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A Case Study of the Forest Products 
A Case Study of the Forest Products
    Industry in Central America
                       Scott Lyon
               Graduate Research Assistant

                     Henry Quesada
                    Assistant Professor

      Department of Wood Science and Forest Products
                      Virginia Tech

                        June  2011
Outline
• To quantify wood products demand for Central American countries
• To quantify Appalachian wood products exports to Central America
   • North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
   • NAICS 321: 3311 (lumber, sawmill, millwork), 3312 (veneer, 
      engineered wood, trusses, plywood) 3219 (pallets, mobile 
                 d      d           l      d)       ( ll        bl
      homes)
   • NAICS 337: 3371 (wood kitchen cabinet, wood household, wood 
      institutional furniture), 3372 office furniture, 3379 related 
      institutional furniture) 3372 office furniture 3379 related
      products 
• Examine results to identify market opportunities in Central 
  American countries for  Appalachian wood products
                             pp                 p
• To determine main strategies to export Appalachian wood products 
  to Central America
Current CA forest situation
             Current CA forest situation

  • F
    Forest Coverage
         tC
                            6

                            5

                            4                                                                  Costa Rica
                                                                                               El Salvador
               million ha




                            3                                                                  Guatemala
                                                                                               Honduras
                            2
                                                                                               Nicaragua
                                                                                               Panama
                            1

                            0
                                                Forest Coverage


Mairena and Hernandez (2005), Cuellar (2004), Revolorio (2004), ANAM (2006), Guevara (2004) Quesada (2008)
Demand Analysis
                       Demand Analysis
                   Production of Wood Products in 2009
           1,200
           1 200
           1,000
             800
1000 m 3
     m 




             600
             400
             200
               0




                       * Consumption does not include fuel wood
FAOSTAT(2010)
Demand Analysis
                                       Demand Analysis
                          Central American Imports of NAICS 321 & 337 Globally by Country


                    160


                    140


                    120
                                                                                            Costa Rica

                    100                                                                     Panama
                                                                                            El Salvador
           llions




                     80                                                                     Guatemala
       $ Mil




                                                                                            Honduras
                     60
                                                                                            Nicaragua

                     40


                     20


                      0
                                2005          2006           2007          2008



International Trade Centre (2010)
Market Opportunities
                       Market Opportunities
• Population Explosion
     p           p
   – 11 million (1950) to 40 million (2008)
• Deforestation
   • Illegal Logging
   • Decrease of Reforestation
• Tourism
   • Expansion of the Panama Canal 
   • Inexpensive Cost of Living
      Inexpensive Cost of Living
 • CAFTA


Fox (1990), Saxe (1999), World Bank (2010)
Market Opportunities
                         Market Opportunities
  • Forest Products Industryy
     – Limited source of local supply
     – Local industry shrinking
     – Lacks governmental support
     – Small amount of plantations
     – Climate conditions




La Nacion (2006, 2007 and 2008), Costa Rica Central Bank (2008), Salamone (2000),  FAO (2008), Siglo XXI (2006, 2007, and 2008),
La Nacion (2006 2007 and 2008) Costa Rica Central Bank (2008) Salamone (2000) FAO (2008) Siglo XXI (2006 2007 and 2008)
Quesada (2008) , La Prensa (2006, 2007, and 2008), 
Appalachian Forest Products Exports
                         Appalachian Forest Products Exports
                                           Appalachian Region Exports of NIACS 321 & 337 Globally
                                         2.5
                                         25
                  xports (Billions US)




                                          2

                                         1.5
                                                                                                    321
                                          1                                                         337
        Value of Ex




                                         0.5
        V




                                          0
                                                2005      2006      2007      2008      2009



US Department of Commerce. Trade Stats Express (2010)
Update on Appalachian Wood Products 
     p         pp
                  Exports*
• Why the decrease?
  Why the decrease?
       – Unstable financial markets 
       – Tighter credit
           g
       – Inflation
       – Higher freight rates
           g        g
       – Soft housing markets 
       – Rising labor…production cost in China
       – Future flow of capital spending: inland China, 
         Vietnam and Indonesia

*Virginia Forest Products Export News letter (Fall 08)
Demand Analysis
                                                  Demand Analysis
                                           Appalachian Region Exports of NAICS 321 & 337 to
                                            pp           g      p
                                                           Central America  
                                      30
                                US)
                   rts (billion U




                                      25

                                      20

                                      15                                                      321
         ue of expor




                                                                                              337
                                      10

                                      5
      Valu




                                      0
                                           2005      2006        2007       2008       2009
US Department of Commerce. Trade Stats Express (2010)
Project Justification
                     Project Justification
    • “the United States forest product companies have 
      overlooked Central America as an opportunity to 
      expand their markets.” A. Salamone (2000)
    • Appalachian region suffered from the economic crisis
    • Increase product competiveness 
           – Expanding export markets
           – Improving product promotion




Wang et al. (2010)
Objectives
   • Identify main competitors of forest product 
     companies in Central American countries.
   • Investigate distribution channels of forest products.
   • Investigate local production, demand, and policy of 
     forest products in Central American countries.
   • Determine drivers and barriers of the sale of 
     Appalachian hardwood lumber and building 
     materials in Central American countries.
        t i l i C t lA          i        ti


*Smith, Miller and Parhizkar (2008) Quesada (2008)
Research Methodology
      Research Methodology
• Secondary sources
• Qualitative
  – Government agencies
    Government agencies
  – WP importers
• Quantitative
  – WP retailers
  – WP manufacturers
Qualitative Results
                Qualitative Results
• How many people were interviewed?
         yp p
    – 20 companies  ‐ 8 agencies
• Main competition local and SA
    – Low effort from USA
• Natural forest/plantations 
• Lack gov
  Lack gov support
• Poor wood industry
• Pine
   – Importing from SA
   – Furniture
• Specialized Wood Products
Interview Results
                          Interview Results
 • Hardwoods




Guanacaste (Enterolobium cyclocarpum), Black Cherry (Prunus serotina), Black Walnut (Juglans nigra)
Qualitative Results
                 Qualitative Results
Barrier                  Country(ies)                 Problem
Price                    Central America              Competition with Chilean
                                                      wood products
Lumber Dimensions         Costa Rica, Guatemala, El   Use “Varas” for lumber
                          Salvador                    dimension
Wood Product Knowledge Central America                Builders, Architects, and
                                                      Designers lack knowledge
                                                      wood and wood products
Wood Product Distribution Guatemala, El Salvador      Lack of proper distribution
                                                      of wood products to the
                                                      country and end-users
Language                  Central America             Most buyers only speak
                                                      Spanish
Qualitative Results 
           Qualitative Results
• El Salvador
  El Salvador 
  – Highest population density
  – Scarce raw material source
    Scarce raw material source
  – Strict environmental regulations
  –AAccessible by neighboring countries
            ibl b   i hb i         ti
Interview Results Summary
       Interview Results Summary
•   Price products competitively
    Price products competitively
•   Offer products to meet demand
•   Partner with wholesalers
              ih h l l
•   Gain relationships with potential buyers
Survey of Retailers & Manufacturers
   Survey of Retailers & Manufacturers

• Questions focused on:
  Questions focused on:
  – Supplier attributes
  – Product attributes
    Product attributes
  – Retailer/manufacturer 
    promotion strategy
    promotion strategy
  – Supplier promotion strategy
  – Importing barriers
    Importing barriers
  – Wood products purchased
  –P i i
    Pricing
Survey Results
              Survey Results
• 300 firms were surveyed
  300 firms were surveyed 
  and 247 valid
• Primarily small furniture
  Primarily small furniture 
  manufacturers
  –L
   Less than 25 employees
        th 25      l
Survey Results
                     Survey Results
          Wood Products Purchased by Respondents
                  Plywood                                          39
Medium density fiberboard                                     33
            Particle board                                  31
         Softwood lumber                                    31
    Oriented strand‐board                              27
        Hardwood lumber                           22
                   Veneer                        21
                     Doors                     19
       Hardwood flooring                  15
  Pressure treated lumber                 15
                  Cabinets              13
                      Logs            11

                             0   10            20      30          40   50
                                               Frequency
Survey Results
                       Survey Results

                           Supplier Type
                           Supplier Type
Direct from manufacturer                                   166


             Wholesaler                              144


                 Broker                   85


      Government/State         16


                           0        50     100       150         200
                                         Frequency
Survey Results
                            Survey Results
                    Wood/Wood Product Attributes
         Product Quality                                                     4.77
                    Price                                                    4.76
        Delivery on time                                                    4.66
       Volume Discounts                                                   4.57
    Warranty on product                                                   4.53
                   Color                                     3.53
                                                             3 53
               Kiln‐dried                                    3.51
Environmentally Certified                                   3.43
               Packaging                              3.19
                                                      3 19
                   Brand                             3.12

                            1             2      3                  4            5
                                Low Importance                 High Importance
Survey Results
                           Survey Results
         Potential Barriers for Appalachian wood products companies

                          Price                                           4.81
                                                                          4 81

               Delivery on time                                           4.74

    Transportation and logistics                                         4.63

Quality of Appalachian products                                        4.44

          International policies                               3.78

     U.S. Governmental policies                               3.72

              Language  barrier                             3.53

                                   1            2       3          4          5
                                   Low  Importance             High Importance
Strategy for Appalachian Companies
      Strategy for Appalachian Companies

Product        Promotion          Place            Pricing
Higher value                       Future
   added        Patience and                    Competitive price!
                Commitment       distribution
  product!                        channel

  Quality      Personal Sell   Local partners        Similar 
Assortment       Websites         On time
 Warranty      Communicate
                 Discounts
Conclusions
• Annual consumption of wood products is more 
      ua co su pt o o ood p oducts s o e
  than 4 million m3 per year
                 p              g              y
• Environmental pressures hurting local industry
• USA, Canada, Chile, and Brazil:  high quality
• Potential strategies for Appalachian wood products 
  companies are:
    •    To partner with local wholesalers
    •    Start sales relationships
    •    Offer higher value added
    •    Keep p
             p prices similar or slighted superior
                                    g       p
 Quesada (2008)
Acknowledgments
• Federal‐State Marketing Improvement
  Federal State Marketing Improvement 
  Program (FSMIP)
Thank you!

Contact information: swlyon@vt.edu

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Session 11 ic2011 lyon

  • 1. A Case Study of the Forest Products  A Case Study of the Forest Products Industry in Central America Scott Lyon Graduate Research Assistant Henry Quesada Assistant Professor Department of Wood Science and Forest Products Virginia Tech June  2011
  • 2. Outline • To quantify wood products demand for Central American countries • To quantify Appalachian wood products exports to Central America • North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) • NAICS 321: 3311 (lumber, sawmill, millwork), 3312 (veneer,  engineered wood, trusses, plywood) 3219 (pallets, mobile  d d l d) ( ll bl homes) • NAICS 337: 3371 (wood kitchen cabinet, wood household, wood  institutional furniture), 3372 office furniture, 3379 related  institutional furniture) 3372 office furniture 3379 related products  • Examine results to identify market opportunities in Central  American countries for  Appalachian wood products pp p • To determine main strategies to export Appalachian wood products  to Central America
  • 3. Current CA forest situation Current CA forest situation • F Forest Coverage tC 6 5 4 Costa Rica El Salvador million ha 3 Guatemala Honduras 2 Nicaragua Panama 1 0 Forest Coverage Mairena and Hernandez (2005), Cuellar (2004), Revolorio (2004), ANAM (2006), Guevara (2004) Quesada (2008)
  • 4. Demand Analysis Demand Analysis Production of Wood Products in 2009 1,200 1 200 1,000 800 1000 m 3 m  600 400 200 0 * Consumption does not include fuel wood FAOSTAT(2010)
  • 5. Demand Analysis Demand Analysis Central American Imports of NAICS 321 & 337 Globally by Country 160 140 120 Costa Rica 100 Panama El Salvador llions 80 Guatemala $ Mil Honduras 60 Nicaragua 40 20 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 International Trade Centre (2010)
  • 6. Market Opportunities Market Opportunities • Population Explosion p p – 11 million (1950) to 40 million (2008) • Deforestation • Illegal Logging • Decrease of Reforestation • Tourism • Expansion of the Panama Canal  • Inexpensive Cost of Living Inexpensive Cost of Living • CAFTA Fox (1990), Saxe (1999), World Bank (2010)
  • 7. Market Opportunities Market Opportunities • Forest Products Industryy – Limited source of local supply – Local industry shrinking – Lacks governmental support – Small amount of plantations – Climate conditions La Nacion (2006, 2007 and 2008), Costa Rica Central Bank (2008), Salamone (2000),  FAO (2008), Siglo XXI (2006, 2007, and 2008), La Nacion (2006 2007 and 2008) Costa Rica Central Bank (2008) Salamone (2000) FAO (2008) Siglo XXI (2006 2007 and 2008) Quesada (2008) , La Prensa (2006, 2007, and 2008), 
  • 8. Appalachian Forest Products Exports Appalachian Forest Products Exports Appalachian Region Exports of NIACS 321 & 337 Globally 2.5 25 xports (Billions US) 2 1.5 321 1 337 Value of Ex 0.5 V 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 US Department of Commerce. Trade Stats Express (2010)
  • 9. Update on Appalachian Wood Products  p pp Exports* • Why the decrease? Why the decrease? – Unstable financial markets  – Tighter credit g – Inflation – Higher freight rates g g – Soft housing markets  – Rising labor…production cost in China – Future flow of capital spending: inland China,  Vietnam and Indonesia *Virginia Forest Products Export News letter (Fall 08)
  • 10. Demand Analysis Demand Analysis Appalachian Region Exports of NAICS 321 & 337 to pp g p Central America   30 US) rts (billion U 25 20 15 321 ue of expor 337 10 5 Valu 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 US Department of Commerce. Trade Stats Express (2010)
  • 11. Project Justification Project Justification • “the United States forest product companies have  overlooked Central America as an opportunity to  expand their markets.” A. Salamone (2000) • Appalachian region suffered from the economic crisis • Increase product competiveness  – Expanding export markets – Improving product promotion Wang et al. (2010)
  • 12. Objectives • Identify main competitors of forest product  companies in Central American countries. • Investigate distribution channels of forest products. • Investigate local production, demand, and policy of  forest products in Central American countries. • Determine drivers and barriers of the sale of  Appalachian hardwood lumber and building  materials in Central American countries. t i l i C t lA i ti *Smith, Miller and Parhizkar (2008) Quesada (2008)
  • 13. Research Methodology Research Methodology • Secondary sources • Qualitative – Government agencies Government agencies – WP importers • Quantitative – WP retailers – WP manufacturers
  • 14. Qualitative Results Qualitative Results • How many people were interviewed? yp p – 20 companies  ‐ 8 agencies • Main competition local and SA – Low effort from USA • Natural forest/plantations  • Lack gov Lack gov support • Poor wood industry • Pine – Importing from SA – Furniture • Specialized Wood Products
  • 15. Interview Results Interview Results • Hardwoods Guanacaste (Enterolobium cyclocarpum), Black Cherry (Prunus serotina), Black Walnut (Juglans nigra)
  • 16. Qualitative Results Qualitative Results Barrier Country(ies) Problem Price Central America Competition with Chilean wood products Lumber Dimensions Costa Rica, Guatemala, El Use “Varas” for lumber Salvador dimension Wood Product Knowledge Central America Builders, Architects, and Designers lack knowledge wood and wood products Wood Product Distribution Guatemala, El Salvador Lack of proper distribution of wood products to the country and end-users Language Central America Most buyers only speak Spanish
  • 17. Qualitative Results  Qualitative Results • El Salvador El Salvador  – Highest population density – Scarce raw material source Scarce raw material source – Strict environmental regulations –AAccessible by neighboring countries ibl b i hb i ti
  • 18. Interview Results Summary Interview Results Summary • Price products competitively Price products competitively • Offer products to meet demand • Partner with wholesalers ih h l l • Gain relationships with potential buyers
  • 19. Survey of Retailers & Manufacturers Survey of Retailers & Manufacturers • Questions focused on: Questions focused on: – Supplier attributes – Product attributes Product attributes – Retailer/manufacturer  promotion strategy promotion strategy – Supplier promotion strategy – Importing barriers Importing barriers – Wood products purchased –P i i Pricing
  • 20. Survey Results Survey Results • 300 firms were surveyed 300 firms were surveyed  and 247 valid • Primarily small furniture Primarily small furniture  manufacturers –L Less than 25 employees th 25 l
  • 21. Survey Results Survey Results Wood Products Purchased by Respondents Plywood 39 Medium density fiberboard 33 Particle board 31 Softwood lumber 31 Oriented strand‐board 27 Hardwood lumber 22 Veneer 21 Doors 19 Hardwood flooring 15 Pressure treated lumber 15 Cabinets 13 Logs 11 0 10 20 30 40 50 Frequency
  • 22. Survey Results Survey Results Supplier Type Supplier Type Direct from manufacturer 166 Wholesaler 144 Broker 85 Government/State 16 0 50 100 150 200 Frequency
  • 23. Survey Results Survey Results Wood/Wood Product Attributes Product Quality 4.77 Price 4.76 Delivery on time 4.66 Volume Discounts 4.57 Warranty on product 4.53 Color 3.53 3 53 Kiln‐dried 3.51 Environmentally Certified 3.43 Packaging 3.19 3 19 Brand 3.12 1 2 3 4 5 Low Importance High Importance
  • 24. Survey Results Survey Results Potential Barriers for Appalachian wood products companies Price 4.81 4 81 Delivery on time 4.74 Transportation and logistics 4.63 Quality of Appalachian products 4.44 International policies 3.78 U.S. Governmental policies 3.72 Language  barrier 3.53 1 2 3 4 5 Low  Importance    High Importance
  • 25. Strategy for Appalachian Companies Strategy for Appalachian Companies Product Promotion Place Pricing Higher value Future added Patience and Competitive price! Commitment distribution product! channel Quality Personal Sell Local partners Similar  Assortment Websites On time Warranty Communicate Discounts
  • 26. Conclusions • Annual consumption of wood products is more  ua co su pt o o ood p oducts s o e than 4 million m3 per year p g y • Environmental pressures hurting local industry • USA, Canada, Chile, and Brazil:  high quality • Potential strategies for Appalachian wood products  companies are: • To partner with local wholesalers • Start sales relationships • Offer higher value added • Keep p p prices similar or slighted superior g p Quesada (2008)
  • 27. Acknowledgments • Federal‐State Marketing Improvement Federal State Marketing Improvement  Program (FSMIP)