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On Global Manufacturing Renaissance 全球制造复兴论 Working Document  Dr. Jin Lu, Director EXUPOLI.net  吕锦博士,优启网董事会主任 Starting Date 2011 年 10 月 27 日星期四
An Quotation from John of Salisbury,  The Metalogicon, 1159-60   ,[object Object]
About Author ( 关于作者) : ,[object Object],Dr. Lu has been working in Ottawa Optics Valley (Canada Capital Region) and Silicon Valley (CA, U.S.A.) as senior opto-mechanical packaging engineer since 1997. Dr. Lu has been one of the pioneers in the development of engineering sciences and manufacturing technologies for photonics/biophotonics packaging applications. He worked for JDSU and Nortel to develop flexible ultra precision assembly work cell & its based production chain for mass production of OC192 DWDM fiber optics components & subsystems. He co-founded a start-up EXUPOLI.net in 2009.
About EXUPOLI.net (关于优启网) : ,[object Object],However, the learning leads to the understanding that the root cause of the failure of the Telecom Giant was the lack of  Marketing Engineering Integration (MEI)  in March 2009. The company has been focusing in MEI, which has been the bottleneck to prevent greatest successes of the internet revolution. EXUPOLI.net is developing interruptive  Contact Center Technologies   for bridging the markets of Canada & China.
Contents ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
From Globalization to Global Manufacturing Renaissance (Introduction) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Party One:  A  Comparative Study in the Renaissance of the 12 th  Century & the Renaissance of the 21 th  Century ,[object Object],[object Object]
Outline of the Party One ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Renaissance of the 12 th  Century (R12) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of R12 (P. & S.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of R12 (2.  T. & C. ) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of  R12  (3.1. Sci. 2.1K Ys)
Characteristics of R12 (3.2.  Sciences ) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of R12 (3.3. Tech) Paper manufacture began in Spain around 1100, and from there it spread to France and Italy during the 12 th  century. In Zhu Yu’s book “Ping Zhou Table Talks”:  magnetic-needle compass for navigation at sea &  Muslim merchants in China (1117 AD)
Significant Achievements in R12 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Renaissance of the 21 th  Century (R21) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of R21 (Crises & Jobs) ,[object Object]
Characteristics of R21 (Globalization) ,[object Object]
Characteristics of R21 (ICT) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of R21 (M. Jobs Loss) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of R21 (USA Jobs) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of R21 (Suggestions) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Characteristics of R21 (A.M.R.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Comparative Study on R12 & R21 student eager for knowledge, translation from English to Chinese student eager for knowledge, translation from Islam to Latin Education problems better Income & Jobs Trade: (privates & governments) & Internet  Trade: (Nobility, Guilds & Church) & Sea Travel Economy dual democratic systems & government intervenes  round-table & public opinion  Politics to justify the integrating markets from humanity perspective to make Christianity more human Humanity R21 R12 Issues
Characteristics of R21 (G. M. R) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
R21 Anticipations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions from Party One ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Party Two: Currency War III (CWIII) –  from End of Bretton Woods Era to Competitive Devaluation
Outline of the Party Two ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Timeline of the of Currency Diplomacy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Plaza Accord & Lost Decade ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Does “Lost Decade” Mean for R21 (JP)? ,[object Object]
What Does “Lost Decade” Mean for R21 (G.)? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
China’s Role in Rescue Hong Kong ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Rise of China – Pre/Post AF Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],% of GDP % of GDP Increase
Burst Internet Bubble 1 & Telecom Meltdown ,[object Object]
Post {BIB1 & TMD} – (USA) ,[object Object],Accounting Scandals Nov. 1997 US$37 B    Bankruptcy July 2002 loss of just under  $100bn ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Dropped AOL from its Name  18 Sept. 2003
Post {BIB1 & TMD} – (EU) ,[object Object],[object Object],Merger Mannesmann with $183bn in Feb. 2000 3-year-old $10 bn Joint Venture unwound ($7 Bn Loss) Oct. 2001 Nearly Half of European Bank Lending in 1999 was to Telecom Companies ( $600 bn)
Post {BIB1 & TMD} – (China) ,[object Object],Year-on-year percentage change, values, 3-month moving average
Post {BIB1 & TMD} (Export Jobs) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
US Housing Bubble  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Housing Bubble Bursting in USA Subprime mortgage collapse & World market  jitters -8.5% +81% 2008 $282 Bn Injected 25 Lenders Bankruptcy -9.7% +75% 2007 H.C. Index -- 40% -6.6% (M) (-10~-50%) +42%  2006 Subprime Loans Cut -3.3% 846,982 Properties 2005 Financial Market Gov. Y2Y Price Key Location F oreclosure (Y2Y) Year
Wall Street Meltdown (Sept. 15, 2008 ~) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Post Wall Street Meltdown (2008~09) ,[object Object],Feb. 2000 - $168 B   $2.5B  |Dec. 10, 2009|  $35B Jan. 13, 2009 June 1, 2009
Currency War III  (2010 ~ … ) ,[object Object],Brazil FM Some version of the worst-case scenario is almost inevitable Money and the world power
Should We Blame on the Math Models? ,[object Object],Recipe for Disaster: The Formula That Killed Wall Street (2009) Dr. David X. Li, CEO of China International Capital Corporation  On Default Correlation: A Copula Function Approach (2000)
Weak and Bumpy Global  Recovery ,[object Object]
Conclusions from Party Two ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Appendix 1 (A.1) Politics, Religions & Scholasticism in The 12 th  Century Renaissance AD 800-1200
Politic, Philosophic and Religious Leaders  [I] Doctor of Church [II] : “The Importance of the Saints and Devotion to Them.” Scholasticism [III]  to Reconcile the Varying Opinions of Christian Thinkers Significant amounts of modern France were under the control of Henry II Henry II Ruled as King of England (1154–1189),   drew their strength from a general public's desire for law and order.
Churches and Canon Laws  Gratian’s collection of canon laws known as the Decretium Gratiani (c.1140) Division between the Eastern and Western Churches in Atlas of the Historical Geography of the Holy Land
Medieval Universities ,[object Object]
References for Appendixes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Comments from Readers - Working Documents will be Updated Every Week (Friday 8:00AM)
Ms. Volpe (Mahzad) Pakzad Cross Functional Engineer/Designer, Project Manager; Manufacturing Oper. Expert, Leadership Trainer, Collaborative. ,[object Object],[object Object]

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On Global Manufacturing Renaissance (全球制造复兴论)

  • 1. On Global Manufacturing Renaissance 全球制造复兴论 Working Document Dr. Jin Lu, Director EXUPOLI.net 吕锦博士,优启网董事会主任 Starting Date 2011 年 10 月 27 日星期四
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Characteristics of R12 (3.1. Sci. 2.1K Ys)
  • 13.
  • 14. Characteristics of R12 (3.3. Tech) Paper manufacture began in Spain around 1100, and from there it spread to France and Italy during the 12 th century. In Zhu Yu’s book “Ping Zhou Table Talks”: magnetic-needle compass for navigation at sea & Muslim merchants in China (1117 AD)
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Comparative Study on R12 & R21 student eager for knowledge, translation from English to Chinese student eager for knowledge, translation from Islam to Latin Education problems better Income & Jobs Trade: (privates & governments) & Internet Trade: (Nobility, Guilds & Church) & Sea Travel Economy dual democratic systems & government intervenes round-table & public opinion Politics to justify the integrating markets from humanity perspective to make Christianity more human Humanity R21 R12 Issues
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Party Two: Currency War III (CWIII) – from End of Bretton Woods Era to Competitive Devaluation
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. Housing Bubble Bursting in USA Subprime mortgage collapse & World market jitters -8.5% +81% 2008 $282 Bn Injected 25 Lenders Bankruptcy -9.7% +75% 2007 H.C. Index -- 40% -6.6% (M) (-10~-50%) +42% 2006 Subprime Loans Cut -3.3% 846,982 Properties 2005 Financial Market Gov. Y2Y Price Key Location F oreclosure (Y2Y) Year
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. Appendix 1 (A.1) Politics, Religions & Scholasticism in The 12 th Century Renaissance AD 800-1200
  • 51. Politic, Philosophic and Religious Leaders [I] Doctor of Church [II] : “The Importance of the Saints and Devotion to Them.” Scholasticism [III] to Reconcile the Varying Opinions of Christian Thinkers Significant amounts of modern France were under the control of Henry II Henry II Ruled as King of England (1154–1189), drew their strength from a general public's desire for law and order.
  • 52. Churches and Canon Laws Gratian’s collection of canon laws known as the Decretium Gratiani (c.1140) Division between the Eastern and Western Churches in Atlas of the Historical Geography of the Holy Land
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55. Comments from Readers - Working Documents will be Updated Every Week (Friday 8:00AM)
  • 56.

Editor's Notes

  1. [ 1]Tom G. Palmer of the Cato Institute in http:// en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Globalization#Definitions
  2. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renaissance_of_the_12th_century
  3. 1.) The 12th Century Renaissance ( http://www.historyguide.org/ancient/lecture26b.html )
  4. (1) http://www.ehow.com/about_7573550_trade-commerce-12th-century.html
  5. 1. http://www.historyguide.org/ancient/lecture26b.html
  6. 1. http://www.historyguide.org/ancient/lecture26b.html
  7. (2) http://www.rhymes.org.uk/a11-blow-wind-blow.htm (3) http://baike.baidu.com/view/1080967.htm (4) http:// en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zhu_Yu_(author )
  8. A&S&T- Arts& Sciences & Technologies
  9. NAE – National Academy of Engineering
  10. 1.) http://www.g20.org/Documents2011/11/Cannes%20Action%20plan%204%20November%202011.pdf 2.) http://www.g20.org/pub_communiques.aspx
  11. http://www.census.gov/econ/ict/xls/2007/Summary%20of%20Findings.htm $14,074.2 Billion GDP of USA http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0104575.html
  12. http://rlwilsonconsulting.wordpress.com/2008/12/26/us-manufacturing-job-losses-20-since-2000/ http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/75-001-x/2009102/article/10788-eng.htm (3) http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/Sectoral_productivity_at_regional_level
  13. http://www.businessweek.com/the_thread/economicsunbound/archives/2009/06/a_lost_decade_f.html
  14. http://relooney.fatcow.com/0_New_10530.pdf
  15. http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2010/future-manufacture-0331.html http://relooney.fatcow.com/0_New_10530.pdf
  16. http:// www.qualityinspection.org /trends-china-manufacturing/ http://www.globalintelligence.com/insights-analysis/asia-news-update/asia-news-update-june-3-2011/singapore-asian-manufacturing-data-highlight-slowi/ http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/auto/automobiles/car-sales-fall-by-24-in-oct-rising-interest-rates-fuel-costs-weigh/articleshow/10673614.cms
  17. http://chronicle.com/article/We-Need-a-National-Effort-to/126253/
  18. “ Currency Wars” http://www.fgmr.com/currency-wars.html
  19. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-11484532 http://www.voanews.com/english/news/asia/China-Currency-Bill-Passes-US-Senate-131558133.html How to stop a currency war http://www.economist.com/node/17251850
  20. The Plaza Accord: The World Intervenes In Currency Markets Read more:  http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/09/plaza-accord.asp#ixzz1dPPuQqKS The Lost Decade: Lessons From Japan's Real Estate Crisis Read more:  http://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/08/japan-1990s-credit-crunch-liquidity-trap.asp?&viewed=1&viewed=1#ixzz1dPU2mL6p http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/2010/02/15/japans-economy-awakening-from-lost-decade/
  21. High-Tech Industries Drive Global Economic Activity ( http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/issuebrf/sib98319.htm ) Chapter 3 Economy http://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/handbook/c03cont.htm
  22. Japan as Number One: Lessons for America ( Ezra Vogel ) Japan as Number Two: Competitive Problems and the Future of Alliance Capitalism after the Burst of the Bubble Boom Christian Berggren Swedish Institute for Work Life Research, Stockholm http://www.prolificliving.com/blog/2007/04/08/joseph-finder-company-man/ Digital Manufacturing / CAM ( http:// www.acuityinc.com /solutions/digital-manufacturing-cam ) The Concept of Business Ecosystems ( http://valuestream2009.wordpress.com/2010/10/26/redwood-forests-provide-a-clue-to-business-sustainability-and-a-greener-supply-chain/ )
  23. Economic History of Hong Kong http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/crash/etc/cron.html http:// eh.net/encyclopedia/article/schenk.hongkong Ten years on How Asia shrugged off its economic crisis http://www.economist.com/node/9432495 Heeding the Lessons of the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis as Wall Street Bleeds http://asiasociety.org/business/economic-trends/heeding-lessons-1997-asian-financial-crisis-wall-street-bleeds
  24. US played substantial role in rise of China‘ http://www.indianexpress.com/news/us-played-substantial-role-in-rise-of-china/874513/
  25. http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/01_17/b3729007.htm
  26. http://www.imaa-institute.org/statistics-mergers-acquisitions.html#TopMergersAcquisitions_Worldwide Wall Street Fine Tracker  http://www.forbes.com/2002/10/24/cx_aw_1024fine.html AOL to Spin Off Dec. 9, Begin Trading Dec. 10 (Plus Full Press Release) http://allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/
  27. Telecom Meltdown http://www.greenspun.com/bboard/q-and-a-fetch-msg.tcl?msg_id =006KLY Vodafone seals Mannesmann deal   http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/630293.stm http://www.scribd.com/doc/56908767/Telecom-Crash-Course The Tidal Wave Bearing Down on Telecom http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/feb2002/nf2002027_9764.htm Telecoms meltdown continues http://www.computerweekly.com/news/2240045117/Telecoms-meltdown-continues
  28. The impact of the crisis on ICTs and their role in the recovery http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/33/20/43404360.pdf
  29. Offshoring: Learn To Love It: http://www.crn.com/news/channel-programs/18841772/offshoring-learn-to-love-it.htm (Case Study: The Reference )
  30. http:// www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context = va&aid =10529 FFIEC Press Releases July 26, 2004 http://www.ffiec.gov/hmcrpr/hm072604.htm
  31. http://www.globalpropertyguide.com/North-America/United-States/Price-History
  32. The Wall Street crisis and the failure of American capitalism http://wsws.org/articles/2008/sep2008/lehm-s16.shtml
  33. Citigroup shares: No longer toxic? http://money.cnn.com/2010/03/09/news/companies/Citi_shares.fortune/ Archive for the 'Citigroup' Category http://mortgage.ocregister.com/category/company-watch/citigroup / AOL to Spin Off Dec. 9, Begin Trading Dec. 10 (Plus Full Press Release) http://allthingsd.com/20091116/aol-to-spin-off-december-9-begin-trading-december-10/
  34. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1726247 http://www.actuaries.org/ASTIN/Colloquia/Helsinki/Presentations/Embrechts.pdf
  35. One of the 33 doctor of the Catholic Church Great kings like Henry II of England (1133-1189) drew their strength from a general public's desire for law and order.
  36. http://www.historyguide.org/ancient/lecture26b.html (in The 1st paragraph) http:// johost.eu/?oid =54&act=&area=3&ri=4&itid=