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A Fitness Program
for GCC Telcos
The boom years are coming to an end for the Gulf
Cooperation Council region’s telecom market. Getting
in shape by reducing costs and improving productivity
is now a top priority for telcos.




                                       A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   1
Years of strong growth and limited competition have brought telecommunications operators in
 the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region some of the industry’s highest margins.1 Between
 2004 and 2007, GCC telcos’ revenues grew 15 percent annually, with earnings before interest,
 taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margins hovering around 47 percent.

 But the boom is coming to an end. GCC telecom markets have become increasingly saturated,
 with competition intensifying and prices falling. Annual revenue growth in GCC markets now
 averages just 4 percent, and it may remain flat or even decline in 20122 (see figure 1).

 As a result, GCC telcos need to “get fit.” By undergoing regular health checks and staying in
 shape, telcos can earn a financial payoff with the potential to create an immediate impact and
 a long-term, sustainable advantage (see figure 2). For example, Deutsche Telekom’s “Save for
 Service” efficiency improvement program that focused on procurement, product portfolio
 standardization, and shared services resulted in $7.8 billion in savings between 2006 and 2010,
 with another $5.5 billion savings targeted by the end of 2012.3 The same level of savings is
 available to operators in developing markets. In 2010, South Africa’s MTN increased its EBITDA
 margin by 2 percent after building the framework for stricter cost management and optimization.4



 Compounding Pressures
 There are a number of reasons why getting fit has become an imperative. Increased data
 revenues are unlikely to offset the ongoing decline in voice revenues, which still constitute


 Figure 1
 Figure 1
 The boom that brought growth and profits to GCC telecom markets is ending
 The boom that brought growth and profits to GCC telecom markets is ending

 Compound annual revenue growth rate, telcos *
 30%
                                                                                                                                   2004–2007

  25%                27%                                                                                                           2008–2011


  20%


  15%
                                                        15%
  10%


   5%
                                     4%                                4%                  4%
    0

                                                                                                          -1%
  -5%
                     44%            42%                 47%            41%                38%            39%               Average EBITDA
                                                                                                                           margins
                  Developing markets                      GCC players                   Developed markets

 * Data is based on companies in 22 developed countries, 30 emerging countries, and the four largest GCC companies.
 Sources: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Bloomberg, company annual reports; A.T Kearney analysis

	 1	The Gulf Cooperation Council is a political and economic organization that includes Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and
    United Arab Emirates (UAE).
	 2	Fitch Ratings, 2012
	3	Deutsche Telekom Annual Report 2011
	 4	MTN 2010 Annual Report

                                                                                                                 A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   2
Figure 2
 Figure 2
 “Getting fit” helps operators decrease their costs every year
 “Getting fit” helps operators decrease their costs every year

 Average cost per customer*
 (Indexed: 2007 = 100)


    100
                    100                                           -7%
                                                 92
                                                                    84
      75
                                                                                   78
                                                                                                       74


     50




      25




       0
                    2007                     2008                  2009            2010               2011


 *Based on a sample of 100 operators worldwide
 Source: A.T. Kearney analysis




 a significant portion of total revenues. Furthermore, increased competition from new mobile
 challengers and mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs), together with stronger regulatory
 interventions, including termination rate reduction, number portability, and bitstream (which
 allows rival operators to offer services over an incumbent’s fixed-line infrastructure), is set to
 erode telcos’ margins further.

 Another potential area of concern is the growing use of handset subsidies to attract and retain
 subscribers, especially in more mature markets. In Europe and the United States, handset
 subsidies have had a significant impact on some operators’ direct costs and profitability. In the
 GCC, telcos will have to monitor this development, along with the current explosion in demand
 for smartphones and tablets (which have higher prices than traditional phones).

 At the same time, operators will need to invest continually in expanding their network capacity
 and rolling out new technologies, such as fiber-optic networks and high-speed mobile
 broadband (4G), to meet the increasing demand for data—all while facing pressure from share-
 holders to limit capital expenditures and maintain healthy cash flows and attractive returns.

 Compounding these commercial challenges is the fact that most GCC governments, which hold
 significant shares in regional telecom operators and have grown accustomed to reaping boom-era
 benefits, continue to seek major returns from the telecom cash cow. The taxes and royalties paid
 to GCC governments by telecom firms—usually a percentage of net profits—comprise between
 1 percent (Saudi Arabia) and 17 percent (UAE) of GCC countries’ public budgets.5

 Governments are also more than ever expecting telcos—in particular incumbents—to fulfill
 social goals by hiring, retaining, and training a higher percentage of nationals, rather than
 acquiring less-expensive expatriate workers. These government policies, which aim to reduce
 unemployment and strengthen the knowledge-based economy, entail higher costs for operators.

	 5	Economist Intelligence Unit, company annual reports; A.T. Kearney analysis 	

                                                                                          A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   3
In this new era, operators will need to improve operational efficiencies while enhancing the
 customer experience. GCC telcos must “get fit” and stay that way. In essence, this means
 increasing efficiency and productivity, and reducing costs without impacting quality.



 Deploying a Successful “Fitness Program”
 In regions with mature telecom markets, operators years ago initiated operational efficiency
 programs that continuously streamline operations and optimize capital expenditures. However,
 executing a telco “fitness program” is a challenging, long-term exercise, especially for operators
 attempting to get fit for the first time.

 Effective fitness programs generally comprise three distinct phases:

 Phase 1: Perform a check-up. A first assessment phase is crucial. It creates the case for change,
 defines the level of ambition required to reduce costs significantly, and pinpoints the areas with
 the most substantial improvement potential. Here, telcos can consider a range of performance
 improvement levers across many functions (see figure 3).

 Figure 3
 Figure 3
 Different levers will help different functions
 Different levers will help different functions
                                                                                                                             Select examples
                                                                       Cross-functional levers
                            Operational       Strategic         Optimize          Revenue           Capex             WC             Disruptive
                            efficiency        sourcing          SACs and          assurance         prioritiza-       efficiency     business
                            improve-                            SRCs*                               tion              and asset      models
                            ment                                                                                      leverage**

           Network




           IT




           Sales
Function




           Marketing




           Customer
           management


           Intercon-
           nection and
           roaming

           Support and
           overhead***




                                       Indicates that lever is particularly relevant to this function

	 *	Sales acquisition costs and sales retention costs
 * Sales acquisition costs and sales retention costs
	 **	WC is working capital.
 ** WC is working capital
	 ***	Includes functions such as finance, HR, procurement, supply chain, and corporate communications
 *** Includes functions such as finance, HR, procurement, supply chain, and corporate communications
		Source: Kearney analysis
 Source: A.T. A.T. Kearney analysis

                                                                                                                  A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   4
How and Where Telcos Can Cut Costs

 Two-thirds of telecom operators’                   operators saw average efficiency                   generally plenty of opportuni-
 costs are often indirect and one-                  gains (as measured by total                        ties to improve supply chain
 third are direct (see figure 4).                   indirect cost per customer) of                     and procurement capabilities.
 This split can vary, however.                      11.1 percent, and fixed operators                  By standardizing purchasing
 Mobile operators often have                        saw 5.8 percent gains. Because                     requirements and internal
 higher direct costs due to                         direct costs are more difficult                    technical specifications, con-
 handsets and commissions.                          to address, efficiency programs                    solidating volumes, and
                                                    usually focus on indirect costs.                   optimizing deals with suppliers,
 Both mobile and fixed operators                    The efficiency gains have come                     operators can cut costs without
 are grappling with falling prices                  from the following areas:                          affecting core operations.
 brought on by competition and                                                                         Telenor, for example, reduced
 regulatory changes. Globally,                      Network, marketing, and IT.                        its software licensing costs by
 between 2009 and 2011, mobile                      These three areas have the                         34 percent by replacing local
 operators’ average revenue                         most potential for optimizing                      licensing agreements with global
 per user (ARPU) fell 10.3 percent,                 operational and capital expen-                     deals.6 GCC telcos will need to
 and fixed operators’ ARPU                          ditures, typically by reducing                     use the full scale of their groups
 fell 3.3 percent, according to                     complexity.                                        to create synergies, reduce
 A.T. Kearney’s Global Competitive                                                                     external spending, and benefit
 Benchmarking (GCB).                                Supply chain and procurement.                      from solid supplier relationships,
                                                    GCC operators’ rapid inter-                        which can bring earlier access
 During the same period, telcos                     national growth—often through                      to new handsets and network
 became more efficient: Mobile                      acquisitions—means there are                       equipment.



 Figure 4
 Cost breakdown for telecom operators



                      34%                                                                   Interconnection
                                                       18%
                    Direct
                     cost                                                                   Cost of goods sold
                                                                     57%
                                                   25%                                      Commissions




                      66%
                   Indirect
                     cost
                                                            7%                              Network
                                                      7%
                                                  8%                                        Information technology

                                                 8%                  58%                    Customer management

                                                      11%                                   Support and overhead

                                                                                            Sales

                                                                                            Marketing and product development



              Typical operator

 Notes: Support and overhead includes functions such as finance, human resources, procurement, supply chain, and corporate communications.
 Percentages may not add up to 100 because of rounding.
 Source: A.T. Kearney analysis


	 6	Bjørn Harald Brodersen, Head of Group Sourcing, Telenor, “Sourcing in Telenor Group.”

                                                                                                             A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   5
Back office. Consolidating back-                fleet services and facility                     Energy efficiency. Energy
  office functions such as HR and                 management, can improve                         efficiency can cut costs while
  finance, potentially by estab-                  efficiency and allow more                       reducing environmental impact.
  lishing central or regional shared              management focus on customers.                  France Telecom-Orange, for
  services, can increase efficiency.              Newer outsourcing models                        example, is aiming to reduce
                                                  include managed capacity,                       energy consumption by 15
  Information technology.                         where an outsourcer is paid                     percent between 2006 and
  Centralizing IT services and                    on a variable utilization or                    2020.8 By the end of 2010, the
  standardizing or consolidating                  capacity basis. These models,                   group had fitted more than 8,000
  applications and hardware can                   besides increasing efficiency,                  network sites with optimized
  substantially reduce costs and                  reduce risk, and limit financing                ventilation systems, cut energy
  often improve service.                          needs while fundamentally                       consumption at data centers,
                                                  shifting the focus from opera-                  and installed solar-powered base
  Infrastructure sharing. Sharing                 tions to customer experience                    stations (mainly in Africa and the
  infrastructure among operators                  and partnership management.                     Middle East).
  is another way to optimize costs                Bharti Airtel’s so-called “Minutes
  and leverage economies of scale.                Factory” has enabled it to target               Cross-functional processes.
  For example, Bharti, Millicom, and              millions of pre-paid customers                  Streamlining, strengthening, or
  Vodafone (Spain, Germany, U.K.,                 that would have been too costly                 re-engineering certain cross-
  India, and Ireland) have shared                 to serve using the conventional                 functional processes can make
  networks with other operators.                  subscriber-led model.7 The                      them more customer-oriented
  In Sweden, 3 and Telenor’s joint                factory’s key elements include                  while eliminating departmental
  venture, 3GIS, covers around 70                 outsourced network equipment,                   silos that lead to duplication and
  percent of its network with shared              which enables fixed costs to                    inefficiency. Further organiza-
  infrastructure.                                 convert to variable costs. Bharti’s             tional changes, such as consoli-
                                                  partnerships enable it to add                   dating departments, optimizing
  Outsourcing. Outsourcing                        network and IT capacity quickly                 span of control, and can improve
  non-core activities, such as                    and efficiently, as needed.                     service and cut costs.




  Benchmarking activities can identify areas with the highest potential for improvement and
  the greatest need for top management attention (see sidebar: How and Where Can Telcos
  Cut Costs). By applying international best practices, benchmarking also identifies clear
  improvement targets that quantify how much value is achievable.

  A useful starting point for assessing cost performance is A.T. Kearney’s Global Competitive
  Benchmarking (GCB). More than 100 operators around the world participate in the GCB, which
  provides an annual comparison of mobile, fixed, and converged operators’ costs and perfor-
  mance, and has become the de facto industry baseline for operational excellence.

  The GCB measures opex (operating expenses), capex (capital expenditures), working capital,
  and other key performance indicators (KPIs) against comparable operators, thus allowing
  detailed analysis of performance for any given costs. Cost transparency, supported by detailed
  benchmarking results, forms the basis for a sound health check and is the foundation upon which
  to build a strong case for change (see figure 5 on page 7). Benchmarking not only identifies and
  quantifies areas of potential overspending or low productivity, but also points out areas of under-
  investment, or insufficient service maintenance, leading to higher costs in other areas.

  Recently, A.T. Kearney benchmarked a GCC telco’s operations in its home market. The
  benchmark showed low IT spending compared to similar operators, but in other functional

	 7	Rohin Dharmakumar & Shishir Prasad, “Bharti Minutes in Africa,” Forbes India, 28 April 2010
	 8	FTN-Orange 2010 Annual Report

                                                                                                      A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   6
Figure 5
    Figure 5
    A.T. Kearney’s Global Competitive Benchmarking (GCB) is the telecommunications
    A.T. Kearney’s Global Competitive Benchmarking (GCB) is the telecommunications
    industry’s largest database
    industry’s largest database




                                                        Compare
                                                      cost efficiency
                                                          levels

                                        Achieve                            Identify
                                      best-in-class                     areas for cost
                                     cost structure                     improvement
                                                      Global
                                                      Competitive
                                                      Benchmarking
                                                      for Telecoms
                                        Compare                          Analyze root
                                         KPIs and                        causes and
                                        share best                      improvement
                                         practices                         actions
                                                          Obtain
                                                      regular input
                                                        to budget
                                                      and business
                                                         planning


		Note: KPI is key performance indicator.
  Note: KPI is key performance indicator.
		Source: A.T. Kearney analysis
  Source: A.T. Kearney analysis




    areas, particularly sales, customer management, and finance, the operator was spending far
    more than its competitors. In these functional areas, staff costs were high, and quality in some
    areas was suffering because the operator hadn’t automated its labor-intensive processes.

    Phase 2: Develop a fitness program. A tailored cost and productivity improvement program
    starts by delving deep into benchmark results to find the root causes of performance gaps.
    A company-wide effort can identify core areas to address while also stimulating awareness
    and creating a more cost-conscious corporate culture. Such an exercise must involve many
    functional areas and levels of responsibility and combine leadership with a willingness to
    welcome, and understand in detail, the excellent ideas that employees from across the
    organization can contribute. Involving the entire workforce ensures a thorough approach that
    addresses the identified cost-performance opportunities and supports the successful imple-
    mentation of any initiatives.

    Cost and productivity improvement initiatives can be categorized into different groups, taking
    into account the implementation effort, time required, and expected outcomes in terms of cost
    savings or increased productivity. They usually fall into three categories: quick wins, structural
    improvements, and transformation (see figure 6 on page 8):


                                                                                 A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   7
Figure 6
  Figure 6 productivity improvement activities fall into three categories
  Cost and
  Cost and productivity improvement activities fall into three categories

                                                                      Structural
                                   Quick wins                         improvements                       Transformation
                                  • Focus on avoiding                • Focus on improving current      • Transform the operating
    Scope                           certain activities                 operations, including             model
                                  • Base on decisions, such as         re-engineering processes        • Take a forward-looking view
                                    a policy change

                                  • Take a top-down approach         • Outline detailed                • Prepare for a complex
    Approach                        to speed up results                implementation plans and          implementation because of
                                  • Develop plans, business            targets up front                  numerous
                                    case, and implementation         • Involve stakeholders early        interdependencies
                                    simultaneously                     to get buy-in                   • Perform deep pre-execution
                                                                                                         analysis

                                  • Implement quickly and            • Require substantial efforts     • Build a dedicated,
    Level of                        easily once management             at all levels of the              experienced team to
    effort                          approves                           organization                      implement the
                                                                     • Manage resistance to              transformation
                                                                       change                          • Command senior
                                                                     • Establish training programs       management and board
                                                                       for all employees to ensure       support to lead the
                                                                       success                           transformation

                                  • Adjust specific policies,        • Re-engineer call center         • Outsource network
    Examples                        such as travel and                 processes                         operations
                                    entertainment                    • Launch strategic sourcing       • Share some or all network
                                  • Review outstanding tenders         initiatives                       infrastructure
                                    and capital expenditures         • Optimize spectrum usage         • Consolidate functions and
                                  • Dispose of old inventory                                             shared services centers

                                  • Obtain immediate results         • Achieve more cost savings       • Gain long-term advantage
    Results                         through one-time cost              in the short- to mid-term         (this may require
    horizon                         improvements                                                         considerable investments)




  Source: A.T. Kearney analysis




  Quick wins. Telcos can often find immediate results from simple pragmatic steps that create
  immediate impact. For example, we recently helped a Middle East operator adjust its travel and
  expense policies and reduced annual spending in this area by 10 percent.

  Structural improvements. These are initiatives with a short- and medium-term impact. For
  example, by using online reverse auctions for a proportion of its procurement, Telefonica
  reduced its sourcing cycle time by 50 percent and its procurement management costs by
  27 percent, while achieving considerable savings on external spending.9

  One potential structural improvement is balancing capital spending on replacement equipment
  with spending on new equipment, while ensuring that each investment is based on a strong
  business case with attractive returns. For example, some telcos, such as British Telecom, are



	 9	Tim Minahan, “e-Sourcing is A-LIVE and Well in Europe,” Supply Excellence, 13 June 2008

                                                                                                     A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   8
rolling out fiber networks in a phased manner determined by the level of customer demand, an
approach known as “value-based network roll-out.”

Some operators have cut costs significantly by optimizing their backhaul transmission networks,
for example by carrying mobile and fixed traffic on a common transport network. One leading
telecom operator we recently worked with implemented a number of measures to lower its
capex investments, including more efficient use of spectrum and reduction of peak loads on its
networks by throttling peer-to-peer traffic at busy times.

Transformation. Transforming all or part of the existing operating model can cut costs signifi-
cantly. One large European telco client deployed a lean approach to its call centers and network
field operations in its home market, improving productivity 25 percent.

These three categories differ substantially in terms of implementation (straightforward
versus complex) and their impact on how a company carries out its business. Whereas “quick
wins” might be simple measures such as adjusting travel and entertainment policies, struc-
tural improvements tend to focus on initiatives that take a longer time to implement, such as
re-engineering processes.



GCC telcos that implement cost-
optimization programs can improve their
bottom lines by 20 percent. That’s about
$500 million more in total annual net
profits for large GCC telecom groups.
Transformation initiatives often have the biggest impact, but usually take the longest time. They
might include consolidating functions, eliminating duplicate activities, reducing the scale of
operations, and outsourcing non-core and even some core activities to third parties. Clearly,
an organizational transformation may take several years to complete and have a considerable
impact on employees.

While some management teams are prepared to implement cost and productivity initiatives
that have a direct impact on headcount, others prefer to avoid such measures. Figure 7 on page
10 shows examples of initiatives and their impact on full-time equivalent (FTE) headcount.

Whatever route a company takes in its fitness program, successful implementation requires
total top-management commitment to the point that it should be included in executives’ annual
performance targets and incentive packages. Strong program management is also required.
Solid governance with regular steering-committee meetings will help coordinate the implemen-
tation effort by acknowledging units that are delivering results while identifying those that are
struggling and need internal or external help.

Phase 3: Stay fit by exercising regularly. Staying fit is not a one-time endeavor. It requires
a sustained marathon effort focused on continually improving performance. Leading inter-
national telecom groups establish special units, mechanisms, and systems that constantly


                                                                        A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos   9
Figure 7
Figure 7
Cost and productivity initiatives and their impact on headcount
Cost and productivity initiatives and their impact on headcount
                                                                                                                     Examples
                                                                Structural
                                 Quick wins                     improvements                      Transformation
Actions with                    • Release non-performing       • Re-engineer call center         • Create shared services
direct                            employees                      process                           centers
headcount                                                      • Optimize span-of-control        • Conduct overhead value
impact                                                                                             analysis
                                                                                                 • Eliminate overlaps between
                                                                                                   functions
                                                                                                 • Outsource core and
                                                                                                   non-core activities
                                                                                                 • Conduct companywide
                                                                                                   business process
                                                                                                   re-engineering

Actions with                    • Change CPE* specs            • Optimize deployment and         • Share network
no direct                       • Rationalize laptop-desktop     roll out                          infrastructure
headcount                         mix                          • Consolidate data centers
impact                          • Reduce sponsorship           • Optimize inventory
                                • Reduce certain employee        management
                                  allowances                   • Manage fleet demand
                                • Adjust travel and            • Reduce office space
                                  entertainment policy         • Conduct strategic sourcing
                                • Optimize mobile-site power     and e-auctions for suppliers
                                  use                          • Standardize and centralize
                                • Adjust training policy         IT
                                • Dispose of old inventory     • Phase out legacy systems


* CPE is customer premise equipment.
Source: A.T. Kearney analysis




monitor, benchmark, and, ultimately, improve cost performance. They embed cost perfor-
mance into management KPIs and targets. Leading telecom firms in mature markets typically
designate a unit (for example, within finance) responsible for benchmarking and monitoring
overall cost performance. These units identify cost optimization best practices within operating
companies and disseminate them across the group, driving effective group synergies. They
also set cost reduction targets for business units and specific activities—used as input into the
annual budgeting cycle—and regularly follow up to measure the achievements. In essence,
employees in these units become cost-and-productivity experts and play a pivotal role in
creating a more cost-conscious culture. GCC telecom operators could benefit from employing
experts from firms in more mature markets where cost optimization has been an integral part of
their business.

Again, top-management leadership is critical. Cost-optimization programs are best led by the
CFO, COO, or CEO with support from the management team, while telecom groups should
combine both group-led and country-specific initiatives. Cost optimization must be a strategic



                                                                                                A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 10
priority with cost-reduction targets and KPIs embedded in employees’ objectives. All components
combined will drive the transition toward a more cost-conscious corporate culture where cost
management is a day-to-day strategic priority for all employees.



Executing a telco “fitness program” is
a challenging, long-term exercise,
especially for operators attempting to
get fit for the first time.

Would-Be Winners Have No Time to Lose
As competition intensifies in the Gulf region, GCC telecom operators have no time to waste
if they want to protect their profitability. Yet getting and staying fit takes time—the quick
wins must be followed up by structural changes that can generate immediate savings while
embedding a long-term advantage. As the GCC telco market matures, those that invest the time
and effort to transform their businesses and get healthy will last the course.



Authors

           Marc Biosca, partner, Middle East                Rob van Dale, consultant, Middle East
           marc.biosca@atkearney.com                        rob.van.dale@atkearney.com




           Laurent Viviez, partner,
           London and Johannesburg
           laurent.viviez@atkearney.com




                                                                      A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 11
A.T. Kearney is a global team of forward-thinking, collaborative partners that delivers
immediate, meaningful results and long-term transformative advantage to clients.
Since 1926, we have been trusted advisors on CEO-agenda issues to the world’s
leading organizations across all major industries and sectors. A.T. Kearney’s offices
are located in major business centers in 39 countries.


Americas                         Atlanta               Detroit                 San Francisco
                                 Calgary               Houston                 São Paulo
                                 Chicago               Mexico City             Toronto
                                 Dallas                New York                Washington, D.C.

Europe                           Amsterdam             Istanbul                Oslo
                                 Berlin                Kiev                    Paris
                                 Brussels              Lisbon                  Prague
                                 Bucharest             Ljubljana               Rome
                                 Budapest              London                  Stockholm
                                 Copenhagen            Madrid                  Stuttgart
                                 Düsseldorf            Milan                   Vienna
                                 Frankfurt             Moscow                  Warsaw
                                 Helsinki              Munich                  Zurich

Asia Pacific                     Bangkok               Melbourne               Singapore
                                 Beijing               Mumbai                  Sydney
                                 Hong Kong             New Delhi               Tokyo
                                 Jakarta               Seoul
                                 Kuala Lumpur          Shanghai

Middle East                      Abu Dhabi             Johannesburg            Riyadh
and Africa                       Dubai                 Manama



For more information, permission to reprint or translate this work, and all other correspondence,
please email: insight@atkearney.com.

A.T. Kearney Korea LLC is a separate and
independent legal entity operating under
the A.T. Kearney name in Korea.
© 2012, A.T. Kearney, Inc. All rights reserved.




The signature of our namesake and founder, Andrew Thomas Kearney, on the cover of this
document represents our pledge to live the values he instilled in our firm and uphold his
commitment to ensuring “essential rightness” in all that we do.

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Telco Fitness

  • 1. A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos The boom years are coming to an end for the Gulf Cooperation Council region’s telecom market. Getting in shape by reducing costs and improving productivity is now a top priority for telcos. A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 1
  • 2. Years of strong growth and limited competition have brought telecommunications operators in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region some of the industry’s highest margins.1 Between 2004 and 2007, GCC telcos’ revenues grew 15 percent annually, with earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margins hovering around 47 percent. But the boom is coming to an end. GCC telecom markets have become increasingly saturated, with competition intensifying and prices falling. Annual revenue growth in GCC markets now averages just 4 percent, and it may remain flat or even decline in 20122 (see figure 1). As a result, GCC telcos need to “get fit.” By undergoing regular health checks and staying in shape, telcos can earn a financial payoff with the potential to create an immediate impact and a long-term, sustainable advantage (see figure 2). For example, Deutsche Telekom’s “Save for Service” efficiency improvement program that focused on procurement, product portfolio standardization, and shared services resulted in $7.8 billion in savings between 2006 and 2010, with another $5.5 billion savings targeted by the end of 2012.3 The same level of savings is available to operators in developing markets. In 2010, South Africa’s MTN increased its EBITDA margin by 2 percent after building the framework for stricter cost management and optimization.4 Compounding Pressures There are a number of reasons why getting fit has become an imperative. Increased data revenues are unlikely to offset the ongoing decline in voice revenues, which still constitute Figure 1 Figure 1 The boom that brought growth and profits to GCC telecom markets is ending The boom that brought growth and profits to GCC telecom markets is ending Compound annual revenue growth rate, telcos * 30% 2004–2007 25% 27% 2008–2011 20% 15% 15% 10% 5% 4% 4% 4% 0 -1% -5% 44% 42% 47% 41% 38% 39% Average EBITDA margins Developing markets GCC players Developed markets * Data is based on companies in 22 developed countries, 30 emerging countries, and the four largest GCC companies. Sources: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Bloomberg, company annual reports; A.T Kearney analysis 1 The Gulf Cooperation Council is a political and economic organization that includes Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (UAE). 2 Fitch Ratings, 2012 3 Deutsche Telekom Annual Report 2011 4 MTN 2010 Annual Report A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 2
  • 3. Figure 2 Figure 2 “Getting fit” helps operators decrease their costs every year “Getting fit” helps operators decrease their costs every year Average cost per customer* (Indexed: 2007 = 100) 100 100 -7% 92 84 75 78 74 50 25 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 *Based on a sample of 100 operators worldwide Source: A.T. Kearney analysis a significant portion of total revenues. Furthermore, increased competition from new mobile challengers and mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs), together with stronger regulatory interventions, including termination rate reduction, number portability, and bitstream (which allows rival operators to offer services over an incumbent’s fixed-line infrastructure), is set to erode telcos’ margins further. Another potential area of concern is the growing use of handset subsidies to attract and retain subscribers, especially in more mature markets. In Europe and the United States, handset subsidies have had a significant impact on some operators’ direct costs and profitability. In the GCC, telcos will have to monitor this development, along with the current explosion in demand for smartphones and tablets (which have higher prices than traditional phones). At the same time, operators will need to invest continually in expanding their network capacity and rolling out new technologies, such as fiber-optic networks and high-speed mobile broadband (4G), to meet the increasing demand for data—all while facing pressure from share- holders to limit capital expenditures and maintain healthy cash flows and attractive returns. Compounding these commercial challenges is the fact that most GCC governments, which hold significant shares in regional telecom operators and have grown accustomed to reaping boom-era benefits, continue to seek major returns from the telecom cash cow. The taxes and royalties paid to GCC governments by telecom firms—usually a percentage of net profits—comprise between 1 percent (Saudi Arabia) and 17 percent (UAE) of GCC countries’ public budgets.5 Governments are also more than ever expecting telcos—in particular incumbents—to fulfill social goals by hiring, retaining, and training a higher percentage of nationals, rather than acquiring less-expensive expatriate workers. These government policies, which aim to reduce unemployment and strengthen the knowledge-based economy, entail higher costs for operators. 5 Economist Intelligence Unit, company annual reports; A.T. Kearney analysis A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 3
  • 4. In this new era, operators will need to improve operational efficiencies while enhancing the customer experience. GCC telcos must “get fit” and stay that way. In essence, this means increasing efficiency and productivity, and reducing costs without impacting quality. Deploying a Successful “Fitness Program” In regions with mature telecom markets, operators years ago initiated operational efficiency programs that continuously streamline operations and optimize capital expenditures. However, executing a telco “fitness program” is a challenging, long-term exercise, especially for operators attempting to get fit for the first time. Effective fitness programs generally comprise three distinct phases: Phase 1: Perform a check-up. A first assessment phase is crucial. It creates the case for change, defines the level of ambition required to reduce costs significantly, and pinpoints the areas with the most substantial improvement potential. Here, telcos can consider a range of performance improvement levers across many functions (see figure 3). Figure 3 Figure 3 Different levers will help different functions Different levers will help different functions Select examples Cross-functional levers Operational Strategic Optimize Revenue Capex WC Disruptive efficiency sourcing SACs and assurance prioritiza- efficiency business improve- SRCs* tion and asset models ment leverage** Network IT Sales Function Marketing Customer management Intercon- nection and roaming Support and overhead*** Indicates that lever is particularly relevant to this function * Sales acquisition costs and sales retention costs * Sales acquisition costs and sales retention costs ** WC is working capital. ** WC is working capital *** Includes functions such as finance, HR, procurement, supply chain, and corporate communications *** Includes functions such as finance, HR, procurement, supply chain, and corporate communications Source: Kearney analysis Source: A.T. A.T. Kearney analysis A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 4
  • 5. How and Where Telcos Can Cut Costs Two-thirds of telecom operators’ operators saw average efficiency generally plenty of opportuni- costs are often indirect and one- gains (as measured by total ties to improve supply chain third are direct (see figure 4). indirect cost per customer) of and procurement capabilities. This split can vary, however. 11.1 percent, and fixed operators By standardizing purchasing Mobile operators often have saw 5.8 percent gains. Because requirements and internal higher direct costs due to direct costs are more difficult technical specifications, con- handsets and commissions. to address, efficiency programs solidating volumes, and usually focus on indirect costs. optimizing deals with suppliers, Both mobile and fixed operators The efficiency gains have come operators can cut costs without are grappling with falling prices from the following areas: affecting core operations. brought on by competition and Telenor, for example, reduced regulatory changes. Globally, Network, marketing, and IT. its software licensing costs by between 2009 and 2011, mobile These three areas have the 34 percent by replacing local operators’ average revenue most potential for optimizing licensing agreements with global per user (ARPU) fell 10.3 percent, operational and capital expen- deals.6 GCC telcos will need to and fixed operators’ ARPU ditures, typically by reducing use the full scale of their groups fell 3.3 percent, according to complexity. to create synergies, reduce A.T. Kearney’s Global Competitive external spending, and benefit Benchmarking (GCB). Supply chain and procurement. from solid supplier relationships, GCC operators’ rapid inter- which can bring earlier access During the same period, telcos national growth—often through to new handsets and network became more efficient: Mobile acquisitions—means there are equipment. Figure 4 Cost breakdown for telecom operators 34% Interconnection 18% Direct cost Cost of goods sold 57% 25% Commissions 66% Indirect cost 7% Network 7% 8% Information technology 8% 58% Customer management 11% Support and overhead Sales Marketing and product development Typical operator Notes: Support and overhead includes functions such as finance, human resources, procurement, supply chain, and corporate communications. Percentages may not add up to 100 because of rounding. Source: A.T. Kearney analysis 6 Bjørn Harald Brodersen, Head of Group Sourcing, Telenor, “Sourcing in Telenor Group.” A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 5
  • 6. Back office. Consolidating back- fleet services and facility Energy efficiency. Energy office functions such as HR and management, can improve efficiency can cut costs while finance, potentially by estab- efficiency and allow more reducing environmental impact. lishing central or regional shared management focus on customers. France Telecom-Orange, for services, can increase efficiency. Newer outsourcing models example, is aiming to reduce include managed capacity, energy consumption by 15 Information technology. where an outsourcer is paid percent between 2006 and Centralizing IT services and on a variable utilization or 2020.8 By the end of 2010, the standardizing or consolidating capacity basis. These models, group had fitted more than 8,000 applications and hardware can besides increasing efficiency, network sites with optimized substantially reduce costs and reduce risk, and limit financing ventilation systems, cut energy often improve service. needs while fundamentally consumption at data centers, shifting the focus from opera- and installed solar-powered base Infrastructure sharing. Sharing tions to customer experience stations (mainly in Africa and the infrastructure among operators and partnership management. Middle East). is another way to optimize costs Bharti Airtel’s so-called “Minutes and leverage economies of scale. Factory” has enabled it to target Cross-functional processes. For example, Bharti, Millicom, and millions of pre-paid customers Streamlining, strengthening, or Vodafone (Spain, Germany, U.K., that would have been too costly re-engineering certain cross- India, and Ireland) have shared to serve using the conventional functional processes can make networks with other operators. subscriber-led model.7 The them more customer-oriented In Sweden, 3 and Telenor’s joint factory’s key elements include while eliminating departmental venture, 3GIS, covers around 70 outsourced network equipment, silos that lead to duplication and percent of its network with shared which enables fixed costs to inefficiency. Further organiza- infrastructure. convert to variable costs. Bharti’s tional changes, such as consoli- partnerships enable it to add dating departments, optimizing Outsourcing. Outsourcing network and IT capacity quickly span of control, and can improve non-core activities, such as and efficiently, as needed. service and cut costs. Benchmarking activities can identify areas with the highest potential for improvement and the greatest need for top management attention (see sidebar: How and Where Can Telcos Cut Costs). By applying international best practices, benchmarking also identifies clear improvement targets that quantify how much value is achievable. A useful starting point for assessing cost performance is A.T. Kearney’s Global Competitive Benchmarking (GCB). More than 100 operators around the world participate in the GCB, which provides an annual comparison of mobile, fixed, and converged operators’ costs and perfor- mance, and has become the de facto industry baseline for operational excellence. The GCB measures opex (operating expenses), capex (capital expenditures), working capital, and other key performance indicators (KPIs) against comparable operators, thus allowing detailed analysis of performance for any given costs. Cost transparency, supported by detailed benchmarking results, forms the basis for a sound health check and is the foundation upon which to build a strong case for change (see figure 5 on page 7). Benchmarking not only identifies and quantifies areas of potential overspending or low productivity, but also points out areas of under- investment, or insufficient service maintenance, leading to higher costs in other areas. Recently, A.T. Kearney benchmarked a GCC telco’s operations in its home market. The benchmark showed low IT spending compared to similar operators, but in other functional 7 Rohin Dharmakumar & Shishir Prasad, “Bharti Minutes in Africa,” Forbes India, 28 April 2010 8 FTN-Orange 2010 Annual Report A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 6
  • 7. Figure 5 Figure 5 A.T. Kearney’s Global Competitive Benchmarking (GCB) is the telecommunications A.T. Kearney’s Global Competitive Benchmarking (GCB) is the telecommunications industry’s largest database industry’s largest database Compare cost efficiency levels Achieve Identify best-in-class areas for cost cost structure improvement Global Competitive Benchmarking for Telecoms Compare Analyze root KPIs and causes and share best improvement practices actions Obtain regular input to budget and business planning Note: KPI is key performance indicator. Note: KPI is key performance indicator. Source: A.T. Kearney analysis Source: A.T. Kearney analysis areas, particularly sales, customer management, and finance, the operator was spending far more than its competitors. In these functional areas, staff costs were high, and quality in some areas was suffering because the operator hadn’t automated its labor-intensive processes. Phase 2: Develop a fitness program. A tailored cost and productivity improvement program starts by delving deep into benchmark results to find the root causes of performance gaps. A company-wide effort can identify core areas to address while also stimulating awareness and creating a more cost-conscious corporate culture. Such an exercise must involve many functional areas and levels of responsibility and combine leadership with a willingness to welcome, and understand in detail, the excellent ideas that employees from across the organization can contribute. Involving the entire workforce ensures a thorough approach that addresses the identified cost-performance opportunities and supports the successful imple- mentation of any initiatives. Cost and productivity improvement initiatives can be categorized into different groups, taking into account the implementation effort, time required, and expected outcomes in terms of cost savings or increased productivity. They usually fall into three categories: quick wins, structural improvements, and transformation (see figure 6 on page 8): A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 7
  • 8. Figure 6 Figure 6 productivity improvement activities fall into three categories Cost and Cost and productivity improvement activities fall into three categories Structural Quick wins improvements Transformation • Focus on avoiding • Focus on improving current • Transform the operating Scope certain activities operations, including model • Base on decisions, such as re-engineering processes • Take a forward-looking view a policy change • Take a top-down approach • Outline detailed • Prepare for a complex Approach to speed up results implementation plans and implementation because of • Develop plans, business targets up front numerous case, and implementation • Involve stakeholders early interdependencies simultaneously to get buy-in • Perform deep pre-execution analysis • Implement quickly and • Require substantial efforts • Build a dedicated, Level of easily once management at all levels of the experienced team to effort approves organization implement the • Manage resistance to transformation change • Command senior • Establish training programs management and board for all employees to ensure support to lead the success transformation • Adjust specific policies, • Re-engineer call center • Outsource network Examples such as travel and processes operations entertainment • Launch strategic sourcing • Share some or all network • Review outstanding tenders initiatives infrastructure and capital expenditures • Optimize spectrum usage • Consolidate functions and • Dispose of old inventory shared services centers • Obtain immediate results • Achieve more cost savings • Gain long-term advantage Results through one-time cost in the short- to mid-term (this may require horizon improvements considerable investments) Source: A.T. Kearney analysis Quick wins. Telcos can often find immediate results from simple pragmatic steps that create immediate impact. For example, we recently helped a Middle East operator adjust its travel and expense policies and reduced annual spending in this area by 10 percent. Structural improvements. These are initiatives with a short- and medium-term impact. For example, by using online reverse auctions for a proportion of its procurement, Telefonica reduced its sourcing cycle time by 50 percent and its procurement management costs by 27 percent, while achieving considerable savings on external spending.9 One potential structural improvement is balancing capital spending on replacement equipment with spending on new equipment, while ensuring that each investment is based on a strong business case with attractive returns. For example, some telcos, such as British Telecom, are 9 Tim Minahan, “e-Sourcing is A-LIVE and Well in Europe,” Supply Excellence, 13 June 2008 A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 8
  • 9. rolling out fiber networks in a phased manner determined by the level of customer demand, an approach known as “value-based network roll-out.” Some operators have cut costs significantly by optimizing their backhaul transmission networks, for example by carrying mobile and fixed traffic on a common transport network. One leading telecom operator we recently worked with implemented a number of measures to lower its capex investments, including more efficient use of spectrum and reduction of peak loads on its networks by throttling peer-to-peer traffic at busy times. Transformation. Transforming all or part of the existing operating model can cut costs signifi- cantly. One large European telco client deployed a lean approach to its call centers and network field operations in its home market, improving productivity 25 percent. These three categories differ substantially in terms of implementation (straightforward versus complex) and their impact on how a company carries out its business. Whereas “quick wins” might be simple measures such as adjusting travel and entertainment policies, struc- tural improvements tend to focus on initiatives that take a longer time to implement, such as re-engineering processes. GCC telcos that implement cost- optimization programs can improve their bottom lines by 20 percent. That’s about $500 million more in total annual net profits for large GCC telecom groups. Transformation initiatives often have the biggest impact, but usually take the longest time. They might include consolidating functions, eliminating duplicate activities, reducing the scale of operations, and outsourcing non-core and even some core activities to third parties. Clearly, an organizational transformation may take several years to complete and have a considerable impact on employees. While some management teams are prepared to implement cost and productivity initiatives that have a direct impact on headcount, others prefer to avoid such measures. Figure 7 on page 10 shows examples of initiatives and their impact on full-time equivalent (FTE) headcount. Whatever route a company takes in its fitness program, successful implementation requires total top-management commitment to the point that it should be included in executives’ annual performance targets and incentive packages. Strong program management is also required. Solid governance with regular steering-committee meetings will help coordinate the implemen- tation effort by acknowledging units that are delivering results while identifying those that are struggling and need internal or external help. Phase 3: Stay fit by exercising regularly. Staying fit is not a one-time endeavor. It requires a sustained marathon effort focused on continually improving performance. Leading inter- national telecom groups establish special units, mechanisms, and systems that constantly A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 9
  • 10. Figure 7 Figure 7 Cost and productivity initiatives and their impact on headcount Cost and productivity initiatives and their impact on headcount Examples Structural Quick wins improvements Transformation Actions with • Release non-performing • Re-engineer call center • Create shared services direct employees process centers headcount • Optimize span-of-control • Conduct overhead value impact analysis • Eliminate overlaps between functions • Outsource core and non-core activities • Conduct companywide business process re-engineering Actions with • Change CPE* specs • Optimize deployment and • Share network no direct • Rationalize laptop-desktop roll out infrastructure headcount mix • Consolidate data centers impact • Reduce sponsorship • Optimize inventory • Reduce certain employee management allowances • Manage fleet demand • Adjust travel and • Reduce office space entertainment policy • Conduct strategic sourcing • Optimize mobile-site power and e-auctions for suppliers use • Standardize and centralize • Adjust training policy IT • Dispose of old inventory • Phase out legacy systems * CPE is customer premise equipment. Source: A.T. Kearney analysis monitor, benchmark, and, ultimately, improve cost performance. They embed cost perfor- mance into management KPIs and targets. Leading telecom firms in mature markets typically designate a unit (for example, within finance) responsible for benchmarking and monitoring overall cost performance. These units identify cost optimization best practices within operating companies and disseminate them across the group, driving effective group synergies. They also set cost reduction targets for business units and specific activities—used as input into the annual budgeting cycle—and regularly follow up to measure the achievements. In essence, employees in these units become cost-and-productivity experts and play a pivotal role in creating a more cost-conscious culture. GCC telecom operators could benefit from employing experts from firms in more mature markets where cost optimization has been an integral part of their business. Again, top-management leadership is critical. Cost-optimization programs are best led by the CFO, COO, or CEO with support from the management team, while telecom groups should combine both group-led and country-specific initiatives. Cost optimization must be a strategic A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 10
  • 11. priority with cost-reduction targets and KPIs embedded in employees’ objectives. All components combined will drive the transition toward a more cost-conscious corporate culture where cost management is a day-to-day strategic priority for all employees. Executing a telco “fitness program” is a challenging, long-term exercise, especially for operators attempting to get fit for the first time. Would-Be Winners Have No Time to Lose As competition intensifies in the Gulf region, GCC telecom operators have no time to waste if they want to protect their profitability. Yet getting and staying fit takes time—the quick wins must be followed up by structural changes that can generate immediate savings while embedding a long-term advantage. As the GCC telco market matures, those that invest the time and effort to transform their businesses and get healthy will last the course. Authors Marc Biosca, partner, Middle East Rob van Dale, consultant, Middle East marc.biosca@atkearney.com rob.van.dale@atkearney.com Laurent Viviez, partner, London and Johannesburg laurent.viviez@atkearney.com A Fitness Program for GCC Telcos 11
  • 12. A.T. Kearney is a global team of forward-thinking, collaborative partners that delivers immediate, meaningful results and long-term transformative advantage to clients. Since 1926, we have been trusted advisors on CEO-agenda issues to the world’s leading organizations across all major industries and sectors. A.T. Kearney’s offices are located in major business centers in 39 countries. Americas Atlanta Detroit San Francisco Calgary Houston São Paulo Chicago Mexico City Toronto Dallas New York Washington, D.C. Europe Amsterdam Istanbul Oslo Berlin Kiev Paris Brussels Lisbon Prague Bucharest Ljubljana Rome Budapest London Stockholm Copenhagen Madrid Stuttgart Düsseldorf Milan Vienna Frankfurt Moscow Warsaw Helsinki Munich Zurich Asia Pacific Bangkok Melbourne Singapore Beijing Mumbai Sydney Hong Kong New Delhi Tokyo Jakarta Seoul Kuala Lumpur Shanghai Middle East Abu Dhabi Johannesburg Riyadh and Africa Dubai Manama For more information, permission to reprint or translate this work, and all other correspondence, please email: insight@atkearney.com. A.T. Kearney Korea LLC is a separate and independent legal entity operating under the A.T. Kearney name in Korea. © 2012, A.T. Kearney, Inc. All rights reserved. The signature of our namesake and founder, Andrew Thomas Kearney, on the cover of this document represents our pledge to live the values he instilled in our firm and uphold his commitment to ensuring “essential rightness” in all that we do.