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NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdf

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Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of ...
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NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi
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NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi
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NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi
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NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi
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NewBase 01-February-2023 Energy News issue - 1589 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdf

  1. 1. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 1 NewBase Energy News 01 February 2023 No. 1589 Senior Editor Eng. Khaed Al Awadi NewBase for discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE New UAE, France partnership to focus on decarbonisation of hard-to-abate industries Gulf News + NewBAse The UAE and France will jointly launch a programme that will help accelerate clean energy development, notably in the decarbonisation of hard-to-abate (HTA) industries, including clean hydrogen solutions for mobility. The two sides will develop commercial and investable opportunities in the sector by combining their expertise in the field. The initiative builds on the partnership successes between Emirati and French companies in the clean and renewable energy sector. Dr Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber with Bruno Le Maire. Industrial leaders from both countries have partnered in the development, investment, and operation of over 6.2 gigawatts (GW) of clean and renewable energy programs across the globe, notably two of the largest single-site solar projects in the world, located in the UAE, and mobilised over $6 billion in investment, displacing some 10 million tonnes of carbon dioxide annually. Tuesday’s announcement comes as Dr Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, UAE Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology, President-Designate for COP28, and Chairman of Masdar, met Bruno Le Maire, France’s Minister of the Economy, Finance, and Industrial and Digital Sovereignty, as part of his visit to the UAE. The programme’s operations will be officially launched during COP28, the 28th session of the United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change (UNFCCC), to be held in Dubai in November this year. The investable opportunities in the programme will be developed jointly, with Masdar leading on the UAE side of the partnership, and aim to fully align with the goals of the Paris Agreement on climate ww.linkedin.com/in/khaled-al-awadi-80201019/
  2. 2. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 2 change, with each opportunity being assessed based on the relevant and internationally accepted methodology. Dr Al Jaber said: “This initiative builds on the long-standing partnership between the UAE and France to take advantage of practical, commercial opportunities for low carbon growth that will accelerate the energy transition and promote climate action and sustainable economic development in both our countries and across the globe. Leveraging our combined technological and energy expertise, we will intensify our efforts to promote renewable and zero carbon energies to decarbonize economies and in particular hard to abate sectors. As the UAE prepares to host COP28, we are intent on making it a COP of Action and a COP for all. We are extending an open invitation to the world to join us in constructive efforts to raise ambition, move from deliberation to delivery and achieve the central goal of the Paris Agreement to keep 1.5 alive.” Le Maire added: “This targeted programme will leverage synergies between public and private sectors from both countries to accelerate the implementation of impactful projects of clean energy development for transportation. I am very happy of this new illustration of France-UAE strategic partnership and our common objective to raise ambitions towards COP28”. What are HTA industries? Hard-to-abate sectors are those for which the transition to carbon abatement is not straightforward, because they either lack the technology or the cost remains prohibitive. For instance, many heavy industries, such as the steel, cement, and aluminium sectors, employ extremely high-temperature processes that can, as of today, only be achieved in a cost-effective way by burning fossil fuels. Each uses carbon as an integral part of its process, and altogether this sector accounts for about 30 per cent of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions.
  3. 3. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 3 German industry to pay 40% more for energy than pre-crisis Vera Eckert, Reuters News German industry is set to pay about 40% more for energy in 2023 than in 2021, before the energy crisis triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, a study by Allianz Trade said on Monday, citing contract expiries and delayed wholesale pricing effects. "The large energy-price shock still lies ahead for European corporates," said Allianz Trade, the credit insurer that changed its name from Euler Hermes last year. In 2022, higher corporate utility bills were contained as long pass-through times from wholesale markets and government interventions mitigated the immediate hit from surging prices as Russia curbed fuel exports to the West. The price increases will hit corporate profits across Europe by 1-1.5% and lead to lower investment, which in Germany's case would amount to 25 billion euros ($27 billion), Allianz Trade estimated. German companies' finances are robust, however, and a state-imposed gas price cap would help, it added. Fears the crisis could lead to de-industrialisation and a loss of competitiveness against the United States were overdone, because labour costs and exchange rates have a bigger impact on manufacturing than energy prices, the study said. Also, while exporters were losing market shares in areas such as agrifood, machinery, electrical equipment, metals and transport, the relative beneficiaries tended to be Asian, Middle Eastern and African, not American, it added. The German government's one-off payment to help private households and small businesses with gas prices - the first stage of a package that will be complemented with retroactive price caps kicking in in March - has cost 4.3 billion euros so far, the economy ministry said on Saturday. Berlin has earmarked 12 billion euros for the payment, but the ministry said 4.3 billion euros was not the final cost as many eligible firms had not yet applied for the aid. They have until the end of February.
  4. 4. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 4 U.S.A: Proved reserves of natural gas increased 32% in U.S U.S. Energy Information Administration, Proved Reserves of Crude Oil and Natural Gas in the United States, Year-End 2021 Proved reserves of natural gas in the United States grew to a new record of 625.4 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in 2021, a 32% increase from 2020, according to our recently released Proved Reserves of Crude Oil and Natural Gas in the United States, Year-End 2021 report. U.S. proved reserves had previously decreased 4% in 2020 as a response to prices that fell with decreased consumption during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. At year-end 2021, however, five of the eight states with the most proved reserves of natural gas each reported new record volumes, driving the growth nationally. Proved reserves are operator estimates of the volumes of oil and natural gas that geological and engineering data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to be recoverable in future years from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions.
  5. 5. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 5 Prices heavily affect estimates of proved reserves. The wholesale spot price for natural gas at the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub in Louisiana averaged $3.89 per million British thermal units in 2021, almost doubling from 2020, according to data from Refinitiv. Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Proved Reserves of Crude Oil and Natural Gas in the United States, Year-End 2021.Proved reserves in Alaska increased the most in 2021, up 63 Tcf, or nearly triple the state’s total in 2020. The proved reserves located in Alaska had already quadrupled in 2020 from 9.4 Tcf to 36.5 Tcf due to development of the Alaska LNG Project and its Mainline Pipeline connecting the North Slope to LNG facilities in the southern Alaska Cook Inlet Region. Large volumes of previously stranded Alaskan natural gas resources are now considered proved reserves.
  6. 6. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 6 U.S. N.gas consumption was record high in late December 2022 Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Hourly Electric Grid Monitor source: S&P Global Commodity Insights On December 23, 2022, natural gas consumption in the U.S. Lower 48 states reached a daily record high of 141.0 billion cubic feet (Bcf), according to estimates from S&P Global Commodity Insights. The previous record was 137.4 Bcf, set on January 1, 2018. Below-normal temperatures in mid- to late December increased demand for natural gas used for residential and commercial space heating and electric power generation. At the same time, natural gas production quickly fell because of mechanical issues caused by the cold temperatures. From December 21 through December 26, 2022, a winter storm moved across North America, bringing blizzards, high winds, and extremely cold temperatures to a large portion of the United States. Increased demand for space heating in both the residential and commercial sectors was primarily met by natural gas. On those six days, residential and commercial sector natural gas consumption averaged 60.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), or 55% higher than the five-year (2017–21) average. Natural gas consumption in the electric power sector averaged 37.8 Bcf/d from December 21 through December 26, or 45% higher than the five-year average (26.0 Bcf/d) for those days. Electric power utilities used more natural gas, coal, wind, and oil to meet the higher-than-average demand for electricity. The Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), and the Southwest Power Pool (SPP) reported record-high electric power generation during the winter storm.
  7. 7. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 7 Although U.S. natural gas demand increased, production fell. Dry natural gas production in the Lower 48 states dropped to a low of 82.5 Bcf on December 24, a 16% decrease (16.1 Bcf/d) from December 21, according to data from S&P Global Commodity Insights. The last time U.S. natural gas production rapidly declined to this degree was during a February 2021 winter storm. Higher- than-average natural gas demand during the December storm was met by increasing both withdrawals from storage and pipeline imports from Canada. Natural gas withdrawals from working underground storage across the Lower 48 states totaled 213.0 Bcf for the week ending December 23 and 221.0 Bcf for the week ending December 30. In 2021, withdrawals were 136.0 Bcf for the week ending December 24. Natural gas pipeline imports from Canada supplied 10.4 Bcf of natural gas to the United States on December 24, the highest natural gas imports from Canada in one day since February 2007, according to data from S&P Global Commodity Insights. Note: Total demand includes total consumption, pipeline exports, liquefied natural gas (LNG) feedgas deliveries, and pipeline loss and fuel.
  8. 8. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 8 Russia Can’t Replace the Energy Market Putin Broke Bloomberg L.P. – Julian Lee Russia spent almost 50 years building its energy market in Europe. President Vladimir Putin destroyed it in under 50 weeks. Finding a replacement will be almost impossible. While Russia has found alternative markets for its crude oil, mostly in India, switching sales of refined products and — perhaps even more so — natural gas will take years and come at huge cost. That’s if it’s even possible to create markets as the world turns away from fossil fuels. When Moscow’s troops invaded Ukraine on Feb. 24, its European energy customers took fright. A market that soaked up nearly 2.5 million barrels a day of crude, another 1 million barrels of refined products and 155 billion cubic meters a year of natural gas has all but disappeared. Crude flows from Russia to parts of Europe began to dwindle soon after Putin’s troops crossed the border. By Dec. 5, when a European Union ban on seaborne imports of Russian crude came into effect, they were already down to a trickle, with Bulgaria, which secured a temporary exemption, the only remaining market. The flow of refined products is following the same trajectory
  9. 9. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 9 ahead of similar sanctions that come into effect on Feb. 5. Russia’s European market for its natural gas has also been lost. A huge network of gas fields and pipelines, developed at a cost of hundreds of billions of dollars since the first gas crossed the border into Austria in 1968, has been thrown away. It was estimated in 2017 that $100 billion had already been invested in the development of gas reserves on Russia’s Yamal Peninsula, most of which were tied to Europe through pipelines, including those running beneath the Baltic Sea linking Russia to Germany. That figure was expected to double by 2025. Much of that investment now looks redundant. While Russia may be able to salvage some sort of an energy relationship with Europe after the war ends, which it inevitably will, it’s unlikely that EU countries will ever allow themselves, or need, to be as dependent on Russian gas as they were just a year ago. Governments and consumers in Europe are at last getting serious about demand restraint and energy efficiency, while the record prices paid for gas and electricity have spurred investment in renewables and the first serious attempts to change the way retail electricity prices are formulated, taking account of the dwindling share of fossil fuels in power generation.
  10. 10. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 10 Russia’s oil companies have succeeded in diverting deliveries of crude shunned by traditional European buyers, thanks in very large part to the thirst of Indian refiners for cheap feedstock. But the diversion has come at a huge cost to Russia and its oil industry. Big discounts, which appear to have been as high as $35 a barrel, equivalent to a 40% price cut, have been required to penetrate the Indian market. By the end of last year, Russian barrels accounted for about one-quarter of India’s crude imports, displacing cargoes from the subcontinent’s traditional Middle Eastern suppliers — Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Diverting crude flows to a thirsty market with a big refining sector capable of processing the relatively high-sulfur crude exported by Russia is one thing; diverting refined products into that market is quite another. I’m sure there will be some countries willing to snap up cheap Russian diesel while exporting their own locally produced fuel back to Europe, but they will require discounts big enough to make the trade profitable — another cost to be borne by the Kremlin and its oil companies. But oil, whether crude or refined products, has a big advantage over natural gas: It can be easily and cheaply transported by sea. For most of the past 55 years, Russia has looked westward for its gas buyers. Huge pipelines, thousands of kilometers long, linked gas fields, first in Siberia and more recently on the Yamal Peninsula, to buyers in Europe.
  11. 11. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 11 Turkey: Trillion Energy start SASB 3D seismic project Source Trillion Trillion Energy International has announced the commencement of it’s 3D seismic reprocessing project for SASB. The existing 3D seismic data covers 223 km2 and includes the SASB block. This old 3D seismic shot by WesternGeco in 2004 is good quality and was processed in 2004 with pre-stack time migration (PSTM). Since 2004, vast improvements in seismic data processing algorithms have occurred. As SASB has very complex geology, reprocessing with advanced pre-stack depth migration (PSDM) and incorporating time-depth data from wells drilled since the old PSTM model was created will create a superior model. Uses of the new PSDM seismic velocity model will include:  Obtain a more detailed and accurate mapping of individual gas reservoir units, provide better imaging of the gas trapping faults and superior structural maps;  Further, identify and define stratigraphic exploration gas prospects (to which there are many on SASB) but which have never been drilled;  Mapping the deeper Cretaceous Akveren Formation “CAF”, which has never been explored, but which contains tantalizing deeper anomalies based on the old PSTM model. Onshore proximate to SASB, there are many oil and gas seeps originating and contained within the Cretaceous sediments. The data reprocessing is scheduled to commence early March 2023 and is anticipated to take five to six months to complete. Arthur Halleran, CEO of Trillion, stated: 'Reprocessing the 3D seismic data using modern cutting-edge technology will increase our understanding of the gas potential at SASB and is the first step to making significant new discoveries. The cost of reprocessing is infinitesimal compared a new 3D shoot of this size. The reprocessing will allow mapping of extensions to existing structurally trapped gas pools, discover new gas pools and improve resolution of the stratigraphic exploration prospects. I am excited about what we will also see in the deeper Cretaceous age formations, where onshore oil and gas seeps have been found 20 to 30 km from SASB.'
  12. 12. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 12 NewBase February 01 -2023 Khaled Al Awadi NewBase for discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE Oil rises as slowing U.S. inflation eases recession concerns Reuters + NewBase Oil prices rose on Wednesday as signs of slowing inflation in the United States eased fears that the world's largest oil user may face a recession because of further interest rate hikes and a weaker dollar supported some buying interest. Brent crude futures gained 8 cents, or 0.1%, to $85.54 a barrel at 0727 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 20 cents, or 0.2%, to $79.07 a barrel. Both benchmarks were up for a second day, after gaining about 1% in the previous session. "Sentiment shifted amid a positive company reporting season. Signs of cooling inflation also raised expectations that the Fed will be able to pause rate hikes," ANZ commodities analyst said in a note. Tamer rate hike expectations helped lower the dollar index , which supported oil prices as a weaker greenback makes the commodity cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Oil price special coverage
  13. 13. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 13 All eyes will be on a meeting on Wednesday of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, known as OPEC+, where producers are expected to endorse their current output targets agreed in November. OPEC's oil output fell in January, as Iraqi exports dropped and Nigeria's output did not recover, with the 10 OPEC members pumping 920,000 barrels per day (bpd) below the group's targeted volumes under the OPEC+ agreement, a Reuters survey found. The shortfall was bigger than the deficit of 780,000 bpd in December. "Oil prices seem primed to navigate a period of heightened volatility ... OPEC+ is likely to stick to its current production targets, however, Russia is leaning towards increasing oil exports to Asian buyers at deep discounts, which can disrupt the balance in oil markets," independent oil market expert Sugandha Sachdeva said. Upgraded global growth forecasts by the IMF and the expectation of strong pent-up demand from China amid higher mobility are also underpinning oil prices, Sachdeva added. Separately, data from the American Petroleum Institute industry group showed crude stocks rose by about 6.3 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 27, according to market sources. That was a bigger build than the 400,000 barrels that analysts polled by Reuters had expected on average. Distillate stocks, which include diesel and heating oil, rose by about 1.5 million barrels, contrary to analysts' expectations of a 1.3 million barrel drop.
  14. 14. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 14 OPEC+ Treads Wary Path Through China Rebound, Russia Sanctions (Bloomberg) – OPEC+ is treading a cautious path on oil policy as it awaits clarity on China’s economic reopening and new sanctions on Moscow. Industry figures from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to trading giant Trafigura Group Pte Ltd. anticipate rallying prices as demand rebounds in Asia’s largest economy and a European embargo squeezes Russian supply. But as Saudi Arabia and its partners consider their next move, the signals remain too opaque. Delegates have said that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will recommend keeping production levels unchanged at a monitoring meeting on Wednesday, holding in place hefty production cutbacks announced late last year. “At this moment we need to be very careful on any decision,” said Equatorial Guinea’s Oil Minister Gabriel Mbaga Obiang Lima, who this year serves as OPEC’s president. “The China opening and at the same time the Russia-Ukraine war, clearly those are the two factors.” After a volatile month, international oil prices are fluctuating near $85 a barrel in London — high enough for many OPEC+ nations to cover government spending, but still a little lower than some financially straitened members, such as Iraq, say they need. China’s decision to scrap almost three years of stringent lockdowns has spurred a revival in travel, bolstering domestic air journeys by 80% and flooding popular local destinations with tourists. Goldman Sachs sees a “bullish concoction” for commodities and Trafigura anticipates a “lot of upside” for crude as Beijing reawakens. At the same time, global supplies should be tightened as sanctions finally take a toll on Russia, itself a key member of the OPEC+ coalition. The International Energy Agency projects the country’s
  15. 15. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 15 output will sink 15% this quarter as a European Union ban on imports of Russian crude expands next month to encompass refined fuels. Still, the recovery may not yet be tangible enough for the 23-nation OPEC+ alliance to open the taps. Despite the rebound in Chinese travel, economic indicators in the world’s biggest oil importer are showing a more muted recovery. Lingering fears of recession are casting a shadow on the US economic outlook, and Russian exports continue to show resilience in defiance of repeated predictions of an imminent plunge. Riyadh will also keep a watchful eye on a nascent uptick in oil shipments an fellow OPEC member, and political adversary, Iran. Remaining Conservative Top officials in OPEC+ have signaled they’ll be conservative in reversing the 2 million barrel-a-day output reduction that’s been in place since November. OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais said at the World Economic Forum in Davos earlier this month that he’s “cautiously optimistic” on the global economy. Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman maintains that the alliance will be “proactive and preemptive” to keep markets in equilibrium. Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman discussed oil market “stability” in a call on Monday. OPEC+ may wait until the second half of the year to unwind the current output curbs, according to Goldman Sachs. The group is due to hold another monitoring-committee meeting in two months, and a full ministerial session at its Vienna headquarters in June, when there may be more Chinese demand data available to consider. “There does not seem to be a significant groundswell of support amongst the producers for adding barrels back at this time until there are clear indications that the reopening is built to last,” said Helima Croft, chief commodities strategist at RBC Capital Markets LLC.
  16. 16. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 16 NewBase Specual Coverage The Energy world –February -01 -2023 CLEAN ENERGY New global oil and gas discoveries in 2022 drive exploration to highest value creation in over a decade Wood Mackenzie Value creation reaches US$33billion at base price, led by major discoveries in Namibia, Brazil and Algeria The global oil and gas exploration sector had its strongest year in 2022 in more than a decade. In its work to improve portfolios by adding lower-carbon, lower-cost advantaged hydrocarbons, the sector created at least $US33 billion of value and achieved full-cycle returns of 22%, at $US60/barrel Brent prices, according to a recent report from Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business.
  17. 17. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 17 Wood Mackenzie’s ‘Oil and gas exploration: 2022 in review’ report states that exploration well numbers were less than half the numbers during pre-pandemic years, yet the total volume of 20 billion barrels of oil equivalent matched the average annual volumes of 2013-2019. '2022 was a standout year for exploration,' said Julie Wilson, Director of global exploration research at Wood Mackenzie. 'Volumes were good, but not stellar. However, explorers were able to drive very high value through strategic selection and focusing on the best and largest prospects. The discoveries bring higher-quality hydrocarbons into companies’ portfolios, allowing them to reduce carbon by displacing less advantaged oil and gas supplies while also meeting the world’s energy needs.'
  18. 18. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 18 Wilson added, 'The highest value came from world-class discoveries in a new deepwater play in Namibia, as well as resource additions in Algeria and several new deepwater discoveries in Guyana and Brazil, where the latest wave of pre-salt exploration finally met with success. The average discovery last year was over 150 million barrels of oil equivalent, more than double the average of the previous decade.' Liquids lead new resources Liquids accounted for 60% of new resources discovered, according to the report. This is only the third time in 20 years that liquids made up the majority of new discoveries. 'There is a lot of uncertainty in future long-term demand scenarios for oil,' said Wilson. 'Explorers are accelerating oil exploration to meet near and mid-term demand, while gas exploration was focused in geographies that can supply the gas- hungry European market. In some cases, major leases are approaching expiration of the exploration term and companies are pushing to optimize their value. 'By 2030, fast-tracked development of these new discoveries could deliver 1 million barrels per day in oil and 0.5 million barrels of equivalent per day gas production, generating $US15B in free cash flow.' Majors and NOCs dominate
  19. 19. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 19 The exploration sector continues to be dominated by national oil companies (NOCs) and Majors, with TotalEnergies, QatarEnergy and Petrobras leading the way in net- new discovered resources in 2022. In total, NOCs and Majors accounted for almost three quarters of new resources discovered. Wilson said, 'Overall, we saw a year of continued discipline from explorers with exploration and appraisal well numbers largely flat from 2021. However, spend per well increased due to inflationary pressures. Appraisal well numbers increased as companies push towards final investment decisions in this short-term window of opportunity.' NewBase Energy News 01 February 2023 - Issue No. 1589 call on +971504822502, UAE The Editor:” Khaled Al Awadi” Your partner in Energy Services
  20. 20. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 20 NewBase energy news is produced Twice a week and sponsored by Hawk Energy Service – Dubai, UAE. For additional free subscriptions, please email us. About: Khaled Malallah Al Awadi, Energy Consultant MS & BS Mechanical Engineering (HON), USA Emarat member since 1990 ASME member since 1995 Hawk Energy member 2010 www.linkedin.com/in/khaled-al-awadi-38b995b Mobile: +971504822502 khdmohd@hawkenergy.net or khdmohd@hotmail.com Khaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with over 30 years of experience in the Oil & Gas sector. Has Mechanical Engineering BSc. & MSc. Degrees from leading U.S. Universities. Currently working as self leading external Energy consultant for the GCC area via many leading Energy Services companies. Khaled is the Founder of the NewBase Energy news articles issues, Khaled is an international consultant, advisor, ecopreneur and journalist with expertise in Gas & Oil pipeline Networks, waste management, waste-to-energy, renewable energy, environment protection and sustainable development. His geographical areas of focus include Middle East, Africa and Asia. Khaled has successfully accomplished a wide range of projects in the areas of Gas & Oil with extensive works on Gas Pipeline Network Facilities & gas compressor stations. Executed projects in the designing & constructing of gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating stations and in the engineering of gas/oil supply routes. Has drafted & finalized many contracts/agreements in products sale, transportation, operation & maintenance agreements. Along with many MOUs & JVs for organizations & governments authorities. Currently dealing for biomass energy, biogas, waste-to-energy, recycling and waste management. He has participated in numerous conferences and workshops as chairman, session chair, keynote speaker and panelist. Khaled is the Editor-in-Chief of NewBase Energy News and is a professional environmental writer with over 1400 popular articles to his credit. He is proactively engaged in creating mass awareness on renewable energy, waste management, plant Automation IA and environmental sustainability in different parts of the world. Khaled has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences and for many Energy program broadcasted internationally, via GCC leading satellite Channels. Khaled can be reached at any time, see contact details above.
  21. 21. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 21
  22. 22. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 22
  23. 23. Copyright © 2022 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavors have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 23

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