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Challenges and
Opportunities in the
Renewable Energy
Sector




Dr Maurizio COLLU

June 29th, 2010

Research Fellow
Renewable Energy Group
Offshore Process & Energy Department
Cranfield University
Challenge
      (1980-2006 data, source www.eia.doe.gov )
                                                        REGION                   World                            Europe                                UK
  ENERGY RELATED PARAMETER                              Unit of      value          annual rise       value            annual rise      value               annual rise
                                                        measure                     (average)                          (average)                            (average)
  Annual Primary energy production [1]                  TWh          138000         1.9%              14000            0.68%            2307                -0.1%
                                                        (Mtoe)       (11850)

  Annual Primary energy consumption                     TWh          138000         2.0%              25000            0.72%            2873                0.4%
                                                        (Mtoe)       (11850)
  Electricity power installed capacity                  GW           4000                            810                              78                  
  …of which              Conventional                               69%                             56%                              79%                 
                         thermal [2]
                         Hydroelectric [3]                          19%                             20%                              2%                  
                         Nuclear                                    9%                              17%                              15%                 
                         Renewable [4]                              3%                              6%                               4%                  
  Electricity energy generation                         TWh          18000          3.2%              3550             2%               372                 1.3%

  …of which             Conventional                    %            66.3%          2.98%             53%              1%               75%                 0.8%
                        thermal [2]
                        Hydroelectric [3]               %            16.6%          2.17%             15%              0.7%             1.2%                2.2%
                        Nuclear                         %            14.4%          (5.22%)           25%              5.5%             13%                 2%
                        Renewable [4]                   %            2.3%           11.07%            5.5%             11%              4%                  22%
  Electricity energy consumption                        TWh          16400          3.2%              3300             2%               350                 1.4%



[1] The form of energy before any transformation occurs to secondary or tertiary forms (e.g. coal can be converted to synthetic gas, which can be converted to electricity; in this
example, coal is primary energy, synthetic gas is secondary energy, and electricity is tertiary energy)
[2] Coal, Petroleum, Gas fired power plant
[3] Hydroelectricity is actually a renewable energy source.
[4] Geothermal, Solar, Wind, Wood, and Waste
1st macro-challenge: ever increasing
demand
                                REGION              World                   Europe                   UK
ENERGY RELATED PARAMETER        Unit of   value       annual rise   value      annual rise   value    annual rise
                                measure               (average)                (average)              (average)
Primary energy production [1]   TWh       138000      1.9%          14000      0.68%         2307     -0.1%
                                (Mtoe)    (11850)

Primary energy consumption      TWh       138000      2.0%          25000      0.72%         2873     0.4%
                                (Mtoe)    (11850)


• Primary energy consumption increasing each year 2% at
  world level, 0.7% EU, 0.4% UK: huge demand (world
  average 58 kWh/person/day, UK 130 kWh/person/day)
• Consumption increasing more than production (for UK
  production stable/slightly dropping)
• EU and UK strong “primary energy” importer (EU 44%, UK
  20%)
• How can we produce more energy, in a clean, safe,
  affordable way?
2nd macro-challenge



  The book “sustainable energy – without the
   hot        air”       is       dedicated:
   “to those who will not have the benefit of
   two billion years’ accumulated energy
   reserves”
                               Prof D. JC MacKay, FRS,
                                University of Cambridge
2nd macro challenge: mono-source
past, multi-source future
                                                               REGION           World                   Europe                   UK
ENERGY RELATED PARAMETER                                   Unit of      value     annual rise   value      annual rise   value    annual rise
                                                           measure                (average)                (average)              (average)
Electricity energy generation                              TWh          18000     3.2%          3550       2%            372      1.3%

…of which             Conventional                         %            66.3%     2.98%         53%        1%            75%      0.8%
                      thermal [2]
                      Hydroelectric [3]                    %            16.6%     2.17%         15%        0.7%          1.2%     2.2%
                      Nuclear                              %            14.4%     (5.22%)       25%        (5.5%)        13%      (2%)
                      Renewable [4]                        %            2.3%      11%           5.5%       11%           4%       22%
Electricity energy consumption                             TWh          16400     3.2%          3300       2%            350      1.4%


 • World, EU, UK used to be an energy mono-source economy: fossil fuels
 • BUT the future economy has to be multi-source based because:
    • fossil fuels are a finite resource,
    • it is economically and politically advantageous to diversify the
      energy portfolio,
    • anthropogenic greenhouse gases are changing the climate
 • How can we re-structure the system into a low-carbon, multi-source
   economy?
 [2] Coal, Petroleum, Gas fired power plant
 [3] Hydroelectricity is actually a renewable energy source.
 [4] Geothermal, Solar, Wind, Wood, and Waste
3rd macro-challenge: building essential
skills for the sector
                                          REGION            World                   Europe                   UK
ENERGY RELATED PARAMETER                  Unit of   value     annual rise   value      annual rise   value    annual rise
                                          measure             (average)                (average)              (average)
Electricity energy generation             TWh       18000     3.2%          3550       2%            372      1.3%

…of which             Conventional        %         66.3%     2.98%         53%        1%            75%      0.8%
                      thermal [2]
                      Hydroelectric [3]   %         16.6%     2.17%         15%        0.7%          1.2%     2.2%
                      Nuclear             %         14.4%     (5.22%)       25%        (5.5%)        13%      (2%)
                      Renewable [4]       %         2.3%      11.07%        5.5%       11%           4%       22%
Electricity energy consumption            TWh       16400     3.2%          3300       2%            350      1.4%



 • Renewable Energy (excluding hydroelectric) has still a low share
   of the energy produced
 • BUT his annual rise is 1 order of magnitude higher than all the
   other sources
 • How can we bridge the gap between the currently available
   workforce skills and the near future essential skills needed by the
   Renewable Energy Sector?
How can we transform these
challenges into opportunities?
Opportunity: macro-level




      Develop                             Create
                       Promote
    cleaner, low-                      economic and
                        energy
       carbon                           employment
                       security
      economy                          opportunities




    Opportunity to strengthen EU-wide (short-medium
     term) and World-wide (long term) collaborations
Opportunities for Cranfield University


             as a…               can…                    through…
                                     Re-skill
                                     present          High level technical & business
                                    workforce               adm. short courses

                Academic
                Institution
                               Forge new qualified
                                 and specialized      Master and doctorate courses
                                   workforce


Cranfield                                             Emerging technology feasibility
University                                                       studies

                                 Offer specialized
                                   consultancy         Preliminary Design studies
                                     services
               Renewable
                 Energy                                Experimental validation and
             industry player                            development campaigns


                                  Help developing          Collaborations with
                               technology standards         government and
                                   and policies       standardization organizations
Opportunities for Cranfield University




      Cranfield University has the
      potential to become the location
      of choice for inward Renewable
      Energy investment and a world
      class centre of energy expertise
How I plan to contribute as a lecturer (1/2)
                                                                                                                             2010                  2011                       2012                       2013                        2014                        2015
                                                                                                        TIMESCALE
                                                                                                                    2nd q.     3rd q.   1st q.   2nd q.   3rd q.   1st q.   2nd q.   3rd q.   1st q.   2nd q.    3rd q.   1st q.   2nd q.    3rd q.   1st q.   2nd q.   3rd q.
FUNDING                                                            Amount
                    EPSRC First Grant Scheme (2 years)             Capped at 125 k£
                          Challenging Engineering Calls            Exploration funding
                          Doctoral Training Grants                 3 PhD studentships
                      FP7 FP7-Energy (NCP contacted)               Project based

                     MoD Funds for microalgae-derived biofuel      Around 20-30 k£ x 1 PhD studentship


Aviation Industry (engines) Funds for microalgae-derived biofuel   Around 20-30 k£

                      BAE Studentships                             1 PhD studentship
                          Grants for Project                       Around 10-15 k£

                TEACHING
                           MSc students fees                       4-6 k£ EU, 8 k£ UK, 16 k£ Overseas
                           Short Courses                           NET per course around 10-13 k£
                           ADWEA                                   7.5 k£ each course (3 days)

RESEARCH

     Dynamics of offshore
 Renewable Energy Devices Offshore Wind Turbine Dynamics
                                                                   MSc Group/Final Project
                                                                   Internships
                                                                   PhD 1                                                                                                    PhD 1
                                                                   PhD 5                                                                                                                                                           PhD 5

                                                                   Research Staff 1                                                                                                                    Research Staff 1
                           Wave energy devices dynamics
                                                                   MSc Group/Final Project
                                                                   Internships
                                                                   PhD 3                                                                                                                               PhD 3

                                                                   Research Staff 1                                                                                                                    Research Staff 1


Microalgae-derived biofuel Mathematical Modeling, Energy Balance
                                                                   MSc Group/Final Project
                                                                   Internships
                                                                   PhD 4                                                                                                                               PhD 4

                                                                   Research Staff 2                                                                                                                                                Research Staff 2
                           Algae Production Pod Dynamics
                                                                   MSc Group/Final Project
                                                                   Internships

                                                                   Research Staff 2                                                                                                                                                Research Staff 2


   Aerodynamic Alleviated Dynamics Model Numerical
         Marine Vehicles Implementation

                           Experimental Validation of the model
                                                                   MSc Group/Final Project
                                                                   Internships
                                                                   PhD 2                                                                                                    PhD 2

                                                                   Research Staff 3                                                                                                                                                Research Staff 3
How I plan to contribute as a lecturer (2/2)
                                                                                       2010              2011                 2012                 2013                 2014                 2015
                                                                      TIMESCALE
                                                                                   2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q.



TEACHING
               MScAdvanced Mechanical Engineering MSc: Course Director
                   NEW course about Renewable Energy Systems, dynamics module


     Short CoursesDesign Tools for Marine Renewable Energy Systems
                   NEW short course: Dynamics of Marine Renewable Energy Systems


                 Technological Challenge of Renewable Sources of Energy
           ADWEA Production



NETWORKING
             BWEAOffshore Wind Strategy Group,
                  Skills and Education sub-group
              SUTMarine Renewable Energies
                  Committee
              ISSCInternational Ship and Offshore
                  Structures


PROFESSIONAL
QUALIFICATIONS
    CEng with RINAMember of RINA
                  Building portfolio with a tutor
                  from RINA
                   Apply for assessment


        PGCTLAHECourse Lectures
                Portfolio write-up and
                submission



Fellow of the HIgher
Education AcademyApply
To conclude : a civilization view

  “The generation now alive is perhaps the most important generation of humans
    ever to walk the Earth.
  Unlike previous generations, we hold in our hands the future destiny of our
    species, whether we soar into fulfilling our promise as a type I* civilization or
    fall into the abyss of chaos, pollution, and war.
  <…>
  The choice is ours. This is the legacy of the generation now alive. This is our
    destiny.”
                                                      Michio Kaku, “Parallel Worlds”

  *type I civilization: classification introduced by Nicolai Kardashev to rank civilizations in outer space by
    their energy generation. A type I civilization can harness the power of an entire planet. Current Earth
    civilization corresponds to a type 0.765 (10 based logarithmic scale, total Earth primary power
    1.74*1017 W, in 2006 around 15.8*1012)

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2010 06 29 m collu challenges and opportunities in the renewable energy sector

  • 1. Challenges and Opportunities in the Renewable Energy Sector Dr Maurizio COLLU June 29th, 2010 Research Fellow Renewable Energy Group Offshore Process & Energy Department Cranfield University
  • 2. Challenge (1980-2006 data, source www.eia.doe.gov ) REGION World Europe UK ENERGY RELATED PARAMETER Unit of value annual rise value annual rise value annual rise measure (average) (average) (average) Annual Primary energy production [1] TWh 138000 1.9% 14000 0.68% 2307 -0.1% (Mtoe) (11850) Annual Primary energy consumption TWh 138000 2.0% 25000 0.72% 2873 0.4% (Mtoe) (11850) Electricity power installed capacity GW 4000 810 78 …of which Conventional 69% 56% 79% thermal [2] Hydroelectric [3] 19% 20% 2% Nuclear 9% 17% 15% Renewable [4] 3% 6% 4% Electricity energy generation TWh 18000 3.2% 3550 2% 372 1.3% …of which Conventional % 66.3% 2.98% 53% 1% 75% 0.8% thermal [2] Hydroelectric [3] % 16.6% 2.17% 15% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% Nuclear % 14.4% (5.22%) 25% 5.5% 13% 2% Renewable [4] % 2.3% 11.07% 5.5% 11% 4% 22% Electricity energy consumption TWh 16400 3.2% 3300 2% 350 1.4% [1] The form of energy before any transformation occurs to secondary or tertiary forms (e.g. coal can be converted to synthetic gas, which can be converted to electricity; in this example, coal is primary energy, synthetic gas is secondary energy, and electricity is tertiary energy) [2] Coal, Petroleum, Gas fired power plant [3] Hydroelectricity is actually a renewable energy source. [4] Geothermal, Solar, Wind, Wood, and Waste
  • 3. 1st macro-challenge: ever increasing demand REGION World Europe UK ENERGY RELATED PARAMETER Unit of value annual rise value annual rise value annual rise measure (average) (average) (average) Primary energy production [1] TWh 138000 1.9% 14000 0.68% 2307 -0.1% (Mtoe) (11850) Primary energy consumption TWh 138000 2.0% 25000 0.72% 2873 0.4% (Mtoe) (11850) • Primary energy consumption increasing each year 2% at world level, 0.7% EU, 0.4% UK: huge demand (world average 58 kWh/person/day, UK 130 kWh/person/day) • Consumption increasing more than production (for UK production stable/slightly dropping) • EU and UK strong “primary energy” importer (EU 44%, UK 20%) • How can we produce more energy, in a clean, safe, affordable way?
  • 4. 2nd macro-challenge The book “sustainable energy – without the hot air” is dedicated: “to those who will not have the benefit of two billion years’ accumulated energy reserves” Prof D. JC MacKay, FRS, University of Cambridge
  • 5. 2nd macro challenge: mono-source past, multi-source future REGION World Europe UK ENERGY RELATED PARAMETER Unit of value annual rise value annual rise value annual rise measure (average) (average) (average) Electricity energy generation TWh 18000 3.2% 3550 2% 372 1.3% …of which Conventional % 66.3% 2.98% 53% 1% 75% 0.8% thermal [2] Hydroelectric [3] % 16.6% 2.17% 15% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% Nuclear % 14.4% (5.22%) 25% (5.5%) 13% (2%) Renewable [4] % 2.3% 11% 5.5% 11% 4% 22% Electricity energy consumption TWh 16400 3.2% 3300 2% 350 1.4% • World, EU, UK used to be an energy mono-source economy: fossil fuels • BUT the future economy has to be multi-source based because: • fossil fuels are a finite resource, • it is economically and politically advantageous to diversify the energy portfolio, • anthropogenic greenhouse gases are changing the climate • How can we re-structure the system into a low-carbon, multi-source economy? [2] Coal, Petroleum, Gas fired power plant [3] Hydroelectricity is actually a renewable energy source. [4] Geothermal, Solar, Wind, Wood, and Waste
  • 6. 3rd macro-challenge: building essential skills for the sector REGION World Europe UK ENERGY RELATED PARAMETER Unit of value annual rise value annual rise value annual rise measure (average) (average) (average) Electricity energy generation TWh 18000 3.2% 3550 2% 372 1.3% …of which Conventional % 66.3% 2.98% 53% 1% 75% 0.8% thermal [2] Hydroelectric [3] % 16.6% 2.17% 15% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% Nuclear % 14.4% (5.22%) 25% (5.5%) 13% (2%) Renewable [4] % 2.3% 11.07% 5.5% 11% 4% 22% Electricity energy consumption TWh 16400 3.2% 3300 2% 350 1.4% • Renewable Energy (excluding hydroelectric) has still a low share of the energy produced • BUT his annual rise is 1 order of magnitude higher than all the other sources • How can we bridge the gap between the currently available workforce skills and the near future essential skills needed by the Renewable Energy Sector?
  • 7. How can we transform these challenges into opportunities?
  • 8. Opportunity: macro-level Develop Create Promote cleaner, low- economic and energy carbon employment security economy opportunities Opportunity to strengthen EU-wide (short-medium term) and World-wide (long term) collaborations
  • 9. Opportunities for Cranfield University as a… can… through… Re-skill present High level technical & business workforce adm. short courses Academic Institution Forge new qualified and specialized Master and doctorate courses workforce Cranfield Emerging technology feasibility University studies Offer specialized consultancy Preliminary Design studies services Renewable Energy Experimental validation and industry player development campaigns Help developing Collaborations with technology standards government and and policies standardization organizations
  • 10. Opportunities for Cranfield University Cranfield University has the potential to become the location of choice for inward Renewable Energy investment and a world class centre of energy expertise
  • 11. How I plan to contribute as a lecturer (1/2) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TIMESCALE 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. FUNDING Amount EPSRC First Grant Scheme (2 years) Capped at 125 k£ Challenging Engineering Calls Exploration funding Doctoral Training Grants 3 PhD studentships FP7 FP7-Energy (NCP contacted) Project based MoD Funds for microalgae-derived biofuel Around 20-30 k£ x 1 PhD studentship Aviation Industry (engines) Funds for microalgae-derived biofuel Around 20-30 k£ BAE Studentships 1 PhD studentship Grants for Project Around 10-15 k£ TEACHING MSc students fees 4-6 k£ EU, 8 k£ UK, 16 k£ Overseas Short Courses NET per course around 10-13 k£ ADWEA 7.5 k£ each course (3 days) RESEARCH Dynamics of offshore Renewable Energy Devices Offshore Wind Turbine Dynamics MSc Group/Final Project Internships PhD 1 PhD 1 PhD 5 PhD 5 Research Staff 1 Research Staff 1 Wave energy devices dynamics MSc Group/Final Project Internships PhD 3 PhD 3 Research Staff 1 Research Staff 1 Microalgae-derived biofuel Mathematical Modeling, Energy Balance MSc Group/Final Project Internships PhD 4 PhD 4 Research Staff 2 Research Staff 2 Algae Production Pod Dynamics MSc Group/Final Project Internships Research Staff 2 Research Staff 2 Aerodynamic Alleviated Dynamics Model Numerical Marine Vehicles Implementation Experimental Validation of the model MSc Group/Final Project Internships PhD 2 PhD 2 Research Staff 3 Research Staff 3
  • 12. How I plan to contribute as a lecturer (2/2) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TIMESCALE 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. 1st q. 2nd q. 3rd q. TEACHING MScAdvanced Mechanical Engineering MSc: Course Director NEW course about Renewable Energy Systems, dynamics module Short CoursesDesign Tools for Marine Renewable Energy Systems NEW short course: Dynamics of Marine Renewable Energy Systems Technological Challenge of Renewable Sources of Energy ADWEA Production NETWORKING BWEAOffshore Wind Strategy Group, Skills and Education sub-group SUTMarine Renewable Energies Committee ISSCInternational Ship and Offshore Structures PROFESSIONAL QUALIFICATIONS CEng with RINAMember of RINA Building portfolio with a tutor from RINA Apply for assessment PGCTLAHECourse Lectures Portfolio write-up and submission Fellow of the HIgher Education AcademyApply
  • 13. To conclude : a civilization view “The generation now alive is perhaps the most important generation of humans ever to walk the Earth. Unlike previous generations, we hold in our hands the future destiny of our species, whether we soar into fulfilling our promise as a type I* civilization or fall into the abyss of chaos, pollution, and war. <…> The choice is ours. This is the legacy of the generation now alive. This is our destiny.” Michio Kaku, “Parallel Worlds” *type I civilization: classification introduced by Nicolai Kardashev to rank civilizations in outer space by their energy generation. A type I civilization can harness the power of an entire planet. Current Earth civilization corresponds to a type 0.765 (10 based logarithmic scale, total Earth primary power 1.74*1017 W, in 2006 around 15.8*1012)