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Mat Morrison
                        @mediaczar




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Elephant in the room
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
or Emperor’s Clothes
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Volume

Tuesday, 5 July 2011
qualified by



Volume
                           Relevance
                           AUTHORITY
                           Sentiment




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
quick Question:

             How Accurate
                       is Sentiment analysis?




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
The



                       stinks

Tuesday, 5 July 2011
supervised

                        Learning
                         Machine




      Robot                         Human
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Robots first...
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
I’m unqualified to
              make judgements
   about the science...




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
I’m unqualified to
              make judgements
   about the science...


                       ...and So are you.


Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Because the Science
      Is hidden in a box




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Because the Science
      Is hidden in a box




                       But scientific Results are
                            Reproducable!!!
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
What’s the buzz around
                         “Green Lantern”?
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Positive    Negative

     Sysomos (Blogs)               40             17

           TweetSentiment          29             11

                       WDTIT?      56.8           42

                 SocialMention      18             5

                          SM2      20             16

  Sysomos (Tweets)                 6.4            7.6

     Rotten Tomatoes                27            73
 A quick poll of a few sentiment engines’ analysis of the
 buzz surrounding the film “Green Lantern” demonstrates
 no correspondence.
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Turk THis!

               RT @BangsandaBun: According to

               some, I wasn't deserving/grateful/

               cool enough to be there, but I

               blogged about my Glastonbury

               experience http://t.co/eEInrnu




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Turk THis!

               RT @BangsandaBun: According to

               some, I wasn't deserving/grateful/

               cool enough to be there, but I

               blogged about my Glastonbury

               experience http://t.co/eEInrnu

                Robot says Negative

Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Turk THis!

               I know the bands for Glastonbury

               were great this year, but I still

               don't think you could have paid me to

               be part of that mental crowd! You?




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Turk THis!

               I know the bands for Glastonbury

               were great this year, but I still

               don't think you could have paid me to

               be part of that mental crowd! You?




                 Robot says positive

Tuesday, 5 July 2011
SENTIMENT scoring using
       Amazon Mechanical Turk
       disagreed with 16/40 (40%)
       robot judgments.


       Only 13/40 (32.5%) of
       robotic judgments were
       passed by all three human
       Judges.

                       Raw Data available at http://mczar.me/mkue1p
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
But Are Humans
    Reliable?
               ???     Emotional State/Mood

                       Priming

                       Cultural bias

                       Cognitive Bias




                                 Famously not.
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
It Gets Worse...

             The Same Human Scorer,
             when presented with the
             same statement on
             multiple occasions, may
             score it differently each
             time.
          cf. A Guerilla Experiment in Sentiment Analysis http://mczar.me/lrp7Yi
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
The



                       stinks

Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Academic studies
                       generally focus on
                 Movies &
            the STOCK Market



                       Why is this?
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Social Media
    data are full of
    irrelevant...




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Social Media
    data are full of
    irrelevant...




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Volume
                       Relevance
                       Authority
                       Sentiment




Tuesday, 5 July 2011
All four are needed to make
               sense of data




Volume
                                      Relevance
                                      Authority
                                      Sentiment



                       But I’m only talking
                            sentiment
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
The



                       stinks
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Why might marketers
     want to perform
     Sentiment analysis?

                   To guide customer service
                   interactions

                   As a Performance indicator

                       To qualify social media buzz

                       To identify fans

Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Is sentiment
         actionable?
                         Product Query
            Is it a...


                         Product Complaint




                                               ???
                         Product endorsement

                         Product review

                         Product COmparison


                            ...I need to know more
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
THE KPI Problem
                                                                        !"#"$%&'#
                       '##$



                       &"#$



                       &##$



                       %"#$                                                                           =)*;>$?)@2<$

                                                                                                      A2.-4.@)3>$?)@2<$

                       %##$                                                                           B;3C>,;<<$?)@2<$



                        "#$



                         #$
                              ()*+,-+.$   /+0+,-+.$   12342.5$   6+-.42.5$   72.08$   9:.;<$   725$


                       !"#$


                              Massive (and unrepresentative) spike in Net Positive
                              Sentiment caused by specific campaign activity




                       Should we be allowed to mark our own homework?
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011
Tuesday, 5 July 2011

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Negative Sentiment (or "Sentiment Analysis is Sh*te")

  • 1. Mat Morrison @mediaczar Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 4. Elephant in the room Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 8. qualified by Volume Relevance AUTHORITY Sentiment Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 9. quick Question: How Accurate is Sentiment analysis? Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 10. The stinks Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 11. supervised Learning Machine Robot Human Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 13. I’m unqualified to make judgements about the science... Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 14. I’m unqualified to make judgements about the science... ...and So are you. Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 15. Because the Science Is hidden in a box Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 16. Because the Science Is hidden in a box But scientific Results are Reproducable!!! Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 17. What’s the buzz around “Green Lantern”? Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 18. Positive Negative Sysomos (Blogs) 40 17 TweetSentiment 29 11 WDTIT? 56.8 42 SocialMention 18 5 SM2 20 16 Sysomos (Tweets) 6.4 7.6 Rotten Tomatoes 27 73 A quick poll of a few sentiment engines’ analysis of the buzz surrounding the film “Green Lantern” demonstrates no correspondence. Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 21. Turk THis! RT @BangsandaBun: According to some, I wasn't deserving/grateful/ cool enough to be there, but I blogged about my Glastonbury experience http://t.co/eEInrnu Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 22. Turk THis! RT @BangsandaBun: According to some, I wasn't deserving/grateful/ cool enough to be there, but I blogged about my Glastonbury experience http://t.co/eEInrnu Robot says Negative Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 23. Turk THis! I know the bands for Glastonbury were great this year, but I still don't think you could have paid me to be part of that mental crowd! You? Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 24. Turk THis! I know the bands for Glastonbury were great this year, but I still don't think you could have paid me to be part of that mental crowd! You? Robot says positive Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 25. SENTIMENT scoring using Amazon Mechanical Turk disagreed with 16/40 (40%) robot judgments. Only 13/40 (32.5%) of robotic judgments were passed by all three human Judges. Raw Data available at http://mczar.me/mkue1p Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 26. But Are Humans Reliable? ??? Emotional State/Mood Priming Cultural bias Cognitive Bias Famously not. Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 27. It Gets Worse... The Same Human Scorer, when presented with the same statement on multiple occasions, may score it differently each time. cf. A Guerilla Experiment in Sentiment Analysis http://mczar.me/lrp7Yi Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 29. The stinks Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 30. Academic studies generally focus on Movies & the STOCK Market Why is this? Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 31. Social Media data are full of irrelevant... Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 32. Social Media data are full of irrelevant... Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 34. Volume Relevance Authority Sentiment Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 35. All four are needed to make sense of data Volume Relevance Authority Sentiment But I’m only talking sentiment Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 36. The stinks Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 37. Why might marketers want to perform Sentiment analysis? To guide customer service interactions As a Performance indicator To qualify social media buzz To identify fans Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 38. Is sentiment actionable? Product Query Is it a... Product Complaint ??? Product endorsement Product review Product COmparison ...I need to know more Tuesday, 5 July 2011
  • 39. THE KPI Problem !"#"$%&'# '##$ &"#$ &##$ %"#$ =)*;>$?)@2<$ A2.-4.@)3>$?)@2<$ %##$ B;3C>,;<<$?)@2<$ "#$ #$ ()*+,-+.$ /+0+,-+.$ 12342.5$ 6+-.42.5$ 72.08$ 9:.;<$ 725$ !"#$ Massive (and unrepresentative) spike in Net Positive Sentiment caused by specific campaign activity Should we be allowed to mark our own homework? Tuesday, 5 July 2011