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The Next Big Thing(s):
Thinking Strategically for Better Futures
Professor Mark Brown - PhD
Berlin, Germany
12th September 2017
@mbrownz
Ireland’s First Chair in Digital Learning
Director, National Institute for Digital Learning
• 10 x Online Scholarships for Refugees
• Pilot of Head Start Online MOOC with Kiron
Outline…
1. Education in change
2. Education for change
3. Shaping your own future
@mbrownz
1. Education in change
The Language
of Disruptive
Innovation
In 1976…
89% market share
A Teaching Assistant named Jill Watson:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WbCguICyfTA
http://time.com/4742543/robots-jobs-machines-work/
Learning is Earning!
“A prudent question is one-half of wisdom”
Francis Bacon
2. Education for change
Running
to catch a
moving train...
What is the preferred
future scenario for your institution?
•
•
•
•
•
What are some of
the other major change forces
shaping the future of higher education?
• Globalisation
• Population mobility
• Demographic changes
• Changing nature of work
• Growing demand for higher education
What are some of
the other major change forces
shaping the future of higher education?
High impact (critical) uncertainties
Growth of new global online providers
Emergence of badges and micro-credentials
Increased demand for part-time study options
Increased supply reduces cost of qualifications
Reduction of government funding to universities
Increased demand for customised study options
Increased staff demand for flexible work conditions
Emergence of strategic alliances between universities
Further development of new technological innovations
Disruptive Business Models
Conventional Business Models
StandardisedCourses
CustomisedCourses
Scenario 3 Scenario 4
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
Disruptive Business Models
Conventional Business Models
StandardisedCourses
CustomisedCourses
Scenario 3 Scenario 4
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
Massey
Worldwide
• Where are we going?
• Where should we go and why?
• How can we get there?
Scenario 1 - Open Networking
Scenario 2 - Serving Local communities
Scenario 3 - New Public Responsibilities
Scenario 4 - Higher Education Inc
Embedded Strategy
Explicit Strategy
IndividualCourses
WholeProgrammes
Embedded Strategy
Bold on Strategy
IndividualCourses
WholeProgrammes
Embedded Strategy
Bold on Strategy
IndividualCourses
WholeProgrammes
Scenario 3
Scenario 2Scenario 1
Constructivist Models
On Campus
in Class
Off Campus
in Class
On Campus
out of Class
Off Campus
out of Class
Leakage
Face-to-FaceDelivery
OnlineDelivery
Instructionist Models
Jones, A., Lygo-Baker, S., Markless, S., Rienties, B., & Di Napoli, R. (2016): Conceptualizing impact in academic development: finding a way through. Higher Education Research
& Development, DOI: 10.1080/07294360.2016.1176997
Coolbear, P., & Hinton, T. (2013). Evaluating the impact of research projects in tertiary learning and teaching: Exploring the geography of change. Plenary address HERDSA
Conference, Auckland, New Zealand, 2nd July.
Three Lessons…
• Having a process
• Rigorous decision-making
• Knowing how to implement
“A prudent question is one-half of wisdom”
Francis Bacon
3. Shaping your own future
• Long History of Distance Education
• Hosted National Centre for Distance Education
• OSCAIL Early Adopter of Online Learning
Open
Education
Unit
The
Ideas Lab
Off-campus
Online
Delivery
Innovative Models of
Design and Delivery
Teaching
Enhancement
Unit
On-campus
Blended
Delivery
BOLD
Learning
Designs
Research Network
National Institute for Digital Learning
http://dcufuse.ie
Three final remarks…
“Digital
transformation
should be in
the service of
big ideas,
not as a big idea
in itself”
(adapted from Barnett, 2011)
Go raibh
maith
agaibh!
Professor Mark Brown
Director, National Institute for Digital Learning
www.dcu.ie/nidlmark.brown@dcu.ie
@mbrownz www.slideshare.net/mbrownz

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