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Is China Giving Rise
Threats To the World?
           --The China Threat Theory




           made by Daphne 08530602
                   Rayon 08533121
A wild tiger or paper tiger?

 The number of
  wealthy Chinese rank
  world’s fourth!


 LV (LouisVuitton)
  thanks the Chinese!


 Dice City (Las Vegas)
  loves Chinese!
Surface Phenomena!




   The same          Dangerous!
picture~but…
A wild tiger or paper tiger?
                        --continue

 Uneven economic
  development!

 Load factor is out
  of limits severely!

 Low scientific and
  technological
  content!
A new round of "China
          threat"
 India: China’s
  economics and IT
  threat

 Japan: China’s
  nuclear threat   (4th may)


 America: China’s
  economics and
  military threat (in June
                               From:   http//world.people.com.cn/GB/14549/3891509.html




   and July)
Why advertise “China Threat
          Theory”?
 Lacks understanding
  of China reality


 Maintain “the
  advantages
 of democracy”

                                Hey! She is with me!
 Expansion of the      From news.sohu.com/20061204/n246787749.shtml



  hegemonic mentality
Why advertise “China Threat
             Theory”? --- continue
 Excuse to develop
  military power
 Make up public
  opinion -against
  China
 Lead dissatisfaction
    of domestic
  reality to China
 They think China is
                         From   hk.huaxia.com/zhwh/wzzdlj/2006/12/113709.html
World’s economic power

China’s rise
has been
viewed with
uncertainty ,
anxiousness in
the west
 In the context of
  the financial
  crisis, China's 9
  percent economic
  growth
  in the global
  economy
  can be said to
  be thriving
While actually is Not…

 China is far from the world’s
 economics power

   As far as 2006, China's gross
  domestic product (GDP) is only equal
  to one-tenth of the EU 。 Japan's
  GDP is only 40% of U.S and Europe
  but still four times of China.
Can be seen that the Chinese are far
 from the economic superpower
Us$                                                       Imports and exports
12000
                               GDP

10000                          External trade                          2000

8000
                                                                        1500
6000

                                                                        1000
4000


2000                                                                    500


 0                                                                      0
        America   EU   Japan      Asia          China   Canada
        Mexica
Monopoly of global manufacturing?




                          manufactu
                          ring

                  China
Actually…
China is only the last
value chain of link in
world's manufacturing !

              Let’s have a look~
Balance trade

80

                                                         1985     1990
                              Buy from Japan
60
                                                         1995



40


20



0



20

           Sell to China
40



60
                      China      Japan         America   Europe
Does China
 squeeze
 other
 countries in
 the world?
 In fact, China's rise does not squeeze
  the living space of neighboring
  countries in East Asia


 Asian economies trade issue is not
  caused by the Chinese 。


 See the graph below…..
US$
      China does not take away the foreign direct
      investment ( FDI ) from other East Asian
70
      economies
             NIEs/ASEAN (Newly industrialzed
             economics/association of southeast Asian nations )

               The double counting part in China’s FDI
60             possibly
               Net FDI of China

50


40


30


20


10


 0
      1985                   1990                        1995     2000
Conclusion !

 China's rise will bring opportunities to the
  neighboring countries

 Between China and developed countries,
  there has a relationship of
  complementarity.

 China act as a great leading role In
  economic development.
It is an opportunity instead of threat ! ^0^
references
• Lu Gang & Guo Xuetang (2004)<China threats whom?-unscramble
    “China threat theory”>P305~336
•   Zhang Quanyi (2004)<Hot issues on the contemporary world politics
    and economics>Chapter12:Analysis of "China threat theory"
•   http://www.china.com.cn/chinese/jingji/252900.htm
•   http://www.china.com.cn/chinese/jingji/252900.htm
•   <http://pdfserve.informaworld.com/576004_731253146_713675895.
    pdf>
•   BROOMFIELD, E. (2003, May). Perceptions of Danger: the China
    threat theory. Journal of Contemporary China, 12(35), 265.
    Retrieved July 20, 2009, from Academic Search Elite database.
•   Zhongren, W. (1997, July 14). `China threat' theory groundless.
    Beijing Review, 40(28), 7. Retrieved July 20, 2009, from Academic
    Search Elite database.

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Is China giving rise threats to the world?

  • 1. Is China Giving Rise Threats To the World? --The China Threat Theory made by Daphne 08530602 Rayon 08533121
  • 2. A wild tiger or paper tiger?  The number of wealthy Chinese rank world’s fourth!  LV (LouisVuitton) thanks the Chinese!  Dice City (Las Vegas) loves Chinese!
  • 3. Surface Phenomena! The same Dangerous! picture~but…
  • 4. A wild tiger or paper tiger? --continue  Uneven economic development!  Load factor is out of limits severely!  Low scientific and technological content!
  • 5. A new round of "China threat"  India: China’s economics and IT threat  Japan: China’s nuclear threat (4th may)  America: China’s economics and military threat (in June From: http//world.people.com.cn/GB/14549/3891509.html and July)
  • 6. Why advertise “China Threat Theory”?  Lacks understanding of China reality  Maintain “the advantages of democracy” Hey! She is with me!  Expansion of the From news.sohu.com/20061204/n246787749.shtml hegemonic mentality
  • 7. Why advertise “China Threat Theory”? --- continue  Excuse to develop military power  Make up public opinion -against China  Lead dissatisfaction of domestic reality to China  They think China is From hk.huaxia.com/zhwh/wzzdlj/2006/12/113709.html
  • 8. World’s economic power China’s rise has been viewed with uncertainty , anxiousness in the west
  • 9.  In the context of the financial crisis, China's 9 percent economic growth in the global economy can be said to be thriving
  • 10. While actually is Not…  China is far from the world’s economics power    As far as 2006, China's gross domestic product (GDP) is only equal to one-tenth of the EU 。 Japan's GDP is only 40% of U.S and Europe but still four times of China.
  • 11. Can be seen that the Chinese are far from the economic superpower Us$ Imports and exports 12000 GDP 10000 External trade 2000 8000 1500 6000 1000 4000 2000 500 0 0 America EU Japan Asia China Canada Mexica
  • 12. Monopoly of global manufacturing? manufactu ring China
  • 13. Actually… China is only the last value chain of link in world's manufacturing ! Let’s have a look~
  • 14. Balance trade 80 1985 1990 Buy from Japan 60 1995 40 20 0 20 Sell to China 40 60 China Japan America Europe
  • 15. Does China squeeze other countries in the world?
  • 16.  In fact, China's rise does not squeeze the living space of neighboring countries in East Asia  Asian economies trade issue is not caused by the Chinese 。  See the graph below…..
  • 17. US$ China does not take away the foreign direct investment ( FDI ) from other East Asian 70 economies NIEs/ASEAN (Newly industrialzed economics/association of southeast Asian nations ) The double counting part in China’s FDI 60 possibly Net FDI of China 50 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1990 1995 2000
  • 18. Conclusion !  China's rise will bring opportunities to the neighboring countries  Between China and developed countries, there has a relationship of complementarity.  China act as a great leading role In economic development.
  • 19. It is an opportunity instead of threat ! ^0^
  • 20.
  • 21. references • Lu Gang & Guo Xuetang (2004)<China threats whom?-unscramble “China threat theory”>P305~336 • Zhang Quanyi (2004)<Hot issues on the contemporary world politics and economics>Chapter12:Analysis of "China threat theory" • http://www.china.com.cn/chinese/jingji/252900.htm • http://www.china.com.cn/chinese/jingji/252900.htm • <http://pdfserve.informaworld.com/576004_731253146_713675895. pdf> • BROOMFIELD, E. (2003, May). Perceptions of Danger: the China threat theory. Journal of Contemporary China, 12(35), 265. Retrieved July 20, 2009, from Academic Search Elite database. • Zhongren, W. (1997, July 14). `China threat' theory groundless. Beijing Review, 40(28), 7. Retrieved July 20, 2009, from Academic Search Elite database.