Australian Residential Property Presentation14 04 2009
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A landscape of Residential Property Investment in Australia
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Australian Residential Property Presentation14 04 2009
- 1. The following are excerpts from a lengthy presentation on the current property opportunities in some of the eastern coast cities in Australia. The last four slides are past examples from our researched recommendations around Australia. Maurice Goldberg 14 April 2009
- 2. Pulse property Research Model c Country Where 1. Demographics States 2. Infrastructure Value Cities 3. Yield variations 4. Economic cycles & Employment Suburbs 5. Supply & demand Street Project What “Pulse Property Rating System” Solution Opportunity 5 Layer, 45 Point Filter Project Where 1. Yield opportunity Knowledge 2. Negotiated Reductions Experience /Volume 3. Lifestyle Demand Networks, Relationships & 4. Developer Stress Reputation Pulse research model vers:022009.1
- 4. Nominal Sydney House Prices (1959 to 2008) 2005 dollars 500 450 1961 credit crunch & 400 Australian Recession 1987 stockmarket crash 350 300 1982 global recession 250 1974 global recession 200 150 100 1990’s global recession 50 0 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
- 5. ANZ Residential Property Outlook * * ANZ economics report 2008. Note: Equities fell almost 50% since this report was written.
- 6. Australia vs USA Vacancy Rates. 1995-2008 Australian and US Vacancy Rates 12 US vacancy rates Sydney vacancies 10 Melbourne vacancies Brisbane vacancies 8 6 4 2 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
- 7. SUPPLY & DEMAND - dwelling deficiency Estimated Dwelling Stock Deficiency by State ('000) 60 50.8 50 2007 2008(f) 40 2009(f) 30 22.1 19.5 20 10 4.3 0.9 0.4 0 NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT -1.7 -1.8 -10 Source: BIS Shrapnel and Pulse Property Research
- 8. SYDNEY - hot spot - 2009 • NSW has the biggest undersupply of any state or territory (forecast shortage of 50,800 units of dwelling stock) • vacancy rates for rental stock is amongst the lowest in the country (around 0.9%) property prices have remained flat since late 2003 – • Sydney is well and truly past the correction Period •residential construction rates are at the lowest level in 50 years •rents are forecast to increase by another 25% over the next three years (2009-2011)
- 9. Sydney. Rockwall Apartments Sydney – Potts Point Potts Point. 1996 • $420,000 Purchase price • May 1995 Purchase date • August 1996 Settlement date • 364% Increase in value • $1,950,000 Current value • 11.6% Annualised growth p.a.
- 10. Melbourne – Port Melbourne. 2000 • $390,000 Purchase price • 2000 Purchase date • 2002 Settlement date • Approx 64% Increase in value • $638,000 Current value
- 11. Perth – Hay Street, Subiaco. 2004 • $475,000 Purchase price • June 2004 Purchase date • July 2006 Sale date • Approx 74% Increase in value • $825,000 Sale value
- 12. Darwin - Cullen Bay. 2003 • $345,000 Purchase price • Oct 2003 Purchase date • Oct 2005 Settlement date • Approx 80% Increase in value • $620,000 Current value