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Volume 12, #4                                                                                                        March 2009-1




                  ...Discovering value in natural resource stocks

                   Investing in an Uncertain World
                                    (A presentation delivered March 1, 2009 at the Prospectors and
                                   Developers Association of Canada annual conference in Toronto)



T      he world has just experienced the       Of course, there is no assurance that this is   was particularly scary, because banks,
       greatest destruction of wealth ever.    the bottom of the market. However, it is        which are supposed to be solid and
       Share prices around the world are       clear that there is a great deal less risk      reliable, were the most vulnerable, at least
down 50% or more. General Motors, long         today than there was a year ago.                in the U.S. and Europe.
the backbone of American industry, has
lost 90% of its value from a year ago.         In the face of the present uncertainty, I am    Investors saw gold once again hold its
Some of the big American banks are gone        going to outline 3 investment ideas that I      value in a time of crisis. As a result, there
completely, with shareholders losing           believe will do well, regardless of the         has been a huge inflow of wealth into the
everything.                                    direction of the broad markets.                 gold market. There has been such strong
                                                                                               demand for gold coins and bars, that there
Is the worst over? I don’t know.               First, let’s look at gold.                      is a shortage of physical product.

The U.S. government is throwing a trillion     Many investors over the past few months         Exchange traded funds and similar invest-
dollars, and counting, at bailouts and eco-    have taken refuge from the financial crisis     ment vehicles have become extremely
nomic stimulus. That huge handout seems        in the safe haven of gold.                      popular. Gold ETFs now hold 45 million
to have stabilized the situation in the U.S.                                                   ounces of gold, an all time record. Gold
But, Europe is also facing some serious        Sure, gold took a hit at the height of the      has become the quot;most favored assetquot; of
problems.                                      crisis. But, it was nowhere near as bad as      investment advisers.
                                               nearly every other investment. Gold
Some people see more downside before a         recovered quickly. Gold equities were also      For the first time in nearly 3 decades, the
recovery. Others see this as the bottom.       hit hard by the financial crisis. The share     investing public is looking favorably on
It’s hard to know what to expect; and          prices of the larger companies have also        gold as an investment. And yet, gold stub-
therefore it’s hard to know what to do as      recovered strongly.                             bornly refuses to break through $1,000 and
an investor.                                                                                   overtake the record price set a year ago.
                                             The meltdown in the financial markets
After an experience like last year, and with scared the hell out of people. This crisis        Some people are puzzled as to why this
so much uncertainty remaining, many                                                            intense level of gold buying by investors
                                                     INSIDE
people will be tempted to give up on                                                           has not resulted in larger gains in the gold
investing. Or worse yet, they will wait                                                        price. The reason is that investor demand
on the sidelines until the popular media                                                       is only part of the picture for the gold
tells them how great things are in the                                                         market. Let’s have a quick look at some of
                                                    1– Company Updates
investing world. Normally, the popular                                                         the other factors influencing gold.
                                                       3– Brief Updates
press being positive on any investment
topic signals the top of the market.                                                           Gold is unique in that nearly all the gold
                                                      6– Initiating Coverage                   ever mined is still available to the market.
But, the top of the market is precisely                                                        The European Central Banks are among
                                                7-Most Favoured Companies
when many people come back into the                                                            the largest holders of gold. Their sales
markets. It takes a great deal of courage                                                      over the past decade have been a major
                                                     8– Conferences
to invest contrary to popular wisdom.                                                          factor in the gold market.
                                                   ————————————
But, that is exactly how you make money
                                                        The last Issue was
in the investing world. You buy when                                                           The European banks have agreed not to
                                                         February 2009-1
others are afraid, and you sell when                                                           sell more than 500 tonnes (or, about 16
others are greedy.                                                                             million ounces) of gold a year.


March 6, 2009                                                          1                                www.ResourceOpportunities.com
Resource Opportunities


                                                Jewelry makers do the opposite.                tion is falling. Equally importantly, the
      Gold Supply & Demand Estimates
                                                                                               overall reserves in the gold industry are
       Year from Oct 2007 – Sept 2008
                                                The big swing variable, and therefore the      declining.
                                                most important determinant in the short-
                                                term price, is investment demand. When         The larger gold companies have grown
                                                investor buying overwhelms the slow-           through mergers, but those mergers have
                                                down in other sectors, the price rises.        been dilutive: the amount of gold
                                                Economists will tell you that when the         reserves per share has declined substan-
                                                price of a commodity increases, demand         tially over the past few years.
                                                falls and production increases. Economic
                                                theory doesn’t necessarily apply in the        Most of the gold production is now com-
                                                mining world. The gold price has more          ing from mines that are more than 15
                                                than tripled in the past 8 years, yet          years old. The pace of mine closures will
                                                demand continues to rise.                      accelerate, putting further downward
                                                                                               pressure on the level of gold production.
                                                On the other hand, the supply of gold,         In spite of a five-fold increase in spend-
                                                also contrary to economic theory, is           ing on exploration by gold companies,
                                                falling as the price rises.                    the industry cannot find enough new
                                                                                               deposits to even replace the gold being
                                                Gold mine production has been falling          mined each year.
                                                for several years now, even though min-
                                                ing companies are producing all the gold       Geologists have spent decades scouring
                                                they can to sell into a strong market and      the earth. The big, high grade gold de-
                                                a rising price. Economic theory simply         posits that are sticking out of the ground
                                                does not stand up to geologic reality. It is   have been found, developed, and are
                                                not easy to increase gold production. It’s     largely mined out. New discoveries will
  For the past three years, they have sold      hard to see on the slide below, but gold       be smaller, lower grade, more remote and
  less than the quota. However, that might      production peaked in 2002, and is pro-         deeper.
  change with the banking crisis.               jected to continue to fall.
                                                                                               The chart of gold grades over the past
  Another large holder of gold, the Interna-    For years, the large gold companies have       several years also presents an interesting
  tional Monetary Fund, or IMF, has been        grown through acquisitions. While Bar-         picture. You can see the grade for the
  talking about selling some or all of its      rick and Newmont, for example, are each        gold industry has fallen sharply over the
  gold for years, and again, the financial      bigger than they were a few years ago,         past few years.
  crisis may result in more of their gold on    the industry is shrinking. Gold produc-
  the market. Other Central Banks are buy-
  ing, offsetting part of the European sell-
  ing.

  The Asian nations hold a very small por-
  tion of their reserves in gold. China, with
  $2 trillion, the largest foreign currency
  reserves of any nation, holds less than
  1% in gold. There is speculation that
  China and other nations might increase
  their gold holdings.

  Physical demand for gold is dominated
  by the jewelry market. Jewelry demand
  in the developed world has fallen sharply
  with the recession, offsetting growth in
  jewelry demand in the emerging econo-
  mies.

  A very important factor in gold is the see
  -saw between investor demand and jew-
  elry demand. Investors tend to buy as the
  price rises and sell as the price falls.


March 6, 2009                                                         2                                 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
Resource Opportunities


                                                       The average gold grade of producing
                Global Gold Exploration Expenditures
                                                       mines is now less than 1.3 grams per
                                                       tonne. When I started my career in the
                                                       mining industry, what is now the average
                                                       grade for the industry would have been
                                                       generally considered a geochemical
                                                       anomaly, not a mine.

                                                       With 8 years of rising gold prices,
                                                       production continues to fall.

                                                       What does all this mean to an investor?
                                                       Well, there are many reasons to believe
                                                       the gold price will go higher, perhaps a lot
                                                       higher. But, not necessarily right away. In
                                                       fact, gold has a nasty habit of dropping
                                                       back after it makes a big move. But,
                                                       regardless of what happens to the gold
                                                       price in the near term, the gold mining
                       Junior vs. Senior Gold Stocks   industry desperately needs new deposits.

                                                       Shareholders of companies that find new
                                                       deposits will be richly rewarded. And,
                                                       since it is getting harder to find new
                                                       deposits, companies that have gold depos-
                                                       its hold extremely valuable assets. The
                                                       value of many deposits is not being recog-
                                                       nized now, but over time, investors and
                                                       the
                                                       major producers will attribute higher
                                                       values to the gold deposits now in the
                                                       hands of the juniors.

                                                       On top of that, the juniors are adding
                                                       value by expanding and upgrading their
                                                       deposits.

                                                       This slide shows the relative value of
                                                       junior gold companies versus the larger
                                                       companies. For several years, the smaller
                                                       companies outperformed the majors. But,
                     Global Average Mine Grades        late last year, the juniors were clobbered
                                                       much worse than the larger companies.
                                                       The majors and the mid-tier companies
                                                       have rebounded, and some of the more
                                                       established development companies have
                                                       recovered some of the losses. The smaller
                                                       companies are only beginning to recover.

                                                       So, investment idea #1: emerging gold
                                                       producers and companies with
                                                       advanced stage deposits

                                                       Many gold companies have seen big price
                                                       gains, but there are some companies that
                                                       have not yet been discovered by investors.
                                                       Just remember: Not all small gold
                                                       companies are created equal. Be selective.


March 6, 2009                                      3           www.ResourceOpportunities.com
Resource Opportunities


                                               are at least a couple of years ahead.          sources contain an additional 106 million
  By investing in advanced exploration and     There will be literally hundreds of small      ounces of silver, 356,000 ounces of gold,
  development companies, you gain              companies that arise in the green energy       301 million pounds of lead and 498 mil-
  exposure to the gold market, and therefore   business. It will be like the mining sector,   lion pounds of zinc.
  benefit from gains in gold. At the same      where a huge amount of innovation and          Juanacipio is one of the largest and richest
  time, you own companies that are             development is being done by small             silver deposits in the world. It’s not sur-
  growing and are adding value                 public companies. We have some                 prising that the partner would want the
  independent of moves in the gold price.      information on our website that provides       whole thing.
                                               an introduction to that sector.
  Now, very briefly, let’s touch on                                                           The takeover offer was announced on
  Investment idea # 2. Base metals are                                                        December 1, at a low point in the market.
                                           So, Investment idea # 3: Start getting
  totally out of favor right now. The same                                                    Even then, the offer was below the cur-
                                           familiar with Green Technology,
  goes for uranium. It seems that few                                                         rent trading price and only one third of
                                           especially related to energy.
  people in North America want anything to                                                    the high that the shares reached in the
  do with base metal companies or uranium                                                     previous year. Mag shares have since
  companies. It’s as if investors think we                                                    traded consistently above the offer price,
                                                    Company Updates
  have stopped using metals and will never                                                    leading pundits to describe the offer as a
  need any new metal mines. People who                                                        “take-under” offer.
                                                          MAG Silver
  take a longer term view can find
                                                          (MAG-TSX)
  exceptional values.                                                                       Canadian take-over procedures require
                                                                                            that Mag present shareholders with an
                                              Mag is conducting an aggressive explora- independent valuation. The junior claims
  A little side comment: If you look at the
                                              tion program on several of its silver pro-
  top 100 mining companies in the world,                                                    that its partner has refused to provide all
                                              jects as it continues to resist the opportun- of the required information. As that drama
  18 of those companies are Chinese,
                                              istic takeover offer made by its joint ven- unfolds, Mag has 12 drill rigs operating
  including the number 3 company on the
                                              ture partner. The company is intent on
  list. The Chinese take a longer term                                                      on its various properties, striving to iden-
                                              demonstrating that it merits a higher
  perspective than Westerners. They are                                                     tify enough ounces to justify a higher
                                              valuation than the US$4.54 per share of-
  going around the world now quietly                                                        price. The company has announced a $17
  buying up base metals. Already this year, fer from Fresnillo plc.                         million program, involving 28,000 meters
  they have invested $25 billion in energy                                                  of drilling at the Juanacipio project and
                                              That London-listed Mexican miner earned 30,000 meters at its wholly owned pro-
  and base metals and they are advancing
                                              a 56% interest on Mag’s Juanacipio silver jects.
  on two other very large deals. Many
                                              deposit and also holds 20% of Mag’s
  European investors are also taking a
                                              shares. The major’s Fresnillo mine on the Mag had over $50 million of cash at the
  longer term perspective and quietly
                                              adjacent property ranks as the largest sil- start of its spending spree. That treasury
  buying base metal companies.
                                              ver mine in the world, with annual pro-       provides lots of power for the highly suc-
  Exploration companies with billion dollar duction of 31 million ounces annually.          cessful exploration team that made the
  ore bodies are now trading for a few                                                      discovery at Juanacipio.
  pennies a share. Their shares may not pop The Juanacipio deposit is clearly an ex-
                                              tension of the rich silver system that sup- With a steady flow of good exploration
  next week or next month, but in due
                                              ports the adjacent mine. Mag commis-
  course, many of those companies will                                                      results, and a market price well above the
  have values several times higher than the sioned an independent study that showed offer price, the Mexican company has so
                                              somewhat higher resources than the fig-
  current share prices.                                                                     far not blinked.
                                              ures published by Fresnillo. The Mag
  Investment idea # 2: Selected base metal figures (which had to be revised due to an The best prospect for near term value
                                              error by the independent engineers) shows creation seems to be the 100%-owned
  and uranium companies that have
                                              an indicated resource of 2.95 million ton- Cinco de Mayo property in northern Chi-
  established resources.
                                              nes of 879 grams per tonne silver, 2.22       huahua State. Hole # 84 cut a 2.72-meter
  Now, investment idea # 3: This is really a grams per tonne gold, 2.39 per cent lead       zone grading 462 grams per tonne (13.5
  topic for a whole investment conference. I and 4.15 percent zinc. An additional in-       ounces per ton) silver, 10% lead and
  just want to plant a seed in your minds at ferred resource has 7.21 million tonnes of 13.6% zinc in a zone called the Jose
                                              458 grams per tonne silver, 1.54 grams
  this time.                                                                                manto. Results demonstrate that the Jose
                                              per tonne gold, 1.89 percent lead and 3.14 manto is part of a large carbonate replace-
                                              percent zinc. The total contained metals in ment deposit system. Drilling is continu-
  Over the next decade, the movement
                                              the indicated resource are 83 million
  away from carbon fuels, that is: oil,                                                     ing with three drills.
  natural gas and coal, is going to gain huge ounces of silver, 210,000 ounces of gold
                                              and 155 million pounds of lead and 269
  momentum. Look at the initiatives that                                                    With Fresnillo holding 56% of the pri-
                                              million pounds of zinc. The inferred re-
  Obama has put forward. In Europe, they                                                    mary asset (and operating the adjacent


March 6, 2009                                                       4                                 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
Resource Opportunities


mine), a competing bid has not come        Aurcana Corporation (AUN.V;                   Last updated February 2009-1
forward. The share price has declined      C$0.105) has nearly completed a prelimi-
from the recent high as time ticks by with nary economic assessment on its Shafter       Freewest Resources (FWR-TSXV;
neither another offer nor a higher bid. It silver mine, located in southwest Texas.      C$0.26) has made another new chromite
is up to each shareholder to tender to the That study will be followed by a prefeasi-    discovery on its wholly-owned McFaulds
offer or simply hold their shares.         bility study due in the summer. The pro-      property in northern Ontario: 4 holes
                                           ject has a measured and indicated re-         drilled below the Black Thor chromite
Perhaps shareholders might expect the      source of 24.6 million ounces of silver       discovery encountered a new zone, with
parties to work out a split of the com-    and an inferred resource of 22.8 million      assays up to 37 meters of 32% chromite.
pany, letting Fresnillo get what it wants  ounces silver. Plans call for silver pro-     The new zone, called the Black Label
(Juanacipio), and leaving the other assets duction at a rate of 3.2 million ounces per   zone, is thought to be associated with
under the control of a team that could add year. The mine has extensive under-           platinum, palladium and nickel minerali-
more value for shareholders.               ground development in place, allowing         zation. The discovery will be followed up
                                           the project to move quickly to produc-        by further drilling.
Price March 6, 2009: C$0.41                tion. The studies at Shafter will be used
Shares Outstanding: 49 million             to help the company find financing to         Recent drilling at the Black Thor deposit
Shares Fully Diluted: 52 million                                                         has returned assays up to 30 meters of
                                           develop the mine.
Market Cap: C$ 20 million                                                                40.3% chromite. Black Thor and Black
                                           The La Negra silver-lead-zinc-copper
Contact: Investor Relations                                                              Label are located 4 kilometers northeast
                                           mine in Mexico continues to operate at
604-630-1399                                                                             of the Big Daddy chromite deposit, an-
                                           1,000 tonnes per day, but the low metal       other high grade deposit recently identi-
www.magsilver.com
                                           prices have squeezed profits. The             fied by Freewest and its partners. Spider
Last updated December 2008-1
                                           Rosario mine was put on hold as metal         Resources (SPQ-TSXV) and KWG Re-
                                           prices plummeted and the company chose        sources (KWG-TSXV) have each earned
             Brief Updates                 to focus on development of the Texas          a 25% interest in the Big Daddy project.
                                           mine.
Altius Minerals (ALS-TSX; C$6.26)                                                        Freewest now has three chromite deposits
reported earnings from its third quarter   Shafter is an attractive silver mine devel-   on which drilling continues to push out
ended January 31, 2009 at $31.6 million    opment project. If the company can se-        the limits. The company has various
or $1.11 per share. These earnings came cure financing on favorable terms, there         other projects, with joint venture partners
from the forward equity settlement of 2.5 is considerable upside potential in the        funding several of them. The most sig-
million shares of Aurora Energy for earn- share price from the current level.            nificant is the Clarence Stream gold de-
ings of $38 million less $6.7 million in   Last updated December 2008-2                  posit in New Brunswick on which an
tax. Altius reported $689,000 in earnings                                                updated resource estimate is expected
from its 0.3% net smelter royalty interest Exeter Resource Corp (XRC-TSXV;               soon.
from the Voiseys' Bay nickel-copper-       C$2.72) encountered another very long
cobalt mine in Labrador, down from         drill hole intercept from the ongoing pro-    Freewest is so far getting little credit for
$1.38 million in the same quarter of last  gram at its Caspiche gold-copper por-         the very significant discoveries in north-
year due to depressed metal prices. The    phyry project in Chile: The hole cut an       ern Ontario. Those deposits, along with
company also reported interest income of impressive 1,214 meters of 0.9 grams per        discoveries in the area by other compa-
$1.38 million compared to $2.3 million in tonne gold and 0.33% copper. This hole         nies, are now capable of supporting infra-
the same quarter last year as a result of  supports the notion that mineralization       structure development. The provincial
lower interest rates.                      extends well beyond the limits of the         government is looking closely at road
                                           previous drilling on the project.             access and at least a couple of major met-
Altius has fourteen mineral properties,                                                  als companies are already evaluating the
several with joint venture partners, and   Exeter is well on its way to outline a very   suite of deposits now being outlined by
holds various investments in junior ex-    substantial deposit in Chile by this Sep-     Freewest and the other companies in the
ploration and development compa-           tember. They also expect a resource esti-     area.
nies. The company has $160 million in      mate on the Cerro Moro project in Ar-         Last updated January 2009-1
cash and liquid investments and is look-   gentina by this summer.
ing to take advantage of opportunities in                                                Full Metal Minerals (FMM-TSXV;
the present market situation. There are    With nearly $40 million in cash, Exeter is    C$0.175) announced a new discovery of
good prospects that the skilled manage-    well positioned to continue its two ag-       high grade zinc-lead-silver mineraliza-
ment team will make a deal in the next     gressive drill campaigns. The resource        tion. The discovery resulted from drilling
few months that will add value for share- estimates expected over the coming             8 holes last year at its OG project, 40
holders. In the meantime, the company      months should help investors to better        kilometers north of Dawson city in the
trades at roughly cash value.              valuate the exceptional exploration suc-      Yukon. Highlights include 11.9 meters at
Last updated January 2009-2                cess experienced by the company.              an average grade of 14% zinc, 5.7% lead


March 6, 2009                                                      5                                www.ResourceOpportunities.com
Resource Opportunities



  and 26 grams per tonne silver. The drill       gold in 2009, and expected to grow to                   Initiating Coverage
  program was designed to test a 1.7 square      over 400,000 ounces in 2012. Minable
  kilometer soil anomaly and geophysical         reserves will total 7.6 million gold ounces              Inter-Citic Minerals
  gravity high. The new area of mineraliza-      within a measured and indicated resource                      (ICI-TSX)
  tion, called the Sundar zone, consists of      of 12.2 million gold ounces. Randall Ol-
  massive to semi-massive sphalerite, ga-        iphant, former president of Barrick and        Inter-Citic Minerals is a gold exploration
  lena, pyrite and chalcopyrite and is open      now chairman of Western Goldfields, will       and development company with a multi-
  for expansion in all directions.               be executive chairman. Cash flow from          million ounce gold deposit in China. Re-
                                                 the three mines is expected to fully fund      sults of drilling over the past year are now
  Full Metal has a large portfolio of proper-    development at the New Afton gold-             being worked into an updated resource
  ties in Alaska and the Yukon Territory         copper project in British Columbia and         estimate. Those resource figures will then
  with joint venture partners funding seven      also put the company in a strong position      be carried forward into a preliminary eco-
  projects. This is the third silver-base        to undertake further acquisitions.             nomic assessment over the coming weeks.
  metal discovery the company has made                                                          The strong likelihood of favorable results
  over the last year, yet investors are giving   The company would have $171 million in         from those two studies provides a basis
  the company little value beyond the near-      cash, $77 million in long-term asset           for substantial gains in the value of the
  term production potential of its Lucky         backed commercial paper and $275 mil-          company over the coming weeks.
  Shot Gold project.                             lion of debt. Once the transaction is com-
  Last updated February 2009-1                   pleted, New Gold will have 348 million         Rapidly expanding gold production in
                                                 shares outstanding and 436 million shares      China has made that country the world’s
  Hathor Exploration (HAT-                       fully diluted. The transaction will create a   largest gold producer. Last year, Chinese
  TSXV;C$2.12) reported assays from in-          bigger and stronger mid-tier presence that     production exceeded the U.S. and the
  fill and step-out drilling at its Midwest      will be in a position to grow and make         long time leader, South Africa. Investors
  Northeast uranium deposit in the Atha-         further acquisitions.                          have not kept up to the rapid emergence
  basca Basin. The drilling, which began in      Last updated January 2009-1                    of the gold industry in that country. Inter-
  January included 16 holes, of which 10                                                        Citic is well positioned to benefit from a
  holes were designed for infill purposes        Virginia Mines (VGQ-TSX; C$3.88)               growing awareness of the importance of
  and 6 holes tested mineralization at dis-      announced that Goldcorp updated the            China in the gold industry as well as from
  tances 40 to 550 meters from the Rough-        resource estimate at the Eleanore gold         the pending developments on its project.
  rider zone. None of the step-out holes hit,    project to 2.3 million ounces of gold at
  while nine of the ten infill holes hit ura-    10.05 grams per tonne in the measured Inter-Citic president, James Moore, has
  nium. The standout was 15 meters of 12%        and indicated categories and 3 millionworked with the Chinese resource indus-
  U3O8, but the other values were lower          ounces at 12.75 grams per tonne in thetry for over a decade. His strong ties
  grade or narrow. Investors were clearly        inferred category. The increased resource
                                                                                       within the industry led to the acquisition
  expecting more consistency, as the share       is important to Virginia, which retains a
                                                                                       of the project. Much of the initial funding
  price took a big hit. The company still has    royalty interest on the deposit that it dis-
                                                                                       for the company came from investors in
  a significant uranium discovery, within        covered and sold to Goldcorp. At the cur-
                                                                                       Hong Kong with whom Mr. Moore had
  easy trucking distance of mills operated       rent gold price, the royalty would be 3%
                                                                                       contacts. Vice President of Exploration,
  by the three largest uranium producers.        of revenue. Advance royalty payments in
                                                                                       Garth Pierce, has over 30 years experi-
  The dip in the price represents a buying       the amount of $100,000 per month are  ence working in exploration and project
  opportunity.                                   due to begin flowing to Virginia next management, including a highly success-
  Last updated January 2009-2                    month.                                ful career with one of the majors. The
                                                                                       directors and advisory team bring a
                                             Virginia is conducting an aggressive $7   wealth of experience and contacts.
  New Gold Inc (NGD-TSX; C$2.20) and million exploration program on its Que-           Included is a former Prime Minister of
  Western Goldfields Inc. have agreed that bec properties this year, with much of that Canada, John Turner.
  New Gold will acquire all of the shares of being reimbursed by joint venture part-
  Western Goldfields on the basis of one     ners and provincial government grants.    In 2003, Inter-Citic entered into a joint
  New Gold common share and 0.01 cent in                                               venture with the Qinghai Geological Sur-
  cash for each common share of Western      Virginia has $38 million in cash, which   vey to acquire the Dachang gold project,
  Goldfields. Existing New Gold and West- together with the value of the royalty in-   which covers 279 square kilometers. The
  ern Goldfields shareholders will own 58% terest exceeds the current market value of local government agency recognized the
  and 42% respectively, of the combined      the company, giving no credit to the      significance of the gold occurrence, but
  company. The combined company will         highly successful exploration team and    lacked funding to carry out the work. In-
  have gold production from three gold       the several discoveries already in hand.  ter-Citic has now earned an 83% interest
  mines in mining-friendly jurisdictions,    Last updated January 2009-2               in the property and has the option to in-
  forecast to produce 335,000 ounces of                                                crease its interest to 90% by completing a


March 6, 2009                                                         6                                 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
Resource Opportunities


pre-feasibility study. The agreement also       producing nation and in general as a fa-           Most Favored Companies:
gives Inter-Citic the right of first refusal    vorable place to do business.
on properties around the Dachang prop-                                                             Capstone Mining (CS-TSX;C$1.25)
erty.                                           Inter-Citic intends to develop the Dachang
                                                main zone and to continue to evaluate a            CGA Mining (CGA-TSX;C$1.59)
The Dachang gold project is located in          number of other promising gold occur-
Qinghai province in western China, 170          rences on its extensive property. Dachang          Endeavour Financial (EDV-
kilometers southeast of the city of Gol-        is a large and well-located deposit that           TSX;C$1.55)
mud where major infrastructure is avail-        will be of interest to any number of gold
able. The structurally controlled sulfide       producers.
                                                                                                   Exeter Resource (XRC-
deposit occurs near surface in a sediment
                                                                                                   TSXV;C$2.72)
host rock. Geologists were led to the area      Inter-Citic has $11 million in cash (as of
                                                                                                   (see brief update)
by gold placer workings.                        late last year) more than enough to carry it
                                                through the next phase of work on the
                                                                                                   Freewest Resources (FWR-
After identifying numerous gold occur-          project.
                                                                                                   TSXV;C$0.29)
rences, Inter-Citic in 2007 focused on
                                                                                                   (see brief update)
what is now referred to as the Dachang          Adjusting for its cash and using last year’s
main zone. That year, 28,000 meters of          resource estimate, the company is pres-
                                                                                                   Great Basin Gold (GBG-
drilling helped to outline an inferred re-      ently being valued at only $8.50 per
                                                                                                   TSX;C$1.29)
source of 25 million tonnes grading 3.6         ounce gold in the ground. The share
grams per tonne, for a total of 2.9 million     value should be adjusted upwards as the
ounces of gold. The majority of those           deposit is both upgraded and expanded in
                                                                                                   Keegan Resources (KGN-
ounces are within the Dachang main zone,        the coming weeks.
                                                                                                   TSXV;C$2.59)
where drilling has so far been done to
depths of only 150 meters.                      Price March 6, 2009: C$0.39
                                                                                                   Mag Silver (MAG-TSX;C$5.45)
                                                Shares Outstanding: 82 million
                                                                                                   (see update)
In 2008, 50,000 meters of drilling was          Shares Fully Diluted: 86.6 million
completed along with IP geophysical             Market Cap: C$ 31.9 million
                                                                                                   Silvercorp Metals (SVM-
work, metallurgy and preliminary engi-          Contact: Investor Relations
                                                                                                   TSX;C$2.79)
neering. Of 317 holes drilled, 299 holes        (905) 479-5072
returned significant gold values. The           www.inter-citic.com
                                                                                                   Virginia Mines (VGQ-
results are now being compiled into an
                                                                                                   TSXV;C$3.88)
updated resource estimate that is expected
                                                                                                   (see brief update)
in the next month. Results of the 2008
drilling make it clear that the deposit will
                                                                                               New to the list:
be significantly larger than the 2.9 million
ounces previously outlined. In addition, a
substantial portion of the resource will be                                                        Inter-Citic (ICI-TSX;$0.39)
upgraded from inferred to an indicated                                                             (see Initiating Coverage)
resource.

Those updated resource figures will then
be incorporated into a preliminary eco-
nomic assessment over the coming weeks.
The deposit has favorable grades in a near
surface deposit. In a setting that is suppor-
tive of low capital and operating costs, it
is almost certain that the assessment will
be very positive.

Over the coming weeks, the Inter-Citic
share price should respond first to the
updated resource estimate, outlining a
deposit that is both larger and better de-
fined than the previous figures. Secondly,
the economic assessment will provide
confidence to investors that the deposit is
viable. In addition, China will gain inves-
tor recognition as the most important gold

March 6, 2009                                                          7                                www.ResourceOpportunities.com
Resource Opportunities


                                  Conferences                                                                                                                                                                                           Metal Prices - March 6, 2009
                                                Mines & Money Gulf 2009
                                                 Tuesday March 31, 2009
  The next conference where I will be              Park Hyatt Hotel Dubai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Gold                 936.70 $/ounce
   participating as a speaker will be in     “The conference will tackle high
 Zurich. I encourage you to attend, as it level topics including effective capi-                                                                                                                                                        Silver               13.29 $/ounce
  provides an excellent opportunity to      tal raising strategies in the region,                                                                                                                                                       Platinum              1067 $/ounce
     meet face to face with company        perspectives from sovereign funds,
               management.                                                                                                                                                                                                              Palladium               203 $/ounce
                                            fund managers and high net worth
                                           individuals in the region, up to date                                                                                                                                                        Rhodium               1050 $/ounce
                                           insight in the trading markets in the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Copper                 1.65 $/pound
                                                   Gulf for commodities.”
     Intelligent Resource Investing              www.minesandmoney.com                                                                                                                                                                  Nickel                 4.37 $/pound
   Gold & Silver, Base Metals, Oil &
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Aluminum               0.57 $/pound
   Gas, Renewable Energy, Uranium         Calgary Resource & Clean Energy
  Zurich March 17, Geneva March 19                Investment Conference                                                                                                                                                                 Zinc                   0.54 $/pound
 “An exclusive event with quality insti- Calgary Convention & Exhibition                                                                                                                                                                Lead                   0.53 $/pound
  tutional and private investors, world            Centre April 4-5, 2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Uranium              43.75 $/pound
    class experts and a select group of     “Featuring a world class line-up of
                companies.”               speakers, covering all types of direct                                                                                                                                                        Cobalt               11.70 $/pound
        http://academyfinance.ch/         investments in resource public com-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Molybdenum             9.80 $/pound
                                             panies, speculative investing, re-
                                          source exploration, oil & gas, world                                                                                                                                                          Tungsten             11.46 $/pound
                                              outlook, investment strategies,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Tin                    4.95 $/pound
                                                         and more!”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Indium                  321 $/kilogram
                                                     www.goldshow.ca

                                                                                                                        Editorial Policy, Disclaimer and Disclosure
                                                                                  Resource Opportunities is written,ResOpp Publishing Corp., 1510-800 West Pender St. Vancouver, BC, V6C 2V6, Canada
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Editorial Policy: Companies are selected for presentation in this publication strictly on the merits of the company. No fee is charged to the company for inclusion.
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solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities. The information contained herein is based on sources which the publisher believes to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate, and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of the available data. Any opinions expressed
are subject to change without notice. The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions. They may from time to time have a position in the securities of the companies mentioned herein, and may change their positions without notice. (Any
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significant positions will be disclosed explicitly.)
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March 6, 2009                                                                                                                                                                   8                                                                  www.ResourceOpportunities.com

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Resource Opportunities March 2009 1

  • 1. Volume 12, #4 March 2009-1 ...Discovering value in natural resource stocks Investing in an Uncertain World (A presentation delivered March 1, 2009 at the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada annual conference in Toronto) T he world has just experienced the Of course, there is no assurance that this is was particularly scary, because banks, greatest destruction of wealth ever. the bottom of the market. However, it is which are supposed to be solid and Share prices around the world are clear that there is a great deal less risk reliable, were the most vulnerable, at least down 50% or more. General Motors, long today than there was a year ago. in the U.S. and Europe. the backbone of American industry, has lost 90% of its value from a year ago. In the face of the present uncertainty, I am Investors saw gold once again hold its Some of the big American banks are gone going to outline 3 investment ideas that I value in a time of crisis. As a result, there completely, with shareholders losing believe will do well, regardless of the has been a huge inflow of wealth into the everything. direction of the broad markets. gold market. There has been such strong demand for gold coins and bars, that there Is the worst over? I don’t know. First, let’s look at gold. is a shortage of physical product. The U.S. government is throwing a trillion Many investors over the past few months Exchange traded funds and similar invest- dollars, and counting, at bailouts and eco- have taken refuge from the financial crisis ment vehicles have become extremely nomic stimulus. That huge handout seems in the safe haven of gold. popular. Gold ETFs now hold 45 million to have stabilized the situation in the U.S. ounces of gold, an all time record. Gold But, Europe is also facing some serious Sure, gold took a hit at the height of the has become the quot;most favored assetquot; of problems. crisis. But, it was nowhere near as bad as investment advisers. nearly every other investment. Gold Some people see more downside before a recovered quickly. Gold equities were also For the first time in nearly 3 decades, the recovery. Others see this as the bottom. hit hard by the financial crisis. The share investing public is looking favorably on It’s hard to know what to expect; and prices of the larger companies have also gold as an investment. And yet, gold stub- therefore it’s hard to know what to do as recovered strongly. bornly refuses to break through $1,000 and an investor. overtake the record price set a year ago. The meltdown in the financial markets After an experience like last year, and with scared the hell out of people. This crisis Some people are puzzled as to why this so much uncertainty remaining, many intense level of gold buying by investors INSIDE people will be tempted to give up on has not resulted in larger gains in the gold investing. Or worse yet, they will wait price. The reason is that investor demand on the sidelines until the popular media is only part of the picture for the gold tells them how great things are in the market. Let’s have a quick look at some of 1– Company Updates investing world. Normally, the popular the other factors influencing gold. 3– Brief Updates press being positive on any investment topic signals the top of the market. Gold is unique in that nearly all the gold 6– Initiating Coverage ever mined is still available to the market. But, the top of the market is precisely The European Central Banks are among 7-Most Favoured Companies when many people come back into the the largest holders of gold. Their sales markets. It takes a great deal of courage over the past decade have been a major 8– Conferences to invest contrary to popular wisdom. factor in the gold market. ———————————— But, that is exactly how you make money The last Issue was in the investing world. You buy when The European banks have agreed not to February 2009-1 others are afraid, and you sell when sell more than 500 tonnes (or, about 16 others are greedy. million ounces) of gold a year. March 6, 2009 1 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
  • 2. Resource Opportunities Jewelry makers do the opposite. tion is falling. Equally importantly, the Gold Supply & Demand Estimates overall reserves in the gold industry are Year from Oct 2007 – Sept 2008 The big swing variable, and therefore the declining. most important determinant in the short- term price, is investment demand. When The larger gold companies have grown investor buying overwhelms the slow- through mergers, but those mergers have down in other sectors, the price rises. been dilutive: the amount of gold Economists will tell you that when the reserves per share has declined substan- price of a commodity increases, demand tially over the past few years. falls and production increases. Economic theory doesn’t necessarily apply in the Most of the gold production is now com- mining world. The gold price has more ing from mines that are more than 15 than tripled in the past 8 years, yet years old. The pace of mine closures will demand continues to rise. accelerate, putting further downward pressure on the level of gold production. On the other hand, the supply of gold, In spite of a five-fold increase in spend- also contrary to economic theory, is ing on exploration by gold companies, falling as the price rises. the industry cannot find enough new deposits to even replace the gold being Gold mine production has been falling mined each year. for several years now, even though min- ing companies are producing all the gold Geologists have spent decades scouring they can to sell into a strong market and the earth. The big, high grade gold de- a rising price. Economic theory simply posits that are sticking out of the ground does not stand up to geologic reality. It is have been found, developed, and are not easy to increase gold production. It’s largely mined out. New discoveries will For the past three years, they have sold hard to see on the slide below, but gold be smaller, lower grade, more remote and less than the quota. However, that might production peaked in 2002, and is pro- deeper. change with the banking crisis. jected to continue to fall. The chart of gold grades over the past Another large holder of gold, the Interna- For years, the large gold companies have several years also presents an interesting tional Monetary Fund, or IMF, has been grown through acquisitions. While Bar- picture. You can see the grade for the talking about selling some or all of its rick and Newmont, for example, are each gold industry has fallen sharply over the gold for years, and again, the financial bigger than they were a few years ago, past few years. crisis may result in more of their gold on the industry is shrinking. Gold produc- the market. Other Central Banks are buy- ing, offsetting part of the European sell- ing. The Asian nations hold a very small por- tion of their reserves in gold. China, with $2 trillion, the largest foreign currency reserves of any nation, holds less than 1% in gold. There is speculation that China and other nations might increase their gold holdings. Physical demand for gold is dominated by the jewelry market. Jewelry demand in the developed world has fallen sharply with the recession, offsetting growth in jewelry demand in the emerging econo- mies. A very important factor in gold is the see -saw between investor demand and jew- elry demand. Investors tend to buy as the price rises and sell as the price falls. March 6, 2009 2 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
  • 3. Resource Opportunities The average gold grade of producing Global Gold Exploration Expenditures mines is now less than 1.3 grams per tonne. When I started my career in the mining industry, what is now the average grade for the industry would have been generally considered a geochemical anomaly, not a mine. With 8 years of rising gold prices, production continues to fall. What does all this mean to an investor? Well, there are many reasons to believe the gold price will go higher, perhaps a lot higher. But, not necessarily right away. In fact, gold has a nasty habit of dropping back after it makes a big move. But, regardless of what happens to the gold price in the near term, the gold mining Junior vs. Senior Gold Stocks industry desperately needs new deposits. Shareholders of companies that find new deposits will be richly rewarded. And, since it is getting harder to find new deposits, companies that have gold depos- its hold extremely valuable assets. The value of many deposits is not being recog- nized now, but over time, investors and the major producers will attribute higher values to the gold deposits now in the hands of the juniors. On top of that, the juniors are adding value by expanding and upgrading their deposits. This slide shows the relative value of junior gold companies versus the larger companies. For several years, the smaller companies outperformed the majors. But, Global Average Mine Grades late last year, the juniors were clobbered much worse than the larger companies. The majors and the mid-tier companies have rebounded, and some of the more established development companies have recovered some of the losses. The smaller companies are only beginning to recover. So, investment idea #1: emerging gold producers and companies with advanced stage deposits Many gold companies have seen big price gains, but there are some companies that have not yet been discovered by investors. Just remember: Not all small gold companies are created equal. Be selective. March 6, 2009 3 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
  • 4. Resource Opportunities are at least a couple of years ahead. sources contain an additional 106 million By investing in advanced exploration and There will be literally hundreds of small ounces of silver, 356,000 ounces of gold, development companies, you gain companies that arise in the green energy 301 million pounds of lead and 498 mil- exposure to the gold market, and therefore business. It will be like the mining sector, lion pounds of zinc. benefit from gains in gold. At the same where a huge amount of innovation and Juanacipio is one of the largest and richest time, you own companies that are development is being done by small silver deposits in the world. It’s not sur- growing and are adding value public companies. We have some prising that the partner would want the independent of moves in the gold price. information on our website that provides whole thing. an introduction to that sector. Now, very briefly, let’s touch on The takeover offer was announced on Investment idea # 2. Base metals are December 1, at a low point in the market. So, Investment idea # 3: Start getting totally out of favor right now. The same Even then, the offer was below the cur- familiar with Green Technology, goes for uranium. It seems that few rent trading price and only one third of especially related to energy. people in North America want anything to the high that the shares reached in the do with base metal companies or uranium previous year. Mag shares have since companies. It’s as if investors think we traded consistently above the offer price, Company Updates have stopped using metals and will never leading pundits to describe the offer as a need any new metal mines. People who “take-under” offer. MAG Silver take a longer term view can find (MAG-TSX) exceptional values. Canadian take-over procedures require that Mag present shareholders with an Mag is conducting an aggressive explora- independent valuation. The junior claims A little side comment: If you look at the tion program on several of its silver pro- top 100 mining companies in the world, that its partner has refused to provide all jects as it continues to resist the opportun- of the required information. As that drama 18 of those companies are Chinese, istic takeover offer made by its joint ven- unfolds, Mag has 12 drill rigs operating including the number 3 company on the ture partner. The company is intent on list. The Chinese take a longer term on its various properties, striving to iden- demonstrating that it merits a higher perspective than Westerners. They are tify enough ounces to justify a higher valuation than the US$4.54 per share of- going around the world now quietly price. The company has announced a $17 buying up base metals. Already this year, fer from Fresnillo plc. million program, involving 28,000 meters they have invested $25 billion in energy of drilling at the Juanacipio project and That London-listed Mexican miner earned 30,000 meters at its wholly owned pro- and base metals and they are advancing a 56% interest on Mag’s Juanacipio silver jects. on two other very large deals. Many deposit and also holds 20% of Mag’s European investors are also taking a shares. The major’s Fresnillo mine on the Mag had over $50 million of cash at the longer term perspective and quietly adjacent property ranks as the largest sil- start of its spending spree. That treasury buying base metal companies. ver mine in the world, with annual pro- provides lots of power for the highly suc- Exploration companies with billion dollar duction of 31 million ounces annually. cessful exploration team that made the ore bodies are now trading for a few discovery at Juanacipio. pennies a share. Their shares may not pop The Juanacipio deposit is clearly an ex- tension of the rich silver system that sup- With a steady flow of good exploration next week or next month, but in due ports the adjacent mine. Mag commis- course, many of those companies will results, and a market price well above the have values several times higher than the sioned an independent study that showed offer price, the Mexican company has so somewhat higher resources than the fig- current share prices. far not blinked. ures published by Fresnillo. The Mag Investment idea # 2: Selected base metal figures (which had to be revised due to an The best prospect for near term value error by the independent engineers) shows creation seems to be the 100%-owned and uranium companies that have an indicated resource of 2.95 million ton- Cinco de Mayo property in northern Chi- established resources. nes of 879 grams per tonne silver, 2.22 huahua State. Hole # 84 cut a 2.72-meter Now, investment idea # 3: This is really a grams per tonne gold, 2.39 per cent lead zone grading 462 grams per tonne (13.5 topic for a whole investment conference. I and 4.15 percent zinc. An additional in- ounces per ton) silver, 10% lead and just want to plant a seed in your minds at ferred resource has 7.21 million tonnes of 13.6% zinc in a zone called the Jose 458 grams per tonne silver, 1.54 grams this time. manto. Results demonstrate that the Jose per tonne gold, 1.89 percent lead and 3.14 manto is part of a large carbonate replace- percent zinc. The total contained metals in ment deposit system. Drilling is continu- Over the next decade, the movement the indicated resource are 83 million away from carbon fuels, that is: oil, ing with three drills. natural gas and coal, is going to gain huge ounces of silver, 210,000 ounces of gold and 155 million pounds of lead and 269 momentum. Look at the initiatives that With Fresnillo holding 56% of the pri- million pounds of zinc. The inferred re- Obama has put forward. In Europe, they mary asset (and operating the adjacent March 6, 2009 4 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
  • 5. Resource Opportunities mine), a competing bid has not come Aurcana Corporation (AUN.V; Last updated February 2009-1 forward. The share price has declined C$0.105) has nearly completed a prelimi- from the recent high as time ticks by with nary economic assessment on its Shafter Freewest Resources (FWR-TSXV; neither another offer nor a higher bid. It silver mine, located in southwest Texas. C$0.26) has made another new chromite is up to each shareholder to tender to the That study will be followed by a prefeasi- discovery on its wholly-owned McFaulds offer or simply hold their shares. bility study due in the summer. The pro- property in northern Ontario: 4 holes ject has a measured and indicated re- drilled below the Black Thor chromite Perhaps shareholders might expect the source of 24.6 million ounces of silver discovery encountered a new zone, with parties to work out a split of the com- and an inferred resource of 22.8 million assays up to 37 meters of 32% chromite. pany, letting Fresnillo get what it wants ounces silver. Plans call for silver pro- The new zone, called the Black Label (Juanacipio), and leaving the other assets duction at a rate of 3.2 million ounces per zone, is thought to be associated with under the control of a team that could add year. The mine has extensive under- platinum, palladium and nickel minerali- more value for shareholders. ground development in place, allowing zation. The discovery will be followed up the project to move quickly to produc- by further drilling. Price March 6, 2009: C$0.41 tion. The studies at Shafter will be used Shares Outstanding: 49 million to help the company find financing to Recent drilling at the Black Thor deposit Shares Fully Diluted: 52 million has returned assays up to 30 meters of develop the mine. Market Cap: C$ 20 million 40.3% chromite. Black Thor and Black The La Negra silver-lead-zinc-copper Contact: Investor Relations Label are located 4 kilometers northeast mine in Mexico continues to operate at 604-630-1399 of the Big Daddy chromite deposit, an- 1,000 tonnes per day, but the low metal other high grade deposit recently identi- www.magsilver.com prices have squeezed profits. The fied by Freewest and its partners. Spider Last updated December 2008-1 Rosario mine was put on hold as metal Resources (SPQ-TSXV) and KWG Re- prices plummeted and the company chose sources (KWG-TSXV) have each earned Brief Updates to focus on development of the Texas a 25% interest in the Big Daddy project. mine. Altius Minerals (ALS-TSX; C$6.26) Freewest now has three chromite deposits reported earnings from its third quarter Shafter is an attractive silver mine devel- on which drilling continues to push out ended January 31, 2009 at $31.6 million opment project. If the company can se- the limits. The company has various or $1.11 per share. These earnings came cure financing on favorable terms, there other projects, with joint venture partners from the forward equity settlement of 2.5 is considerable upside potential in the funding several of them. The most sig- million shares of Aurora Energy for earn- share price from the current level. nificant is the Clarence Stream gold de- ings of $38 million less $6.7 million in Last updated December 2008-2 posit in New Brunswick on which an tax. Altius reported $689,000 in earnings updated resource estimate is expected from its 0.3% net smelter royalty interest Exeter Resource Corp (XRC-TSXV; soon. from the Voiseys' Bay nickel-copper- C$2.72) encountered another very long cobalt mine in Labrador, down from drill hole intercept from the ongoing pro- Freewest is so far getting little credit for $1.38 million in the same quarter of last gram at its Caspiche gold-copper por- the very significant discoveries in north- year due to depressed metal prices. The phyry project in Chile: The hole cut an ern Ontario. Those deposits, along with company also reported interest income of impressive 1,214 meters of 0.9 grams per discoveries in the area by other compa- $1.38 million compared to $2.3 million in tonne gold and 0.33% copper. This hole nies, are now capable of supporting infra- the same quarter last year as a result of supports the notion that mineralization structure development. The provincial lower interest rates. extends well beyond the limits of the government is looking closely at road previous drilling on the project. access and at least a couple of major met- Altius has fourteen mineral properties, als companies are already evaluating the several with joint venture partners, and Exeter is well on its way to outline a very suite of deposits now being outlined by holds various investments in junior ex- substantial deposit in Chile by this Sep- Freewest and the other companies in the ploration and development compa- tember. They also expect a resource esti- area. nies. The company has $160 million in mate on the Cerro Moro project in Ar- Last updated January 2009-1 cash and liquid investments and is look- gentina by this summer. ing to take advantage of opportunities in Full Metal Minerals (FMM-TSXV; the present market situation. There are With nearly $40 million in cash, Exeter is C$0.175) announced a new discovery of good prospects that the skilled manage- well positioned to continue its two ag- high grade zinc-lead-silver mineraliza- ment team will make a deal in the next gressive drill campaigns. The resource tion. The discovery resulted from drilling few months that will add value for share- estimates expected over the coming 8 holes last year at its OG project, 40 holders. In the meantime, the company months should help investors to better kilometers north of Dawson city in the trades at roughly cash value. valuate the exceptional exploration suc- Yukon. Highlights include 11.9 meters at Last updated January 2009-2 cess experienced by the company. an average grade of 14% zinc, 5.7% lead March 6, 2009 5 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
  • 6. Resource Opportunities and 26 grams per tonne silver. The drill gold in 2009, and expected to grow to Initiating Coverage program was designed to test a 1.7 square over 400,000 ounces in 2012. Minable kilometer soil anomaly and geophysical reserves will total 7.6 million gold ounces Inter-Citic Minerals gravity high. The new area of mineraliza- within a measured and indicated resource (ICI-TSX) tion, called the Sundar zone, consists of of 12.2 million gold ounces. Randall Ol- massive to semi-massive sphalerite, ga- iphant, former president of Barrick and Inter-Citic Minerals is a gold exploration lena, pyrite and chalcopyrite and is open now chairman of Western Goldfields, will and development company with a multi- for expansion in all directions. be executive chairman. Cash flow from million ounce gold deposit in China. Re- the three mines is expected to fully fund sults of drilling over the past year are now Full Metal has a large portfolio of proper- development at the New Afton gold- being worked into an updated resource ties in Alaska and the Yukon Territory copper project in British Columbia and estimate. Those resource figures will then with joint venture partners funding seven also put the company in a strong position be carried forward into a preliminary eco- projects. This is the third silver-base to undertake further acquisitions. nomic assessment over the coming weeks. metal discovery the company has made The strong likelihood of favorable results over the last year, yet investors are giving The company would have $171 million in from those two studies provides a basis the company little value beyond the near- cash, $77 million in long-term asset for substantial gains in the value of the term production potential of its Lucky backed commercial paper and $275 mil- company over the coming weeks. Shot Gold project. lion of debt. Once the transaction is com- Last updated February 2009-1 pleted, New Gold will have 348 million Rapidly expanding gold production in shares outstanding and 436 million shares China has made that country the world’s Hathor Exploration (HAT- fully diluted. The transaction will create a largest gold producer. Last year, Chinese TSXV;C$2.12) reported assays from in- bigger and stronger mid-tier presence that production exceeded the U.S. and the fill and step-out drilling at its Midwest will be in a position to grow and make long time leader, South Africa. Investors Northeast uranium deposit in the Atha- further acquisitions. have not kept up to the rapid emergence basca Basin. The drilling, which began in Last updated January 2009-1 of the gold industry in that country. Inter- January included 16 holes, of which 10 Citic is well positioned to benefit from a holes were designed for infill purposes Virginia Mines (VGQ-TSX; C$3.88) growing awareness of the importance of and 6 holes tested mineralization at dis- announced that Goldcorp updated the China in the gold industry as well as from tances 40 to 550 meters from the Rough- resource estimate at the Eleanore gold the pending developments on its project. rider zone. None of the step-out holes hit, project to 2.3 million ounces of gold at while nine of the ten infill holes hit ura- 10.05 grams per tonne in the measured Inter-Citic president, James Moore, has nium. The standout was 15 meters of 12% and indicated categories and 3 millionworked with the Chinese resource indus- U3O8, but the other values were lower ounces at 12.75 grams per tonne in thetry for over a decade. His strong ties grade or narrow. Investors were clearly inferred category. The increased resource within the industry led to the acquisition expecting more consistency, as the share is important to Virginia, which retains a of the project. Much of the initial funding price took a big hit. The company still has royalty interest on the deposit that it dis- for the company came from investors in a significant uranium discovery, within covered and sold to Goldcorp. At the cur- Hong Kong with whom Mr. Moore had easy trucking distance of mills operated rent gold price, the royalty would be 3% contacts. Vice President of Exploration, by the three largest uranium producers. of revenue. Advance royalty payments in Garth Pierce, has over 30 years experi- The dip in the price represents a buying the amount of $100,000 per month are ence working in exploration and project opportunity. due to begin flowing to Virginia next management, including a highly success- Last updated January 2009-2 month. ful career with one of the majors. The directors and advisory team bring a Virginia is conducting an aggressive $7 wealth of experience and contacts. New Gold Inc (NGD-TSX; C$2.20) and million exploration program on its Que- Included is a former Prime Minister of Western Goldfields Inc. have agreed that bec properties this year, with much of that Canada, John Turner. New Gold will acquire all of the shares of being reimbursed by joint venture part- Western Goldfields on the basis of one ners and provincial government grants. In 2003, Inter-Citic entered into a joint New Gold common share and 0.01 cent in venture with the Qinghai Geological Sur- cash for each common share of Western Virginia has $38 million in cash, which vey to acquire the Dachang gold project, Goldfields. Existing New Gold and West- together with the value of the royalty in- which covers 279 square kilometers. The ern Goldfields shareholders will own 58% terest exceeds the current market value of local government agency recognized the and 42% respectively, of the combined the company, giving no credit to the significance of the gold occurrence, but company. The combined company will highly successful exploration team and lacked funding to carry out the work. In- have gold production from three gold the several discoveries already in hand. ter-Citic has now earned an 83% interest mines in mining-friendly jurisdictions, Last updated January 2009-2 in the property and has the option to in- forecast to produce 335,000 ounces of crease its interest to 90% by completing a March 6, 2009 6 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
  • 7. Resource Opportunities pre-feasibility study. The agreement also producing nation and in general as a fa- Most Favored Companies: gives Inter-Citic the right of first refusal vorable place to do business. on properties around the Dachang prop- Capstone Mining (CS-TSX;C$1.25) erty. Inter-Citic intends to develop the Dachang main zone and to continue to evaluate a CGA Mining (CGA-TSX;C$1.59) The Dachang gold project is located in number of other promising gold occur- Qinghai province in western China, 170 rences on its extensive property. Dachang Endeavour Financial (EDV- kilometers southeast of the city of Gol- is a large and well-located deposit that TSX;C$1.55) mud where major infrastructure is avail- will be of interest to any number of gold able. The structurally controlled sulfide producers. Exeter Resource (XRC- deposit occurs near surface in a sediment TSXV;C$2.72) host rock. Geologists were led to the area Inter-Citic has $11 million in cash (as of (see brief update) by gold placer workings. late last year) more than enough to carry it through the next phase of work on the Freewest Resources (FWR- After identifying numerous gold occur- project. TSXV;C$0.29) rences, Inter-Citic in 2007 focused on (see brief update) what is now referred to as the Dachang Adjusting for its cash and using last year’s main zone. That year, 28,000 meters of resource estimate, the company is pres- Great Basin Gold (GBG- drilling helped to outline an inferred re- ently being valued at only $8.50 per TSX;C$1.29) source of 25 million tonnes grading 3.6 ounce gold in the ground. The share grams per tonne, for a total of 2.9 million value should be adjusted upwards as the ounces of gold. The majority of those deposit is both upgraded and expanded in Keegan Resources (KGN- ounces are within the Dachang main zone, the coming weeks. TSXV;C$2.59) where drilling has so far been done to depths of only 150 meters. Price March 6, 2009: C$0.39 Mag Silver (MAG-TSX;C$5.45) Shares Outstanding: 82 million (see update) In 2008, 50,000 meters of drilling was Shares Fully Diluted: 86.6 million completed along with IP geophysical Market Cap: C$ 31.9 million Silvercorp Metals (SVM- work, metallurgy and preliminary engi- Contact: Investor Relations TSX;C$2.79) neering. Of 317 holes drilled, 299 holes (905) 479-5072 returned significant gold values. The www.inter-citic.com Virginia Mines (VGQ- results are now being compiled into an TSXV;C$3.88) updated resource estimate that is expected (see brief update) in the next month. Results of the 2008 drilling make it clear that the deposit will New to the list: be significantly larger than the 2.9 million ounces previously outlined. In addition, a substantial portion of the resource will be Inter-Citic (ICI-TSX;$0.39) upgraded from inferred to an indicated (see Initiating Coverage) resource. Those updated resource figures will then be incorporated into a preliminary eco- nomic assessment over the coming weeks. The deposit has favorable grades in a near surface deposit. In a setting that is suppor- tive of low capital and operating costs, it is almost certain that the assessment will be very positive. Over the coming weeks, the Inter-Citic share price should respond first to the updated resource estimate, outlining a deposit that is both larger and better de- fined than the previous figures. Secondly, the economic assessment will provide confidence to investors that the deposit is viable. In addition, China will gain inves- tor recognition as the most important gold March 6, 2009 7 www.ResourceOpportunities.com
  • 8. Resource Opportunities Conferences Metal Prices - March 6, 2009 Mines & Money Gulf 2009 Tuesday March 31, 2009 The next conference where I will be Park Hyatt Hotel Dubai Gold 936.70 $/ounce participating as a speaker will be in “The conference will tackle high Zurich. I encourage you to attend, as it level topics including effective capi- Silver 13.29 $/ounce provides an excellent opportunity to tal raising strategies in the region, Platinum 1067 $/ounce meet face to face with company perspectives from sovereign funds, management. Palladium 203 $/ounce fund managers and high net worth individuals in the region, up to date Rhodium 1050 $/ounce insight in the trading markets in the Copper 1.65 $/pound Gulf for commodities.” Intelligent Resource Investing www.minesandmoney.com Nickel 4.37 $/pound Gold & Silver, Base Metals, Oil & Aluminum 0.57 $/pound Gas, Renewable Energy, Uranium Calgary Resource & Clean Energy Zurich March 17, Geneva March 19 Investment Conference Zinc 0.54 $/pound “An exclusive event with quality insti- Calgary Convention & Exhibition Lead 0.53 $/pound tutional and private investors, world Centre April 4-5, 2009 Uranium 43.75 $/pound class experts and a select group of “Featuring a world class line-up of companies.” speakers, covering all types of direct Cobalt 11.70 $/pound http://academyfinance.ch/ investments in resource public com- Molybdenum 9.80 $/pound panies, speculative investing, re- source exploration, oil & gas, world Tungsten 11.46 $/pound outlook, investment strategies, Tin 4.95 $/pound and more!” Indium 321 $/kilogram www.goldshow.ca Editorial Policy, Disclaimer and Disclosure Resource Opportunities is written,ResOpp Publishing Corp., 1510-800 West Pender St. Vancouver, BC, V6C 2V6, Canada is published by edited and published by Lawrence Roulston 1510-800 West Pender St.Vancouver, BC, V6C 2V6, Canada, Toll Free 877-773-7677 Tel: (604) 697-0026, Fax (604) 697-0029, e-mail info@resourceopportunities.com www.ResourceOpportunities.com Toll Free 877-773-7677 Tel: (604) 697-0026, Fax (604) 697-0029, e-mail info@resourceopportunities.com www.ResourceOpportunities.com Editorial Policy: Companies are selected for presentation in this publication strictly on the merits of the company. No fee is charged to the company for inclusion. Editorial Policy: Companies are selected for presentation in this publication strictly on the merits of the company. No fee is charged to the company for inclusion. Currencies: Dollar and $ refer to US dollars, unless stated otherwise or obvious from the context (for example, a share price on a Canadian exchange). Currencies: Dollar and $ refer to US dollars, unless stated otherwise or obvious from the context (for example, a share price on a Canadian exchange). Disclaimer: Readers are advised that the material contained herein is solely for information purposes. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and due diligence, and/or obtain professional advice. Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a Disclaimer: Readers are advised that the material contained herein is solely for information purposes. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and due diligence, and/or obtain professional advice. Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities. The information contained herein is based on sources which the publisher believes to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate, and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of the available data. Any opinions expressed solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities. The information contained herein is based on sources which the publisher believes to be reliable, but is not guaranteed to be accurate, and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of the available data. Any opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions. 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