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Future S&T Forecasts


Dr. James Canton
CEO & Chairman
GlobalFuturist.com
Institute for Global Futures

Forecast Emerging
  Trends

•   Think Tank
•   Advise Fortune 1000
•   Global Risk Analysis
•   Analytic Forecasting
•   Innovation Strategy
Worldwide Clients
Forecasting Models
•Proprietary Computer and
Network based Analytic engines
•Environmental scanning
•Conduct primary and analyze
secondary research
Welcome to the Extreme Future
Extreme Future: More Risk More
                  Opportunity
!A highly multidimensional world
of complex trends
Challenge: Navigate Extreme Future
World of 2020




                8
Top Global Risk on GDP & Multinational

•   Energy
•   Population
•   Food
•   Water
•   Health
•   Ecology
•   GWOT
Global Population

By 2020, 95% of World’s 8 Billion People will
Live in Developing Nations
Fertility Rates Dropping




                                     Total Fertility
                                     Rate by
                                     Country




 Fertility in Every Developed Country has
 Fallen Beneath the Replacement Rate of 2.1
                                                 UN 1997
An Older World
Future Productivity Crisis:
     More Jobs then Workers

Immigration & birthrates
will not keep pace
with GDP demands

Impact on:
•Global Security
•Productivity
•Quality of life
US Workforce 2020
•   More Jobs then Workers
•   Over 50% Women
•   One third minority
•   Large Hispanic population
•   Knowledge Enabled
•   Global outsourcing
By 2020: Most mega-cities in
developing world—EcoFault risk
Global Megacities

The World of 2020 will have 100 Megacities
  with more than 10 Million People Each
Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast


The clash between the rich aging
developed world and the poor
young ethnic developing world




                                    17
Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast

Wealth gaps between not only the
haves and have not nations but
populations within nations like Asia &
India will drive social unrest




                                         18
Possible Disruption Forecast 2020

Current energy resources will not
keep pace with population growth
or GDP—strategic implications?




                                    19
Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast

Over one quarter of gross world
product is made by ten cities today
But this economic power may shift
to Asia in the future—implications?




                                      20
Possible 2020 Disruption Forecast

Cities and planet’s carrying
capacity to feed, clean, cloth, house
and economically sustain 1-2 Billion
more people is questionable.




                                        21
Innovation: Key Driver of Global GDP
1/3 of US GDP is Innovation Driven
Global Innovation Economy
• Key driver of competitive
  advantage, wealth and
  prosperity
• Fusion of talent & science
• America leads
NextGen Science Convergence
New Systems Science
     NBICQ Modeling
             Biological Metaphors in Computing
       Bioinfomatics
In Silico Biology




                                     Genetic / BioMed Proteomics
Quantum Modeling
          of Nano-Materials


Quantum Modeling of meta-scale nanostructured catalysts, nano-
crystals, and membranes enables investigation into unique molecular
forms with substantial cost savings over conventional material solutions
Knowledge-Engineering

Key Properties:
                            Living
Photonic
                          Systems as
Electronic
                          Biofoundry
Mechnical
Chemical
                     Genetic Magnification

             Dynamic Agent         Controlled Replication


           Material Patterning /       Materials Harvest /
           Structural Systems          “Biocomponents”
Synthetic Biology
Synthetic Biology Building Blocks >
Biological Systems Architectures
Neural Futures
Conquering Disease at the
        Atomic Scale: Designed Care




• From InSilico Biology, to Molecular Delivery, to
  Intracellular NanoBiology
• The Evolution of Applied NanoMedicine
Life Extension: Personalized Med
Space Futures
Industrialization of Space – the next Economic Paradigm


                                  Energy Harvesting
                                  Specialized Materials
                                  Space Pharma
Summary


         must accelerate social
quot;Science
innovations
       is next gen systems science
quot;Key

      connection to science and
quot;Direct
democracy, security, economic growth,
prosperity
          private/public coordination
quot;Better
Convergence: Future of Mega Cities

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