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Estimating a Statewide Funding Shortfall Using MPO Long Range Plans Alex Bond, AICP University of South Florida March 16, 2010
What is an MPO? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Documents Adopted by MPOs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Theory ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
About the Review ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
General Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Needs Plan” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Shortfall Methodology
Adjusting to Common Year ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Standardizing and Annualizing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TWENTY-YEAR STATEWIDE FUNDING SHORTFALL CURRENT YEAR FDOT WORK PROGRAM
Shortfall Details ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Limitations and Conditions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Shortfalls Varied Considerably Larger shortfalls in new, high-growth areas  Smaller shortfalls in older, lower-growth areas One area had no shortfall at all! MPO 20-year Shortfall (millions) Percent Shortfall Okaloosa-Walton $6,399.2 85.3% Gainesville $359.1 84.4% Lee $4,668.6 63.5% Brevard $935.4 57.4% Pasco $1,644.4 51.4% First Coast $3,166.8 47.2% Collier $2,103.2 41.4% Capital Region $1,066.5 38.8% Sarasota/Manatee $983.9 26.6% Broward $2,245.0 24.2% Miami-Dade $3,260.6 14.3% METROPLAN Orlando $1,244.5 12.7% Pinellas $741.1 9.4% Indian River -$19.8 -2.3% Total $62,472.5 42.9%
Risk Factors for a Shortfall ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Alex Bond, AICP ALBond@cutr.usf.edu  (813) 974-9779 Report available from  www.mpoac.org/documents

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20-year Transportation Funding Shortfall in Florida

  • 1. Estimating a Statewide Funding Shortfall Using MPO Long Range Plans Alex Bond, AICP University of South Florida March 16, 2010
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.  
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. TWENTY-YEAR STATEWIDE FUNDING SHORTFALL CURRENT YEAR FDOT WORK PROGRAM
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Shortfalls Varied Considerably Larger shortfalls in new, high-growth areas Smaller shortfalls in older, lower-growth areas One area had no shortfall at all! MPO 20-year Shortfall (millions) Percent Shortfall Okaloosa-Walton $6,399.2 85.3% Gainesville $359.1 84.4% Lee $4,668.6 63.5% Brevard $935.4 57.4% Pasco $1,644.4 51.4% First Coast $3,166.8 47.2% Collier $2,103.2 41.4% Capital Region $1,066.5 38.8% Sarasota/Manatee $983.9 26.6% Broward $2,245.0 24.2% Miami-Dade $3,260.6 14.3% METROPLAN Orlando $1,244.5 12.7% Pinellas $741.1 9.4% Indian River -$19.8 -2.3% Total $62,472.5 42.9%
  • 16.
  • 17. Alex Bond, AICP ALBond@cutr.usf.edu (813) 974-9779 Report available from www.mpoac.org/documents

Editor's Notes

  1. Varying effective dates, base years, and revenue reporting standards Some MPOs include O+M of roadways and transit Varying definition of “needs” Some MPOs have no transit shortfall Some MPOs used boxed funds