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The Future of Technology October Future Of Technology

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The Future of Technology
October 2007
2
Summary
 We think about growth and change in linear,
exponential and discontinuous paradigms,
history is a chain of discontinuities
 The realm of technology is no longer discrete, technology is
imbuing traditional linear phenomena with exponential and
discontinuous change
 Computation (hardware and software) overview: Moore’s Law
improvements will likely continue unabated in hardware; software
however is stuck
 Not only will there be linear and exponential growth in the next 50
years but probably also discontinuous change, possibly a change
with greater impact than the Internet in our (current) lifetimes

Publié dans : Technologie, Business
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