WTO's 11th Ministerial Conference – Buenos Aires What's At Stake for Domestic Support?
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Nelson Illescas IFPRI POLICY SEMINAR Global food security and the WTO: The role of Mercosur countries FEB 22, 2017 - 12:15 PM TO 01:45 PM EST
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WTO's 11th Ministerial Conference – Buenos Aires What's At Stake for Domestic Support?
- 1. WTO's 11th Ministerial Conference – Buenos Aires What's at stake for domestic support Nelson Illescas – INAI Foundation February 22, 2017 - IFPRI
- 3. Producer Support Estimate – (%PSE) Source: Generated by the authors based on data from OECD and Agrimonitor-IADB. Importance of domestic support in agriculture 61% 54% 49% 49% 45% 24% 19% 19% 18% 17% 15% 15% 12% 12% 11% 9% 8% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% -23% Three year average (2010-12)
- 4. ERAMA Zero PSE Demand shock Shock & Zero PSE 10% Baseline 2025 Elimination all measures Elimination all measures Context Producer support Simulated Scenarios 5
- 5. ERAMA Zero PSE Demand shock Shock & Zero PSE 120 154 179 142 Context Producer support World grain and oilseed imports (Billion USD) 6 16.4% 17.6%
- 6. 7 1.8% 67 000 t 1.8% 118 000 t 20% 195 000 t Demand shock (Zero PSE) Erama (Zero PSE) 3.4% 101 000 t 1.5% 90 000 t 23.4% 171 000 t ABPU Net Exports Change
- 7. 8 ABPU Net Exports Change 4.4% 97 000 t 19.3% 18 352 000 t 10.7% 2 726 000 t Erama (Zero PSE) 10.9% 218 000 t 19.2% 17 209 000 t 11.1% 2 673 000 t 4.8% 520 000 t 13% 1 161 000 t Demand shock (Zero PSE)
- 8. 9 40 420 000 t 3 311 000 t Erama (Zero PSE) 38 091 000 t 3 147 000 t 2 289 000 t 20 478 000 t 1 141 000 t 1 128 000 t Net Change in Imports Demand shock (Zero PSE)
- 9. Different approaches • Domestic support • Reduction of commitment levels? New rules? • De minimis • Notifications • Cotton • Market Access? • Export Competition • Public Stockholding for Food Security Purposes • Special Safeguard Mechanism
- 10. Future developments Different analysis proposed in Domestic Support Analysis of the other pillars Elaboration of alternative proposals
- 11. Contact Us INAI Foundation Street: Av. Corrientes 127 4º Buenos Aires - Argentina nillescas@inai.org.ar www.inai.org.ar +5411 43121092 @Fundacion_INAI We are Social Fundación INAI Fundación INAI