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DECISION MAKING - An essence to problem solving
WHAT IS DECISION MAKING? “ the process of responding to a problem by searching for and selecting a solution or course of action that will create value for organisational stakeholders”.
MANAGERIALDECISIONMAKING FOUR STEPS IN THE DECISION MAKING PROCESS DECISION MAKING STEP 1 IDENTIFY  THE  PROBLEM STEP 2 GENERATE  ALTERNATIVE  SOLUTIONS STEP 4 IMPLEMENT & MONITOR THE CHOSEN  SOLUTION STEP 3 EVALUATE  & CHOOSE  AMONG  ALTERNATIVE  SOLUTIONS PROBLEM SOLVING
STEPS IN AN EFFECTIVE DECISION MAKING PROCESS
Types of Programmed Decisions ,[object Object],  • A general guideline for making a decision about a structured problem. ,[object Object],• A series of interrelated steps that a manager can use to respond ( applying a policy) to a structured problem. ,[object Object], • An explicit statement that limits what a manager or employee can or cannot do.
DIFFERENCES IN DECISION MAKING SITUATIONS NONPROGRAMMED DECISIONS :Decisions for which Predetermined Decision Rules are impractical because the situations are novel and / or relatively unstructured UNCERTAINTY   A condition in which the decision maker must choose a course of action without complete knowledge of the consequences that will follow implementation RISK   The possibility that a chosen action could lead to losses rather than the intended results e.g. : Faced with rapid change & declining US $, Annette Roux, Head Chantiers Beneteau in France opened plant in Carolina to manufacture Sailboats
Programmed vs. Non-programmed  Decisions :
EXAMPLES OF MANAGERIAL DECISION MAKING SITUATIONS
Decision-making styles ,[object Object],	 • Ways of thinking 	 • Rational, orderly, and consistent. 	 • Intuitive, creative, and unique. ,[object Object],	 • Low tolerance: require consistency and order. 	 • High tolerance: multiple thoughts simultaneously.
Decision-Making Styles (cont’d) ,[object Object],	• Directive 	  Use minimal information and consider few alternatives. 	 • Analytic 	   Make careful decisions in unique situations. 	 • Conceptual Maintain a broad outlook and consider many   alternatives in making decisions. 	 • Behavioral 	Avoid conflict by working well with others and beingreceptive to suggestions.
Individual Models of Decision-Making Cognitive style Underlying personality dispositions toward the treatment of  information, selection of alternatives, and evaluation of consequences. Systematic decision makers People who approach a problem by structuring it in terms of some formal method. Intuitive decision makers People who approach a problem with multiple methods in an unstructured manner, using trail and error to find a solution. Organizational models of decision making Models of decision making that take into account the structural and political characteristics of an organization.
Organizational Models of Decision-Making Bureaucratic models of decision making where decisions are shaped by the organization’s standard operating procedures(SOPs). Political models of decision making where decisions result from competition and bargaining among the organization’s interest groups and key leaders. “Garbage can” model where states that organizations are not rational and that decisions are solutions that become attached to problems for accidental reasons.
GROUP DECISION MAKING ADVANTAGES & DISADVANTAGES OF GROUP DECISION MAKING
Common decision-Making errors and Biases Overconfidence Immediate Gratification Hindsight Self-serving Anchoring Effect Decision-Making Errors & Biases Sunk costs Selective Perception Randomness Confirmation representation framing Availability
OVERCOMING BARRIERS TO EFFECTIVE DECISION MAKING ACCEPTING THE PROBLEM CHALLENGE COMPLACENCY : A condition in which individuals either do not see the signs of danger or opportunity or ignore them e.g. : It occurs when an individual immediately accepts a job offer that looks good, without assessing the situation thoroughly DEFENSIVE AVOIDANCE: A condition in which individuals either deny the importance of a danger or an opportunity or deny any responsibility for taking action e.g. : All three forms came into play when officials at Barings Bank in London ignored warning signs that ,[object Object]
Led to loss > $1 billion & collapse of the Bank,[object Object]
Guideline for making decision more effective ,[object Object]
Application of limiting factor- limiting factor should be taken into account in order to analyze the external S & W.
Adequate information-  more quantity of reliable information leads to effective decision making.

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50709056 decision-making

  • 1. DECISION MAKING - An essence to problem solving
  • 2. WHAT IS DECISION MAKING? “ the process of responding to a problem by searching for and selecting a solution or course of action that will create value for organisational stakeholders”.
  • 3. MANAGERIALDECISIONMAKING FOUR STEPS IN THE DECISION MAKING PROCESS DECISION MAKING STEP 1 IDENTIFY THE PROBLEM STEP 2 GENERATE ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS STEP 4 IMPLEMENT & MONITOR THE CHOSEN SOLUTION STEP 3 EVALUATE & CHOOSE AMONG ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS PROBLEM SOLVING
  • 4. STEPS IN AN EFFECTIVE DECISION MAKING PROCESS
  • 5.
  • 6. DIFFERENCES IN DECISION MAKING SITUATIONS NONPROGRAMMED DECISIONS :Decisions for which Predetermined Decision Rules are impractical because the situations are novel and / or relatively unstructured UNCERTAINTY A condition in which the decision maker must choose a course of action without complete knowledge of the consequences that will follow implementation RISK The possibility that a chosen action could lead to losses rather than the intended results e.g. : Faced with rapid change & declining US $, Annette Roux, Head Chantiers Beneteau in France opened plant in Carolina to manufacture Sailboats
  • 8. EXAMPLES OF MANAGERIAL DECISION MAKING SITUATIONS
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Individual Models of Decision-Making Cognitive style Underlying personality dispositions toward the treatment of information, selection of alternatives, and evaluation of consequences. Systematic decision makers People who approach a problem by structuring it in terms of some formal method. Intuitive decision makers People who approach a problem with multiple methods in an unstructured manner, using trail and error to find a solution. Organizational models of decision making Models of decision making that take into account the structural and political characteristics of an organization.
  • 12. Organizational Models of Decision-Making Bureaucratic models of decision making where decisions are shaped by the organization’s standard operating procedures(SOPs). Political models of decision making where decisions result from competition and bargaining among the organization’s interest groups and key leaders. “Garbage can” model where states that organizations are not rational and that decisions are solutions that become attached to problems for accidental reasons.
  • 13. GROUP DECISION MAKING ADVANTAGES & DISADVANTAGES OF GROUP DECISION MAKING
  • 14. Common decision-Making errors and Biases Overconfidence Immediate Gratification Hindsight Self-serving Anchoring Effect Decision-Making Errors & Biases Sunk costs Selective Perception Randomness Confirmation representation framing Availability
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Application of limiting factor- limiting factor should be taken into account in order to analyze the external S & W.
  • 19. Adequate information- more quantity of reliable information leads to effective decision making.
  • 20. Considering other views- various views at the same point are taken into account for quality decision.
  • 21.
  • 22. Nominal group technique (NGT)- problem outlined, presentation of solution in written form, discussion over written solutions, and final decision.
  • 23. Delphi technique- decision made on the basis of questionnaire filled by the respondents.
  • 24.