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The Future of Media
    Presentation by Gerd Leonhard
‣ Futurist
‣ Strategist
‣ Author & Blogger
 www.mediafuturist.com
 twitter.com/gleonhard
T he Pa ce of Chan g e i s i n c r e d i b l e
Connected people ‘consume’ differently


Data is th e new Oil

      Real-Tim e Everything
Sh aring is the key driver
It used to be...

 Consume (Listen, Watch...)
But now...
         Consume ‘2.0’
             Communicate ‘2.0’
                     Create
Push Objects   Pull Objects
No more Monopolies of Transmission
More importantly: no more Monopolies of Attention
Goodbye Scarcity of Content
A key task now - and even more so, in the future:
So what is Content, in the Future?
• Professionally produced and
  traditionally / legally owned
• Created by the Users and shared-
  alike-commons-public-free-etc
• Meta-Content: the Users’ data and
  click-streams layered around other
  (professional) content
• Pro Content ‘appropriated’ by Users
• The Users themselves
Twitter: the Power of the Link Economy
• The Real-Time Web is here
• New: Following Logic (from Impressions to Followers)
• Filtered & Curated by Pros and Peers
• The shared ‘National’ Experience is back!
• Fragmentation and Aggregation
It used to be...


               Producers
               Networks

               Distributors
                Owners
Now:


       Producers
       Networks

       Distributors
        Owners
Let’s take a look
The TV Generation The Net Generation
Reaching Millions of Reaching the perfect
 People at the same 100 people that each
time - with the same reach 100 people
content or message that each reach 100
 or... advertisement      people...
The TV Generation The Net Generation

   Switch off         Switch On
    I receive      I send & receive
 Couch Potato      Subway Surfer
    Helpless          Powerful
  Monoculture        Multi-culture
     United          Fragmented
Broadcasting 1.0   Broadcasting 2.0

 Closed systems      Open Network

                     Many to Many
  One to many         One to One
                     One to Many
  The Network =       Networked
     Power              = Power
Broadcasters, Publishers and Studios:


Listening, Reading or Watching
              =
 Keeping, Copying
    & Sharing
It’s hard to ‘own’ a copy now but
   You can own the
 Context, the Meaning,
  the Relevance, the
    Experience, the
   Embodiment, the
       Timing...
Example: great content and great experience
A lot of Content Producers will expand
   into becoming Context Providers,
 Curators, Aggregators, Packagers...
 Curation: Exposing and Seeding, Testing,
Rating, Tagging, Contextualizing, Remixing,
        (Re-)Framing, Packaging...
The Future of Media

         Open
         Mobile
      Connected
     Collaborative
    Interdependent
So will people read like this?
From the Xark Blog on Future of News:

    “Rather than changing the
     existing model publishers
     are fumbling around for a
       solution that requires
     readers to fundamentally
     change their behavior...”
The Opportunity is to build a
web-native Content Ecosystem
Advertising will get a lot smarter
 - and support a lot of Content!
Telecom
                        Brands
  & ICT               (Advertisers)

           Broad-
           casters

Content                   CE
                     (Device Makers)
Google & Free Music in China
• Free / Feels Like Free Music
• Unlimited, unprotected downloads
• Paid with Attention, $-ized via Ads
• Making $ with ‘free content’
Freemium and New Generatives: Pandora


    Convenience         Premium Experience




      Personalization    ‘Paying for Privacy’



    Packaging           Convenience
There is great opportunity in this




 Definitely not in this:
My final 5 cents...
•There is huge opportunity in the creation of
 new models in the new content economy
•The key new generatives will be around
 the content, not just within the content
•Focus on adding value, not extracting it
•Focus on the audience, first, and only then
 on the revenues
•There is no recipe, and there probably
 won’t be one - the best way forward to is to
 constantly invent!
Thanks for listening!

★ email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com
★ twitter.com/gleonhard
★ facebook: gleonhard
★ more presentations at
  www.mediafuturist.com

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The Future of Media: Open, Mobile, Connected (MPJC Hilversum 2009)

  • 1. The Future of Media Presentation by Gerd Leonhard ‣ Futurist ‣ Strategist ‣ Author & Blogger www.mediafuturist.com twitter.com/gleonhard
  • 2. T he Pa ce of Chan g e i s i n c r e d i b l e
  • 3.
  • 4. Connected people ‘consume’ differently Data is th e new Oil Real-Tim e Everything Sh aring is the key driver
  • 5.
  • 6. It used to be... Consume (Listen, Watch...)
  • 7. But now... Consume ‘2.0’ Communicate ‘2.0’ Create
  • 8. Push Objects Pull Objects
  • 9. No more Monopolies of Transmission
  • 10. More importantly: no more Monopolies of Attention
  • 12.
  • 13. A key task now - and even more so, in the future:
  • 14.
  • 15. So what is Content, in the Future? • Professionally produced and traditionally / legally owned • Created by the Users and shared- alike-commons-public-free-etc • Meta-Content: the Users’ data and click-streams layered around other (professional) content • Pro Content ‘appropriated’ by Users • The Users themselves
  • 16. Twitter: the Power of the Link Economy • The Real-Time Web is here • New: Following Logic (from Impressions to Followers) • Filtered & Curated by Pros and Peers • The shared ‘National’ Experience is back! • Fragmentation and Aggregation
  • 17. It used to be... Producers Networks Distributors Owners
  • 18. Now: Producers Networks Distributors Owners
  • 20. The TV Generation The Net Generation Reaching Millions of Reaching the perfect People at the same 100 people that each time - with the same reach 100 people content or message that each reach 100 or... advertisement people...
  • 21. The TV Generation The Net Generation Switch off Switch On I receive I send & receive Couch Potato Subway Surfer Helpless Powerful Monoculture Multi-culture United Fragmented
  • 22. Broadcasting 1.0 Broadcasting 2.0 Closed systems Open Network Many to Many One to many One to One One to Many The Network = Networked Power = Power
  • 23.
  • 24. Broadcasters, Publishers and Studios: Listening, Reading or Watching = Keeping, Copying & Sharing
  • 25. It’s hard to ‘own’ a copy now but You can own the Context, the Meaning, the Relevance, the Experience, the Embodiment, the Timing...
  • 26. Example: great content and great experience
  • 27. A lot of Content Producers will expand into becoming Context Providers, Curators, Aggregators, Packagers... Curation: Exposing and Seeding, Testing, Rating, Tagging, Contextualizing, Remixing, (Re-)Framing, Packaging...
  • 28. The Future of Media Open Mobile Connected Collaborative Interdependent
  • 29. So will people read like this?
  • 30. From the Xark Blog on Future of News: “Rather than changing the existing model publishers are fumbling around for a solution that requires readers to fundamentally change their behavior...”
  • 31.
  • 32. The Opportunity is to build a web-native Content Ecosystem
  • 33. Advertising will get a lot smarter - and support a lot of Content!
  • 34. Telecom Brands & ICT (Advertisers) Broad- casters Content CE (Device Makers)
  • 35. Google & Free Music in China • Free / Feels Like Free Music • Unlimited, unprotected downloads • Paid with Attention, $-ized via Ads • Making $ with ‘free content’
  • 36. Freemium and New Generatives: Pandora Convenience Premium Experience Personalization ‘Paying for Privacy’ Packaging Convenience
  • 37.
  • 38. There is great opportunity in this Definitely not in this:
  • 39. My final 5 cents... •There is huge opportunity in the creation of new models in the new content economy •The key new generatives will be around the content, not just within the content •Focus on adding value, not extracting it •Focus on the audience, first, and only then on the revenues •There is no recipe, and there probably won’t be one - the best way forward to is to constantly invent!
  • 40. Thanks for listening! ★ email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com ★ twitter.com/gleonhard ★ facebook: gleonhard ★ more presentations at www.mediafuturist.com