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Using Flow-based
Roadmaps & Options
Cat Swetel & Matt Barcomb
@catswetel @mattbarcomb
How we’ll spend our time
Flow-based roadmapping
Options thinking
Example metrics
How it usually starts
How it usually ends
Planning for
mass construction
How much will it cost?
When will it be done?
Planning for
research & development
Should we start?
Should we keep going?
Routine
manufacturing
Complex
manufacturing
Physical
product dev.
Spectrum of
knowable stuff
Scientific
research
Mass
cons...
Shift the focus
Primarily focus on
understanding benefit.
Evaluate risk and
opportunity costs.
Learn just enough about
cos...
Team	
  A
Team	
  B
A starting structure
Team	
  A
Team	
  B
Readiness
Support
Readiness & Support
Team	
  A
Team	
  B
Readiness
Infras
On	
  
Horizon
Coming	
  
Soon
Up	
  
Next
Current	
  
Goal
In	
  
Use
Time-based flow
Team	
  A
Team	
  B
Readiness
Infras
On	
  
Horizon
Coming	
  
Soon
Up	
  
Next
Current	
  
Goal
In	
  
Use
HBD
Here be dr...
Team	
  A
Team	
  B
Readiness
Infras
On	
  
Horizon
Coming	
  
Soon
Up	
  
Next
Current	
  
Goal
In	
  
Use
HBD
things we ...
Team	
  A
Team	
  B
Readiness
Infras
On	
  
Horizon
Coming	
  
Soon
Up	
  
Next
Current	
  
Goal
In	
  
Use
HBD
things we ...
Cadence and
Roadmap structure
Your business
Your industry
Your market
But what goes IN
a flow-based roadmap?
Projects
Features
OPTIONS!
MVPs
Epics
Framing
an option
Option	
  Name:
Testable	
  Customer	
  &	
  Problem	
  Hypothesis:
Measurable	
  Organizational	
  Bene...
Your roadmap
as options
Like a sales
funnel
Farther down
in the funnel,
greater
investment
Your roadmap
as options
IDEATION
PROTOTYPE
PILOT
PRODUCTION
-­‐Not	
  yet	
  validated	
  
-­‐Future
-­‐Validated	
  
-­‐N...
Information
Value of
Options
Tomorrow’s
Core Business
Today’s Core
Business
Keep the
lights on
Focus
Low risk
Big investment
Lots of small,
high risk/h...
70 / 20 / 10
Time:
70% core business
20% related
projects
10% unrelated to
core business
Options
MVPs/Projects are options
triggers: starting/stopping heuristics (context, events,
rules of thumb)
information val...
Starting or Stopping Triggers
- duration - seasonality
- stakeholder feedback - govt. policy
- major biz activity - compet...
Cadence for
Reviewing
Options
Roadmap metrics:
cost of delay
How much would you pay for
more time?
How long will the option
have value, and at what
rate...
Roadmap metrics
Roadmap metrics
Cycle Time and/or
Lead Time
Lead	
  Time
Cycle	
  Time
Team	
  A
Team	
  B
Readiness
Infras
On	
  
Horizon...
Roadmap metrics:
churn
VALIDATED
INVALIDATED
NOT	
  YET	
  
VALIDATED
Roadmap metrics:
risk and experimentation
Transitioning to flow-based roadmaps
Starting a flow-based roadmap
Framing options
Information value of options
Metrics an...
Questions?
Cat Swetel Matt Barcomb
@catswetel @mattbarcomb
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Flow-based road mapping & options thinking

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Presentation given at Mile High Agile 2016 about how to modernize the portfolio planning and road mapping process to better fit with software product development planning.

Publié dans : Business
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Flow-based road mapping & options thinking

  1. 1. Using Flow-based Roadmaps & Options Cat Swetel & Matt Barcomb @catswetel @mattbarcomb
  2. 2. How we’ll spend our time Flow-based roadmapping Options thinking Example metrics
  3. 3. How it usually starts
  4. 4. How it usually ends
  5. 5. Planning for mass construction How much will it cost? When will it be done?
  6. 6. Planning for research & development Should we start? Should we keep going?
  7. 7. Routine manufacturing Complex manufacturing Physical product dev. Spectrum of knowable stuff Scientific research Mass construction Software product dev. Enterprise ERP impl. How knowable is the domain Known responses to unknowns Relationship between cause & effect
  8. 8. Shift the focus Primarily focus on understanding benefit. Evaluate risk and opportunity costs. Learn just enough about costs to choose to start.
  9. 9. Team  A Team  B A starting structure
  10. 10. Team  A Team  B Readiness Support Readiness & Support
  11. 11. Team  A Team  B Readiness Infras On   Horizon Coming   Soon Up   Next Current   Goal In   Use Time-based flow
  12. 12. Team  A Team  B Readiness Infras On   Horizon Coming   Soon Up   Next Current   Goal In   Use HBD Here be dragons!
  13. 13. Team  A Team  B Readiness Infras On   Horizon Coming   Soon Up   Next Current   Goal In   Use HBD things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons Define explicit policies
  14. 14. Team  A Team  B Readiness Infras On   Horizon Coming   Soon Up   Next Current   Goal In   Use HBD things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons things we do now and again for reasons 12 22 Limit work in progress
  15. 15. Cadence and Roadmap structure Your business Your industry Your market
  16. 16. But what goes IN a flow-based roadmap? Projects Features OPTIONS! MVPs Epics
  17. 17. Framing an option Option  Name: Testable  Customer  &  Problem  Hypothesis: Measurable  Organizational  Benefit: Results  &  Measures: Starting/Stopping  Triggers: Assumptions  &  Dependencies:
  18. 18. Your roadmap as options Like a sales funnel Farther down in the funnel, greater investment
  19. 19. Your roadmap as options IDEATION PROTOTYPE PILOT PRODUCTION -­‐Not  yet  validated   -­‐Future -­‐Validated   -­‐Now
  20. 20. Information Value of Options
  21. 21. Tomorrow’s Core Business Today’s Core Business Keep the lights on Focus Low risk Big investment Lots of small, high risk/high reward bets Pay less to obtain information early
  22. 22. 70 / 20 / 10 Time: 70% core business 20% related projects 10% unrelated to core business
  23. 23. Options MVPs/Projects are options triggers: starting/stopping heuristics (context, events, rules of thumb) information value of options Options: start/stop heuristics
  24. 24. Starting or Stopping Triggers - duration - seasonality - stakeholder feedback - govt. policy - major biz activity - competition shift - media/PR event - market shift - technology shift - employee shift - major social incident - better options
  25. 25. Cadence for Reviewing Options
  26. 26. Roadmap metrics: cost of delay How much would you pay for more time? How long will the option have value, and at what rate does the value decay?
  27. 27. Roadmap metrics
  28. 28. Roadmap metrics Cycle Time and/or Lead Time Lead  Time Cycle  Time Team  A Team  B Readiness Infras On   Horizon Coming   Soon Up   Next Current   Goal In   Use HBD DISCLAIMER:  This  is  just  an  example.  
  29. 29. Roadmap metrics: churn VALIDATED INVALIDATED NOT  YET   VALIDATED
  30. 30. Roadmap metrics: risk and experimentation
  31. 31. Transitioning to flow-based roadmaps Starting a flow-based roadmap Framing options Information value of options Metrics and measures for roadmaps What we covered
  32. 32. Questions? Cat Swetel Matt Barcomb @catswetel @mattbarcomb

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