Yaroslav Rozhankivskyy: Три складові і три передумови максимальної продуктивн...
Inside 3D Printing Trends and Future in NYC
1. Inside 3D Printing – April 2013 in NYC Copyright 2013 by Terry T. Wohlers1
Terry Wohlers
April 22-23, 2013
New York, NY
Trends and the
Future of 3D Printing Note:Note:
Most images have been removed fromMost images have been removed from
this presentation because permissionthis presentation because permission
was not granted to distribute them. Otherwas not granted to distribute them. Other
elements of these slides also differelements of these slides also differ
from those presented.from those presented.
What makes 3D printingWhat makes 3D printing specialspecial??
How itsHow its transformingtransforming entire industriesentire industries
IndustryIndustry growthgrowth
MythsMyths and misconceptionsand misconceptions
TheThe futurefuture
Excitement is at anExcitement is at an
all timeall time highhigh
2011: ~1,6002011: ~1,600
2012: ~16,0002012: ~16,000
TerminologyTerminology
additive manufacturingadditive manufacturing 3D printing3D printing
formal standardformal standard
technical mediatechnical media
scientific communityscientific community
de facto standardde facto standard
mainstream mediamainstream media
everyone elseeveryone else
We use the termsWe use the terms interchangeablyinterchangeably
2. Inside 3D Printing – April 2013 in NYC Copyright 2013 by Terry T. Wohlers2
formative:formative: molding, casting, forging,molding, casting, forging, ……
subtractive:subtractive: milling, drilling, turning,milling, drilling, turning,
grinding,grinding, ……
additive:additive: material extrusion, materialmaterial extrusion, material
jetting, powder bed fusion,jetting, powder bed fusion, ……
Manufacturing processesManufacturing processes
GrowthGrowth
Health of industry?
Very good
29.4% growth in 2011
Source: Wohlers Report 2012Source: Wohlers Report 2012 Source: Wohlers Report 2012Source: Wohlers Report 2012
Industrial system salesIndustrial system sales
CAGR 1988CAGR 1988––20112011
26.4%26.4% Production parts
Low-cost systems
AM
3. Inside 3D Printing – April 2013 in NYC Copyright 2013 by Terry T. Wohlers3
66 355
1816
5978
23265
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Personal 3DPersonal 3D
printersprinters
23,26523,265
PersonalPersonal
$500$500––$$5,0005,000
IndustrialIndustrial
$5,001$5,001––$1M+$1M+
Source: Wohlers Report 2012Source: Wohlers Report 2012
Industrial AMIndustrial AM
systemssystems
6,4946,494
Industrial
Personal
$$$
Myths andMyths and
misconceptionsmisconceptions
Push buttonPush button
data preparationdata preparation
file repairfile repair
setting of build parameterssetting of build parameters
preheatingpreheating
buildbuild
support removalsupport removal
finishingfinishing
coolingcooling
Just as inexpensive to buildJust as inexpensive to build
one part at a timeone part at a time
economy of scaleeconomy of scale
AM willAM will replacereplace
conventional manufacturingconventional manufacturing
AM can printAM can print gunsguns
4. Inside 3D Printing – April 2013 in NYC Copyright 2013 by Terry T. Wohlers4
EveryoneEveryone will own andwill own and
operate a 3D printeroperate a 3D printer
Source: Ian Campbell, Loughborough UniversitySource: Ian Campbell, Loughborough University
write
present
communicate
calculate
listen to music
organize pictures
maintain records
research
Most consumers willMost consumers will
engageengage onlineonline
FutureFuture
3D content
KeyKey gating factorgating factor to growth of 3D printingto growth of 3D printing
2.92.9 million commercial CAD solidmillion commercial CAD solid
modeling seats from Big Four:modeling seats from Big Four:
Autodesk, Dassault, PTC, and SiemensAutodesk, Dassault, PTC, and Siemens
Source: Wohlers Report 2012Source: Wohlers Report 2012
ThousandsThousands of new companiesof new companies
ManyMany new business modelsnew business models
ISO TechnicalISO Technical
Committee 261 on AMCommittee 261 on AM
ASTM Committee F42 onASTM Committee F42 on
AM TechnologiesAM Technologies
Boeing, DePuy, GE, Goodrich, Honeywell,Boeing, DePuy, GE, Goodrich, Honeywell,
Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Siemens, U.S. ArmyLockheed Martin, Raytheon, Siemens, U.S. Army
5. Inside 3D Printing – April 2013 in NYC Copyright 2013 by Terry T. Wohlers5
AustraliaAustralia
South AfricaSouth Africa
GermanyGermany
ChinaChinaUSAUSA
National effortsNational efforts
SingaporeSingapore
Interest is at an all-time high
Conclusions
Companies are changing the way
they design and manufacture
Growth is strong
Determining what’s fact vs.
fiction, challenging
The future is bright
wohlerswohlersassociates.comassociates.com