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Conjoint Analysis


By Rama Krishna Kompella
Different Perspectives,
                Different Goals
• Buyers want all of the most desirable features at
  lowest possible price

• Sellers want to maximize profits by:

  1) minimizing costs of providing features
  2) providing products that offer greater overall value than the
  competition
Conjoint Analysis
• Technique that allows a subset of the possible combinations of product
  features to be used to determine the relative importance of each feature in
  the purchase decision
• Used to determine the relative importance of various attributes to
  respondents, based on their making trade-off judgments
• Uses:
    – To select features on a new product/service
    – Predict sales
    – Understand relationships
Conjoint Analysis
• The dependent variable is the preference judgment that a
  respondent makes about a new concept
• The independent variables are the attribute levels that need to
  be specified
• Respondents make judgments about the concept either by
  considering
   – Two attributes at a time - Trade-off approach
   – Full profile of attributes - Full profile approach
Conjoint Analysis
• We vary the product features (independent variables) to build
  many (usually 12 or more) product concepts
• We ask respondents to rate/rank those product concepts
  (dependent variable)
• Based on the respondents’ evaluations of the product concepts,
  we figure out how much unique value (utility) each of the
  features added (Regress dependent variable on independent
  variables; betas equal part worth utilities.)
Steps in Conjoint Analysis
Products/Services are Composed of
               Features/Attributes
• Credit Card:

  Brand + Interest Rate + Annual Fee + Credit Limit


• On-Line Brokerage:

  Brand + Fee + Speed of Transaction + Reliability of
  Transaction + Research/Charting Options
Breaking the Problem Down




• If we learn how buyers value the components
  of a product, we are in a better position to
  design those that improve profitability
How to Learn What Customers Want?

• Ask Direct Questions about preference:

   –   What brand do you prefer?
   –   What Interest Rate would you like?
   –   What Annual Fee would you like?
   –   What Credit Limit would you like?

• Answers often trivial and unenlightening (e.g.
  respondents prefer low fees to high fees, higher
  credit limits to low credit limits)
How to Learn What Is Important?

• Ask Direct Questions about importances

  – How important is it that you get the <<brand, interest
    rate, annual fee, credit limit>> that you want?
Stated Importances
• Importance Ratings often have low discrimination:


                Average Importance Ratings

               Brand                     6.7


        Interest Rate                      7.2


          Annual Fee                             8.1


         Credit Limit                          7.5


                        0          5                   10
Stated Importances

• Answers often have low discrimination, with most
  answers falling in “very important” categories

• Answers sometimes useful for segmenting market,
  but still not as actionable as could be
Rules for Formulating
               Attribute Levels
• Levels are assumed to be mutually exclusive

  Attribute: Add-on features

  level 1: Sunroof
  level 2: GPS System
  level 3: Video Screen

   – If define levels in this way, you cannot determine the value
     of providing two or three of these features at the same
     time
Rules for Formulating
               Attribute Levels
• Levels should have concrete/unambiguous meaning

  “Very expensive” vs. “Costs $575”

  “Weight: 5 to 7 kilos” vs. “Weight 6 kilos”


  – One description leaves meaning up to individual
    interpretation, while the other does not
Rules for Formulating
                 Attribute Levels
• Don’t include too many levels for any one attribute

   – The usual number is about 3 to 5 levels per attribute
   – The temptation (for example) is to include many, many levels of price,
     so we can estimate people’s preferences for each
   – But, you spread your precious observations across more parameters
     to be estimated, resulting in noisier (less precise) measurement of ALL
     price levels
   – Better approach usually is to interpolate between fewer more
     precisely measured levels for “not asked about” prices
Rules for Formulating
                    Attribute Levels
• Whenever possible, try to balance the number of levels across
  attributes

• There is a well-known bias in conjoint analysis called the
  “Number of Levels Effect”

   – Holding all else constant, attributes defined on more levels than
     others will be biased upwards in importance
   – For example, price defined as ($10, $12, $14, $16, $18, $20) will
     receive higher relative importance than when defined as ($10, $15,
     $20) even though the same range was measured
   – The Number of Levels effect holds for quantitative (e.g. price, speed)
     and categorical (e.g. brand, color) attributes
Rules for Formulating
                 Attribute Levels
• Make sure levels from your attributes can combine freely
  with one another without resulting in utterly impossible
  combinations (very unlikely combinations OK)
   – Resist temptation to make attribute prohibitions (prohibiting levels
     from one attribute from occurring with levels from other attributes)!
   – Respondents can imagine many possibilities (and evaluate them
     consistently) that the study commissioner doesn’t plan to/can’t offer.
     By avoiding prohibitions, we usually improve the estimates of the
     combinations that we will actually focus on.
   – But, for advanced analysts, some prohibitions are OK, and even
     helpful
Limitations of Conjoint Analysis
Trade-off approach
• The task is too unrealistic
• Trade-off judgments are being made on two attributes, holding
  the others constant

Full-profile approach
• If there are multiple attributes and attribute levels, the task can
  get very demanding
Questions?

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T21 conjoint analysis

  • 1. Conjoint Analysis By Rama Krishna Kompella
  • 2. Different Perspectives, Different Goals • Buyers want all of the most desirable features at lowest possible price • Sellers want to maximize profits by: 1) minimizing costs of providing features 2) providing products that offer greater overall value than the competition
  • 3. Conjoint Analysis • Technique that allows a subset of the possible combinations of product features to be used to determine the relative importance of each feature in the purchase decision • Used to determine the relative importance of various attributes to respondents, based on their making trade-off judgments • Uses: – To select features on a new product/service – Predict sales – Understand relationships
  • 4. Conjoint Analysis • The dependent variable is the preference judgment that a respondent makes about a new concept • The independent variables are the attribute levels that need to be specified • Respondents make judgments about the concept either by considering – Two attributes at a time - Trade-off approach – Full profile of attributes - Full profile approach
  • 5. Conjoint Analysis • We vary the product features (independent variables) to build many (usually 12 or more) product concepts • We ask respondents to rate/rank those product concepts (dependent variable) • Based on the respondents’ evaluations of the product concepts, we figure out how much unique value (utility) each of the features added (Regress dependent variable on independent variables; betas equal part worth utilities.)
  • 6. Steps in Conjoint Analysis
  • 7. Products/Services are Composed of Features/Attributes • Credit Card: Brand + Interest Rate + Annual Fee + Credit Limit • On-Line Brokerage: Brand + Fee + Speed of Transaction + Reliability of Transaction + Research/Charting Options
  • 8. Breaking the Problem Down • If we learn how buyers value the components of a product, we are in a better position to design those that improve profitability
  • 9. How to Learn What Customers Want? • Ask Direct Questions about preference: – What brand do you prefer? – What Interest Rate would you like? – What Annual Fee would you like? – What Credit Limit would you like? • Answers often trivial and unenlightening (e.g. respondents prefer low fees to high fees, higher credit limits to low credit limits)
  • 10. How to Learn What Is Important? • Ask Direct Questions about importances – How important is it that you get the <<brand, interest rate, annual fee, credit limit>> that you want?
  • 11. Stated Importances • Importance Ratings often have low discrimination: Average Importance Ratings Brand 6.7 Interest Rate 7.2 Annual Fee 8.1 Credit Limit 7.5 0 5 10
  • 12. Stated Importances • Answers often have low discrimination, with most answers falling in “very important” categories • Answers sometimes useful for segmenting market, but still not as actionable as could be
  • 13. Rules for Formulating Attribute Levels • Levels are assumed to be mutually exclusive Attribute: Add-on features level 1: Sunroof level 2: GPS System level 3: Video Screen – If define levels in this way, you cannot determine the value of providing two or three of these features at the same time
  • 14. Rules for Formulating Attribute Levels • Levels should have concrete/unambiguous meaning “Very expensive” vs. “Costs $575” “Weight: 5 to 7 kilos” vs. “Weight 6 kilos” – One description leaves meaning up to individual interpretation, while the other does not
  • 15. Rules for Formulating Attribute Levels • Don’t include too many levels for any one attribute – The usual number is about 3 to 5 levels per attribute – The temptation (for example) is to include many, many levels of price, so we can estimate people’s preferences for each – But, you spread your precious observations across more parameters to be estimated, resulting in noisier (less precise) measurement of ALL price levels – Better approach usually is to interpolate between fewer more precisely measured levels for “not asked about” prices
  • 16. Rules for Formulating Attribute Levels • Whenever possible, try to balance the number of levels across attributes • There is a well-known bias in conjoint analysis called the “Number of Levels Effect” – Holding all else constant, attributes defined on more levels than others will be biased upwards in importance – For example, price defined as ($10, $12, $14, $16, $18, $20) will receive higher relative importance than when defined as ($10, $15, $20) even though the same range was measured – The Number of Levels effect holds for quantitative (e.g. price, speed) and categorical (e.g. brand, color) attributes
  • 17. Rules for Formulating Attribute Levels • Make sure levels from your attributes can combine freely with one another without resulting in utterly impossible combinations (very unlikely combinations OK) – Resist temptation to make attribute prohibitions (prohibiting levels from one attribute from occurring with levels from other attributes)! – Respondents can imagine many possibilities (and evaluate them consistently) that the study commissioner doesn’t plan to/can’t offer. By avoiding prohibitions, we usually improve the estimates of the combinations that we will actually focus on. – But, for advanced analysts, some prohibitions are OK, and even helpful
  • 18. Limitations of Conjoint Analysis Trade-off approach • The task is too unrealistic • Trade-off judgments are being made on two attributes, holding the others constant Full-profile approach • If there are multiple attributes and attribute levels, the task can get very demanding