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Market Analyst: Julie Bergman 
Strategy Analyst: Emilie Dalavai 
Financial Analyst: Andrew Dibert 
Operations Analyst: Maddie Ledbetter
COMPANY HISTORY, MISSION, VISION AND 
COMPANY OBJECTIVES
COMPANY HISTORY 
K. R. Perry opened a 
Ben Franklin variety 
store 
Brock, Perry, and 
Compton started 
Only $1.00 
with 5 stores 
Dollar Tree went 
public on the 
NASDAQ exchange 
at $15 a share. 
Only $1.00 Company 
changed to 
Dollar Tree Stores 
Dollar Tree acquired 
The First Distribution 
Center opened 
Dollar Express 
(DollarTree.com)
MISSION AND VISION 
• Mission: We will operate profitably, empower our associates to share in its opportunities, 
rewards and successes, and deal with others in an honest and considerate way. 
• Vision: Dollar Tree is focused on potential growth through increasing our relevance to 
customers. They plan to continue expanding the business by providing even more value to 
a broader range of customers. 
• Objectives for 2014: 
• 375 new stores and 75 relocations for a total of 450 projects across the U.S. and 
Canada. 
• Expand in the areas of Stationery, Candy, Health and Beauty Care, Frozen and 
Refrigerated products, Home and Household Products, and Seasonal and Party 
products 
• Expand geographical reach and add channels of distribution 
(Dollar Tree About Us, Dollar Tree Annual Report, 2013)
STRATEGY SELECTION 
OVERVIEW
DEVELOP THE DOLLAR DOME 
Strategy: Market Development 
Explanation: Create a Dollar Tree vending machine that will be in college dorms. 
The “Dollar Dome” will hold toiletry, travel size and convenience items for a dollar 
or less 
• 40 vending machines will be installed on each of the 5 Midwest college 
campuses that partner with Dollar Tree. 
• Dollar Tree anticipates making $20 million in revenue by the fifth year 
(Hoovers)
DOLLAR DOME
M&A TARGET: AMERICAN VENDING MACHINES 
• American Vending Machines is a privately held 
company that provides vending machines, vending 
equipment and vending machine parts. 
• Founded in 1997 
• About 15 employees 
• Located in St. Louis, Missouri, American Vending 
Machines is well positioned to drop ship to 
anywhere in the United States 
• The company earns about $1.5 million in sales 
(AmericanVendingMachines.com)
INTERNAL SCAN: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
INCOME STATEMENT AND BALANCE SHEET 
(IN MILLIONS) 
2013 2012 2011 
Income Statement 
Gross margin 35.58% 35.87% 35.87% 
Net sales $7,840 $7,395 $6,631 
Cost of sales $5,051 $4,742 $4,252 
Operating income $970 $920 $782 
Balance Sheet 
Cash and cash equivalents $268 $400 $288 
Long term debt $757 $257 $250
COMPETITOR ANALYSIS 
Ratio Family Dollar 
Dollar 
General 
Dollar Tree Industry 
Net Profit Margin 4.24% 6.47% 7.61% 3.06% 
Gross Margin 34.21% 31.05% 35.58% 23.98% 
Current Ratio 1.72 1.77 2.10 .97 
Market Cap 8.93 B 19.67 B 12.76 B 
Earnings per Share $3.83 $3.57 $2.87
INTERNAL SCAN: 
PRODUCT/SERVICE ANALYSIS
BCG MATRIX AND ANALYSIS 
High Low 
High 
Low 
Market Growth Rate 
Relative Market Share 
• Dollar Tree is a star because it is still in a growth market. With smaller stores growing in 
popularity, Dollar Tree still has potential growth. 
(DollarTree.com)
GE MATRIX AND ANALYSIS 
GE Matrix 
Cash 
Generation 
Withdrawal 
(Hoovers, Walmart and Yahoo! Finance) 
Phased 
Withdrawal 
Try Harder 
Double or 
Strong Average Weak 
Low Medium High 
Industry 
Attractiveness 
Competitive Position 
Quit 
Proceed 
with Caution 
Phased 
Withdrawal 
Leader Growth
VRIO CHART 
Valuable Rareness Imitability Organization 
Competitive 
Implications 
Economic 
Implications 
Dollar Tree Yes++ Yes++ Yes Yes 
Sustained 
Advantage 
Above Normal 
Family 
Dollar 
Yes Yes Yes No 
Temporary 
Advantage 
Normal 
Dollar 
General 
Yes Yes Yes No 
Temporary 
Advantage 
Normal 
• Dollar Tree’s fixed price of $1 for every single item in the store differentiates their brand from the 
competitors and gives then a competitive advantage. 
(Mergent)
4 P’S OF MARKETING 
Marketing Mix Variables Dollar Tree Family Dollar Dollar General 
Product 
Consumable merchandise, variety 
merchandise, and seasonal goods 
Consumable merchandise, variety 
merchandise, and seasonal 
goods 
Consumable merchandise, variety 
merchandise, and seasonal 
goods 
Place Retail; online Retail Retail; online 
Promotion Advertising; coupons Advertising; coupons Advertising; coupons 
Price Everything for $1 Low Cost Low Cost 
Strength/Weakness 
Strengths: customer can always count 
on products to be $1 
Weakness: buyers are highly price 
sensitive; similar products to 
competitors 
Strengths: low priced products 
Weakness: buyers are highly 
price sensitive; similar products to 
competitors 
Strengths: low priced products 
Weakness: buyers are highly 
price sensitive; similar products 
to competitors 
Market Position: Dollar Tree differentiates itself from other discount variety store competitors by offering all products for $1. Unlike Family Dollar, Dollar 
Tree also sells their products online. Buyers are highly price sensitive so a better deal at a competitor may take away some of Dollar Tree’s business. 
Market Segmentation: Dollar Tree targets low income to middle class consumers. These consumers value low costs over quality of products. 
(Mergent)
PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE 
Sales 
Intro Growth Maturity Decline 
Seasonal Goods 
Consumable & 
Variety Goods 
• Dollar Tree’s seasonal goods do not follow the typical product life cycle that 
their consumable and variety products follow. 
(DollarTree.com)
DOLLAR TREE’S BUSINESS 
MODEL 
Efficiency Model: 
• Dollar Tree sells low-cost household items to consumers 
• Who it serves: low to middle income Americans 
• What it provides: low-cost household items 
• How it makes money: buy large quantities cheaper than sells individual units 
• How it differentiates and sustains competitive advantages: combines 
convenience of drugstores and supermarkets with low prices 
• How it provides its products/services: in retail stores and online 
(Dollar Tree About Us, Dollar Tree Annual Report and Marketline)
DOLLAR TREE’S BUSINESS 
MODEL 
Strengths: 
• Extensive retail network across the US with well supported logistics and 
distribution infrastructure 
• Efficient pricing structure sustains business: single price point $1 
• Retail technology systems to support Dollar Tree's business model 
Weaknesses: 
• Low customer loyalty 
• Smaller operations in size compared to other competition 
(Dollar Tree About Us, Dollar Tree Annual Report and Marketline)
VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS FOR INTERNAL 
OPERATIONS: PRIMARY ACTIVITIES 
Inbound Logistics: 
• Dollar Tree’s supply chain relies on strong vendor partnerships 
• Its inbound transportation utilizes PowerTMS 
Operations: 
• China accounts for 80% of all the company’s imports, making it dependent on outsourced manufacturers. 
Marketing and Sales: 
• The Dollar Model - “Everything’s $1” slogan draws customers hunting for deals and savings. 
• In-store events, specials, seasonal promotions, and featured products through its website 
Outbound Logistics: 
• The company operates 10 distribution centers across 48 states. 
• Great direct relationships with manufacturers 
(Dollar Tree 10-K, Dollartreeinfo.com, Forbes and Social Science Research 
Network)
VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS FOR INTERNAL 
OPERATIONS: SUPPORT ACTIVITIES 
Firm Infrastructure: 
• Strategy for primary growth involves same-store sales and new store openings 
• Shifting merchandise mix to more consumables with the addition of frozen and refrigerated foods 
HR Management: 
• Half of the company’s 2,300 employees who submitted online employee reviews are unsatisfied with wages 
• Manager in Training (MIT) Program that runs from 7-8 weeks 
Technology Development: 
• investments in its inventory management system 
• Dollar Tree Direct 
Procurement: 
• About 80% of Dollar Tree’s imports are from suppliers in China 
• Competitors also obtain most imports from China, lessening Dollar Tree’s opportunity for supplier exclusivity 
(Indeed.com, Marketline, S&P Capital IQ and Social Science Research Network)
DOLLAR TREE DIRECT 
(DollarTree.com)
IFAS TABLE: STRENGTHS 
Internal Factors: 
Strengths 
Weight Rating Weighted 
Score 
Comments 
Well supported logistics and distribution 
center 
0.08 5 0.40 
The company has an extensive retail network across the US with efficient, 
well-functioning distribution centers 
Supply chain management and cost control 0.07 3 0.21 Excellent as evidenced by current ratio of 2.01 
Sustained discount pricing structure 0.10 5 0.50 
By purchasing goods in huge quantities, maintaining strong relationships with 
vendors and suppliers, and by purchasing manufacturers' over-runs 
Tailored information technology (IT) 
infrastructure 
0.04 3 0.12 
Investments in its inventory management system have enhanced supply 
chain efficiency and merchandise flow and increased inventory turnover 
Best industry operating margin 0.04 3 0.12 
This is due to a significant portion of its product mix consisting of 
discretionary goods 
• The company’s logistics and distribution center contribute heavily to its profitability 
• The discount pricing structure is a powerful marketing tool that brings in many customers 
seeking deals 
(10-K, Dollartree.com, Marketline, Mergent, S&P Capital IQ)
IFAS TABLE: WEAKNESSES 
Internal Factors: 
Weaknesses 
Weight Rating Weighted 
Score 
Comments 
Lack of global penetration 0.04 1 0.04 Despite strong presence in the United States 
Lawsuits concerning wage violations 0.07 1 0.07 The company has been involved in litigations from thousands of employees 
Lack of scale compared to competitors 0.05 3 0.15 
Operations are smaller in size compared to Dollar General (10,557 stores in 40 
states) 
Lack of quality products due to pricing 
strategy 
0.09 4 0.36 
Dollar Tree does not draw in some customers simply because some of its 
products are not great quality 
Smaller revenue than others in industry 0.06 3 0.18 
Revenue was about $9.5 million less than competitor Dollar General, who 
outperformed them in many categories 
Decrease in fixed asset turnover of 10.7% 
from 2011 to 2013 
0.05 3 0.15 
Decrease indicates that new assets have not generated as much revenue as 
assets previous years 
• Dollar Tree does not draw in customers because some of its $1 or less products are not great quality 
• Good relationships with its suppliers and vendors allows buying at inexpensive prices 
(10-K, Dollartree.com, Marketline, Mergent, S&P Capital IQ)
EXTERNAL SCAN: INDUSTRY 
ANALYSIS
PORTER’S FIVE FORCES 
+ indicates high power 
- Indicates low power 
Supplier 
Power 
Customer 
Power 
New Entrant 
Power 
Substitute 
Product 
Power 
Competitive 
Rivalry 
Seasonal Goods - + -- + - 
Consumable and 
- + -- ++ - 
Variety Goods 
Family Dollar - + - ++ + 
Dollar General - + -- + + 
• Bargaining Power of Suppliers: Low 
• Bargaining Power of Customers: High 
• Threat of New Entrants: Low 
• Threat of Substitute Products: High 
• Competitive Rivalry Within the Industry: Low 
(Dollar Tree About Us, Dollar Tree Annual Report, 2013, Marketline)
INDUSTRY AND ECONOMIC TRENDS 
Highlighted Opportunity: 
• Recessions happen every 5-10 years 
Highlighted Threats: 
• Inflation: A problem because of our fixed price scheme 
• Minimum wage: recent strikes are raising awareness among politicians 
Industry Trend: 
• Convenience involves fast-paced shopping and on-the-go tactics meant to 
save the consumer time. 
• Dollar Tree’s smaller store format can take advantage of this trend because 
people need to get in and out of the store fast. Larger stores such as 
Walmart take longer to shop because the store is so big. 
(Aboutnews, Bloomberg, USA News)
EXTERNAL SCAN: COMPETITIVE 
ANALYSIS
SNAPSHOT OF COMPETITION IN INDUSTRY 
• Dollar Tree is in the basic discount consumer goods market, a market highly competitive in price, store location, 
merchandise quality, assortment and presentation, in-stock consistency, customer service. 
(Dollar General, Family Dollar, Dollar Tree) 
Market Cap: 19.67 Billion 
Employees: 100,000 + 
Stores: 11,000 + 
Market Cap: 8.93 Billion 
Employee: 50,000 + 
Stores: 8,000 + 
Market Cap: 12.76 Billion 
Employees: 87,000 + 
Stores: 5,000 +
DOLLAR TREE V. COMPETITORS 
Sales 
Company 2013 2012 2011 
Dollar Tree $7.8 $7.4 $6.6 
Dollar General $17.5 $16 $14.8 
Family Dollar $10.4 $9.3 $8.5 
Profit Margin 
Company 2013 
Dollar Tree 8% 
Dollar General 6% 
Family Dollar 4% 
in Billions 
(Dollar General, Family Dollar, Dollar Tree)
BCG MATRIX: COMPETITORS 
High Low 
High 
Low 
Market Growth Rate 
Relative Market Share 
Dollar Tree 
Family Dollar 
Dollar General 
Walmart 
(Hoovers, Walmart and Yahoo! Finance)
EFAS TABLE 
External Factors Weight Rating Weighted 
Score 
Comments 
Opportunities: 
Expansion of the store network 
0.3 5 1.5 
Dollar Tree has the smallest number of stores compared to Dollar 
General, Family Dollar and Walmart, so there is room for growth 
Recessions 0.05 3 0.15 
People try to save money during these times which allows Dollar Tree 
to market as a cheap alternative 
Growing E-commerce market 0.3 5 1.5 
Dollar Tree can capitalize by its improving online store, Dollar Tree 
Direct 
Customer focused shopping experience 0.06 4 0.24 
Dollar Tree is working to differentiate itself by enhancing the ‘shopping 
experience’ for its customers 
Threats: 
Inflation 
0.02 3 0.06 Could become a problem because of the fixed price scheme 
Rising labor wages in US and Canada 0.1 5 0.5 
Increased labor costs can lead to high operating costs 
Walmart, Dollar General, Family Dollar and CVS/Walgreen/Rite 
Imports from China 0.1 3 0.3 
Dollar Tree imports approximately 40% to 42% of its merchandise from 
China. Steady economic growth and increased employment has 
increased the wage levels in China in the last two decades. This threat 
will lead to an increase in sourcing cost of imports coming from China. 
(Marketline) 
Not as convenient as competitors 0.07 4 0.28 Aid have a larger market share than Dollar Tree
STRATEGY SELECTION AND 
DESCRIPTION
STRATEGY SELECTION: DEVELOP DOLLAR 
DOME 
• Strategy: Market Development 
• Explanation: Create a Dollar Tree vending machine that will be in college 
dorms. The “Dollar Dome” will hold toiletry, travel size and convenience items 
for a dollar or less. 
• Strengths: Entering into a new market with little to no competition. College 
students value convenience, and will not have to drive to get good deals on 
commonly used items. Vending machines provide steady income and are 
easy to operate 
• Weaknesses: Potential problems from university bookstores that sell similar 
items 
• Opportunity: Customer-focused shopping experience 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
STRATEGY SELECTION: DEVELOP DOLLAR DOME 
• Rationalization: 
– Provides long-term consistent, measurable and profitable growth 
– Focuses on potential to grow through increasing our relevance to 
customers 
– Follows the trend of convenience especially among college-aged 
demographic 
• Expected Outcomes: Increased annual income, increased market share, 
new customer base 
• TOWS Alignment: Strength/Opportunity Strategy 
– Strengths- well supported logistics and distribution centers, sustained 
discount pricing structure, and supply chain management and cost control 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE OF DOLLAR DOME 
• Dollar Tree follows a Cost 
Leadership Strategy on Porter’s 
Generic Strategies 
• Target Scope: Dollar Tree 
offers a variety of products for 
every age and gender 
• Advantage: Dollar Tree sells 
everything for under $1 
• The Dollar Dome allows Dollar 
Tree to try to make our low-cost 
items easily available to college 
students on university campuses
AMERICAN VENDING MACHINES PURCHASE 
PRICE 
• Hoovers estimates that American Vending Machines had $1.5 
million in sales in 2013 
• Using the average of larger vending machine companies the 
average EV to Sales multiple of 3.0 results in acquiring 
American Vending Machines for around $5 million 
– This company can give us a start to start selling on college 
campuses, but since it is so small we can acquire another 
company 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
EXTERNAL SCAN: FINANCIAL 
ANALYSIS
ONE TIME ACQUISITION 
American Vending Machines Operating Costs 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 
• One time Purchase Price: $5 Million 
• American Vending Machines is a vending machine provider that serves the continental 
United States. 
– $1.5 million in sales 
• Funding Methods 
– Pay $5 million in cash 
In Millions 
AMV Operating Costs 25% 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 
One Time M&A Price 5 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
SYNERGISTIC COST 
SAVINGS 
Cost of Sales 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 
COGS Ongoing 60% 4,704 4,986 5,286 5,603 5,939 6,295 
AMV COGS 50% 0.75 0.83 0.91 1.00 1.10 1.21 
AMV Cost Synergies (Economies of Scale) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) 
New Strategy COGS 60% 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.9 
Synergistic Savings (Restructuring) (0.4) (0.4) (0.4) (0.4) (0.4) 
• Restructuring Savings 
– Dollar Tree will save money by cutting about 12 of the current 15 employees at American 
Vending Machines including eliminating employees from marketing and accounting 
departments (about $400,000 in savings). 
– American Vending Machines’ marketing and accounting departments will be absorbed into 
Dollar Tree’s departments. 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
REVENUE PROJECTIONS 
Revenue Projections for Vending Machines 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 
Vending Machines Installed 200 600 1,000 1,400 1,800 
Growth Rate 200% 67% 40% 29% 
Sales per Machine (in Thousands) $10.80 $10.80 $10.80 $10.80 $10.80 
Revenue (in Millions) $2.16 $6.48 $10.80 $15.12 $19.44 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
OPERATIONAL COSTS...FIX! 
New Strategy Operating Costs 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 
New Strategy Marketing Costs (sales team, promotion) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 
New Strategy Operational Costs 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 
• Dollar Tree will acquire American Vending Machines, and therefore acquire the company’s 
operational costs. Dollar Tree will pay American Vending Machines to keep the vending machines 
stocked. 
– Dollar Dome operational costs are estimated to be around $300,000 the first year. 
– The cost for Dollar Tree to stock the machines will increase steadily as American Vending 
Machines installs more vending machines on college campuses (approximately 5 campuses 
the first year and 10 additional campuses every year following the first). 
• Servicing and maintenance are potential and probable operational costs. Maintenance expenses 
will include the cost of the parts needed to fix the vending machine. 
• Dollar Tree will pay 5% of commissions to each university as royalty payments. 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com, Franchise Direct)
MARKETING COSTS.. FIX! 
Cost of Sales 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 
COGS Ongoing 60% 4,704 4,986 5,286 5,603 5,939 6,295 
AVM COGS 50% 0.75 0.83 0.91 1.00 1.10 1.21 
AVM Cost Synergies (Economies of Scale) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) 
New Strategy COGS 60% 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.9 
New Strategy COGS?? 0.75 0.62 0.89 1.47 2.06 2.65 
Total Cost of Sales 4,705 4,987 5,287 5,604 5,940 6,296 
• By acquiring American Vending Machine, Dollar Tree will absorb their marketing costs 
• With the acquisition of American Vending Machine, cost of goods sold will be 60.0% 
• We estimate an increase in total cost of sales by $1,591 million over five years 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
FINANCIAL MODEL 
• Since vending machines do not have 
good profit margins and have high initial 
costs the initial financial numbers are 
low. 
• NPV is positive so the strategy is 
profitable. 
• After vending machines are in place only 
costs will be stocking and repairing 
machines which will lead to greater 
profit. 
WACC 10.48% 
NPV 4 million 
IRR 31% 
Payback 
Period 
3 years 
(Hoovers)
FINANCIAL SUMMARY 
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 
American Vending Machines Operating Income 1.00 1.21 1.40 1.40 1.56 1.73 
American Vending Machines Operating Margin 43% 73% 77% 70% 71% 72% 
New Strategy Operating Income (0.11) (0.08) 0.15 0.27 0.40 
New Strategy Operating Margin (21.7%) (9.4%) 9.1% 11.2% 12.2% 
• Income from American Vending Machines will steadily increase. 
• The new strategy will start off with negative income but will steadily increase 
to be positive after two years. 
• While this strategy does not boost income a lot, it does improve it and gets 
Dollar Tree into the vending machine industry. 
(Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION AND 
FEEDBACK
Financial 
To succeed financially, Dollar Tree will increase 
revenue growth. 
• Dollar Tree will increase its revenue growth 
through the “Dollar Dome” strategy by 
increasing product sales by getting them closer 
to our customers through vending machines. 
Internal Processes 
To succeed internally, Dollar Tree will 
evaluate American Vending Machines’ corporate 
culture as well as its own to efficiently and 
effectively streamline business operations. 
• This will be accomplished by changing the top 
management American Vending Machines and 
gaining synergistic savings. 
Customer 
To achieve customer satisfaction, Dollar Tree must 
ensure that its customers as well as American 
Vending Machines’ customers are satisfied with the 
changes after the acquisition occurs. 
• This will be accomplished through talking to 
American Vending Machines’ customers and 
ensuring that their needs are met under the new 
management. 
Learning & Growth 
To learn and grow, Dollar Tree must understand 
the vending machine industry and how to 
succeed. 
• This will be accomplished employee training, 
and sharing information as Dollar Tree and 
American Vending Machines integrate. 
Vision & Strategy 
BALANCED SCORECARD 
(BalancedScorecard.org)
KEY RESULT AREAS 
• Strategy 
– Complete the acquisition and merger of American Vending Machines within 2 years 
– Stabilize and grow the Dollar Dome product line 
• Financial 
– Increase revenue of vending machines by $1 million by end of year 2 
– Reduce costs of new vending machines by 30% 
• Market 
– In the first year the Dollar Dome is implemented, earn $400,000 in sales 
– Retain 100% of all University accounts throughout the fiscal year 
– Increase the number of vending machines sold from 150 in the first year to 300 in the second 
year 
• Operations 
– Vending machines will break even within 6 “active” college months after installation 
– Introduce 25 vending machines on 5 college campuses within the first year 
(Franchise Direct)
GANTT CHART HIGHLIGHTS 
Dollar Tree Gantt Chart 
Highlights 
11/1412/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/1511/1512/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 
Integration of Dollar Tree and AVM 
Let go of unnecessary employees 
Raise funds for project through stock 
Unify companies’ distribution practices 
Rollout Dollar Dome (Pilot Program) 
Install vending machines in dorms 
Set up accounts for Dollar Dome 
Clearly brand machines as Dollar Tree’s 
Communicating with universities to 
form ties 
Hire employees to restock machines 
Reach out to new universities to grow 
(Franchise Direct)
QUESTIONS?

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SM_Final_Presentation_Dollar_Tree

  • 1. Market Analyst: Julie Bergman Strategy Analyst: Emilie Dalavai Financial Analyst: Andrew Dibert Operations Analyst: Maddie Ledbetter
  • 2. COMPANY HISTORY, MISSION, VISION AND COMPANY OBJECTIVES
  • 3. COMPANY HISTORY K. R. Perry opened a Ben Franklin variety store Brock, Perry, and Compton started Only $1.00 with 5 stores Dollar Tree went public on the NASDAQ exchange at $15 a share. Only $1.00 Company changed to Dollar Tree Stores Dollar Tree acquired The First Distribution Center opened Dollar Express (DollarTree.com)
  • 4. MISSION AND VISION • Mission: We will operate profitably, empower our associates to share in its opportunities, rewards and successes, and deal with others in an honest and considerate way. • Vision: Dollar Tree is focused on potential growth through increasing our relevance to customers. They plan to continue expanding the business by providing even more value to a broader range of customers. • Objectives for 2014: • 375 new stores and 75 relocations for a total of 450 projects across the U.S. and Canada. • Expand in the areas of Stationery, Candy, Health and Beauty Care, Frozen and Refrigerated products, Home and Household Products, and Seasonal and Party products • Expand geographical reach and add channels of distribution (Dollar Tree About Us, Dollar Tree Annual Report, 2013)
  • 6. DEVELOP THE DOLLAR DOME Strategy: Market Development Explanation: Create a Dollar Tree vending machine that will be in college dorms. The “Dollar Dome” will hold toiletry, travel size and convenience items for a dollar or less • 40 vending machines will be installed on each of the 5 Midwest college campuses that partner with Dollar Tree. • Dollar Tree anticipates making $20 million in revenue by the fifth year (Hoovers)
  • 8. M&A TARGET: AMERICAN VENDING MACHINES • American Vending Machines is a privately held company that provides vending machines, vending equipment and vending machine parts. • Founded in 1997 • About 15 employees • Located in St. Louis, Missouri, American Vending Machines is well positioned to drop ship to anywhere in the United States • The company earns about $1.5 million in sales (AmericanVendingMachines.com)
  • 10. INCOME STATEMENT AND BALANCE SHEET (IN MILLIONS) 2013 2012 2011 Income Statement Gross margin 35.58% 35.87% 35.87% Net sales $7,840 $7,395 $6,631 Cost of sales $5,051 $4,742 $4,252 Operating income $970 $920 $782 Balance Sheet Cash and cash equivalents $268 $400 $288 Long term debt $757 $257 $250
  • 11. COMPETITOR ANALYSIS Ratio Family Dollar Dollar General Dollar Tree Industry Net Profit Margin 4.24% 6.47% 7.61% 3.06% Gross Margin 34.21% 31.05% 35.58% 23.98% Current Ratio 1.72 1.77 2.10 .97 Market Cap 8.93 B 19.67 B 12.76 B Earnings per Share $3.83 $3.57 $2.87
  • 13. BCG MATRIX AND ANALYSIS High Low High Low Market Growth Rate Relative Market Share • Dollar Tree is a star because it is still in a growth market. With smaller stores growing in popularity, Dollar Tree still has potential growth. (DollarTree.com)
  • 14. GE MATRIX AND ANALYSIS GE Matrix Cash Generation Withdrawal (Hoovers, Walmart and Yahoo! Finance) Phased Withdrawal Try Harder Double or Strong Average Weak Low Medium High Industry Attractiveness Competitive Position Quit Proceed with Caution Phased Withdrawal Leader Growth
  • 15. VRIO CHART Valuable Rareness Imitability Organization Competitive Implications Economic Implications Dollar Tree Yes++ Yes++ Yes Yes Sustained Advantage Above Normal Family Dollar Yes Yes Yes No Temporary Advantage Normal Dollar General Yes Yes Yes No Temporary Advantage Normal • Dollar Tree’s fixed price of $1 for every single item in the store differentiates their brand from the competitors and gives then a competitive advantage. (Mergent)
  • 16. 4 P’S OF MARKETING Marketing Mix Variables Dollar Tree Family Dollar Dollar General Product Consumable merchandise, variety merchandise, and seasonal goods Consumable merchandise, variety merchandise, and seasonal goods Consumable merchandise, variety merchandise, and seasonal goods Place Retail; online Retail Retail; online Promotion Advertising; coupons Advertising; coupons Advertising; coupons Price Everything for $1 Low Cost Low Cost Strength/Weakness Strengths: customer can always count on products to be $1 Weakness: buyers are highly price sensitive; similar products to competitors Strengths: low priced products Weakness: buyers are highly price sensitive; similar products to competitors Strengths: low priced products Weakness: buyers are highly price sensitive; similar products to competitors Market Position: Dollar Tree differentiates itself from other discount variety store competitors by offering all products for $1. Unlike Family Dollar, Dollar Tree also sells their products online. Buyers are highly price sensitive so a better deal at a competitor may take away some of Dollar Tree’s business. Market Segmentation: Dollar Tree targets low income to middle class consumers. These consumers value low costs over quality of products. (Mergent)
  • 17. PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE Sales Intro Growth Maturity Decline Seasonal Goods Consumable & Variety Goods • Dollar Tree’s seasonal goods do not follow the typical product life cycle that their consumable and variety products follow. (DollarTree.com)
  • 18. DOLLAR TREE’S BUSINESS MODEL Efficiency Model: • Dollar Tree sells low-cost household items to consumers • Who it serves: low to middle income Americans • What it provides: low-cost household items • How it makes money: buy large quantities cheaper than sells individual units • How it differentiates and sustains competitive advantages: combines convenience of drugstores and supermarkets with low prices • How it provides its products/services: in retail stores and online (Dollar Tree About Us, Dollar Tree Annual Report and Marketline)
  • 19. DOLLAR TREE’S BUSINESS MODEL Strengths: • Extensive retail network across the US with well supported logistics and distribution infrastructure • Efficient pricing structure sustains business: single price point $1 • Retail technology systems to support Dollar Tree's business model Weaknesses: • Low customer loyalty • Smaller operations in size compared to other competition (Dollar Tree About Us, Dollar Tree Annual Report and Marketline)
  • 20. VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS FOR INTERNAL OPERATIONS: PRIMARY ACTIVITIES Inbound Logistics: • Dollar Tree’s supply chain relies on strong vendor partnerships • Its inbound transportation utilizes PowerTMS Operations: • China accounts for 80% of all the company’s imports, making it dependent on outsourced manufacturers. Marketing and Sales: • The Dollar Model - “Everything’s $1” slogan draws customers hunting for deals and savings. • In-store events, specials, seasonal promotions, and featured products through its website Outbound Logistics: • The company operates 10 distribution centers across 48 states. • Great direct relationships with manufacturers (Dollar Tree 10-K, Dollartreeinfo.com, Forbes and Social Science Research Network)
  • 21. VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS FOR INTERNAL OPERATIONS: SUPPORT ACTIVITIES Firm Infrastructure: • Strategy for primary growth involves same-store sales and new store openings • Shifting merchandise mix to more consumables with the addition of frozen and refrigerated foods HR Management: • Half of the company’s 2,300 employees who submitted online employee reviews are unsatisfied with wages • Manager in Training (MIT) Program that runs from 7-8 weeks Technology Development: • investments in its inventory management system • Dollar Tree Direct Procurement: • About 80% of Dollar Tree’s imports are from suppliers in China • Competitors also obtain most imports from China, lessening Dollar Tree’s opportunity for supplier exclusivity (Indeed.com, Marketline, S&P Capital IQ and Social Science Research Network)
  • 22. DOLLAR TREE DIRECT (DollarTree.com)
  • 23. IFAS TABLE: STRENGTHS Internal Factors: Strengths Weight Rating Weighted Score Comments Well supported logistics and distribution center 0.08 5 0.40 The company has an extensive retail network across the US with efficient, well-functioning distribution centers Supply chain management and cost control 0.07 3 0.21 Excellent as evidenced by current ratio of 2.01 Sustained discount pricing structure 0.10 5 0.50 By purchasing goods in huge quantities, maintaining strong relationships with vendors and suppliers, and by purchasing manufacturers' over-runs Tailored information technology (IT) infrastructure 0.04 3 0.12 Investments in its inventory management system have enhanced supply chain efficiency and merchandise flow and increased inventory turnover Best industry operating margin 0.04 3 0.12 This is due to a significant portion of its product mix consisting of discretionary goods • The company’s logistics and distribution center contribute heavily to its profitability • The discount pricing structure is a powerful marketing tool that brings in many customers seeking deals (10-K, Dollartree.com, Marketline, Mergent, S&P Capital IQ)
  • 24. IFAS TABLE: WEAKNESSES Internal Factors: Weaknesses Weight Rating Weighted Score Comments Lack of global penetration 0.04 1 0.04 Despite strong presence in the United States Lawsuits concerning wage violations 0.07 1 0.07 The company has been involved in litigations from thousands of employees Lack of scale compared to competitors 0.05 3 0.15 Operations are smaller in size compared to Dollar General (10,557 stores in 40 states) Lack of quality products due to pricing strategy 0.09 4 0.36 Dollar Tree does not draw in some customers simply because some of its products are not great quality Smaller revenue than others in industry 0.06 3 0.18 Revenue was about $9.5 million less than competitor Dollar General, who outperformed them in many categories Decrease in fixed asset turnover of 10.7% from 2011 to 2013 0.05 3 0.15 Decrease indicates that new assets have not generated as much revenue as assets previous years • Dollar Tree does not draw in customers because some of its $1 or less products are not great quality • Good relationships with its suppliers and vendors allows buying at inexpensive prices (10-K, Dollartree.com, Marketline, Mergent, S&P Capital IQ)
  • 26. PORTER’S FIVE FORCES + indicates high power - Indicates low power Supplier Power Customer Power New Entrant Power Substitute Product Power Competitive Rivalry Seasonal Goods - + -- + - Consumable and - + -- ++ - Variety Goods Family Dollar - + - ++ + Dollar General - + -- + + • Bargaining Power of Suppliers: Low • Bargaining Power of Customers: High • Threat of New Entrants: Low • Threat of Substitute Products: High • Competitive Rivalry Within the Industry: Low (Dollar Tree About Us, Dollar Tree Annual Report, 2013, Marketline)
  • 27. INDUSTRY AND ECONOMIC TRENDS Highlighted Opportunity: • Recessions happen every 5-10 years Highlighted Threats: • Inflation: A problem because of our fixed price scheme • Minimum wage: recent strikes are raising awareness among politicians Industry Trend: • Convenience involves fast-paced shopping and on-the-go tactics meant to save the consumer time. • Dollar Tree’s smaller store format can take advantage of this trend because people need to get in and out of the store fast. Larger stores such as Walmart take longer to shop because the store is so big. (Aboutnews, Bloomberg, USA News)
  • 29. SNAPSHOT OF COMPETITION IN INDUSTRY • Dollar Tree is in the basic discount consumer goods market, a market highly competitive in price, store location, merchandise quality, assortment and presentation, in-stock consistency, customer service. (Dollar General, Family Dollar, Dollar Tree) Market Cap: 19.67 Billion Employees: 100,000 + Stores: 11,000 + Market Cap: 8.93 Billion Employee: 50,000 + Stores: 8,000 + Market Cap: 12.76 Billion Employees: 87,000 + Stores: 5,000 +
  • 30. DOLLAR TREE V. COMPETITORS Sales Company 2013 2012 2011 Dollar Tree $7.8 $7.4 $6.6 Dollar General $17.5 $16 $14.8 Family Dollar $10.4 $9.3 $8.5 Profit Margin Company 2013 Dollar Tree 8% Dollar General 6% Family Dollar 4% in Billions (Dollar General, Family Dollar, Dollar Tree)
  • 31. BCG MATRIX: COMPETITORS High Low High Low Market Growth Rate Relative Market Share Dollar Tree Family Dollar Dollar General Walmart (Hoovers, Walmart and Yahoo! Finance)
  • 32. EFAS TABLE External Factors Weight Rating Weighted Score Comments Opportunities: Expansion of the store network 0.3 5 1.5 Dollar Tree has the smallest number of stores compared to Dollar General, Family Dollar and Walmart, so there is room for growth Recessions 0.05 3 0.15 People try to save money during these times which allows Dollar Tree to market as a cheap alternative Growing E-commerce market 0.3 5 1.5 Dollar Tree can capitalize by its improving online store, Dollar Tree Direct Customer focused shopping experience 0.06 4 0.24 Dollar Tree is working to differentiate itself by enhancing the ‘shopping experience’ for its customers Threats: Inflation 0.02 3 0.06 Could become a problem because of the fixed price scheme Rising labor wages in US and Canada 0.1 5 0.5 Increased labor costs can lead to high operating costs Walmart, Dollar General, Family Dollar and CVS/Walgreen/Rite Imports from China 0.1 3 0.3 Dollar Tree imports approximately 40% to 42% of its merchandise from China. Steady economic growth and increased employment has increased the wage levels in China in the last two decades. This threat will lead to an increase in sourcing cost of imports coming from China. (Marketline) Not as convenient as competitors 0.07 4 0.28 Aid have a larger market share than Dollar Tree
  • 33. STRATEGY SELECTION AND DESCRIPTION
  • 34. STRATEGY SELECTION: DEVELOP DOLLAR DOME • Strategy: Market Development • Explanation: Create a Dollar Tree vending machine that will be in college dorms. The “Dollar Dome” will hold toiletry, travel size and convenience items for a dollar or less. • Strengths: Entering into a new market with little to no competition. College students value convenience, and will not have to drive to get good deals on commonly used items. Vending machines provide steady income and are easy to operate • Weaknesses: Potential problems from university bookstores that sell similar items • Opportunity: Customer-focused shopping experience (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
  • 35. STRATEGY SELECTION: DEVELOP DOLLAR DOME • Rationalization: – Provides long-term consistent, measurable and profitable growth – Focuses on potential to grow through increasing our relevance to customers – Follows the trend of convenience especially among college-aged demographic • Expected Outcomes: Increased annual income, increased market share, new customer base • TOWS Alignment: Strength/Opportunity Strategy – Strengths- well supported logistics and distribution centers, sustained discount pricing structure, and supply chain management and cost control (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
  • 36. COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE OF DOLLAR DOME • Dollar Tree follows a Cost Leadership Strategy on Porter’s Generic Strategies • Target Scope: Dollar Tree offers a variety of products for every age and gender • Advantage: Dollar Tree sells everything for under $1 • The Dollar Dome allows Dollar Tree to try to make our low-cost items easily available to college students on university campuses
  • 37. AMERICAN VENDING MACHINES PURCHASE PRICE • Hoovers estimates that American Vending Machines had $1.5 million in sales in 2013 • Using the average of larger vending machine companies the average EV to Sales multiple of 3.0 results in acquiring American Vending Machines for around $5 million – This company can give us a start to start selling on college campuses, but since it is so small we can acquire another company (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
  • 39. ONE TIME ACQUISITION American Vending Machines Operating Costs 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 • One time Purchase Price: $5 Million • American Vending Machines is a vending machine provider that serves the continental United States. – $1.5 million in sales • Funding Methods – Pay $5 million in cash In Millions AMV Operating Costs 25% 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 One Time M&A Price 5 (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
  • 40. SYNERGISTIC COST SAVINGS Cost of Sales 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 COGS Ongoing 60% 4,704 4,986 5,286 5,603 5,939 6,295 AMV COGS 50% 0.75 0.83 0.91 1.00 1.10 1.21 AMV Cost Synergies (Economies of Scale) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) New Strategy COGS 60% 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.9 Synergistic Savings (Restructuring) (0.4) (0.4) (0.4) (0.4) (0.4) • Restructuring Savings – Dollar Tree will save money by cutting about 12 of the current 15 employees at American Vending Machines including eliminating employees from marketing and accounting departments (about $400,000 in savings). – American Vending Machines’ marketing and accounting departments will be absorbed into Dollar Tree’s departments. (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
  • 41. REVENUE PROJECTIONS Revenue Projections for Vending Machines 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Vending Machines Installed 200 600 1,000 1,400 1,800 Growth Rate 200% 67% 40% 29% Sales per Machine (in Thousands) $10.80 $10.80 $10.80 $10.80 $10.80 Revenue (in Millions) $2.16 $6.48 $10.80 $15.12 $19.44 (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
  • 42. OPERATIONAL COSTS...FIX! New Strategy Operating Costs 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 New Strategy Marketing Costs (sales team, promotion) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 New Strategy Operational Costs 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 • Dollar Tree will acquire American Vending Machines, and therefore acquire the company’s operational costs. Dollar Tree will pay American Vending Machines to keep the vending machines stocked. – Dollar Dome operational costs are estimated to be around $300,000 the first year. – The cost for Dollar Tree to stock the machines will increase steadily as American Vending Machines installs more vending machines on college campuses (approximately 5 campuses the first year and 10 additional campuses every year following the first). • Servicing and maintenance are potential and probable operational costs. Maintenance expenses will include the cost of the parts needed to fix the vending machine. • Dollar Tree will pay 5% of commissions to each university as royalty payments. (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com, Franchise Direct)
  • 43. MARKETING COSTS.. FIX! Cost of Sales 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 COGS Ongoing 60% 4,704 4,986 5,286 5,603 5,939 6,295 AVM COGS 50% 0.75 0.83 0.91 1.00 1.10 1.21 AVM Cost Synergies (Economies of Scale) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) New Strategy COGS 60% 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.9 New Strategy COGS?? 0.75 0.62 0.89 1.47 2.06 2.65 Total Cost of Sales 4,705 4,987 5,287 5,604 5,940 6,296 • By acquiring American Vending Machine, Dollar Tree will absorb their marketing costs • With the acquisition of American Vending Machine, cost of goods sold will be 60.0% • We estimate an increase in total cost of sales by $1,591 million over five years (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
  • 44. FINANCIAL MODEL • Since vending machines do not have good profit margins and have high initial costs the initial financial numbers are low. • NPV is positive so the strategy is profitable. • After vending machines are in place only costs will be stocking and repairing machines which will lead to greater profit. WACC 10.48% NPV 4 million IRR 31% Payback Period 3 years (Hoovers)
  • 45. FINANCIAL SUMMARY 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 American Vending Machines Operating Income 1.00 1.21 1.40 1.40 1.56 1.73 American Vending Machines Operating Margin 43% 73% 77% 70% 71% 72% New Strategy Operating Income (0.11) (0.08) 0.15 0.27 0.40 New Strategy Operating Margin (21.7%) (9.4%) 9.1% 11.2% 12.2% • Income from American Vending Machines will steadily increase. • The new strategy will start off with negative income but will steadily increase to be positive after two years. • While this strategy does not boost income a lot, it does improve it and gets Dollar Tree into the vending machine industry. (Hoovers, AmericanVendingMachine.com)
  • 47. Financial To succeed financially, Dollar Tree will increase revenue growth. • Dollar Tree will increase its revenue growth through the “Dollar Dome” strategy by increasing product sales by getting them closer to our customers through vending machines. Internal Processes To succeed internally, Dollar Tree will evaluate American Vending Machines’ corporate culture as well as its own to efficiently and effectively streamline business operations. • This will be accomplished by changing the top management American Vending Machines and gaining synergistic savings. Customer To achieve customer satisfaction, Dollar Tree must ensure that its customers as well as American Vending Machines’ customers are satisfied with the changes after the acquisition occurs. • This will be accomplished through talking to American Vending Machines’ customers and ensuring that their needs are met under the new management. Learning & Growth To learn and grow, Dollar Tree must understand the vending machine industry and how to succeed. • This will be accomplished employee training, and sharing information as Dollar Tree and American Vending Machines integrate. Vision & Strategy BALANCED SCORECARD (BalancedScorecard.org)
  • 48. KEY RESULT AREAS • Strategy – Complete the acquisition and merger of American Vending Machines within 2 years – Stabilize and grow the Dollar Dome product line • Financial – Increase revenue of vending machines by $1 million by end of year 2 – Reduce costs of new vending machines by 30% • Market – In the first year the Dollar Dome is implemented, earn $400,000 in sales – Retain 100% of all University accounts throughout the fiscal year – Increase the number of vending machines sold from 150 in the first year to 300 in the second year • Operations – Vending machines will break even within 6 “active” college months after installation – Introduce 25 vending machines on 5 college campuses within the first year (Franchise Direct)
  • 49. GANTT CHART HIGHLIGHTS Dollar Tree Gantt Chart Highlights 11/1412/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/1511/1512/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 Integration of Dollar Tree and AVM Let go of unnecessary employees Raise funds for project through stock Unify companies’ distribution practices Rollout Dollar Dome (Pilot Program) Install vending machines in dorms Set up accounts for Dollar Dome Clearly brand machines as Dollar Tree’s Communicating with universities to form ties Hire employees to restock machines Reach out to new universities to grow (Franchise Direct)