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Growing Together to Expand Opportunity
                     for All
            in the Portland Region
                 Making the most of the Sustainable Communities
                                    Initiative
                                        john a. powell
                  Executive Director, Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race and
                                           Ethnicity
                         Williams Chair in Civil Rights & Civil Liberties,
                                    Moritz College of Law
Metro
Portland, OR
August 3, 2010
Introduction
How do you build livable, sustainable communities that work
for, and are inclusive of, everyone?
The Portland Way
A leader in regional, sustainable development




                        40 years of progressive land use
                        planning
Quality of Life in region




Source: Public Opinion Research Survey, DHM Inc.2009.
HUD Livability Principles
(1) Provide More Transportation Choices. Develop safe, reliable, and economical
    transportation choices to decrease household transportation costs, reduce our Nation’s
    dependence on foreign oil, improve air quality, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and promote
    public health.
(2) Promote equitable, affordable housing. Expand location - and energy-efficient housing
    choices for people of all ages, incomes, races, and ethnicities to increase mobility, improve access
    to jobs, expand educational opportunities, and lower the combined cost of housing and
    transportation.
(3) Enhance Economic Competitiveness. Improve economic competitiveness through reliable
    and timely access to employment centers, educational opportunities, services, and other basic
    needs of workers, as well as expanded business access to markets.
(4) Support Existing Communities. Target federal funding toward existing communities—
    through strategies like transit-oriented, mixed-use development, and land recycling—to increase
   community revitalization and the efficiency of public works investments and to safeguard rural
   landscapes.
(5) Coordinate Policies and Leverage Investment. Align federal policies and funding to
   remove barriers to collaboration, leverage funding, and increase the accountability and
   effectiveness of all levels of government to plan for future growth, including making smart energy
   choices, such as locally generated renewable energy.
(6) Value Communities and Neighborhoods. Enhance the unique characteristics of all
    communities by investing in healthy, safe, and walk able neighborhoods—rural, urban, or
    suburban.
HUD Mandatory Outcomes
(1) Creation of regional transportation, housing, water, and air quality plans that are
   deeply aligned and tied to local comprehensive land use and capital investment
   plans.
(2) Aligned federal planning and investment resources that mirror the local and
   regional strategies for achieving sustainable communities.
(3) Increased participation and decision-making in developing and implementing a
   long range vision for the region by populations traditionally marginalized in public
   planning processes.
(4) Reduced social and economic disparities for the low-income, minority
   communities, and other disadvantaged populations within the target region.
(5) Decrease in per capita VMT and transportation-related emissions for the region.
(6) Decrease in overall combined housing and transportation costs per household.
(7) Increase in the share of residential and commercial construction on underutilized
   infill development sites that encourage revitalization, while minimizing
   displacement in neighborhoods with significant disadvantaged populations.
(8) Increased proportion of low and very low-income households within a 30-minute
   transit commute of major employment centers.
Question
What are the strategies and activities needed to reach these
outcomes?
Understanding Opportunity
Understanding the geography of opportunity can make our
regional investments more effective.
Opportunity Matters….
 “Opportunity” is a situation or condition that places individuals in
  a position to be more likely to succeed or excel.
 Opportunity structures are critical to opening pathways to
  success:
     High-quality education
     Healthy and safe environment
     Stable housing
     Sustainable employment
     Political empowerment
     Outlets for wealth-building
     Positive social networks
How does Portland compare to the
            nation?
                                           Portland city, OR         USA
                                                   2006-2008           2006-2008
                Select characteristics    2000          ACS     2000      ACS
               Median HH Income
              (1999)                     $40,146   $48,993     $41,994   $52,175


              % population 25+, HS
              Graduate or Higher          85.7       89.2        80.4     84.5
              % Population 25+,
              Bachelors Degree or
              Higher                      32.6       39.6        24.4     27.4

               Families Below Poverty      8.5       10.5        9.2       9.6

               Median value SF Home $154,900       $293,300    $119,600 $192,400
Source: Census data
Collective Concerns for the Region
 Housing Affordability
 Educational Attainment
 Poverty
 Recession & Unemployment
Housing: Affordability
 Housing affordability is a region-
 wide issue:
 • Declining affordability of SF
 homes
 • By 2005, median household
 income was less than 1/3 of
 housing price
 • In 2008 in Multnomah County,
     • 52% of renters and 43% of
       owners paid more than 30%
       on housing
     • Compared to 50% of
       renters and 37.5% of
       owners nationally
Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
 Figure c/o Coalition for a Livable Future, Regional Equity Atlas.
Housing + Transportation,
         Housing Costs, % income                                 % income




        Yellow: Less than 30%                                           Yellow: Less than 45%
        Blue: 30% and Greater                                           Blue: 45% and Greater
Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology. 2010 http://htaindex.cnt.org/mapping_tool.php#region=portland&theme_menu=0
Portland -   Central city

Education                   Percent of Persons 25+ by
                            Highest Educational
                                                        Vancouver,
                                                         OR - WA
                                                                         of:
                                                                      Portland
                                                                                    Suburbs
                            Attainment                    PMSA        city, OR
When compared to                             1970         37.6          39.6         36.3
the region and                               1980         22.0          24.2         20.6
                              Did not
suburbs:                    Graduate HS      1990         15.7          17.1         14.8
•Portland has higher                         2000         12.8          14.3         11.9
percent of people                            1970         35.4          33.4         36.7
who did not graduate                         1980         36.4          32.2         38.3
                            HS Graduate
HS,                                          1990         26.9          24.9         27.6
• and a higher                               2000         23.8          22.2         24.3
percent of people              Some
                                             1970         14.5          14.6         14.3
with advanced/               College or      1980         22.1          21.5         22.4
college degrees              Associate       1990         34.2          32.0         35.1
                              Degree
                                             2000         34.5          30.8         35.9
                                             1970         12.5          12.4         12.7
                              College
                            Graduate or      1980         19.6          22.1         18.7
                             Advanced        1990         23.3          25.9         22.5
                              Degree
Source: SOCDS Census data                    200          28.8          32.6         27.9
Increasing poverty in the region and Portland
                                         Portland - Vancouver,              Central city of:
        Poverty Rate                                                                                           Suburbs**
                                           OR - WA PMSA                    Portland city, OR
        (Percent)
                    1969                            9.7                            12.6                             8.0
                    1979                            9.0                            13.0                             7.2
                    1989                            9.9                            14.5                             7.6

            1993 Estimated*                         11.2                           15.9                             8.9

            1995 Estimated*                         9.9                            14.5                             7.8

            1997 Estimated*                         9.2                            12.6                             7.8

            1998 Estimated*                         9.4                            12.8                             8.1

                    1999                            9.5                            13.1                             7.6

            2003 Estimated*                         10.4                           13.4                             8.8

Source: SOCDS Census data
*Estimated poverty rates for 1993, 1995, 1997, 1998, and 2003 are derived from the Census Bureau's Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates.
** Suburb data are defined as the total for the Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA PMSA less the sum of data for these cities:
Portland city, OR ; Vancouver city, WA ;
Effects of the Recession…
                            Portland -
                            Vancouver -
      Unemployment                        City of: Portland city, OR   Suburbs
                            Beaverton, OR
      Rate (%)
                            -WA MSA
      Average Annual
      2000
                                 4.4                  4.7                4.3
      Average Annual
      2005
                                 5.9                  6.1                6.0
      Average Annual
      2006
                                 5.0                  5.2                5.1
      Average Annual
      2007
                                 4.8                  4.9                4.9
      Average Annual
      2008
                                 5.9                  5.8                6.1
      Average Annual
      2009
                                10.6                 10.4               11.2


Source: SOCDS Census data
But, opportunity is also….


Racialized…                Spatialized…                Globalized…
• In 1960, African-        • marginalized people of    • Economic
  American families in       color and the very poor
  poverty were 3.8 times                                 globalization
                             have been spatially
  more likely to be          isolated from
  concentrated in high-      opportunity via           • Climate change
  poverty neighborhoods      reservations, Jim Crow,
  than poor whites.          Appalachian
                             mountains, ghettos,       • the Credit and
• In 2000, they were 7.3     barrios, and the            Foreclosure crisis
  times more likely.         culture of
                             incarceration.
Neighborhoods Matter…
 Neighborhoods are critical to
  understanding access to opportunity
 For example, research shows that living in
  a neighborhood of concentrated
  disadvantage is equivalent to missing a
  full year of school (Sampson 2007)
 Does your neighborhood provide pathways to
  opportunity and success?
      Safe environment, good schools, positive peers
        and role models, employment, accessible
        transportation options to amenities and jobs
 Or does your neighborhood present you with
  barriers to opportunity and success
      Unsafe environment, failing schools, poor peers
        and role models, no employment
Our opportunity context matters




Some people ride the “Up”   Others have to run up the
escalator to reach          “Down” escalator to get there
opportunity
The Cumulative Impacts of Spatial, Racial and
Opportunity Segregation

                     Segregation impacts a number of life-opportunities
                                    Impacts on Health
                                          School Segregation
                                                      Impacts on Educational Achievement

                                                       Exposure to crime; arrest

                                                       Transportation limitations and other
                                                       inequitable public services

         Neighborhood                                          Job segregation
          Segregation
                                                               Racial stigma, other
                                                              psychological impacts
                                                       Impacts on community power and
                                                               individual assets

Adapted from figure by Barbara Reskin at: http://faculty.washington.edu/reskin/
Why do some people have access to the
“good life” while others do not?




       It’s more than a matter of choice….
Historic Government Role
 A series of federal policies have contributed to the disparities we
    see today
     School Policy
     Suburbanization & Homeownership
     Urban Renewal
     Public Housing
     Transportation




2
2
Today,
Institutions continue to
support, not dismantle, the
status quo. This is why we
continue to see racially
inequitable outcomes even if
there is good intent behind
policies, or an absence of
racist actors. (i.e. structural
racialization)
Example: Redline Mapping and
Analysis
How historic redlining practices helped shape today’s opportunity
landscape
A snapshot of opportunity in Portland
today
A snapshot of opportunity in Portland
today, contd.
Historic Government Policies Enforcing Inequity:
                                 The FHA and Redlining

“If a neighborhood is to retain stability, it is
    necessary that properties shall continue to
    be occupied by the same social and racial
    classes. A change in social or racial
    occupancy generally contributes to
    instability and a decline in values.”

   –Excerpt from the 1947 FHA
   underwriting manual




                                                         27
How Have Discriminatory Systems Influenced
Portland today?

                             From
                              Redlining…




                            Original Portland 1938 Redlining Map
Historic Redlining Practices and Access to Opportunity in 2010
High Interest Rate Loans as Share of Home Purchase
Loans by Race/Ethnicity and Income (2008)
                                      Low- Middle-               Upper
                                    Income Income               Income
Hispanic                             6.8%   7.0%                  3.5%

Non-Hispanic White                    5.0%         3.2%          3.0%             …to Reverse
Non-Hispanic Black                    1.8%         3.7%          6.2%
 Non-Hispanic Asian/Pac.
Islander                              2.1%         1.8%           n/a
                                                                                  Redlining…
High Interest Rate Loans as Share of Home Purchase
Loans by Race/Ethnicity (2008)
                                                        Metro Area
Hispanic                                                     5.9%
Non-Hispanic White                                           3.5%
Non-Hispanic Black                                           4.3%
Non-Hispanic American Indian                                 2.0%
Non-Hispanic Asian/Pac. Islander                             1.9%
  Source: http://diversitydata.sph.harvard.edu/Data/Profiles/Show.aspx?loc=1092
1938 Redlining and Subprime Lending
…To Gentrification, a new form of exclusion
   From 1990 to 1999, the
   average home price in
   the Portland region rose
   97% from $96,000 to
   $188,600. In some
   previously redlined
   areas prices increased
   150 or 200% in five
   years.




Source: K. Gibson and C. Abbott. “City Profile: Portland, Oregon.” Cities Vol.19, No.6 December 2002. Photos c/o William
Yardley. “Racial Shift in a Progressive City Spurs Talks” The NewYork Times, May 29, 2008
Displacement or tenure change?
The blues
represent
decreases in
SF homes for
rent. What is
unclear is
whether these
decreases
represent
displacement,
or tenure
changes. Some
of the darkest
blue areas
especially may
indicate
displacement.
                 Source: Coalition for a Livable Future, Regional Equity Atlas.
Key Opportunity Areas
 There are challenges that are burdening everyone in the
  community and region, but there are also uneven effects
  across groups, especially across the following domains:
   Education
     School poverty
     Achievement gaps
     Proficiency gaps
   Housing
     Affordability
     Fair credit
     Homeownership and wealth
   Economic
     Income disparities
Education Opportunities
Education: School poverty
           The percentage of students in the region on FRL grew from
              27.8% in 1999 to 35% in 2003.

          The poverty of a school, more than the poverty of the individual,
            determines students’ educational outcomes
          The 1966 Coleman Report concluded that concentrated poverty
            inevitably depresses achievement on a school-wide and a
            district-wide basis—the effects are not contained within school
            walls.


Data from the Regional Equity Atlas. The Coalition for a Livable Future. Research from Poverty and Race Research Action Council Annotated
Bibliography:The Impact of School-Based Poverty Concentration on Academic Achievement and Student Outcomes.
School poverty contd.
           In 1999, 86 schools had >50% of students on FRL; in 2003, this
            increased to 133 schools
          The “tipping point” is the threshold at which problems spiral beyond the
            control of the school. Most experts place that point at 50%. At this point,
            all students’ prospects are depressed

           The number of schools where 75.1-100% of students were on
            FRL doubled between 1999 and 2003 (from 15 to 30)
          Once the concentration of poverty in a district reaches 60% or above, the
            district can no longer rely on its own internal efforts to improve outcomes


Data from the Regional Equity Atlas. The Coalition for a Livable Future. Research from Poverty and Race Research Action Council Annotated
Bibliography:The Impact of School-Based Poverty Concentration on Academic Achievement and Student Outcomes.
Education: Attainment Gaps
Graduation Rates
  2009 for 3 largest
  school districts in
  Multnomah
  County:
• PPS: 52%
• Reynolds: 51%
• David Douglas:
  62%




Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
Education:
     Proficiency
     Gaps
  • Everyone’s
  proficiency declines
  over time, but
  students of color fare
  much worse and
  persistent
  achievement gap;

  • Is a 59% math
  proficiency rate OK
  for tenth graders? We
  know a 38% is not.

  •What’s our goal?


Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
Housing Opportunity
Housing: Affordability




           • In 2000, nearly 20% of renters spent more than 50% of income
           on rent.
           • One study found that for families with children paying more
           than 50% of their income on rent, they spent 30% less on food,
           50% less on clothing, and 70% less on healthcare. Partnership for America’s
           Economic Success, 2010.“The Hidden Costs of the Housing Crisis: The Impact of Housing on Young Children’s Odds of
           Success.”




Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
Housing: Fair Credit
                     Predatory subprime lending had little to do with sustainable
                     homeownership for families, and more to do with equity
                     stripping.




                   • Black borrowers were also 1.6-2.2 times more likely to
                   refinance through subprime lender, and Latinos were 2.7-3.4
                   times more likely, than similarly-situated white borrowers.
                   (Regional Equity Atlas)

Source: Table from Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
Housing: Homeownership and Wealth




           • Minority homeownership gap has been increasing over time
           • In Clark, Multnomah, and Washington counties, homeownership
           rates for people of color lag not only whites, but national rates for
           the same racial groups.

           Disparities in homeownership translate into disparities in wealth.
                 • Homeowners of color are more reliant than white households on housing for
                     wealth, with 95% of wealth for Black households, and 96% of wealth for
                     Hispanic households derived from their primary residence, compared to 70%
                     of white wealth. (http://sociology.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/power/wealth.html)
Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
Economic Opportunity
Economic: Income Disparities
                                                                                                                                         White
                                                                                                                                        families
                                                                                                                                            are
                                                                                                                                        making
                                                                                                                                         about
                                                                                                                                           1.1
                                                                                                                                          times
                                                                                                                                         that of
                                                                                                                                        families
 White                                                                                                                                  of color
families
   are
making
4.6 times
 that of
families
of color



Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
Economic: Income Disparities contd.
                                                                                                                                   This is a
                                                                                                                                   tenfold
                                                                                                                                  increase
Everyone
                                                                                                                                       in
is worse
                                                                                                                                  disparity
 off, but
                                                                                                                                     since
  white
                                                                                                                                    1995;
 families
                                                                                                                                    white
   still
                                                                                                                                  families’
making 7
                                                                                                                                  incomes
 times                                                                                                                             are 2.2
  that of                                                                                                                            times
families of                                                                                                                         that of
   color                                                                                                                           families
                                                                                                                                  of color




  Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
A Closer Look…
                                        1979                                 2007


                       White Families     Families of Color White Families      Families of Color


   Decile 1                     $11,025             $2,400             $5,000                   $700


   Decile 5                     $55,799            $35,998            $55,000                $32,000


   Decile 10                  $137,409            $122,502           $260,000               $116,500


                                                                                              What’s our
In Decile 1:                                                                                 goal? How do
White families experienced a 55% decrease in income                                          make sure all
Families of Color experienced a 71% decrease                                                  families are
In Decile 5 (middle class):                                                                    sharing in
                                                                                                region’s
White families income essentially remained unchanged, declining by 1.4%
                                                                                              prosperity?
Families of Color experienced a 11% decrease
How do we change this geography?
Change our systems and structures
Growing Together
      “Equitable regionalism affirms the need for every
      community to have a voice in the resource
      development and future of the region. It builds
      and sustains region-wide, collaborative institutions
      with inclusive representation and a common goal:
      improving the health of the whole and expanding
      opportunity for all people and communities across
      the region. Equitable regionalism requires
      comprehensive and strategic investment in people
      and neighborhoods.”
“Regionalism: Growing Together to Expand Opportunity for All.” 2007. Summary report, pp. 1-2.
Strategies for Growing Together
Think in new ways
Talk in new ways
Act in new ways
Thinking in New Ways:
             Transformative Thinking
 transformative thinking to combat structural racialization;
  we need to find new approaches.

 personal and social responsibility are important: we
  should maintain them in our advocacy and analysis

 approaches should consider the structures and systems
  that are creating and perpetuating these disparities and
  work to reform them for lasting change.

                                                             51
Talking in New Ways
I.    How do we talk about race?
II.   Targeted universalism—a new frame for dialogue (beyond
      disparities)
I. How to Talk about Race
      Speak on structures and systems rather than explicit individual
       action/reaction

      Speak on the subconscious—the implicit bias that is stored
       within the mind

      Speak on relationships—build collaborations and engage in real
       discussion


53
II. Targeted universalism as
            communication strategy

 Moves beyond the disparities frame


 Focuses on the universal goals shared by all the
  communities while being sensitive to the targeted
  strategies that are responsive to the situation of
  marginalized communities
Acting in New Ways
I.   Engagement and inclusion
II. Targeted universalism as policy
III. Opening access through people, places, and linkages
I. Engagement and Inclusion
    “That historically disadvantaged communities, especially communities of color
      and those living in poverty have a voice and are represented in all decision
      making to assure that the benefits and burdens of growth and change are
      distributed equitably.”

    “While this consortium of regional partners is initially designed to develop
      the Housing Equity and Opportunity Strategy, the intent is to have the
      consortium develop a governance structure to oversee the implementation of
      regional housing and equity measures on an on-going basis.”

    “Grant funding will be used to involve community-based organizations (as
      well as local governments) in specific tasks and decision-making related to
      the regional housing strategy with the objective of having increased
      capacity and capability to engage in decision-making beyond the duration
      of the grant.”
From Vision Statement and Declaration of Cooperation
II. Promote Universal Policies in Targeted
Ways
 • There is no “one size fits all”
 • “One vision, many paths”
 • Process:
   • What is the goal?
   • How do we tailor
     strategies to different
     groups, who are
     differently situated, to lift
     them to that goal?
III. Opening Access
Kirwan’s Opportunity Communities Model
A Multi-faceted Approach:
Strategies for Connecting to Opportunity
The Sustainable Communities
Regional Planning Grant
Aligning your proposal with HUD
Considering people, places, and
   linkages
Activities should:
 Affirmative further fair housing and promote affordable housing in high
  opportunity areas (23)
 Promote greater transit supportive development (incorporating to the
  degree possible the full range of housing to all ranges of family
  incomes)…[provide] improved service for historically marginalized
  populations and viable alternative to automobile ownership (24)
 Avoid adverse environmental impacts on neighborhoods through
  careful planning and siting of housing and community facilities (25)
 Redress persistent environmental justice concerns in communities (25)
 Promote inclusion of underrepresented populations in economic
  sectors…and training to support the full range of workforce and
  worker needs in the region (26)
Discussion
 Defining universal goals and benchmarks
 Developing targeted strategies


“Applicants will be evaluated on their ability to identify the
  outcomes they seek to achieve, the clarity with which they
  articulate the elements of the Regional Plan for Sustainable
  Development that will help achieve those outcomes, and the
  specificity of the benchmarks that they establish to measure
  progress toward a completed product that guides all of the
  necessary work.”
www.KirwanInstitute.org

                          www.race-talk.org

                          KirwanInstitute
                               on:

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Growing Together to Expand Opportunity for All in the Portland Region

  • 1. Growing Together to Expand Opportunity for All in the Portland Region Making the most of the Sustainable Communities Initiative john a. powell Executive Director, Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race and Ethnicity Williams Chair in Civil Rights & Civil Liberties, Moritz College of Law Metro Portland, OR August 3, 2010
  • 2. Introduction How do you build livable, sustainable communities that work for, and are inclusive of, everyone?
  • 3. The Portland Way A leader in regional, sustainable development 40 years of progressive land use planning
  • 4. Quality of Life in region Source: Public Opinion Research Survey, DHM Inc.2009.
  • 5. HUD Livability Principles (1) Provide More Transportation Choices. Develop safe, reliable, and economical transportation choices to decrease household transportation costs, reduce our Nation’s dependence on foreign oil, improve air quality, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and promote public health. (2) Promote equitable, affordable housing. Expand location - and energy-efficient housing choices for people of all ages, incomes, races, and ethnicities to increase mobility, improve access to jobs, expand educational opportunities, and lower the combined cost of housing and transportation. (3) Enhance Economic Competitiveness. Improve economic competitiveness through reliable and timely access to employment centers, educational opportunities, services, and other basic needs of workers, as well as expanded business access to markets. (4) Support Existing Communities. Target federal funding toward existing communities— through strategies like transit-oriented, mixed-use development, and land recycling—to increase community revitalization and the efficiency of public works investments and to safeguard rural landscapes. (5) Coordinate Policies and Leverage Investment. Align federal policies and funding to remove barriers to collaboration, leverage funding, and increase the accountability and effectiveness of all levels of government to plan for future growth, including making smart energy choices, such as locally generated renewable energy. (6) Value Communities and Neighborhoods. Enhance the unique characteristics of all communities by investing in healthy, safe, and walk able neighborhoods—rural, urban, or suburban.
  • 6. HUD Mandatory Outcomes (1) Creation of regional transportation, housing, water, and air quality plans that are deeply aligned and tied to local comprehensive land use and capital investment plans. (2) Aligned federal planning and investment resources that mirror the local and regional strategies for achieving sustainable communities. (3) Increased participation and decision-making in developing and implementing a long range vision for the region by populations traditionally marginalized in public planning processes. (4) Reduced social and economic disparities for the low-income, minority communities, and other disadvantaged populations within the target region. (5) Decrease in per capita VMT and transportation-related emissions for the region. (6) Decrease in overall combined housing and transportation costs per household. (7) Increase in the share of residential and commercial construction on underutilized infill development sites that encourage revitalization, while minimizing displacement in neighborhoods with significant disadvantaged populations. (8) Increased proportion of low and very low-income households within a 30-minute transit commute of major employment centers.
  • 7. Question What are the strategies and activities needed to reach these outcomes?
  • 8. Understanding Opportunity Understanding the geography of opportunity can make our regional investments more effective.
  • 9. Opportunity Matters….  “Opportunity” is a situation or condition that places individuals in a position to be more likely to succeed or excel.  Opportunity structures are critical to opening pathways to success:  High-quality education  Healthy and safe environment  Stable housing  Sustainable employment  Political empowerment  Outlets for wealth-building  Positive social networks
  • 10. How does Portland compare to the nation? Portland city, OR USA 2006-2008 2006-2008 Select characteristics 2000 ACS 2000 ACS Median HH Income (1999) $40,146 $48,993 $41,994 $52,175 % population 25+, HS Graduate or Higher 85.7 89.2 80.4 84.5 % Population 25+, Bachelors Degree or Higher 32.6 39.6 24.4 27.4 Families Below Poverty 8.5 10.5 9.2 9.6 Median value SF Home $154,900 $293,300 $119,600 $192,400 Source: Census data
  • 11. Collective Concerns for the Region  Housing Affordability  Educational Attainment  Poverty  Recession & Unemployment
  • 12. Housing: Affordability Housing affordability is a region- wide issue: • Declining affordability of SF homes • By 2005, median household income was less than 1/3 of housing price • In 2008 in Multnomah County, • 52% of renters and 43% of owners paid more than 30% on housing • Compared to 50% of renters and 37.5% of owners nationally Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010 Figure c/o Coalition for a Livable Future, Regional Equity Atlas.
  • 13. Housing + Transportation, Housing Costs, % income % income Yellow: Less than 30% Yellow: Less than 45% Blue: 30% and Greater Blue: 45% and Greater Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology. 2010 http://htaindex.cnt.org/mapping_tool.php#region=portland&theme_menu=0
  • 14. Portland - Central city Education Percent of Persons 25+ by Highest Educational Vancouver, OR - WA of: Portland Suburbs Attainment PMSA city, OR When compared to 1970 37.6 39.6 36.3 the region and 1980 22.0 24.2 20.6 Did not suburbs: Graduate HS 1990 15.7 17.1 14.8 •Portland has higher 2000 12.8 14.3 11.9 percent of people 1970 35.4 33.4 36.7 who did not graduate 1980 36.4 32.2 38.3 HS Graduate HS, 1990 26.9 24.9 27.6 • and a higher 2000 23.8 22.2 24.3 percent of people Some 1970 14.5 14.6 14.3 with advanced/ College or 1980 22.1 21.5 22.4 college degrees Associate 1990 34.2 32.0 35.1 Degree 2000 34.5 30.8 35.9 1970 12.5 12.4 12.7 College Graduate or 1980 19.6 22.1 18.7 Advanced 1990 23.3 25.9 22.5 Degree Source: SOCDS Census data 200 28.8 32.6 27.9
  • 15. Increasing poverty in the region and Portland Portland - Vancouver, Central city of: Poverty Rate Suburbs** OR - WA PMSA Portland city, OR (Percent) 1969 9.7 12.6 8.0 1979 9.0 13.0 7.2 1989 9.9 14.5 7.6 1993 Estimated* 11.2 15.9 8.9 1995 Estimated* 9.9 14.5 7.8 1997 Estimated* 9.2 12.6 7.8 1998 Estimated* 9.4 12.8 8.1 1999 9.5 13.1 7.6 2003 Estimated* 10.4 13.4 8.8 Source: SOCDS Census data *Estimated poverty rates for 1993, 1995, 1997, 1998, and 2003 are derived from the Census Bureau's Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates. ** Suburb data are defined as the total for the Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA PMSA less the sum of data for these cities: Portland city, OR ; Vancouver city, WA ;
  • 16. Effects of the Recession… Portland - Vancouver - Unemployment City of: Portland city, OR Suburbs Beaverton, OR Rate (%) -WA MSA Average Annual 2000 4.4 4.7 4.3 Average Annual 2005 5.9 6.1 6.0 Average Annual 2006 5.0 5.2 5.1 Average Annual 2007 4.8 4.9 4.9 Average Annual 2008 5.9 5.8 6.1 Average Annual 2009 10.6 10.4 11.2 Source: SOCDS Census data
  • 17. But, opportunity is also…. Racialized… Spatialized… Globalized… • In 1960, African- • marginalized people of • Economic American families in color and the very poor poverty were 3.8 times globalization have been spatially more likely to be isolated from concentrated in high- opportunity via • Climate change poverty neighborhoods reservations, Jim Crow, than poor whites. Appalachian mountains, ghettos, • the Credit and • In 2000, they were 7.3 barrios, and the Foreclosure crisis times more likely. culture of incarceration.
  • 18. Neighborhoods Matter…  Neighborhoods are critical to understanding access to opportunity  For example, research shows that living in a neighborhood of concentrated disadvantage is equivalent to missing a full year of school (Sampson 2007)  Does your neighborhood provide pathways to opportunity and success?  Safe environment, good schools, positive peers and role models, employment, accessible transportation options to amenities and jobs  Or does your neighborhood present you with barriers to opportunity and success  Unsafe environment, failing schools, poor peers and role models, no employment
  • 19. Our opportunity context matters Some people ride the “Up” Others have to run up the escalator to reach “Down” escalator to get there opportunity
  • 20. The Cumulative Impacts of Spatial, Racial and Opportunity Segregation Segregation impacts a number of life-opportunities Impacts on Health School Segregation Impacts on Educational Achievement Exposure to crime; arrest Transportation limitations and other inequitable public services Neighborhood Job segregation Segregation Racial stigma, other psychological impacts Impacts on community power and individual assets Adapted from figure by Barbara Reskin at: http://faculty.washington.edu/reskin/
  • 21. Why do some people have access to the “good life” while others do not? It’s more than a matter of choice….
  • 22. Historic Government Role  A series of federal policies have contributed to the disparities we see today  School Policy  Suburbanization & Homeownership  Urban Renewal  Public Housing  Transportation 2 2
  • 23. Today, Institutions continue to support, not dismantle, the status quo. This is why we continue to see racially inequitable outcomes even if there is good intent behind policies, or an absence of racist actors. (i.e. structural racialization)
  • 24. Example: Redline Mapping and Analysis How historic redlining practices helped shape today’s opportunity landscape
  • 25. A snapshot of opportunity in Portland today
  • 26. A snapshot of opportunity in Portland today, contd.
  • 27. Historic Government Policies Enforcing Inequity: The FHA and Redlining “If a neighborhood is to retain stability, it is necessary that properties shall continue to be occupied by the same social and racial classes. A change in social or racial occupancy generally contributes to instability and a decline in values.” –Excerpt from the 1947 FHA underwriting manual 27
  • 28. How Have Discriminatory Systems Influenced Portland today? From Redlining… Original Portland 1938 Redlining Map
  • 29. Historic Redlining Practices and Access to Opportunity in 2010
  • 30. High Interest Rate Loans as Share of Home Purchase Loans by Race/Ethnicity and Income (2008) Low- Middle- Upper Income Income Income Hispanic 6.8% 7.0% 3.5% Non-Hispanic White 5.0% 3.2% 3.0% …to Reverse Non-Hispanic Black 1.8% 3.7% 6.2% Non-Hispanic Asian/Pac. Islander 2.1% 1.8% n/a Redlining… High Interest Rate Loans as Share of Home Purchase Loans by Race/Ethnicity (2008) Metro Area Hispanic 5.9% Non-Hispanic White 3.5% Non-Hispanic Black 4.3% Non-Hispanic American Indian 2.0% Non-Hispanic Asian/Pac. Islander 1.9% Source: http://diversitydata.sph.harvard.edu/Data/Profiles/Show.aspx?loc=1092
  • 31. 1938 Redlining and Subprime Lending
  • 32. …To Gentrification, a new form of exclusion From 1990 to 1999, the average home price in the Portland region rose 97% from $96,000 to $188,600. In some previously redlined areas prices increased 150 or 200% in five years. Source: K. Gibson and C. Abbott. “City Profile: Portland, Oregon.” Cities Vol.19, No.6 December 2002. Photos c/o William Yardley. “Racial Shift in a Progressive City Spurs Talks” The NewYork Times, May 29, 2008
  • 33. Displacement or tenure change? The blues represent decreases in SF homes for rent. What is unclear is whether these decreases represent displacement, or tenure changes. Some of the darkest blue areas especially may indicate displacement. Source: Coalition for a Livable Future, Regional Equity Atlas.
  • 34. Key Opportunity Areas  There are challenges that are burdening everyone in the community and region, but there are also uneven effects across groups, especially across the following domains:  Education  School poverty  Achievement gaps  Proficiency gaps  Housing  Affordability  Fair credit  Homeownership and wealth  Economic  Income disparities
  • 36. Education: School poverty  The percentage of students in the region on FRL grew from 27.8% in 1999 to 35% in 2003. The poverty of a school, more than the poverty of the individual, determines students’ educational outcomes The 1966 Coleman Report concluded that concentrated poverty inevitably depresses achievement on a school-wide and a district-wide basis—the effects are not contained within school walls. Data from the Regional Equity Atlas. The Coalition for a Livable Future. Research from Poverty and Race Research Action Council Annotated Bibliography:The Impact of School-Based Poverty Concentration on Academic Achievement and Student Outcomes.
  • 37. School poverty contd.  In 1999, 86 schools had >50% of students on FRL; in 2003, this increased to 133 schools The “tipping point” is the threshold at which problems spiral beyond the control of the school. Most experts place that point at 50%. At this point, all students’ prospects are depressed  The number of schools where 75.1-100% of students were on FRL doubled between 1999 and 2003 (from 15 to 30) Once the concentration of poverty in a district reaches 60% or above, the district can no longer rely on its own internal efforts to improve outcomes Data from the Regional Equity Atlas. The Coalition for a Livable Future. Research from Poverty and Race Research Action Council Annotated Bibliography:The Impact of School-Based Poverty Concentration on Academic Achievement and Student Outcomes.
  • 38. Education: Attainment Gaps Graduation Rates 2009 for 3 largest school districts in Multnomah County: • PPS: 52% • Reynolds: 51% • David Douglas: 62% Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
  • 39. Education: Proficiency Gaps • Everyone’s proficiency declines over time, but students of color fare much worse and persistent achievement gap; • Is a 59% math proficiency rate OK for tenth graders? We know a 38% is not. •What’s our goal? Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
  • 41. Housing: Affordability • In 2000, nearly 20% of renters spent more than 50% of income on rent. • One study found that for families with children paying more than 50% of their income on rent, they spent 30% less on food, 50% less on clothing, and 70% less on healthcare. Partnership for America’s Economic Success, 2010.“The Hidden Costs of the Housing Crisis: The Impact of Housing on Young Children’s Odds of Success.” Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
  • 42. Housing: Fair Credit Predatory subprime lending had little to do with sustainable homeownership for families, and more to do with equity stripping. • Black borrowers were also 1.6-2.2 times more likely to refinance through subprime lender, and Latinos were 2.7-3.4 times more likely, than similarly-situated white borrowers. (Regional Equity Atlas) Source: Table from Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
  • 43. Housing: Homeownership and Wealth • Minority homeownership gap has been increasing over time • In Clark, Multnomah, and Washington counties, homeownership rates for people of color lag not only whites, but national rates for the same racial groups. Disparities in homeownership translate into disparities in wealth. • Homeowners of color are more reliant than white households on housing for wealth, with 95% of wealth for Black households, and 96% of wealth for Hispanic households derived from their primary residence, compared to 70% of white wealth. (http://sociology.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/power/wealth.html) Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
  • 45. Economic: Income Disparities White families are making about 1.1 times that of families White of color families are making 4.6 times that of families of color Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
  • 46. Economic: Income Disparities contd. This is a tenfold increase Everyone in is worse disparity off, but since white 1995; families white still families’ making 7 incomes times are 2.2 that of times families of that of color families of color Source: Coalition of Communities of Color and Portland State University. “Communities of Color in Multnomah County:An Unsettling Profile.” 2010
  • 47. A Closer Look… 1979 2007 White Families Families of Color White Families Families of Color Decile 1 $11,025 $2,400 $5,000 $700 Decile 5 $55,799 $35,998 $55,000 $32,000 Decile 10 $137,409 $122,502 $260,000 $116,500 What’s our In Decile 1: goal? How do White families experienced a 55% decrease in income make sure all Families of Color experienced a 71% decrease families are In Decile 5 (middle class): sharing in region’s White families income essentially remained unchanged, declining by 1.4% prosperity? Families of Color experienced a 11% decrease
  • 48. How do we change this geography? Change our systems and structures
  • 49. Growing Together “Equitable regionalism affirms the need for every community to have a voice in the resource development and future of the region. It builds and sustains region-wide, collaborative institutions with inclusive representation and a common goal: improving the health of the whole and expanding opportunity for all people and communities across the region. Equitable regionalism requires comprehensive and strategic investment in people and neighborhoods.” “Regionalism: Growing Together to Expand Opportunity for All.” 2007. Summary report, pp. 1-2.
  • 50. Strategies for Growing Together Think in new ways Talk in new ways Act in new ways
  • 51. Thinking in New Ways: Transformative Thinking  transformative thinking to combat structural racialization; we need to find new approaches.  personal and social responsibility are important: we should maintain them in our advocacy and analysis  approaches should consider the structures and systems that are creating and perpetuating these disparities and work to reform them for lasting change. 51
  • 52. Talking in New Ways I. How do we talk about race? II. Targeted universalism—a new frame for dialogue (beyond disparities)
  • 53. I. How to Talk about Race  Speak on structures and systems rather than explicit individual action/reaction  Speak on the subconscious—the implicit bias that is stored within the mind  Speak on relationships—build collaborations and engage in real discussion 53
  • 54. II. Targeted universalism as communication strategy  Moves beyond the disparities frame  Focuses on the universal goals shared by all the communities while being sensitive to the targeted strategies that are responsive to the situation of marginalized communities
  • 55. Acting in New Ways I. Engagement and inclusion II. Targeted universalism as policy III. Opening access through people, places, and linkages
  • 56. I. Engagement and Inclusion “That historically disadvantaged communities, especially communities of color and those living in poverty have a voice and are represented in all decision making to assure that the benefits and burdens of growth and change are distributed equitably.” “While this consortium of regional partners is initially designed to develop the Housing Equity and Opportunity Strategy, the intent is to have the consortium develop a governance structure to oversee the implementation of regional housing and equity measures on an on-going basis.” “Grant funding will be used to involve community-based organizations (as well as local governments) in specific tasks and decision-making related to the regional housing strategy with the objective of having increased capacity and capability to engage in decision-making beyond the duration of the grant.” From Vision Statement and Declaration of Cooperation
  • 57. II. Promote Universal Policies in Targeted Ways • There is no “one size fits all” • “One vision, many paths” • Process: • What is the goal? • How do we tailor strategies to different groups, who are differently situated, to lift them to that goal?
  • 58. III. Opening Access Kirwan’s Opportunity Communities Model
  • 59. A Multi-faceted Approach: Strategies for Connecting to Opportunity
  • 60. The Sustainable Communities Regional Planning Grant Aligning your proposal with HUD
  • 61. Considering people, places, and linkages Activities should:  Affirmative further fair housing and promote affordable housing in high opportunity areas (23)  Promote greater transit supportive development (incorporating to the degree possible the full range of housing to all ranges of family incomes)…[provide] improved service for historically marginalized populations and viable alternative to automobile ownership (24)  Avoid adverse environmental impacts on neighborhoods through careful planning and siting of housing and community facilities (25)  Redress persistent environmental justice concerns in communities (25)  Promote inclusion of underrepresented populations in economic sectors…and training to support the full range of workforce and worker needs in the region (26)
  • 62. Discussion  Defining universal goals and benchmarks  Developing targeted strategies “Applicants will be evaluated on their ability to identify the outcomes they seek to achieve, the clarity with which they articulate the elements of the Regional Plan for Sustainable Development that will help achieve those outcomes, and the specificity of the benchmarks that they establish to measure progress toward a completed product that guides all of the necessary work.”
  • 63. www.KirwanInstitute.org www.race-talk.org KirwanInstitute on: