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“ NextGen VCs – After the Storm” PolyTechnos Venture-Partners GmbH Third Annual Meeting “CEO Day”  Berlin 06 November 2001 Kenneth P. Morse, Senior Lecturer and Managing Director MIT Entrepreneurship Center
Desired Outcomes of this Presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],I want to express special thanks to   Jesse Reyes, Venture Economics   and John Taylor, NVCA for their permission to use their excellent data, analysis, and presentations from VentureXpert ™, the Venture Capital Institute, and the DRI-WEFA study which were just released in the USA.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Proposed Outline
MIT Entrepreneurship Center Mission To train and develop leaders who will make high tech ventures successful   MIT President Charles M. Vest, July 1996 “ I want you to be the premier global center for entrepreneurship, and to be recognized as such.” “ We must not only be the best. We must also serve as a model for others and ensure that, together, we all make a significant global impact in this vital field.”
Why Focus on High Tech? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
To Compete Successfully… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ MIT startups must attack global markets.” To teach global high tech entrepreneurship effectively, we need a network of partners:
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Proposed Outline
The Inevitable Business Cycle “ In times of great commercial prosperity there has been a tendency [toward] over-speculation on several occasions.  The success of one project generally produces others of a similar kind.  Popular imitativeness will … drag a community too anxious for profits into an abyss …” - Charles Mackay, 1841
The Impact of US Venture Capital ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],DRI-WEFA Study – Commissioned by NVCA: Source: DRI-WEFA (analysis as of 8/2001)
Key Findings - Preliminary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: DRI-WEFA (analysis as of 8/2001)
The VC Industry has Grown Dramatically in the Past Few Years Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
Venture Capital Fundraising Continues at a Strong Pace Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA This does  not  include money available for investment by Corporate Venture groups.
The US Venture Industry Has Grown Source: 2000 NVCA Yearbook
How Big is Big in a Venture Fund? Have VCs Abandoned Seed? ,[object Object],Source: VentureXpert™ Database by VE & NVCA
Corporate Venture Capital Groups Have Become Very Involved Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
Corporate VC Groups are Involved in more than ¼ of all Deals Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
Recent Quarters Portend a Return to Traditional Activity Levels Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
2000 IPOs Edge Out 1999 Record Levels Despite a Bouncy Road Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
Acquisitions are an Increasingly Important Exit Strategy Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
Why Invest If You Can’t Find the Exit Door? Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA IPO Markets are Dormant
These are Increasingly Important Acquisition Markets Have Slowed Down Too ,[object Object],[object Object]
Average Early and Seed Stage Round Sizes Have Crested Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
Venture Capitalists Continue to Fund Early and Seed Stage Companies – Future Pipeline Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
First Venture Rounds into Internet-Related Companies Continue Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA Although at a Much-Reduced Level from 2000
Scaling the Industry:   Growth in VC Principals Has Not Kept Up With Growing Fund Sizes Source: VentureXpert ™  Database by VE & NVCA
Venture Principals are Busier than Ever! Source: VentureXpert™ Database by VE & NVCA
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns) Source: Venture Economics
US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns) Source: Venture Economics
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds  Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
Five Year Performance Trends US Venture vs Buyouts Source: Venture Economics
US Private Equity Performance Benchmarks US Limited Partnerships Formed 1969-1999 Investment Horizon Returns Net to Investors as of 9/30/2000 Source: Venture Economics
US Limited Partnerships Formed 1969-2000 Investment Horizon Returns Net to Investors  as of 12/31/2000 Source: Venture Economics
Companies Receiving First Venture Round (Series A)  During Last Downturn (1/1990-6/1992) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Proposed Outline
Current Scene: B2B = Back to Basics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Entrepreneurs: Building Your Company ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],YOUR VALUE PROPOSITION MUST BE COMPELLING, QUANTIFIABLE, PROVEABLE, REFERENCEABLE, AND EASILY EXPLAINABLE…
Our Message to Entrepreneurs:  –  Selecting Your Financial Partners ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Entrepreneurs’ Funding: Many Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Proposed Outline
Future Outlook: After the Shakeout ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Ken Morse Nextgen Vcs

  • 1. “ NextGen VCs – After the Storm” PolyTechnos Venture-Partners GmbH Third Annual Meeting “CEO Day” Berlin 06 November 2001 Kenneth P. Morse, Senior Lecturer and Managing Director MIT Entrepreneurship Center
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. MIT Entrepreneurship Center Mission To train and develop leaders who will make high tech ventures successful MIT President Charles M. Vest, July 1996 “ I want you to be the premier global center for entrepreneurship, and to be recognized as such.” “ We must not only be the best. We must also serve as a model for others and ensure that, together, we all make a significant global impact in this vital field.”
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. The Inevitable Business Cycle “ In times of great commercial prosperity there has been a tendency [toward] over-speculation on several occasions. The success of one project generally produces others of a similar kind. Popular imitativeness will … drag a community too anxious for profits into an abyss …” - Charles Mackay, 1841
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. The VC Industry has Grown Dramatically in the Past Few Years Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 12. Venture Capital Fundraising Continues at a Strong Pace Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA This does not include money available for investment by Corporate Venture groups.
  • 13. The US Venture Industry Has Grown Source: 2000 NVCA Yearbook
  • 14.
  • 15. Corporate Venture Capital Groups Have Become Very Involved Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 16. Corporate VC Groups are Involved in more than ¼ of all Deals Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 17. Recent Quarters Portend a Return to Traditional Activity Levels Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 18. 2000 IPOs Edge Out 1999 Record Levels Despite a Bouncy Road Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 19. Acquisitions are an Increasingly Important Exit Strategy Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 20. Why Invest If You Can’t Find the Exit Door? Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA IPO Markets are Dormant
  • 21.
  • 22. Average Early and Seed Stage Round Sizes Have Crested Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 23. Venture Capitalists Continue to Fund Early and Seed Stage Companies – Future Pipeline Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 24. First Venture Rounds into Internet-Related Companies Continue Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA Although at a Much-Reduced Level from 2000
  • 25. Scaling the Industry: Growth in VC Principals Has Not Kept Up With Growing Fund Sizes Source: VentureXpert ™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 26. Venture Principals are Busier than Ever! Source: VentureXpert™ Database by VE & NVCA
  • 27. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 28. US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns) Source: Venture Economics
  • 29. US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns) Source: Venture Economics
  • 30. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 31. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 32. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 33. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 34. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 35. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 36. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 37. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 38. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 39. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 40. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 41. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 42. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 43. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 44. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 45. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 46. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 47. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 48. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 49. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 50. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 51. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 52. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 53. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 54. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 55. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 56. Source: Venture Economics US Venture Capital Partnership Returns Versus Public Market Returns Funds Formed 1969-2000 (quarterly returns)
  • 57. Five Year Performance Trends US Venture vs Buyouts Source: Venture Economics
  • 58. US Private Equity Performance Benchmarks US Limited Partnerships Formed 1969-1999 Investment Horizon Returns Net to Investors as of 9/30/2000 Source: Venture Economics
  • 59. US Limited Partnerships Formed 1969-2000 Investment Horizon Returns Net to Investors as of 12/31/2000 Source: Venture Economics
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.

Editor's Notes

  1. We picked these topics based on feedback from current and past students. Market sizing is critical to E-Lab companies b/c product applications are generally new and misunderstood. Lack of data. Product definition b/c we are frequently creating a new product category. And pricing issues are always complex. We picked these topics based on feedback from current and past students. Market sizing is critical to E-Lab companies b/c product applications are generally new and misunderstood. Lack of data. Product definition b/c we are frequently creating a new product category. And pricing issues are always complex. We picked these topics based on feedback from current and past students. Market sizing is critical to E-Lab companies b/c product applications are generally new and misunderstood. Lack of data. Product definition b/c we are frequently creating a new product category. And pricing issues are always complex.