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Emerging trends in infrastructure 2015

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We continuously track and report on the tides and trends driving the world’s infrastructure markets. Based on our experience, here are the top 10 emerging trends that we're seeing in infrastructure for 2015.

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Emerging trends in infrastructure 2015

  1. 1. Emerging trends in infrastructure kpmg.com/insightmagazine
  2. 2. 1© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Infrastructure is a story of evolution… Drives social and economic development Enables us to renew our public services and physical surroundings Allows societies, economies, companies and individuals to live to their full potential
  3. 3. 2© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. We continuously track and report on the tides and trends driving the world’s infrastructure markets. Here are the top 10 emerging trends we are seeing in infrastructure for 2015.
  4. 4. 3© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Governments are taking action to unclog the pipeline Trend 1
  5. 5. 4© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Trend 1 This is a continuation of a trend we identified in 2014, but this year the focus has shifted from awareness to action. The move towards greater government intervention indicates that the public discourse is shifting away from merely admiring the problem of infrastructure delivery to taking action to solve it.
  6. 6. 5© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Political and regulatory risks rise up the agenda Trend 2
  7. 7. 6© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Political risk is threatening to impact global infrastructure investment. Market reforms and government intervention in financing infrastructure assets are the basis of political platforms and electioneering. The challenge is separating political rhetoric from the cold, hard needs of society. Trend 2
  8. 8. 7© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Market reforms: status quo is not fit for purpose Trend 3
  9. 9. 8© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Trend 3 Governments and regulators need to take a long-term view of their infrastructure needs, growth projections and demographic forecasts to ensure future demand is met. Market reform is nothing new. What is new is the breadth and scale and the willingness of governments to use market reform to respond to infrastructure demand.
  10. 10. 9© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The shifting role of multilaterals and development banks Trend 4
  11. 11. 10© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Trend 4 Governments that offer subsidized lending should consider directing their subsidies through other channels. Over the coming year, expect to see the establishment of new development banks (most notably the formation of the US$100 billion Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, led by China).
  12. 12. 11© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Big complexities start to impede big projects Trend 5
  13. 13. 12© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Trend 5 With a large number of megaprojects announced in the past few years, there are concerns that the complexity of these projects may be overwhelming and render them undeliverable. Some projects struggle to secure appropriate financing. Others are frequently tied up in red tape and approvals.
  14. 14. 13© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Striking the balance between necessity and opportunity Trend 6
  15. 15. 14© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. While political risk and uncertainty have always been present, it has now directly impacting global infrastructure investment. More countries are developing national infrastructure plans aimed at ‘depoliticizing’ infrastructure decision- making, creating a long-term vision and improving the investment climate. Trend 6
  16. 16. 15© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Striving for better asset performance Trend 7
  17. 17. 16© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Governments are keen on asset privatization as future investment can be moved off the public books and because returns from asset sales can be put back into developing new infrastructure. It is clear that deal flow may always be restricted in situations where privatization or restructuring of government assets remains a politically-charged topic. Trend 7
  18. 18. 17© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Resource scarcity drives investment Trend 8
  19. 19. 18© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The development of new and more efficient infrastructure will be key to reducing the impact of resource scarcity. But the removal of existing subsidies on water and energy would help drive conservation and better align costs and revenues to the asset life-cycle. The number of major projects that – seemingly – are focused more on securing key resources than filling an urgent need is rising dramatically. Trend 8
  20. 20. 19© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Infrastructure players go global Trend 9
  21. 21. 20© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. While more global organizations competing for tenders in mature and emerging markets is a positive development, providers must take the time to seriously consider the risks and opportunities in the markets in which they hope to operate. The long-awaited shift of investors towards the emerging markets has finally taken hold. As with any new market opportunity, service providers are bound to follow. Trend 9
  22. 22. 21© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Cities sharpen their focus on urban mobility Trend 10
  23. 23. 22© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. City growth was identified as a trend in both 2013 and 2014. Today, the focus has evolved towards urban mobility and economic inclusion. Over the coming year, expect to see more urban mobility projects announced in almost every market (particularly in those going into an election cycle). Urban mobility is critical. Not only does it allows for a freer flow of goods, capital and people within cities, it provides a means for the world’s urban poor to access jobs, social services and education. Trend 10
  24. 24. 23© 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. For more information Visit: kpmg.com/insightmagazine Contact: infrastucture@kpmg.com
  25. 25. Thank you kpmg.com/socialmedia kpmg.com/app © 2015 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavour to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.

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