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Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012




Earnings
Presentation


             December 31, 2012
        BRSA Unconsolidated Financials
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



 4Q 2012 Macro Highlights

                          • Global economic growth remained fragile, policy interventions played a key role in investor confidence
                          • Politics: Obama reelected - the ‘fiscal cliff’still needs to be addressed and Chinese leadership changed – eyes on
                            economic growth
Low interest rate – low
                          • Spain, France and Hungary faced rating downgrades, ECB approved aid to Spanish banks
 growth environment
                          • Eurozone growth forecasts were cut –only policy response expected from the ECB remains via the Outright
                            Monetary Transactions (OMT)
                          • Oil remained flattish as gold lost value of c.a. 5%


                          • Turkish economy grew by 1.6% in 3Q12, below expectations-- indicators sign a continuous contribution from
                            foreign demand with a deceleration and weak domestic demand in the last quarter.
                          • Current account deficit continued to narrow to US$ 51.9 billion as of Nov’12 while there might be signals for
                            the reacceleration.
Successful rebalancing    • Annual inflation reached 6.16% as unprocessed food prices lowered the total inflation during the whole year
 amid a soft landing        with low levels.
 earning investment       • CBRT lowered upper band of the corridor gradually from 10% to 9% leaving lower band of corridor unchanged
                            at 5% and cut the policy rate by 25bps to 5.5% in December.
    grade by Fitch
                          • CBRT continued to utilize multiple tools in order to support financial stability -- increased reserve requirement
                            (RR) on FC liabilities and Reserve Option Coefficients (ROCs) for holding FC and gold instead of TL.
                          • CBRT remaines firmly focused on financial stability and continues to take measures aimed at, on the one hand,
                            reducing the appreciation pressure on TL and, on the other, controlling credit growth to ensure that the
                            ongoing economic recovery remains “balanced”.
                          • After having appreciated by 4%, 1%, 2% against the currency basket in 3 consecutive quarters, TL depreciated
                            by 1.5% in 4Q12.
                          • Benchmark bond yield, on a monthly average basis, declined to 6.4% in 4Q from 7.6% in 3Q12.

                                                                                                                                           2
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



2012 Highlights

                                                        Leveraging reduced share of securities with higher yielding loans
                                                        Selective lending strategy
    Increasingly                                        • Healthy market share gains ytd in key profitable products: Mortgages, GPLs and Auto loans
  customer-driven                                       • Rational pricing stance - Intentional market share loss in TL commercial loans & some retail products
                                                          in 4Q
      asset mix                                         • Revival of FX lending in 2H12 w/ increasing demand - driven by working capital & investment loans
                                                        Timely managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge for volatility


                                                      Solid, deposit-heavy and actively managed funding mix
                                                       • Reigned by mass deposits: SME+Consumer: 66% of total deposits
                                                       • Proven success in attracting demand deposits : 21% of total customer deposits
  Liquid, low risk &                                   • Ability to access alternative funding sources: Repos & money market borrowings, foreign funding,
                                                         bonds
   well-capitalized
                                                      Risk-return balance priority
    balance sheet                                      • NPL ratio sliding upwards, as expected -- yet, at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly due to non-recurring
                                                         NPL inflows
                                                       • Sustained strong coverage and provisioning levels
                                                       Further strengthened capital base mirroring the high internal capital generation capability
                                                       • Basel II CAR: 18%, Leverage:7x
    Healthy profit
generation based on                                    Comparable1 net profit up by 25% y-o-y-- ROAE: 17%; ROAA: 2.2%,
                                                       Expanding margins q-o-q & y-o-y -- result of effective management of asset/liability mix
 strong core banking                                   Growth momentum sustained on a comparable basis2 despite the highest base in Net F&Cs
income and efficient                                   Commitment to strict cost discipline
  cost management                                      • Uninterrupted investment in distribution network while preserving highest efficiencies

1 Comparable refering to «Business as Usual». Please follow the detailed analysis in slide 4
2 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012           3
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



 Results underscore the sound core banking performance…

  Net Income (TL Million)
 2012

                            180
                                                   60                      80                     26                   3,364                                                               + Improving Core Banking
   3,070                                                                                                                                                                                     Revenues
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • NII exc. CPI linkers: +26% yoy
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • Net Fees & Comm +13% yoy,
                                                                                                                                                                                                    on a comparable basis4
                                                                                                                                                                                                  • BaU Gross CoR <100bps ,
                                                                                                                                                                                                    as expected
 Reported           One-off effect Additional                          Other                  NPL Sale               ADJ. Net
Net Income           on specific General Prov.2
                                                                     Provisions 3                                    Income            Business As Usual*                                     Prudent provisioning
                       prov. 1
                                                                      (Checks)
                                                                                                                                          Net Income                                        - pressured profitability
 2011                                                                                                                                           up by       25%
                                                                                                                                                    y-o-y
  3,071                                                                 43
                                                                                                                                                                                           + BaU* ROAE: 17.4%
                    188               73              90                                216                85            2,701
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Reported ROAE: 15.9%


                                                                                                                                                                                             BaU* ROAA: 2.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                           + Reported ROAA: 2.0%

 Reported Regulatory One-off      Free    NPL Sale Eureko, Subsidiary ADJ. Net
Net Income effect on effect on Provisions         Mastercard Valuation Income
              fees 4  specific                       & Visa
                       prov.1                      stake sale

 *Business as Usual = Excluding non-recurring items and the regulatory effects in the P&L
 1 Provisions (post-tax) resulting from non-recurring NPL inflows related to a few commercial files w/ strong collateralization: 4Q12: TL113mn; 2Q12: TL42mn & TL26mn for preserving coverage ratio >80%; 4Q11: TL73mn. 2 Additional general provisions,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4
 defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years. 3 Provisions for the potential default risk of check customers 4 Assuming
 consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



…and higher provisioning in 4Q, due to prudent provisioning

 Quarterly Net Income (TL million)
                                                                                      (TL Million)                                     4Q 12 3Q 12      D QoQ      Increasing LtD spread coupled w/
                                                                                                                                                                   declining costs of other funding
                                                                                       (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers            1,265   1,086      16%      sources drived NII growth
 1Q12:                                862
                                                                                                                                                                   Quarterly drop due to timing
                                                                                       (+) Net fees and comm.                            496     530      -6%      of account maintenance fees
                                                                                           Specific & General Prov.
 2Q12:                               719                                               (-) - exc. regulatory & one-offs effects         -229    -245      -7%      BaU CoR at <100 bps

                                                                                                                                                                   IMPROVED CORE BANKING
                                                                                         = CORE BANKING REVENUES                       1,531   1,371      12%      PERFORMANCE
 3Q12:                               733                                               (+) Income on CPI linkers
                                                                                                                                                                   Contribution by the soaring CPI
                                                             NI Growth + 3%                                                              602      30      n.m      linker yields in 4Q --to 27% from
                                                                                                                                                                   1.4% in 3Q12
                                                              *BaU: +14%               (+) Collections
                                                                                                                                          25      52     -51%      Collections picking up pace
 4Q12:                               757                                               (+) Trading & FX gains
                                                                                                                                                                   in 2013
                                                                                                                                           7     452     -99%      Lower trading gains after
                                                                                                                                                                   strong profit realizations in 3Q
                                                                                       (+) Other income                                   36      16     118%
                                                                                        (-) OPEX                                      -1,000    -880      14%      As guided
 2012:                             3,070                                                (-) Other provisions                              -9       -3    250%
                                                                                        (-) Taxation                                    -265    -224      18%
                                                                                         = *BaU NET INCOME
                                                                                                                                                                   GENERATION OF
                                                                                             (exc. regulatory & one-off prov.)           928     815      14%        SOLID RESULTS
                                                                                             (-) Additional General Prov.
                                                                                             for loans before 2006                       -60        0     n.m
                                                                                             (-) Free Provision                           82      -82     n.m.
                                                                                             (-) One-off on specific prov.              -113        0     n.m
                                                                                             (-) Other Provisions (Checks)               -80       0      n.m.
                                                                                         =   NET INCOME
                                                                                                                                         757     733       3%
*Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and regulatory effects in the P&L
                                                                                                                                                                                                  5
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Increasingly customer-driven & liquid asset composition

Total Assets (TL/USD billion)                                          Composition of Assets1
                                                                         2012                                                                  Loans/Assets
                                 9%                                                                Other

                                                  4%
                                                                           Loans
                                                                                                    IEAs
                                                                                                   4.8%               Reserve req.
                                                                                                                                                  56%
                                                        160.2                                          Non-IEAs
                                                                                                                         8.3%               Leveraging reduced share
                                                                           56.4%
                                 154.6                                                                  17.8%          Others               of securities with higher
      146.6                                                                                                             9.5%
                                                                                                                                                 yielding loans

                                                        101.5
                                98.3                                                                    Securities
                                                                                                          21.0%
     87.2
                                                                                   IEA / Assets: 82%
                                                                                                                                         Timely management
                                                                         2011                                                               of asset mix
                                                                                                  Other                                       Avg.             Growth(%)
                                                                                                   IEAs                                   Bond Yield(%)   Securities Loans
                                                                                                  9.8%                Reserve req.   1Q12    9.8%            12%       -1%
                                                                                                    Non-IEAs             4.9%
                                                                           Loans                      12.3%                          2Q12      9.3%         1%        5%
                                                                                                                       Others
            31.9                       31.8                     33.4       56.1%                                        7.4%
                                                                                                                                     3Q12      7.7%         -5%       2%
                                                                                                         Securities
       2011
       2011                      2Q12
                                 3Q12                    3Q12
                                                          2012                                                                       4Q12      6.6%          2%       3%
                                                                                                           21.8%
       TL             FC (USD)                    Total Assets (TL)                IEA / Assets: 88%



1 Accrued interest on B/S items are shown in non-IEAs
                                                                                                                                                                      6
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Strategically managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge
for volatility
Total Securities (TL billion)                                                               TL Securities (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                                                       Securities2/Assets
                                       9%                                                                                  18%

               38.8              39.1              37.2             37.9
                                                                                                                                                                              21%
34.6                                 9%                                5%                                 34.7          35.6          35.5       36.2
11%
                  10%                                5%
                                                                                           30.7
                                                                                                                                                                      down from    22% at 9M12
                                              (5%)                2%                                13%            3%            (0%)           2%
         12%                1%
                                                     95%                                                                                CPI:         CPI:
                  90%              91%                                 95%                  CPI:
                                                                                                           CPI:          CPI:
 89%                                                                                                       29%           28%            31%          32%
                                                                                            32%
                                                                                           FRNs:          FRNs:         FRNs:         FRNs:          FRNs:              FRN mix1 in total
                                                                                            29%            30%           30%           30%            30%

2011            1Q12             2Q12
                                TL          FC
                                                   3Q12              2012                  2011           1Q12          2Q12          3Q12           2012                     62%
Total Securities Composition                                                                FC Securities (USD billion)                                                 up from   58% at 2011
                                                                                                                              (54%)
                                                                                                          2.3
                                                                                            2.1
                                                                                                                        1.9
                                                                    AFS 94.7%
Trading 1.7%
   HTM 3.6%
                                                                                                    9%             (15%)
                                                                                                                                        1.0          1.0
                                                                                                                                (51%)
                                                                                                                                                2%
                                                                                            FRNs:          FRNs:        FRNs:
                                                                                                            30%          33%            FRNs:        FRNs:
       Unrealized gain                                                                       31%
                                                                                                                                         53%          52%
       as of December-end ~TL 1.2bn1
                                                                                            2011          1Q12          2Q12          3Q12           2012

 1 Based on bank-only MIS data
 2 Excluding accruals                                                                                                                                                                              7
 Note: Fixed / Floating breakdown of securities portfolio is based on bank-only MIS data
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



 Selective lending continues on high yielding products

  Total Loan1 Growth & Loans by LOB2 (TL million)

                                                                   9%                                TL Loans1                                   FC Loans1 (in US$)
                                                                                                                    16%                                            6%
                                                                                      3%
                                                     5%                  2%



                      83.5
                                 (1%)

                                         83.0
                                                             87.1
                                                                              88.6
                                                                                           91.4
                                                                                                    49.3    50.2
                                                                                                                    54.3    55.3
                                                                                                                                3%
                                                                                                                                     57.2
                                                                                                                                            +     18.3   18.7   18.4     18.8    19.4
                                                                                           16.5%                                                                                3%
                                                              16.0%           15.9%                                        2%
                       18.2%               16.3%                                                                                                                    2%
   Corporate                                                                                                       8%
                                                                                                                                                           (-1%)
                                                                                                       2%                                           2%



                                                                                           37.9%    2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012                     2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012
                       39.5%              39.4%               39.0%           38.3%
 Commercial

                                                                                                   • Lucrative retail products                  • Slight pick-up in 2H12 driven
                                                              13.4%           12.8%        12.1%
           SME         11.8%              12.8%                                                      continued to be the front-                   by working capital &
                                                              12.4%           13.0%        13.1%     runner in TL lending growth                  investment loans
 Credit Cards          11.9%              12.2%

                                                              19.2%           20.1%        20.5%   • Intentional market share loss              • Demand in FC loans is
   Consumer            18.5%              19.3%
                                                                                                     in TL commercial lending --                  expected to revive in 2013
                       2011               1Q12                2Q12            3Q12         2012      dragged down total TL loan
                                                                                                     growth
TL (% in total)           59%             60%                 62%             62%          63%
                                                                                                   Market share3: 10.8% at 2012                 Market share 3 : 18.3% at 2012
FC (% in total)           41%             40%                 38%             38%          37%     vs.11.0% in 3Q12 & 11.3% in 2011             vs.18.5% in 3Q12 & 18.5% in 2011
US$/TL                   1.865           1.760               1.780            1.772        1.760


  1 Performing cash loans
  2 Based on bank-only MIS data                                                                                                                                                      8
  3 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Retail lending strategy feeding through to healthy market share gains in
key profitable products
 Retail Loans1 (TL billion)                                                                          Mortgage (TL billion)
                                     17%                                                                                                 15%

                                                       42.3
                                                                         44.1
                                                                                                                                                                   11.2            • Rational pricing stance
                                       40.6                                                                                          10.2            10.7
    37.5             38.6                                                                            9.7               9.9                           0.6           0.6               supporting margins
                                                                         11.0                                         0.6                0.6
                                       10.7             10.6                                         0.6
     9.8             10.2

                                5%                4%              4%                                          2%                4%              4%            4%                   • Generating cross-sell &
             3%
                                                                                                                                         9.6         10.1          10.6              increasing customer
                                                                         33.1                        9.1              9.3
                     28.4              29.9             31.6                                                                                                                         retention
    27.7




   2011             1Q12             2Q12              3Q12              2012                      2011             1Q12             2Q12            3Q12       2012
                                          Consumer Loans                                                                     Commercial Installment Loans


 Auto Loan (TL billion)                                                                               General Purpose Loan5 (TL billion)                                                     Market Shares2,3

                                       11%                                                                                                18%
                                                                                                                                                                                               YTD   Dec’ 12    Rank4
                                                                               2.8                                                                    17.1           17.9
                                                                                                                                         16.6
                                                                                                      15.2              15.9                                                      Mortgage             13.5%      #1
                                                                                                                                                       7.7           7.9
                                            3.0                3.0              3.1                                      7.4              7.7                                     Auto                 16.1%      #3
       2.8                2.8                                                                          7.1
                                                                                                                                                 3%             5%
                                                              1.8               1.8                              5%                 5%                                            General
       1.7                1.7               1.8                                                                                                                                                        10.7%      #2
                                                                                                                                                                                  Purpose5
                  1%                 6%                1%               3%                                                                8.9          9.5           10.0
                                                                                                       8.0               8.4
       1.1                1.1               1.2               1.2               1.3                                                                                               Retail1              12.8%      #2

     2011              1Q12               2Q12              3Q12               2012                   2011             1Q12              2Q12         3Q12          2012

1 Including consumer, commercial installment, overdraft accounts, credit cards and other   4 As of 9M12 among private banks
2 Including consumer and commercial installment loans                                                                                                                                                               9
                                                                                           5 Including other loans and overdrafts
3 Sector figures are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Solid market presence in credit cards
-- good contibutor to sustainable revenues
Issuing Volume (TL billion)                    Acquiring Volume (TL billion)
                                                                                                                                #1 in card business
                                18%                                       19%                                                   Per Debit Card Spending
                                                                                      69.9
                                      64.6
                                                              58.6
                                                                                                                           ~2.5x the sector
                         54.9                                                                                          ... with the ultimate aim of creating
                                                                                                                                  cashless society
                                                                                                                          Per Card Spending (TL, Dec’122)
                                                                                                                                                          9,600
                                                                                                                                                       9,075
                                                                                                                                Garanti      Sector

                     2011             2012                   2011                     2012


No. of Credit Cards (thousand)                 Credit Card Balances (TL billion)                                                      Market Shares
                                                                       20%
                                                                                                                                          YTD ∆       2012        Rank
                                                                                    11.4          11.9
                                544                                    10.7                                      Acquiring
                                              9.9         10.0                                                                        -78 bps         19.2%       #1
                                                                                                                 (Cumulative)
                                      9,088
                    8,544                                                                                        Issuing             -102 bps         17.9%       #1
                                                                                                                 (Cumulative)
                                                                               7%            4%
                                                                  7%
                                                     2%
                                                                                                                 # of CCs             +9 bps          16.7%       #1

                                                                                                                 POS1                +19 bps          17.7%       #1
                                                                                                                 ATM                  -41 bps         9.7%        #3*
                    2011              2012    2011        1Q 12        2Q 12    3Q 12          2012


1 Excluding shared POS
2 Annualized                                                                                                                                                      10
*Among private banks
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



     NPL ratio sliding upwards as expected -- yet at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly
     driven by non-recurring NPL inflows due to a few commercial files
    Net Quarterly NPLs (TL billion)                                                                                                                              NPL Categorisation1
                                                                                    NPL inflows resulting from
                                                                    310             few commercial files with
                                                                                    strong collateralization;                                                        Retail Banking
                                                   192              176                4Q12
                                                                                                                                                                     (Consumer & SME Personal)                 Increasing retail NPL
                                  13                                                   Garanti: TL 176mn
                                                                                                                                                                      23% of total loans                       inflow in-line with soft
                 67                                                                    2Q12
                                   60                                                                                                                                                                          lending in the economy
                                                                                       Garanti: TL 60mn
                                                   263               245                                                                                                                     2.2%              • low-ticket items
New NPL         172              165                                                                                                                                 2.0%       2.0%                 2.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                               • recoveries are very
Collections                       -42              -71                                                                                                              1.6%       1.6%          1.7%    1.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 strong
               -105                                                 -110
                                 -1702     NPL sale
                                                                                                                                                                     1Q12       2Q12          3Q12     4Q12
              1Q12               2Q12              3Q12              4Q12

    NPL Ratio1                                                                                                                                                          Credit Cards
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Significant NPL sales in
                                                                                                                                                                        13% of total loans
          Global Crisis &                                                                                                                                                                                      the sector dragged
          Hard Lending
                                                  Recovery                            Soft Lending                                                                      5.8%                                   down sector’s NPL
                                                                                                                                                                                              5.4%
                                                                                                                                                                                  5.2%                  5.2%   ratio
                                                                                                                                                                      5.8%
                                5.9%                                                                                                                                              4.8%        5.0%      4.9%
                                                     4.6%                                          4.1%
        3.9%                                                               3.7%
                               4.8%
                                                                                                                                                                       1Q12       2Q12        3Q12     4Q12
                                                     3.4%                                       3.0%
          2.7%                  5.2%                                       2.4%
                                                     3.6%                                                                                                             Business Banking
        3.4%                                                                                                                                                          (Including SME Business)                 NPL inflows related
                               4.3%                                       2.6%                     2.8%
                                                                                                                                                                       64% of total loans                      to a few commercial
                                                    2.9%                                                                                                                                  2.8%
          2.4%                                                                                 2.3%                                                                    2.5%      2.4%                 2.7%     files hit 4Q
                                                                          1.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                               -- collections expected
          2008                 2009                 2010                  2011                 2012                                                                                                   1.8%     in 2013
                                                                                                                                                                     1.3%        1.4%        1.5%
       Garanti                                                  Sector
                                                                                                                                                                      1Q12      2Q12         3Q12     4Q12
       Garanti excld.NPL sales & write-offs*                    Sector w/ no NPL sales & write-offs*

     1 NPL ratio and NPL categorisation for Garanti and sector figures are per BRSA bank-only data for fair comparison
     2 Garanti NPL sale amounts TL201 mn, of which TL170 mn relates to NPL portfolio with 100% coverage and the remaining TL31 mn being from the previously written-off NPLs
     * Adjusted with write-offs in 2008,2009,2010,2011 & 2012 Source: BRSA, TBA & CBT                                                                                                                                               11
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012


    Extraordinary increase in provisions, due to regulatory requirements &
    non- recurring NPL inflows, temporarily lifting the CoR level to >100bps
     Quarterly Loan-Loss Provisions (TL million)                                                                                                      Cumulative Gross Cost of Risk (bps)
  Coverage Ratio
           Mar 12                                June 12                       Sept 12                      Dec 12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            96                    120
 Sector1           82%                             81%                           75%                           76%
                                                                                                                                                                                                     89
 Garanti           81%                             81%                           81%                          81%
                                                                                                                                                                       47                                                   84                   88
                                                                                                                                                                                                     69
                                                                                                                                                                       47
*NPL inflows resulting                    2Q12                                                       4Q12
from few commercial                       Garanti: TL 52mn                                           Garanti: TL 141mn
files with strong                         Additional                                                                                                                 3M12                          6M12                   9M12                  2012
collateralization;                        provisions of
                                          TL32mn set aside
                                          for alignment of
                                          coverage ratio to
                                                                                                              430                                                              Cumulative CoR                            Cumulative CoR
                                          pre-NPL sale level
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         (exc. regulatory & one-off effects)

                                                 282
                       3                                                       245                             141*
                                                  52*

                                                  32*


                                                                                180
                                                                                                                39
                                                                                                                                                      Strong coverage                                                    Cumulative CoR
                       2                                                                                           2
                  98
                                                 132                                                            60
                                                                                                                                                     ratio sustained at                                                           88bps
                   98
                                                  66                             65
                                                                                                               100                                                   81%                                                        excluding
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       regulatory & one-off effects
                                                                                                                                                            vs. sector’s 76%1
                 1Q12                          2Q12                           3Q12                           4Q12

                                                  General                         Specific


     1 Sector figures are per BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
     2 Additional general provisions, defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years                                   12
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



 Solid and actively managed funding mix -- Reigned by customer deposits
 & reinforced with alternative funding sources
  Composition of Liabilities
                                                                                                                                                                  - Double digit annual growth in
Bonds Issued               2.5%
                                                                                                                                                                     avg. total deposits was
                                                        3.9%                          3.7%                                                                           hampered with last two weeks’
Funds Borrowed            14.5%                        14.0%                         13.4%                                                                           deposit run-off, due to intensified
Repos                      7.5%                         4.9%                          8.4%
                                                                                                                                                                     pricing competition

                                                                                                                                           Funding base
                                                                                                                                                                  + Opportunistic utilization
                                                                                                                                                                    of repos & money market borrowings,
                                                                                                    IBL:
                                        IBL:                           IBL:                                                                                          foreign funding including the largest
                          45.5%
                                        70%
                                                       46.6%                         43.2%          69%                                    reinforced with           ever non-sovereign Eurobond out of
                                                                       69%
Time Deposits                                                                                                                              alternative               Turkey amounting US$1.3bn
                                                                                                                                                                     with the lowest coupon rate
                                                                                                                                           funding sources
Demand Deposits           11.9%                        11.3%                         11.2%

SHE                                                                                  13.3%
                                                                                                                                                                  + ~US$ 1.1bn
                          12.0%                        13.0%                                                                                                         syndication roll-over at the
Other                     6.1%                          6.3%                          6.8%                                                                           lowest cost in 2012
                           2011                         3Q12                          2012                                                                        + ~TL 2bn
 Total Deposits (TL billion)                                                                                                                                         TL bond roll-over

                                                      3%
                                                                                         (3%)                                                           Comfortable level of LtD ratio
                                                         87.4                89.8
              84.5                 83.3                                                             87.5                                                Loans/Deposits ~105% vs. 99% in 3Q12
               43%                  43%                  43%                   41%                  43%           FC
                        3%2                     4%2                  (2%)2                3%2                                                            LtD ratio slightly heading north in 4Q, due to:
                                                                                                                                                         • Rational pricing stance in deposits -- supported
                                                                                         (6%)                                                              with healthy B/S structure enabling access to
                                                                    6%
                       (0%)                     5%                                                               TL                                        alternative funding sources
               57%                                                                                  57%
                                                                               59%
                                    57%                  57%                                                                                             Loans / Deposits
                                                                                                                                                         adj. w/ merchant payables1
                                                                                                                                                                                   ~100%
             2011                 1Q 12                2Q 12                 3Q 12                 2012                                                                                                       13

  1 Payables from credit card transactions. Please refer to footnote 5.2.4.3 miscellaneous payables as per BRSA Unconsolidated financial report
  2 Growth in USD terms                                                                                                                                                                                       13
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Increasingly customer-driven deposit base bolstered by the success in
attracting demand deposits
 Deposits by LOB1                    (Excluding bank deposits)                  Demand Deposits (TL billion)

                                                                                                                     3%
                                     16.3%                     14.2%    13.2%
                                                                                                                                     3%
                                                                                                                                           18.0
                                                               21.3%    20.4%              17.5                               17.4
                                     20.9%                                                                         16.9                    0.8
                                                                                            0.7                                0.7
                                                                                                                    0.7
                                                                        16.4%                         15.5
                                     16.0%                     16.4%
                                                                                                       0.4
                                                                                                                                           17.3
                                                                                            16.7                              16.7
                                                                                                                   16.2
 Corporate                                                                                             15.1
 Commercial                                                             50.0%
                                                                48.1%
                                     46.8%
 SME                                                                                       2011       1Q 12        2Q 12     3Q 12        2012
 Consumer
                                                                                                   Bank Deposits           Customer Deposits


                                     2011                      3Q12     2012
                                                                                      Sustained solid demand deposits
                          Consumer+SME /Total Deposits                                Customer Demand Deposits /
                                                                                      Total Customer Deposits:                         21%
                                                                                                                  vs. Sector’s 18%2
Capturing a                                                             66%
wider customer                                                    65%                 Customer demand deposits
                                             63%
base                                                                                  market share2                                    13.5%
1 Based on bank-only MIS data
2 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only                                                                              14
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Improving core spreads…

Loan Yields & Deposit Costs (Quarterly)1
    Loan Yields (Quarterly Averages)
                                                                                                         LtD spread qoq:
                                                                                                            +~85bps improvement
     16.0%                       16.1%                     15.9%     15.4% TL Yield


      5.5%                        5.8%                     5.8%      5.7%
                                                                              FC Yield
                                                                                                                        Retail loan yields
       1Q 12                     2Q 12                     3Q 12     4Q 12
                                                                                                                      remain resilient q-o-q,
                                                                                                                      limiting the negative effect
                                                                                                                       from declining rates in TL
    Cost of Deposits (Quarterly Averages)
                                                                                           =                              commercial lending

     10.5%                        10.4%
                                                              9.8%
                                                                       8.1%
     9.0%                       8.9%
                                                              8.4%
                                                                              TL Time                  Easing deposit
                                                                      6.9%
                                                                              TL Blended                    costs
      3.5%                         3.2%                      3.0%                                        More evident
                                                                      2.7%
                                                                           FC Time                      decline in cost of
     2.6%                         2.5%                       2.3%     2.0% FC Blended                  deposits along with
                                                                                                          CBRT’s more
       1Q 12                      2Q 12                      3Q 12    4Q 12                             accommodative
                                                                                                              policy

1 Based on bank-only MIS data and calculated using daily averages
                                                                                                                                                        15
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



… coupled with the sharp increase in CPI-linker income, result in
~217bps quarterly margin expansion
Quarterly NIM (Net Interest Income / Average IEAs)                                                                                                                          Cumulative NIM
   NIM                                                                                         Adjusted NIM
                                                                                                                                                 31 bps
                                                                                                                                                          4.2%            2010                                 4.7%
                                               217 bps                                             4.1%
                                                                                                                                       3.9%
                                                           5.5%
     4.1%              4.2%                                                                                          3.6%                                                 2011                   3.9%
                                         3.3%                                                                                                                                                                   + ~40 bps
                                                                                                                                                                                                                + ~25bps exc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  CPI linkers
                                                                                                                                                                          2012                          4.3%
     1Q12              2Q12              3Q12             4Q12                                    1Q12               2Q12              3Q12               4Q12



                                            Q-o-Q Evolution of Margin Components (in bps)
                                                                                                                                                                              Declining cost of liabilities
                                                                                +70           +3      548                      -126                                           shoring up lower asset yields
                                   +160             -17    -3
                                                                                             Other
                                                                                           Exp. Items                                                                          • NIM up by ~50bps q-o-q,
                                                 Sec.     Other Deposits                                                                          +2       424
                                                        Inc. Items                                                                                                                 excluding quarterly income
                                               exc. CPI                                                                   Provisions FX&                                           volatility from CPI linkers
     331           +4                                                                                                               Trading
                 Loans Securities
                          CPI
                                                                                                                                                                              Adj. NIM pressured by higher
                                                                                                                                                                              quarterly provisions
                                                                                                                                                                               • up by ~90bps q-o-q, excluding
                                                                                                                                                                                   one-off & regulatory effects on
     3Q 12                                                                                                   4Q 12                                         4Q 12
      NIM                                                                                                     NIM                                         Adj NIM                  provisions

Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        16
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



 Sustainably growing and highly diversified fee base supporting ordinary
 banking income
 Net Fees & Commissions (TL million)                                                                                                                            Highly diversified fee base reinforces
                                                                                                                                                                       sustainable income generation
                                                                                  Flat
                                                                2,008                      2,008                                                                                                     Growth2 (y-o-y)
                                                                                                                                                                          Cash loans                      21%
  Assuming that consumer loan
                                                                 1,772                                                                                                    Money transfer                  12%
  origination fees for 2011 are
  accounted for on an accrual basis
                                                                                                                                                                          Payment Systems                 12%
  and the avg. cap applied on fund
  management fees for 2011 is at
  the same level as 2012                                                                                                                                         #1 in Ordinary Banking Income3 generation
                                                                                                                                                                 with the highest Net F&C market share

                                                                 2011                        2012

 Net Fees & Commissions Breakdown 1,2

 2011                                                                                          2012
                                              Cash Loans
Payment                                         19.8%
                                                                                                                           Cash Loans
                                                                                                                             21.3%
                                                                                                                                                             • Leader in interbank money transfer
                                                                            Payment
Systems                                                                     Systems                                                                            17% market share vs. the peer average of 10%
 33.9%                                                                       40.3%
                                                   Non Cash
                                                                                                                                                             • Highest payment systems commissions per volume
                                                                                                                           Non Cash
                                                     Loans                                                                   Loans                             1.5% vs. the peer average of 1.1%4
                                                      8.8%                                                                   7.8%
                                                   Money                                                                  Money                              • #1 in bancassurrance5
                                                  Transfer                                                               Transfer
   Other
                                                    9.2%
                                            Insurance
                                                                                                                           9.2%
                                                                                                                    Insurance
                                                                                                                                                             • Strong presence in brokerage
   11.1%                                                                              Other
                                              6.6%                                                                    5.2%                                     ~7% market share
                   Asset Mgt         Brokerage                                        10.8%         Asset Mgt Brokerage
                     6.7%              4.0%                                                           1.8%      3.6%

  1 Breakdown is on a comparable basis to same period last year 2 Bank-only MIS data
  3 Defined as; net interest income adjusted with provisions for loans and securities, net FX and trading gains + net fees and commissions; as of 9M12                                                            17
  4 Peer average as of 9M12 5 Among private banks as of November 2012
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Further strenghtened capital base mirroring the high internal capital
generation capability
               CAR & Tier I ratio

                                                                    18.2%
                            17.8%
                             TIER I                                   TIER I
                                                                                                                                               Strategic capital allocation for
                            16.2%                                   16.4%                                                                         • healthy,
                                                                                                                                                  • profitable &
                                                                                                                                                  • long-term sustainable growth
                                                                                              Recommended
                                                                                                     12%

                                                                                                                                        Basel II CAR: >18%
                                                                                                                                        Investment grade level
                                                                                                 Required
                                                                                                      8%
                                                                                                                                        impact on CAR: ~+20bps

                                                                                                                                        Leverage: 7x

                                                                                                                                        Comfortable level of
                           Basel II                                Basel II                                                             free funds:
                            3Q12                                    4Q12                                                                Free funds/IEA: 16%




Free Equity = SHE - ( Net NPL+ Investment in Associates and Subsidiaries + Tangible and Intangible Assets+ AHR+ Reserve Requirements)
Free Funds = Free Equity + Demand Deposits                                                                                                                                                       18
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Differentiated business model -- reflected, once again, in strong results

(TL Million)                                                                                      2011          2012            D YoY
     (+)     NII- excl .income on CPI linkers                                                    3,284          4,148              26%
                                                                                                                                                    Double digit growth
                                                                                                                                                    momentum in Net F&Cs
     (+)     Net fees and comm. – on a comparable basis1                                         1,772          2,008              13%              on a comparable basis1
             Specific & General Prov.
     (-)     - exc. one-offs on specific prov.                                                     -604          -770              28%                                                        OPEX/Avg. Assets
      =
     (+)
             CORE BANKING REVENUES
             Income on CPI linkers
                                                                                                 4,452

                                                                                                 1,405
                                                                                                                5,386

                                                                                                                1,571
                                                                                                                                   21%

                                                                                                                                   12%
                                                                                                                                                    Growing core banking
                                                                                                                                                    revenues                                        2.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Flattish Y-o-Y
     (+)     Collections                                                                            453           167            -63%
     (+)     Trading & FX gains                                                                     332           614              85%
     (+)     Other income -before one-offs                                                            89          101              14%               • 18 net branch openings;
     (-)     OPEX                                                                               -3,216        -3,541               10%
                                                                                                                                                     • Successive & targeted              Sustained high level of
                                                                                                                                                       investments in digital
     (-)     Other provisions                                                                        -27           -23           -17%                  platforms
                                                                                                                                                                                                Fees/OPEX
                                                                                                                                                     • +7% rise in # of ATMs
                                                                                                                                                                                                     57%
     (-)     Taxation                                                                              -787          -911              16%
      =      BaU* NET INCOME                                                                                                                         • ~500 new hires
                                                                                                 2,701          3,364              25%
                 (-) Additional General Prov. for loans before 2006                                     0          -60             n.M
                 (-) Free Provision                                                                  -90              0            n.M
                 (-) One-off on specific prov.                                                       -73         -180              n.M
                 (-) Other Provisions (Checks)                                                          0          -80             n.M
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Cost/Income
                 (+) Regulatory effects on fees

                 (+) NPL sale
                                                                                                    188

                                                                                                      43            26
                                                                                                                      0           n.m.

                                                                                                                                   n.M
                                                                                                                                                                                                     47%
                (+) Eureko, Mastercard & Visa stake sale                                            216               0            n.M
               (+) Subsidiary valuation                                                               85              0            n.M
      =      NET INCOME                                                                          3,071          3,070               0%


*Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and regulatory effects in the P&L
1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012                                    19
2 On a consolidated basis, growth momentum was limited due to change in accounting methodology in booking fees of some subsidiaries
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Appendix




                                                                    20
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Balance Sheet - Summary

                      (TL million)                           Dec-11    Mar-12     Jun-12        Sep-12       Dec-12         YTD Change


                      Cash &Banks1                           15,420    11,791    10,344       10,691        10,494                 -32%
                      Reserve Requirements                    7,185     9,101     9,854       11,868        13,365                  86%
                      Securities                             34,592    38,770    39,078       37,223        37,872                   9%
   Assets




                      Performing Loans                       83,533    83,034    87,140       88,614        91,422                   9%
                      Fixed Assets & Subsidiaries             3,488     3,459     3,467        3,556         3,950                  13%
                      Other                                   2,425     2,446     2,519        2,599         3,090                  27%
                      TOTAL ASSETS                          146,642   148,601   152,402      154,550       160,192                   9%

                      Deposits                               84,543    83,253    87,421       89,800        87,482                   3%
    Liabilities&SHE




                      Repos & Interbank                      10,955    12,894    11,619        7,632        13,500                  23%
                      Bonds Issued                            3,704     3,801     3,982        5,996         5,862                  58%
                      Funds Borrowed2                        21,605    21,221    21,561       21,872        21,795                   1%
                      Other                                   8,259     8,729     8,986        9,135        10,244                  24%
                      SHE                                    17,577    18,703    18,832       20,116        21,309                  21%
                      TOTAL LIABILITIES & SHE               146,642   148,601   152,402      154,550       160,192                   9%



1 Includes banks, interbank, other financial institutions
2 Includes funds borrowed and sub-debt                                                                                                              21
Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012



Long-term strategy of investing in CPI linkers as a hedge for expected
reversal in market indicators
 Drivers of the Yields on CPI Linkers1 (% average per annum)                                              Interest Income & Yields on TL Securities (TL billion)


                                                                                                          TL Sec. Yield1    15.4%
                                                                                                              incl. CPIs
                                                                                28.4%
                                                                                                                                      13.3%
                                                                                                                                              12.8%
                                              21.8%
                                                                                    21.1% 19.7%                                                                    11.9%
                                                                                                  18.6%

                                                      14.5% 13.1%
                                                                        12.0%
                                                                                                          TL Sec. Yield1              10.0%      10.0%
                                                                                                              excl. CPIs     9.7%                         9.8%
  6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%
                                                                                                                                                                    8.8%
                                                                                            1.3%                                                          7.2%


                                                                    -5.2%

             Real Rate                               Inflation Impact                   Yield
                                                                                                                           1,169                           89% 1,082
                                                                                                                                    1,051     1,025
             4Q 11                   1Q 12                   2Q 12          3Q 12        4Q 12
                                                                                                                Income
                                                                                                                            502
                                                                                                              excl. CPIs                                         480
                                                                                                                                     563       573       573

                                                                                                             CPI effect2    666                          543     602
                                                                                                                                     487       451
                                                                                                                                                          30
                                                                                                                           4Q 11    1Q12      2Q12       3Q12    4Q12




1 Based on bank-only MIS data
2 Per valuation method based on actual monthly inflation readings
                                                                                                                                                                           22
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials December 31, 2012
Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials December 31, 2012

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Garanti Bankası Earnings Presentation-BRSA Unconsolidated Financials December 31, 2012

  • 1. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Earnings Presentation December 31, 2012 BRSA Unconsolidated Financials
  • 2. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 4Q 2012 Macro Highlights • Global economic growth remained fragile, policy interventions played a key role in investor confidence • Politics: Obama reelected - the ‘fiscal cliff’still needs to be addressed and Chinese leadership changed – eyes on economic growth Low interest rate – low • Spain, France and Hungary faced rating downgrades, ECB approved aid to Spanish banks growth environment • Eurozone growth forecasts were cut –only policy response expected from the ECB remains via the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) • Oil remained flattish as gold lost value of c.a. 5% • Turkish economy grew by 1.6% in 3Q12, below expectations-- indicators sign a continuous contribution from foreign demand with a deceleration and weak domestic demand in the last quarter. • Current account deficit continued to narrow to US$ 51.9 billion as of Nov’12 while there might be signals for the reacceleration. Successful rebalancing • Annual inflation reached 6.16% as unprocessed food prices lowered the total inflation during the whole year amid a soft landing with low levels. earning investment • CBRT lowered upper band of the corridor gradually from 10% to 9% leaving lower band of corridor unchanged at 5% and cut the policy rate by 25bps to 5.5% in December. grade by Fitch • CBRT continued to utilize multiple tools in order to support financial stability -- increased reserve requirement (RR) on FC liabilities and Reserve Option Coefficients (ROCs) for holding FC and gold instead of TL. • CBRT remaines firmly focused on financial stability and continues to take measures aimed at, on the one hand, reducing the appreciation pressure on TL and, on the other, controlling credit growth to ensure that the ongoing economic recovery remains “balanced”. • After having appreciated by 4%, 1%, 2% against the currency basket in 3 consecutive quarters, TL depreciated by 1.5% in 4Q12. • Benchmark bond yield, on a monthly average basis, declined to 6.4% in 4Q from 7.6% in 3Q12. 2
  • 3. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 2012 Highlights Leveraging reduced share of securities with higher yielding loans Selective lending strategy Increasingly • Healthy market share gains ytd in key profitable products: Mortgages, GPLs and Auto loans customer-driven • Rational pricing stance - Intentional market share loss in TL commercial loans & some retail products in 4Q asset mix • Revival of FX lending in 2H12 w/ increasing demand - driven by working capital & investment loans Timely managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge for volatility Solid, deposit-heavy and actively managed funding mix • Reigned by mass deposits: SME+Consumer: 66% of total deposits • Proven success in attracting demand deposits : 21% of total customer deposits Liquid, low risk & • Ability to access alternative funding sources: Repos & money market borrowings, foreign funding, bonds well-capitalized Risk-return balance priority balance sheet • NPL ratio sliding upwards, as expected -- yet, at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly due to non-recurring NPL inflows • Sustained strong coverage and provisioning levels Further strengthened capital base mirroring the high internal capital generation capability • Basel II CAR: 18%, Leverage:7x Healthy profit generation based on Comparable1 net profit up by 25% y-o-y-- ROAE: 17%; ROAA: 2.2%, Expanding margins q-o-q & y-o-y -- result of effective management of asset/liability mix strong core banking Growth momentum sustained on a comparable basis2 despite the highest base in Net F&Cs income and efficient Commitment to strict cost discipline cost management • Uninterrupted investment in distribution network while preserving highest efficiencies 1 Comparable refering to «Business as Usual». Please follow the detailed analysis in slide 4 2 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 3
  • 4. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Results underscore the sound core banking performance… Net Income (TL Million) 2012 180 60 80 26 3,364 + Improving Core Banking 3,070 Revenues • NII exc. CPI linkers: +26% yoy • Net Fees & Comm +13% yoy, on a comparable basis4 • BaU Gross CoR <100bps , as expected Reported One-off effect Additional Other NPL Sale ADJ. Net Net Income on specific General Prov.2 Provisions 3 Income Business As Usual* Prudent provisioning prov. 1 (Checks) Net Income - pressured profitability 2011 up by 25% y-o-y 3,071 43 + BaU* ROAE: 17.4% 188 73 90 216 85 2,701 Reported ROAE: 15.9% BaU* ROAA: 2.2% + Reported ROAA: 2.0% Reported Regulatory One-off Free NPL Sale Eureko, Subsidiary ADJ. Net Net Income effect on effect on Provisions Mastercard Valuation Income fees 4 specific & Visa prov.1 stake sale *Business as Usual = Excluding non-recurring items and the regulatory effects in the P&L 1 Provisions (post-tax) resulting from non-recurring NPL inflows related to a few commercial files w/ strong collateralization: 4Q12: TL113mn; 2Q12: TL42mn & TL26mn for preserving coverage ratio >80%; 4Q11: TL73mn. 2 Additional general provisions, 4 defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years. 3 Provisions for the potential default risk of check customers 4 Assuming consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012
  • 5. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 …and higher provisioning in 4Q, due to prudent provisioning Quarterly Net Income (TL million) (TL Million) 4Q 12 3Q 12 D QoQ Increasing LtD spread coupled w/ declining costs of other funding (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers 1,265 1,086 16% sources drived NII growth 1Q12: 862 Quarterly drop due to timing (+) Net fees and comm. 496 530 -6% of account maintenance fees Specific & General Prov. 2Q12: 719 (-) - exc. regulatory & one-offs effects -229 -245 -7% BaU CoR at <100 bps IMPROVED CORE BANKING = CORE BANKING REVENUES 1,531 1,371 12% PERFORMANCE 3Q12: 733 (+) Income on CPI linkers Contribution by the soaring CPI NI Growth + 3% 602 30 n.m linker yields in 4Q --to 27% from 1.4% in 3Q12 *BaU: +14% (+) Collections 25 52 -51% Collections picking up pace 4Q12: 757 (+) Trading & FX gains in 2013 7 452 -99% Lower trading gains after strong profit realizations in 3Q (+) Other income 36 16 118% (-) OPEX -1,000 -880 14% As guided 2012: 3,070 (-) Other provisions -9 -3 250% (-) Taxation -265 -224 18% = *BaU NET INCOME GENERATION OF (exc. regulatory & one-off prov.) 928 815 14% SOLID RESULTS (-) Additional General Prov. for loans before 2006 -60 0 n.m (-) Free Provision 82 -82 n.m. (-) One-off on specific prov. -113 0 n.m (-) Other Provisions (Checks) -80 0 n.m. = NET INCOME 757 733 3% *Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and regulatory effects in the P&L 5
  • 6. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Increasingly customer-driven & liquid asset composition Total Assets (TL/USD billion) Composition of Assets1 2012 Loans/Assets 9% Other 4% Loans IEAs 4.8% Reserve req. 56% 160.2 Non-IEAs 8.3% Leveraging reduced share 56.4% 154.6 17.8% Others of securities with higher 146.6 9.5% yielding loans 101.5 98.3 Securities 21.0% 87.2 IEA / Assets: 82% Timely management 2011 of asset mix Other Avg. Growth(%) IEAs Bond Yield(%) Securities Loans 9.8% Reserve req. 1Q12 9.8% 12% -1% Non-IEAs 4.9% Loans 12.3% 2Q12 9.3% 1% 5% Others 31.9 31.8 33.4 56.1% 7.4% 3Q12 7.7% -5% 2% Securities 2011 2011 2Q12 3Q12 3Q12 2012 4Q12 6.6% 2% 3% 21.8% TL FC (USD) Total Assets (TL) IEA / Assets: 88% 1 Accrued interest on B/S items are shown in non-IEAs 6
  • 7. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Strategically managed securities portfolio – FRN heavy acting as a hedge for volatility Total Securities (TL billion) TL Securities (TL billion) Securities2/Assets 9% 18% 38.8 39.1 37.2 37.9 21% 34.6 9% 5% 34.7 35.6 35.5 36.2 11% 10% 5% 30.7 down from 22% at 9M12 (5%) 2% 13% 3% (0%) 2% 12% 1% 95% CPI: CPI: 90% 91% 95% CPI: CPI: CPI: 89% 29% 28% 31% 32% 32% FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: FRN mix1 in total 29% 30% 30% 30% 30% 2011 1Q12 2Q12 TL FC 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 62% Total Securities Composition FC Securities (USD billion) up from 58% at 2011 (54%) 2.3 2.1 1.9 AFS 94.7% Trading 1.7% HTM 3.6% 9% (15%) 1.0 1.0 (51%) 2% FRNs: FRNs: FRNs: 30% 33% FRNs: FRNs: Unrealized gain 31% 53% 52% as of December-end ~TL 1.2bn1 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Excluding accruals 7 Note: Fixed / Floating breakdown of securities portfolio is based on bank-only MIS data
  • 8. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Selective lending continues on high yielding products Total Loan1 Growth & Loans by LOB2 (TL million) 9% TL Loans1 FC Loans1 (in US$) 16% 6% 3% 5% 2% 83.5 (1%) 83.0 87.1 88.6 91.4 49.3 50.2 54.3 55.3 3% 57.2 + 18.3 18.7 18.4 18.8 19.4 16.5% 3% 16.0% 15.9% 2% 18.2% 16.3% 2% Corporate 8% (-1%) 2% 2% 37.9% 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 39.5% 39.4% 39.0% 38.3% Commercial • Lucrative retail products • Slight pick-up in 2H12 driven 13.4% 12.8% 12.1% SME 11.8% 12.8% continued to be the front- by working capital & 12.4% 13.0% 13.1% runner in TL lending growth investment loans Credit Cards 11.9% 12.2% 19.2% 20.1% 20.5% • Intentional market share loss • Demand in FC loans is Consumer 18.5% 19.3% in TL commercial lending -- expected to revive in 2013 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 dragged down total TL loan growth TL (% in total) 59% 60% 62% 62% 63% Market share3: 10.8% at 2012 Market share 3 : 18.3% at 2012 FC (% in total) 41% 40% 38% 38% 37% vs.11.0% in 3Q12 & 11.3% in 2011 vs.18.5% in 3Q12 & 18.5% in 2011 US$/TL 1.865 1.760 1.780 1.772 1.760 1 Performing cash loans 2 Based on bank-only MIS data 8 3 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only
  • 9. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Retail lending strategy feeding through to healthy market share gains in key profitable products Retail Loans1 (TL billion) Mortgage (TL billion) 17% 15% 42.3 44.1 11.2 • Rational pricing stance 40.6 10.2 10.7 37.5 38.6 9.7 9.9 0.6 0.6 supporting margins 11.0 0.6 0.6 10.7 10.6 0.6 9.8 10.2 5% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 4% • Generating cross-sell & 3% 9.6 10.1 10.6 increasing customer 33.1 9.1 9.3 28.4 29.9 31.6 retention 27.7 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 Consumer Loans Commercial Installment Loans Auto Loan (TL billion) General Purpose Loan5 (TL billion) Market Shares2,3 11% 18% YTD Dec’ 12 Rank4 2.8 17.1 17.9 16.6 15.2 15.9 Mortgage 13.5% #1 7.7 7.9 3.0 3.0 3.1 7.4 7.7 Auto 16.1% #3 2.8 2.8 7.1 3% 5% 1.8 1.8 5% 5% General 1.7 1.7 1.8 10.7% #2 Purpose5 1% 6% 1% 3% 8.9 9.5 10.0 8.0 8.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 Retail1 12.8% #2 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 1 Including consumer, commercial installment, overdraft accounts, credit cards and other 4 As of 9M12 among private banks 2 Including consumer and commercial installment loans 9 5 Including other loans and overdrafts 3 Sector figures are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only
  • 10. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Solid market presence in credit cards -- good contibutor to sustainable revenues Issuing Volume (TL billion) Acquiring Volume (TL billion) #1 in card business 18% 19% Per Debit Card Spending 69.9 64.6 58.6 ~2.5x the sector 54.9 ... with the ultimate aim of creating cashless society Per Card Spending (TL, Dec’122) 9,600 9,075 Garanti Sector 2011 2012 2011 2012 No. of Credit Cards (thousand) Credit Card Balances (TL billion) Market Shares 20% YTD ∆ 2012 Rank 11.4 11.9 544 10.7 Acquiring 9.9 10.0 -78 bps 19.2% #1 (Cumulative) 9,088 8,544 Issuing -102 bps 17.9% #1 (Cumulative) 7% 4% 7% 2% # of CCs +9 bps 16.7% #1 POS1 +19 bps 17.7% #1 ATM -41 bps 9.7% #3* 2011 2012 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012 1 Excluding shared POS 2 Annualized 10 *Among private banks
  • 11. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 NPL ratio sliding upwards as expected -- yet at a faster pace in 4Q, mainly driven by non-recurring NPL inflows due to a few commercial files Net Quarterly NPLs (TL billion) NPL Categorisation1 NPL inflows resulting from 310 few commercial files with strong collateralization; Retail Banking 192 176 4Q12 (Consumer & SME Personal) Increasing retail NPL 13 Garanti: TL 176mn 23% of total loans inflow in-line with soft 67 2Q12 60 lending in the economy Garanti: TL 60mn 263 245 2.2% • low-ticket items New NPL 172 165 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% • recoveries are very Collections -42 -71 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% strong -105 -110 -1702 NPL sale 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 NPL Ratio1 Credit Cards Significant NPL sales in 13% of total loans Global Crisis & the sector dragged Hard Lending Recovery Soft Lending 5.8% down sector’s NPL 5.4% 5.2% 5.2% ratio 5.8% 5.9% 4.8% 5.0% 4.9% 4.6% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 4.8% 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 3.4% 3.0% 2.7% 5.2% 2.4% 3.6% Business Banking 3.4% (Including SME Business) NPL inflows related 4.3% 2.6% 2.8% 64% of total loans to a few commercial 2.9% 2.8% 2.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.4% 2.7% files hit 4Q 1.8% -- collections expected 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1.8% in 2013 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% Garanti Sector 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Garanti excld.NPL sales & write-offs* Sector w/ no NPL sales & write-offs* 1 NPL ratio and NPL categorisation for Garanti and sector figures are per BRSA bank-only data for fair comparison 2 Garanti NPL sale amounts TL201 mn, of which TL170 mn relates to NPL portfolio with 100% coverage and the remaining TL31 mn being from the previously written-off NPLs * Adjusted with write-offs in 2008,2009,2010,2011 & 2012 Source: BRSA, TBA & CBT 11
  • 12. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Extraordinary increase in provisions, due to regulatory requirements & non- recurring NPL inflows, temporarily lifting the CoR level to >100bps Quarterly Loan-Loss Provisions (TL million) Cumulative Gross Cost of Risk (bps) Coverage Ratio Mar 12 June 12 Sept 12 Dec 12 96 120 Sector1 82% 81% 75% 76% 89 Garanti 81% 81% 81% 81% 47 84 88 69 47 *NPL inflows resulting 2Q12 4Q12 from few commercial Garanti: TL 52mn Garanti: TL 141mn files with strong Additional 3M12 6M12 9M12 2012 collateralization; provisions of TL32mn set aside for alignment of coverage ratio to 430 Cumulative CoR Cumulative CoR pre-NPL sale level (exc. regulatory & one-off effects) 282 3 245 141* 52* 32* 180 39 Strong coverage Cumulative CoR 2 2 98 132 60 ratio sustained at 88bps 98 66 65 100 81% excluding regulatory & one-off effects vs. sector’s 76%1 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 General Specific 1 Sector figures are per BRSA weekly data, commercial banks only 2 Additional general provisions, defined by law, for loans extended before 2006 in the amount of TL150mn, TL 60mn of which is set aside in 4Q12 and remaining at equal amounts within the following three years 12
  • 13. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Solid and actively managed funding mix -- Reigned by customer deposits & reinforced with alternative funding sources Composition of Liabilities - Double digit annual growth in Bonds Issued 2.5% avg. total deposits was 3.9% 3.7% hampered with last two weeks’ Funds Borrowed 14.5% 14.0% 13.4% deposit run-off, due to intensified Repos 7.5% 4.9% 8.4% pricing competition Funding base + Opportunistic utilization of repos & money market borrowings, IBL: IBL: IBL: foreign funding including the largest 45.5% 70% 46.6% 43.2% 69% reinforced with ever non-sovereign Eurobond out of 69% Time Deposits alternative Turkey amounting US$1.3bn with the lowest coupon rate funding sources Demand Deposits 11.9% 11.3% 11.2% SHE 13.3% + ~US$ 1.1bn 12.0% 13.0% syndication roll-over at the Other 6.1% 6.3% 6.8% lowest cost in 2012 2011 3Q12 2012 + ~TL 2bn Total Deposits (TL billion) TL bond roll-over 3% (3%) Comfortable level of LtD ratio 87.4 89.8 84.5 83.3 87.5 Loans/Deposits ~105% vs. 99% in 3Q12 43% 43% 43% 41% 43% FC 3%2 4%2 (2%)2 3%2 LtD ratio slightly heading north in 4Q, due to: • Rational pricing stance in deposits -- supported (6%) with healthy B/S structure enabling access to 6% (0%) 5% TL alternative funding sources 57% 57% 59% 57% 57% Loans / Deposits adj. w/ merchant payables1 ~100% 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012 13 1 Payables from credit card transactions. Please refer to footnote 5.2.4.3 miscellaneous payables as per BRSA Unconsolidated financial report 2 Growth in USD terms 13
  • 14. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Increasingly customer-driven deposit base bolstered by the success in attracting demand deposits Deposits by LOB1 (Excluding bank deposits) Demand Deposits (TL billion) 3% 16.3% 14.2% 13.2% 3% 18.0 21.3% 20.4% 17.5 17.4 20.9% 16.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 16.4% 15.5 16.0% 16.4% 0.4 17.3 16.7 16.7 16.2 Corporate 15.1 Commercial 50.0% 48.1% 46.8% SME 2011 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 2012 Consumer Bank Deposits Customer Deposits 2011 3Q12 2012 Sustained solid demand deposits Consumer+SME /Total Deposits Customer Demand Deposits / Total Customer Deposits: 21% vs. Sector’s 18%2 Capturing a 66% wider customer 65% Customer demand deposits 63% base market share2 13.5% 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Sector data is based on BRSA weekly data for commercial banks only 14
  • 15. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Improving core spreads… Loan Yields & Deposit Costs (Quarterly)1 Loan Yields (Quarterly Averages) LtD spread qoq: +~85bps improvement 16.0% 16.1% 15.9% 15.4% TL Yield 5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% FC Yield Retail loan yields 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 4Q 12 remain resilient q-o-q, limiting the negative effect from declining rates in TL Cost of Deposits (Quarterly Averages) = commercial lending 10.5% 10.4% 9.8% 8.1% 9.0% 8.9% 8.4% TL Time Easing deposit 6.9% TL Blended costs 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% More evident 2.7% FC Time decline in cost of 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.0% FC Blended deposits along with CBRT’s more 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 4Q 12 accommodative policy 1 Based on bank-only MIS data and calculated using daily averages 15
  • 16. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 … coupled with the sharp increase in CPI-linker income, result in ~217bps quarterly margin expansion Quarterly NIM (Net Interest Income / Average IEAs) Cumulative NIM NIM Adjusted NIM 31 bps 4.2% 2010 4.7% 217 bps 4.1% 3.9% 5.5% 4.1% 4.2% 3.6% 2011 3.9% 3.3% + ~40 bps + ~25bps exc. CPI linkers 2012 4.3% 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Q-o-Q Evolution of Margin Components (in bps) Declining cost of liabilities +70 +3 548 -126 shoring up lower asset yields +160 -17 -3 Other Exp. Items • NIM up by ~50bps q-o-q, Sec. Other Deposits +2 424 Inc. Items excluding quarterly income exc. CPI Provisions FX& volatility from CPI linkers 331 +4 Trading Loans Securities CPI Adj. NIM pressured by higher quarterly provisions • up by ~90bps q-o-q, excluding one-off & regulatory effects on 3Q 12 4Q 12 4Q 12 NIM NIM Adj NIM provisions Adjustments to NIM: Net Interest Income/ Average IEA adjusted by FX gain/loss, provision for loans and securities, and net trading income/loss 16
  • 17. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Sustainably growing and highly diversified fee base supporting ordinary banking income Net Fees & Commissions (TL million) Highly diversified fee base reinforces sustainable income generation Flat 2,008 2,008 Growth2 (y-o-y) Cash loans 21% Assuming that consumer loan 1,772 Money transfer 12% origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis Payment Systems 12% and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 #1 in Ordinary Banking Income3 generation with the highest Net F&C market share 2011 2012 Net Fees & Commissions Breakdown 1,2 2011 2012 Cash Loans Payment 19.8% Cash Loans 21.3% • Leader in interbank money transfer Payment Systems Systems 17% market share vs. the peer average of 10% 33.9% 40.3% Non Cash • Highest payment systems commissions per volume Non Cash Loans Loans 1.5% vs. the peer average of 1.1%4 8.8% 7.8% Money Money • #1 in bancassurrance5 Transfer Transfer Other 9.2% Insurance 9.2% Insurance • Strong presence in brokerage 11.1% Other 6.6% 5.2% ~7% market share Asset Mgt Brokerage 10.8% Asset Mgt Brokerage 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 3.6% 1 Breakdown is on a comparable basis to same period last year 2 Bank-only MIS data 3 Defined as; net interest income adjusted with provisions for loans and securities, net FX and trading gains + net fees and commissions; as of 9M12 17 4 Peer average as of 9M12 5 Among private banks as of November 2012
  • 18. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Further strenghtened capital base mirroring the high internal capital generation capability CAR & Tier I ratio 18.2% 17.8% TIER I TIER I Strategic capital allocation for 16.2% 16.4% • healthy, • profitable & • long-term sustainable growth Recommended 12% Basel II CAR: >18% Investment grade level Required 8% impact on CAR: ~+20bps Leverage: 7x Comfortable level of Basel II Basel II free funds: 3Q12 4Q12 Free funds/IEA: 16% Free Equity = SHE - ( Net NPL+ Investment in Associates and Subsidiaries + Tangible and Intangible Assets+ AHR+ Reserve Requirements) Free Funds = Free Equity + Demand Deposits 18
  • 19. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Differentiated business model -- reflected, once again, in strong results (TL Million) 2011 2012 D YoY (+) NII- excl .income on CPI linkers 3,284 4,148 26% Double digit growth momentum in Net F&Cs (+) Net fees and comm. – on a comparable basis1 1,772 2,008 13% on a comparable basis1 Specific & General Prov. (-) - exc. one-offs on specific prov. -604 -770 28% OPEX/Avg. Assets = (+) CORE BANKING REVENUES Income on CPI linkers 4,452 1,405 5,386 1,571 21% 12% Growing core banking revenues 2.3% Flattish Y-o-Y (+) Collections 453 167 -63% (+) Trading & FX gains 332 614 85% (+) Other income -before one-offs 89 101 14% • 18 net branch openings; (-) OPEX -3,216 -3,541 10% • Successive & targeted Sustained high level of investments in digital (-) Other provisions -27 -23 -17% platforms Fees/OPEX • +7% rise in # of ATMs 57% (-) Taxation -787 -911 16% = BaU* NET INCOME • ~500 new hires 2,701 3,364 25% (-) Additional General Prov. for loans before 2006 0 -60 n.M (-) Free Provision -90 0 n.M (-) One-off on specific prov. -73 -180 n.M (-) Other Provisions (Checks) 0 -80 n.M Cost/Income (+) Regulatory effects on fees (+) NPL sale 188 43 26 0 n.m. n.M 47% (+) Eureko, Mastercard & Visa stake sale 216 0 n.M (+) Subsidiary valuation 85 0 n.M = NET INCOME 3,071 3,070 0% *Business as Usual= Excluding non-recurring items and regulatory effects in the P&L 1 Assuming that consumer loan origination fees for 2011 are accounted for on an accrual basis and the avg. cap applied on fund management fees for 2011 is at the same level as 2012 19 2 On a consolidated basis, growth momentum was limited due to change in accounting methodology in booking fees of some subsidiaries
  • 20. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Appendix 20
  • 21. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Balance Sheet - Summary (TL million) Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 YTD Change Cash &Banks1 15,420 11,791 10,344 10,691 10,494 -32% Reserve Requirements 7,185 9,101 9,854 11,868 13,365 86% Securities 34,592 38,770 39,078 37,223 37,872 9% Assets Performing Loans 83,533 83,034 87,140 88,614 91,422 9% Fixed Assets & Subsidiaries 3,488 3,459 3,467 3,556 3,950 13% Other 2,425 2,446 2,519 2,599 3,090 27% TOTAL ASSETS 146,642 148,601 152,402 154,550 160,192 9% Deposits 84,543 83,253 87,421 89,800 87,482 3% Liabilities&SHE Repos & Interbank 10,955 12,894 11,619 7,632 13,500 23% Bonds Issued 3,704 3,801 3,982 5,996 5,862 58% Funds Borrowed2 21,605 21,221 21,561 21,872 21,795 1% Other 8,259 8,729 8,986 9,135 10,244 24% SHE 17,577 18,703 18,832 20,116 21,309 21% TOTAL LIABILITIES & SHE 146,642 148,601 152,402 154,550 160,192 9% 1 Includes banks, interbank, other financial institutions 2 Includes funds borrowed and sub-debt 21
  • 22. Investor Relations / BRSA Bank-only Earnings Presentation 2012 Long-term strategy of investing in CPI linkers as a hedge for expected reversal in market indicators Drivers of the Yields on CPI Linkers1 (% average per annum) Interest Income & Yields on TL Securities (TL billion) TL Sec. Yield1 15.4% incl. CPIs 28.4% 13.3% 12.8% 21.8% 21.1% 19.7% 11.9% 18.6% 14.5% 13.1% 12.0% TL Sec. Yield1 10.0% 10.0% excl. CPIs 9.7% 9.8% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 8.8% 1.3% 7.2% -5.2% Real Rate Inflation Impact Yield 1,169 89% 1,082 1,051 1,025 4Q 11 1Q 12 2Q 12 3Q 12 4Q 12 Income 502 excl. CPIs 480 563 573 573 CPI effect2 666 543 602 487 451 30 4Q 11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1 Based on bank-only MIS data 2 Per valuation method based on actual monthly inflation readings 22