank of the Year Global Converts #1 13.4% #1 14.8% International Financing Review December 2008 Global Long-term Debt4 #2 8.8% #3 7.1% Global Investment Grade Debt #2 6.8% #3 6.8% Bank Risk Manager of the Year Derivatives House of the Year Global High Yield Debt #1 20.4% #1 12.1% Risk, January 2009 US High Yield Debt #1 20.8% #1 13.5% Best Overall Investment Bank RESULTS Global ABS (ex CDOs) #1 14.8% #2 8.6% Institutional Investor, December 2007 Global Loan Syndications #1 11.5% #1 12.8% European Investment Bank of the Year Source: Thomson Reuters. 2007 represents heritage JPM only 1 Global M&A market share and ranking for 2007 includes transactions withdrawn since 12/31/07 Financial News, December 2008 2 FINANCIAL Global Equity & Equity-related includes rights offerings 3 Global Long-term Debt includes ABS, MBS and municipal securities 4 Source: Dealogic 5 Note: Rankings as of 12/31/08 for full year 2008 and full year 2007 5
  • 7. Leveraged Lending Markdowns of $1.8B, net of hedges, on remaining legacy commitments $12.6B of legacy commitments with gross markdowns of $5.7B, or 45%; market value at 12/31/08 of $6.9B $12.9B of legacy commitments at 9/30/08 ($0.3B) reduction, or 2% of exposure $12.6B of legacy commitments at 12/31/08 classified as held-for-sale Valuations are deal specific and result in a wide range of pricing levels; markdowns represent best indication of prices at 12/31/08 RESULTS FINANCIAL Note: Exposures are stated on a trade date basis. $9.3B total commitments at 12/31/08 classified as held-for-investment 6
  • 8. IB Key Risk Exposures Mortgage-related $ in billions $ in billions Exposure as of Exposure Exposure as of 9/30/2008 reduction 12/31/2008 Prime $2.3 ($0.5) $1.8 Alt-A 5.8 ($1.5) 4.3 Subprime 1.2 (0.3) 0.9 Subtotal Residential $9.3 ($2.3) $7.0 Commercial 9.3 (1.6) 7.7 Mortgage Exposure $18.6 ($3.9) $14.7 4Q08 reductions of over 20% on mortgage-related exposures $1.1B of net markdowns, largely driven by commercial Prime / Alt-A exposure of $6.1B, difficult to hedge effectively Prime - securities of $1.7B, mostly senior securities, and $0.1B of loans RESULTS Alt-A - securities of $1.4B, mostly senior securities, and $2.9B of first lien mortgages Subprime exposure of $0.9B, actively hedged Commercial exposure of $7.7B, actively hedged FINANCIAL Securities of $2.7B, of which 55% are AAA-rated; 18% / 82% fixed vs. floating-rate securities $5.0B of loans, primarily first lien mortgages 7
  • 9. LOB Results Include WaMu Operating Results Segment Disclosures Enhanced as Shown Below Retail Financial Services Card Services Commercial Bank Retail Financial Services Card Services Commercial Bank Prior Reporting Segments Regional Banking Mortgage Banking Auto Finance Consumer and Mortgage Auto Business Banking production originations (including Business Mortgage Auto loan and Banking loans) servicing lease balances Other loan portfolios Admin/Other WaMu Card WaMu Commercial Retail Banking Consumer Lending business added Bank business Restated Reporting Segments added Consumer and Loan originations and balances (including Supplement Business Banking home lending, education, auto and other disclosure New client (including Business loans) enhanced with key segment, Banking loans) statistics on WaMu “Commercial Term Mortgage production and servicing RESULTS card portfolio Lending”; includes WaMu Consumer WaMu Home Lending business WaMu multi-family and Business (originations, servicing, and portfolio) and commercial Banking added mortgage loans Chase prime mortgages previously reported FINANCIAL in Corporate/Treasury moved into Consumer Lending Note: Historical data for all segment disclosures have been reclassified to conform to current presentation; WaMu EOP balance sheet items have been reclassified for 3Q08 only to conform to current presentation (operating results for WaMu’s banking operations did not have a material effect 8 on results in 3Q08)
  • 10. Retail Financial Services—Drivers Retail Banking - $ in billions Retail Banking - $ in billions Average deposits (excluding the WaMu transaction) up 2% QoQ and YoY, while deposit NII is up 23% due to 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 widening of deposit margin. WaMu deposits have 1 Key Statistics stabilized with balances flat QoQ Average Deposits $339.8 $210.1 $208.4 Branch production statistics (excluding WaMu Deposit Margin 2.94% 3.06% 2.67% transaction) YoY: Checking Accts (mm) 24.5 24.5 10.8 Checking accounts up 9% # of Branches 5,474 5,423 3,152 # of ATMs 14,568 14,389 9,186 Credit card sales up 29% Investment Sales ($mm) $3,956 $4,389 $4,114 Mortgage originations down 25% Investment sales down 22% Home Equity originations down 83% YoY due to tighter Consumer Lending - $ in billions Consumer Lending - $ in billions underwriting standards 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 Mortgage loan originations down 30% YoY 1 Credit Metrics : Declines reflect tighter underwriting and the Net Charge-off Rate (excl. credit impaired) 2.32% 2.43% 1.02% overall reduction in liquidity in the financial Allowance to EOP Loans (excl. credit impaired) 3.16% 2.49% 1.24% markets 1 Key Statistics For 4Q08, greater than 90% of mortgage Home Equity Originations $1.7 $2.6 $9.8 originations fall under agency and government 2 $142.8 $94.8 $94.0 Avg Home Equity Loans Owned RESULTS programs Mortgage Loan Originations $28.1 $37.7 $40.0 2,3 3rd party mortgage loans serviced up 91% YoY due to $149.8 $53.5 $44.2 Avg Mortgage Loans Owned the WaMu transaction 3rd Party Mortgage Loans Svc'd $1,173 $1,115 $615 Auto Originations $2.8 $3.8 $5.6 Auto originations down 50% YoY driven by weakness in FINANCIAL Avg Auto Loans and Leases $42.9 $43.9 $41.6 the auto industry Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 1 Includes all credit impaired and noncredit impaired loan portfolios 2 3 Does not include held-for-sale loans 9
  • 11. Retail Financial Services $ in millions $ in millions Total RFS net income of $624mm, down 15% YoY, $ O/(U) reflecting a significant increase in credit costs offset predominantly by positive MSR risk management results 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 and the impact of the WaMu transaction Retail Financial Services Net Income $624 $560 ($107) Retail Banking net income of $1.0B, up 85% YoY: 1,2 10% 1% 18% ROE Total revenue of $4.5B increased 78% YoY reflecting 1 $25 $25 $16 EOP Equity ($B) the impact of the WaMu transaction, wider deposit Retail Banking spreads, higher deposit-related fees, and higher Net Interest Income $2,687 $931 $1,140 deposit balances Noninterest Revenue $1,834 $745 $836 Expense growth of 62% YoY reflecting the impact of Total Revenue $4,521 $1,676 $1,976 the WaMu transaction Credit Costs $268 $198 $218 Consumer Lending net loss of $416mm compared to net Expense $2,533 $953 $965 income of $170mm in the prior year: Net Income $1,040 $317 $479 Total revenue of $4.2B, up 85% YoY, driven by positive Consumer Lending MSR risk management results, the impact of the WaMu Net Interest Income $2,023 $548 $883 transaction and wider loan spreads Noninterest Revenue $2,140 $1,497 $1,029 Credit costs in 4Q08 reflect higher losses and a $1.6B Total Revenue $4,163 $2,045 $1,912 addition to the allowance for heritage Chase home Credit Costs $3,308 $1,322 $2,295 RESULTS equity and mortgage portfolios Expense $1,513 $314 $540 Expense growth of 55% YoY reflecting the impact of Net Income ($416) $243 ($586) the WaMu transaction, higher mortgage reinsurance Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 1 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $25B 2 losses, and increased servicing expense FINANCIAL 10
  • 12. WaMu Impact on Consumer Lending Credit Statistics 4Q08 - $ in billions 4Q08 - $ in billions Allowance for Loan Losses Average Charge-off Balances Charge-offs ($) Coverage (%) (ex. HFS) Rate Consumer Lending Portfolio Chase $204.9 $1.5 2.98% $7.4 3.62 WaMu (noncredit impaired) 0 1.58 57.6 0 0.9 Total noncredit impaired Consumer Lending Portfolio $262.5 $1.5 2.32% $8.3 3.16% Add: WaMu credit impaired BV N/A 88.5 N/A Total – Reported Consumer Lending Portfolio $351.0 $1.5 1.74% $8.3 2.36% Note: Shaded boxes represent data disclosed in the financial supplement Charge-off rates and coverage ratios excluding the credit impaired loans provide best representation of the performance of the noncredit impaired portfolio RESULTS FINANCIAL 11
  • 13. Home Equity Noncredit impaired loans 30-day Delinquency Trend 30-day Delinquency Trend Key Statistics Key Statistics 3Q082 4Q08 4Q07 3.25% Heritage JPM Combined noncredit impaired 1 Noncredit Impaired 3.00% EOP owned portfolio ($B) $114.3 $114.5 $94.8 2.75% Net charge-offs ($mm) $770 $663 $248 2.50% Net charge-off rate 2.67% 2.78% 1.05% 2.25% Nonperforming loans ($mm) $1,394 $1,142 $786 2.00% 1.75% Heritage JPM 1.50% Net charge-offs ($mm) $770 $663 $248 1.25% Net charge-off rate 3.24% 2.78% 1.05% Sep-07 Dec-07 M ar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Excludes credit impaired loans accounted for under SOP 03-3 that were acquired as 1 part of the WaMu transaction 2 Balances have been revised to reflect the final analysis of the credit impaired/noncredit impaired classification of loans acquired in the WaMu transaction Comments on Home Equity Portfolio Comments on Home Equity Portfolio Losses predominately coming from high CLTVs RESULTS Maximum CLTV reduced to 70% from 80%. Maximum CLTVs now range from 50% to 70% based on geographic location Continued deterioration — quarterly losses could reach $1B +/- over the next several quarters FINANCIAL Note: CLTV=Combined Loan to Value. This metric represents how much the borrower owes on the property against the value 12
  • 14. Prime Mortgage Noncredit impaired loans 30-day Delinquency Trend Key Statistics 30-day Delinquency Trend Key Statistics 3Q083 4Q08 4Q07 Heritage JPM Combined noncredit impaired 7.00% 1 Noncredit Impaired 6.00% EOP balances ($B)2 $65.2 $65.6 $34.0 5.00% Net charge-offs ($mm) $195 $177 $17 4.00% Net charge-off rate (%) 1.20% 1.79% 0.22% 3.00% Nonperforming loans ($mm) $1,876 $1,490 $500 2.00% Heritage JPM 1.00% Net charge-off rate ($mm) $195 $177 $17 0.00% Net charge-off rate (%) 1.97% 1.79% 0.22% Sep-07 Dec-07 M ar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Excludes credit impaired loans accounted for under SOP 03-3, and noncredit 1 impaired Option Arm loans that were acquired as part of the WaMu transaction 2 Excludes loans eligible for repurchase as well as loans repurchased from GNMA pools that are insured by US government agencies 3 Balances have been revised to reflect the final analysis of the credit impaired/noncredit impaired classification of loans acquired in the WaMu transaction Comments on Prime Mortgage Portfolio Comments on Prime Mortgage Portfolio Losses predominately coming from CA and FL (80% of total losses) and 2006 and 2007 vintages (90% of total losses) RESULTS Continued tightening of underwriting standards, especially in areas with the most severe expected home price deterioration and unemployment growth Eliminated originations of jumbo (portfolio) loans through broker channel in September 2008; announced exit of broker channel for all products, including conforming loans, in January 2009 FINANCIAL Quarterly losses could be as high as $400mm over next several quarters Note: CLTV = Combined-Loan-to-Value. This metric represents how much equity the borrower owes on the property against the value. 13
  • 15. Subprime Mortgage Noncredit impaired loans 30-day Delinquency Trend Key Statistics 30-day Delinquency Trend Key Statistics 3Q082 4Q08 4Q07 Heritage JPM Combined noncredit impaired 1 Noncredit Impaired 28.00% EOP owned portfolio ($B) $15.3 $16.2 $15.5 24.00% Net charge-offs ($mm) $319 $273 $71 20.00% Net charge-off rate 8.08% 7.65% 2.08% Nonperforming loans ($mm) $2,690 $2,384 $1,017 16.00% Heritage JPM 12.00% Net charge-offs ($mm) $319 $273 $71 8.00% Net charge-off rate 9.76% 7.65% 2.08% Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Excludes credit impaired loans accounted for under SOP 03-3 that were acquired as 1 part of the WaMu transaction. 2 Balances have been revised to reflect the final analysis of the credit impaired/noncredit impaired classification of loans acquired in the WaMu transaction Comments on Subprime Mortgage Portfolio Comments on Subprime Mortgage Portfolio RESULTS Eliminated new production and portfolio is in run-off Continued deterioration — quarterly losses could be as high as $375-$425mm in 2009 FINANCIAL 14
  • 16. WaMu Portfolio Update Home Lending Loss Sensitivities - $ billions Home Lending Loss Sensitivities - $ billions Per Prior Presentation Base Estimate Deeper Recession Market Outlook U.S. Peak to trough HPI1 (25)% (28)% (31)% Remaining Life Losses from December 31, 20072 $36.0 $42.0 Remaining Life Losses from September 25, 20082 $30.7 $36.7 $32-$36 Implied Range Updated home price index (HPI) market forecast suggests that remaining losses could be $32-$36B2 The loan mark currently reflects $32.5B2 of remaining life losses beyond September 25, 2008 We have not yet experienced losses or delinquencies beyond initial expectations RESULTS Additions to loan loss reserves would be required if and when delinquency and loss experience actually exceeds our initial expectations FINANCIAL Home Price Index, Moody’s/Economy.com Case-Shiller Forecast 1 For the entire WaMu portfolio (both credit impaired and noncredit impaired) 2 15
  • 17. Card Services (Managed) $ in millions $ in millions $ O/(U) Net loss of $371mm down $980mm YoY; decline in results driven by higher credit costs partially 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 offset by an increase in revenue Revenue $4,908 $1,021 $937 Credit Costs 3,966 1,737 2,178 Credit costs up $2.2B or 122% YoY due to an Expense 1,489 295 266 increase of $1.1B in the allowance for loans Net Income ($371) ($663) ($980) losses and higher net charge-offs 1 Key Statistics Incl. WaMu ($B) Net charge-off rate (excluding the WaMu ROO (pretax) (1.16)% 1.17% 2.51% transaction) of 5.29% in 4Q08 2 ROE (10)% 8% 17% End-of-period outstandings (excluding the WaMu EOP Equity ($B) $15.0 $15.0 $14.1 transaction) of $162.1B up 3% YoY and 2% QoQ 1 Key Statistics Excl. WaMu ($B) Avg Outstandings $159.6 $157.6 $151.7 Charge volume (excluding the WaMu transaction) EOP Outstandings $162.1 $159.3 $157.1 declined 8% YoY and 6% QoQ Charge Volume $88.2 $93.9 $95.5 Net Accts Opened (mm) 3.8 3.6 5.3 Revenue of $4.9B up 24% YoY and 26% QoQ due to the impact of the WaMu transaction Managed Margin 8.18% 8.18% 8.20% Net Charge-Off Rate 5.29% 5.00% 3.89% Managed margin (excluding the WaMu 30+Day Delinquency Rate 4.36% 3.69% 3.48% transaction) of 8.18% down from 8.20% YoY and RESULTS Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under flat QoQ 1 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $15B 2 Expense of $1.5B up 22% YoY and 25% QoQ due to the impact of the WaMu transaction FINANCIAL 16
  • 18. Commercial Banking $ in millions $ in millions Record net income of $480mm up 67% YoY, driven by $ O/(U) higher net revenue, which includes the impact of the WaMu transaction, partially offset by higher credit costs 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 Revenue $1,479 $354 $395 Average loans and liability balances (excluding the Middle Market Banking 796 67 101 WaMu transaction) up 11% YoY and 17% YoY, respectively Commercial Term Lending 243 243 243 Mid-Corporate Banking 243 7 4 New client segment, Commercial Term Lending, and Real Estate Banking 131 40 29 increase in Real Estate Banking due to the WaMu (3) Other 66 18 transaction Credit Costs 190 64 85 Record revenue of $1.5B up 36% YoY due to the impact Expense 499 13 (5) of the WaMu transaction, higher net interest income, Net Income $480 $168 $192 and increased noninterest revenue 1 Key Statistics Avg Loans & Leases ($B) $117.7 $72.3 $65.5 Credit costs of $190mm up 81% YoY reflect a weakening 2 Avg Liability Balances ($B) $114.1 $99.4 $96.7 credit environment Continue to monitor commercial real estate Overhead Ratio 34% 43% 46% portfolio, which is showing signs of weakening credit Net Charge-Off Rate 0.40% 0.22% 0.21% Change in allowance coverage ratio to 2.41% in 4Q08 ALL / Average Loans 2.41% 2.32% 2.66% from 2.66% in 4Q07 reflects the changed mix of the NPLs ($mm) $1,026 $844 $146 RESULTS loan portfolio due to the WaMu transaction 3 ROE 24% 18% 17% Expense flat YoY with overhead ratio of 34% EOP Equity ($B) $8.0 $8.0 $6.7 ¹ Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under FINANCIAL 2 Includes deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities 3 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $8B 17
  • 19. Treasury & Securities Services $ in millions $ in millions $ O/(U) Record net income of $533mm up 26% YoY Pretax margin of 37% 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 Liability balances up 34% YoY Revenue $2,249 $296 $319 Treasury Services 993 96 169 Assets under custody down 17% YoY Worldwide Securities Svcs 1,256 200 150 Record revenue of $2.2B up 17% YoY Expense 1,339 - 117 Record revenue in TS reflects higher Net Income $533 $127 $111 liability balances and higher trade 1 Key Statistics revenue 2 $336.3 $260.0 $250.6 Avg Liability Balances ($B) Record revenue in WSS driven by higher Assets under Custody ($T) $13.2 $14.4 $15.9 liability balances reflecting higher client Pretax Margin 37% 29% 35% deposit activity as a result of recent 3 47% 46% 56% ROE market conditions and wider spreads in foreign exchange, offset partially by the TSS Firmwide Revenue $3,090 $2,672 $2,636 effects of market depreciation and TS Firmwide Revenue $1,834 $1,616 $1,530 lower securities lending balances RESULTS 2 $450.4 $359.4 $347.4 TSS Firmwide Avg Liab Bal ($B) Expense up 10% YoY driven by: EOP Equity ($B) $4.5 $4.5 $3.0 Business and volume growth Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 1 FINANCIAL Investment in new product platforms Includes deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities 2 3 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $4.5B 18
  • 20. Asset Management $ in millions $ in millions Net income of $255mm down 52% YoY, due to lower $ O/(U) revenue offset partially by lower noninterest expense 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 Pretax margin of 25% Revenue $1,658 ($303) ($731) Assets under management of $1.1T, down 5% YoY Private Bank 630 (1) (20) Market declines drove AUM down by $211B Private Wealth Management 330 (22) (15) Net AUM inflows of $61B for the quarter; $151B for Institutional 327 (159) (427) the past 12 months Retail 265 (134) (375) Growth of 53% in liquidity products and $15B from Bear Stearns Brokerage 106 13 106 the Bear Stearns merger Credit Costs 32 12 33 Revenue of $1.7B down 31% YoY due to: Expense 1,213 (149) (346) The effect of lower markets, including the impact Net Income $255 ($96) ($272) of lower market valuations of seed capital 1 Key Statistics ($B) investments and lower performance fees 2 Assets under Management $1,133 $1,153 $1,193 Offset partially by higher deposit revenue and the 2 Assets under Supervision $1,496 $1,562 $1,572 benefit of the Bear Stearns merger 3 Average Loans Varied global investment performance $36.9 $39.8 $32.6 76% of mutual fund AUM ranked in the first or Average Deposits $76.9 $65.6 $64.6 RESULTS second quartiles over past five years; 65% over Pretax Margin 25% 30% 35% past three years; 54% over one year 4 ROE 14% 25% 52% Expense down 22% YoY, due to lower performance- EOP Equity $7.0 $7.0 $4.0 based compensation, partially offset by the Bear FINANCIAL Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under 1 Stearns merger Reflects $15B for assets under management and $68B for assets under supervision from the Bear 2 Stearns merger on May 30, 2008 3 Reflects the transfer commencing in 1Q07 of held-for-investment prime mortgage loans from AM to Corporate within the Corporate/Private Equity segment 4 Calculated based on average equity. 4Q08 average equity was $7B 19
  • 21. Corporate/Private Equity Corporate/Private Equity Net Income - $ in millions Corporate/Private Equity Net Income - $ in millions $ O/(U) Private Equity 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 Private Equity losses of $1.1B in 4Q08 Private Equity ($682) ($518) ($1,038) EOP Private Equity portfolio of $6.9B Represents 5.8% of shareholders’ Corporate 1,163 2,044 1,235 equity less goodwill Merger-related items 1,064 1,799 1,078 Corporate Net income of $1.2B includes: 1 $1,545 $3,325 $1,275 Net Income $627mm (after-tax) Paymentech gain on sale Includes after-tax merger cost of $14mm in 4Q07 1 Merger-Related Items (after-tax) Bear Stearns RESULTS ($201mm) of merger-related items WaMu $1.3B extraordinary gain FINANCIAL ($77mm) of merger expense 20
  • 22. Capital Management $ in billions $ in billions 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 1 Tier 1 Capital $136 $112 $89 2 Tangible Common Equity $81 $86 $72 1 Risk Weighted Assets $1,259 $1,261 $1,052 Tangible Assets $2,121 $2,200 $1,511 1 Tier 1 Capital Ratio 10.8% 8.9% 8.4% 1 Total Capital Ratio 14.7% 12.6% 12.6% 1 Tier 1 Leverage Ratio 6.9% 7.2% 6.0% Tangible Common Equity/Tangible Assets 3.8% 3.9% 4.8% 1,2 TCE/Managed RWA 7.9% 7.4% 6.7% Key Points SFAS 140/FIN46R change – Potential Impact ($ in billions) Key Points SFAS 140/FIN46R change – Potential Impact ($ in billions) Regulatory capital ratios under Basel II would be 9/30/08 10Q balances GAAP Assets RWA (Basel I) higher Credit Card $129 $70 +/- $40 +/- RESULTS Conduits 43 40 +/- − Credit reserves of $24B at 12/31/08 versus $10B at Other 564 50 +/- 50 +/- 12/31/07 Total $736 $160 +/- $90 +/- SFAS 140/FIN46R rule changes not yet released, best Tier 1 Capital Ratio (0.80%) +/- estimates of impact being factored into balance sheet FINANCIAL Ultimate impact could differ significantly due to final and capital planning requirements of the rule and market conditions Note: Firm-wide Level 3 assets are expected to be approximately 6% of total firm assets at 12/31/08 21 1 Estimated for 4Q08 2 See note 1 on slide 24
  • 23. Outlook Investment Bank Treasury and Security Services Investment Bank Treasury and Security Services Net interest income impacted by spreads in low interest Continued lower earnings is a reasonable expectation rate environment and liability balance behavior Uncertain environment, risks still remain Higher credit costs expected Asset Management Asset Management Management and performance fees impacted by lower Retail Financial Services Retail Financial Services market levels and changing asset mix At current market levels, quarterly revenue of $1.8B +/- is Expect home lending quarterly losses (incl. WaMu) over the a reasonable run rate for the near term next several quarters of: Home equity - $1B +/- Corporate/Private Equity Prime mortgage - $400mm Corporate/Private Equity Subprime mortgage - $375mm-$425mm Private Equity If economic conditions deteriorate, additional reserves likely At current market levels, expect possible write-downs Solid underlying growth in Consumer Banking over near term Strong 4Q08 MSR risk management results – do not expect to Corporate be repeated More sizable investment portfolio; results will be volatile Card Services Card Services Overall Overall Expect losses (ex. WaMu) to approach 7.00% in 1Q09 and Earnings expectations for Bear Stearns and WaMu still on possibly reach 8.00% +/- near end of 2009 track RESULTS Lower charge volume Merger-related items of approximately ($600mm) +/- after-tax anticipated in 2009 Commercial Banking Commercial Banking If economy weakens further, there will be: Net interest income impacted by spreads in low interest Increase in credit losses FINANCIAL rate environment and liability balance behavior Additional reserving actions Higher credit costs expected Lower business volumes Lower asset prices across market-sensitive businesses 22
  • 24. Key Investor Topics WaMu Integration Update Bear Stearns Integration Update Recent Lending Activity The Way Forward Credit card practices RESULTS FINANCIAL 23
  • 25. Notes on non-GAAP financial measures and forward-looking statements This presentation includes non-GAAP financial measures. 1. TCE as shown on slides 1 and 2, which is used for purposes of calculating return on tangible common equity and presented as Tangible Common Equity on slide 21 (line 2), is defined as common stockholders' equity less identifiable intangible assets (other than MSRs) and goodwill. TCE as shown in slide 21 (line 9) in the TCE/Managed RWA ratio, which is used for purposes of a capital strength calculation, is defined as common stockholders' equity plus a portion of preferred stock and junior subordinated notes (which have certain equity-like characteristics due to their subordinated and long-term nature) less identifiable intangible assets (other than MSRs) and goodwill. For 4Q08, the identifiable intanagible assets and goodwill are deducted net of deferred tax liabilities related to identifiable intangibles created in non-taxable transactions and deferred tax liabilities related to tax deductible goodwill. This latter definition of TCE is used by the firm and certain credit rating agencies when analyzing the firm's capital strength. The TCE measures used in this presentation are not necessarily comparable to similarly titled measures provided by other firms due to differences in calculation methodologies. 2. Financial results are presented on a managed basis, as such basis is described in the firm’s Quarterly Report on Form 10- Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 and in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. 3. All non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation are provided to assist readers in understanding certain trend information. Additional information concerning such non-GAAP financial measures can be found in the above- referenced filings, to which reference is hereby made. Forward looking statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of JPMorgan Chase’s management and are subject RESULTS to significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause JPMorgan Chase’s actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in JPMorgan Chase’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended September 30, 2008, June 30, 2008, and March 31, 2008 and its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, each of which has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available on JPMorgan Chase’s website FINANCIAL (www.jpmorganchase.com) and on the Securities and Exchange Commission’s website (www.sec.gov). JPMorgan Chase does not undertake to update the forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that may arise after the date of the forward-looking statements. 24
  • 26. Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Results ($ in billions) ($ in billions) 4Q08 3Q08 4Q07 FY2008 FY2007 REVENUE REPORTED REVENUE $17,226 $14,737 $17,384 $67,252 $71,372 IMPACT OF CREDIT CARD SECURITIZATIONS 1,228 873 619 3,612 2,380 TAX EQUIVALENT ADJUSTMENTS 654 478 272 1,908 1,060 MANAGED REVENUE 19,108 16,088 18,275 72,772 74,812 MERGER-RELATED ITEMS 214 (3) - 630 - ADJUSTED REVENUE $19,322 $16,085 $18,275 $73,402 $74,812 CREDIT COSTS PROVISION FOR CREDIT LOSSES $7,313 $5,787 $2,542 $20,979 $6,864 IMPACT OF CREDIT CARD SECURITIZATIONS 1,228 873 619 3,612 2,380 CREDIT COSTS 8,541 6,660 3,161 24,591 9,244 MERGER-RELATED ITEMS 42 (1,976) - (1,944) - ADJUSTED CREDIT COSTS $8,583 $4,684 $3,161 $22,647 $9,244 RESULTS EXPENSE REPORTED EXPENSE $11,255 $11,137 $10,720 $43,500 $41,703 MERGER-RELATED ITEMS (248) (157) - (585) - FINANCIAL ADJUSTED EXPENSE $11,007 $10,980 $10,720 $42,915 $41,703 25