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Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016
Earnings Results
January 24, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Richard Edwards
Director of Investor Relations
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016
Earnings Results
January 24, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 2
Except for historical information contained herein, the matters set forth in this document, including but not limited to management’s expectations regarding
future sales, shipments, margins, currencies,net income and cash flow, the opportunities for expansion and diversification of the Company’s business and the
Company’s guidance on earnings per share are forward-looking statements that involve certainrisks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as product offerings, promotional activities and
pricing strategies by competitors; manufacturing operation expansion initiatives; acquisition integration costs; product recalls; warranty expenses; foreign
currency exchange rate fluctuations; environmental and product safety regulatory activity; effects of weather; commodity costs; uninsured product liability
claims; uncertainty in the retail and wholesale credit markets; performance of affiliate partners; changes in tax policy and overall economic conditions,
including inflation, consumer confidence and spending and relationships with dealers and suppliers. Investors are also directed to consider other risks and
uncertainties discussed in our 2015 annual report and Form 10-K and subsequent Form 10-Qs filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. The Company does not undertake any duty to any person to provide updates to its forward-looking statements.
The data source for retail sales figures included in this presentation is registration information provided by Polaris dealers in North America and compiled by
the Company or Company estimates. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning retail sales, and other retail sales data sources
and this information is subject to revision.
Non-GAAP Measures - Constant Currency Reporting. This presentation includes information regarding the Company’s 2016 actual results and 2017 full year
expectations on a constant currency basis, which is a non-GAAP measure,as well as on a GAAP basis. For purpose of comparison, the results on a constant
currency basis uses the respective prior year exchange rates for the comparative period to enhance the visibility of the underlying business trends, excluding
the impact of translation arising from foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations.
This presentation also contains certainnon-GAAP financial measures,consisting of “adjusted” gross profit, operating expenses, net income and net income
per diluted share” as measures of our operating performance.Management believes these measures may be useful in performing meaningful comparisons of
past and present operating results, to understand the performance of its ongoing operations and how management views the business. Reconciliations of
adjusted non-GAAP measures to reported GAAP measures are included in the financial schedules contained in this presentation. These measures,however,
should not be construed as an alternative to any other measure of performance determined in accordance with GAAP.
3Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Safe Harbor
4Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Throughout this presentation, the word “Adjusted” is used to refer to GAAP results minus the following:
TAP Inventory step-up purchase accounting
TAP acquisition costs and integration expenses
Impacts associated with the Victory wind down
Beginning in 2017 a new reporting segment called “Aftermarket” was established which includes TAP plus
our 5 aftermarket brands; 509, Klim, Kolpin, Pro Armor and Trail Tech, that were previously included in
the ORV/Snowmobiles and Motorcycles reporting segments. 2016 sales and gross profit results will be
reclassified to account for the fourth segment beginning in 2017 for comparison purposes.
See slide 5 for GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations
Key Definitions
5Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
GAAP / Non-GAAP Reconciliation Schedules
Reconciliation of GAAP "Reported" Results to "Adjusted" Results (unaudited)
Q4 2016 Reported GAAP Measures Adjustments Adjusted Measures
Q4 2016 Q4 2015 $ Chg % Chg Q4 2016 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q4 2015 $ Chg % Chg
Sales $1,217,789 $1,105,618 $ 112,171 10% $ - - $1,217,789 $1,105,618 $ 112,171 10%
Gross Profit 312,772 310,274 2,498 1% 8,803 (1)
- 321,575 310,274 11,301 4%
Gross Profit % 25.7% 28.1% - (238) bps 26.4% 28.1% - (165) bps
Operating Exp. 233,332 169,072 64,260 38%
(12,651)(2) - 220,681 169,072 51,609 31%
Net Income 62,581 110,682 (48,101) (43%) 13,515 (3)
- 76,096 110,682 (34,586) (31%)
Diluted EPS $ 0.97 $ 1.66 $ (0.69) (42%) $ 0.21 - $ 1.18 $ 1.66 $ (0.48) (29%)
FY 2016 Reported GAAP Measures Adjustments Adjusted Measures
FY 2016 FY 2015 $ Chg % Chg FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2015 $ Chg % Chg
Sales $4,516,629 $4,719,290 $(202,661) (4%) $ - - $4,516,629 $4,719,290 $(202,661) (4%)
Gross Profit 1,105,623 1,339,042 (233,419) (17%) 8,803 (1)
- 1,114,426 1,339,042 (224,616) (17%)
Gross Profit % 24.5% 28.4% - (389) bps 24.7% 28.4% - (370) bps
Operating Exp. 833,803 692,206 141,597 20% (12,651)(2)
- 821,152 692,206 128,946 19%
Net Income 212,948 455,361 (242,413) (53%) 13,515 (3)
- 226,463 455,361 (228,898) (50%)
Diluted EPS $ 3.27 $ 6.75 $ (3.48) (52%) $ 0.21 - $ 3.48 $ 6.75 $ (3.27) (48%)
Adjustments:
(1) Represents inventory step-up related to the TAP acquisition
(2) Represents the acquisition costs and integration expenses related to the TAP acquisition
(3) The company used its estimated statutory tax rate of ~37% for the non-GAAP adjustments
2017 Adjusted Guidance: 2017 guidance excludes the pre-tax effect of TAP inventory step-up purchase accounting of approx. $15 million, acquisition integration costs of approx. $15
million and the impacts associated with the Victory wind down which could be in a range of $50 to $70 million in 2017. The Company is in the process of finalizing its analysis of the
anticipated total costs to wind down the Victory motorcycle business and will provide more clarity as the analysis is completed and the costs are incurred throughout the year. 2017
sales guidance excludes any Victory wholegoods sales as the Company is exiting the brand beginning in 2017.
Scott W. Wine
Chairman & CEO
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016
Earnings Results
January 24, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 6
Q4 sales and adjusted* net income finished in-line with previous expectations
Acquisition of Transamerican Auto Parts (TAP) added $109 million of sales in Q4 – company sales flat excluding TAP
ORV/Snowmobile sales up 5%; Motorcycles down 35%; Global Adjacent Markets up 21%
Adjusted* earnings reported at $1.18 per diluted share, down 29% from prior year
Adjusted* gross profit margin down 165 bps – volume and mix, as previously guided
N.A. dealer inventory down 8%, in line with company expectations
ORV down 11%; motorcycles up to targeted levels
Q4 Sales & Adjusted Earnings Finished In-Line With Revised Expectations
Q4 2016 Adjusted* Net IncomeQ4 2016 Sales
7Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Q4 2016 Sales and Income
$1,105.6
$1,217.8
Q4 2015 Q4 2016
$110.7
$76.1
Q4 2015 Q4 2016
Adjusted
($ millions)($ millions)
* See slide 5 for non-GAAP reconciliations
Full year sales and adjusted* net income finished in-line as expected per revised guidance
TAP accounted for $109 million, or 2% of full year sales
ORV/Snowmobile sales down 9%; Motorcycles up 1%; Global Adjacent Markets up 10%
Results include ~$120 million of costs associated with warranty, legal and other recall related activities
Adjusted* earnings were $3.48 per diluted share, down 48% from prior year
Adjusted* gross profit margin down 370 bps – promotions, currency and warranty pressures
FY Sales & Earnings Disappointing; Execution Not Representative of Polaris Capabilities
Full Year Adjusted* Net IncomeFull Year Total Company Sales
8Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Full Year 2016 Sales and Income
$4,719.3 $4,516.6
FY 2015 FY 2016
$455.4
$226.5
FY 2015 FY 2016
Adjusted
($ millions)($ millions)
* See slide 5 for non-GAAP reconciliations
Polaris N.A. retail down 4% for Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015
Indian Motorcycle retail up about 20% in Q4, total motorcycles down, primarily Slingshot
ORV down; RZR recall disruptions, competition and weak ATV industry
North American Industry retail trends continued soft
Oil/Gas, Ag remain weak
-6%
-4%
+5%
-5%
Q4
2015
Q4
2016
FY
2015
FY
2016
Markets Remain Weak / Volatile
Q4’16 Retail Sales by Business (vs. Q4’15)Polaris Retail Sales & Market Share
9Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
N.A. Powersports Retail Sales
(# vehicle units) POLARIS INDUSTRY
Off-Road Vehicles
mid-single
digits %
~flat*
Side-by-Sides
ATVs
low-single
digits %
high-single
digits %
Motorcycles
(900cc & above)
mid-single
digits %
low-single
digits %
Snowmobiles about 1% ~flat
*estimated
Retail % change, # vehicle units
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Consolidated Market Share in Units
Using Total Motorcycle Industry
Polaris Q4 2016 N.A. dealer inventory down 8% vs. Q4 2015
ORV down 11% year-over-year
Motorcycles up ~30% as expected, inventory at appropriate RFM levels
Snowmobiles down, as expected
Dealer inventory levels ongoing priority – SxS moving to RFM in 2017
Dealer Inventory Levels Finished as Expected
Q4 Total N.A. Dealer InventoryPolaris N.A. Total Dealer Inventory
10Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
N.A. Dealer Inventory
Q4 2015 Existing ORV
Models
New ORV
Models
Snowmobiles Motorcycles Q4 2016
-10%
+2%
-3%
+3% -8%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2016 2015 2014
-8%
Aggressively addressed product quality throughout the year
Issued 13 safety bulletins
Significant effort involved to get owners back riding safely
Making Progress
Making significant progress on the two main recalls
Completed thorough review of all MY17 ORV’s
New Global Safety and Quality function established
New Safety and Quality GDP goal in 2017
Mixed NPS scores, as expected
Recalls negatively impacted CY’16 scores
MY’17 ORV product review expected to show positive improvement
Proactively Driving Improvements in 2017
11Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
2016 Product Recall Update
Recall Completion Rates – U.S.
~70%
~80%
RZR XP
900/1000
RZR
Turbo
Very Passionate People Who Supported Victory
12Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Reason for Decision
The company has lost money since inception in 1998
Sales of Victory are down ~20 percent from the peak in 2012
Limited investment dollars to support all three motorcycle brands
Indian Motorcycle brand much more recognizable worldwide
Positive impact on remaining motorcycle business
Increased focus on remaining two brands (Indian/Slingshot)
Increased R&D for product development acceleration
Remove financial pressure of an unprofitable brand
Victory Motorcycle Exit
13Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Closed acquisition on November10, 2016
Strong cross-functionalintegration team in place
Margin enhancementinitiatives progressing; $20M in synergies
expected by 2019
Sourcing, distribution & logistics, pricing optimization
Accretive to 2017: $0.25 to $0.30 per dilutive share, excluding
inventory step-up purchasing accounting and acquisition costs
Transamerican Auto Parts Acquisition
Greg Adler, CEO - TAP
3rd generation to head TAP
22 years at company
Leveraging our Balance Sheet to Drive Growth in New Markets
14Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Strategic Objectives
>$8 Billion by 2020 12% CAGR
>10% of Sales by 2020 13% CAGR
Best in Powersports PLUS
5-8% annual organic growth
Growth through Adjacencies
>$2B from acquisitions & new markets
Global Market Leadership
>33% of Polaris revenue
LEAN Enterprise is Competitive Advantage
Significant Quality, Delivery & Cost Improvement
Strong Financial Performance
Sustainable, profitable growth
Net Income Margin >10%
Vision & Strategy Remain Unchanged, Reviewing Financial Goals Given Recent Performance
= Under Review
Mike Speetzen
EVP Finance & CFO
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016
Earnings Results
January 24, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 15
Powersports market weak
Organic revenue expectations +1% to -1%
TAP FY’17 = $775 to $800
Victory wind down / FX headwinds
FY 2016
Sales
TAP Victory
Exit /FX
Organic
Sales*
FY 2017
Sales
Guidance
$4,517
~($175)
$665 to $690
FY 2016
Adjusted EPS
TAP FX/ VIP/
Volume/
Mix/Promo
FY 2017
Adjusted EPS
Guidance
$3.48
$.50 to $.60
$.25 to $.30
($.08) to $.22 $4.25 to $4.50
2017 Sales & Earnings Guidance Up Year-Over-Year on Adjusted Basis
Total CompanyAdjusted** EPSTotal Company Sales
16Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
2017 Full Year Guidance
+ $120M non-recurring warranty, legal and other recall related
+ TAP accretive in 2017 approx. 25¢ to 30¢
+ VIP drives positive results
+ Opportunity to drive organic volume growth
– Increased R&D – up mid-teens %; quality & innovation
– Higher promotional costs
– Negative FX impact
– Higher variable compensation costs
($ in millions)
Non-Recurring
Warranty/R&D/
Variable Comp (Net)
(1%) to +1%
+10% to +13%
$4,950 to $5,100
* Organic sales represents revenue excluding TAP, Victory sales and the effects of FX
** See slide 5 for discussion regarding non-GAAP adjustments excluded from 2017 guidance
2016 Adj. Sales
~$4,250
(Excl. Victory/TAP/FX)
AftermarketORV/Snowmobiles
Aftermarket Segment Addition in 2017 to Include TAP + Other Aftermarket Brands
17Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
2017 Full Year Guidance by Segments
Global Adjacent MarketsMotorcycles
FY 2016
Reclassified
FY 2017
Guidance
FY 2016
Reclassified
FY 2017
Guidance
FY 2016
Reported
FY 2017
Guidance
FY 2016
Reclassified
2017
Guidance
Down
low-single
digits %$3,284
ORV
PG&A
Snow
ORV
PG&A
Snow
PG&A
$699
Victory
Indian
Slingshot
PG&A
Down
low-double
digits %(2)
Indian
Slingshot
PG&A PG&A
W&T
Defense
W&T
Defense
Up
low-single
digits %
$342
Up
Significantly
$192
($ in millions)
(1) (1)
(1) Full Year 2016 sales have been reclassified to account for new Aftermarket segment reporting which includes aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments
(2) On a comparable basis, motorcycle expectations is “Up low-double digits %” in 2017 after adjusting for Victory wholegood sales reported in 2016
FY 2016 ORV/Snow Segment Sales & GuidanceQ4 2016 ORV/Snow Segment Sales
ORV up 3% in Q4 2016; easy comparables in Q4 2015
Oil & gas/Ag remains weak
PG&A up 7%; increased part sales
ORV average selling price flat in Q4’16
Snow up due to timing
2017 Guidance:
Overall ORV industry stable
Promotional levels elevated
18Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Off-Road Vehicles (ORV) / Snowmobiles
FY 2016
Reported
FY 2016
Reclassified
FY 2017
Guidance
Q4 2015 Q4 2016
5%
$905.0
ORV
PG&A
Snow
$862.0
ORV
PG&A
Snow
7%
13%
3%
% ∆
9%
$3,357.5
ORV
PG&A
Snow
ORV ORV
PG&A
Snow
PG&A
Snow
Down
low-single
digits %$3,283.9
($ millions) ($ millions)
(1)
(1) Full Year 2016 sales have been reclassified to account for new Aftermarket segment reporting which
includes aftermarket brandspreviouslyreportedin their respective segments
Weak Industry / Recall Activity Overshadowing Improved Execution
FY 2016 Motorcycles Segment Sales & GuidanceQ4 2016 Motorcycles Segment Sales
Increased Focus on Indian & Slingshot in 2017
19Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Motorcycles
Q4 2015 Q4 2016 FY 2016
Reported
FY 2016
Reclassified
FY 2017
Guidance
Motorcycle shipments down 35%
Slingshot sales constricted by Q4 recall
Victory and Indian comparing to artificially high Q4’15 shipments
Average selling price was down 9% in Q4 – product mix
2017 Guidance:
FY down on reported 2016 basis; 2017 up excluding Victory
Overall motorcycle market remains weak
35%
$105.7
PG&A
$162.6
PG&A
25%
41%
% ∆
1%
$708.5
PG&A PG&A
PG&A
Down
low-double
digits %(2)
$699.2
Victory
Indian
Slingshot
Victory
Indian
Slingshot
Indian
Slingshot
Victory
Indian
Slingshot
Victory
Indian
Slingshot
(1)
($ millions) ($ millions)
(1) Full Year 2016 sales have been reclassifiedto account for new Aftermarket segmentreportingwhich
includes aftermarket brands previously reportedin their respective segments
(2) On a comparable basis, motorcycle expectations is “Up low-double digits %” in 2017 after adjusting for
Victory wholegood sales reportedin 2016
FY 2016
Reported
FY 2017
Guidance
FY 2016 GAM Segment Sales & GuidanceQ4 2016 GAM Segment Sales
20Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Global Adjacent Markets (GAM)
Q4 2015 Q4 2016
GAM 21% due to Taylor-Dunn acquisition and military
Average selling price for GAM was up 8% in Q4’16
2017 Guidance:
Leverage current global portfolio for costs and growth
opportunities
21%
$98.4
PG&A
$81.0
PG&A
23%
21%
% ∆
10%
$341.9
PG&A PG&A
Up
low-single
digits %
W&T /
Defense
W&T /
Defense
($ millions) ($ millions)
W&T /
Defense
W&T /
Defense
Building Diverse Channels for Future Growth
FY 2016 Aftermarket Segment Sales & Guidance
TAP Acquisition / Integration Off to Solid Start
21Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Aftermarket
Up
Significantly
$191.6
(1)
($ millions)
(1) Full Year 2016 sales have been reclassified to account for new Aftermarket segment reporting which
includes aftermarket brandspreviouslyreportedin their respective segments
$108.7
Closed acquisition of TAP November 2016
FY 2016 reclassified sales includes $83 of other aftermarket
brand sales
2017 Guidance:
Leverage size of combined portfolio for growth and profitability
improvement
TAP and other aftermarket brands are expected to grow in 2017
FY 2016
Reported (Other)
FY 2016
Reclassified
FY 2017
Guidance
TAP Retail Store
Adjusted** Gross Margin 2017 GuidanceAdjusted* Gross Margin FY 2016
22Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Adjusted* Gross Margin Q4 2016
2017 Gross Margin Improvement Driven Primarily by VIP & 2016 Non-recurring Events
Gross Profit Margin Guidance
28.4% -370 bps
24.7%
FY 2015 Adjusted
FY 2016
FY 2017 Adjusted
Guidance
28.1%
-165 bps
26.4%
Q4 2015 Adjusted
Q4 2016
Increase up
to ~180 bps
KEY: Improvement Headwind Neutral
* See slide 5 for non-GAAP reconciliations
** See slide 5 for discussion regarding non-GAAP adjustments excluded from 2017 guidance
Product Mix
VIP
Acquisitions
Promos / Incentives
Warranty
FX
VIP
Product Mix
Warranty
Promos / Incentives
FX
VIP
One-time warranty
FX
Promos / Incentives
Product mix
GM by Segment Q4 2015 Q4 2016
ORV/Snow 30.5% 28.6%
Motorcycles 14.8% 1.5%
Adjacent Markets 27.4% 29.5%
GM by Segment FY 2015 FY 2016
ORV/Snow 32.1% 27.7%
Motorcycles 13.9% 12.9%
Adjacent Markets 27.0% 27.8%
GM by Segment 2017 Expectations
ORV/Snow
Motorcycles
Adjacent Markets
Aftermarket
23Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Adjusted operating expenses: increase mid-teens % (slight increase as a % of sales)
R&D
Legal and other related costs
Operating expense from acquired companies
Variable compensation
Income from financial services: down ~10% due to lower dealer inventory levels
Interest expense: more than double due to TAP acquisition funding
Income taxes: approximately 34.5% of pretax profits
International sales: about flat with 2016 on a constant currency basis
PG&A: up low-single digits %
Diluted shares outstanding: approximately flat
Operating cash flow: down significantly
Other FY 2017 Expectations
Scott W. Wine
Chairman & CEO
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016
Earnings Results
January 24, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 24
2017 - Regaining Footing as the ‘Best in Powersports”
25Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
New Administration brings economic optimism/uncertainty
Powersports competitors aggressive – ORV product positioning improved
Safety & Quality fundamentals in place
TAP integration proceeding on plan
Indian Motorcycles outpacing industry
VIP/RFM implementation building competitive advantage
Closing Comments
Thank You
Questions?
27Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Q4 Supplemental Sales Performance – PG&A, International
Q4 Financial Position
Income from Financial Services
Supplemental Data
ORV
Snow
Motorcycles
GAM
Q4 2016
ORV/
Snow
Motorcycles
GAM
Q4 2016
ORV
71%
12%
9%
8%
ORV /
Snow
59%
17%
24%
Accessories
Parts
Apparel
Q4 2016
Parts
40%
Accessories
52%
8%
10%
EMEA
74% Asia
Pacific
16%
EMEA
AP
LA
Q4 2016
InternationalParts, Garments & Accessories (PG&A)*
28Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Q4 2016 Supplemental Sales Performance
Motorcycles
Global Adjacent
Markets (GAM)
Snowmobiles
Motorcycles
Global Adjacent
Markets (GAM)
Apparel
8%
23%
Latin
America
24%
21%
7%
7%
6%
2%
4%
2%
6%
16%
2%
Q4 Sales 9% to 214.4 Million
∆ from
Q4'15
∆ from
Q4'15
Q4 Sales 2% to $178.2 Million
(~flat constant currency)
∆ from
Q4'15
∆ from
Q4'15
*Does not include TAP
2016 Polaris Financial Position
29Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Capital Summary December 2016Cash Drivers
Fav/(Unfav)
Dec 2015
Cash $ 127 -18%
Debt /Capital Lease Obligations $1,142 +147%
Shareholders’Equity $ 867 -12%
Total Capital $2,009 +39%
Debt to Total Capital 57% (-25%)
2015
Operating cash flow up
Factory inventory down significantly year-over-year, excluding
acquisitions
Cap Ex expected to be lower than 2016
Operating cash flow expected to be down significantly – timing of
accrual payments and Victory wind down
Operating Cash Flow
Financial Position Remains Solid
Cash
YE 2015
Operating
Activities
Dividends Capex Borrowings Share
Repurchase
Acquisitions Other Cash
YE 2016
$155
+$572 -$140
-$209
+679 -$246
-$724
+$40 $127
$440
+30%
$572
FY 2015 FY 2016 2017
Down
significantly
($ millions) ($ millions)
($ millions)
Expectations
FY 2016 Summary
2017 Expectations
58% 61%
FY 2015 FY 2016
Retail CreditWholesale Credit PA Receivables
30Q4 & FY'16 Earnings
Income from Financial Services
Other
Wholesale
Credit
Retail
Financing
Q4 2016 FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2016
Portfolio Remains Healthy
Income from Financial Services
2017 financial services expectations: down ~10% due to lower dealer inventory levels
Q4 and FY income from financial services up – volume related, higher penetration rates & extended
service contracts
7%
$19.3
13%
$78.5 8%
$1,206.9
$1,305.3
($ millions) ($ millions)
31% 33%
FY 2015 FY 2016
Approval Rate Penetration Rate

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Polaris Q4 & Full Year 2016 Earnings Presentation

  • 1. Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016 Earnings Results January 24, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
  • 2. Richard Edwards Director of Investor Relations Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016 Earnings Results January 24, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC. Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 2
  • 3. Except for historical information contained herein, the matters set forth in this document, including but not limited to management’s expectations regarding future sales, shipments, margins, currencies,net income and cash flow, the opportunities for expansion and diversification of the Company’s business and the Company’s guidance on earnings per share are forward-looking statements that involve certainrisks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as product offerings, promotional activities and pricing strategies by competitors; manufacturing operation expansion initiatives; acquisition integration costs; product recalls; warranty expenses; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; environmental and product safety regulatory activity; effects of weather; commodity costs; uninsured product liability claims; uncertainty in the retail and wholesale credit markets; performance of affiliate partners; changes in tax policy and overall economic conditions, including inflation, consumer confidence and spending and relationships with dealers and suppliers. Investors are also directed to consider other risks and uncertainties discussed in our 2015 annual report and Form 10-K and subsequent Form 10-Qs filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not undertake any duty to any person to provide updates to its forward-looking statements. The data source for retail sales figures included in this presentation is registration information provided by Polaris dealers in North America and compiled by the Company or Company estimates. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning retail sales, and other retail sales data sources and this information is subject to revision. Non-GAAP Measures - Constant Currency Reporting. This presentation includes information regarding the Company’s 2016 actual results and 2017 full year expectations on a constant currency basis, which is a non-GAAP measure,as well as on a GAAP basis. For purpose of comparison, the results on a constant currency basis uses the respective prior year exchange rates for the comparative period to enhance the visibility of the underlying business trends, excluding the impact of translation arising from foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations. This presentation also contains certainnon-GAAP financial measures,consisting of “adjusted” gross profit, operating expenses, net income and net income per diluted share” as measures of our operating performance.Management believes these measures may be useful in performing meaningful comparisons of past and present operating results, to understand the performance of its ongoing operations and how management views the business. Reconciliations of adjusted non-GAAP measures to reported GAAP measures are included in the financial schedules contained in this presentation. These measures,however, should not be construed as an alternative to any other measure of performance determined in accordance with GAAP. 3Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Safe Harbor
  • 4. 4Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Throughout this presentation, the word “Adjusted” is used to refer to GAAP results minus the following: TAP Inventory step-up purchase accounting TAP acquisition costs and integration expenses Impacts associated with the Victory wind down Beginning in 2017 a new reporting segment called “Aftermarket” was established which includes TAP plus our 5 aftermarket brands; 509, Klim, Kolpin, Pro Armor and Trail Tech, that were previously included in the ORV/Snowmobiles and Motorcycles reporting segments. 2016 sales and gross profit results will be reclassified to account for the fourth segment beginning in 2017 for comparison purposes. See slide 5 for GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations Key Definitions
  • 5. 5Q4 & FY'16 Earnings GAAP / Non-GAAP Reconciliation Schedules Reconciliation of GAAP "Reported" Results to "Adjusted" Results (unaudited) Q4 2016 Reported GAAP Measures Adjustments Adjusted Measures Q4 2016 Q4 2015 $ Chg % Chg Q4 2016 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q4 2015 $ Chg % Chg Sales $1,217,789 $1,105,618 $ 112,171 10% $ - - $1,217,789 $1,105,618 $ 112,171 10% Gross Profit 312,772 310,274 2,498 1% 8,803 (1) - 321,575 310,274 11,301 4% Gross Profit % 25.7% 28.1% - (238) bps 26.4% 28.1% - (165) bps Operating Exp. 233,332 169,072 64,260 38% (12,651)(2) - 220,681 169,072 51,609 31% Net Income 62,581 110,682 (48,101) (43%) 13,515 (3) - 76,096 110,682 (34,586) (31%) Diluted EPS $ 0.97 $ 1.66 $ (0.69) (42%) $ 0.21 - $ 1.18 $ 1.66 $ (0.48) (29%) FY 2016 Reported GAAP Measures Adjustments Adjusted Measures FY 2016 FY 2015 $ Chg % Chg FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2015 $ Chg % Chg Sales $4,516,629 $4,719,290 $(202,661) (4%) $ - - $4,516,629 $4,719,290 $(202,661) (4%) Gross Profit 1,105,623 1,339,042 (233,419) (17%) 8,803 (1) - 1,114,426 1,339,042 (224,616) (17%) Gross Profit % 24.5% 28.4% - (389) bps 24.7% 28.4% - (370) bps Operating Exp. 833,803 692,206 141,597 20% (12,651)(2) - 821,152 692,206 128,946 19% Net Income 212,948 455,361 (242,413) (53%) 13,515 (3) - 226,463 455,361 (228,898) (50%) Diluted EPS $ 3.27 $ 6.75 $ (3.48) (52%) $ 0.21 - $ 3.48 $ 6.75 $ (3.27) (48%) Adjustments: (1) Represents inventory step-up related to the TAP acquisition (2) Represents the acquisition costs and integration expenses related to the TAP acquisition (3) The company used its estimated statutory tax rate of ~37% for the non-GAAP adjustments 2017 Adjusted Guidance: 2017 guidance excludes the pre-tax effect of TAP inventory step-up purchase accounting of approx. $15 million, acquisition integration costs of approx. $15 million and the impacts associated with the Victory wind down which could be in a range of $50 to $70 million in 2017. The Company is in the process of finalizing its analysis of the anticipated total costs to wind down the Victory motorcycle business and will provide more clarity as the analysis is completed and the costs are incurred throughout the year. 2017 sales guidance excludes any Victory wholegoods sales as the Company is exiting the brand beginning in 2017.
  • 6. Scott W. Wine Chairman & CEO Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016 Earnings Results January 24, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC. Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 6
  • 7. Q4 sales and adjusted* net income finished in-line with previous expectations Acquisition of Transamerican Auto Parts (TAP) added $109 million of sales in Q4 – company sales flat excluding TAP ORV/Snowmobile sales up 5%; Motorcycles down 35%; Global Adjacent Markets up 21% Adjusted* earnings reported at $1.18 per diluted share, down 29% from prior year Adjusted* gross profit margin down 165 bps – volume and mix, as previously guided N.A. dealer inventory down 8%, in line with company expectations ORV down 11%; motorcycles up to targeted levels Q4 Sales & Adjusted Earnings Finished In-Line With Revised Expectations Q4 2016 Adjusted* Net IncomeQ4 2016 Sales 7Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Q4 2016 Sales and Income $1,105.6 $1,217.8 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 $110.7 $76.1 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Adjusted ($ millions)($ millions) * See slide 5 for non-GAAP reconciliations
  • 8. Full year sales and adjusted* net income finished in-line as expected per revised guidance TAP accounted for $109 million, or 2% of full year sales ORV/Snowmobile sales down 9%; Motorcycles up 1%; Global Adjacent Markets up 10% Results include ~$120 million of costs associated with warranty, legal and other recall related activities Adjusted* earnings were $3.48 per diluted share, down 48% from prior year Adjusted* gross profit margin down 370 bps – promotions, currency and warranty pressures FY Sales & Earnings Disappointing; Execution Not Representative of Polaris Capabilities Full Year Adjusted* Net IncomeFull Year Total Company Sales 8Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Full Year 2016 Sales and Income $4,719.3 $4,516.6 FY 2015 FY 2016 $455.4 $226.5 FY 2015 FY 2016 Adjusted ($ millions)($ millions) * See slide 5 for non-GAAP reconciliations
  • 9. Polaris N.A. retail down 4% for Q4 2016 vs. Q4 2015 Indian Motorcycle retail up about 20% in Q4, total motorcycles down, primarily Slingshot ORV down; RZR recall disruptions, competition and weak ATV industry North American Industry retail trends continued soft Oil/Gas, Ag remain weak -6% -4% +5% -5% Q4 2015 Q4 2016 FY 2015 FY 2016 Markets Remain Weak / Volatile Q4’16 Retail Sales by Business (vs. Q4’15)Polaris Retail Sales & Market Share 9Q4 & FY'16 Earnings N.A. Powersports Retail Sales (# vehicle units) POLARIS INDUSTRY Off-Road Vehicles mid-single digits % ~flat* Side-by-Sides ATVs low-single digits % high-single digits % Motorcycles (900cc & above) mid-single digits % low-single digits % Snowmobiles about 1% ~flat *estimated Retail % change, # vehicle units 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Consolidated Market Share in Units Using Total Motorcycle Industry
  • 10. Polaris Q4 2016 N.A. dealer inventory down 8% vs. Q4 2015 ORV down 11% year-over-year Motorcycles up ~30% as expected, inventory at appropriate RFM levels Snowmobiles down, as expected Dealer inventory levels ongoing priority – SxS moving to RFM in 2017 Dealer Inventory Levels Finished as Expected Q4 Total N.A. Dealer InventoryPolaris N.A. Total Dealer Inventory 10Q4 & FY'16 Earnings N.A. Dealer Inventory Q4 2015 Existing ORV Models New ORV Models Snowmobiles Motorcycles Q4 2016 -10% +2% -3% +3% -8% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2015 2014 -8%
  • 11. Aggressively addressed product quality throughout the year Issued 13 safety bulletins Significant effort involved to get owners back riding safely Making Progress Making significant progress on the two main recalls Completed thorough review of all MY17 ORV’s New Global Safety and Quality function established New Safety and Quality GDP goal in 2017 Mixed NPS scores, as expected Recalls negatively impacted CY’16 scores MY’17 ORV product review expected to show positive improvement Proactively Driving Improvements in 2017 11Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 2016 Product Recall Update Recall Completion Rates – U.S. ~70% ~80% RZR XP 900/1000 RZR Turbo
  • 12. Very Passionate People Who Supported Victory 12Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Reason for Decision The company has lost money since inception in 1998 Sales of Victory are down ~20 percent from the peak in 2012 Limited investment dollars to support all three motorcycle brands Indian Motorcycle brand much more recognizable worldwide Positive impact on remaining motorcycle business Increased focus on remaining two brands (Indian/Slingshot) Increased R&D for product development acceleration Remove financial pressure of an unprofitable brand Victory Motorcycle Exit
  • 13. 13Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Closed acquisition on November10, 2016 Strong cross-functionalintegration team in place Margin enhancementinitiatives progressing; $20M in synergies expected by 2019 Sourcing, distribution & logistics, pricing optimization Accretive to 2017: $0.25 to $0.30 per dilutive share, excluding inventory step-up purchasing accounting and acquisition costs Transamerican Auto Parts Acquisition Greg Adler, CEO - TAP 3rd generation to head TAP 22 years at company Leveraging our Balance Sheet to Drive Growth in New Markets
  • 14. 14Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Strategic Objectives >$8 Billion by 2020 12% CAGR >10% of Sales by 2020 13% CAGR Best in Powersports PLUS 5-8% annual organic growth Growth through Adjacencies >$2B from acquisitions & new markets Global Market Leadership >33% of Polaris revenue LEAN Enterprise is Competitive Advantage Significant Quality, Delivery & Cost Improvement Strong Financial Performance Sustainable, profitable growth Net Income Margin >10% Vision & Strategy Remain Unchanged, Reviewing Financial Goals Given Recent Performance = Under Review
  • 15. Mike Speetzen EVP Finance & CFO Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016 Earnings Results January 24, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC. Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 15
  • 16. Powersports market weak Organic revenue expectations +1% to -1% TAP FY’17 = $775 to $800 Victory wind down / FX headwinds FY 2016 Sales TAP Victory Exit /FX Organic Sales* FY 2017 Sales Guidance $4,517 ~($175) $665 to $690 FY 2016 Adjusted EPS TAP FX/ VIP/ Volume/ Mix/Promo FY 2017 Adjusted EPS Guidance $3.48 $.50 to $.60 $.25 to $.30 ($.08) to $.22 $4.25 to $4.50 2017 Sales & Earnings Guidance Up Year-Over-Year on Adjusted Basis Total CompanyAdjusted** EPSTotal Company Sales 16Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 2017 Full Year Guidance + $120M non-recurring warranty, legal and other recall related + TAP accretive in 2017 approx. 25¢ to 30¢ + VIP drives positive results + Opportunity to drive organic volume growth – Increased R&D – up mid-teens %; quality & innovation – Higher promotional costs – Negative FX impact – Higher variable compensation costs ($ in millions) Non-Recurring Warranty/R&D/ Variable Comp (Net) (1%) to +1% +10% to +13% $4,950 to $5,100 * Organic sales represents revenue excluding TAP, Victory sales and the effects of FX ** See slide 5 for discussion regarding non-GAAP adjustments excluded from 2017 guidance 2016 Adj. Sales ~$4,250 (Excl. Victory/TAP/FX)
  • 17. AftermarketORV/Snowmobiles Aftermarket Segment Addition in 2017 to Include TAP + Other Aftermarket Brands 17Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 2017 Full Year Guidance by Segments Global Adjacent MarketsMotorcycles FY 2016 Reclassified FY 2017 Guidance FY 2016 Reclassified FY 2017 Guidance FY 2016 Reported FY 2017 Guidance FY 2016 Reclassified 2017 Guidance Down low-single digits %$3,284 ORV PG&A Snow ORV PG&A Snow PG&A $699 Victory Indian Slingshot PG&A Down low-double digits %(2) Indian Slingshot PG&A PG&A W&T Defense W&T Defense Up low-single digits % $342 Up Significantly $192 ($ in millions) (1) (1) (1) Full Year 2016 sales have been reclassified to account for new Aftermarket segment reporting which includes aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments (2) On a comparable basis, motorcycle expectations is “Up low-double digits %” in 2017 after adjusting for Victory wholegood sales reported in 2016
  • 18. FY 2016 ORV/Snow Segment Sales & GuidanceQ4 2016 ORV/Snow Segment Sales ORV up 3% in Q4 2016; easy comparables in Q4 2015 Oil & gas/Ag remains weak PG&A up 7%; increased part sales ORV average selling price flat in Q4’16 Snow up due to timing 2017 Guidance: Overall ORV industry stable Promotional levels elevated 18Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Off-Road Vehicles (ORV) / Snowmobiles FY 2016 Reported FY 2016 Reclassified FY 2017 Guidance Q4 2015 Q4 2016 5% $905.0 ORV PG&A Snow $862.0 ORV PG&A Snow 7% 13% 3% % ∆ 9% $3,357.5 ORV PG&A Snow ORV ORV PG&A Snow PG&A Snow Down low-single digits %$3,283.9 ($ millions) ($ millions) (1) (1) Full Year 2016 sales have been reclassified to account for new Aftermarket segment reporting which includes aftermarket brandspreviouslyreportedin their respective segments Weak Industry / Recall Activity Overshadowing Improved Execution
  • 19. FY 2016 Motorcycles Segment Sales & GuidanceQ4 2016 Motorcycles Segment Sales Increased Focus on Indian & Slingshot in 2017 19Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Motorcycles Q4 2015 Q4 2016 FY 2016 Reported FY 2016 Reclassified FY 2017 Guidance Motorcycle shipments down 35% Slingshot sales constricted by Q4 recall Victory and Indian comparing to artificially high Q4’15 shipments Average selling price was down 9% in Q4 – product mix 2017 Guidance: FY down on reported 2016 basis; 2017 up excluding Victory Overall motorcycle market remains weak 35% $105.7 PG&A $162.6 PG&A 25% 41% % ∆ 1% $708.5 PG&A PG&A PG&A Down low-double digits %(2) $699.2 Victory Indian Slingshot Victory Indian Slingshot Indian Slingshot Victory Indian Slingshot Victory Indian Slingshot (1) ($ millions) ($ millions) (1) Full Year 2016 sales have been reclassifiedto account for new Aftermarket segmentreportingwhich includes aftermarket brands previously reportedin their respective segments (2) On a comparable basis, motorcycle expectations is “Up low-double digits %” in 2017 after adjusting for Victory wholegood sales reportedin 2016
  • 20. FY 2016 Reported FY 2017 Guidance FY 2016 GAM Segment Sales & GuidanceQ4 2016 GAM Segment Sales 20Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Global Adjacent Markets (GAM) Q4 2015 Q4 2016 GAM 21% due to Taylor-Dunn acquisition and military Average selling price for GAM was up 8% in Q4’16 2017 Guidance: Leverage current global portfolio for costs and growth opportunities 21% $98.4 PG&A $81.0 PG&A 23% 21% % ∆ 10% $341.9 PG&A PG&A Up low-single digits % W&T / Defense W&T / Defense ($ millions) ($ millions) W&T / Defense W&T / Defense Building Diverse Channels for Future Growth
  • 21. FY 2016 Aftermarket Segment Sales & Guidance TAP Acquisition / Integration Off to Solid Start 21Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Aftermarket Up Significantly $191.6 (1) ($ millions) (1) Full Year 2016 sales have been reclassified to account for new Aftermarket segment reporting which includes aftermarket brandspreviouslyreportedin their respective segments $108.7 Closed acquisition of TAP November 2016 FY 2016 reclassified sales includes $83 of other aftermarket brand sales 2017 Guidance: Leverage size of combined portfolio for growth and profitability improvement TAP and other aftermarket brands are expected to grow in 2017 FY 2016 Reported (Other) FY 2016 Reclassified FY 2017 Guidance TAP Retail Store
  • 22. Adjusted** Gross Margin 2017 GuidanceAdjusted* Gross Margin FY 2016 22Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Adjusted* Gross Margin Q4 2016 2017 Gross Margin Improvement Driven Primarily by VIP & 2016 Non-recurring Events Gross Profit Margin Guidance 28.4% -370 bps 24.7% FY 2015 Adjusted FY 2016 FY 2017 Adjusted Guidance 28.1% -165 bps 26.4% Q4 2015 Adjusted Q4 2016 Increase up to ~180 bps KEY: Improvement Headwind Neutral * See slide 5 for non-GAAP reconciliations ** See slide 5 for discussion regarding non-GAAP adjustments excluded from 2017 guidance Product Mix VIP Acquisitions Promos / Incentives Warranty FX VIP Product Mix Warranty Promos / Incentives FX VIP One-time warranty FX Promos / Incentives Product mix GM by Segment Q4 2015 Q4 2016 ORV/Snow 30.5% 28.6% Motorcycles 14.8% 1.5% Adjacent Markets 27.4% 29.5% GM by Segment FY 2015 FY 2016 ORV/Snow 32.1% 27.7% Motorcycles 13.9% 12.9% Adjacent Markets 27.0% 27.8% GM by Segment 2017 Expectations ORV/Snow Motorcycles Adjacent Markets Aftermarket
  • 23. 23Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Adjusted operating expenses: increase mid-teens % (slight increase as a % of sales) R&D Legal and other related costs Operating expense from acquired companies Variable compensation Income from financial services: down ~10% due to lower dealer inventory levels Interest expense: more than double due to TAP acquisition funding Income taxes: approximately 34.5% of pretax profits International sales: about flat with 2016 on a constant currency basis PG&A: up low-single digits % Diluted shares outstanding: approximately flat Operating cash flow: down significantly Other FY 2017 Expectations
  • 24. Scott W. Wine Chairman & CEO Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016 Earnings Results January 24, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC. Q4 & FY'16 Earnings 24
  • 25. 2017 - Regaining Footing as the ‘Best in Powersports” 25Q4 & FY'16 Earnings New Administration brings economic optimism/uncertainty Powersports competitors aggressive – ORV product positioning improved Safety & Quality fundamentals in place TAP integration proceeding on plan Indian Motorcycles outpacing industry VIP/RFM implementation building competitive advantage Closing Comments
  • 27. 27Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Q4 Supplemental Sales Performance – PG&A, International Q4 Financial Position Income from Financial Services Supplemental Data
  • 28. ORV Snow Motorcycles GAM Q4 2016 ORV/ Snow Motorcycles GAM Q4 2016 ORV 71% 12% 9% 8% ORV / Snow 59% 17% 24% Accessories Parts Apparel Q4 2016 Parts 40% Accessories 52% 8% 10% EMEA 74% Asia Pacific 16% EMEA AP LA Q4 2016 InternationalParts, Garments & Accessories (PG&A)* 28Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Q4 2016 Supplemental Sales Performance Motorcycles Global Adjacent Markets (GAM) Snowmobiles Motorcycles Global Adjacent Markets (GAM) Apparel 8% 23% Latin America 24% 21% 7% 7% 6% 2% 4% 2% 6% 16% 2% Q4 Sales 9% to 214.4 Million ∆ from Q4'15 ∆ from Q4'15 Q4 Sales 2% to $178.2 Million (~flat constant currency) ∆ from Q4'15 ∆ from Q4'15 *Does not include TAP
  • 29. 2016 Polaris Financial Position 29Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Capital Summary December 2016Cash Drivers Fav/(Unfav) Dec 2015 Cash $ 127 -18% Debt /Capital Lease Obligations $1,142 +147% Shareholders’Equity $ 867 -12% Total Capital $2,009 +39% Debt to Total Capital 57% (-25%) 2015 Operating cash flow up Factory inventory down significantly year-over-year, excluding acquisitions Cap Ex expected to be lower than 2016 Operating cash flow expected to be down significantly – timing of accrual payments and Victory wind down Operating Cash Flow Financial Position Remains Solid Cash YE 2015 Operating Activities Dividends Capex Borrowings Share Repurchase Acquisitions Other Cash YE 2016 $155 +$572 -$140 -$209 +679 -$246 -$724 +$40 $127 $440 +30% $572 FY 2015 FY 2016 2017 Down significantly ($ millions) ($ millions) ($ millions) Expectations FY 2016 Summary 2017 Expectations
  • 30. 58% 61% FY 2015 FY 2016 Retail CreditWholesale Credit PA Receivables 30Q4 & FY'16 Earnings Income from Financial Services Other Wholesale Credit Retail Financing Q4 2016 FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2016 Portfolio Remains Healthy Income from Financial Services 2017 financial services expectations: down ~10% due to lower dealer inventory levels Q4 and FY income from financial services up – volume related, higher penetration rates & extended service contracts 7% $19.3 13% $78.5 8% $1,206.9 $1,305.3 ($ millions) ($ millions) 31% 33% FY 2015 FY 2016 Approval Rate Penetration Rate