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The Coming Crash - Family presentation 2016

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The Coming Crash - Family presentation 2016

  1. 1. The Coming Crash Prepared By: Kamea Aloha Sr. Lafontaine Presents & Aug.28,2016
  2. 2. Several noted economists and distinguished investors are warning of a stock market crash. recently raised a red flag on a national broadcast when he declared, “The public is walking into a trap again as they did in 2007.” - Carl Icahn And the prophetic economist warns, “U.S. stocks are now about 80% overvalued.” - Andrew Smithers “the markets are flashing stress alerts akin to the 2008 crisis. They told their clients to “Sell Everything” because “in a crowded hall, the exit doors are small.” -Bank of Scotland
  3. 3. there is one distinct warning that should send chills down your spine … that of James Dale Davidson. Davidson is the famed economist who correctly predicted the collapse of 1999 and 2007. “There are three key economic indicators screaming SELL. They don’t imply that a 50% collapse is looming – it’s already at our doorstep.” - James Dale Davidson
  4. 4. A Castle Built on the Sand The Inevitable Stock Market Wipeout Looming home equity slaughter 46 Trillion dollar Wealth Transfer The Dwindling Velocity of Money The Silent Wealth Confiscation “The foolish man built his house upon the sand”
  5. 5. Crack #1 The Inevitable Stock Market Wipeout During the next 6 months you will see the stock market plummet by 50% The stocks have been going up! But where is the money invested coming from? DEBT! Is not going up because companies are worth more, more money is being borrowed to increase the value of these businesses. That’s like you taking a loan to buy your house and then saying your house is worth more!!!
  6. 6. Crack #1 The Inevitable Stock Market Wipeout During the next 6 months you will see the stock market plummet by 50% Less people are jumping into the market so participation is going down and the market is going up? Companies are borrowing money, pumping up the value of their companies Instead of investing in the future, companies have been “financial engineering” by buying their own stocks to try and make their stock price go up!!!!
  7. 7. Crack #2 Looming home equity slaughter Home ownership rates are back to the 60’s levels? Prices are skyrocketing? Interest rates lowest in history! private equity groups bought a ton of real estate during the 2008 crash and have artificially pumped up the home values, and priced out the younger generation. People got greedy. The future generations can’t afford these homes unless they get into debt after graduating school with student loan debt. DEBT DEBT DEBT! Home Values will correct by 40%
  8. 8. Crack #3 46 Trillion dollar Wealth Transfer 46 Trillion dollar Wealth Transfer The Baby boomers are reaching retirement age in record numbers! They are the more influential generation because they have all the REAL money and assets paid off! They control 77% of the net worth of AMERICA! There is a “transfer” of wealth happening with the Baby Boomers and their kids. As that happens, something very scary also happens. The entitlements of this generation also kicks in (rightfully so) such as “social security” and “Pension Plans”
  9. 9. 50 Million baby boomers will exit the economy next 14 years. That’s 10,000 per day or one person retiring every 8 seconds. Money leaving the economy to be paid out to the retired baby boomers. They won’t be contributing to the economy anymore They aren’t “spending” their money as freely. They are conserving what they have to last through retirement. Spending goes down. They aren’t “investing” in high risk investments like new businesses. They want guaranteed income from GIC’s, Bonds, etc.
  10. 10. Who is left to pay for the social security, government pensions, increased government tax needs, their expensive houses, their health care needs (which goes up as we get old), expanding the economy…..etc. etc. YOU
  11. 11. Crack #4 The Dwindling Velocity of Money Unemployment will triple The amount of times money circulates in the economy has plummeted! People are in a squeeze and can’t spend as much as they used to. There is a global slowdown of spending!! Go to the malls and look at stores shutting down, look at your own spending habits and think about how you have cut back. The velocity or speed that money circulates around the economy depends on you spending your money on stuff. Once people stop, the velocity goes WAY down.
  12. 12. Crack #5 The Silent Wealth Confiscation The Value of your money HMMM…the US Dollar is up? But the purchasing power of the dollar has gone down as it can’t buy as much “stuff” as it used to. Even other countries are selling their US dollars and reducing their holdings A highly valued currency may seem like a great thing, but when you compare it to other currencies, it’s just the currency that is least “worst” of the bunch. The value of what you can buy with it is the important question to ask. Ever wonder how far your dollar can stretch in this economy? How much can you buy now vs 10 years ago?
  13. 13. So what can you do to prepare? Get out and stay out of debt! Prepare your food storage because food prices are going to get more expensive and you don’t want to be overspending during those hard times! Be productive and learn relevant skills that will be useful now and in the future hold cash. do what big companies and the wealthy are doing - keep your money in a safe place and wait for the right moment to strike and buy assets at bargain prices. read books and fill your mind with good information. keep learning every day to stay current, informed, and aware so you can make good choices. eat healthy and go to the gym!
  14. 14. Recommendation # 1 Get out, and stay out of debt. “when you run in debt, you give to another power over your liberty” - benjamin franklin Ideas - Create a budget, and stick to it - sacrifice expensive trips, wants, fun stuff, basically enjoy free things - live in a small place with less expenses - don’t get loans for liabilities. pay cash or don’t buy it. - refinance your debt -pay it off quickly - share discount opportunities with each other - buy a business at a discount that cashflows - utilize loan subsidies to lower your debt for a new business - get a second job and work harder Debt is a curse
  15. 15. Recommendation # 2 Prepare your food storage “we want you to be ready with a personal storehouse filled with at least a year’s supply. You don’t argue why it cannot be done; you just plan to organize and get it done” - Spencer W. Kimball Ideas - Purchase food storage online or from family - add a little each week - learn on youtube how to can/store food - purchase an all in one package that gets you started quickly - buy a water tank and fill it - talk to family members who do it and copy them - don’t waste food - learn how to cook using your food storage - eat healthier and less Prepare for the worst
  16. 16. Recommendation # 3 Be productive and learn relevant skills “The old economy was about acquiring a new skill for life ; the new economy is about life-long learning” - John Doer Ideas - Take free online courses - research thriving & emerging industries and what skills they need - learn a trade in an emerging field - don’t get romantic about your current skills. Learn to adapt to change. - do well in school, study hard, but also learn on the side in case your degree loses its value - be prepared for automation and innovation to take over your job - learn to be indispensable - learn a variety of skills. Do internships. Try new things all the time. learn the skill adapting to change
  17. 17. Recommendation # 4 hold cash or keep it liquid “stay liquid” - Garth Turner, Turner Investments Ideas - sell assets that will decline in value (eg. homes, highly valued stocks/businesses, art - Keep cash reserves or make sure you can exit your “investments” quickly - make sure you know the difference between assets, and liabilities - don’t commit to long term contracts that bind your money and you can’t take it out - know where your money is - don’t count the value of your asset until it’s sold. What is sells for is the real value - sell stuff you don’t need - own stuff that holds it’s value well - let go of stuff that won’t - the first mover advantage can get into opportunities quickly before others who move slowly cash is king
  18. 18. Recommendation # 5 read. stay informed. “The man who does not read good books has no advantage over the man who can’t read them” - mark twain Ideas - subscribe to publications written by individuals who offer a unique perspective - pay for your information. sometimes free isn’t the best. - read the papers, news, and take everything with a grain of salt. - piece all the information together and form your own opinion - in the end, think for yourself - listen to everyone, even people who you disagree with. - believe 1/2 of what you hear - do your research to confirm what people tell you - follow successful people. success leaves clues. - ask good questions to get better answers - have a daily ritual of learning new information and staying informed - don’t obsess over all the information, simply choose wisely who you listen to knowledge is power
  19. 19. Recommendation # 6 eat healthy. go to the gym. “It is health that is real wealth. Not pieces of gold and silver” - Ghandi Ideas - Join a gym - go for a run - eat healthy - visit your doctors regularly - try alternative health options - understand your health risks and try and plan to overcome them - hang out with healthy people - support each others health goals - be able to lift and carry your young children - teach your kids to be healthy and strong - don’t be lazy - find daily inspiration to stay active and healthy health is wealth

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