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Executive Insights 22-8-2012


THE FUTURE OF LEARNING
Smarter Education

Kees Donker
Executive Innovation, Technology & Government
IBM Benelux




                                                © 2012 IBM Corporation
In 2001, there were 60 million transistors for every
human on the planet ...

….in 2012 there are around 1 billion transistors for every
human on the planet ..… each costing 1/10 millionth of a
cent.

… in 2035 there will be 100 billion transistors per
human…




                                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
Huge amounts of data


It took 4 million years to
create all data until the
year 0

This amount doubled
in the next 1500 years
(until the Renaissance)

When we look at the sixties
of last century we have a
doubling of data every 6 years

Now around 2012 we see
a doubling every six months


And it keeps growing !!!

                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
For our Smarter Planet strategy we need 2 things



1. Computer Power
2. Calculation methods


As people in business you know
its going well with computer power!

IBM is ranked #1
with a Petaflop computer.

Petaflops??
1 Petaflops
= 1.000 Teraflops
= 1.000.000 Gigaflops...



                                                   © 2012 IBM Corporation
In other words: the computer
power of 6 Billion people,
making calculations for
24 hours a day for 46 years




                 You can compare
                 it with a pile
                 of laptops with
                 a height of 2 km
Oh yes: FLOPS stands for
FLoating point OPerations per
Second, the sizing to determine
computer power

                                    © 2012 IBM Corporation
In 2015 the available
computer power will reach
10 Petaflop!

              As much brainpower
              as the human brain.


In comparison chess player
Gary Kasparov lost in 1997 from
IBMs Deep Blue (with the
brainpower of a lizard),



              a Playstation you can
              buy in any store now for
               €300 has already 10x
              the calculation power of
              Deep Blue.

                                         © 2012 IBM Corporation
What could you do if all objects were intelligent…




                           …and connected?


                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
Could you predict the path of a storm
      down to the square kilometer?



                                        Could you identify another 20% of proven
                                        oil reserves without drilling one© hole?
                                                                           2012 IBM Corporation
…or with a billion-
                           person workforce?

What could you do
with a million-person
product development lab…




                                     © 2012 IBM Corporation
It’s time to take advantage of….



           smart objects

  the connectedness of everything

   supercomputing for everyone

       information put to work

     collaboration & co-creation

    the marketplace for expertise

       the virtual corporation


                                    © 2012 IBM Corporation
The open innovation process


            IBM Research



                                             IBM
                                        Business Lines
                                                                        Clients & Partners




Explorative &               Ideas for                    Incubate the          Generate
                                         Assess the
  Applied                    complex                         most             new revenue
                                        relevant ones
  Research                 challenges                      promising




 11                                                                            © 2012 IBM Corporation
Innovation Lifecycle
            Innovation at the intersection of business and technology

                                                                                 Industry
                                                                                 Solution
       Technology                                                                Labs
       Trends


 Industry
 Trends

                          Idea            Prototype
        Trend Scan
        3-10 years out
                                                             Pilot
                                   Research                                       Deployment /
                                                                 FOAK             Productization
       Social                                                     FOAK
       Trends
                         Patents       Academic                              ODIS
                                                                             ODIS
                                       Papers         Research
                                                      Solution           Experience Papers
                                                      Centers
     Ideas management
                                                                         Business management

                                                                                      © 2012 IBM Corporation
Our world is becoming …




     INSTRUMENTED                    INTERCONNECTED                   INTELLIGENT
  We now have the ability           People, systems and       We can respond to changes
  to measure, sense and           objects can communicate       quickly and accurately,
  see the exact condition          and interact with each        and get better results
       of everything                other in entirely new     by predicting and optimizing
                                            ways.                   for future events
WORKFORCE                   SUPPLY CHAIN           TRANSPORTATION                   FACILITIES


            MANUFACTURING                   IT
                                                                    CUSTOMERS




                                                                                © 2012 IBM Corporation
Are we in the worst of times………

                        Economic Recession…
                               Global Competition…
                        Problems around Greece ,
                        Italy, Spain ……
                        Another financial crises???
                        What will be the effect on
                        education ??



     Bangalore has 150,000 IT engineers
     Silicon Valley has 130,000
                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
…the best of times?




                      © 2012 IBM Corporation
Five Signposts for the future signal significant
changes for education
                                   Today’s generation of
         TECHNOLOGY IMMERSION
                                   “digitally native” students



         PERSONAL LEARNING PATHS   Individualized and varied
                                   learning paths


                                   21st century skills for
         KNOWLEDGE SKILLS          service-based economies


                                   Global integration of systems,
         GLOBAL INTEGRATION
                                   resources, and cultures


                                   Education’s critical role in
         ECONOMIC ALIGNMENT        a 21st century economy




 16                                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
Students and parents are demanding a more
personalized educational experience.
                         PROGRESSING                     ENROLLING
                at a rate that recognized                in concurrent programs
                individual learning styles               at multiple institutions


               MEASURING
            progress against                                            SHARING
                   individual                                           learning experiences with
          learning objectives                                           peers, mentors and
                                                                        teachers

           CUSTOMIZING
      Learning materials for                                          UNDERSTANDING
      unique student needs
                                                                      options and alternatives for
                                                                      learning paths
                 BENEFITING
        from an interconnected                                   ACCESSING
              educational team                                   courses that are not
                                                                 available locally
                                         ENGAGING
                                      in self-directed
                                independent learning



 17                                                                                         © 2012 IBM Corporation
Personal Learning Paths put the Learner in
the center of the educational experience

                Traditional                              Emerging
                                                           Teacher/
     Content                       External
                    Institution                            Professor
     Creator                        SME
                                                 Parent                  Mentor


               Teacher     Professor                        Learner
                                               Special
                                                                           Institution
                                              Programs


     Learner         Learner      Learner            Content           Peer
                                                     Creator          Learner




18                                                                         © 2012 IBM Corporation
Global Integration presents opportunities and
challenges to education systems

Technology and connectivity has raised awareness of the potential for
greater outcomes
networks introduces new competitors to traditionally stable education
environments Global
Innovative institutions have defined unique value that they can provide to a
global classroom




19                                                                © 2012 IBM Corporation
Five Signposts point to Transformative
Strategies
         TECHNOLOGY IMMERSION         Consumer devices represent
                                      diverse learning opportunities for all
         Any Device Learning          students

         PERSONAL LEARNING PATHS      Aborative models for education systems
                                      put students at the center of processes
         Student-Centered Processes
                                      and services
          KNOWLEDGE SKILLS             Comprehensive, multi-faceted student
                                       learning and collaboration
         Learning Communities
                                       environments promote 21st c. skills

          GLOBAL INTEGRATION           Shared services allow economies of scale
         Services Specialization       while specialization promotes
                                       differentiation

          ECONOMIC ALIGNMENT           Education programs and economic
                                       initiatives align for long term
         Systemic View of Education
                                       sustainability and growth



20                                                                      © 2012 IBM Corporation
Vision for the Educational Continuum

     TECHNOLOGY IMMERSION
      Any Device Learning                    Primary
                                             School                  In
                                                                       div
                                                                          idu
                                                     Secondary               al
     PERSONAL LEARNING PATHS                          School                      Le
                                                                                     ar                Workforce
      Student-Centered Processes                                Higher
                                                                                        nin
                                                                                            g           Skills
                                                               Education                        Co
                                                                                                   n   tin
                                                                          Continuing                         uu
     KNOWLEDGE SKILLS                                                     Education                            m      The
      Learning Communities                                                                                         Educational
                                                                 Intelligent                                       Continuum
                                                                                                    m
                                                                 • Aligned Data
                                                                                                  uu
     GLOBAL INTEGRATION                                          • Outcomes Insight            tin
                                                                                             on
                                                                                            C Economic
      Services Specialization                   Instrumented
                                                                                      em           Sustainability
                                                • Student-centric
                                                                                    st
                                                • Integrated Assessment
                                                                                  Sy
                                                                            ion
     ECONOMIC ALIGNMENT            Interconnected
                                                                        cat
      Systemic View of Education
                                   • Shared Services
                                   • Interoperable Processes         Edu




21                                                                                                                   © 2012 IBM Corporation
The Educational Continuum is enabled by
emerging technologies
       TECHNOLOGY IMMERSION          Integration of Consumer IT
        Any Device Learning          devices into learning
                                     environments through
                                     standards, repositories and
        PERSONAL LEARNING PATHS
                                     transformation technologies
        Student-Centered Processes

                                       Communities are developing open
        KNOWLEDGE SKILLS               standards and open source
        Learning Communities           applications to allow for full
                                       interoperability, interconnection and
        GLOBAL INTEGRATION             seamless services to students.
        Services Specialization

                                     Cloud Computing delivers on
        ECONOMIC ALIGNMENT           the promise of “utility
        Systemic View of Education
                                     computing”, allowing for dynamic,
                                     low cost IT resources to be
                                     provided as required.

22                                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
Successful education systems in the next decade will
share a number of strategic policy actions

     Adopt and Promote a vision of Personalized Learning encouraging
     better use of data to manage and tailor learning services to individual
     students
     Establish Student-Centric versus Institutionally-Centric
     Processes to provide better insights, interventions and opportunities
     to improve outcomes
     Promote Open Standards and Open Platforms in Technology to
     enable a broad set of providers to contribute to a rich, diverse world of
     learning
     Consolidate Services across Institutions and Agencies to realize
     the benefits of cloud computing and shared services



23                                                                    © 2012 IBM Corporation
We are experiencing the reality of global integration

                    The world is connected
                    ECONOMICALLY.
                    SOCIALLY.
                    TECHNICALLY.
A series of shocks:
 Climate change        Energy          Global supply   Financial Crisis
                     geopolitics          chains


Plus rapidly evolving and ongoing significant trends:
       Changing          Empowered consumers       Impact of technology
     demographics            and citizens

                                                                © 2012 IBM Corporation
What is Watson?

 A computing system named after our founder Thomas J. Watson.
 Rivals a human’s ability to answer questions posed in natural
 language with speed, accuracy and confidence.
 Leverages the power of IBM Content Analytics to perform lexical
 analysis as part of natural language processing.
 Harnesses a cluster of IBM’s commercially-available POWER7
 system optimized to process thousands of simultaneous tasks at
 rapid speeds.
 Incorporates a number of IBM exclusive technologies for the
 specialized demands of processing an enormous number of
 concurrent tasks and data while analyzing information in real
 time.
 This is not search, where a query retrieves a list of links to
 potential answers based on popularity and page ranking.


Watson’s ability to understand the meaning and context of human language, and
rapidly process information to find precise answers to complex questions, holds
enormous potential to transform how computers can help people accomplish tasks in
business and their personal lives.
                                                                        © 2012 IBM Corporation
© 2012 IBM Corporation
Thank you for your attention




                    Kees C. Donker
                    Executive
                    Innovation, Technology & Government

                                              Johan Huizingalaan 765
                                              Amsterdam
                                              Tel 06 5341 4314
                                              kees.donker@nl.ibm.com




                                                                       © 2012 IBM Corporation

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Summerschool+ 2012 Ibm Kees Donker future of learning

  • 1. Executive Insights 22-8-2012 THE FUTURE OF LEARNING Smarter Education Kees Donker Executive Innovation, Technology & Government IBM Benelux © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 2. In 2001, there were 60 million transistors for every human on the planet ... ….in 2012 there are around 1 billion transistors for every human on the planet ..… each costing 1/10 millionth of a cent. … in 2035 there will be 100 billion transistors per human… © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 3. Huge amounts of data It took 4 million years to create all data until the year 0 This amount doubled in the next 1500 years (until the Renaissance) When we look at the sixties of last century we have a doubling of data every 6 years Now around 2012 we see a doubling every six months And it keeps growing !!! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 4. For our Smarter Planet strategy we need 2 things 1. Computer Power 2. Calculation methods As people in business you know its going well with computer power! IBM is ranked #1 with a Petaflop computer. Petaflops?? 1 Petaflops = 1.000 Teraflops = 1.000.000 Gigaflops... © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 5. In other words: the computer power of 6 Billion people, making calculations for 24 hours a day for 46 years You can compare it with a pile of laptops with a height of 2 km Oh yes: FLOPS stands for FLoating point OPerations per Second, the sizing to determine computer power © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 6. In 2015 the available computer power will reach 10 Petaflop! As much brainpower as the human brain. In comparison chess player Gary Kasparov lost in 1997 from IBMs Deep Blue (with the brainpower of a lizard), a Playstation you can buy in any store now for €300 has already 10x the calculation power of Deep Blue. © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 7. What could you do if all objects were intelligent… …and connected? © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 8. Could you predict the path of a storm down to the square kilometer? Could you identify another 20% of proven oil reserves without drilling one© hole? 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 9. …or with a billion- person workforce? What could you do with a million-person product development lab… © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 10. It’s time to take advantage of…. smart objects the connectedness of everything supercomputing for everyone information put to work collaboration & co-creation the marketplace for expertise the virtual corporation © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 11. The open innovation process IBM Research IBM Business Lines Clients & Partners Explorative & Ideas for Incubate the Generate Assess the Applied complex most new revenue relevant ones Research challenges promising 11 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 12. Innovation Lifecycle Innovation at the intersection of business and technology Industry Solution Technology Labs Trends Industry Trends Idea Prototype Trend Scan 3-10 years out Pilot Research Deployment / FOAK Productization Social FOAK Trends Patents Academic ODIS ODIS Papers Research Solution Experience Papers Centers Ideas management Business management © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 13. Our world is becoming … INSTRUMENTED INTERCONNECTED INTELLIGENT We now have the ability People, systems and We can respond to changes to measure, sense and objects can communicate quickly and accurately, see the exact condition and interact with each and get better results of everything other in entirely new by predicting and optimizing ways. for future events WORKFORCE SUPPLY CHAIN TRANSPORTATION FACILITIES MANUFACTURING IT CUSTOMERS © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 14. Are we in the worst of times……… Economic Recession… Global Competition… Problems around Greece , Italy, Spain …… Another financial crises??? What will be the effect on education ?? Bangalore has 150,000 IT engineers Silicon Valley has 130,000 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 15. …the best of times? © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 16. Five Signposts for the future signal significant changes for education Today’s generation of TECHNOLOGY IMMERSION “digitally native” students PERSONAL LEARNING PATHS Individualized and varied learning paths 21st century skills for KNOWLEDGE SKILLS service-based economies Global integration of systems, GLOBAL INTEGRATION resources, and cultures Education’s critical role in ECONOMIC ALIGNMENT a 21st century economy 16 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 17. Students and parents are demanding a more personalized educational experience. PROGRESSING ENROLLING at a rate that recognized in concurrent programs individual learning styles at multiple institutions MEASURING progress against SHARING individual learning experiences with learning objectives peers, mentors and teachers CUSTOMIZING Learning materials for UNDERSTANDING unique student needs options and alternatives for learning paths BENEFITING from an interconnected ACCESSING educational team courses that are not available locally ENGAGING in self-directed independent learning 17 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 18. Personal Learning Paths put the Learner in the center of the educational experience Traditional Emerging Teacher/ Content External Institution Professor Creator SME Parent Mentor Teacher Professor Learner Special Institution Programs Learner Learner Learner Content Peer Creator Learner 18 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 19. Global Integration presents opportunities and challenges to education systems Technology and connectivity has raised awareness of the potential for greater outcomes networks introduces new competitors to traditionally stable education environments Global Innovative institutions have defined unique value that they can provide to a global classroom 19 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 20. Five Signposts point to Transformative Strategies TECHNOLOGY IMMERSION Consumer devices represent diverse learning opportunities for all Any Device Learning students PERSONAL LEARNING PATHS Aborative models for education systems put students at the center of processes Student-Centered Processes and services KNOWLEDGE SKILLS Comprehensive, multi-faceted student learning and collaboration Learning Communities environments promote 21st c. skills GLOBAL INTEGRATION Shared services allow economies of scale Services Specialization while specialization promotes differentiation ECONOMIC ALIGNMENT Education programs and economic initiatives align for long term Systemic View of Education sustainability and growth 20 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 21. Vision for the Educational Continuum TECHNOLOGY IMMERSION Any Device Learning Primary School In div idu Secondary al PERSONAL LEARNING PATHS School Le ar Workforce Student-Centered Processes Higher nin g Skills Education Co n tin Continuing uu KNOWLEDGE SKILLS Education m The Learning Communities Educational Intelligent Continuum m • Aligned Data uu GLOBAL INTEGRATION • Outcomes Insight tin on C Economic Services Specialization Instrumented em Sustainability • Student-centric st • Integrated Assessment Sy ion ECONOMIC ALIGNMENT Interconnected cat Systemic View of Education • Shared Services • Interoperable Processes Edu 21 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 22. The Educational Continuum is enabled by emerging technologies TECHNOLOGY IMMERSION Integration of Consumer IT Any Device Learning devices into learning environments through standards, repositories and PERSONAL LEARNING PATHS transformation technologies Student-Centered Processes Communities are developing open KNOWLEDGE SKILLS standards and open source Learning Communities applications to allow for full interoperability, interconnection and GLOBAL INTEGRATION seamless services to students. Services Specialization Cloud Computing delivers on ECONOMIC ALIGNMENT the promise of “utility Systemic View of Education computing”, allowing for dynamic, low cost IT resources to be provided as required. 22 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 23. Successful education systems in the next decade will share a number of strategic policy actions Adopt and Promote a vision of Personalized Learning encouraging better use of data to manage and tailor learning services to individual students Establish Student-Centric versus Institutionally-Centric Processes to provide better insights, interventions and opportunities to improve outcomes Promote Open Standards and Open Platforms in Technology to enable a broad set of providers to contribute to a rich, diverse world of learning Consolidate Services across Institutions and Agencies to realize the benefits of cloud computing and shared services 23 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 24. We are experiencing the reality of global integration The world is connected ECONOMICALLY. SOCIALLY. TECHNICALLY. A series of shocks: Climate change Energy Global supply Financial Crisis geopolitics chains Plus rapidly evolving and ongoing significant trends: Changing Empowered consumers Impact of technology demographics and citizens © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 25. What is Watson? A computing system named after our founder Thomas J. Watson. Rivals a human’s ability to answer questions posed in natural language with speed, accuracy and confidence. Leverages the power of IBM Content Analytics to perform lexical analysis as part of natural language processing. Harnesses a cluster of IBM’s commercially-available POWER7 system optimized to process thousands of simultaneous tasks at rapid speeds. Incorporates a number of IBM exclusive technologies for the specialized demands of processing an enormous number of concurrent tasks and data while analyzing information in real time. This is not search, where a query retrieves a list of links to potential answers based on popularity and page ranking. Watson’s ability to understand the meaning and context of human language, and rapidly process information to find precise answers to complex questions, holds enormous potential to transform how computers can help people accomplish tasks in business and their personal lives. © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 26. © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 27. Thank you for your attention Kees C. Donker Executive Innovation, Technology & Government Johan Huizingalaan 765 Amsterdam Tel 06 5341 4314 kees.donker@nl.ibm.com © 2012 IBM Corporation