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Business Value Modeling:
Guiding Key Project Decisions
 Kent J. McDonald
 @beyondreqs
Discussion Topics
   Business Value?
   Purpose
   Considerations
   Costs & Benefits
   Using the Business
    Value Model to decide
The Prime Directive:
Deliver Business Value!
                 *The organizers
                 wish to apologize
                 for any gratuitous
                 trekkie references
                 that may appear
                 in this
                 presentation.
What is Business Value?
                                                           I’ll know it
                                                           when I see
                                                                 it


Justice Potter Stewart, concurring opinion in Jacobellis v. Ohio 378 U.S. 184 (1964), regarding
possible obscenity in The Lovers.
Determining Business Value?


 Costs


Benefits

                      Business Value
Determining the inputs?


Estimate


 Guess

                             Business Value
           Common Practice
Why do we want to know
   Business Value?

          To make decisions!
Use business value model and guiding
questions to decide if a project is worth it.
Purpose = What problem are
    you trying to solve?
Solution
without a
problem
Guiding Questions
Exactly what
problem will this
solve?



                          Why are we best
                          suited to pursue
                          this?
For whom do we
solve that problem?
Purpose Based Alignment Model




                                13
Purpose Based Alignment Model

    Do we take this   Innovate,
    on?               Create


                      Achieve and
    Minimize/         maintain parity,
    Eliminate         Mimic,
                      Simplify

                                         14
Decision Filters
         Simple rules to guide
          decision making
         Disperse throughout
          the organization
        Used for (among others)
         Strategy alignment
         Scoping
         Design approach
“To be   the low cost airline.”
              - Southwest Airlines
“Will this   help     us   be
             the low cost airline?”
                 - Southwest Airlines
Purpose and Decision Filters

      To be the
      low cost
      airline

                   Will this help us be
                   the low cost airline?
The Billboard Test

Order new
pages by
2pm and get
them tomorrow!
Student Information System




Yes, it has been abbreviated to “SIS”
SIS “Requirements”
In search of a "Student Information System" that
will be used to manage student and parent data,
enable interactive communication between
teachers and parents, as well as online enrollments.
Requirements:
 Student/Parent Directory
 Staff Directory
 Calendar
 Online Enrollment
 Parent/Classroom Portal
Des Moines Academy
                     15:1 Student Teacher
Music Education w/   Ratio
DSM Symphony
                     “Personalized” lesson
OTM
                     plans


                     Enrollment
                     Fundraising
                     Book keeping
                     Curriculum
                     Facilities
                     Parent Communication
Case Study – Purpose
   What problem are we trying to solve?
   For whom are we trying to solve this problem?
   What are the decision filters?
   Are the capabilities identified
    parity, differentiating, partner, or who cares?
Considerations




= What could impact value?
Guiding Questions
What alternatives
are out there now?




                          What factors are
                          critical to success?
Guiding Questions




How will we get this product to market?
Uncertainty
   Market uncertainty
   Technology uncertainty
   Number of customers
   Project duration
   Approach to change
Complexity
 Team size
 Mission critical
 Team location
 Team maturity
 Domain knowledge
  gaps
 Dependencies
Context Leadership Model




                           31
Guiding Questions
Why Now?




   Do we have the right people to solve this?
Constraints
Constraint    Fixed   Flexible Accept

Scope                      X
Time            X
Cost                             X
Quality                          X
Case Study – Considerations
 What alternatives already exist to solve the
  problem?
 What factors are critical to this project’s
  success?
 What is the risk profile?
 How do you think the constraints should be
  prioritized?
Costs & Benefits




= What’s the impact on business objectives?
Guiding Questions




How much could we spend on this?
“Gut Feel” or “Ball Park”
How long, and
 how much?                 About a year and
                            $2.5 million.
Comparison to Past Projects




$1,000          $100K     $10M
           ??




                          $1M
Extrapolate
Assumptions:
 2 week iterations
 Overall backlog size: 600 points
 Planning Velocity: 30      ?
 5 Person Team
 Avg Cost/person/wk: $4,000

 Estimate: $800,000
Guiding Questions




How big is the opportunity?
Benefits
     A consequence of the
     action that contributes
     to meeting business
     objectives.

     Can be identified in
     financial or non
     financial terms, but
     should be measurable
Soft Benefits in a Hard Business Case: Legitimacy and Value for Difficult Benefits
Solution Matrix Ltd By Marty J Schmidt
Guess
Increase
Revenue
Reduce
 Costs
Guiding Question




How will we measure success?
Objectives
Specific
Measureable
Agreed Upon
Realistic
Timely
Financial Objectives?
 ROI
  Return on Investment
 NPV
  Net Present Value
 TCO
  Total Cost of Ownership
 IRR
  Internal Rate of Return
Financial Objectives = Cash Flow
  Costs            Benefits




Year 0    Year 1   Year 2     Year 3   Year 4
Non Financial Objectives




By Dec 2012 increase          By Dec 2012 reduce paper
inventory turns from 5/year   apps from 1,000/month to
to 10/year                    500/month
Case Study – Costs & Benefits
 Identify at least two options to solve the
  problem
 Identify the costs incurred by each alternative
 Identify the benefits provided by each
  alternative
 How would you measure success?
But Wait!
How can I possibly
calculate a number
for my business
value with that
stuff?

What ever should I
do?
                           52
The Conversation Room




Thanks to Nigel Dalton
Is It Worth It?
Move forward?           Trash it?
Case Study – The Conversation
Is the project worth pursuing?

If so, which approach will you take and why?

If not, why not?
In what order should we deliver?
Release 1   Release 2   Release 3   If time…
Timing Can Be Key
   Costs               Benefits




Period 0   Period 1   Period 2   Period 3   Period 4
The only constant is change

 Change in assumptions
 Change in constraints
 Change in
  understanding
 Change in business
  conditions
 Change in objectives
How often do you reevaluate?

 Definitely after each
  release/implementation
 If you become aware of
  any big changes
 Ask at retrospectives:
  “Is it still worth it?”
Is It Still Worth It?
Move forward?


                Change it?


                                   Trash it?
Case Study – The Conversation Redux
Based on the new information…
 Is the project still worth it?
 Would you change your approach? If so, how?
If you remember nothing else…
 Business Value guides
  decisions
 Purpose &
  Considerations impact
  Business Value
 Costs & Benefits focus
  on objectives
 It’s a conversation, not a
  number
                                   64
Guiding Questions
   1.   Exactly what problem will this solve?
   2.   For whom do we solve that problem?
   3.   How big is the opportunity?
   4.   How will we measure success?
   5.   What alternatives are out there now?
   6.   Why are we best suited to pursue this?
   7.   Why now?
   8.   How will we get this product to market?
   9.   What factors are critical to success?

From Inspired: How to Create Products Customers Love by Marty Cagan
Additional Guiding Questions
1.   Is the problem worth solving?
2.   Do we have the right people to solve this?
3.   How will we encourage adoption?
4.   How much could we spend on this?
Questions?

Kent McDonald
kentjmcdonald@gmail.com
@BeyondReqs
www.beyondrequirements.com
Slides available from:
http://www.knowledgebridge
partners.com/presentations/b
usinessvaluemodeling/

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Business Value Modeling: Guiding Key Project Decisions

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Business Value Modeling: Guiding Key Project Decisions [New]Kent McDonaldKnowledge Bridge Partnerskentjmcdonald@gmail.com There are many questions that teams should ask about their project and its key functions and features. One question—“Is it worth it?”—is often difficult to ask, let alone answer. It’s even more difficult if you are asked to answer this critical question when you know least about the project. Unfortunately, the answer may change as you proceed and gain more knowledge about the purpose, considerations, costs, and benefits involved. Join Kent McDonald as he introduces the business value model—a tool you can use to answer the “Is it worth it?” question. In this interactive session, Kent demonstrates a business value model to help you make your initial decision about whether to pursue a project or include certain functions, and then to update that model as your knowledge increases throughout the project. Learn how and when to revisit the question and confirm whether the project is on the right course or if you need to make changes. Help your organization get away from relying solely on estimates and guesses, and instead have meaningful conversations about whether your projects are worth starting and continuing.
  2. http://fc09.deviantart.net/fs51/f/2009/285/d/e/United_Federation_of_Planets_by_Scharfshutze.jpghttp://globalnerdy.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2007/08/picard_ashamed.jpg
  3. http://technabob.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/11/blueandred_segway.jpg
  4. http://www.wpclipart.com/signs_symbol/safety_signs/caution_sign_w_exclamation.png
  5. http://www.windfallfp.com/images/iStock_000007893322XSmall.jpg