Gurumurthy Kalyanaram - Forecast and Actual Results, US Elections, 2012....

1. FORECAST AND ACTUAL RESULTS, US ELECTIONS, 2012
Gurumurthy Kalyanaram
Final Actual
Result
President
332
(Electoral Votes)
Forecast by GK
(Based on
Analysis of Polls)
309
(Electoral Votes)
Senate
53 Democrats
53 Democrats
House of
Representatives
233 Republicans
The Republicans
will retain control
of the House, but
with a lesser
majority (likely
majority of about
15).
Comments
I predicted that
Romney will win
Florida, but Obama
won by 50% to
49.1%. Florida has
29 electoral votes.
So, 303 plus 29 is
332 electoral votes.
Apart from the 53
Democratic senators,
there are two
independent senators
(Sanders from
Vermont and King
from Maine) who
will caucus with
(support) Democrats,
making their total 55.
It takes 218
Representatives to
constitute a majority.
Republicans have
won 233, a majority
of 15 – exactly the
predicted number.